speak your language. programs and documentaries in arabic in school here. in the world talk to the p.r. people interview treat the story tell you. the. arabic for a visit or a big. welcome to the kaiser report imax kaiser that it is going out the trends are reversed saying the sands are shifting all signs that the four horsemen of the bond apocalypse are riding into town and when they arrive all that you thought you knew to be true will in fact be false house prices always rise false

bonds are safe investments false gold money false your toilet will flush when you push the handle that's completely false all things that were true are false when the bought apocalypse arrives stacey max for decades we've lived in a world where bond prices have been rising and commodity prices were declining however as the crisis hit the crisis hit once that started to reverse and we see in all of our headlines today. the fundamental nature of all the world around us is changing due to these reverse in trends of prices. swiper take twilit as u.s. homes with plumbing ebb amid the worst recession since the great depression pilfering cut the number of u.s. homes with complete plumbing by about ten point four percent from two thousand and

eight to two thousand and eleven according to a us census data compiled by bloomberg that reverse the five decade trend the decay of housing adds another office a call to recovery and rust belt cities already beset by crime and poverty so there max are now three million homes in america with no plumbing at all that's about two point two percent of the stock in some cities like detroit nineteen percent of homes have no plumbing twenty four percent in gary indiana because it's all been stripped but they're just cell phones no plumbing no indoor plumbing but they do have cell phones where they can access virtual games and they can invest in virtual property on second life or some virtual environment and use a virtual toilet in virtual space but the analog space of reality is crashing the cause of this is that the metal in a typical urban home is worth one thousand to one thousand five hundred dollars a fraction of the cost of course to repair the damage caused by ripping out the

pipes and it cost tens of thousands to fix and in fact they interview a woman in baltimore who had who had installed in that house that she was renovating a two hundred forty dollar water meter it was stolen within hours and the person sold it for five bucks right there central planners say that there's tons of gold around to create a gold standard so we're going to keep flooding the market with paper money that's driving the cost of metals copper zinc gold silver and platinum played him to all time a store of ties forcing people to steal it out of their very plumbing. so for getting a ham sandwich when all they could simply do to reverse all that was recognize gold as a currency and go back to a gold standard people would stop selling their plumbing stop putting in a bag and throwing it over their neighbor's fence and they would have an economy based on sound money but that's not going to happen because that would require the bondholders and the banks to recognize losses on their balance sheet which means

that guys like j.p. morgan and goal and lloyd blankfein and and hester here at r.b.s. here in the u.k. would have to be recognized as charlatans as as as as financial wizards you know there are just there they would have to come to reality but they know where people would rather stay in a virtual world of course we've had globalization over the past few decades thanks to these rising bond prices and falling commodity prices now the other trend has been that declining wages. now that hasn't reversed certainly in america they are increasing in china and places like that but part of the reason why many americans didn't notice their declining wages since one thousand nine hundred seventy one when the us went off the gold standard is that food prices have continued to fall and fall fall so it always made up a left lower and lower percentage of the average household expenditure now according to john gapper of the financial times perils of supermarket cost cutting

machines the switching of horsemeat for beef is a spectacular signal that a limit has been reached so he talks about the declining prices that the supermarkets have been good in one way and we've never quite known what spent in these ready meals but now he's saying this crisis is showing that we're we've hit a tipping point the trend is reversing because this changed in two thousand and seven to two thousand and eight the decline in prices with the first of several commodity price shocks the us use of agricultural products for fuel raise the prices of corn palm oil and oil and markets felt the pressure of emerging economies growing demand for meat china's per capita consumption of meat has risen four fold since one nine hundred sixty s. so again trends are reversing things are changing right the cost of food was going down along with wages as america was subsidizing the corn industry using paper

money and blocking out foreign corn sellers from competing so it's right now it's a competitive but it's reached association point they can't subsidize the corn or the cotton any longer so prices are reversing a forty year trend prices are now starting to move up and but there's no wage increase so that's the very definition of disenfranchisement or impoverishment and of course the food stamp levels of never but i are poverty rates have never been higher people can't afford to buy food anymore mcdonald's just reported that their earnings are suffering because people. can't even afford a one dollar happy meal at mcdonald's any more desk luxury the food stamp usage went from about eleven percent at the beginning of the crisis and it's now a one thousand and a half percent in america so people are relying on food stamps to eat but the other trend as you talked about is the squeezed middle and this is the other trend that john gapper in the financial times sees is that the middle has been so squeezed and you see that in the inequality numbers one hundred twenty something percent of all

of the wealth created since the crisis began one hundred twenty something percent has gone to the top one percent meaning the bottom ninety nine percent have actually lost since the crisis began and they've gained even more so this is the other element that he says is in the food supply system the middle has been squeezed the most vulnerable he said the u.s. auto industry once dealt with suppliers in a similar fashion squeezing them so heavily that the product deteriorated and the makers went bust tricky though it is to forge relationships with suppliers in a world where customers demand low prices the food industry does not have a good alternative so again we've squeezed the middle we squeeze the incomes but that's what the oligarchs have been left with now so america is a clapped out country has like it's a disaster zone because the middle has been so squeezed and yeah sure the top one percent have some money to and they have indoor plumbing but the rest of it is not producing any well for anybody or the average person has been demanding lower

prices instead of higher wages but now it's too late those wages are never coming back jobs are being replaced by machines and robots there is no job replacement that's ever going to come back and meanwhile the banks are continuing to pay themselves huge bonuses by engineering things like the merger of u.s. airlines or american airlines all this will do is create a noncompetitive airline bahamut which will mean prices go up again but the bankers will make a lot of money it destroys competence. and once again they get pay the justice department the answer but awfully department whoever's in charge of that these days should not allow something left to go through because it destroys competition destroys the economy makes of less stuff safe without competition the safety standards go down so the more plane crashes but people don't care about that anymore that they just watch him on t.v. for amusement well he notes that here in this article john gapper does in the

financial times that the same situation has happened to the food industry there used to be mom and pop shops all over the place little fruit and vege markets all over the place and now there's just a few behemoths of food delivery mechanism their price their profit margin has maintained throughout this crisis like this where competition yes there is no competition where as come you know because we know costs have come up and people are able to afford less we know they've had to cut prices where it's come from is the farmer because quote the farmer is a price taker with little power in the market there is a limit to how far you can get by squeezing suppliers time and time again says justin shared a global strategist at rabaa bank who believes that food suppliers need to have stronger links like in asia like in japan he says the that the food supply system is a lot different from what here where the middle is squeezed and squeezed the farmer squeezed to death but the mythology of the farmer persists in america you don't join the super bowl the annual big football match they had an advertisement that he

shared and god created the farmer you know on the seventh or eighth day and they were celebrating the farmer in america and what they fail to mention is that on the day after god created genetically modified seeds of monsanto and farmers around the world are committing suicide i think that's what they should have mentioned that indian farmers and american farmers slitting their throats because of monsanto patent terrorist was and enter into the food chain monetising sea in a way that has created poverty and obesity. and corn being injected into products of coca-cola so you have this woman who drank coca-cola to death and now called me el partially liable for that death and rightfully so because a part of a concerted effort by the corporations and bankers to create a basically a hole of cost of the consumer so what is underlying all of this of course the most important ingredient in all of it is the bond prices and in the yields we saw last

week bond prices in the u k. fell by four percent in one day yes i predicted on the show yeah so you are going to go up and this is when everything people are still holding on for they're holding on to their tracker rates on their mortgages which are now going up so they'll be homeless they're holding onto their tracker rates they're holding on to their delusions which are far more important those are much much much more dangerous to the global economy and to your survival is that if you hold on to those solutions for to a little bit too long if you don't have gold or silver for example because you're holding on to this illusion that ben bernanke he's chilean dollar coins might one day rescue you and so you can go back to how it used to be and when you all those goods at tesco in supermarkets across the world are going down that would be fine but feds stine banks could be smacked by bursting bond bubble banks could be walloped by a bursting bond bubble cautions federal reserve governor jeremy stein banks warn in

a recent speech in st louis maybe especially at risk from losses because they typically hold a higher portion of long term bonds which suffer the most when interest rates are you know the bond apocalypse is similar to what happens when you throw a rock into a house of mirrors and what i mean by this is that all the banks are pop the king bonds with each other to finance the creation of new bonds are sold to another bank that's catered that bond to be sold to a third bank a fourth bank in for night and daisy chain of fraud with h.s.b.c. barclays r.b.s. lloyds j.p. morgan goldman sachs b.n.p. they're part of a daisy chain of fraud a house of mirrors of rehab off occasion where there is no collateral buttressing any of these bonds whatsoever they hold in their books for one hundred cents on the dollar they're worth zero cents on the dollar the bomb apocalypse is upon us these bonds are to be marked down to zero not by government edict what should be the case if there was a functioning government represent the government but by the by archilochus which

means that suddenly the shot is. wired i predict that once china or i should say james records predicts once china and now says that they have four thousand tons of gold and they are talking about a gold back room in b. this will be the trigger that starts the cascade of bond pocalypse resulting in interest rates in the u.k. and us around the world going up three four five six percent in a week i stay sober thanks so much for being on the kaiser apart thank you max stay tuned for the second half i'll be speaking to former energy regulator chris coke.

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welcome back to the kaiser report imax keyser time now to turn to former energy market regulator chris rock chris welcome to the class report good to meet you again all right well chris you have written something for asia times called gas

diplomacy time for iran tell us about it right well gas diplomacy is in my view we've gone quite far enough with all of diplomacy i think it's time for energy diplomacy generally diplomacy what is the tableau missing. diplomacy is also being called germany i suppose basically the american. right to the american empire is based on the dollar not so much you know people don't understand that america has an environment that they resist the label they say we don't have an empire we're just minding our business over here and in between mexico and canada but the dollar the defacto world reserve currency in places like iran and elsewhere is banned really and their means for imperialism yes absolutely my close and writes well on this subject wrote about had germany and that's precisely what we've got the petro dollar of the deal between the saudis and the us going. way way back was you know we keep you in power say the u.s. we buy your dollar don't say the saudis ok it's all going back to going from

a dollar stand up to gas diplomacy in iran so we move from dollar gas or not talk about how this gas the whole issue right where where where this where this comes from is the thought that basically energy is neutral. if you go back to the cold war the russians were reliably supplying gas into western europe right through the cold war and the west were paying for it no matter that they were proxy wars going on all over the world that was the deal also you had the woods time when khomeini was in power for nine hundred seventy nine nineteen ninety three what were the iranians doing they were selling oil to israel via marc rich i'm saying that energy actually transcends all idiology that has been the case and i think in the future there is a solution to be found to the current problems by let's call it energy cooperation people even the lions in the gazelles when they go down to the waterhole you know they don't kill each other at that point to me energy of the modern water i'll get

when you talk about gas diplomacy and we're talking about dollar diplomacy but it's not about we think it's important to make a distinction between oil diplomacy and gas yep diplomacy so gas you know you have a few years of effort but gas you have russia iran yeah those are three big three gas players in the world so you're saying that at this time but what about the embargo happening in iran i mean they have this huge embargo but what how does that factor into this gas diplomacy well in my view gas is the new all i talk about transition through gas if you like the possibility of a new framework for energy. pricing a new framework for energy cooperation more to the point because i think what's needed and i was a conference recently quite an interesting one with people like richard perle and john hannah not. you know quite hawkish and they were saying look the

needs to be some new elements in the negotiations we can't just keep offering the iranians some spare parts for their bowings but isn't going to cut it in the negotiations right now the. e.u. told us here the kaiser report you were talking about inflation in iran the price of chicken's doubled in a week you were there yes and they're in the reale is really hyper inflation almost i mean is collapsing and again these these are tremendous pressure being born in iran presumably because of this standoff with the other mideast player israel so you're suggesting that this gas diplomacy is somehow going to usurp this tension between these two that economics will trump what's going on there and it's all just rhetoric you know how does this how does this play out i'm hearing two different things here well the. worst since i was there is gone over forty thousand was

a mere thirty something families and rails to the dollar so iran is being squeezed to death so how is that the diplomatic well's i do i put my boot on your throat like a plumber see to some extent their own worst enemy because they are you know the problem they've got with they subsidize. oil and gas and products and energy to a massive extent and they do it by printing rails i'm saying that maybe there's another way of doing this that maybe they could put the price the domestic price up to the global price not just a gas but you know any carbon fuel and then compensate the population with the units all prepaid units redeemable in payment to return a bill in payment for gas in other words they could monetize gas because that is the basis of accuracy because gas in oil one other many countries they just get people and your statement yes based on energy saving as alaska yeah but they pay it macs. currency this is my point i'm saying a currency needs backing gold is one backing i believe energy is another i think

the gold is a very useful backing for what i call the the clearing of credit the credit clearing when it comes to long term investment it's not i think gold doesn't work so well because essentially what you're doing is you burying the gold into the ground for the period of the loan you know us some promise of this discussion as it is to be upgraded some of this isn't about gas diplomacy this is about a gas back currency is over saying that's what it will lead to deploy more diplomatic relations and well there's a bigger picture it's even that yet yes i advocate a gas currency absolutely i think that will be the global reserve currency of the future if you will show that's a remarkable statement because no one else is saying this but i know you're a designer of exchange you're a former regulator you're an insider anything this is doable and you think it's preferable it's completely doable i mean if you're the chinese and you get the choice between units redeemable in payment for another piece of paper and use redeemable in payment for something that you use like gas what are you going to go

for i think the chinese will fall over themselves the japanese will fall over themselves for a gas currency as opposed to you know more dollars well the russians are going to love this idea it means that they're really asked play are they going to have as i do anything i swear i should buy so much gold they're the biggest gold buyer in the world right now well miss a the thing that money system and i paraphrase here yeah sucks well they're buying gold in preference to dollars and i can't say i blame them and they're right the iranians are being paid in gold and i can't say i like them either because they but what choice of they got so all these routes through gas through oil through gold all of them suggest that the us dollar is global reserve currency is heading to its end game yeah but what's the alternative it's a lot about it but that's what i believe but as you say i'm the first one to say mike's right but how close are we now to discount because the debts that are based on. dollars are not being paid and whether it's austerity in the u.k.

to promote growth or printing up food stamps in america to promote. neither is able to offset the alive bill it is of having so much debt and we're heading into debt or a bond collapse bond bubble even you know the mysterious money managers in the world now are shorting bonds as far as getting rid of those bonds burst so the dollar whether it's politically manage a way to something else or whether a collapse comes we're we're heading to a post dollar world i agree without there will be a postal a will but i mean don't forget there's two things one is the dollar is currency is the other which is a dollar is units of account because you can exchange things by reference to the dollar even if you don't settle in the dollar amounts what i can see happening if as i point out maybe a gas currency would work maybe a gold currency would with many possible currencies max and they depend upon people's accepting them you know the basis of a currency is its acceptance by the use it yes but the thing with the dollar as we

saw in iraq is if saddam hussein wants to start trading oil in euros he get blown up if libya is dishonest talking about a pan african currency backed by gold then he ends up getting you know murdered in afghanistan and around the region and iran starts talking about oil trading in something other than dollars there's a sanction going i'm sorry much i have to i have to interject at that point and say well. it's not what you trade in it's what you do with the proceeds that was the deal with the saudis the saudis said yes we will price in dollars and we'll use the dollars to actually buy your bombs or whatever it is but you know if you trade him we will credit facilities that go along with lending all this money to do development and to trade oil and gas and the energy industry makes j.p. morgan goldman sachs and wall street fabulously wealthy and that is the credit side of the business not extortion. anguishing the bills of receipt is what makes these guys wealthy in that they're backed by the pentagon nor backed by jets and by the

come in your country and blow them up i'm not argue with that max i'm just saying that you know you can price in euros and in a millisecond you've got dollars or you can price in dollars and in a millisecond you've got your rights what matters is not what you price in but where the proceeds go that's my point you know ok well we i disagree because i would say what matters is your ability to float a lot of credit and make and make a rent seeking play on the global economy that's what the american dollar imperium is all about i'm not disagreeing with that i'm just saying that the units of accounts in the unit of currency and borrowing are two different things all right let's talk about venezuela has recently devalued its currency by over thirty percent saudi arabia has slashed oil production by eight hundred thousand barrels a day. what's going on these two oil producers don't have anything to do with declining energy imports into america there's a quite a lot going on the question. there is well you know the saudis have been shipping oil to the u.s. for instance but in my view that has to do with the the if you like prepay

contracts that they were involved with there's no reason other than. contracts why this alyosha going to the u.s. it would be better off going east venezuela well i mean they had a big refinery which they shut down have answer in some in the virgin islands i mean i don't want to get into all the refinery mechanics but the essentially cheap oil really cheap oil in canada and in the bakken all the shallow that's been produced that is really cheap can't be shipped out of the middle of the u.s. the refiners inland. making money like it's going to fashion because they've got cheap oil but the petrol is being priced desire it's coming from brant you know they're making out like bandits on that but what happens is that the venezuelans haven't been able to sell as much to the u.s. as they used to hence the events are refined a shirt so they're made there yet it's about. with the chinese big time but the chinese don't pay well it's one of the devaluation in about as well the now you

have like procter colgate palmolive business there it is said we're going to lose on twenty million dollars so this is a ripple effect throughout the world and this is people are devaluing now this seems to be back in the fore and what's the well i think the deal event is whether mark sees the basically chavez has been paying money big time spending money big time all about oil wealth that's been coming in is being spent you know i know we save it you know it's not going into a sovereign wealth fund being spent where does that go it goes to inflation the least the devaluation etc etc so you know that's where that's coming from in my opinion also they have the cheapest gasoline in the world so what do they do they waste it quality you know it's just like tear out let me tell you it's just probably. about three times more expensive than venezuela but where that has to go in my view but it's my point that you put the prices up to the global price compensate the poppy population with gasoline to ritzy you know basically carbon

fuel currency because that. can all in-flight in price that is backed by the intrinsic value of energy max all right chris thanks so much for being on the kaiser report my pleasure max upon us going to do it for this edition of the kaiser report with me max kaiser and stacy herbert other things like those chris kirk if you like to contact us you can e-mail us at kaiser report r t t v dot or you or tweet us a kaiser report next time ask. well . it's technology innovation all the developments from around russia we've got the future covered. new year's celebrations on the move without the traditional t.v. or festive food surprising meetings and new adventures stories of love and love

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