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tv   [untitled]    September 24, 2011 5:30pm-6:00pm EDT

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hello this is r t moscow i'm kevin now in interest one story for most of the ruling tandem is set for rotation russia's prime minister vladimir putin will run for the presidency next year is kind of this he was put forward by the move through it better who in turn agreed to leave the ruling party and the country's government so more on what that means for russia in the late sedition of our interview show spotlight kalin rather.
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how sure is that so much i was about three and i think you have it really be right with precious me political game has come to an end president dmitri medvedev announced he'll be supported by me who can scan to speak to succeed him in next year's president. welcome to spark plug the interview show on r t i'll do we are going to do we're talking about the presidential race the decades biggest political mystery has been finally so glad to put in his presidential bid being nominated in this. country and many believe that the conflict inside the times them as the nomination is backed by the current president. that the last few agree to become prime
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minister and that should russia party are telling us that means russia's top political elite is unlikely to change in the next six or even twelve years. for russia what do we have to expect from the shop full time then. december and also march two thousand and twelve when the presidential election will take place we'll be discussing this with political analyst and with. the commie and it's national why he did and a political columnist so let's start with what medvedev had to say. i believe it would be right for the convention to support the candidacy of much more putin in the presidential election.
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means i don't have to explain what kind of experience and. thank you for your skillful and i'd like to see something else despite rumors that there's been a split within your attorney mike ensued and this was a well thought through decision. mr babich mr haha thank you very much for joining us on the show welcome to the spotlight no is this it so do we know the name of the next russian president example of you actually i think you already know was the name of the next trashing president and their next trashing our prime minister but you know i think it's not due to the rhetoric reasons and some experts say i think there. has been over twelve years in public politics has proven to be a real leader of a new russia russian g.d.p. has almost doubled in the last twelve years while social stability and. the
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development have been achieved so there are good grounds for continuing the. way of conducting wars of foreign and domestic policy and most russians who really support the stamina to do dude mutually agree that this is it. the intrigue intrigue is many no longer then i would see never say you're sure especially in russia because the country. we have seen a lot of times during the last twenty years maybe when i would see twenty five years. it's very difficult to predict something in russia for sure the situation may develop in a lot of ways but. fortunately or unfortunately now it's more or less clear that in march the president will be very much. according to true to the changes the constitution the russian president will be elected for six years you can be there
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for two terms so do you think that it will be there for the next twelve years or. we cannot be so sure now we're now we're talking about about six european well i think the russian elite since ninety nine to one has been pursuing apes firstly it's political stability to keep power of mining. the second is to integrate this new leap into the western political putin is responsible for the first priority so he will be number one and he was number one during most of those years and midriff is responsible for the second priority so he will always be number two in so they stand. in general we'll see how the situation develops i think the choice of fortune in all of that the condom called keep running with merely a fair say no proof yet another term i think the choice sure there are some hard times that saw the time in turning point for in central russia and for the war you
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know the euro grumbling lots of other things but europe is russia's largest economic partner so when europe gets gets a call that russia will be also sneezing so all of this leave the auto for a safer bet not during the best of time so even in the united states we're there the day they call they would call made with a lame duck right now do you think in russia he would be a lame duck now i mean bad by american standards or not or is that where it's different in russian parts i think in russia it's really different and first of all the basic reason of course you know not only russia bardeen other exercise the conscience of the most high valued commodity is stability and economic development and i think that one of the major achievements of within the pollution has been the creation of a system where it doesn't really matter who is the president and who is the prime minister because of the general course of the concho goes on its way and in this
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case i think i don't. matter whether putin will hold his pose as a president for two consecutive terms or whether there will change with military for any other. any other person who maybe we don't know but the basic idea is that both the russian elite as my colleague has said and russian general public are interested in stability and development so they're able to get used to these people are desperate so predicting the hard times for would economy for russian economy in the coming year so first of all i'd like i'd like to know your reaction how may the the markets react to this news that we're hearing today and and is putin's first release will is it going to be hard i mean i mean. economically but i think the markets will react positively because there is split
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in steam everywhere in russia so the fact that compared to rome is back and one hundred percent you know we know we one hundred percent i mean what kind of percent of our he's back one hundred percent so that's a good use for markets but he's facing hard times and i will say this of all the western politicians western politicians including the vice president the u.s. vice president joe biden who came here made it very clear that they would prefer to deal with medvedev. a victory on a quarter inch who is going to meet our president today and they also will be a little disappointed because he also will bet on it here for a lot he's talking too well in long morning and saw visibly there is a certain there are certain disparity they call to me between the markets and western politicians and i think that shows you how i would see you really stick as western policy towards russia sometimes the markets say one thing and the militias say it's great to do why i was asking you about the hard times because because
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putin did promise i have this quote now to to reason russia's g.d.p. . to a level of seven percent that on the same day finance minister includes his government mr said that the next decade is going to be lost because of slow world g.d.p. growth people some are really expecting a crisis coming and how are these two promises comparable is more it will get us this is a nice quotation i mean it couldn't i mean cauldrons it's misquotation because quillan said absolutely the opposite playing it's going to be laws decayed for the world economy that is slumping into recession while he said nothing about russia so he said it would not be easy for russian economy are before us if we saw the context is that russia is an exporting acquire and our exports are much higher than our imports so there's a core that contra that adds to the global g.d.p.
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the country of it has positive. export import balance in this case russia is the contradiction actually adds up to the global g.d.p. and it will not it's not going to face any major crisis of course there is a global economy and you know the crisis in the euro zone which could easily cause the collapse of the whole euro zone if greece is followed by spain italy and other large crunches you know european union major. partner also on the science of second wave of recession in the united states so it's not going to be easy in russia but you know the first wave of crisis back three years ago was passed by russia relatively easily not only in economic terms but of social demographic and political terms so russian are the pillars of russian political system. well i guess this context. the
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global economy is going to have a lost decade but russian economy is going to develop really young. the reason i'm asking is that putin's popularity let's face it i mean within his first term in office was very highly based on the high oil prices he gave a lot to country economically so will he be able to give as much in his next two to well i would say agree with. your second on a policy all business had legs because the country didn't collapse during the financial crisis and indeed the standard of living improved. you know the problem is in modern economy you can never be sure that next year you all have a major problem we have seen it many times in europe and in other places and certainly i think there. pandemics bracing up for hard facts not not for the best perhaps those of you today in the studio well are expressing the opinion that that
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there were there will be no will we will not be facing any surprises either on the elections to parliamentary election i can stay duma december not the presidential election so what about the turnout are people going to to use their legs to walk to the into the police stations to vote do you expect a high turnout with negative is leading the ruling party into the elections and later put in is this really a prison where people say well what difference would make. well i think that it will depend on the propaganda strategy of the war for the state and their position will use their position in during the last few months i've heard their position basically saying that we should not discourage people to vote because if you don't have all your bulletin can be used by you know of by the state the way it was so basically. i i will not be surprised if the turnout is not so bad.
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who put or i can't agree on a very good pens on propaganda much because the russian electorate is in and russian people are much more experienced and they're not naive a tall and they're not good subject to propaganda they have seen so much in the last few decades so they know quite well who to elect see political analyst. and beat me by the spotlight will be back shortly after we take a break so stay with us. in the faraway land where human life is ruled by nature. the distant past of planet earth is scarcely preserved by the per. inch anonymous
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. welcome back to sponsor lines i'm just reminded of my guests today are political analysts eager hostile often to meet the bar bitch and we are discussing the latest news the russian politics. produced and food should has. agreed to become the next president russia due to run rather for the next president russia after the current president dmitry medvedev if. proposed to him at the. congress of the united. russia through. poorly so today we were facing an upcoming reshuffle in the town so the prime minister is going to become a person with the ring to become a prime minister and this won't look. as if it's decided on really at least among
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the russian political elite so gentleman do you think that this decision that and that was announced today actually was stricken longueville maybe maybe even back in two thousand and seven what would you say what was the initial plan to go in this way it is i don't think the initial plan because russian politics doesn't include very sophisticated so you see it because there's a girls putting has proven to be a really good president because they've. been living in russia all this period and i can compare the situation back in one thousand nine hundred nine and twenty zero eight and what is happening right now so he has really proven to be the leader of all the russians are because i can see talking every day to people in russia that he's popular both with small business raj business ordinary people are travel extensively all or russian getting poorer regions of the north caucasus really
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support them people in the not courses courses are really grateful that your person fired this region and contributed a lot to the quality of living there and also that it is very popular among very young people people neighborhood children once you got into power one who went to kindergarten he is popular among them and. a future electorate in this context i think there's no mastermind plan plan a troll because there's a girls population has really proven to be a national leader and little has already also contributed a lot so now we are going to see another six or maybe two consecutive presidential terms that's twelve. yes and i think this change is going to develop or the way it is it did before. please i would not write playing such a rosy picture of course despite all the cheapness well let me give you an example
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with the north caucasus indeed kitchen i will specify it there is no war work out there that's a huge achievement but terrorist activity in neighboring don't just start huge it's much worse than the ones the same thing in the year so basically the problems never disappear they used to be spills over to other places and that's why i don't think the decision was taken a long ago because i think the turndown had to react to new challenges every deep well i think one of the reasons why i would say the more conservative variant was chosen. to watch extended was the west polish the western elite never quite accepted the russian elite as its part basically it was hostile we've seen all this i would put it if to all ruled so to still gas pipelines all these things joe biden saying that he would not be received him and put him back in kremlin so in this
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situation the most who would who. would need to hide behind i don't think elections in of the countries in russia it was i believe it was mickey making biden happy who was regional we were. exactly the opposite effect into in the one that biden like want to hear it i think it contributed. it contributed to the decision that was taken to date. i'm not quite sure that biden is as smart as to wish to become the new president and to do it this way you know provoke russian elite into a sort of defensive stance but i think the general result was that the west has been hostile there is no. timetable for russia's integration into the european union into european structures in general so that's why i think the more conservative variant was still. in awe of it being popular with the rest of the lord is always a bad old model for russian leader. is still russian public is pretty conservative
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not hostile but conservative towards the true intentions of washington and brussels and many russians are spared the basic a dear over the worst to turn russia into a colony or importing from russian natural resources and exporting their dollars in euros so in this case being popular with the lid is a novena sign for any russian leader now with the partition partner with the west to lead by now he's getting ready to to to to go into a real politic as he put it and go well with the modernization of the country per mr putin today made in the other very important now is meant and let's hear a quote right now thank you i'd like to express my gratitude to you for supporting my candidacy to run for president it's a great honor to meet you. thank you but you look at the numbers and with the parliamentary elections coming in december i'd like to ask
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russian citizens to support the united russia party with dmitri. and i do if you do you. know you just i'm convinced to become prime minister continue to thoroughly modernize our society. juggle both putin and medvedev and later method of press secretary mr prescott after the congress was. closed but they said that there will be a reshuffle of the government the government really needs a major reshuffle said so do you think that this. the next intrigue we will be following in russia what's going to happen to the governments of the ministers who will keep their seats well i would say that media pressure on yourself to be less conservative in terms of personnel avoiding reporting. has
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basically stayed with the same ministers during all of us can you as the prime minister and you know most of his term he also had to. be changed to the prime minister several times but he didn't change the minister in the surprise of the stay the same or all just met so some small changes so in general midriff is seen as a sort of a personnel reformer. it's just sometimes easier for him to fight people than for mr putin but i would also like to see you know there is a very contradictory. objectives that they are going pound and faces because i agree with igor one of our hand russian public is very suspicious of the western intentions towards russia and rightly so on the other hand the aim is to integrate russia into the world economy so every russian leader faces these daily not to be
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too popular with the west that will make him a little bit will be very suspicious to his own audience and not opinion in the west because there may in danger russia's you know integration for what putin is coming back he's likely to come back in less than a used would be a ye. who should we expect something new from the new presidency if we had put it in terms of internal politics in terms of economic problems in terms of the general mood in the country if most of all you know any politician is that any actor has to reinvent himself as the part of it as decayed spars that in one thousand nine hundred ninety nine. when fortune came into power first as prime minister and then president that actually was. all for securing what was left of the soviet union stabilizing the concha and adding more
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security to. the people and generally this task has been solved russian g.d.p. has been steadily growing since general equally to living in russia has been improving but now the new challenges putin has grown in you have lost in russia and there's already a fact these people demand are more freedom they demand more political freedom of they want to take more active part in the social political life and in this case i think. putin has also or proven him to be a person who is ready to change with the country of the country changes he also changes we have seen primaries in the united russia russia party primaries which would be different from what is usually understood under this wording in the american experience because you know how awful for. so-called porton people
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stranded gets into a building or they're not members of united russia those are people who don't belong to any party they're just poor people in their village. and district of people nor their respect with them and they want to see them in june and that is a lot. of russian parliament you know this is very important sign that putin is reinventing himself as a political leader and he feels the trends in russian society are very well. it is a very good remark and i also notice that today that would seem to be very proud when he spoke and when he was saying that that we do have a civil society rushed. and then this whole he said is a demonstration of the civil society when he said half of the list of the ruling party is going to run for parliament i'm not entirely missing some sort of what do you believe that we do do you think this is just of that propaganda that you
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mention what we're putting is really trying to to become and you can say well yes and no because on the one hand i agree that argument putin is a very capable politician and he's very capable pertain to his own ideas with time i think the west has made a major mistake when they saw him just as a former k.g.b. officer and didn't see for example his interpreter no real experience so they underestimated him but part of his team which didn't change for many years is a bit i would say is not as dynamic as i would like to be thank you thank you very much dimitri in just a reminder that dimitri babich i needed across one political analyst and columnist who are my guests on the show today we discuss the latest political news from russia and that's it for now from all of us here spotlighted we'll be back with more first and comment on what's going on in and outside russian of course who will follow the election campaign in this country so stay tuned to russia to get these
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plans changed.
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