tv [untitled] September 24, 2011 3:30pm-4:00pm EDT
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dharti from moscow just one story coverage tonight the ruling tandem is set for rotation. for the presidency next year his candidacy was put forward by jimmy to prevent the return agreed to lead the ruling party and the country's government. so more of what that means for russia in the latest edition of interview shows spotlight next.
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on hardship. to day we're talking about the presidential race the decade biggest political we have seen finally. in his presidential bid being nominated. this. country for many. inside the time that as the nomination by the current president. agreed to become prime minister and that is russia party telling us that russia's top political elite is unlikely to change the next six or even twelve years. to russia what do we have to expect from the. december and the march two thousand and twelve when the presidential election will take place we'll be discussing with political. economy and.
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so let's start with what we trade had to say. i believe it would be right for the conventions of support a candidate. in the presidential election. to me so i don't have to explain what kind of experience and. thank you showing your skillful and i'd like to see something else despite rumors that there's been a split and we've. been seeing that this was a well thought through decision. tree. mr babich mr harper thank you very much for joining us on the show welcome to spark
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my woe is this so do we know the name of the next russian president exactly actually i think we're already know was the name of the next trashing president and now it's trashing a prime minister but you know i think it's not due to the credit reasons and i still say i think there was a reporter who has been over twelve years in public politics he has proven to be a real leader of a new russia russia and he has almost doubled of those twelve years while social stability and. steady development have been achieved so there are good grounds for continuing these. way of conducting borth of foreign and domestic policy and most russians do really support the stand of to do dimitri agree that this is it. the intrigue intrigue is no no longer i would say never say you're sure especially
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in russia because the country. we have seen a lot of times during the last twenty years or maybe even i would say twenty five years that it's very difficult to predict something in russia for sure the situation may develop you know what's always but. fortunately or unfortunately now it's more or less clear that in march the president will be inviting. according to true to a changing of the constitution the russian president will be elected for six years you can be there for two terms so do you think that let me put it will be there for the next twelve years or. we cannot be so sure now we're now we're talking about about six years well i think the russian elite since one thousand nine to one has been pursuing apes first team is political stability to keep power and money. the second is to integrate this new elite into the western political putin is
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responsible for the first priority so he will be nonviolent and he was number one during the last of those years and midriff is responsible for the second priority so he will always be number two in so they stand. in general we'll see how the situation develops i think the choice of fortune in all that time then called keep writing with the editor for some going through your other term i think the choice sure that there are some hard times that saw the timeshare in internal politics for inciting for russia and for the war you know the euro groundling lots of other things but europe is russia's largest economic partner so when europe gets gets a called russia will be also sneezing so all busily the opted for a safer bet not during the best of times they were even in the third states. they called they would call medvedev lame duck right now do you think in russia he
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would be a lame duck now i mean bad by american standards are not or is what is different in russian politics i think in russia it's really different and first of all the basic reason and that you know not only in russia about in other. countries of the most high valued commodity he is stability and economic development and i think that one of the major achievements of pollution has been the creation of the system where it doesn't really matter who is the president and who is the prime minister because of the general course of the goes on in its way and in this case i think it does. no matter whether you will hold his pose as a president for two consecutive terms or whether the world changed with military for any other. and the other in a person who maybe we don't know but the basic idea is there was the russian of it as my colleague and russian general public are interested in stability and
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development so they're able to get used to these people who are experts are predicting hard times for wood economy for russian economy in the coming years so first of all i'd like i'd like to know your reaction how may the the markets react to this news that that we're hearing today and is putin's first room at least reduced. is it going to be hard and i mean. economically oh i think the markets will react positively because they're split in steam everywhere in russia so the fact that compared to him he is back like a percent you know you know we one hundred percent i mean one hundred percent of our he's back one hundred thousand so that's good news for markets but he's facing hard times and i will say this of all the western politicians western politicians including vice president the u.s. vice president joe biden who came here made it very clear that they would prefer to
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deal with medvedev. a victory on a college who is going to meet our president today may also be a little disappointed because he also all bets on made here for now he still can call well a lame lung normally so obviously there is a certain there is some disparity decor to me between the market some of us and politicians and i think that shows you how i would see you really stick as western policy towards russia sometimes the markets say one thing everybody should say it's great if why i was asking about the hard times because because putin did promise i'm screwed now to to resolve issues g.d.p. . to a level of seven percent but under same this same day finance minister input is government mistake so that the next decade is going to be lost because of slow world g.d.p. growth people some are even expecting a crisis coming and how are these two promises compatible with this is
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a misquotation really i mean it would mean cauldrons. misquotation because quillan said absolutely the opposite thing is going to be laws decayed for the world economy that is slumping into recession while he said nothing about russia so he said it would not be easy for russian economy before us and he saw the context is that russia is an exporter in economy and no exports are much higher than our imports so there's a core that concha that adds to the global g.d.p. of the country has positive. expert input balance in this case russia is the country that actually adds up to the global g.d.p. and it will not it's not going to face any major crisis of course there is a global economy and we know the crisis in the euro zone which could easily pose the collapse of the whole euro zone if greece is followed by spain italy and other
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large countries you know european union is our major. partner but also. the science of second wave of recession in the united states so it's not going to be easy in russia but you know the first wave of crisis back three years ago was passed by russia relatively easily not only in economic terms but of social demographic and political terms so russian are the pillars of russian political system. well i guess and this context you see here the global economy is going to have a lost decade while the russian economy is going to develop if you're really going to see. the reason i'm asking is that putin's popularity let's face it i mean within his first term in office was very highly based on the high oil prices he gave a lot is huge in two country economically so will he be able to give as much and in his next. i would say greedy with the rich and second on a policy all because they had legs because the country didn't collapse during the
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financial crisis and indeed the standard of living improved. you know the problem is in modern economy you can never be sure that next year you won't have a major problem we have seen it many times in europe and in other places and certainly i think there the tandem is bracing up for hard times and or not for the best of times both of you today in this studio well are expressing the opinion that there were there will be no will we will not be facing any surprises either on the elections to now going into action against a duma december nor the presidential election so what about the turnouts are people going to to use their legs to walk to the seats it's in police stations to vote do you expect a high turnout with negative is leading the ruling party into the elections and
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later putin is running for president were people saying well what difference would think. well i think. it will depend on the propaganda strategy of that border state and their position will use their positioning during the last few months i've heard their position basically saying that we should not discourage people to vote because if you don't walt your bulletin can be used by you know of by the state wait what's so basically. i i i will not be surprised if the turnout is not so bad. can't agree or. it depends on propaganda much because the russian electorate is russian people are march more experience then they're not naive at all and they're not good subject to propaganda they have seen so much in the last few decades so they know quite well home to elect the political analyst eager to karloff and babbage spotlight will be
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back shortly after we take a break so stay with us don't. giving a far away land where human life is ruled by nature. the distant past of planet earth is scarcely preserved by the current. engine minimal it's like hidden in the deep permafrost. and to those who deal with them through storage times are still not over. twenty years ago in largest country in the us to certain places. which have been trying. to teach began
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a journey. where did it take the. very first verses of the bible that all human beings are created but some of it all came in god's image and it doesn't say just jews or god just. sixty to seventy percent of what i did as a combat soldier and actually by territories was a do with deterrents doing what we call making our presence felt go out should some birds of a hear a knock on some doors from the other corner of it or not a house or religion or nationalism not just judaism have been a part of the problem they've been part of what leads to. bloodshed if you want to go on gaza and kill. a thousand four hundred people in a month and you want to expect that this will have no effect and to feel you have to be either extremely naive or it's true mr peabody not as if you're a jew religious jew calling another job and not not the way they really needed
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money or anything big. welcome back to sponsor lines i'm just a reminder that my guests today are political analysts often to be three babiche and we are discussing the latest news from russian politics. prime minister putin has. agreed to become the next president of russia to run rather for the next president russia after the current president dmitry medvedev. proposed him at the. congress of the united. russia ruling party so today we were facing an upcoming reshuffling of the and so the prime minister is going to
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become the president president during to become prime minister and this well looks as if it's decided really at least among the russians but it per political elite so gentleman do you think that this decision that and that was announced today actually was still you can long you know maybe maybe even back in two thousand and seven what would you say what was it initial plan to go in this way because i don't think there's initial learn because russian politics doesn't include very sophisticated skim so you see it goes as a girl's putin has proven to be a really good president because they. have been living in russia all this period and they can compare the situation better nineteen ninety nine and to enjoy what is happening right now so he first really proven to be the leader of all the russians are because i can see talk in every day to people in russia that he is popular both
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in the small business arrived business ordinary people are travel extensively all russian greeting poor regions of the north caucasus really support them people in the not courses courses are really grateful that a person fired this region and contributed a lot to the quality of living there and all. it is very popular among young people people maybe who had children when he got into power who went to kindergarten his waterloo among them and their future electorate in this context i think there's no mastermind plan planetfall he goes as a goes up wouldn't have the really proven to be a national leader there and it would have has always also contributed a lot so now we are going to see another six or maybe two consecutive presidential terms twelve years and i think this tradition is going to develop or the way it is and before. i get these are we're not quite playing such
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a rosy picture because despite all the treatments. let me give you an example with the north caucasus indeed kitchen i will specify it there is no war going on there that's a huge achievement but terrorist activity in neighboring biggest part is huge it's much worse than in the ninety's the same thing in the year so basically the problems never disappear the instability spills all to other places and that's why i don't think the decision was taken long ago because i think the candle had to react to new challenges every day well i think one of the reasons why i would see the more conservative variant of straws and. to what extent it was the west policy or the western elite never quite accept the russian elite as its part basically it was hostile we've seen all of this alternatives to our all ruled so to still gas pipelines all these things joe biden saying that he would not be happy to see him
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and put him back and graham and so in this situation the most who would who are going would make some how do you how do you think elections in you know the country's mission russia is was i really was making meeting by nappy rules where. well it was regional we were it was i would. have exactly the opposite effect to and the one that biden might want to have i think it contributed. contributed to the decision that was taken today. i'm not quite sure that biden is as smart as to wish to become the new president and to do it this way not provoke a russian elite into a sort of defensive stance but i think the general result was that the west has been hostile there is no time table for russia's integration into the european union into european structures in general so that's why i think the more conservative variant will strengthen and you know that being portable over the rest
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of the lord is always a bird all men for russian leader as most are russian public is pretty conservative not hostile but conservative towards the true intentions of washington and brussels and many russians that the basic idea of the worst is to turn russia into the colony or importing from russia natural resources and exporting their dollars and euro's so in this case being popular with western the lead is not in a sign for a new russian leader i don't know what the politician party would do was to me right now he's getting ready to to to to go into reality politic and sleep with it and go on with the modernization of the country prime minister putin today made another very important nouns mint and let's hear a quote right now. i'd like to express my gratitude to you for supporting my candidacy to run for president it's a great honor to meet you. thank you going to you.
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and with the parliamentary elections coming in and i'd like to ask russian citizens to support the united russia party with. yes really. you. know you're right i'm convinced to become prime minister continue to thoroughly modernize our society. human wealth putin and move this live and later medved lives press secretary mr peskov after the the the the congress. was closed and they said there will be a reshuffle of the government the government we need a major reshuffle said so do you think that this is the next intrigue we will be following in russia what's going to happen to the government two of the ministers who will keep their seats well i would say that media pressure on yourself to be
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less conservative in terms of personnel. reporting. has basically stayed with the same ministers during or here's to you as the prime minister and you know most of his term he also thought he had to actually change to the prime minister several pounds but he didn't change the means to be the surprise of the stay the same or all just met so some small changes so in general midriff is seen as a sort of a personnel reform. it's just sometimes easier for him to fight people than for mr patel but i would also like to see you know there is a very contradictory. objectives that they have a pound in faces because i agree with igor one of our hand russian target is is is very suspicious of the western intentions towards russia and rightly so on the other hand the aim is to integrate russia into the world economy so every russian
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leader faces these delamont not to be too popular with the west that will make him a little bit of a very suspicious to his own audience and not a billion in the west because there may in danger russia's you know integration of what we're going to keep. putin is coming back he's likely to come back in less than a used would be. should we expect something new from the new presidency ready to put it in terms of internal politics in terms of economic problems in terms of the general mood in the country the most the role you know any politician as an actor has to reinvent himself to stay popular view of the product decade spars back in one thousand nine hundred ninety nine when fortune came into power first as prime minister and then as president that actually was.
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they deal of securing what was left of the soviet union stabilizing the conscious and adding more security to. the people and generally this task has been solved by russian g.d.p. has been steadily growing since then generally the quality of living in russia has been improving but now is there a new challenges putin has grown in you. last in russia and that's already a fact these people demand are more freedom they demand more political freedom they want to take more active part in the social political life and in this case i think . putin has also or proven him to be a person who is ready to change with the contrie of the country changes he also changes we have seen primaries of the united front russia party primaries which would be different from what is usually understood under this wording in the
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american experience because you know half of. our so-called porton people's front gets into duma they're not members of united russia those are people who don't belong to any part of they're just pulling their village in their. a district a people know there are spoiled with them and they want to see them in they'd do more that is alone and share more of russian parliament you know this is very important son david korten is reinventing himself as a political leader and he feels the trance in russian society very well and if this is a very good remark and i also notice that today that would seem to be very proud when he spoke and the congress and when he was saying that that we do have a civil society in russia and that this whole he said is a demonstration of the civil society when he said half of the list of the ruling party is going to run for parliament and non-family members of what do you believe
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literally do you think do you think this is just of that propaganda that you mentioned or where putin is really trying to become and you can see well yes and no because on the one hand i agree that argument putin is a very capable politician and he is very capable to change his own ideas with time i think the west has made a major mistake when they saw him just as a former k.g.b. officer and didn't see for example in the primary experience so they underestimated him but part of his team which didn't change for many years is a bit i would say is not as dynamic as we would like it to be thank you thank you very much dmitry and just a reminder that dimitri by dick cheney get across what political analyst and columnist were my guests on the show today we discuss the latest political news from russia and that's it for now from all of us here spotlighted we'll be back
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