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tv   [untitled]    April 11, 2012 4:30am-5:00am EDT

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part of it and realize that everything you thought you. are the big picture. welcome back. here is a reminder of the top stories the british prime minister powers ahead with his arms sales pitch in asia opening up the u.k.'s war arsenal to the nation surrounding china. there's still chance of a truce the special envoy to syria while u.s. congress hawks cozy up with syrian rebels and step up calls to supply them with arms. plus critics say spanish plans for a vegas style gambling require to make money in jobs that actually kind of boosting
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the sex industry more. now let us elections coming up in november what's really on the minds of the american people are he's going to speak to jim clifton c.e.o. of a company conducting opinion polls in the states who says sometimes pollsters are more in tune with the public and politicians. i'm sitting down with jim clifton the c.e.o. of gallup the organization that conducts opinion polls you know one hundred forty countries and that's where you go when you want to find out what americans think about some of the most important issues of the day there's a quick thank you very much for joining me my pleasure seems clear about opinion polls is that it very much depends on the question is asked and with this regard there's something i'd like to kind of mark it were two different polls not by
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talent first they're going to choice between israel conducting strikes on iran's nuclear program the united states and other world powers pursuing i think oshie a good solution with iran nearly seven out of ten americans choose diplomacy and there was another poll when the question was asked differently would basic order military action if there is evidence that they were building a weapon the majority said yes so there were two polls one where the majority said yes to war and another one where they already said yes to diplomacy. what do you think about that. the wording of questions just makes an enormous amount of difference one of things that we've noticed is if you put the word freedom. or free in the question is it really changes its outcome that's also one of the reasons why special interest groups try to put the word free in their campaign so like unions with card check you know they're going to be called
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a free choice. anytime you put the words are very powerful. in our questions if your question is do you believe that the people writing that question can make it come out any way they want pretty much so what do your pearls say about iran. americans are not nearly as war aggressive as we were. a few years ago we have enormous. war fatigue now that's not really a positive for a run in the way that americans believe that iran has nuclear capabilities they believe that they're evolved and they want to do bad and all that kind of thing but americans really want to take a break from war this is what the polls say yeah policymakers they probably regularly follow your poll polls are imposing ten are all right i think
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a very negative poll can stop a war that's a hell of a question. you can't stop a war. i think it can play a role in stopping a lot more by the way when. president roosevelt so do we might have to take our boys to war against germany americans i mean overwhelmingly said no war and roosevelt went to war anyway so it's certainly a gallup poll and public opinion certainly didn't stop that war whether or not it causes just to pull out of iraq pull troops out of afghanistan i don't think the poll does that but like a lot of other. information i'm sure a pleasure. you mentioned iraq in the run up to the iraq war gallup trode right
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before the war seventy two percent support among the americans that support was much lower before the war was and now so there was a factor of rallying behind the leader what do you think a factor more on what the pm polls on the leaders or the leaders on the airplane are. sort of neither one what it is that is that americans are getting educated on what the crisis is so so in america only about twenty percent of americans follow the news like you and me and all those people that were in here a little while ago so when we're taking our polls like of a possible war in iraq you've got a whole bunch of americans aren't following it all up until it gets serious you see them and so it's about spinning thing it's one thing is gets there i would say spinning as much as just advancing those for being appalled by gallup recent data either way i look at it and say oh boy why doesn't the government pick the
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resulting took out of the back according great. guy and i roll around on the floor i've had this same job for twenty four years but i roll around on the floor all the time i just look and say how how can you how can you not see this. one is there's about six million. businesses in the united states almost all of them are small so what the government thinks is that the businesses aren't growing because the banks won't loan the money. that's a real important promise that they have so then they all say what are we going to do get banks to lot there's a perfect example of not knowing what's on the minds of the people and then making stupid policies that make everything worse so we do a poll of the six million businesses and we say to them what's the biggest problem you have for growth they don't say they don't say it getting money they can get money what they say is that they lack confidence in the economy because of the all
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the new regulations as far as foreign policy one of the places that i get concerned our state department intelligence defense everybody we there's a huge black hole. in that we were not very good at. mathematically describing huge shifts of the will of civilizations of people i'll just give an example right now if you were to ask the united states government to mathematically describe the relationship between muslims and the west. so he's getting a little better get a little worse or stand about the same. they're honest answer all of them is we don't know. how the hell do you manage relationships between i mean that's a really important. relationship as far as
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geopolitics for the united states goes russia goes everywhere it goes but they have no math and so they don't know if it's getting a little bit better it's getting a little bit worse but if you don't know that when you're making policies around it you make a mistake mistake a mistake there thing that you don't know is what's driving let's just say the suffering so let's take egypt we saw suffering rising very quickly before the revolution so you knew about it beforehand but the government was not going to handle it like we as a group of leaders and united states aren't very good with what i'm a call behavioral economics so we tend to deal with activities after they've happened rather than. earlier on the curve before they happen you see what we could have done is i mean let's say that you wanted. to help egypt i don't know if you want to help the barracks leadership or not but we could have said hey guys you
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better be careful that suffering is rising very very quickly who requests those clothes nobody. how do you decide on the questions we have a group of what we think are the best pollsters in the world employed here. and then we go out and and there's a whole bunch of very very good pollsters and behavioral economist at universities and then we go and ask their opinions deserve to get a phone call from a government official saying thank you as the american people what they think about this and that very important issue. yes. we know we get those all the time so i'm sort of probably got i saw i was saying we got hundreds or get hundreds of them this week. and they also give the questions to ask what you know we take it into consideration many questions are obviously biased a lot of not all that but there are analysts who go into a room and they write with they believe to be
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a non-biased question other people pay us is polling a business. it is for us. where does the money come from well actually. our clients we do proprietary work for fortune five hundred companies and what we're really good at is doing polls of their customers with huge samples and we help them build strategies so they can be more competitive what's the dynamic in terms of opinion polls as far as the economy among the american people i mean with the way it was four years ago our rate is now well. of course we were just fine until two thousand and seven first part of two thousand and eight then we then went crashing down and we've been down. but now it's coming back a little bit not a lot but back you know but put it back
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a little bit and after when president obama the next election i don't think quite yet. well we ask right now if you were to vote tonight who to vote for obama or romney and according to the gallup poll if we've got tonight romney will beat him because you know you may very well vote for romney but not for him it is fourteen against the president is there a survey what are the main reasons not to vote for the president at shish strickly unemployment. one reason i think just one reason let's parse foreign policy i think foreign policy plays no role at all right now i mean if something really big happens so israel bombs are ron and we've got to back him up. i mean some good will make a little bit of a difference but americans are a place right now they don't want to hear about foreign policy they should but they don't i mean they should be concerned about
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a lot of the same. we don't hear about war we don't hear danny and we want to hear about how come my brother in law and my sister in law and my sister my kids not only don't have work but they have no hope for a job we get up shows unemployment real close to twenty percent in this country. not eight point five it's twenty because you know if i come over and mow your lawn and you pay me twenty dollars that department of labor statistics does not count me as i'm employed very few people know that so the number of employed is very very soft so there's one hundred fifty million people that want work so that means that thirty million are out of work sixty percent of a gallant they have no hope for getting a job so that's eighteen million and that just puts a damper on all voting. their president. there's two questions or do i think they should. do they yes thank you very
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much my pleasure. i. saw. her in the tampa. this is truly still keeps it secrets but now it's time
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someone feels. the soviet files on r.t.c. . there hasn't been anything good on t.v. . it is to get the maximum political impact. before source material is what helps keep journalism honest we. we wanted to visit. something up.
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british prime minister powers ahead with his arms sales pitch in asia opening up the u.k.'s war arsenal to the nations in china. are still a chance of a truce says a special envoy to syria while u.s. congress hawks cozy up with syrian rebels and step up calls to supply them with arms. critics say spanish plans for a vegas style gambling empire to make money and jobs could actually end of boosting the sex industry more than the economy. i see what's happening in the world of sports with entry.
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hello there welcome to the sports and these are the headlines final bid in armor prepared to take on polgar and rule being face rostov on semifinals day in the russian cup. plus king county's happy is little paul grab their first win five with a dramatic last minute winner against blank verse. and fighting talk boxing's bad boy derek has already talked about punishing punditry and the band fight his speech the explosive late heartache. but first an hour more last go had the chance to reach their first russian cup final for thirteen years today they take on fellow premier league side volga in the same eastern arm of their favorites despite having won only two of their last seven games their joint top scorer kevin garnett is also struggling a bit having only netted once in his last four outings but he will want to lay a ghost to rest tonight after missing this sitter when the side's last last summer
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around here is expected to lead the line on very bottom in boulder who were in the bottom half of the table are unbeaten in fall back game is the second semifinal of the day the third sees the routine face premier league strugglers rostov will be looking to reach the final for the second time in three years. meanwhile in england a last minute goal by andy carroll gave ten man little paul a three two victory over black community would pass the reds went to kneel up thanks to a brace for maggie rodriguez that then had standing keeper xander down and sent off for a foul and junior for that choice cody brad jones then say goofy's subsequent penalty for the striker went on to score twice to level the match only for carroll not in the winner at the day it is liverpool's first victory by games and they are eighth in the table that could remain in the relegation zone and action continues. this evening leaders mention night in a relegation threatened we're going to city hall at eight points behind the second
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host west brom struggling q.p.r. wealth and swans a fine arsenal could consolidate their place with the green oval ball but ask is wary of the league's bottom side. its over. look at the results in the program true to how much every time the next game is sought by. because it is full because. you keep score points when you don't expect them to grow up with my favorites so for us. it is simple don't confront of course forward but it is where. we could be consistent since towards two and half months. but it's important we keep doing. well over in spain barcelona are now just a point behind reality for it after their four no freshie at the nou camp alexis
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sanchez scoring twice on the night to move the cattle and sit in touching distance of reality if you have a game in hand another result will sooner kept up their europa league hopes and the win over espanyol reality so she had three one one two three i'll bet it. every now and again does produce a fairytale story and the french cup had seen mineta jassi go from the third division reached the semifinals but their dream ended last night and the all in all defeat on just the zero from corsica had beaten league one leaders mournfully in the quarterfinals but the game turned into thirty eight i mean it when they went down to ten men anthony was red carded there for a violent tackle and in the second half leon ran riot because that they got the first their standard lopez tonight did another i mean this is crumbled to climb and get any eight piled on the agony with third ten minutes from the time before gomez added the final goal so for you all to leon and in the final they will face either third division side really will stand and they can play this and.
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in other news f one supremo bernie ecclestone insists next week's bahrain grand prix will go ahead despite security concerns but the event could be scrapped in years to come however this weekend it is the focus for the grand prix in china and ferrari's twice former champion fernando alonso will be looking to stretch his lead at the top of the driver's standings in shanghai ispahani took top spot after a surprise victory at the malaysian grand prix last month but ferrari needs improvement still. is to keep his title hopes alive. i certainly got mixed but. what i wonder i believe in the championship at the moment you know from the early testing you'll see realize we've got quite a few issues that we need to fort around everyone at the factory working hours that you know we've still got a long way to go. well you might fancy yourself as
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a bit of a formula one driver as you speed down the motorway on your way home from work well or seven times champ michael schumacher has taken time actually explain the finer points of just one steering wheel and it isn't exactly simple. as you can see it looks pretty colorful and it's pretty intense in terms of the function you have the most important function is physically right and left side. where you look at it and it is to keep it and go for it. well you have the boost but then afterwards for the cause with allows you to sort of release eighty was powerful ten seconds and that you find out you so afterwards you go on with the mixture and cold but those are the engine buttons that you can set. the changes that you want to travel you discuss up front the start button you have it confirmed in case you want to come into the pit lane unexpected you present them the guys know immediately
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something is wrong he will come see if he can reset research in order some mail function or you can reset the steve. you have a reverse button if you use for the occasionally you may have to and it's no big asian is going to be functioning great balance check clutch check and now we come to the center groceries again and the other one is for the clutch as well before you go buy a meter of files that you have available for a different size they have three different meters of pre-selected the main menu button and. plus obviously your shift and you close sure that you have to. at least the indicators to deal with now or boxing's bad boy characters or says he enjoyed his public brawl with david had the ugly incident so what is or lose his british boxing license in march and may never fight again but in an exclusive
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interview with r.t. the heavyweight had any regrets. i study i. know all. the things i think i have. he's sure his boxing skills in the ring becoming the british had only champion in twenty turn but more recently we've seen him out of control out of the ring pulling his controversial pre-fight slip off the telly. and spitting in the young klitschko brothers space the mitchell the sports bad boy has caused derek zora he's career the twenty eight year old had his professional license withdrawn by the british boxing board of control this march after the last straw press conference brawl with david haye still what made you do it all will susie essman pressure all rounder almost hopeless. oh i don't know maybe four or five for me.
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unfortunately she sorries no longer allowed king george being a professional boxer or feral might be the first you hear him in your role of bucks an analyst. for oil. money. if your pocket. come. through. all. of this. and while many still wonder why one of the most anticipated belts of
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recent years and the weather versus what you know is yet to happen the stories sure know will. be women for people to photo room. was pointless. but some might think running across that as it is a bit pointless to you but for taking part in the issue is the samples marathon it is the ultimate test of insurance and there are two competitors no one can catch in this at the moment the men's leader is more of p.t. he took his third victory from his many stages on choose day finishing the thirty five kilometer route in southern iraq into our was thirty five minutes. while chris is in crossing the line now while laurence kline completed a hat trick of stage wins in the women's race and remains on course defend her
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title that is here on the right and wednesday stage is just over eighteen pay all the ultramarathon just over two hundred fifty k. in total. so that brings us to the end of sport for the moment more as usual in two hours next day. well with the. technology innovation called the least of elements from around russia we. cover.
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the swiss the plant that was responsible for causing the world's worst industrial disaster and now it had been abandoned in a condition where it had become a source of pollution and the most recent study that was done shows that this water pollution spreading. more than a hundred thousand people in. groups working in the kitchen and see the children today are ten times more likely to be born with birth defects in children. in the sea as little as five hundred dollars. and. unpunished.
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home.
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