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tv   Boom Bust  RT  September 11, 2018 11:30pm-11:57pm EDT

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common ground fine. thanks. join me every thursday on the alex simon chill and i'll be speaking to guest of the world of politics sports business i'm show business i'll see you then. later on. this is boom bust broadcasting around the world and covering the world of business and finance i'm bart chilton in washington thanks for being on the board coming up today we take a look at the currency crisis in turkey argentina and india we do so with the help from john grace the founder and president of investors advantage corp and from paris our to charlotte dubinsky takes
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a look at the parisian stock market index the cac and some of the french companies which are part of that french market barometer plus china and russia are coming closer on economic and military matters as chinese president xi jinping and russian president vladimir putin meet an economic summit in russia parties caleb walters will give us the latest and as more u.s. tariffs on chinese goods seem to be eminent what will the impact be for apple a large u.s. technology company which has many products produced in china conservative t.v. and radio commentator steve small for will be with us to discuss and we'll leave you today with a beer or at least a story about beer and how some businesses are working towards a new beer tear i bet it will surprise you our chief peter oliver gives us the details from berlin we're probably locked and loaded so let's get right to a few headlines leading our report today china is formally petitioning the world trade organization the w t o to impose seven billion dollars in annual trade
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sanctions on the united states at me. on september twenty first china will reportedly press for penalties pursuant to their twenty seven. victory in a case filed away back in two thousand and thirteen last year is w t o ruling found fault with the us method for calculating whether chinese exports are actually dumping their goods in the us or simply selling that at a lower price abroad than they do at home china also one of the w t o last month in a similar case regarding sixteen billion dollars worth of chinese exports that were terrified by the u.s. stock markets worldwide trying to down on the news on this specific news rather and as a drumbeat of developments continues in the tense trade triangle between the u.s. china and the european union. and moving to another quarter of that tariff triangle u.s. and e.u. trade diplomats met in brussels yesterday e.u. trade commissioner cecilia strong and her staff met with their counterparts from
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the office of u.s. trade representative u.s.t.r. robert light hisor although mr light hisor did not attend the meeting and better light hisor and commissioner malmstrom will reportedly meet later this month in conventional negotiating fashion which seems sort of weird now it's nothing's conventional in trade these days the parties chose to perch to prioritize areas where agreement seems easier to attain the parties will initially focus on what the u.s. t.r. calls technical barriers to trade including differing regulatory standards while putting off some of the more difficult issues such as agriculture and autos both sides say they can close a specific deal on those technical barriers by november and u.s.t.r. has said that they will use trade promotion authority t.p.a. to expedite any agreement through the u.s. congress. moving to the edge of europe the slide of the turkish lira continued this week ahead of a meeting of the country's central bank the lira dropped again yesterday closing at
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sixteen cents to the dollar the central bank is expected to raise rates at this. weeks meeting after disappointing investors by leaving rates unchanged at the july meeting the lira has lost more than forty percent of its value this year but president erda one is very reluctant to allow an increase in interest rates to say the least mr heir to one has presided over a construction boom now faltering that was premised on easy and available credit many experts view the boom as a key to the consolidation of mr into one's vision of turkey's political economy and the potential bust as a threat to its stability and as a central bank move perhaps belatedly to support the lira domestic inflation is increasing reaching the fischel rate of seventeen point nine percent for the month of august. and sticking with the currency crisis not only in turkey but in a few other nations on which we've been reporting we are pleased to be joined again by john grace the founder and president of investors advantage corporation who
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joins us from our los angeles studio john welcome great to have you back i mean it isn't just turkey that is having these currency conundrum of argentina south africa india and the philippines to name a few of the more notable ones but before we drill down into a few of those generally what do you think about these markets are they somehow related is there some sort of consistency or commonality among all of these countries that are having currency crises. i bored good to be back and yes i see some combinations of events happening almost simultaneously i would say that it's been a summer slump certainly in emerging markets that may spread to other emerging markets and maybe even to the us of a i mean only time will tell the vulnerable currencies plunge the u.s. federal reserve raised interest rates it's pretty much to be expected but let's be clear much of this drama was actually precipitated by our own president's trade crackdown and he pretty much i think added gasoline to the fire so we'll see how
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this plays out global trade tensions political election uncertainty in law. in america you know countries and strengthening u.s. dollar have all contributed to the seven percent decline according to the m.s.c.i. emerging markets index of about seven percent as august thirty first year to date and john specifically with regard to turkey with this growing you know five point two percent second quarter g.d.p. it's a seven point one percent in q q one seven point three last year i mean those signs are great on growth i mean so what is it inflation or what else is the problem in turkey that's causing the lyric to dive so deeply. well i mean you know emergency emerging markets had a great two year rally in fact two thousand and nine to two thousand sixteen i think it's safe to say if you were in u.s. stocks you didn't need to be invested anywhere else however two thousand and seventeen we saw strong rallies in emerging markets across the board so there's it's just and area that has
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a lot of volatility i would say that turkey's crisis won't cause any emergency market crash like the way forbes put it with randy brown turkey's current financial crisis bears a striking similarity to the collapse of thailand's currency in one thousand nine hundred seventy which did ultimately lead to a financial meltdown across asia however you know we've seen the depreciation across the emerging market currencies as low as six percent as side with argentina forty two percent i'm sorry fifty two percent turkey's i believe is about forty two percent year to date as of august thirty first and so they have all the risk of default rising and yet we think it's unlikely to see the kind of repeat we saw in the late ninety's what marks turkey's scenario particularly interesting and noteworthy but they're not alone and that's worth also recognizing is the amount of debt that they've taken on external debt we see a lot of examples including here in the usa a lot of debt consumer corporate as in addition to government we don't think that will in well but it's going to be
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volatile no question about it yeah we spoke about debt last time we appreciate you being on that's all the difference between thailand in the ninety's and turkey he says it is that you mention john argentina there and of course you know the argentinian peso continues to crumble having lost twenty percent versus the dollar over two days last week and it part of that about five percent i checked it today but on the year the peso still remains down like fifty percent so one salvation we've spoken about here is that there could be some cash infusion from the international monetary fund but president. machree he's betting a lot on this it seems is that the only real salvation john. yes i think he recognizes the situation i was just visiting with some really good friends called the family from argentina i've been there a couple of times by the way is a good time to go there in terms of the exchange rate is in your favor but this is
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all makary i mean apparently ninety percent of the population are not in favor with trying to offer you know wine or whatever there might be for you know to the i.m.f. and so they're going to blame him he may face a one term election you know in order to lead to his demise in terms of being president like the kershner error so we'll see what happens in twenty one thousand we goes up for election but everybody has their eyes are on him he's the one who's got to fix this he will be the responsible parties are either a fix it fixes it and he survives or he does it in the eyes of the argentinians and he will be replaced john can you give us a real quick take on india they've also got you know the sixth largest economy fastest a commie growing in the world what's your take on the rupie. well let's talk about the economy itself for a minute i mean you know if you're a country you must replicate births with debts they you have to keep your current your population pretty stable india in terms of the emerging markets it is the only
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country that i've seen that is replicating itself they are having as many births deaths in terms of the rupee you know again it's just one of the worst performing asian currencies and it continues to just slide so we'll see what happens here it is the fastest growing economy i don't think that's going to stop their population is very strong that helps drive a lot of purchases and of course whether that internal purchases or imports that that's something that the country has to depend on so we'll keep them on our watch list john grace the founder of present of investors a bit of corp thanks so much john. thanks so much parts the next time. and we now out of paris as our to charlotte dubinsky takes a look at the parisian stock market index the cac and some of the french companies which are part of that french market barometer you can attest to this is to give it
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its full title is a family of eighteen. markets among them is the capital palace benchmark. index in my present value we measure. the home that is now just and treat it shows. you're next right. well almost all of the companies french around five percent this to chance. to work best so it's. not like it's just the united states that speaks and launch percentage of the companies in this state. jack chappell a multinational these companies are huge on the fruits of the basis and in its thirty year history ninety four companies have seen to date twelve of the permanent
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fixtures. you can't get can hold also as a parameter for the french economy the second largest in usa so how is that fully assuming the bank holds g.d.p. is expected to start to look. at how soon we heard. that may be lower than expected the good stuff that. comes to pass is going to be something should only seven percent down see percentage on top of these super nice funds is struggling with public deficit public spending rolls is amongst the highest flows and that's not going down well with the i.m.f. move the e.u. institutions will fall is too great to to do so the government has outlined job cuts and the public spending these plans have been received with the tricky
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reception the french public plea yet again time demonstrations this time against the measure is the next move president michael has been cut. the stop. selling it by saying well we're not sure we don't mislead see my own take on it like that. nothing like the economic theory. yet to. speak about. and today is september eleventh nine eleven the anniversary of the worst terrorist attacks in history killing nearly three thousand people injuring six thousand plus and causing an estimated economic loss of roughly three trillion dollars the deficit. included not only u.s. citizens but three hundred seventy two people from other nations representing sixty one different countries and there is unfortunately more unsettling news today that almost ten thousand individuals who work near the site in new york's financial
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district were exposed to toxic fumes and now have various forms of cancer according to the world trade health program as of the end of june more than ninety three hundred people are said to have cancer and an added four hundred twenty have already perished from cancer in total more than forty three thousand people have some nine eleven related health problems time now for a quick break but we'll be back in a flash and hear the numbers at the closing bell from the vibrant and fully functioning financial center of the world. in twenty four to you know bloody revolution of you tube the demonstrations going from being relatively peaceful political protests to be creasing the violent revolution is always spontaneous or is it just
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a little hiccup what if i mean you know this book to do it through me in the news that i knew people in the middle of the fall the ukrainian president recalls the events of twenty fourteen. those who took all across the subcontinent you see new trains being built neighborhoods and regions being lit up with electricity people being brought out of poverty it's very very exciting what russia is doing with the eurasian economic union and china is doing what the belt and road is quite quite an exciting development a lot of lives are being rapidly improved that's what's being discussed at the eastern economic forum and kaleb the cooperation isn't only about you know economies and business tell us about the largest military exercises since the fall of the soviet union which began today and china is playing a part in that right. well those drills are a big deal but can we be back up for just a minute because you know at this point russia has got about nine overseas military
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bases china they've got only one of one they just built in africa in djibouti at this point the united states has over eight hundred overseas military bases now at this point it's pretty clear that a lot of people in russia and a lot of people in china feel like they're being encircled you've got an increasing presence of nato troops and missiles in eastern europe at the same time you've also got the asian pivot and an escalation of the u.s. military president asia and what that going on we really shouldn't be surprised to see russia and china strengthening their alliance not just economically but militarily in the face of what many see is kind of an encircled. grit and tell me. what is the current military business relationship with regard to china and russia . well if you want to talk about the relationship you have to see it this way ok these are two countries that have pulled themselves up by their bootstraps in the
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one nine hundred ninety s. russia was wrecked after the fall of the soviet union the economy was just a mess and vladimir putin came in and the way he rebooted the economy was by creating two gigantic state controlled corporations gazprom and ross nafta and now russia's economy has vastly improved as they sell oil and gas around the world and back in one nine hundred forty nine china used to be called the sick man of asia but now half the steel in the world is being produced in a state controlled steel industry in china they've also got the biggest telecommunications manufacturer in the world they're making huge breakthroughs in technology seven hundred million people lifted out of poverty these are two countries and in a way they're almost like a match made in heaven because on the one hand china needs lots of oil and gas to run their huge state controlled apparatus of manufacturing meanwhile russia has got lots of oil and gas that it needs to sell so in a way they just kind of compliment each other it's quite exciting what's going on
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you could say that russia and china these are two countries that are basically obsessed with growth and reducing poverty around the world and both of them have huge private sectors big corporations making lots of profits lots of business going on but they also a very active governments that aren't afraid to step in and make sure that the market functions in a way that benefits everyone a very interesting and informative as always our correspondent caleb bop and thanks caleb. and now our tease peter oliver tells us a story about beer and some businesses that are working hard on a new beer for a tear but this was cries a lot of you here's peter from berlin. africa has become the world's fastest growing market for sales of b. is if we look at twenty eight teen it's expected to have grown the be a market anyway by four point five percent compared to one point four percent
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globally well the focus has moved away from premium brands and towards cheaper brews in fact we've seen heineken the world's second largest brewer launch a one hundred fifty million euro operation in the ivory coast in their biggest seller well it's a local brew that uses local rice for the fermentation process and is flying off the shelves since twenty fourteen those economies that were dependent upon commodities well they've suffered really badly specifically particularly places like nigeria if we look at it one of the world's biggest be a brands of guinness and its parent company geo i mean we stay in nigeria it's become too expensive simply as what we're hearing we've seen the big boys as well getting involved and house of bush they bought out the company that has its roots
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in south africa s a b. miller they bought them out for a whopping seventy nine billion pounds and that opened them up to seventeen new countries where they could they could try and get around and get involved in this budget brew market and what actually we're seeing is that it's also their share of the market went down in south africa which is their biggest market that by one point two percent a drop down their their share of the market went up by four point seven percent of sales in nigeria and twelve percent in zambia so that's seen these big companies turn to their lower cost options but that's those lower cost options that are being bought by the book fold by the crate fold by the keg fold across a. africa but ultimately the aim for the likes of you and how is it bush is to get consumers away from the brands and back to their premium brands going to the fridge
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but going to the for a corona for a stellar. and they're hoping that they can use these lower cost brands to keep will brand loyalty really while they try in the hunt for economies to pick up that they can get back to people purchasing them more expensive bruce. and we think peter oliver for that report. and there continues to be focus on what the impact of tariffs might be upon apple incorporated the world's largest information technology company by revenue which brought in nearly three hundred thirty billion dollars last year alone might it also mean consumers will be paying more for apple products conservative t.v. and radio commentator steve malzberg joins us to take a look at steve welcome thanks as always for being with us let's start with sort of a baseline i mean apple is a u.s. company and they've been doing really well and that's reflected in the stock price not just for the last month or last year or year over year for many years but they
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actually have not that many folks are actually employed in the united states they're really an international company and have a heck of a lot of manufacturing done overseas right. oh yeah great to be here bart absolutely when you look at apple the manufacturing can and components are again from other companies which are located all over the world and once they get those those parts they were assembled in still other countries and then you have warehouses in other countries where they're of course shipped to the finished product after they're manufactured and produced and they're distributed from those warehouses so absolutely let's take the i phone for instance the i phone has components and parts from companies in the united states china taiwan south korea you also have italy you have france you have the netherlands so you could see what kind of global project if you will apple's products are but a lot a lot of i mean thank you for that and i actually did know all of those countries
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because we always seem to focus on the big one the eight hundred pound gorilla and that's china's so could this twenty five percent tariff on two hundred billion dollars worth of chinese made goods coming into the states those haven't been imposed yet but some say it could happen very soon and it seems like that would be a really big hairy deal and what are the products the i phone we know that's made over there but what are some of the other products which could be impacted and what are the options for apple here's steve well you have the the pencil the watch the air pod bunch of other components like cables and accessories those are the products that would see a price increase here in the united states and analysts believe that it would have caused a ten to twenty percent drop in profits on those products but that just makes up they say about a one percent difference in the total bottom line you know those products sold in the united states make up about that it's twenty six billion dollars
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a year and that's one third of the sale of those products you mentioned the i phone the i phone really wouldn't be affected as effect three new i phones will be introduced tomorrow by apple all different price ranges but. the i phone could hit apple is if china starts prohibiting their people from buying it in retaliation or if the people there get so angered at us and that you know is that at america and they say we're not going to buy apple i phones or by other companies i phones that's where the i phone could come into play with this now there's no company better equipped to handle these tariffs and this problem if it becomes a problem with their trillion dollar market cap their profit margin their consumer a loyal consumer base so i think apple is going to be in good shape no matter what happens well we'll have to see if they make a move and come bring some of that manufacturing back to the u.s. as president trump once he is most conservative t.v. and radio commentator thank you so much steve thank you barr. and that's it for
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this time thanks for being with us you can catch us at boom bust i'm sorry you tube dot com pledge boom bust r.t. we'll catch you later. if it's safe for the next actual threat like china becoming a superpower and will get its act together like we did during the cold war after russia put up sputnik the u.s. landed on the moon that's why i mention the list and look if we have an extension crisis coming down the. guys like trump and other entrepreneurial you know leaders will mobilize the country and i welcome this challenge because right now america doesn't have anybody else out there to play with you know.
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when i'm on the other. man lines here on our team the u.s. and russia trade barbs at the new one over the syrian government's plan to retake rebel held province. those are ruled branches of al qaida which we have been fighting since the terror attacks in two thousand and one all we've seen are the actions of cowards interested in
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a bloody military conquest of its. bombing kills two people at a rally and then again is standing against a local police chief while a twin blasts in the same province targets school go worse during morning rush hour .

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