point one billion dollars. but don't what the numbers will be. the only numbers you need remember it was one. or two minutes the one and only. the headlines packages containing suspected explosive devices are sent to leading democrats including hillary clinton and barack obama as well as to c.n.n. the most being described as an act of terror. and its transatlantic allies come as out and the u.s. as the pair unwilling to reconsider weapons sales to saudi arabia in the wake of the killing of the kingdom's dissident journalist jamal khashoggi. and glad to be

a putin has raised concerns over the future of nuclear weapons treaties with the us saying if there are abandoned it would result in nothing but it new arms race. we can read all about those stories on our website r.t. dot com all about the headlines again in an hour but in the meantime here on our team it's the kinds of reports that if you watching in the u.k. or ireland stick around for whom. i am as or this is the guy as a reporter one one thousandth part cherokee. station we all are max we all are in fact i have a headline here up up up up up and way that is the u. s. deficit the u.s. government paid a whopping five hundred twenty three billion u.s.

dollars in interest in fiscal twenty eight eighteen here's a chart going back to zero nine nine hundred eighty eight which is quite interesting you see that the interest that we pay annually on our debt is rising rising rising despite interest rates going down that whole time we're still paying more and more every year which goes against what everybody always says oh all these debts are manageable because interest rates are so low yeah well you know america is like a guy who won the lottery and blows it after world war two we ruled the world we have the most gold we have the sound of the currency we low interest rates and we were american century ready to go and like the profit lottery winner blows it all here we are in twenty eighteen having kind of blown it

we have too much the twenty one trillion in debt and the interest on the debt is that as you point out something like a half a trillion dollars annually which is getting close to the annual budget deficit which may well actually the budget deficit annually is two hundred billion dollars more than that five hundred billion dollars is about what we pay for say medicare so it's the equivalent of taking care of the health of all the elderly people in america right there just interest not just interest on the debt so when the interest on it gets to a point where your money printing ponzi scheme that is a federal reserve bank fails you then enter a currency collapse you enter a hyper inflationary bet as well in type currency collapse and of course the american. go will tell you that that's impossible here in the land of the free home of the brave but you know empires come and go ok let's look at one thing i want to point out that we went off the gold standard in one nine hundred seventy one so in a way i don't blame anybody who runs america for just doing this because why not

people are sending you their real goods and services for free essentially so why not rack up these huge debts plus we have to rack up huge debts although wise you can't maintain the u.s. dollar is the world's reserve currency so if the rest of the globe based on us sending all our manufacturing sending our wealth overseas in order for them to grow the economy globally to grow trade globally to grow the only way that can happen is if we send more and more dollars over there and the only way we could do that is to consume more and more of the stuff and send them these dollars in order to maintain that exorbitant privilege saw us basically end up going off the u.s. gold standard going bankrupt the world kept the sharod the charade going and here we are at this point that we've all this fake debt based on fake currency so why

not yes you know it's a question of the just all this of money you have been going to charade references i've. you know we should just do this entire show in charades and from one point and see how far we get into there's a well there are so many words because i lived in the u.k. for so long there are so many words i get to and i get into this like kind of conundrum like what do i say the british pronunciation of sharod or do i say charade like an american would say so i get to that point i kind of lose track of what i'm saying because i've got to say either the british way or the american midland to kind of you know accent the medics and with the pope never going to get paid back but it's based on a fee. system anyway it's all fee so why not build better infrastructure why not build high speed rail across the country from chicago to norland from you know miami to detroit from new york to los angeles want to do that and get the you know

overseas patreus because you know we know from history the car manufacturing lobby doesn't want to have high speed rails or trains to interfere with their car a lobbyist. by the way the way you describe there are foreign governments needing to cumulate dollars exciter that's of course the trip and dilemma which folks can look that up on google and find out all about this interesting chapter an economics the trip from the lama so let's move on to the next headline is kind of related to the first one said that the u.s. paid five hundred twenty three billion dollars in just interest on all their debt that they've accumulated is something like twenty one trillion dollars since the founding of this nation and it gets faster and faster every year well here's the u.s. budget deficit and that gets added to the debt from previous so this will you know this is the national debt is accumulated over the past two hundred years the deficit is every year how much you're adding to that debt here is the u.s.

budget deficit eight hundred ninety eight billion dollars topping forecasts the u.s. budget deficit widened to eight hundred ninety billion dollars in the eleven months through august succeeding the congressional budget office forecasts for the first full fiscal year under the trump presidency the budget deficit rose by one third in october to august period from six hundred seventy four billion in the same timeframe a year earlier the treasury department said spending rose by seven percent to three point eight trillion outpacing revenue gains of just one percent to two point nine nine trillion revenue from corporations fell to one hundred sixty three billion down by seventy one billion from a year ago i want to point out that's close to how much jeff. it's worth so that's all that is given by corporations to the u.s. government is just one hundred sixty three billion dollars annually i won't get into how much we the citizens have to pay but it's

a lot more than that. well it's apartheid it's american style apartheid this is a remake to that show love american style and they should make it apartheid american style and families are stuck paying all the taxes and having to borrow it twenty percent versus the people running the ship are worth billions and pay zero for the money they're borrowing that's interest rate apartheid as a part of american stuff we mentioned in the previous episode that jared questioner pays zero percent in tax and because he buys commercial property which gets to he gets to write off all the taxes against personal income i'm going to turn to another headline to show you the mentality of how those wealthy stay while thing get wealthier versus the rest of the population because this is a remarkable story with some remarkable basically quotes here from the people pushing this program thousands are not for a zero down payment subprime mortgages magdalene altered or lost her home to

foreclosure during the subprime mortgage crisis but this week she was first in line at a four day event in miami where borrowers with poor credit were offered no downpayment low interest rate loans the event is one of several being held in cities across america this year run by the nonprofit boston based brokerage neighborhood assistance corporation of america or naca bank of america is back in the program with ten billion dollars they're offering fifteen to thirty year fixed rate loans which at four and a half percent which is below market rates that a subprime borrower normally be able to get but the difference in this program is that investors can't be they can't be investors they have to live in the home so in terms of the mentality how the rich get richer and the poor stay poor get poorer here's a quote from the guy. who's putting this on like i said his name is marx mr marks from knocked up people have skin in the game in a real way the people that walk away are higher income people who look to home

ownership as an investment just like buying stocks and bonds working people look at their investment in home ownership for their family for their neighborhood for themselves so he's saying don't worry people aren't going to walk away from these mortgages like they did in the last financial crisis because the last financial crisis was caused by investors who don't who look at their home as a way to earn money and speculate and get rich or these people these poor people that were given these loans to are just looking to build you know they're not looking to get wealthy from it there's just looking for a community and things like that that's how they end up getting poor and people speculating and rigging the system and playing this system get wealthier old wine new bottles you know and that is propaganda of course that this is the it's different this time i mean this is the famous old saw on wall street this time it's different the banks are engaged in fraud lending practices as they were in two thousand and eight as they have been for thirty years as they get caught and as

banks pay massive fines whether it's wells fargo j.p. morgan or any of these other credit facilities are. the laws are changed to make it no longer illegal to make fraudulent loans this of course will create huge credit crisis once again and the banks will get bailed out and the people who are engaging in the speculation with these fraudulent loans that they're unfortunately having to endure will get wiped out but the thing about it is we know from history that people continue to make babies and as long as babies are born the banks of customers to rip off well again like i don't blame the u.s. for going into huge amount of debt because they have to in order to maintain their exorbitant prep. of having the u.s. dollars the world reserve currency like and they're getting stuff for free so why work hard and try to actually pay real money for the stuff people are willing to give you for free here these people are will are able to line up and get

a four and a half percent thirty year mortgage unlike the subprime crisis when they had those adjustable rate mortgages that suddenly went from having a five hundred dollars a month mortgage payment to two thousand so they're not going to get that here they're getting free money and they get a house so the worst that could happen is they get to walk away in two years or three years when the property market crashes there's no reason why they shouldn't do this it's absolutely makes sense not to itself this is basically i think they're providing some greenwashing for bank of america because it's under a neighborhood assistance program and they themselves get three thousand dollars per mortgage that they filter through this system the other thing is look at this mainstream media this is what they say is different this time than during the subprime crisis remarkable another big difference today is the housing market itself home prices have been rising strongly and there is a critical shortage of entry level homes for sale for barbara finds themselves in

financial straits it is far easier today to sell the home quickly altered or remember the woman i said mentioned at the top who is applying for one of these loans is confident she can make the low monthly payments this time around a small price she says for something far more valuable i think a home ten fifteen years from now that's an investment she said home ownership is freedom. willing to go on record and predict these loans from bank of america within twenty four months they will discover. something they didn't see. the loans or actually there's a contingency that they become invalid during certain credit events like rising interest rates or something like that and. crisis will ensue and bank of america will say we had no idea we couldn't see this coming out of this happening we don't know and then they'll get a bailout and this for eddie it won him will be homeless shooting up smack on the

street in san francisco somewhere wondering what happened what happened is interest rate apartheid dare you live in an apartheid state and you're on the wrong neighborhood you live in the bantustan except it's a four percent anyway bantustans we got to take a break and when we come back much more coming your way. off to seventeen years of war in afghanistan the country is stuck in a vicious circle of violence elections assassinations and reconciliation talks with the world around afghanistan changing the country be able to escape its bloody cycle. pranking gave americans a lot of new job opportunities i needed to come up here to make some money like me twenty five thousand dollars as

a teacher or i could make fifty thousand dollars a year trucks or chose to truck people rushed to a small town in north dakota was an unemployment rate of zero percent like gold rush is very very similar. but this beautiful story ended with pollution and of a station a lot of people have left here i don't know too many people here and just slowed down so much they lost their jobs that laid off the american dream is changing it's not what it used to be. and it's a tough reality to deal. welcome back to the kaiser report imax keyser time out to go to blighty talk to alpha macleod of gold money dot com the credit cycle is on the turn that's the title of his latest report at gold money dot com and as always full disclosure i do own

a small position in gold money out there welcome back to the kaiser report and their max all right so i've read a lot of your research over the errors and occasionally you hit one out of the park with that's a baseball expression by the way for you brits might not know what i'm saying this is really a seminal pace's a very major piece you've put out here the credit cycle is turning interest rates are rising they have been falling for over thirty years alister you say the cycle is actually turning so tell us about what indicators do you see is this really happening well the best indicators all this that is they can't really go below zero i know that they try to put it blows zero but i mean that's a little nonsense. so you know. so the first thing it can't really go any lower after the next credit cycle the other thing that worries me is that if you look at the rate of inflation in america is very understated we all know that the c.p.i.

says something like three percent we believe it but actually if you look at you know a costard basket of prices is closer to ten percent as independent analysts say. and there will come a point where when bond you start rising when the fundamentals behind the dollar suddenly are accepted as not being at all good for example you go to a trade deficit running to well it's going to get up to a billion dollars trillion dollars. and that's a pretty dollars of net selling of the dollar also the foreigners already end the. dollar i mean i this is on us figures they already. twenty two trillion dollars of interest if you like of which four korean dollars seventy four trillion dollars is cash and that was in the middle of two thousand and seventeen they will have more no that is for sure wealthy and driving the dollar up has

really been the interest rate differential between. the euro you borrow in europe the interbank races minus point three percent something like that you can. borrow at three months by u.s. treasuries virtually zero to two point two percent you go to two and a half percent strip to take out of that you geared up ten times because that's the quality of the asset that you're buying and you've got twenty five percent only money you know what's not to like about it and that basically is what's been driving the dollar nothing else read i mean this idea that. the u.s. economy is absolutely marvelous and it's going to be good for equities it is it is strong the u.s. economy is strong because there is a huge deficit driving it there is an awful lot of course going into it this doesn't happen elsewhere this is created a distortion when that distortion unwinds in the dollar starts falling then i think

you'll find that not only is the dollar falling but the foreigners no longer buying u.s. treasury debt and under those circumstances the u.s. long the ok will continue to rise and rise substantially and then we asked the question what is the rate of inflation in other words what i'm saying is there will come a point where people start thinking very very differently now we know the rate of inflation is closer to ten percent and st percent so what it interest rates be watch of the union new year's treasuries big so you can see how we can rapidly from a low interest rate environment into a high rate interest rate. environment and that's basically my thesis all right well let's look at this you know using what i would call the coloring book. you know analysis of broad stroke so you talk about the credit cycle turning which would mean that credit interest rates start to move higher and of course

that's a big negative for bonds and that begs the question why now because over the past five or six years major financial pond and surround the world have called for a top in the bond market and they've gotten it wrong year after year after year and so why why now alister i mean if you're right you would be the only guy in the world to get the timing correct and i'm talking about the smartest guys in the world have made this room miss they call it the widowmaker you know the absolute horrible they've gone short bonds way too early so why now al so what what is it what are you seeing the timing why now schwab see it now basically because you along the u.k. has gone up very substantially in the last week or two and if you look at the ten year it was usually about three percent is it ran up to three point two two percent

of the tail end of last week and backed off a little bit the moment we show you no one can understand but when you get moves like that along that you. start undermining assets and that typically equity asset values and this is something i think that nobody wants to see but you know the relationship is always the same you get you know don't speak first able to speak second properties then. and so is the financial assets that is the problem that we face at the moment and i think that we're going to see high use in the bond market that undermine will. in equities and then of course that starts spreading into the underlying economy people start looking at their business plans and they think oh a minute we've got interest rates rising so our original assumption in terms of return on capital to go to revise those we're finding that costs are rising input costs are rising fast as we thought we didn't expect them to really rise very much

but they are definitely rising we're not making any money on this new plan we got from making this which it will that which it so you can see that suddenly business starts turning round and being less optimistic and then starts cutting back on planned operations and it's at that point at the backstop to get worried what i'm describing is that is the classic end of cycle and credit cycle development i get that we're at the end of a cycle and at the end of a cycle you see a reverse and in this case that would mean higher rates but we're also talking about the fact that we live in an era starting with alan greenspan and continuing through ben bernanke janet yellen and perhaps the current fed chairman and central bankers around the world that are huge to the orthodoxy of what became known as the greenspan put and that is the say activists central bankers who do not respond to

cycles they simply keep flooding markets with fresh money whenever there is a danger of a bond market move down so what would stop the central bankers around the world who recently expanded their balance sheets by trillions of dollars the u.s. went from less than a trillion to something like five trillion on their balance sheet the e.c.b. has got trillions of euro's on their balance sheet that's sucking up all these bad bonds and preventing ales from rising what's the say that we won't just have another round of maybe quantitative easing four or you know a massive bond purchases by. central banks to the tune of fifteen or twenty trillion dollars worth once again like what stops them from just doing more of the same alister. low i can see it is dream on the problem they face is that you have got pent up price inflation building time and this is why i

mentioned the fact that the way the the c.p.i. is cost is it as a sort of evolving bosket designed to reduce the apparent rate of inflation there is going to come a point where people begin to think hold on a minute this is not right the residents ration price inflation is actually far higher as the official statistics tell us and when they get hold of that idea basically the idea that you could if you don't print money and get out you'll get out of jail that way that is no longer an option because of the inflationary consequence is that you don't talk all that money that's being printed the last ten years ok so just summarize that a bit so in other words we know what's been going on and we now also now that the modus operandi day for allowing this to go on has banned the misrepresentation of the actual inflation numbers the c.p.i. numbers they are constantly adjusted through what are called quote donek

adjustments except margaret thatcher was big during at this back in the faster era she famously would recalculate how inflation was calculated that was carried on now a sense the thatcher reagan era and so this idea of inflation being at two percent is a complete falsehood is saying it's actually closer to ten percent but it's hidden because you have the ability through mass media etc to kind of hide this fact but so you're saying that the ability so that the crux of your argument is that the ability to hide inflation has run its course and that will trigger a reversion. to the mean correct yes i mean another way you could put it far more simply is that you can prove anything you want with statistics except the truth and the program this people will wake up to that very to the if you like the reality of that very simple a person right so just walk us through what this means in interest rates rise how

will the financial world around change in a way that we haven't seen in more than thirty five years so what walk us through you know what actually happens your average guy suddenly you've got a thirty five year trend reversing bond prices are now on the way. down instead of up which is different than the past thirty five years to how to how does this reverberate through the system well the first thing that happens max is that bond you start rising substantially and governments have difficulty funding that that debt they will be behind the curve as it were when it comes to funding and you find that debt auctions will always be disappointing so you've got higher high you still have equity markets going down and down and down and the general crisis will gather and that will happen at a time when actually impossible in fact it will be impossible to central banks to

print enormous money just chop money at the problem like they did. during the lehman crisis so this crisis is going to do very very difficult different if you like from from the lehman crisis so we're looking at a world where we run into inflation and the inflation is going to continue and that is going to continue to be a problem and that is going to be the root of undermining asset values and particular use where there is a lot of borrowing supporting the prices right we've got less than a minute and there we're going to have for another segment if that's ok but in the remaining forty seconds. let me tell you what donald trump recently said he said the fed is crazy for raising rates your thoughts well is a politician isn't. he you know i mean everybody you know they don't like high rates but the fact of the matter is that the race has to be appropriate for the

conditions and i'm afraid mr trump is indulging in wishful thinking and incidentally there is a convention the politicians do not interfere with the central banks of the management even though you and i know that they tend to screw it up because it involves criticise fair enough all right i also have another segment forthcoming but thanks for being on the kaiser report that's my pleasure max all right that's going to do it for this edition of the kaiser report with me max kaiser and stacy i work like to thank our guest also because of gold money dot com if you want to reach us on twitter at kaiser report until next time.

on this unique edition of crossfire we review a new and very important book john mearsheimer the great delusion liberal dreams and international realities it's a real. hello and welcome to worlds apart seventy years into the war in afghanistan the country

seems for ram first stop in the repetitive cycle of violence and elections assassinations and reconciliation talks again the changing world around afghanistan finally in the market all of these bitten i'm extremely bloody track will to discuss that i'm now joined by. masood a former afghan diplomat and president of the masood foundation mr masood it's good to talk to you this evening thank you very much for your time. thank you thank you now whenever i look at the afghan politics i'm always overcome by the feeling of deja vu you have this same scenario playing out all over and over again the with some whole promise of peace on the eve of the elections crushed by the absolute hopelessness and despair afterwards is that your perception as well and if so what explains this compulsive dysfunction well as you said rightly that for the past.