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tv   [untitled]    August 11, 2012 12:30pm-1:00pm EDT

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hello these are the top stories at r.t. today clashes in istanbul with protesters angry at hillary clinton's visit to promises another five and a half million dollars to the syrian rebels u.s. secretary of states in turkey to discuss plans for a syrian future without president assad meantime syria's rebels plan to fight back in key parts of the second city of aleppo but says the u.n. chief backs the observer mission to the country with a veteran algerian diplomat touted to replace kofi a man as the new u.n. arab league envoy. and the u.s. says it shows there's no nuclear weapon in the works yet but a leading paper reports that an israeli strike on iran could come before the u.s. presidential election and lead to a possible rift between the two our. next insight into how to keep the euro zone
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countries afloat by sending them their separate ways. today i'm at capital economics talking to roger bootle he's the head of the winning team in the wolfson prize which is the competition to find the least disruptive way for a country to exit the euro logical thanks very much for talking to us now this wealth in prize the competition why was it important to you to put together such a strong entry i was fascinated by the question that lord will some posed and as i thought about it i quickly became aware that no one of the really satisfactorily even i think attempted to answer is no i thought we could learn a lot as well as contributing quite a lot in trying to answer it and that's what we did and talk me through your winning entry very briefly country wanting to leave the euro must prepare
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a plan in secret among a very small group of senior ministers and officials pretty much as soon as the plan is agreed it must be enacted in order to prevent news leaking out the banks will have to be closed over the relevant period which is probably a week and during that period capital controls will be in place almost say the friday night it will be announced to the people of the departing country let's call it greece that from then on all the amounts that were in their bank accounts their pensions or whatever their wages prices which were formally expressed in euro's were now to be expressed in most and we suggest that the conversion rate between euro's and direct must be one for one now a lot of people get this mixed up they think well in that case what about the exchange rate on the exchanges there's no connection between the official conversion rate and what the drachma trades as and we're pretty sure it would trade
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at a much lower rate probably around one of the perhaps even two to one against the euro and then the banks open again on the monday. choose the people putting their cards into a.t.m. so they can get euro's out of their bank accounts which are now expressed in drachma thing only get those out at the exchange rate the rules now between euro's and drachma because now the euro is treated as a foreign currency and this really they're not going to have some coins available i think a lot of people have got fixated on that we argue it doesn't really matter for the overwhelming majority of transactions particularly business transactions they're done electronically anyway and people use cards debit cards and credit cards they continue to do all that only when they use them it's that they're actually transacting for small transactions that require cash then. greece carries on using euro's until new track when nodes are available but you raise the exchange
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rate at the new one on one parity with the with the drachma well what will tend to happen is that a price system will develop because people will know that. the same as euros although they've been converted to one to one rate they'll tend to be a different price for euro cash as compared to. credit or direct debit cards that will be to some extent messy but it will be perfectly practical there are a lot of countries in the world to do currency into pricing system and this all sounds very simple in times of in terms of will people using real money are there other complications that kind of macroeconomic level where there are huge complications and problems on one of the biggest is going to concern the legal position because what would happen at the point of the greece leaves the euro is it would read to nominate its debt its national debt into
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a drachma. now as far as domestic greek residents and. not going to have any come by that change is going to stand in on the great lauren green cause but we're going to be all sorts of contracts involving non greek citizens where there's going to be a lot of legal argy bargy because let's say a german credit for the sake of argument is not going to want his asset converted into drachma and he's going to argue that this contract was framed in euro's it should still be in euro's and in greece they're going to say oh it's now in drachma and so they're going to be arguments the courts could be heavily involved but the scope for that could also be reduced if euro zone governments reach an agreement on all this which i think they probably would then have to lay down guidelines under which. a contract would be interpreted and which occasions it could be in your rose and that would minimize the scope for legal argument the other major issue is not
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just complication it's a reality is that initially this is going to be very far from a magic wand when the drachma falls on the exchanges the price of goods and services in greece is going to go up possibly by quite a lot so initially living standards are going to be squeezed far from bringing relief to the order a great person it's actually going to make matters worse initially however going forward things are then completely transformed because in a flash greece is more competitive not grinding deflation they were to help it being years but instant pain is lee greece is forty or fifty or sixty percent more competitive than the demand for greek output is going to take off that doesn't happen overnight but in a matter of months that will happen greek exports will start to rise create imports will fall and that will generate employment and more income in greece so there's a trade off a difficult period to go through first of all in order to secure later greater
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prosperity so if you compare that situation to the austerity that the greeks are now facing which. would you say it's a better plan i think there's no doubt greece in my view needs to get out of the euro i cannot see any way in which this current policy of austerity is going to free any relief or slow the grinding process of trying to bring. takes years decades correct sort of a credit to greece is very true and what's more it raises the real value of debt to greece and the other we can members of the euro face not one key problem but to their own competitive cost some prices are out of line with other countries in the euro and they're also saddled with very high levels of debt the problem with domestic deflation is in principle but the very badly but in principle it deals with one of these problems namely the lack of competitiveness but at the cost of making the other problem debt even worse and what we're talking about is is
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countries not only greece but possibly other countries then leaving the euro off to that europe file seem to fear the breakup of the year is they not some kind of ahmed getting do you think that's where listing their well i think they're right to fear the breakup of the euro zone because. if greece for instance were to leave obviously we don't know how it would all work out suppose it's possible that the rest of the euro would then hang together but i doubt it i think if greece leaves before very long conses countries will leave as well where they end up probably with the peripheral countries possibly all five of them say portugal italy ireland greece and spain or outside the euro possibly even joined by france with some northern core remaining so in terms of thinking what might happen i think these people are absolutely right with regard to the consequences though i think they're completely wrong in the sense that you have to ask yourself when the leaders of europe have to all stem cells how can you imagine prosperity and stability for
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europe under the current setup one. is the mechanism through which countries of the moment malard in not just a recession but frankly a depression through which those countries can regain prosperity come across and stability i wish they could tell us something along because all i hear whenever they have a summit is they keep banging on about various forms of debt support and never about economic growth now i do think it's possible to imagine return to economic growth in the current setup by contrast the euro breaks i can imagine economic growth so far from being a disaster i think it could be the major step that leads to the restoration of growth in europe and was about these attempts to shore up the very same that we've seen recently another bailout for greece cheap money flooding international banks from the e.c.b. they going to have any effect well i suppose it's possible to keep the whole show
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on the road that way if the northern countries are prepared to carry on shoveling this money into the southern countries although i frankly i think that there will come a limited because eventually the sums involved are going to be absolutely enormous and voters in the northern countries will say we don't want all this but even if the continue traveling of money does take place which keeps the show on the road again that doesn't actually bring economic growth in the self all it's doing is preventing a financial collapse whereas these are countries that have undergone a very big drop in the output and have got huge levels of unemployment and is what we're seeing just purely a kind of fight between politics and economics is the reason that i'm going to market for example is so desperate to keep the year is a together because it's the major political project that germany has implemented over the last thirty years or say i think the politics of the economics are really very closely intertwined and it's often difficult to work out where one stops and
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the other begins. i think you have to appreciate that the european elites didn't have a pretty firm grasp. of the economics from the start now i think they're getting the economics completely wrong that's to say the opposition to the idea of their fear of the idea of euro break up isn't just about the politics they think that the economics point very strongly that way as well because they fear the financial chaos that would stem from the euro breakup and they don't see the benefits to economic growth so i think they are opposed on both economic and political grounds and we talk a lot about about the collapse of the year essentially but all through this the currency has been oddly resilient hasn't it only really winding down now from quite a decent race against the dollar what do you put that down to i think this is a really big puzzle quite why the euro has been so strong there are reasons that one can put forward or are not completely convinced by any of them but one thing
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the thing to bear in mind is foreign exchange markets are notoriously short sighted and the argument against the euro has always been that essentially it will collapse through the weight of its own contradictions as to when people turn on able to say world exchange markets tend not to like to bet on things like that you know something maybe next year maybe next month maybe in five years time it's not a really very solid thing to go on then there's also the question of what form the euro might take if it survives because if we could come true leave the eurozone arguably the euro's going to be a strong currency so very far from selling it if you thought that sort of breakup was going to happen you ought to be buying it if the euro does become a current seed that applies to many fewer countries will it still retain its attractiveness for investing or are we looking at a return to tell the gentleman nation for example oh i think that. could continue to be a very attractive currency indeed for many people it might be even more attractive
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if you could imagine what's going to happen is the departure of the weaker peripheral countries portugal italy holland greece and. perhaps even problems than the euro is as it were a greater dortch markets germany and it's close satellites and it's going to be around that car currency area very much as he will be the way that germany used to be right on to the doj mark accordingly i think investors will like that currency really very much thank you very much.
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had lunch marty clashes of istanbul with protesters angry at hillary clinton's visit who promises another five and a half million dollars to the syrian rebels the u.s. secretary of state in turkey to discuss plans for a syrian future without president or sad. meantime syria's rebels plan to fight back in key parts of the second city of aleppo says the u.n. chief backs the observer mission to the country with a veteran algerian diplomat touted to replace kofi annan as the new u.n. and arab league envoy in. the u.s. says it's rare and shows there's no nuclear weapon in the works she gets but a leading paper reports that an israeli strike on iran could come before the u.s. presidential election and lead to a possible rift between the two allies next in r.t.e. saturday sport.
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hello welcome to the latest sports news here the headlines golden girl you get here and i about retains her olympic gold as russia claims they want to make gymnastics . while gold will russia's gay kid young kid who sets a new olympic record in winning the men's fifty kilometer will. champions for the city to claim their biggest win over spartak in sixty three years with a five nil drubbing of their ten man rivals to stay unbeaten at the top of the russian premier league. so let's go straight to london where there have been even more medals for russia on day fifteen of the a limp eight games get it has become the first wrist make gymnast to win to a lead big all around titles the she defended her gold medal on stage in the twenty
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two year old posted the highest score in three of the four events two points ahead teammate that yes we need to have a new ball that's not all that reduced to groans all the each of us was delighted with her silver medal as a nineteen year old with only added to the russian team earlier this month because of an injury to alexander's book or the. can set a new olympic record in winning the men's fifty kilometer walk the russian broke away with ten kilometers to go and went on to win in three hours thirty five minutes and fifty nine seconds australia's jared talent match the silver medal he won in four years ago in beijing while china's playing this third round on the water you are the guy and alexander just turncoat won the gold in the men's two hundred meter kayak sprint battery six silver and great britain problems. while in women's basketball russia is taking on australia in the bronze medal game this is the third time in russia. has been in the olympics third place playoffs and have won the last two while australia where the runners up at previous olympics thirty
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eight thirty two australia at the moment. while there was a shock at wembley stadium where mexico won their first ever really big football gold at the expense of now three times silver medalist brazil two won how do you break that also killed the ball home inside thirty seconds after manchester united right back rafael was caught in possession twenty minutes from one another final thought from peralta was offside but the striker made no mistake five minutes later running in on mark to power after he had home his second from a free kick how could pull a goal back in a frantic stoppage time and new chelsea signing off headed over for five yards that mexico hung on for a famous and this victory won on friday russia clinched gold in the team synchronized swimming adding to their victory in the u.s. to complete their fourth successive and the big sweep of the medals russia's complex moves gained more marks than anyone else in both the technical and free routines and the team finished with a whopping one hundred ninety seven points out of
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a possible two hundred three points ahead of china and four of spain. does look the. other nervous but i think the point difference between ourselves and china tells the story you need to know who are the better team and of course we are delighted. you will know what while the world champion cathy on the same got to go to the women's her mother russian broke the olympic record with her first throw and then again with her fist at seventy eight point one eight meters. and russia also clinched their fourth gold medal in wrestling jamal it's also part of becoming the latest olympic champion after beating georgia's she gushed nearly two rounds to nail in the freestyle fifty five kilogram category denise to the ground in the seventy four and a grand division there are six more finals to be contested. while in the boxing ring if you go back on serve is russia's only hope for gold and is guaranteed a. silver after going through to the final of the light heavyweight division however three of his teammates had to settle for bronze flyweight world champion.
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lost in the semifinal as did light flyweight i had a pet yan and welterweight and uncovered and in the meantime russia's men are guaranteed at least as over in volleyball their ranks number two in the world and beat ball garia three sets to one who will face top seed brazil in the final however the best the men's basketball team could get is bronze after they lost to spain sixty seven points to fifty nine in their semifinal russian will now play argentina to decide the third place finishers and spain will take on top seeds the usa to decide the gold medal. haul in other news the usa won the women's four by one hundred meter relay in a new world record the quartet of tianna madison allyson felix bianca knight and tommy lee to jeter part time a fifty point eight two seconds shattering the previous best of forty one point three seven set by germany twenty seven years ago the jamaicans took silver with a national record of forty one point four one while ukraine two bronze tending
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champions russia failed to qualify for the final. while the bahamas spectacularly beat the usa to win the men's four by four hundred meter relay the americans were the hot favorites but the team of chris brown demetrius pinned michael materia and ramon miller edges them by point three three of a second to win in two minutes fifty six point seven two seconds trinidad and tobago clinched the before us. and in the meantime russia are targeting medals in the men's and women's events of the modern pentathlon which is celebrating one hundred years at the olympics and robert but i'm young but the sydney champion dimitris about russia's chances of a repeat performance in the. with a more than contestant advance at the london twelve summer olympics getting underway on saturday we're joined by the two thousand olympic champion russia's need to go skiing three things with him first of all do you think the sport has
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changed dramatically over the last twelve years and become more competitive with death was becoming tougher to bit simply tougher to bit. the last twelve years of the double change so much and two. major issues was changed during can last last years the first was the eevee united. running and shooting right now calling combined when its last event a result of all day and it will be the final final step for the four medals and the second one the worse a loss of peace so it will be very interesting and of course to the for last two years the. the us these four months is very interesting for t.v. force because haters for anybody and because we have absolutely always on expected result. yes for russia's chances we get those number one is soon and two time
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olympic champion under him we see if sounds very impressive. yes of course for the last. few olympics we got some medals of course the expect and some medals here and because good great athletic at least like you and they may say of two time olympic champion the up you're absolutely right and that was on there's a young generation who is there will be the next. olympic period by two thousand and sixteen two thousand and twenty and of course we expect good results expect just medals began during we see if is a very experienced effort yet while. he's making his olympic debut do think you go it takes to handle that psychological pressure on him for alexander of course and some pressure before lympics because he's a young people youngest at this usually of course in the morn there was before lympics there are the other which are on strike on the day that's a v expected in the. union of experience in the young
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as for the women's of and we've got the gear. and you can sit in the rest can i what do thing about their chances. the we have chances for some medals and. our p.t.o. will be. bronze medal very very bloody way to close to to get even goals will be good fans and right so it turns out that we can hope for gold medal in the mounds of and maybe probably bronze medal in the women's of brawn bronze yes but that's a podium but. they expect it's a combination of course that it will be anything what you want thank you dmitry thank you so much thank you. is the man who's already been there and done that and his prediction for russia sounds very good keeping my fingers crossed robert for the new m r t london.
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now into football and round should all cough struck twice as in a try out five nil a time to ten man sponsor moscow to maintain their one hundred percent record at the top of the russian premier league wasn't dominated an uneven battle of the needs top two with maksim conic off putting them head to quarter of an hour but the decisive action came in the second half of the me of the straw for maybe two nil off to fifty two minutes and then within ten crazy minutes the out believe that did not have a chance to pull it all back but missed his spot kick immediately made it three nil then a spotlight aiden mcgeady saw straight red for what seemed an innocuous challenge and that defies united for nil victory well assured shock of ramped up his brace up to the death as an eight and despotic one hundred percent record but kept their own to get three points clear at the top. while then he's pushing off missed a penalty in the seventh minute of stopping. time is locking my teeth were twice
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paid back in the first half and had to settle for a two two draw at home to promoted the line yet after long have sent up to seven minutes from time walter reich are currently hosting volga in the late game which one overhead. how funny to ice hockey where the russian on the twenty's thrashed canada six three and jaroslav all to tie their exhibition series and one or after losing the opening day three to the home side we're back with a vengeance after the sold out everywhere two thousand and local board curial cup which then sent the fans into a frenzy i scored three times we rushed to a sweet six three when the tournament next moved to how i fax in canada for the final two matches and the walls talked to use dave's applying to each other to commemorate the fortieth anniversary of the summit series between the u.s.s.r. canada russia are led to point foster rising young forward. and to the n.h.l. top draft pick says he's happy to be captain. of a few only pressure though it just sits where people sit for me being captain it
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was my dream and just spoiled me to win every game and. just. play hard work hard. and that's all from this was desk bike and. world. markets technology innovation all the developments from around russia we've got the future are very good.
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sigrid laboratory was able to build a new most sophisticated robot which fortunately doesn't sound anything tim's mission to teach creation why it should care about humans and world this is why you should watch only dot com.

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