about the production of fissile material the highly enriched uranium for a bomb or an actual deliverable weapon a deliverable weapon would take longer production of fissile material could you know within a few few months produce enough for for a bomb within a few months both in a few weeks americans will be heading to the polls to vote for a new u.s. president or keep the current one in the white house many believe that israel has seen this time as a window of opportunity to strike iran dragging the u.s. into a war is there still a threat that it would do so in the main remaining weeks i think the concern about a possible israeli strike was higher a few weeks ago the israelis are now dissolving their parliament and calling for new elections on january twenty second so this i think changes a lot of the previous calculation of people that thought the israeli government might act before the u.s.

elections i think now tend to believe wait until at least after u.s. elections if not actually after the the new israeli elections now opinions very acute you think iran has an intention to acquire a nuclear bomb i mean this is literally the sixty four thousand dollar question you know there's a pretty good read on what iran's capabilities in terms of uranium enrichment are the big question which i don't think anyone can give a highly confident answer to is does iran want a what people refer to as a threshold capability in other words it's ability to produce a nuclear weapon quite quickly or do they want an actual deployed weapon according to u.s. intelligence community and i think most other observers iran just hasn't made that decision in part because they don't need to and they want to get to that threshold capability before they make any decisions about whether to go to go farther than that threshold because there's no point making that decision early in fact it might be detected by western intelligence and so you could tip your hand before you get to that threshold so i thing. that decision hasn't been made you don't seem to be

putting the threat level of iran's nuclear program as high as some u.s. officials the republican candidates for example mitt romney and his vice presidential candidate paul ryan have been in past weeks essentially saying that iran is a. grave threat are they exaggerating at all with their rhetoric i don't think there's a tremendous amount of exaggeration that iran is a threat generally i mean you know the united states and iran have had a pretty hostile relationship for three decades actually more than three decades now they have you know had problematic relations in the gulf they've had conflict via proxies in iraq so i think it's not wrong to say iran is a threat the question is whether its nuclear program is a real threat to the united states at the present and it isn't that the present but the concern is as i said it could very quickly become a threat so let's go back to your report according to the findings an extended u.s.

military strike on iran's nuclear facilities whether alone or in concert with israel could set back iran's nuclear program for four years but it still would not guarantee that iran would not eventual acquire a nuclear bomb why is that it's because the technology iran already has some pieces and parts they need to acquire from overseas but unless you can guarantee that you can kill off everyone in iran that has knowledge of these programs and their ability to produce these basic components such as aluminum rotors you can't guarantee that that the program can never be restarted so you can destroy what they have now but their ability to rebuild that even if you can make it take a very long time to rebuild that's what can't be destroyed what kind of long term military commitment with the u.s. have to make to ensure that iran would never be able to build a nuclear bomb i mean it would be similar to what happened with iraq the only way to ensure a country does not acquire

a nuclear weapon is to is to forcibly change the regime and go in on the ground occupy yes that's the that's the only way to one hundred percent be sure that the current iranian regime never acquires a nuclear weapon so we're talking about a ten year war. what they. potentially could be iran is a larger country than both iraq and afghanistan combined so if you're talking about a war that would certainly be on that scale where there would be ten times harder not quite as hard who knows but it would be a very substantial military commitment should the u.s. be concerned about iran's unconventional war capabilities i think the united states is definitely be concerned about iran's unconventional war capabilities by its nature it's harder to sort of define what unconventional war capabilities are and you can count airplanes you can count missiles unconventional it's a little harder to judge but iran has a robust capability for unconventional war they have special operations forces they have kind destine services they have a variety of capabilities to conduct attacks without you know not in this sort of

typical military way at the end of the day is this really just a problem for israel iran possible determination of acquiring nuclear weapons or is this a problem for the u.s. as well i think it's a problem for the entire world i mean certainly the you know the entire world has has asked iran to clarify its intentions and it's taken steps i think it's a much bigger problem for israel than the united states if for no other reason than proximity in the size you know israel is a country of you know about the you know in terms of populations the size of new york city and geographically it's quite small it's quite close so i think it's a much bigger problem for israel that it is for the united states but that doesn't make it not a problem for the united states and the rest of the world how much would a war with iran cost the u.s. economy it's very difficult to tell but you know our estimates that even a modest war would would hurt the u.s. economy in part because it would drive up oil prices even a modest in terms of duration spike in oil prices you know the u.s.

recovery right now is quite fragile the world recovery is sort of stalled in places and making modest recovery in others so a big spike in oil prices even if it was only for a few weeks would certainly. damage the u.s. economy if it were for a longer extended commitment and big disruption in oil that it would be much more also to the global economy to the global economy and then there's the actual dollar figure to conduct military operations right in flying planes dropping bombs these things are are not incredibly expensive but neither are they cheap so it would it would there would be a it would be a substantial costly thing so i want to ask you a question that politicians always reject to answer does israel have nuclear weapons capacity it's something that the israelis have been opaque on by design throughout their history i think most outside observers would say that the israelis do have a nuclear weapons capacity even if it's one that's never really been deployed or tested and as you mentioned benjamin netanyahu has dissolved the parliament in

israel with new elections expected as in january february twenty second and what the how much do you think that will play into the israel iranian conflict i think i think this coming israeli elections will hinge heavily on on what to do about iran the netanyahu government will have some decisions to make they could be they could be very bold and take action as a caretaker government i think most observers don't think they will and in fact a lot of the campaign will be about what to do about the iranian nuclear program. so i think that's i think will be a huge issue in determining the future of israeli iranian relations so if israel has a stockpile of nuclear weapons as many have reported and iran has not even if you're on work to build one wouldn't that be somewhat of a deterrence policy in place why would israel consider still striking iran the belief is you know if both sides have nuclear weapons no no no

one side is going to be foolish enough to use them knowing they're going to face retaliation by the other side said by us soviet union the idea of mutually assured destruction i think the israelis are deeply uncomfortable with this because it doesn't take. hundreds of nuclear weapons to functionally destroy israel as i said israel's a very small country a handful of nuclear weapons maybe even only one nuclear weapon some people refer to israel as a one bomb country could do that the same damage it would require hundreds of nuclear weapons to do to a much larger country so i think their concern is why take any risk that maybe the current leadership in iran is completely rational but maybe a future one won't be why take any risk that there could be these kind of miscalculations in a confrontation so say there's a then israeli iranian equivalent of a cuban missile crisis say over hezbollah or syria and instead of ending in a in a sort of tense standoff that resolved peacefully as in the cuban missile crisis this one actually results in the exchange of nuclear weapons i think the israeli attitude is you know we have maintained all along we will not be the first country

to introduce nuclear weapons into the region we don't want anyone else to do so either because why take the risk you know when u.s. president barack obama was addressing the u.n. general assembly and he was speaking out i think iran has said time for negotiations is not unlimited what do you think he meant by that i mean it's you think that there is some kind of deadline a date that. i don't think there's a exact date but i do think that patience for negotiations particularly after the last round over the summer is sort of wearing thin the iranians put forward a proposal allegedly some of the iranians deny it some don't it's kind of tough to tell sometimes what the iranians are actually saying but the proposal would have called for the lifting of most sanctions in exchange for suspension of many of the more worrisome activities of the iranian nuclear program and the president said look we you know this isn't this isn't serious we're not going to remove everything that gives us leverage in exchange for these minor concessions so i think the

feeling is look we will give diplomacy all the time in the world if it's actually working but if it's just a way for the iranians to stall and by the way over the summer iran greatly increase the rate a. putting centrifuges into one of its enrichment plants so i think that's the feeling it's not that there's a specific date but if it looks like all the iranians are doing is using negotiations as a way to sort of buy time think that's when the president will say look we've given diplomacy you know all the time in the world it hasn't worked your report indicated that a u.s. military strike against iran would motivate the country to build a bomb if that is the case doesn't this threatening rhetoric coming from u.s. and israeli officials also cause damage i think the idea is to calibrate the threat and maybe the united states hasn't always done the best job but the idea is you know you apply all of these levers of persuasion sanctions the threat of military action to say look this isn't

a good path to go down let's find another path but you're absolutely right that if you you know if you're trying to convince somebody to do something or else you're going to carry out a threat you don't want to believe in you're going to carry out the threat anyway right because why would you ever agree to anything if you think you're going to be attacked anyway so it's it can be tricky you're right to calibrate that rhetoric that you know if you do x. we will do y. but if you don't do x. we won't do well dr austin long thank you very much for speaking with r.t. thanks very much as a great pleasure i. on the march under god these men and women are walking one of the longest and probably the loneliest road in the world they reenacting march into exile made by thousands of czarist russia. if i was here three hundred years ago i may have disappeared my

local lord i may have deserted from the army or a variety of other crimes the result was the same like my fellow prisoners around me i've got a long and very cold walk ahead into exile in siberia yet it took them years to get there summers and winters entire years a lot of people died on the way this group in the western siberian region of alms discovered they're living on the only surviving stretch of the original nine thousand kilometers of the siberian exiles track that's had no modern changes made to it have guinea discovered that he's descended from some of these exiles and decided to build a museum telling a story he and his re-enact is now receiving letters from all over the world to show them what it was like for these bloody good earnest it's scary to put the shackles on of course but it's interesting if we don't remember our history we will have no future. it's a monument to one of the restructures cruelest chapters. the city serves as the

capital of anticommunist white russian leader admiral culture shock in the civil war from one thousand nine hundred to nine hundred nineteen whilst in residence he lived here though the study of the man like the maintenance of this building has remained a taboo right up until the present day or we still receive hate mail saying that he hanged a lot of people and was famous for severe punishment it's all true but it was a time of civil war both sides were monstrously cruel it is sadly the theme of cruelty which links so. much of emphasis tree to the rest of russia's particularly of exile. or a criminal. if you. succeed.

it's. six. pts.

the headlines on odds the tear gas and petrol bombs and athens mother later a show of greek anger over u.n. force cuts this as germany says it wants more control of the various national budgets. as the international envoy to syria warns the conflict could set the whole middle east ablaze clashes break out across the border with lebanon. and in libya the former student of late colonel gadhafi is under attack again as x. rebels launch an assault on bunny walid leaving at least ten eleven people dead. let's get some sporting headlines there's mr you know neil you didn't it seems as though former the one is moving with the times well sort of yeah that's right there

are no women drivers in the sports yet there were five in history but none this year but i tell you what rory there are quite a lot of test drivers we're going to catch up with the latest in just a moment. thanks indeed for joining us this is sports today plenty to head over the next ten minutes including these stories and pretty. right on track we take a look at moscow's hopes of securing their first russian football championship and half a dozen years. storming start their own heralded pair of new zealander michael henry and spaniard our hundred calories claim the early lead a cult perth international. bar and find out why greek opinion is divided over an amateur football team's new sponsors. moscow will be

striving to return to the top of the russian premier league this weekend after the international break they said within a win of leader changi honest richard front porch reports belief couldn't be better in the army men's cup. it's been six years since its loss when the russian premier league title however this renewed hope to be only when we can finally end this drought to go into sunday's clash ruby just two points off the lead is on g m around couldn't be higher of the beaching bitter rival sponsor at mosco last time outs well we were really happy about what today's game especially because a spark tigers the biggest derby in in russia winning these games is always very important for us as as a team and for the supporters too so hopefully we can keep doing good and trying to to fight the first places despite a poor start of a season so this car had been an excellent run winning six games in a row it believe. run came to hold against nama moscow and to make matters worse

the only men had islands a go of sent off after the russian international lashonda luke will show the twenty two you. given a five game suspension and runs with says it was great to get back to winning ways again spark dark yeah now we're back on track again hopefully we can continue it this was good we important also for the first. serious global hope to have ceded to be our back from injury will be the last season's top scorer in the russian premier league hasn't played since the start of the studio a back injury and he's addition to his call to really containing the likes of. which arguably been the player of the season so far i'm going to continue between the posts could finally see serious. six year wait for russian football's biggest prize richard d'arcy. in other football news lots on the abraham of a child being named recipient of the international career award the golden foot for

twenty twelve the swedish striker receiving his accolade in monaco from another playing legend pelley possibly the greatest of them all from two thousand and three to twenty eleven abramovich won eight national league titles in a row with i actually went to enter a barcelona in milan the gong given to the thirty one year old peer after four months of online voting by football fans themselves only three others have received golden for awards in the past that eric cantor the former tears on for. the man who blew the whistle on lifted the lid on this year's italian football match fixing scandal has find a new job as a community coach with english premier league club and villa some only for arena was approached last november and offered two hundred thousand euro to influence the outcome of an italian cup match he reported the instant to police leading to the arrest of seventeen people the former roma defender was given an award at last year's ballon d'or ceremony but find himself without

a club the thirty year old delighted with his new opportunity with the village this is. it's not only that but unity for me but for my whole family i have always dreamed. i've come in here to england i don't hide it because it has the most beautiful football at the moment for me it's a dream to be here are some of the steady and to see the support of us from below makes me very emotional all them so much. it's been yet another week to forget for lance armstrong as the fallout from the u.s. anti-doping agency's accusations of drug abuse continue to reverberate the former cyclist stepping down as the chairman of the live strong cancer charity on wednesday armstrong form the foundation following his own successful battle with the illness sports manufacturer nike also a nice there to sever ties with the pleats saying there's insurmountable evidence he misled the company for a decade meanwhile betsy andreu whose husband frankie ruled with armstrong in the u.s. postal team says they became victims of

a smear campaign after testifying against the forty one year old. who used to have him. here. then oral perth international golf tournament which is taking place in western australia has seen two on heralded players leaving after the opening round michael hendry on hunger all come a series of spain the men of the summer come a series karting back to back birdies three times are on the course for this effort on the seventeenth took him to seven under hendry made eight birdies to match the kiwi argentina's and we are no grillo ended the day just one behind the leaders following a six under par sixty six paul casey is alongside following a trend under johnson on five under they also seek a share of the two million u.s. dollar price on. basketball with houston rockets point guard germy lin has the smith's concerns over

his knee injury the twenty four year old missed the end of last season with the new york knicks because of the problem but insists he'll be fighting fit when the rockets begin their n.b.a. campaign against detroit on holiday. i'm not sure it's just that before too. early on it was you know a little. bit whatever and now it's like you know no it's very much better every single day. you know we're just building up in a week maybe two weeks or something like. you know i'm feeling great right now so i'm a. really good. the opening up of formula one to women seems to have moved forward a gear twenty nine year old from scotland joining a handful of ladies test driving the speed machines on the biggest motor sports stage of all susie wolf here pushing the f w thirty three to the limit stone britton join that williams f one team in april as a development driver after completing practice time with the simulator she was

a finally able to nab some genuine track time this week are currently no women driving i try to inform her one and only five in total in the sports seventy two year history. going along the hanger straight the first time pulling through the gears that energy force and speed against you it's it's really incredible it's a fantastic car to drive and it was emotional i've spent a long time preparing for this the it's been a long time dreaming of this day and finally it's here i think the team did a fantastic job to prepare me for it and you really gated me through. this morning so far and hopefully now we can put some sticks on and try again in the afternoon and finally one football team in greece has come up with a novel way of getting around the country's economic turmoil. to be sponsored by two local praful the decision has caused controversy as you can imagine with the organizers banning the logos during matches saying it violates the sporting ideal and is on suitable for on the rate supporters the emblems of the erotica soon as

house of history appear in the pink shirts the team and indeed of course other squads throughout the country seek to find new ways to finance themselves amid drastic government cuts where some say they're more likely. it is simply a case of falseness levy go up with ms they advertise sports betting firms very slaughter in sports betting games what are these aren't they gambling and these brothers sponsors you bothers them and get it it's a false sense of outrage hypocrisy. that is all your sport for love c s. what will change when america picks its president amid muslim rage walking the iran tightrope pushing china and russia as occupy anger spreads the two parties still dictate will there be change to

a selection of clothes guys every day for our team beginning of tolar twenty second you know sometimes you see a story and it seems so for lengthly you think you understand it and then you glimpse something else you hear or see some other part of it and realized everything you thought you knew you don't know i'm trying hard welcome to the big picture. the gold fever. trance thousands into slaves to my father but also among brothers involved in the monsoon and since i started working in amman i stayed here to look at it and feel multinationals. make it a cash cow to be milked dry and if i think that in this country is gold medal logie as an environmental cost which is unacceptable to local business was labelled

illegal and controlled by criminals people in order to protect our lives our families and to work in piece of. news almost that we are forced to pay protection to illegal groups watch prices colombia going to pay. the people. the modest effect on r.t. . it was the strangest attempt of a military takeover. of. the us president trying to overthrow a foreign country's government but his strategic games must. recognized its defeat. the. question is if cuba managed to cope with its victory in all. the cuban missile crisis games in reality it all to.

me is eve's. team. six. wealthy british. markets. find out what's really happening to the global economy with max cause or for

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