tv [untitled] May 22, 2012 6:30am-7:00am EDT
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being met with a. political consultant. the ongoing debt crisis in the eurozone is certainly drawing everybody's attention at the minute not just in europe but around the world and a lot of that attention from here in germany is being focused upon what is going to happen next with greece now to find out a little bit more about us i'm joined by john holzman who's the president and co-founder of john c.
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holzman enterprise a group which advises banks and hedge funds about where they should invest their money based on what's happening in the world politically john thank you very much for talking to us a pleasure to be here. well the global economy still hasn't recovered from the financial crisis of two thousand and eight would a potential exits of greece from the euro zone have a similar effect on the global economy is the full of lehman brothers did i think it could be worse than the lehmann thing it depends on how it's poundstone the worry at the moment is that as europeans dither as they fiddle while rome burns or in this case athens burns the problem is that a disorderly kind of exit would mean that the bond markets would turn immediately upon portugal and more importantly italy and spain if we get italy and spain game over if they've use this time to ring fence greece which was always the theory and if greece goes out but there's enough of a fund to protect the others recapitalize banking problems for italy and spain all
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will be well the problem is most of us think they haven't used this time to do anything except throw a plate in the air and hope it doesn't come back down if that's the case we could have an extendable moment in europe where europeans have to decide how much unity they want how much integration they want how much solidarity they're prepared to give up to save the euro or maybe the euro wasn't such a good idea in the first place no upload some analysts talking about say week until loop scenario that if greece was to go under then all eyes would start focusing on which was the next weakest economy and perhaps we could see some form of domino effect do you follow that policy as well but there could be contagion indeed because what we've done is stop believing that there is one rate in europe i mean what happened was these weaker southern countries less competitive countries to germany had a party for ten years because everyone said well it's a unified currency so the bond rate in germany is going to be pretty much the same as the pawn rate in athens well that theory is destroyed with what's happened in greece at the moment so now if we look individually at the parts of europe we see a number of very weak anna lopes limping along indeed and the problem is that
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countries like portugal which is in a similar spiral to greece ireland is different and i think would make it but really even france i mean could be considered part of the. to ation if you look at individual policies the markets are going to have very little tolerance for the reality that indeed this isn't germany the problem is that these countries want german standards of living in a german currency without german productivity now the british prime minister david cameron has warned the eurozone that it must make up all else it must break you align yourself with that philosophy i totally would agree with the prime minister because the problem was they set up a currency without having a country and it's like building a house from the attic down you don't get all the things like federal deposit insurance which means your banks are guaranteed you don't have a common policy where the european central bank can act like the fed and the lender of last resort you don't have all the things that make nations transfer money to weaker areas within countries just as a matter of course in study of germans grumbling about greeks who retire at fifty
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two and drink so you have greeks grumbling about germans having dick tod's forced upon them that's because these people are in the same boat rowing in the same direction that's the problem and so they created this weird push me pull you two headed monster they've either got to move forward to greater integration to save the euro or they've got to pull back and have less integration and go back to more a national model this mid-range view has really been failed and that's the theory that's fallen apart here well there was never actually any plan for countries to leave the euro zone when it was created it was always thought that countries would continue to keep on joining nobody would ever leave the club as it was on this is it i mean first the glaring overwhelming problem ninety percent of the people who do what i do ought to be fired because nobody thought this could even happen what a failure of intelligence that this wasn't even a possibility that sounds like a religion and not foreign policy to me what would likely happen would be there would be border controls there would be they would take your own notes close all the banks on a weekend not let anybody have any cash put stamps on it is the urgent argentinians
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didn't say these are now new drachma they would then refloat the drachma the drachma would lose between half and eighty percent of its value immediately there go as everyone's pension there goes everyone's life savings right there in the in a in an instant and then they would be more competitive and if they did labor market reform in ten to fifteen years all might be well that's the good scenario. the bad scenario in this case is that they don't do these reforms that they default the europeans refuse to back them up and pretty soon greece leaves not just the eurozone but perhaps the e.u. as well but on very angry terms feeling they were let down they didn't get solidarity they weren't backed up ultimately the problem at the moment is there's fatigue on both sides the germans have donor fatigue they're sick of paying for a greek system that just doesn't work and they don't want to pick for greeks to retire at fifty two when they retire at sixty seven perfectly understandable greeks in return say we're tired of been told what to do while everyone is losing their pension money anyway it's the politics of this that are creaking if you had enough time you could rebalance the north which actually consumed more in the south which
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did austerity but we don't have a spare fifteen years as you're rightly saying we have maybe it's all june but looking at greek bank deposit runs at the moment greeks are smart enough to pull their money out of the euro right now because they fear if they leave their money in a bank it could be drachma over a weekend and they live has to have their savings at a certain point this becomes a self-fulfilling prophecy and this is the danger we're not quite at a run yet but we're heading in that direction can we even make it to june and the election which might not work out but can we make it to june is the key question now there's still a very high percentage of greeks who want to remain within the euro around eighty cents of them. can greece remain in the euro zone without a hearing to the astaire if the plans come they have their cake and eat it now it's a fairy tale there are a lot of fairy tales wandering around here the german fairy tale is that everyone can do austerity without growth forever and that somehow their politics can survive we've seen that it can't i mean we've seen that in the french election even the dutch with a aaa rating are now talking about spending more money and violating the terms of
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their solemnly agreed fiscal compact agreements we've seen the greek elections i mean we've seen the italian elections and so the germans don't allow that politics matter and the greeks don't allow that economics matter and the problem with the system is that both of them are wrong there is no growth there there isn't you can't you don't just say gee i. i'd like to grow more who wouldn't the problem is that that means you have to do labor market reform you have to do pension reform and you have to work longer for fewer benefits that's not very popular right now and in return if you do that you get to keep more of your money in the long run because the bond markets leave you alone that's the brutal reality on one side on the other side of the germans never mention growth who would you are sturdy forever for no gain and that's also a very good question the problem is these are not questions that hit twenty years down the road these are hitting now and this is what the greek election is about is getting rid of these half truths and getting to reality greeks of taken around one billion euros out of their bank accounts over the past ten days following the
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elections could we see a similar situation happening in countries like spain like italy as people think well if greece is going to go to the drachma and they're going to have to lose a percentage of their wealth there and they get my money out of my domestic account and say put it in a count in germany where you can and in fact if you look at the bond yields which is the way to see if the bond yields are the temperature of the tells us how the patients doing if you look at the numbers in spain after the greek situation the bond yield has crept up despite all the austerity in the hallway is the new prime minister has done almost everything miracle would like and yet the bond number is now six point two five to six point three eight percent if it goes to about six point five you can't pay that for very long if it goes to seven game over so we're right on the edge of the precipice in spain they've got to recapitalize their banks as well they haven't even shown bank losses yet we all know that's a joke we know they've got massive bank losses and so the spanish situation is wobbling only because of the greek situation people are saying greece is out
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where's the next week and all up in the problems spain and italy is collectively they're too big to save and if that happens game over then look at somebody like the germans leaving and saying we're just not going to do this anymore and so the strains on the situation it's a house of cards that could very easily come down because we're dealing with human beings and as we've seen. in europe human beings make mistakes how close are we to seeing the the eurozone collapse completely in but europe tear itself apart and having to declare the euro is a failure by the end of the year will no i mean you know a lot of things that i do are very long term and that's why bad analysts survive frankly is because they can always say well things changed this is not and this is why this is making people nervous by december of this year will either be at a spot where greece is either in or been ring fenced and things in italy and spain are bearable the germans have given away a little bit on growth have said you have longer to do it a lot hasn't been an economic illiterate and hasn't cut the retirement age to fourteen or whatever number of picks but it's been serious about that there's no
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new spending but there's also no new draconian cuts i mean that that's the best case scenario and then europe trundles along but if it doesn't happen that way and that means everything has to go right which it hasn't up to now if it doesn't work that way by december greece is out in the recriminations begin i think you can see the death of europe as a geo political entity certainly is already very near the edge i mean what common policies do they have they don't agree on growth they don't agree on foreign policy they don't agree on defense policy that's not a common policy so let's stop talking about europe i do a lot with the rising powers and they say why there's so many europeans in the room at every meeting when we have six countries in the room or they were united or not and they look at each other and look at their shoes in the brazilians the indians the chinese that rightly don't get it now skeptics often point out that the the european elites in a in its bid to to save the united european project is driven not so much by economic goal political considerations but by
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a kind of ideological quasi religious fervor it is i've never heard a member of the european elite question any project that had to do with greater integration regardless of party they have an elite so out of touch with the reality of what their people are going through and what their people are about of all these people are skeptical increasingly skeptical and always. trees all over the place their populist movements rising and they can honestly say this is an elite that has never run a lemonade stand none of these people ever worked in the private sector they have no clue how business is run and they're not trying to mandate prosperity in heaven forever some very odd and this is the problem it is an irrational analytical decision it's a religious view and the problem is the markets are on to them and they see that the emperor is indeed not wearing any clothing at all so how follow the european elite willing in and how much are they able to try and save the european union are they willing to do anything yes if you ask people in brussels today what would they do in a perfect world which is the world they think they live and of course will mutual
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lies all the debts and we'll get rid of these silly german objections and of course will set up an integrated state run out of brussels where we regulate all the economies of the member states and of course will set common european taxes and regulations and of course if you say that to anyone outside of the immediate and suburbs of brussels they think you've lost your mind that's where the democratic deficit gets sent are they willing to do these things they are they know they're not able to do them though as younker the head of luxembourg said we know what needs to be done but can we be reelected if we do it that is the actual question and the answer is no the problem is although they want to do these things they are not able to do these things because they don't understand the market so i was at a meeting with senior european leaders and they said what discipline can keep us to doing the snow started laughing and they looked to me i said the markets guys the marks of guy you talk about all this stuff for the first time in thirty years why because you have to you have no choice and that's what's going to happen either they will manage the process or the process will manage them john hulsman thank you
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old free loading videos for your. free media. headlines on the student protests. in canada. leading to dozens of injuries hundreds of arrests it's all despite a recently introduced emergency law aimed at curbing the protests which many demonstrators have vowed to ignore. the law just. history. and the war in afghanistan by two thousand and fourteen but keeping a large presence in the country beyond the gathering was marked by thousands protesting against nato was being met with a heavy handed police response. comes
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under fire from british opposition politicians who warn it might spell disaster for the global economy. with the latest from the world of sport. hello there thanks for joining me and these are the headlines fight for the top vulgar a favorite to keep their russian prime elite status as the relegation play offs reached their climax last feeling the heat the rush hour begin their preparations in moscow for the euros as coach applecart looks to trim his watch and the game play in the beach joke of each to win the italian open and sound a warning to his rivals ahead abroad and carol. but first it is d.-day in the russian prime a league where the last two teams to be relegated will be decided in the final leg of the playoffs recall that circled retain their premier league status they take
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a three nearly into their final game machine week from division one ball is there a lesson to survive they travel to a second team in the court i had with a narrow two one advantage from that first leg. there are just seventeen days to go before the start of football's european championships and russia are preparing for a friendly with europe why on friday it's part of their build up although coach dick africa already has selection problems for paul fleet. it was the hottest day of the year in russia so far but the temperature rising told us thirty degrees below the deck of the countess feeling the heat more than most as he has a number of selection dilemma is ahead of him firstly has to finish scored down to twenty three players all he also has a number of questions concerning his teammates defense russia suffered a hammer blow on sunday after the news but experienced defender of silly but it will be ruled out of the euro two thousand and twelve championships after he's
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failed to recover from a fire injury and had courage to count the cats will be praying that his side doesn't pick up any more injuries especially in defense sides really besides problem position but as you'll see was a sure start of a national team who are not blessed with a number of great central defenders. affairs says it's up to the team to try and make up a bit if your skis loss says just think the camp is in good spirits at the moment it's only the start and there is a long way to go to manage to perform well then this will certainly help to live to see his move and we will certainly be supporting him all the way into the sea these absence opens the door for a number of new players. because of injury and one should all know when to fake blowing one place but no both are almost certain to be on the plane to poland possession is not just all deserved to be killed up earlier but now due to vassilis injury i have a great chance of making the euros i feel really sorry for massively as no one
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wants to pick up an injury at this time. there were only twenty four players on the training pitch today has paid for their team photo however that number is soon going to write to twenty five but marriage is mind of resisting pressure from his club sporting lisbon to stage a film an advertisement and arriving to join up with the russian national team squad. you know problems by him. who do decision to go in so those good i mean you must be quite pleased about it i want to show you what's going to russia or you showed a lot of jewels of over us as well as were good for all of us. that has to mean it's going to be your is it question applies to people and increased production is certainly on a scale of themselves a spot in the playing. richard please r.t. . let's have
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a quick look at where russia will be playing their opening group a match against the czechs on june the eighth it is the municipal stadium based in the western polish city of broad swath and can hold just under forty five thousand fans the design was inspired by chinese land itself is a thriving commercial center built on twelve islands which are connected by over one hundred bridges so there you go now if you're wondering what the school might be in russia look no further than this elephant seat are based opponents correctly predicted chelsea would be fine unique in the champions league final he apparently did it by picking up an apple which represented the blues and is now the official animal tips for the euros a low seater will have some way to go to match the predictive powers of paul the octopus he tipped eight winners at the twenty ten world cup. would see to have predicted my first french title thousands of their fans turned out to celebrate their unexpected triumph yesterday the party took place in the
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city's main square with players and staff called up on the stage to massive cheers from the crowd their success a huge achievement for montpellier who paid big spending paddy sanjay man to champion that title and they did it with nine homegrown players present. even dyed his hair and sported a make to mark the occasion. now this lead to tennis rafael nadal has. beating world number one novak djokovic for the second straight time to capture a record six italian open crime rain had delayed this match by twenty four hours but it didn't affect the spaniard who won it seven five six three while the sybian made finishing one unforced errors including a double fault on the last point to hand down his forty nine korea title along with a record twenty first masters crime victory also gives the spaniard enough points to overtake roger federer to second spot in the world rankings. i did things very well when i when i had the chance to. get the four months i did what i had to the
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fans yeah i think i run at my moments that day was really happy about my game and sure they were here on this. agreement to. finish the quaker system like this but there was now in other news the denver broncos have had their first real taste of new signing peyton manning the superstar quarterback showing no hint of a long term injury which had kept him out for a whole season manning join the broncos as a free agent after being released by the indianapolis colts off a not throwing a bone in twenty eleven but the nerve injury that sidelined emphasized long seems to being killed in the four time and the pay took part in a fast paced workout with his new team. this is one step in this kind of different phases you know training camp to be your next phase but little children preseason regular season so i'm kind of taking it one step at a time but i was excited for this day to get here before watching the film although
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we watch the film as well for us after this and learn from some good things you always do some things you can improve on we'll go from there now in the n.b.a. playoffs in the city thunder have beaten the l.a. lakers to reach the western conference finals one hundred sixty nine when on monday night giving them a four one series win and that sets up a clash with the top seed san antonio on sunday and the only game that. boston celtics beat philadelphia hundred one eighty five three dead best of seven series three random fast top scoring for the celtics with twenty seven points. it was just me taking advantage of my opportunity you know they've been doubling paul and we've got a few good players on the team they've got to focus on sort of me open tonight and i was able to shots in while the n.b.a. star come around to me is looking forward to his third in pick games the new york knicks forward will be a key player for the usa who won gold in beijing four years ago the americans have
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meddled in sixteen of their seventeen million pick appearances but the expectations are very high and when they won bronze in two thousand and four the team came in for heavy criticism so monthly you know use that gold can be that only golf. this is all it is and it's a blessing this is my third one believe it or not i was i was with team usa you know we was at the bottom you know when we want to bronze medal and you know everybody doubted we can do it in american basketball players going to play together too much too much pride and then we came back in a way that we deemed our self and put basketball put america back where needed to be from a basketball standpoint now which is you know we're just going over there trying to win a gold medal again well after the lympics the paralympics will take place in london with record attendance is predicted on this plenty of interest in russia with the british embassy working hard to promote the games in the country with more is the wrong course the rest. with the opening ceremony of the paralympic games only one
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hundred days away the british embassy in the russian capital staged a commemorative event in the ronald mcdonald sports center for kids with disabilities is just one of many such events organized by the u.k.'s diplomatic mission in russia we've been working very closely with a parliamentary committee we see them all this great pleasure. of visiting projects with schools and. recently and we have this event here today and we just want to make sure but. being the host for the paralympics to work closely with you will federation have the paralympic movement in russia has come a long way from the days when people with disabilities were practically shunned by society. and now they're viewed as top athletes in their own rights with some among the favorites to clinch podium places in london while the russians are largely unrivaled in the winter games other nations aren't in the summer paralympic sports
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city or company instead the competition and some sports is very strong because there are three times more participants than and unfortunately for various reasons fresher is not true present in every fan's china will be one of the favorites in london because of the strong government program and of course the hosts who will turn out in huge numbers but what we'll do our best to these young men and women could be russia's medal hopes for the teacher but eriksson young to compete at this year's summer games sporting glory could still lie ahead for them as interest at the paralympic box office continues to grow in. the upcoming sporting ixtapa galaxy promising to be one of the best extended history as according to the british that there were over one million tickets have already been sold that something's in the boxes around the russian which are very big sea salt in a couple of years or months off regards must all come out so we have time for for
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more news today violence has once again flared up. these are the images the world has been seeing from the streets of canada. the giant corporations are ruled today . you know sometimes you see a story and it seems so for langley you think you understand it and then you glimpse something else you hear or see some other part of it and realized everything you thought you knew you don't know i'm tom.
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