intelligence to m i six to jump john scott it was his mind. and it was really one of the very few sources the west had into what the soviet leadership with thinking certainly the k.g.b. leadership and they had started a program to look for signs of an imminent nuclear attack from the west and i think we now understand this has been repeated several times if you ask an intelligence agency to look for evidence of something and they don't come back and say no nothing that can't compound it all they usually come back and say yes this is the evidence that we found and sure enough in the soviet union that everybody wants to keep their job nobody wants to insult the political leadership that says this is a priority so they find evidence to substantiate whatever it is they're being asked to verify and that happens in the soviet union in one hundred eighty three with more and more agents are reporting back from the west yet here is another sign that the the u.s. preparing to go to war in october eighty three. truck bomb. set off in the middle of the u.s. marine base in beirut they were a peacekeeping force in the towards the end of the war in them in the middle east

two hundred forty marines killed the americans put all their bases worldwide on a maximum state of alert for terrorist acts against them the soviets pick up on this don't link it to the story in beirut they link it to their big agenda which is are the americans preparing to attack so that this is another box ticked in the list of. signs of indicators of an imminent attack so again the temperature goes up a bit as and then we have the ninth of november of ninety three i should say we've had massive joint major exercises in the past few days. and in your book able are eighty three hey bill archer was an annual exercise that nato carried out it wasn't an exercise in which troops or army divisions or tanks went out into the field it was purely a communications exercise and the idea was to run her. a story in which nato had

lost a conventional war with the warsaw pact the forces of the warsaw pact and needed to resort to nuclear weapons and it's the protocols for the launch of nuclear weapons that this able launcher exercise is intended to. and sure enough on the eighth of november the nato leaders those who are playing the war game ask for formal permission to launch a full nuclear missile attack upon the soviet union soviet radio listeners are choosing into every part of this story and slowly the kremlin convinces itself that this is not a war game this is actually the real thing an attack is imminent all the signs of come together all this tension is built up the whole year of living dangerously has built up to this moment on the ninth of november when the kremlin leadership is convinced because they have plans to attack the west in the guise of a war game they always assume the west would attack them we don't want to give away the ending although we're all alive in this studio there's

a day just just briefly are we today in the similar circumstance i don't think we're in a similar succession i think there are two which is i think there are lots of parallels between what happened in eighty three and what's going on in a very dangerous world we live in today we have again we have a very aggressive us president who's rhetoric now is usually by tweet rather by public statements but but i don't think he realizes the offense or the insult that he's causing by a lot of what he said is we have war games that as you say can easily escalate out of control we have a very uncertain situation in which again nuclear weapons are being threatened i thought when the cold war was over in the ninety's living through that period i thought that's behind us that chapter of the use of nuclear weapons is close but it most certainly is and it's being threatened again today let's hope the recent events in korea will diffuse that but only a few weeks ago there was talk of a nuclear exchange in korea. and one of the things that eighty three tells us is

that when these incidents build up and they often start with quite minor incidents when a scenario escalates it's very difficult to put the lid on it it's very difficult to prevent it getting completely out of control tenet and thank you. well from threats of war to the tools of war and from the u.s. to saudi arabia to russia who spends the most on their weapons of war joining me now from stockholm in sweden is dr ode floor on she's the director of the arms transfers and military expenditure program at the stockholm international peace research institute order welcome to going underground there's so much detail in this report but surely people who love peace all around the world can take comfort your headline figure of one point one percent is an increase in real terms in the warfare industry between twenty six hundred seventeen very low yeah well the number one percent is very misleading actually in one instance is that there's

a lot of different and all have trans military spending all going to world and soon data courage and end all and contradictory transfer in the n.b.a. and you cancel each other are so if you have a very large anderson just the u.s. which is dominant with thirty five percent of the real total with six hundred and ten billion spending on that military arsenal and then you've got russia declining and twenty because now it still remains pretty much table and this is the situation which senioritis last for five years it's a battle but it is really misleading because in the end if you look at the regional and national level then you see a lot more diversity i want to get out of the united states and that surprising find from russia because we're told here in britain that we should be frightened of russian military spending there let's go do britain's greatest want to britain's greatest ally saudi arabia nine point two percent one of the largest increases or the largest increase in the expenditure for warfare. yet not only one of the major drivers for saudi increase arabian. unless you're spending it then we're in it it

been waging enter it and i think you can and there you can military families well placed you know that large war efforts are very very costly and to dows and still have their increase in leisure spending in a country pretty clearly so it would be the same dynamic in saudi arabia after that there is saudi arabia employs a lot of weapons some of it coming also the u.k. but the us and several other western european arms to do search and this is a very costly plan together and this will push military spending upwards and also having saudi arabia also has. you know objectives of being an influential actors read in the middle east and even beyond to some extent so our lives together are classical driers up military spending. but you say the united states has a big warfare industry there three times during the russia however u.s.

spending has been declining and it was unchanged when it is expensive and yet there's been some issue in the domestic level of the domestic political level and bearish until vote for the current budget will generate they were constrained there in the u.s. military the u.s. overall government budget including the magic budget were constrained by control that limited the. resources devoted to different terry acidly has a ceiling that it could go around to some extent they're not that much friend isn't time around they are still constrained by previous year funding so that explains largely the stability of the spending compared to last year it's pretty much just sinking really get into details of the levels of funding however it's been mentioned a lot that next year could be an increase it's still hard to say there whether it's going to happen at the end the the mystic problems is domestic political problems related to their final. the country the debt and deficit end of military spending

altogether it remains to be seen how this will result in a long in next year and finally and briefly israel that other nuclear states in violation of un resolutions difficult to assess their increase is really one of the five percent when you exclude more than three point one billion dollars a given to the israeli government by the us taxpayer yet we don't guarantee u.s. military aid because it's actually the u.s. to pains and so we give it to you but one billion to do us damning even though it is really the ease regularly that actually benefit from this trip or one million does the money does not come from the israeli taxpayer so this is why we excluded the israeli military expenditure is there it is extremely difficult to put together and our rats and bits and pieces that are spread out within different agencies and different ministries that we have to pull together and help experts in that country in order to make up artist in it and we still think this is an estimate now for

a there might be a little bit lower a little bit higher but it's not particularly transparent we have no idea how much the nuclear arsenal discovered by an estimate for instance which isn't going after all nuclear countries actually and a lot of them don't dollars anything and some of the figure to have been published are not particularly clear our national definition are not congress is that it meant specifically mentioned that israel is definitely not one of the most transparent that media would not drugs are all thank you and that's it for the show will be back though on wednesday when after the apparent disappearance of sergei and junia a former permanent representative of the o.p.c. w. gives us his take on the mysterious script by a love affair until then you can keep in touch with us by social media we'll see on wednesday sixty five years to the day of a death of romany french jazz guitarist django reinhardt.

the politics in washington not been driven by the fossil fuel energy lobbyist they could have gone into renewables ten twenty years earlier and those jobs would be in place generating good paying jobs in america would be part of a growing world beating industry because they kowtow to those lobbyist they got stuck in the coal business which it up liberated by the gas business which is a truly dodgy time for a lot of reasons and now it's going to be obliterated by the chinese led revolution in solar. so some officials do not. fully understand or do most fully accept the principle of football being beyond politics when that's a fundamental principle of the world for book. you were going to some people may have opinions but it's their own opinions and doesn't influence opinions of the

many other full families who are. tickets every day in large volumes. so what we've got to do is identify the threats that we have it's crazy confrontation let it be an arms race to move his arms off and spearing dramatic development only personally i'm going to resist i don't see how that strategy will be successful very critical time time to sit down and talk. as the u.s. prepares to open its embassy in jerusalem later this monday palestinians are promising rage and matt fraction and gave him an. airport top lloyd ramps up the fear factor one month before the world cup in russia using a photo project to highlight football violence however the forefront. as his work

has been twisted. class demonstrations and the terror attack mar the end of french president emanuel micron's twelve year you know. many in front say my corn is like a king who doesn't understand his subjects. thank you. very warm welcome you're watching r.t. international with me making arrant our top story this hour described as both appeasement and a new crusade the u.s. will open its embassy in jerusalem later on monday in a move that has ignited tensions in the middle east for months these you run this is deducible because it still. leaves you in this is to jerusalem because it is.

very very rare to look. thank you this was. a low oh oh oh oh middle east correspondent paula slay reports on what we can expect in jerusalem today. well after a lot of speculation the american president donald trump is not going to attend the embassy opening instead he has seen his daughter and her husband they attended ever simpson that was hosted last night sunday by the israeli prime minister benjamin netanyahu he also invited all eighty six diplomatic missions in the country to celebrate this move but only thirty three confirmed attendance amongst them will guatemala and pug why both of whom on schedule to their own embassies to jerusalem

later this month now also in attendance were representatives from hungary romania as well as the czech republic but interestingly enough there were no waste in the e.u. states present and this is despite the fact that washington really wants approval for it we saw the u.s. resorting to some dirty tricks when the u.s. ambassador to the united nations nikki haley issued a threatening letter as you consider the vote i want you to know the president and the u.s. take this vote personally he will be watching this move carefully and has requested our report back on those who voted against us thank you for your consideration now ever since the american president announced the embassy move back in december they have been protests not only in the region but internationally just two days ago we saw residents of jerusalem marched through the city also condemning this move came today because i firmly believe jerusalem belongs to everybody and there's just too much bad stuff being done in the name and. i think this is

a group of people coming to the center of jerusalem at a time particularly this coming right where. that's just by let me just. keep bringing up the occupation and. coming out to the forefront of the embassy when i am it's generally people that i want to join to say right now we are going to you know going to start to show you know this works very well for the local nation and want to show our. yesterday scuffles also broke out at the temple mount in jerusalem between palestinian and israeli worshippers there was actually an attempt by some israelis to mount the israeli flag and one israeli has been arrested what we're hearing now from him us is that as many as two hundred.