pends on whether you're talking about the production of fissile material the highly enriched uranium for a bomb or an actual deliverable weapon a deliverable weapon would take longer production of fissile material could you know within a few few months produce enough or for a bomb within a few months both in a few weeks americans will be heading to the polls to vote for a new u.s. president or keep the current one in the white house many believe that israel has seen this time as a window of opportunity to strike iran dragging the u.s. into a war is there still a threat that it would do so in the main remaining weeks i think the concern about a possible israeli strike was higher a few weeks ago the israelis are now dissolving their parliament and calling for new elections on january twenty second so this i think changes a lot of the previous calculation of people that thought the israeli government

might act before the u.s. elections i think now tend to believe wait until at least after u.s. elections if not actually after the the new israeli elections now opinions very do you think iran has an intention to acquire a nuclear bomb i mean this is literally the sixty four thousand dollar question you know there's a pretty good read on what iran's capabilities in terms of uranium enrichment are the big question which i don't think anyone can give a highly confident answer to is does iran want a what people refer to as a threshold capability in other words its ability to produce a nuclear weapon likely or do they want an actual deployed weapon according to u.s. intelligence community and i think most other observers iran just hasn't made that decision in part because they don't need to and they want to get to that threshold capability before they make any decisions about whether to go to go farther than that threshold because there's no point making that decision early in fact it might be detected by western intelligence and so you could tip your hand. before you get

to that threshold so i think that decision has been made you don't seem to be putting the threat level of iran's nuclear program as high as some u.s. officials the republican candidates for example mitt romney and his vice presidential candidate paul ryan have been in past weeks essentially saying that iran is a major grave threat are they exaggerating at all with their rhetoric i don't think there's a tremendous amount of exaggeration that iran is a threat generally i mean you know the united states and iran have had a pretty hostile relationship for three decades actually more than three decades now they have you know had problematic relations in the gulf they've had conflict via proxies in iraq so i think it's not wrong to say iran is a threat the question is whether its nuclear program is a real threat to the united states at the present and it isn't at the present but the concern is as i said it could very quickly become a threat so let's go back to your report according to the findings an extended u.s.

military strike on iran's nuclear facilities whether alone or in concert with israel could set back iran's nuclear program for four years but it still would not guarantee that iran would not eventual acquire a nuclear bomb why is that it's because the technology iran already has some pieces and parts they need to acquire from overseas but unless you can guarantee that you can kill off everyone in iran that has knowledge of these programs and their ability to produce these basic components such as aluminum rotors you can't guarantee that that the program can never be restarted so you can destroy what they have now but their ability to rebuild that even if you can make it take a very long time to rebuild that's what can't be destroyed what kind of long term military commitment with the u.s. have to make to ensure that iran would never be able to build a nuclear bomb i mean it would be similar to what happened with the. the only way

to ensure a country does not acquire a nuclear weapon is to is to forcibly change the regime and go in on the ground occupy yes that's the that's the only way to one hundred percent be sure that the current iranian regime never acquires a nuclear weapon so we're talking about a ten year war. what they. potentially could be iran is a larger country than both iraq and afghanistan combined so if you're talking about a war that would certainly be on that scale where there would be ten times harder not quite as hard who knows but it would be a very substantial military commitment should the u.s. be concerned about iran's unconventional war capabilities i think the united states is definitely be concerned about iran's unconventional war capabilities by its nature it's harder to sort of define what unconventional war capabilities are and you can count airplanes you can count missiles unconventional it's a little harder to judge but iran has a robust capability for unconventional war they have special operations forces they have kindest and services they have a variety of capabilities to conduct attacks without you know not in this sort of

typical military way at the end of the day is this really just a problem for israel iran possible determination of acquiring nuclear weapons or is this a problem for the u.s. as well i think it's a problem for the entire world i mean certainly the you know the entire world has has asked iran to clarify its intentions and has taken steps i think it's a much bigger problem for israel than the united states if for no other reason than proximity in the skies you know israel is a country of you know about the you know in terms of populations the size of new york city and geographically it's quite small it's quite close so i think it's a much bigger problem for israel that it is for the united states but that doesn't make it not a problem for the united states and the rest of the world how much would a war with iran cost the u.s. economy it's very difficult to tell but you know our estimates that even a modest war would would hurt the u.s. economy in part because it would drive up oil prices even a modest in terms of duration spike in oil prices you know the u.s.

recovery right now is quite fragile the world recovery is sort of stalled in places . making modest recovery in others so a big spike in oil prices even if it was only for a few weeks would certainly. damage the u.s. economy if it were a longer extended commitment and big disruption in oil then it would be much more also to the global economy to the global economy and then there's the actual dollar figure to conduct military operations right in flying planes dropping bombs these things are are not incredibly expensive but neither are they cheap so it would it would there would be a it would be a substantial costly thing so i want to ask you a question that politicians always reject to answer does israel have nuclear weapons capacity it's something that the israelis have been opaque on by design throughout their history i think most outside observers would say that the israelis do have a nuclear weapons capacity even if it's one that's never really been deployed or tested and as you mentioned benjamin netanyahu has dissolved the parliament in

israel with new elections expected as in january february twenty second and what the how much do you think that will play into the israel iran in conflict i think i think this coming israeli elections will hinge heavily on on what to do about iran the netanyahu government will have some decisions to make they could be they could be very bold and take action as a caretaker government i think most observers don't think they will and in fact a lot of the campaign will be about what to do about the iranian nuclear program. so i think that's i think will be a huge issue in determining the future of israeli iranian relations so if israel has a stockpile of nuclear weapons as many have reported and iran has not even if you're on board to build one wouldn't that be somewhat of a deterrence policy in place why would israel consider still striking iran the belief is you know if both sides have nuclear weapons no no no

one side is going to be foolish enough to use them knowing they're going to face retaliation by the other side said about us soviet union the idea of mutually assured destruction i think the israelis are deeply uncomfortable with this because it doesn't take. hundreds of nuclear weapons to functionally destroy israel as i said israel's a very small country a handful of nuclear weapons maybe even only one nuclear weapon some people refer to israel as a one bomb country could do the same damage it would require hundreds of nuclear weapons to do to a much larger country so i think their concern is why take any risk that maybe the current leadership in iran is completely rational but maybe a future one won't be why take any risk that there could be these kind of miscalculations in a confrontation so say there's a then israeli iranian equivalent of a cuban missile crisis say over hezbollah or syria and instead of ending in a in a sort of tense standoff that resolved peacefully as in the cuban missile crisis this one actually results in the exchange of nuclear weapons think the israeli

attitude is you know we have maintained all along we will not be the first country to introduce nuclear weapons into the region we don't want anyone else to do so either because why take the risk you know when u.s. president barack obama was addressing the u.n. general assembly and he was speaking out i think iran he said time for negotiations is not unlimited what do you think he meant by that i mean it's you think that there is some kind of deadline a date that. i don't think there's an exact date but i do think that patience for negotiations particularly after the last round over the summer is sort of wearing thin the iranians put forward a proposal allegedly some of the iranians deny it some don't it's kind of tough to tell sometimes what the iranians are actually saying but the proposal would have called for the lifting of most sanctions in exchange for suspension of many of the more worrisome activities of the iranian nuclear program and the president said look we you know this isn't this isn't serious we're not going to remove everything

that gives us leverage in exchange for these minor concessions so i think the feeling is look we will give diplomacy all the time in the world if it's actually working but if it's just a way for the iranians to stall and by the way over the summer iran greatly increase the radio. putting centrifuges into one of its enrichment plants so i think that's the feeling it's not that there's a specific date but if it looks like all the iranians are doing is using negotiations as a way to sort of buy time i think that's when the president will say look we've given diplomacy you know all the time in the world it hasn't worked here report indicated that a u.s. military strike against iran would motivate the country to build a bomb if that is the case doesn't this threatening rhetoric coming from u.s. and israeli officials also cause damage i think the idea is to calibrate the threat and maybe the united states hasn't always done the best job but the idea is you know you apply all of these levers of persuasion sanctions the threat of military

action to say look this isn't a good path to go down let's find another path but you're absolutely right that if you you know if you're trying to convince somebody to do something or else you're going to carry out a threat you don't want to believe in you're going to carry out the threat anyway right because why would you ever agree to anything if you think you're going to be attacked anyway so it's it can be tricky you're right to calibrate that rhetoric that you know if you do x. we will do y. but if you don't do x. we won't do well dr austin long thank you very much for speaking with r.t. thanks very much as a great pleasure i. will do the. science technology innovation all the latest developments from around russia we've got the future covered wealthy british style.

market why not. scandal. find out what's really happening to the global economy with max cause or for a no holds barred look at the global financial headlines tune in to cause a report on. what's the strangest attempt of a military takeover of. the u.s. president trying to overthrow a foreign country's government but his strategic game was lost. and america recognized its defeat. the question is if cuba managed to cope with its victory all don't talk to all body to get off. i leave you think you are you go but the rajab out there live. the cuban missile crisis games and reality t.v.

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on our team. more news today violence is once again flared up. these are the images the world has been seeing from the streets of canada. trying operation to rule the day.

the headlines on all see a state of disarray and leave is nato banks revolt brings more fighting on fatality with the mule source is still unable to bring the country together again after the killing of a kind of codell pay. the russian company roll snaps is one step closer to becoming the walls and leading oil producer as the board of b.p. reportedly greenlights one of the biggest about energy deals. comp loss and by reid's capital kills a speedball including a top security at the show bottom protests about across the country and politicians say the syrian conflict is spilling out of the border. and all the latest in sports

coming up next with andrew. time to catch up on the sport is what's coming up on the double michelle bernard called strikes twice for talk radio as they sing basement side ask you must be released in the k h l. club strike alive but our moscow missed top score and money on a mini kerry for that crucial trip to russian prime league leaders angie. wall how cool and kara lanka suffers a shock defeat as the last remaining russian goes out of the crimean cup. but we will start with that you were told p.t.i. are back to winning ways are braced for me calvin arc of number five freeway in the least after winning four games in a row torpedo had lost the last thing coming into this match but started well enough in the katherine denise. open the score early on but after moby least

instantly responded stanislav to makea and that's the spirit of putting down to one up however it was a real see saw for goals and when the no call for his for the sides were tied great by the end of the very top leader then crept in front in the second frame thanks to a legacy of the city have and are no sealed victory with the second in the final period say five three the wind pushed. their way in these days fifty seven matches there up to fifty in the western conference while often to be the state bottom of the gates. another game few hundred seems don't join us with death in a row yet one annoying goal for their at home to f.t.p. meek. and she was sis from alexander's duels and a pavel datsyuk to go help see a scar over the year. now after being. international break action regimes in the

russian premier league today but sparks top scorer emmanuel m n e k will miss his side's trip to table toppers and she the capital club will also miss our limited feel that aiden mcgeady while and she will look to go five points clear of tea iska moscow at the top after the two sitting side grabbed a lead for the first time in their history last month i maintain their position with a two no victory at the narmer a fortnight ago spartak are sick but should they win they could go level on points with the plates terek. look elsewhere defending champions any welcome in the form of band well you might expect golds between class and their land near their respective strikers you are obviously and the need a miracle have netted nine times in eleven periods is a far this season and top of the league's goal scoring chart. meanwhile in london said to have john terry begins his fall much bana misses chelsea's lunchtime darby

at tottenham spurs manager under to be a spoiler space is his former club for the first time later champions manchester city go to inform west brom's with manager roberto mancini foote of praise for the baggage bookies boss steve clarke. to dream because you do very good job and you know in these moment to do that there was a branch is the best team that played the best food one more also for us would be a tougher game now the russian women's football team are just two games away from equality for qualifying for their first major tournament in three years they've gone to austria for the first leg of their play off on sunday with the winner going through to next year's european championships in sweden which i'm paul feig caught up with some of the plays both on and off the pitch. you could put it in your lane i have been friends since childhood of a footballing careers have taken very similar parts so it was no surprise for they

ended up as roommates but it might not be five star accommodation provides police on their minds ahead of such a big game yet we aren't nervous going into the game we are fully relaxed and ready to go out onto the field and get the victory that we need that is in the group stages who played against italy between didn't put in a good performance and we lost a game elsewhere in qualifying menage to beat the mess noonan's very comfortably. we drew our last match against poland but the game against austria will be a real test but we must win we have been preparing very hard for this encounter yelena force about becoming a model before she decided to pursue a career in football however the twenty seven year old is now one of the mainstays of her country's defense meanwhile you could get enough fancied herself as a hairdresser but she hasn't had a chance yet as her circuit career has taken center stage after a friend of hers employed as her to play almost two decades ago when i was younger i would always play football with the boys they were shocked at first that

a girl could play so well but now things have obviously changed my friends are really happy when i am playing and if the game is on television they will call me to congratulate me and say well done the players are well looked after at their training base which also hosts a number of other national teams from different sports and russia has none of the luxury that the russian men's team enjoy has faced in the best five star hotels in the world however the women's game is not professional in russia meaning that the girls can concentrate on getting better and better. more and more people are starting to watch women's food bill in russia but if i'm being honest i would like if more people took up an interest in our game when we play abroad we simply notice how the home crowd supports their country and the lift it gives them they will fill out whole stadiums it's completely the opposite in russia with perhaps a couple of exceptions who. the market would give brew well and lots of people come to support us you could even really an hour or two of the more experienced members of russia scared they'll be hoping to help their country new heights over the next

week russia's women's football team will play one of the most important games in years as rating austria very look to qualify for their first major finals in four years but once football is growing in popularity in russia the women do manage to qualify for the european championships in sweden in two thousand and thirteen but will only help to boost the popularity of the game richard d'arcy moscow. and now let's switch to telus because the last remaining russian maria kirilenko has crashed out in the quarter finals of the kremlin cup following a straight sets defeat by sweden to fear arvidson lanka was seeded seventh at the home top but the twenty five year old said she played later said that she was ill after committing twice as many unforced there is this her opponent to bow out six three six three and next up for the unseeded is former world number one caroline wozniacki the dane lost in slovak is dominique a supporter of a sixty seven six six one in just over two hours. while the top seed some stones

will play another former world number one and are a fan of it after both enjoyed comfortable wins. elsewhere him got their first win in basketball surely they hung on for a narrow eighty six eighty five victory over rionda drilled in russia he had lost their opening game in group a but made up for it with an improbable win against reale in front of their home fans in the moscow region the russians were looking comfortable in the third period and at one stage where eighteen points ahead however but he hour went on a sixteen point run in the final frame and just came up short in the final seconds when rudi fernandez here mr floater hanging on there for an hour eighty six eighty five victory. for team we were up a lot of the. i mean i wish you would have kept their lead but it's good to win especially at home especially for your early reviews which were that. another match

is found about a top group at the moment after they beat you need a limp here for their second win from two games so you gotta sleep group say after getting the better of their armani also have one hundred percent record on the dual who got their first win and that could match against olympiakos. now moto g.p. last week's winner in japan dani pedrosa looks on course to further cut the gap to overall leader renzo after dominating practice ahead of sunday's crunch malaysian grand prix but roeser extended his rich vein of form to clocked the fastest time of the day in the dry morning session as the top riders sat out the afternoon run because of heavy rain at the supplying circuit city time moto g.p. runner up edge his honda teammate and outgoing champion casey stoner and put rosa also put more pressure on that a spaniard to renzo who was the quickest the twenty ten winner is just twenty eight points clear at the top with a take of seventy five available from the last three races of the season. while.

his crashed out of the rally eviscerate his citron hit a rock on the second day of the season's penultimate race and his finished teammate and took full advantage to end the day fifteen seconds clear at the top of the time sheets however has little to worry about after securing his record nine straight world title with victory at his home rally of france early this month in the thirty eight year old plans to take part in these favorite rallies next year. now there's a new face at the top of the leaderboard at gold's gladly classic and again it is someone he's fighting to keep his tour card for next season india's arjun atwal had a spectacular sixty three in georgia to take a one shot lead at the halfway stage he needs a big women just two tones left to be sure of qualifying for the p.g.a. tour next season overnight leader mark dawson who is also in the same boat faded badly and is seven shots back however davis love the third here did show some fall

his sixty six puts him within a shot of the lead along with jim few rick who was tied with him in second. wallin destroyed a couple of spectacular eagles to argentina. port calls to stay on the pain tool as the twenty two year old rookie took a four shot lead at the halfway stage of the perth international. came from a bunker at the par five. one impressive and even more impressive show hundred yards back into the night another team birdies helped by five hundred sixty seven to move a step closer to his mate in a tie for. they would go for with stars from other sports have also been taking a few swings for the greatest olympian of all time michael phelps among the biggest attractions at the world celebrity tournament in china this week great players joined by the likes of local. and legendary brazil strike as the two time world

cup winning. play while walking between the home. and that's. what it. want to run. your business on the offensive. stuff. actually close to the twenty second. wealthy british style.

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