as little as five hundred dollars. unpunished. george martin coming to you live from moscow these are the top stories the british prime minister powers ahead with his arms c.e.o. pichon asia opening up the u.k.'s war arsenal to the nation surrounding china. there's still a chance of a truce says the special envoy to syria while u.s. congress hawks cozy up with syrian rebels and step up calls to supply them with arms. plus critics say spanish plans for a vegas style gambling empire to make money and jobs could actually end up boosting the sex industry more than the economy. now with the u.s.

elections coming up in of amber what's really on the minds of the american people are he's going to come and speaks to jim clifton c.e.o. of a company conducting opinion polls in the states this has sometimes pollsters are more in tune with the public and politicians. i'm sitting down with jim clifton the c.e.o. of gallup the organization that conducts opinion polls you know one hundred forty countries and that's where you go when you want to find out what americans think about some of the most important issues are pretty close to cliff thank you very much for joining me my pleasure seems clear about opinion polls is that it very much depends on the questions asked and with this regard there's something i'd like you to comment are i think are two different polls not by gallup first given the choice between israel conducting strikes on iran's nuclear program or the united

states and other world powers pursuing our negotiated solution with iran nearly seven out of ten americans choose diplomacy and there was another poll when the question was asked differently would they support a military action if there is evidence that they're building a weapon the majority said yes so there were two polls one we're going to do already said yes to war and another one or two already said yes to diplomacy. what do you think about that well. the wording of questions just mentioning norma some difference one of things that we've noticed is if you put the word freedom or free in a question it really changes its outcome it's also one of the reasons why special interest groups try to put the word free in their campaigns so like unions with that card check you know they're going to be called a free choice and. any time you put the word you are very powerful

and. in our questions if your question is do you believe that the people writing that question can make it come out any way they want i would say pretty much so what do you say goodbye to you ron. americans are not nearly as war aggressive as we were. a few years ago we have enormous. war fatigue now that's not really a positive for ron in the way that americans believe that iran has nuclear capabilities they believe that they're evil all that they want to do bad and all that kind of thing but americans really want to take a break from war this is what the polls say you know policymakers say they probably regularly i'll follow you know pork polls are imposing general i do you think a very negative. can stop a war that's a hell of

a question. you can't stop a war. i think it can play a role in stopping a war by the way when. president roosevelt so that we might have to take our boys to war against germany americans i mean overwhelmingly said no war and roosevelt went to war anyway so it's certainly a gallup poll and public opinion certainly didn't stop that war whether or not it causes just to pull out of iraq pull troops out of afghanistan i don't think the poll does that but like a lot of other. information i'm sure it plays a role you mentioned iraq in the run up to the iraq war gallup showed right before the war seventy two percent support among the americans and that's support was much

lower before the war was and now so there was a factor of rallying behind the leader what do you think of the facts and more on what the opinion polls on the leaders or the leaders on the opinion polls. sort of neither one what it is that is that americans are getting educated on what the crisis is so so in america only about twenty percent of americans follow the news like you and me and all those people that were in here a little while ago so when we're taking our polls like of possible war in iran you've got a whole bunch of americans aren't following it all up until it gets serious you seem to me so it's about spinning thing it's going to run the news gets there and i would say spinning as much as just advancing news for being a poll by gallup recently that you would look at and say oh boy why doesn't the government pay for it all to act according great. guy and i i roll around on the

floor i've had this same job for twenty four years but i roll around on the floor all the time i just look and say how how can you not how can you not see this. one is. there's about six million. businesses in the united states most all of them are small so what the government thinks is that the businesses aren't growing because the banks won't loan the money. that's a real important promise that they have so then they all say what are we going to do to get banks to loan there's a perfect example of not knowing what's on the minds of the people and then making stupid policies that make everything worse so we do a poll of the six million business and we say to him what's the biggest problem you have for growth they don't save they don't say getting money they can get money what they say is that they lack confidence in the economy because of the all the new regulations as far as foreign policy one of the places that i get concerned our

state department intelligence defense everybody we there's a huge black hole in that we're not very good at. at mathematically describing huge shifts of the will of civilizations of people others give an example right now if you were to ask the united states government to mathematically describe the relationship between muslims and the west so is a good little better it's got a little worse or stain about the same they're honest answer all of them is we don't know. how the hell do you manage relationships between i mean that's a really important. relationship as far as geopolitics for the united states goes russia goes everywhere it goes but they have

no math and so they don't know if it's getting a little bit better if it's getting a little bit worse but if you don't know that when you're making policies around it and making a stake in a state mistake then i think that you don't know is what's driving let's just say the suffering so let's take egypt we saw suffering rising very quickly beast before the revolution so you knew about it beforehand where the government was not being absolutely we as a group of leaders in the united states aren't very good with what i'm a call behavioral economics so we tend to deal with activities after they've happened rather than. earlier on the curve before they happen and see what we could have done is i mean let's say that you wanted. to help egypt i don't know if you want to help move barracks leadership or not but we could have said hey guys you better be careful that suffering is rising very very quickly who requests of her

words nobody. has to decide on the question we have a group of what we think are the best pollsters in the world employed here. and then we go out and and there's a whole bunch of very very good pollsters and behavioral economist at universities and then we go on to ask their opinions that you're to get a phone call from a government official saying thank you as the american people what they think about this and that very important issue. yes we know we get those all the time so i'm so we probably got i saw i was soon we got hundred we'll get hundreds of them this week and they also give the questions to ask you know we take it into consideration many questions are obviously biased and loaded and all that but then our analysts go into a room and they write what they believe to be a non-biased question other people pay us is polling

a business. it is for us. where does the money come from well actually. our clients we do proprietary work for fortune five hundred companies and what we're really good at is doing polls of their customers with huge samples and we help them build strategies so they can be more competitive what's their dynamic in terms of opinion polls as far as the economy among the american people i mean the way it was four years ago my rate is now well. of course we're going just fine and two thousand and seven first part of two thousand and eight then we crashed down and we've been down . but now it's coming back a little bit not a lot back you know but put that back a little bit by enough to when president obama next election i don't think quite

yet know. well we ask right now if you're to vote tonight who to vote for obama or romney and according to the gallup poll if we vote tonight romney will beat him because you know you may very well vote for romney but not for him you're just voting against the president but it is their survey what are the main reasons not to vote for the driver it's just strictly unemployment one reason i think just one reason as far as foreign policy. i think foreign policy plays no role at all right now i mean if it's something really big happened so israel bombs iran and we've got to back them up. i mean it will make a little bit of a difference but americans are a place right now they don't want to hear about foreign policy they should that they don't i mean they should be concerned about all of their same anough we don't hear about war we don't hear barney and we want to hear about how come my brother

in law and my sister in law and my sister my kids not only don't have work but they have no hope for a job we get up those unemployment real close to twenty percent in this country. not not eight point five at twenty because you know if i come over and mow your lawn and you pay me twenty dollars that department of labor statistics does not count me as an employed very few people know that so the number of employed is very very soft so there's one hundred fifty million people a lot work so i mean is it thirty million are out of work sixty percent of them tell gallup they have no hope for getting a job so that's eighteen million and that just puts a damper on voting. their president. there's two questions here do i think they should know do they yes thank you very much my pleasure.

you know sometimes you see a story and it seems so for like you think you understand it and then a glimpse something else and you hear or see some other part of it and realize that everything you thought you knew you don't know i'm sorry welcome to the big picture . coming. to the limited to just say.

has. come a. chance. if. i am coming. would be soon much brighter than if you moved from funds to pressure. these stunts on t.v. don't come.

the british prime minister a power to hang out with his arms sales pitch in asia opening up the u.k.'s war arsenal to the nation surrounding china. are still a chance of a truce as the special envoy to syria while u.s. congress hawks cozy up with syrian rebels and step up calls to supply them with arms. plus critics say spanish plans for a vegas style gambling empire has made money and jobs could actually kind of boosting the sex industry more than the economy. hi there andrea so sports have data is up next here on our team now it's a big day in russian football that's right hello marina we've the semifinals of the russian cups in the forward to today although they could bring back some bad

memories for one of the details in a second plus we've an interesting interview with boxing's bad boy there it cheers or. hello there this is the top and these are the headlines final bit bin are prepared to take on boulder being faced rostov on semi final stage in the russian cup. plus he's happy he's a little for grab their first win in five with a dramatic last minute when they're against blackburn. and fighting talk boxing is bad for you characters or talks about punching punditry and paki out of the band fight this speaks exclusively to our take. but first anonymous have the chance to reach their first russian cup final for thirteen years today they take on fellow premier league side boulder in the semi an arm of the favorites despite having won

only two of their last seven games their joint top scorer had been cut on year is also struggling a bit having netted only once in his last four and things but he will want to lay goes to rest the night after missing this sitter when the sides last met last summer could and he is expected to lead the line with underage bolton in boulder who were in the bottom half of the table. for that game is the second semifinal of the day the first sees the rubin face premier league strugglers rush of group b. looking to reach the final for the second time in three years. meanwhile in england a last minute goal by andy carroll gave ten man little poor three two victory over blackpool and he would part the red when similar things to a brace for a match you agree gets but then had standing people alexander doni sent off for a foul on junior followed replacing the goalie brad james save the resultant penalty but the striker went on to score twice to level the match only for carroll to nod in the wind at the death of his little post first win in five games and then

now eight from the table blackburn remain in the relegation zone election continues the leaders manchester united. her away relegation threatened we're going to manage this city who are eight points behind in second. struggling q.p.r. welton swanzy an arsenal could consolidate their the place with the win over wolves but ass in bangor is wary of the league support inside. it's overdue. look at the results in the premier league to how much of. the next. because you can focus. and you please drop points when you don't expect them to grow up with roots saw for us. it isn't called don't confront of course forward but is where. we have been more markedly consistent since towards one another for months and.

meanwhile over in spain pass alone and i just a point behind rionda trid after therefore no thrashing of guitar for at the nou camp alexis sanchez scoring twice on the night to meet the cattle and to within touching distance of very soon have a game in hand you know the results assume they kept up their europa league hopes of the wind over espanyol real sociedad three one one with reality bettis. every now and again football just produced a fairytale story and the french cup had seen minnows adjust from the third division reached the semifinals but their dream ended last night with a foreigner defeat to li on just the zero from corsica in lead one lead as montpellier in the quarter finals but the game turned in the thirty eighth minute when they had a man sent off anthony call in a red card for a final tackle and in the second half leon ran riot because that the got the first of a sound or a low person added another. i just hears resistance crumbled and climb on but only

a piled on the agony with a third ten minutes from time to miss the final goal say four nil to leon and in the final they will face either third division side of really or stand today he played the other semi on wednesday. and now the news f one supreme bernie ecclestone insists next week's bahrain grand prix will go ahead despite secure. concerns but the event could be scrapped in years to come however this weekend the focus to a grand prix in china and ferrari's twice former champion fernando alonso will be looking to stretch his lead at the top of the driver's standings in shanghai ispahani took top spot after a surprise victory at the malaysian grand prix last month the ferrari admit their car needs some improvement if the lawns a mystically keep his title hopes alive. i certainly more than expected but i wonder if i believe in the championship or the moment you know from the early interest community realise we've got quite

a few issues we need for our room everyone at the factory working hard that you know we've still got a long way to go now you probably answer yourself as a bit of a formula one driver as you speed down the motorway on the way home from work well seven times champ michael schumacher has taken time out to explain the finer points of just the f one steering wheel and it isn't exactly simple. as you can see it looks pretty colorful and it's pretty intense in terms of the function you have the most important function is physically right and left side. where you look at it and it is to keep it and go for it girl you have the button afterwards for the curse with allows you to sort of release eighty horsepower for ten seconds and that you find out you so afterwards you go on the mixture but there's a range in buttons that you can set the changes that you want to travel you discuss

up front. but you have it confirmed in case you want to come into the pit lane unexpected you pressed them the guys know immediately something is wrong he will come. and reset in order some mail function you can reset the steering wheel you have a reverse button if you use for the occasion you may have to and it's no big asian to have is going to be functioning great problems check clutch check and now we come to the center of groceries again and the other one is for the clutch as well before you go to the diameter of tires that you have available three different sized three different zero meters of pre-selected main menu button and two differential buttons plus obviously you shift and you can sure that you have two. so there you have it that finally we will end with boxing's bad boy gary is aware

that british heavy weights license was withdrawn in march after his public brawl with david kay although jurors nine told r.t. enjoy what he did or that anyone caught up with him in moscow. i'm standing at the top of a local. i mean. he's sure he's boxing skills in the ring becoming the british had to wait in twenty turn but more recently we've seen him out of control out of the ring pulling his controversial pre-fight slipped off italy and spitting in the younger brother space the michalis sports bad boy has finally caused derek to sora his career the twenty eight year old had his professional license withdrawn by the british boxing board of control this march after the last straw of his press conference brawl it didn't hate so what made you do it all will through the pressure all rounder more from hope.

oh i don't know maybe four or five it does for me. because i enjoy it more. unfortunately sorries no longer allowed king george being a professional boxer and one might be the first hear him in your role of bucks an analyst. and. come in for oil. everybody was. powerful. moved to be filibuster for smaller guys to move. so.

skilful skills. and while many still wonder why one of the most anticipated belts of recent years mayweather versus bucky easier to happen to stories sure why no will. because they make more money when people fear for. us so it's pointless. artsy. hi terry sure they're speaking to the point as ever so that's the sport for my win so i'm back with more. culture is that so much of the taxpayers' money lending institution is the particular area of rising and i think this is one way to describe china's truly

amazing ascent on the international stage but with success comes china. hasn't been anything good on t.v. . it is to get the maximum for medical impact. material is. journalism one reason. we wanted to visit. something. secret lover jury was to build a clue. about anything. to teach me. to care about humans this. is why you should care

only. this was the plant that was responsible for causing the world's worst industrial disaster and now it had been abandoned in a condition where it had become a source of pollution and the most recent study that was done shows that this water pollution and spreading. more than hundred thousand. more likely to be born with birth defects and children in the rest of the country. in the sea as little as five hundred dollars long in greece and the unpunished.