i thought of is that indeed cities grow more rapidly and urbanization happens as incomes increase and so in some countries and particularly in sub-saharan africa we've witnessed a phenomena in which people move to cities because the conditions in the countryside are to their conflict or drought and so they're moving to cities in a situation where their income is an increasing but that doesn't mean their situation isn't improving relative to where they were they were in dire straits in the countryside and came to the city so urbanization is not correlate it with increases in income but it doesn't mean that it's causing their situation to cure i heard you say that many cities are now. prepared for the kind of and the flocks of new residents and their planning. making planning changes only after the occupants have arrived rather than before as was the case with let's say new york or barcelona in the nineteenth century. and that in your view leads to the

proliferation of slums i wonder if you consider slums a kind of c.d.'s in the in the broad sense of the world i think the sense of. kind of the mythologies of how urbanization fits into an economy was generally the notion that as urbanization increases societies become richer and that people coming to cities would often come particularly poor people and say in a slow as a way station on their way to becoming integrated into the city but no we're finding that in many african countries this is the third generation of families living in the same slum and they're not integrating into the society and so and slums are increasingly according to u.n. data in most african cities it's a majority of the population indeed lives in slums without a set of patient facilities and often without clean water as you said before that moving into a bigger city it does not necessarily mean that doesn't mean at all that your life

fortunes are going to worsen but i think. at least here in russia we associate living in a city with higher living standards down in the countryside high levels of hygiene high levels of health care but from what i understand of living in very high downs communities like slums without proper access to health care are sometimes felt knocks us to health care at all what actually increases your likelihood of contracting disease it sure. is that do we understand at this point how those communities even function how do they address those kind of challenges you know not extremely well for example. one of the issues that i can measure of tension too is the provision of said taishan and one reason i did is that in sub-saharan africa for the past twenty five years which has probably been

their most rapid period of economic growth there's been almost no improvement in access to urban said haitian it's forty percent of the population has access so when you have figures that low the evidence suggests that no one benefits from the provision if you increase from forty to forty two no one benefits because you still have people desiccated in ellie's and you still have feces everywhere and so the sense of the health effects of something like that could be extraordinary and then if you compound that with many african cities are in dire straits already and there urbanization rates are at some of the highest levels ever so you're compounding a problem that's already severe with an influx that. could create really nothing short of the catastrophe i think well i think in the one of your peers or do you describe it as a looming catastrophe on our hands do you think. the world community at large is well aware of what's going on i don't think why not i don't know i think there is

attention to it but i think things like sanitation it's a topic that a government official wants to discuss it. something that you don't get a lot of ribbon cuttings for opening up a new sewer system you know that you would with redesigning the bolshoi or something like that. that's one conjecture about why that's the case but frankly i don't know but there is don't let me overstate it there is attention to it but i don't think the resources correspond to the need the argument that is often used to persuade donor countries to. provide resources for that kind of effort is the theory for migration if you don't want people coming into your cities you need found some money on making bad lives more livable do you think that's a persuasive argument. and it's one that as you say it's i think. a myth that's been held by many officials in. public officials and indeed

international agencies that the sense that you can prevent people from coming to the cities i know in some countries they in fact subsidize people to take a bus back to the countryside and they get on the bus and they go back and visit their relatives and then come back to the city and so it goes to my earlier point the one the way you were to queue laid it is cities throughout history have offered bright lights and learning and occupations cities are a great thing and it's just how do you deal with this demographic movement is has always been a difficult process but i think right now in some countries it's a particularly difficult process i heard you say that almost all of the world's next two billion people will leave and they celebrate islam saturated. communities given the scope of their problems already do you think the problem of slums will ever be resolved is that even possible given where we are this point of time.

you know and so i think you know there's a joke in economics where people said this is unsustainable and if it's a. sustainable it indeed will stop. so i think. given the potential problems here you could get people moving to cities at nearly the rate that has been interested you could get a reaction from government. and so economists tend to be cynical and they tend to believe that in the long run things work out and so that's one view but i think there is a need to prompt people to react to this so that you react before the problems occur but i mean the problem of migration especially from the south saharan africa is i think has been in the making for over a decade i mean it precedes the war in syria and if you think about billions of people moving to very poor conditions regardless of whether they

provide sanitation there or not it seems that the only way out of that situation is not the op not. to build more housing there but actually it's you going to. and you see you know the thousands dying crossing the mediterranean into europe and the world probably hasn't had this many migrants. in fifty years since world war two i mean it's it is an incredible situation in that we see a lot of the news about international migration but the same thing is going on within countries and there's a rapid movement to cities in the same kind of phenomena now you're alluding to the fact that not many. politicians are policymakers. very key in. that problem or perhaps do not take it as the first priority and. there is a i think a very romantic view urban circles that c.d.'s will find solutions to all the

world's problems in cities not nation state is that they'll do that do you subscribe to that point of view so i don't think they are. i think cities have been far more innovative the national governments and i do think there's a sense in which cities are becoming politically more important and the ideas that are generated in the world are you know i think so much of our culture and ideas come from cities and that comes from just as one writer jane jacobs talked about the only place where you can see strange events or other travel or by going to a city and so there's just so much going on ideas are generated and so cities are i think are a fulcrum of change like that but nevertheless central governments are still important very important in terms of addressing larger issues like income distribution and climate change you know what makes me concerned about this kind of discourse is that that is the fact that they have long seen a gap but then politics and policies and you know ideally politics is supposed to

be a facilitator of policies but i think they're increasingly diverging especially in the western countries and my concern is that if we think this way off cities you know leading the way we will essentially leave all the major issues of life you know war and peace of life and that the politicians. do you have that sense and i wonder if you believe that politicians. care enough about the things that you supposedly care i think there's an awful lot of politicians talking . about ideas that are clearly not only not evidence based but based against evidence and that community i don't fully understand but i do observe it a lot and. it's quite distressing. i don't know how to explain it but it is

a it's a real danger and i think measures to. policies that are shown to not be effective is but create political value in some way. is quite peculiar i don't want to make this into a political it's strictly about the city's bread where obviously recording it at a time when there is that major fear of. confrontation between our countries but then the united states russia over syria and you know it just strikes me that. so much attention is paid to delivering a strike on a country where it's as you say we have millions possibly even billions of people living in squalor conditions and nobody ever would even discuss that on on television how often do you get that chance to talk about things that warry you so i think there's. an active discussion it's just there's not much action that's kind

of depressing and there's a lot of action. as as i said things that are clearly not only not evidence based but against the evidence. they're used there's a famous old conservative economist milton friedman who said that economists roller to provide the information and people like the right choice what we see today is something quite different and that information is provided and actions are taken that have very little to do or in fact are the opposite of what mr buckley we have to take their. short break but we have been back in just a few moments stay tuned. most definitely wasn't a victim of any kind of. north of the russian side because that would

destroy the russian could be true as far as exchanges sort of concerned and they are dependent on it because they certainly have to get their people think if they get into trouble. to learn skills will be up to some of them to plant the seeds and the fourth seed of the european soldier dog. in these new month it appears a go past but stuff i can. feel being pretty. powerful . i want to stop jumping to see heidi fleiss going to some to what. he told me i mean you sound just

so female to ballet she jumps also says she's not. going to measure that game. to kind of there's much to be answered. come back to while the part that's relevant parkways senior fellow in international affairs at the new school in the arts. mr brooklyn just to finish. the issue all far. where politicians. attention to. syria is a lot. on my mind a lot and i think there is also something. you know that country also requires and arjen how specialist like yourself because it has lots of formerly urban

communities where the infrastructure was damaged a great deal some of those communities and now trying to go back to normal but obviously the resources lacking or a very short i wonder if we understand as a global community at this point how do you try to rebuild those cities not only syria but perhaps also in iraq in a way that would encourage free conciliation of the various ethnic groups rather than strengthen the divisions that provoked those conflicts in the first place. a famous english economist lord keynes who said. should be to be like dentists and to say we can repair this tooth and in so terms of working in cities you have to have a context that the environment the broader political environment is reasonable and that people can reach the politicians will be responding to the people when you

have a state of war. there's nothing i can do with my motor skills. he works with and then suggesting to go to syria and try to rebuild it from from from their own so i'm just asking whether it is no commitment rosabelle to carry out something on that scale that has already i mean to rebuild something on the scale that they have in syria. i think we've had if you go through history it's been cruel and destructive over and over and so our cities have come back and many are quite beautiful and wonderful places. if you look in the middle east and places like syria i agree with you it's totally depressed. and i wish the political issues involved with it could be resolved i don't begin to understand it or how to do that but i think until that is done there's very little hope that those cities will be able to turn the tide i think it has to come from the broader

political context rather than from the city context kirkley from wrong i understand that they are specialized in sort of matching. or correlating the city's layout its morphology to the economic activity and. we have an interesting example here in russia of the capital grozny which was destroyed two decades ago which has now been built with having a federal subsidies but i think there is a mismatch between how the city looks and how it operates in terms of the organic south sustaining growth i mean if you have the money you can get out of the city will exist but the question is how you make it self-sustaining. how do you figure out how to do the latter part of what doesn't require so we just did some work what we referred to as trying to avoid what they called the. syndrome and

it's this man who thought he was the king of kings and had a statue built of themselves that said all you look at me despair because i have such a beautiful place that i've designed and it's in fact in the middle of a desert building a city is a very organic spatial structure that responds to economic incentives but it's impossible for one planner to know how to allocate make the investments for the entire city i think as you mentioned earlier in new york in barcelona the plans there and what they did was quite quite basic in terms of set up a structure so that people can respond to the incentives and build and paris and places like that they're just there as paris is a studio. light still it's still quite beautiful and building a city that organically responds to the incentives and structures long live structures that can take advantage of where people want to live how they want to live and so forth is unquestionably the most important thing to do so

a public policy maker to assume that he or she could do that is the highest degree and almost certain to fail now i know that you've also started the morphology off largest thirteen barges that is in russia and you suggest that it's my fellow g. is less than optimal in terms of encouraging economic growth one d.c.'s the major impediments so let me qualify that in a couple of ways first of all i haven't been to russia in eighteen years i worked here during the transition and now i've come back and it's delightful to be back and meet many old friends and just russian people who are so friendly to me and. so my investigation was with the co-author who in fact is my son and he's a geographer who worked through satellite images of russian cities and what we did was compare those images to would cities look like around the world and what we find is that the types of structures of the cities the density of the population is

such that it's unusual it's very unusual and so. papers written during the transition suggest that was quite costly to the russian economy and it was one of the reasons that the government was seeking to reform the way cities function what we found is that those patterns seem to not only persist but in some places to intensify so twenty five years after the reform you still have cities where instead of having most of the people living in the center of the city you often have most of them living on the outskirts of the city and so the idea of the city is that people get together and they congregate and they. exchange ideas with a western city but i guess for us. the russians. that kind of martha. you know something deeper about our culture we are a very centralized people with some authoritarian tendencies so i wonder if

that layout is ultimately a good reflection of not only our city planning but also of broader things in our culture could as we say in the paper you know number one we're not sure it matters that it's different if it does matter we're not sure that it's as costly as it could be but if you look at the studies in america these kinds of distortions they matter they matter a lot in the. limits or the reduced economic growth and you know states by fifty percent and so did see ability to move to cities that have the highest productivity if you can't move and you can't move to the places within those cities that afford you the opportunity to exploit your skills it stands to reason that you would be less productive whether that matters on a broader scale or whether it's something cultural we don't know we're just reporting that it is different here. russians to say do they agree to take think what the causes are that we think what can be done about it and what can be done

about it is quite difficult question. also attributed to a. problem which you describe as too many people having too many rights to control the property which makes consensus very difficult and i think part of the reason is also that the russian people after a long history of collective existence have also become very autum ised they avoid collective solutions collective action even their fifth objectively to their benefit is that something permanent or do you think that may change over time to have we seen in other cities how this collective muscle collective in a positive way how does it for. so that was yesterday i gave the presentation and four russian experts responded and people from the audience responded that was almost a continual theme. it's not only the difficulty of negotiating it's the lack of

desire to do so and that well the buildings the units were privatized many people don't feel that the building has anything to do they have anything to do with and that they should that should be provided to them. come after said they're not real owners they're view themselves as residents and there is this very collected feeling and so that's something that i think is profoundly difficult to change and it will take time i also think that in terms of the transition that some people take for example a person living on the outskirts of for example. in. quite a distance from a job who has. transport heavily subsidized utilities heavily subsidized and not many job opportunities there are not as many as there were in the old days. what does a person do if you think of this the house with been given if you put the real cost to the utilities their opportunities and their transport in fact they weren't given

an asset they were given something that detracts from their wealth and so that person is in a tough spot and so a lot of russians i think are in that spot and it makes it a very profoundly difficult political question it's an interesting observation especially given that there are authorities like to complain about the lack of social mobility on the part of the population but you can also i guess think about the policy is that what and courage that social mobility by for example restructuring some of those subsidies or how paying people to make. rational decisions about their property but i think they are making rational decisions and it's difficult for the government to move away from subsidising the transport of the utilities simply because those p. . in such a costly spot and they can't afford it particularly pensioners what do you do about that and then it's just the transition from one type of system to another it's a very costly system change this effect is one that i don't think is from the

discussion yesterday people were saying this is something we need to look at more closely now you mentioned that there haven't been in quite some time and i'm sure you've noticed that there must have put a lot of thought a lot of resources and various beautification. projects they have really trying now to make the city environment a little bit more hospitable but i think an interesting phenomenon here is that. many of the residents are not actually excited about the kind of innovation and what it also reveals as they call the skill of community cation on the part of the authorities or perhaps on the part of the population is that. a particular russian phenomenon known as is this something that you see in other cities as well. you know i'm not sure i guess i should say that the city. center here but it's quite lovely and it's really it's not what it was when i was here when the transition was going on it's no it it's a european city it feels

a little if you use incredibly russian but it just it's delightful. so to me as an external observer in the person who goes to lots of cities. it's great to come back and the people are very warm and it's very it's just the delightful experience that he has speaking on a personal level and i guess my question is more professional in. a least a more off your profit professional expertise i think the idea that the most authoritative have is that if you crave the right kind of environment that will how to bring. more people into the city not only a tourist but a. someone business as i don't know also how keep the most agitated within the city do you think that kind of rationale is going to work especially given the. kind of times that male even so what i think. this is. a

fascinating historical moment and it reminds me of. new york when there was a man named robert moses who they say that he's the only man in the twentieth century who you can see from the moon see his creations on earth and he really carved up new york city and he built a lot of it he built lincoln center he did a lot with the central park but he also destroyed a lot and he destroyed and he cut through neighborhoods particularly poor neighborhoods and avoided the rich neighborhoods and so his movement restructuring a city. you know for better or worse must goes in a point where it needs to restructure and so how do you do those things when you have all the millions and millions of people who have different ideas you have to listen to them and i think the. robert moses was a woman named jane jacobson very much getting community participation but that slows things down a lot and you can understand more and there's

a need for change what people don't want to engage the community but nevertheless if you don't it doesn't work and so i think it's a very difficult i don't begin to second guess the things that have been. but i wish them well well mr barclay thank you very much farai this conversation has been delightful i appreciate your time and i also encourage our very sticky pedal going on our social media pages as funny same place same time here i don't apart. i've played for many clubs over the years so i know the game inside dives. football

isn't only about what happens on the pitch for the final school it's about the passion from the fans it's the age of the super money just billionaire owners and spending two hundred twenty million one player. it's an experience like nothing else i want to get close i want to share what i think of what i know about the beautiful guy a great so will transfer. and thinks he's going to. join me every thursday on the alex salmond show and i'll be speaking to guests in the world of politics small business i'm show business i'll see that.

four men are sitting in a car when the fifth gets shot in the head. all four have different versions of what happened one of them is on the death row there's no way he could have done it there's no possible way because the owners do not shoot around a corner. and if you aren't going to come. to the.

mysteries the shapes this week witnesses will be off them off about alleged chemical attack in the syrian city of dubai raised doubts over the video evidence that's been circulated and altie team has been speaking to doctors locals and some of those who appear in the forces people from the white helmets told us about the use of chemical weapons we saw no sign of that we started throwing water over the people but the seemed to be ok with me then walked away without any help from the growing number of asylum seekers in germany or claiming to be terrorists in the hope of avoiding deportation allegedly exploiting loopholes in the system. also ahead.