tv [untitled] September 24, 2011 11:30pm-12:00am EDT
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owing to the shortfall side that's up next. wealthy british style to some extent that's not on the time of. the. market so why not. find out what's really happening to the global economy in these kinds of reports on our. exit. poll again a welcome to spotlight the interview show on our to do we are going today we're talking about the presidential drugs the decades biggest political mystery has defined so glad to put in pick up his presidential bid being nominated by those
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willing to unite the. country and many economists believe that cause conflict inside the president as the nomination is backed by the current president dmitry medvedev you know last year agreed to become the new prime minister and that is russia party cartel that means russia's top political elite is unlikely to change to lead the next six or even twelve years. to russia what do we have to expect from the shop full time then after december and all to march two thousand and twelve when the presidential election will take place we'll be discussing this with political analyst and research fellow at the institute of world economy and its national why should he get hot and a political columnist babbitt so let's start with what retreat medvedev had to say . i believe it would be right for the conventions and support the candidacy of once
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you were going into a presidential election. was . this applause means i don't have to explain what kind of experience and thora to let him recruit and how it's. thank you for your skillful and i'd like to see something else despite rumors that there's been a split i'm going to show it turns him i can see that this was a well thought through decision. tree. mr bush mr harper very much for joining us on the show welcome to spark my well is this it so do we know the name of the next russian president exists would you say actually i think we're already know was the name of the next trashing president and their next trash in our prime minister but you know i think it's not due to the
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reasons and some experts say i think there. has been overplayed years and probably quality x. has proven to be a real leader of a new russia russian g.d.p. has almost doubled in the last twelve years while social stability here and the development have been achieved so there are good grounds for continuing these. way of conducting borth foreign and domestic policy and most russians do really support this plan to do dude mutually agree that this is it. the intrigue and intrigue is now no longer i would say never say you're sure especially in russia because the country. we have seen a lot of times during the last twenty years or maybe even i would say twenty five years that it's very difficult to predict something in russia for sure the situation may develop in
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a lot of greece but. fortunately or unfortunately now it's more or less clear that in march the president will be very much. according to changes the constitution the russian president will be elected for six years he could be there for two terms so do you think that when you put it will be there for the next twelve years or. we cannot be so sure now we were never there we're talking about about six years well i think the russian elite since one thousand nine hundred one has been pursuing two apes first theme is political stability of nuclear power of mine. the second is to integrate this newly into the western political putin is responsible for the first priority so he will be number one and he was number one during most of those years and midriff is responsible for the second priority so he will always be number two in so they stand. in general we'll see how the situation develops i think the
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choice of you know the kind them could keep running with meddling affairs are going through yet another term i think the choice sure there are some hard times ahead so it's time to check in internal point for ensample russia and for the world you know the euro groundling lots of other things europe is russia's largest economic partner so when europe gets gets a called russia will be also sneezing so all busily they opted for a safer bet not during the best of times i will. go in there and. they would call medvedev a lame duck right now do you think in russia he would be a lame duck now well i mean by by american standards are not or is that where it's different in russia apart i think in russia it's really different and first of all the basic reason is that you know not only in russia about in other. countries of the most high valued commodity he is. economic development and i think that one of
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the major achievements of him has been the creation of the system where it doesn't really matter who is the president and who is the prime minister because of the general course of the goes on its way down the list is i think it does. matter whether putin will hold his post as a president for two consecutive terms or whether they will change with the benefit of any other than any other person who may be we don't know but the basic idea is that both the russian elite as my colleague and russian general public are interested in stability instead of elop and so they're able to get used to these people are the experts are predicting the hard times for wolves economy for russian economy in the coming year so first of all i like i like to know your reaction how
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may the the markets react to this news that we're hearing today and is putin. is it going to be hard in i mean. canonically oh i think the markets will react positively because the split in steam everywhere in russia so the fact that the padrón is back and all but. you know we're one hundred percent and we were kind of percent of our he's back on the news and so that's good news for markets but he's facing hard times and i will say this about all the western politicians western politicians including vice president the u.s. vice president joe biden who came here made it very clear that they would prefer to deal with medvedev. a victory on the court which was going to meet our president today may also be a little disappointed because he also bet on medvedev and now he's talking to a well known long motley saw visually there is
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a certain there is some disparity there core to me between the markets and western politicians and i think that shows you how i would see you really stick as western policy towards russia sometimes the markets see one thing and the militias say it's quite good why i was asking you about the hard times because because putin did promise i'm screwed now to to resign russia's g d p. to a level of seven percent but under same on the same day finance minister includes his government mr qubaty said that the next decade is going to be lost because of slow world g.d.p. growth people some are even expecting a crisis coming and how these two promise is comparable is already i guess this is a misquote i mean it would do the good and i mean cauldrons i mean it's it's it's nice quotation because cauldrons absolutely the opposite thing he said it's going to be laws decayed for the world economy but it's slumping into recession while he
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said nothing about russia so he said it would not be easy for russian economy because you're simply so the context is the trasher isn't exporting economy and no exports are much higher than our imports so there's a core that's the conscious that adds to the global g.d.p. of the country has a positive. export import balance in this case russia's be contra that actually adds up to the global g.d.p. and it will not is not going to face any major crisis of course there is a global economy and we know there are crisis in the euro zone which could easily pose the collapse of the whole euro zone if greece is followed by spain italy and other countries you know european union is our major. partner but also the science of. recession in the united states so it's not going to be easy in russia but you know the first wave of crisis but three years ago was passed by russia relatively easily not only in economic terms but it's social demographic and
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political terms so russian are the pillars of russian political system. well i guess some of these. global economy is going to have a lost decade while the russian economy is going to develop leisure variant if you really understood. the reason i'm asking is that putin's popularity let's face it i mean within his first term in office was very highly based on the high oil prices he gave a lot into country canonically so will he be able to give as much in his next to. i would say agree with. a lot of policy all because they had legs because of the country didn't collapse during the financial crisis and indeed the standard of living improved. you know the problem is in modern economy you can never be sure that next year devolve
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a major problem we have seen it many times in europe and in other places and certainly i think that the pandemic is bracing up for heart perhaps not for the best of times both of you today in the studio well are expressing the opinion that there were there will be no will we will not be facing any surprises either on the elections to parliamentary election they can stay duma december or the presidential election so what about the turnout are people going to to use their legs to park to the. police stations to vote do you expect a high turnout and what many there is leading the ruling party seems elections and later putin is running for president were people say well what difference would make. well i think. it will depend on the propaganda strategy as a force for the state and opposition will use their position to during the last few months i've heard the opposition basically saying that we should not discourage
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people to vote because if you don't have all your bullets and can be used by you know of by the state the way it wants so basically. i i i will not be surprised if the turnout is not so bad. i can't agree. it depends on propaganda much because the russian electorate is in russian people are much more experienced and they're not naive a tall and they're not good subject to propaganda they have seen so much in their last few decades so they know quite well who to elect the political analyst. and the people the spotlight will develop shortly after we take a break so stay with us don't.
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in a faraway land. where human life is ruled by nature. the distant past of planet earth is scarcely preserved by the clear. internet animals lie hidden in the deep permafrost. and for those who deal with them through story times are still not to. hold the future for weapons grade plutonium is turned into a vital new resource that nuclear waste becomes a fuel friendly to the environment and energy outposts of light ends of the earth russian scientists lead the way in making these innovations are reality and future of free from years of nuclear pocalypse a peaceful revolution in the tonic energy on technology update we've got the future covered. very first verses of the bible all human beings are created but said ok
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and in god's image and it doesn't say just jews or god is. sixty to seventy percent of what i did as a combat soldier in iraq to buy territories was a deal with the turks doing what we call making our presence felt you go out should some bozo be here and knock on some doors for the other corner if it is not a house or religion and nationalism not just judaism have been a part of the problem they've been part of what leads to. bloodshed if you want to bomb gaza and kill. a thousand four hundred people in a month and you want to expect that this will have no effect on their feet you have to be either extremely naive or extremist and good enough as if you're a shill religious jew calling another jew and not not a really good accounting or anything.
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rather for the next president of russia after the current president meets remain very. composed and at the. congress of the united. russia ruling party so today we we see were facing an upcoming reshuffle in the town times so the prime minister is going to become the president president who are going to become prime minister and this well looks as if it's decided i'll really at least among the russian but it political elite so gentleman do you think that this decision that and that was announced today actually was so you can long know maybe maybe even back in two thousand and seven what would you say what was it initial plan to go on this way to get a little thing was initial plan because russian politics doesn't include very sophisticated scams so you see goals as a girl's. putin has proven to be
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a really good president because if you have been living in russia all this period and they can compare the situation back in one thousand nine hundred nine and twenty zero eight and what is happening right now so he has really proven to be the leader of all the russians are because i can see talking every day to people in russia that he is popular both with small business business ordinary people actual extensive real or russian calling poor regions of the north caucasus really supported them people in the not cause the caucasus are really grateful that impressive fire this region and contributed a lot to the quality of living there and also putin is very popular among very young people people maybe who are children when he got into power who were who went to kindergarten he is popular among them and their future electorate in this context being there's no. plant playing at all it goes as a girl's really proven to be a national leader and
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a little has already also contributed a lot so now we are going to see another six or maybe two consecutive presidential terms that's twelve years and i think this situation is going to develop or the way it is they did before her. get this are we not right brain structure picture across despite all the children's well wait let me give you an example with the north caucasus in the traditional specified there is no war going on that's a huge achievement but terrorist activity in neighboring pakistan is huge it's much worse than even i guess the same thing and they're so basically the problems never disappear the instability spills all to other places and that's why i don't think this decision was taken i want to go because i think the turndown had to react to new challenges every week well i think one. of the reasons why i would say the more
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conservative variant. could watch extended towards the west polish the western elite never quite accepted the russian elite as its part basically it was hostile we've seen all of this alternatives to oil ruled so it appears to gas pipelines all these things joe biden saying that he would not behave be perceived like him and put him back and grammarian so in this situation. who jubei what makes you happy i don't keep elections in other countries bush in russia it was i really was making me combine happy rule when it was regional or where it was on. exactly the opposite effect to in the undivided you might want to hear it i think it contributed. contributed to the decision that was taken today yeah but i'm not quite sure that biden is as smart as to wish to become the new president and to
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do it this way don't provoke a russian elite in terms of defensive stand but i think the general result was that the west has been hostile there is no timetable for russia's integration into the european union into european structures in general so that's why i think the more conservative variant was stronger and you know that being portable over the first in the lead is always a bird allman for russian leader as most the russian public is pretty conservative not hostile but conservative towards the true intentions of washington and brussels and now the russians to spare them the basic idea of the worst is to turn the russian into the colony or importing from russia natural resources and distorting their dollars and europe's so and this is being pulled low with the lid is not a sign for any russian leader who will be the politician partner with the west elite right now he's getting ready to to to do. to go into any other politicking he
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put in and go well with the modernization of the country prime minister putin today made in other very important nouns mint and let's hear a quote right now. but i'd like to express my gratitude to you for supporting my candidacy to run for president it's a great honor to meet you. thank you but i can't forget the numbers and with the parliamentary elections coming in december i'd like to ask all russian citizens to support the united russia party we could meet you. and i do wish you would you. know that i mean i'm convinced to become prime minister and we continue to thoroughly modernize our society. given both putin and medvedev and later methods first secretary mr peskov
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after that the congress was. closed but they said that there will be a reshuffle of the government that the government we need a major reshuffle said so do you think that this is the next intrigue that we will be following in russia what's going to happen to the government two of the ministers will will keep their seats well i would say that my data has shown himself to be less conservative in comes off person now than what in a reporting i was a reporter has basically stayed with the same ministers during all he has been us the prime minister and most of his term he also had to. change the prime minister several times but he didn't change to me just simply the surprise to stay the same or or just let so some small changes so in general with very few cns a sort of a personnel reform. it's just sometimes easier for him to fly people down for mr
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portman but i would also like to see you know there is a very contradictory. objective there tandem faces because i agree with igor on the one hand russia is very suspicious of the western intentions towards russia and rightly so on the other hand they even used to integrate russia into the world economy so every russian leader faces not to be too popular with the west let me clear a little bit walk a very suspicious trick is all audience and not opinion in the west because there may in danger russia's you know integration into what putin is coming back is likely to come back in less than a used would be a new putin. should we expect something new from the new presidency of reported in terms of internal politics in terms of economic policy in terms of the general mood in the country and most of all you know on any politician is there any
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effort to reinvent himself as the popular with the public as sparse weapon ninety ninety nine when you came into power first as prime minister and then as president there are actually was. a deal all of securing there and what was left of the soviet union stabilizing the current she and adding more security to. people and generally this task has been solved russian g.d.p. has been steadily growing since then generally the quality of living in russia has been improving but not of their own huge challenges putin has grown in you. lost in russia and that's already in effect these people demand far more freedom they demand more political freedom they want to take more. in the social political
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life and in this case i think. putin has also or probably him to be a person who is ready to change with the contrary of the country changes he also changes we have seen primaries in the united russia and russia party primaries which rapidly different from what is usually understood under this world in the american experience because you know half will for. so-called pork people's front it gets into your mind they're not members of united russia those are people who don't belong to any party they're just poor people in their village in their district or people not all of them are spread with them and they want to see them. that is the law. of russian parliament you know this is a very important sign that it is reinventing itself as a political leader and he feels the trance and russian society very well. this is
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a very good remark and i also notice that today that putin seemed to be very proud when he spoke in that congress and when he was saying that that we do have a civil society in russia and that this whole he said is a demonstration of the civil society when he said half of the list of the ruling party is going through and from another party members and sort of what do you believe literally do you think do you think this is just of that propaganda that you mentioned were were put in is really trying to become a new committee well yes and got because on the one hand i agree that while the reporting is a very clear possible politician and he's very capable of changing his own radius with i think the west has made a major mistake when they saw him just as a former k.g.b. officer and didn't see for example his intrapreneur experience so they underestimated him but part of his steam which didn't. change from many years is
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a bit so i would say is not as dynamic as i would like it for me thank you thank you very much dimitri and just a reminder that need need bad beach and needed a car while political analyst and columnist were my guests on the show today we discuss the latest political news from russia and that's it for now from all of us here spotlighted we'll be back with more first and comment on what's going on in and outside russian of course we will follow the election campaign in this country so stay tuned to russia to get it and changed. it to. play play. play .
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