twenty nineteen the year ahead i think it's a pivotal year because we're ten years also after the financial crash of two thousand and eight two thousand and nine you know ten years after that bottom when it all started picking up again and as i said i think we're going to have you know a stock market crash and more quantitative easing and can tell in effect and all that negative effect and one other thing we're going to see this year which many might see is a negative that is the jockeying for the democratic nomination. for u.s. politics so we're going to see a lot of politics we saw joe biden recently you know at the end of the year kind of saying that he may run in two thousand and twenty he thinks he'll be very popular bedo roark he wants to run for president his wife is from a billionaire family so he has the money and there are you know i guess kind of donald trump has inspired a lot of people who have never been in politics or people who are billionaire says

quite a slew of billionaires including michael bloomberg of course and tom styer who all want to now run for president of the billionaires i don't think will do any damage against trump because trump is a billionaire reality t.v. guy in the casino business michael bloomberg is in the you know media business with the bloomberg machines and he's done the mayor of new york it's a big city and he's got experience but i don't think he has the killer instinct that. i think actually in that list of folks biden would probably be a guy who has the gravitas he's got the experience to people remember him and they have fond memories of obama he is personable knows a good sound bite when he sees one riding with biden and you know him standing in wait for the train with his coat and his dog and stuff like that he knows how to play the game you know he would be i think you know i don't think so first of all there is the me too movement since he last rant the. vs time she's on he never came

even get to the nomination let alone past you know all the primaries he couldn't even be hillary clinton to the nomination so you know he's he's never going to get that far he doesn't have the charisma he has too many lurking sort of groping sort of photos in the public domain of him and young women so i don't think will happen i think that's one possibility he lost his chance in twenty six in twenty sixteen. the one name you haven't mentioned who i think will is bernie you and i drove across the united states recently and you can see it on gonzo is that we saw many birdie twenty twenty bumper stickers but the only bumper sticker i've seen for any candidate for twenty twenty twenty twenty actually i saw one trump twenty twenty as well so bernie twenty twenty twenty twenty. about bernie sanders and he thinks he's gas the tank it could make

a formidable run so yeah maybe maybe bernie this time will get the nomination i think he will be fought against viciously by those who are still part of the hillary team remember in two thousand and sixteen it was a complete and utter humiliation of hillary clinton and her machine so the fact that they're still angry and bitter and you see that very much on twitter you see the likes of neera tanden who is part of the hillary clinton campaign all she does is tweet about russia gate and bernie sanders and how bernie sanders is responsible and bernie sanders did this to you and bernie sanders bernie sanders so they are a little bit obsessed like in whatever happened to be reaching kind of way with bernie sanders another film you know hillary clinton is the film about the nineteen thirty's in the depression about the dance marathons people dancing themselves to a blue. in fainting to make

a few bucks i think the name of the film is they shoot horses don't think well actually you know talking about that hillary has on you know her tour with her husband said that she would possibly hint that she would run again and. her very first foray into the public she had another coughing fit so you know it's considered a conspiracy theory and you'll get put in an d.-i a d.n.i. report you know the defense national intelligence assessment report as a conspiracy theorist if you talk about the fact that she keeps on coughing but just think of the beginning of the modern presidency and it began with the advent of television introduced into the political debate so nixon versus j.f.k. jr nixon refused to put on make up he wasn't feeling that well and his suit was too dark it blended in with the background and he was all sweaty and he looked gross

and sick and he lost the debate big time and he never recovered from that against the young make up john f. kennedy jr and i think the same thing is if. i think people instinctively just like if you're. coughing through your political debate speech i think people get turned off by it i mean are you killers got a bright future selling cough drops you know and then so you can have you know side effects could include vomiting diarrhea headaches nausea political campaigns as a starkey husband etc etc the other bumper sticker index that signal sent to us driving across the country was medicare for all so i think that's going to be. more prominent in the political debate across the united states as we head into two thousand and twenty because let's face it. people are desperate on the democratic side they are motivated to get rid of donald trump bruce springsteen things that

donald trump will win in twenty twenty because he doesn't see anybody in the democratic party he often campaigns for democratic candidates including hillary clinton but he doesn't see any on the horizon at the moment but it could be somebody like the young woman from queens alexandria because you know cortez tell you she doesn't know what she doesn't know which is brilliant because you can say stuff that gets picked up and goes viral and sounds frickin great like medicaid for all or medicare for all without any notion about how to pay for it but people love it sounds great and you know that could get a lot of traction of this environment you know another thing continuing from the hillary clinton twenty sixteen utter humiliation thing was after she lost she went across you know she did a few interviews and basically she blamed the voters and she noted that the fact is that she won all the winner locations and all those who voted for trump were actually losers and the basket of deplorable is who are committing suicide and dying young are now that brings up two things it brings up that yet again twenty

seventeen saw an increase of ten percent in the mortality rate in the united states in the overdose deaths in the united states and the the us lowered the life expectancy in the u.s. by another tenth of a percent so. i want to also point out that. the hillary clinton and the democrats won something like eight or nine of the ten richest counties in the tire united states so that is something that has definitely changed significantly since you and i lived here in the eighty's and ninety's the republicans were the party of the wealthiest and that shaped a lot of their policies now the democrats are becoming. the party of the wealthy that the wealthiest people are now voting for the democrats the wealthiest counties

vote for democrats and that will shape their policies they are they did turn away from the republicans because of the republicans social policies they were against all those anti women programs or against the anti gay l g b t q stuff so they were against that so they've turned to the democrats they are however against increasing taxes they are against public schools financing public schools they are against those sort of things so that will be a shift in what the democratic policies will end up being because they've always been about economic progress of stuff but in fact their new voters are not so for economic progress no no the else voting for santa claus you know santa claus gives us gifts santa claus is nice to us he brings us presents that we vote for santa claus and the republicans are like grinch oh you know what the there's no santa claus and you actually have to work and let money to get those things and the

people in the democratic party like oh no but we're happy here being influencers and commenting about rachel maddow say or i mean the fact is there are only influencers there are corporations there are huge multinationals there are giant cartels they are covered purely and one hundred percent holy by democrats and republicans there are no parties there are no candidates for the bottom ninety nine percent and that is wide open it could intrude there could be a third party there is that they're totally open for any sort of other demagogue other than trying to come in because people a lot of people don't want free things they don't want just stuff handed that's them what they want is dignity and you see that with the deaths of despair going on that increase by ten percent of the desk. an overdose the increase in suicides are death of despair those people don't want handouts what they want is meaning in

their lives they want jobs they want communities they want you know a purpose in life to be clear the elites in the san francisco new york area are wanting handouts in the form of free money and all the stuff that we talk about on this show in terms of the banking privilege class they get handouts that's the democratic party that's hillary clinton gets saudi handouts from the saudis she gets handouts to saudi arabia sort of santa claus you know this never ending party down there as far as the people who are definitely the permanent underclass of america now so like cortez is a radical departure in american politics she's the far left left of the left wing party which we haven't had america since the black panthers back in the sixty's so she could be a new wave of populist politic in america and it could gain traction and it just doesn't know what she doesn't know that's a big advantage in this environment well exactly because trump had never been elected to any office and hillary had been in office or some sort of connection to power for thirty forty years and she lost joe biden will lose even against trump it

because he doesn't have the charisma he doesn't have that he needs to bring in somebody new outside they you know the rich people are going to show up because the rich people are motivated not to pay taxes but it's the other people it's the rest of the population of the millennial is the generations it's the ones after the millennial that are going to show up and vote and they'll vote for somebody like alexandra a cacio court but what i have seen is in my lifetime american politics the american electorate are willing to throw the dice after nixon they threw the dice with jimmy carter. after jim you know nixon and ford and then after bush they threw the dice with barack obama a complete unknown guy but he seemed you know like a cool guy and they really threw the right well then and then they kind of threw the dice with chomping at the plate outsider ok so cortez's once again you're like they hate america like to vote for this idea like well they they're not corrupted

by inside the beltway thinking they just roll the dice assume happens speak in a rolling we're gonna roll out of here into the second half after this quick break . they're bracing for a single purpose. of. training very young. the months of intensive school. reps. and they save lives. join me every thursday on the alex salmond show and i'll be speaking to guests of the world of politics sports business i'm show business i'll see you then.

so you will both be in the lot that is your last yes does do you know that was what gave she doesn't fit with the business of calling this one up what i mean. to make it was not. really a local superman film we can see as you know if you buy. if you're in with a family leave you. always see more in their baby when i was in them when i'm old enough and even when he was looking in the phone while. i was at the field.

and then i. bet i'm only twenty six years. welcome back to the kaiser report the final the of our trilogy picking the brains of experts let's talk to misfire stein one of the biggest experts at the biggest

brains we've ever picked on the show ever the history of the show mitch welcome back hey we got to pick your brain for twenty one thousand tell us if you are a money manager what are you looking for as the big economic and financial things a twenty nineteen what do you prepping for where is the most grotesque asset bubbles in the history of the planet in the bond market the stock market the property markets and the credit markets is the corporate debt than subprime up twenty nineteen others what's what's going to be the big bubble to blow up in twenty one thousand corporate debt and the e.u. i think corporate debt and government debt is going to flood the market so interest rates are going to have to go higher because there aren't really enough by on the long haul this debt correct i know it's the keep the loan to shorten well they're going to try i don't know how this q.e. forthcoming i want you before q.e. five q.e. infinity i mean q.e. will never stop we're going to has zero interest rate policy followed by negative interest rate policy but then it's going to fail and us dollar gemini is going to be the end of the road or we see the zone of france coming to america that is well

the worsening fed induced wealth and income gap document in your book plan apology actually finally cause unrest rather than just americans overdosing on heroin and killing themselves yes of course i think you're going to see global unrest i think you'll see it as a feature in italy when the e.u. tries to bully them and their draconian stared measures don't work you'll see it in the u.k. the u.k. will be torn apart by this whole bragg's it issue and this fake and no deal and to resume a set up to cause these problems the politicians can't be trusted max can you believe that i saw this interesting write up about saying that while the u.k. doesn't have a constitution and this is uniquely problematic for something like breaks it because the elected officials are not representative they're delegates and they represent the parliament not the people. that's really. nothing ok the u.s. versus china how this play out in twenty minutes in china has been a problem for the u.s. for the past thirty years they've been taking advantage with trade unfair trade

practices they've been stealing ip they've been stealing intellectual property rights they've refused to pay attention to international law they buy out hollywood and censor movies that are broadcast there's a big propaganda campaign going on with china and with the intelligence service how a play of them if there are lot or has how will that like financial war kick in like what well i was going to see i think you're going to see it extended amount of tariffs which are a good thing not a bad thing and i think you will see a significant devaluation of the chinese won and twenty nineteen ok how about over the e.u. twenty nineteen we had greece as kind of the basket case example who's going to be next will be the next race will it be italy or home some other country has how does that how does that what you call that well i look i think days i mean his popularity now is sub twenty percent i mean they want him out of office and i think they're going to put somebody in that's going to be more nationalistic and to take

care of france's problems are youth unemployment is skyrocketing above twenty five percent in that country it's a big problem wealth inequality is a gigantic issue there so the e.u. they're going to tell psion are so i don't know who it is italy's got four trillion in loans they said they're not going to repay which they won't repay so france has a similar situation but they've got civil unrest with the population burning down paris so one of them will leave the e.u. wants to be the globalist entity instead of the united states of europe but it's a failed it's a failed policy single currency can never work without a coordinated treasury responsible for the twenty eight countries and that's never going to happen in our lifetime so just give it up ok finally all the euro sell the aero says misfires and finally in twenty twenty. which billionaire will the democrats nominate to lose against trump or is there a new obama amongst the crowd that can win i don't know michael bloomberg has spent

an awful lot of money so he's awfully influential you know i don't know he's probably spent five hundred six hundred seven hundred million dollars in the last big election cycles to try to become a man of the people but it's going to be very problematic for him to do that because of his wall street repertoire and he's really just a plutocrat that once you know a globalist policy of we're going to tell you what to do and you're going to like it so you know i think he's a hands on favorite right now to take on trump do you think michael bloomberg will emerge as the front runner and i think he will i mean you know you have rumblings from pocahontas in massachusetts but nobody can take her seriously anymore and what about cortez i think i don't know if she's out of her mind i mean i don't even know how she got elected i mean just the things that she doesn't know it doesn't exactly make her dangerous that's exactly right she says things that people love but that doesn't make sense of this promise it like or nancy pelosi maybe she might come up

with some sort of policy i mean she just ended up buying like what she they were buying google like seven million dollars worth of stocks because insider trading maybe she had some information as to what why don't you become a senator and they're going to help you as a money manager because you can trade inside information legally exactly right it's a good trade right right so are you struggling then the canyons of london and new york when you could just elected a government official and get all the inside dope and have a much better track record then most of the hedge funds out there including ray dahlia what a great idea are you all miss thank so much for being on the special report kaiser report year end special as always your prognostications are usually in the top quintile of accuracy great thanks max and by metals this year die reminds me of the mexican drug cartel they all this. the promo really money or lead. money or lead well let's say time for the next guests thank them all up let's get these predictions then who's next then collins of highs of our capital and the china

money report dot com dan you have loads of predictions on china for us let's start with the trade war we ended twenty eighteen with tip for tat kidnappings and these trade negotiations what does it go from here well the trade wars going to top both sides the chinese stock markets down twenty three percent the p.m.i. index over in china is below fifty percent they are in economic contraction governments come out and now is actually stifling economic statistics collections. you know house seems been flat so they're in trouble we have had so kind of a truce so to speak we took out the twenty five percent duty for delayed at three months i think the work behind the scenes china will buy a lot of energy from united states by the japanese playbook to try to buy resources from us reduce the trade deficit you know their market will still you know remain close i think this trade war over the next twenty you know this year twenty nine

hundred is universally morph into a check or you see as blocking huawei we've arrested one of their executives and we're going to go after china only technical front not only to trade war as economy is twenty one thousand possibly the year that happens down yet twenty nineteen is probably the most likely year china could finally run into a problem as you know max i predicted many years that china has not going to be a problem it really has been rolling ahead this year things are you know the problem there mt you know political repression increase the you've got mass roundups of different groups in society you've got to get ever continue to expand and yes question how much can china do there operate you know rance the private companies now we're going. well everybody is going to close the sale companies are going to flow to private companies we're going to what the world's emerging markets with revues in rows in the left with the structure we have to wonder how much money

can be friends and how much can be spent before they actually run into a real problem and i believe they're up to three hundred cents at the when it's all right so to follow up on that if china crashes like japan did what he likely to do is try to alluding to it there while the trying to prop up the zombie banks and corporations enough introduced last decades into the economy so yeah i mean are they going to allow the last decade phenomenon to take place are they just going to let the cape cape pumping than well i think one lesson we can see from all governments around the world is they will profit off until they can no longer profit so i think they will absolutely followed japanese model consider proper whatever they can the question is can they control it can they sing for the descent like that if need be if you can face leaders in full we're thirty year recession are trying to do that and how it will affect the rest of the world china is the largest us them or most of the world's their largest trading partner for most of

the world but i think it's trying to go down the rest of the world in a serious problem right now they the belton road initiative what should we look for there damn well that is kind of backfired because all these projects and no surprise right now these countries can actually afford them i mean they have bridges ports you know let's stress here in china they literally had to. make complete ownership they offered him in the richest lease or your lines of there's a fork in pakistan's the both go into default where china just comes in and takes it over at a major major loss so this is kind of like china's growing and you know good money after bad money for i to gain the you know friendships around the world and fully from twenty countries in the china's orbit. where you have to ask along with the money left right now looking for the twenty nineteen back on what are your best investment i.d.'s. i like the job can good job going to medical supplies no that's

a job. i believe you know i'm a big proponent in point at these levels cryptocurrency even general i think of the little provided organ some of we us necklace are in there are you near monopoly that they do mostly it will rebound and what we see in china white although all the trade surplus u.s. investment funds are already in china right now because they have a p. e. ratio only well so when a few we saw a massive emerging market meltdown with currencies the stock markets we saw in dollars forty i think twenty one people probably see a lot of reversal in that and i would say emerging markets and pretty good value this week so yes they look at the tech platforms like they found stocks with a call that they google of the apple all the amazon and facebook to think these are over salt down probably oversold and these companies have a near monopoly lock in certain spaces where they operate and you know if something

is not really good relations not if the economy what it is and no street profits now you mention because they're one of the criticisms of pay quite is that it's not it's not use it's not an adoptive right people don't have a use for it other than the store value case and that but we have seen now some new inroads in the payments temp raipur just last are funded a new payments company and they accept the space and you've got big big heavy why cycling base doing a lot of innovative things and so it's for nineteen the year that we see the adoption curve start to kick in dan. yeah you just mentioned a lot of points are made where is the innovation here in the army not really happening around you know it's happening space well used technology if you thought you were working in yuri. beecher's this is where a lot of be. innovation to happen oh wait you can see you know big

movements in we. are already well that thank you dan collins and that's it for our cause a report twenty nineteen new years protections when a well check in later on the air to see how our guests did if you want to get in touch with us tweet us a kaiser report and so next time by all. hello my name's peter and i think living in russia now for about seven years and this is a film about just some of the crazy things i've got to see in the time. when you're going to get this.

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