most people think to stand out in this business you need to be the first one on top of the story or the person with the loudest voice of the biggest ratings in truth to stand out in the news business you just need to ask the right questions and demand the right answer. question. hello and welcome to cross talk where all things considered i'm peter lavelle much was expected from the noise summit there may have been goodwill on both sides but

in the end neither the united states nor north korea could agree on the path forward the two sides failed to reach a common understanding of what their desired endgame for denuclearization actually is. crosstalk in the noise summit i'm joined by my guest john merrill in washington he is the former chief of the north east asia division of the bureau of intelligence and research at the u.s. state department and who is now a visiting scholar at the institute for korean studies at george washington university also in washington we have michael maloof he is a former senior security policy analyst in the office of secretary of defense and in new york we crossed and lee she is the author of several books including the award winning book what the u.s. can learn from china and will china's economy collapse all right crosstalk rules in effect that means you can jump in anytime you want and i always appreciate it let's

go to michael maloof first in washington the future dean of trump's studies at some prestige this university and the future here michael i don't think any of us are really surprised that it ended up in failure and one of the things the optics of it all and listening to the president president trump during this trip he really kind of pushed you know prosperity a future of. north korea integrated being rich in and reaching the living standards of its southern neighbor or even vietnam that was touted but the north koreans more than anything else want security and that was one of the huge disconnects watching this failed summit go ahead michael. yeah i think that i think you're absolutely right security is uppermost in their mind. kim jong un actually was invited vietnam to view some factory that was that is really showing a lot of prosperity and he actually stated his motel room so security was really

more more on his mind than anything secondly. if security and that promise of security is to come to north korea i think that that would ultimately. frighten china as well they need that they need a buffer and if the west is going to have that kind of an influence up to up to china itself i think there is i think china basically put the skids on thing are a little ones that will touch on that a little bit later big for its own reasons ok let me go to an end in new york here and one of the things in watching this whole process here is that i'm far more impressed it's impressive as summits are but i'm far more impress on how the two koreas are working developing their bilateral relationship isn't that really the way to go forward to see how far they can and then maybe with the blessings of the united states for good or ill because it's they have the most at stake here and it

seems to me this summit is really putting. the cart before the horse or the horse i mean there's so many things that need to be dealt with before we can get to that point and it's called competence building and i see the two koreas actually doing that go ahead in new york. i absolutely agree with you peter and i apologize again . it's i'm getting over a cold but. i agree there are a lot of integration issues that would have to be worked out between these two countries if they were to ever reunite again especially given that south korea is so much more advanced than the north koreans and they would. to be an enormous training it would you know it would be practically a humanitarian crisis really trying to integrate all these people that have been shut out of the modern world and so yes i think the conversations going on between these two countries are absolutely necessary. but certainly the bigger

picture of the geo political issues between china and the us cannot be ignored in this in this conversation about whether north korea did nuclear isis because so much of it depends on whether the united korea they would actually be a neutral territory or would you know one of the big powers have more influence there that's a very good point let me go to john here on one of course the trump administration the first and foremost what's on their mind is denuclearization but i think common sense kind of dictates that that's going to be the last step and not the first step wouldn't it be better for the united states to develop a bilateral relationship with north korea as building confidence between the two because you know it's really based i mean other than this these two summits in the whatever the personal chemistry is of the two leaders here you know the buyout

a relationship is zero ok you should not be really the the the the jumping off point because then you can start dealing with other issues i mean there's no reason in the world any common sense person would. perceive the north koreans would give up their only major chip on the table i mean that's the last you give away i mean it's is is much is a neo cons in washington hate that idea it's the last step it's not the first go ahead john well you know i think we should have been prepared to adopt a more gradual approach rather than going for a big package all at once you know the numbers are important the estimate of how many nuclear warheads north korea might have the. the top numbers. i think the united states has close to seven thousand as does russia so i think with respect to south korea i think the feeling in seoul is you remember a few years ago there used to be

a lot of talk about japan passing yeah. president moon wasn't that involved apparently in the in these arrangements and trump right after things failed to reach a settlement gave him a call for a fairly long period of time i guess half an hour and i guess will be coming here for a meeting with president trump so the south koreans are going to get back involved and i think they're very useful as a as a as a go between so i think this is not a permanent failure i think it's a temporary setback and i think we'll get going again i absolutely agree with you and michael and maybe you can learn from this failure here is not not going as john put it for such a large package because. like i said to me having these this what these weapon systems and launchers is the only thing that can. bring in the

united states i mean i'm sure north korea is basking in the in the sun right now that's what they want they want legitimacy they want to be treated with respect they want they want to be treated as some kind of equal here in part of the nuclear club here but on a different tone here do you think people like john bolton are particularly disappointed with the outcome. well i no i don't think they were disappointed at all i think that while not a number of things first of all it became increasingly apparent that the that trump was going to be pushing a gradualist approach. toward the nuclearization. and and. because they knew they could not get it all and secondly for but for bolton and pompei o. and company the near cons it really doesn't serve their purpose for everything to to work out and to come to come to a conclusion because they they need to keep those troops there they need to keep

otherwise a peace breaks out all over them then they lose their ability to influence events and and also to. also continue to watch china as well but it's not it's not realistic to think that the neo cons are going to get everything and in fact they probably the net probably never will be total denuclearization i agree with you because as you point out he will he will lose his he will lose that one trump card and all he ever has to do is point to saddam the history of saddam and to khadafi of libya as proof of that we have the law of unintended he also has internal issues ok we'll get to the eternal in the second half yes you also let me go to and here you know and i mean there was a lot of talk of chatter about a possible the possibility of ending the korean war because as we all know there was only an armistice that the war is still technically on if a peace treaty had been signed then logic would dictate i guess that why would the

united states keep up to twenty eight thousand troops in south korea if there is no complex there i mean this is the this is another law of unintended consequences and i know i tend to think the pentagon doesn't want the peace to break out because now they have a legal legitimate reason i suppose to be there but in an environment of peace what would that. which it amazing issue be it would be taken off the table go ahead and a new york. he doesn't say along the head there is a political consultant secret called rhodium group in washington that basically. put out a report back as like twenty eleven or two thousand and twelve saying that there was too much peace in asia pacific and they were very worried because that would make them completely make the us completely irrelevant since the u.s. was largely there on security basis as opposed to an economic power that was

really more of china's role and so this conundrum caused them to come up with new ways to try to trauma reasons to the role of it by artificially manufacturing issues like with the south china seas with china seas and obviously with north korea because when there are. divisions and tensions between these other countries that's good for the united states because that enables the u.s. to stay the number one power whereas the other folks do get out and we could see most recently what happened with pakistan and india you know one could argue that there was never any healing between these two countries because the british empire probably you know failed to redraw the lines correctly and thus created a lot of tension here that. you know we keep them preoccupied and therefore not

a threat to western nations who are going to i mean journalism will are dynamic right let me jump in to go to john before we go to the break here quickly answer is china happy with the result tonight here in hanoi go ahead john twenty seconds before we go to the break. no i don't think so and i think north korea wants the u.s. troops to stay i don't see any ok to to say that they want them out to the extent that north korea has become a status quo power and just wants to survive and develop its economy the u.s. presence on the peninsula has a certain utility not least of which is visa v. china the relationship between pyongyang and beijing is more very complex hold that that had a total hold out cannot hold that thought we're going to quickly reappear i right we well well after a quick break we're going to continue our discussion on this annoying summit stay with our team.

you know world of big partisan. and conspiracy it's time to wake up to dig deeper to hit the stories that mainstream media refuses to tell more than ever we need to be smart we need to stop slamming the door on the back and shouting past each other it's time for critical thinking it's time to fight for the middle for the truth the time is now we're watching closely watching the hawks. the folks who print the money when they want more money they just print more money they don't rely on the workers to go and produce stuff that they have to go sell

and then make a profit on the stuff they sell you don't see that the car industry mars become financially you don't see that the property market anymore spent a financial. manufacturing in the us has been exported to china and financial eyes commodified securitized. american. as a worker is completely redundant the same as they are around the world wages are converging and they converted to wages in china so china wages are roughly i think four or five thousand dollars a year this is where the american wages are headed. welcome back to cross talk we're all things are considered i'm peter lavelle to remind you we're discussing it. when you let me go back to john you know people come up with the greatest comments

and statements as we're going to the break here's i want to continue what he had to say here i mean one of the things that's very interesting to all of you here is that we all tend to think about after some kind of deal is made unification of korea well how would it would it be a neutral country would it be sway you know be in the sway of the united states would it be in this way of china everybody wants to know the answer to that question and you were alluding to it john go ahead and continue what you were saying before the break. well what i was saying peter is i think that in recent years north korea has come to accept the u.s. troop presence in south korea they may not like the fact that those troops are pointed against them but if you look at the power disparity the growing power disparity apart from the nuclear weapons because more than south and the relative size of the two economies and the those troops remaining on the peninsula serve as a security guarantee for north korea they also have to worry like everyone else in

the region about china's ambitions so i don't think north korea has any complaints with u.s. troops they don't like provocative exercises and i'm happy to say that trump has said that the exercises will continue to be suspended unless north korea does something the provokes again so i think that's overplayed that's very interesting mike you want to jump in there but we have to remember that not all south koreans like having the american military there we have to remember what they want and don't like because and under conditions of a complex under the conditions of a conflict the united states actually takes control of south korea's defenses and intelligence so there's a there's a sovereignty issue here as well michael you want to jump in go ahead yeah this gets to the very definition of what denuclearization rightly meant to both sides as they were going into this discussion for the for the north koreans denuclearization as we as we came to understand it was the removal of all u.s.

troops as well as all. i know the terror i hate it says it right that i hate to interrupt mike i think totally disagree with that there's no evidence for it. keep going michael. ok well well i feel that i feel that this this was why we have an issue over the definition of the nuclearization and it became an issue where where we talk about for total elimination of weapons their definition of denuclearization was to remove u.s. troops they they they want and of course they don't have a a they have this closeness with with china that as you'll recall every time that kim visit has has a summit he goes to china first and talks so there is something there is obviously a well he is are there this time it was he doesn't need china sure but this time.

well sure they need each other but that's a relationship that has had a lot of troubles over the years and i had someone who i don't know that visited north korea and china and described the relationship as not lips and teeth but bruises lips and broken teeth so it's a relationship that's fraught difficult to having the united states there provides a balance well well let me add one other ok we're only i was kind of the only on the cross talking you have politically incorrect talk like this here mike real quick because i want to go to and go ahead mike but yes sure because i had i read one report this morning that trump during the course of these conversations actually called. paying up china the president asking for him to help out on the on the north korea you know here on this latest discussion he called on call to make though he was reliant on it right he called him a great leader and you're an expert on china how does china because again you know

the way the media plays it up it's two leaders you know in a third country but there are so many other facets of what's going on right here the media doesn't really focus a lot on it again on the same question is china's satisfied or dissatisfied with what happened in one you know you go ahead and. china really. wants everyone to vacation that's been their official position mostly because china wants to reunify with taiwan and so they don't want to seem inconsistent here however they don't want to see u.s. troops on their border if he's to reunite and so for china one of the big questions is whether the u.s. with will withdraw some of their military if these two countries become one and so they want to know how close is that relationship between u.s.

and south korea and. and i know that china has had a history of relations with north korea. and it's mostly because there were a lot of folks in china's government that were trying to undermine xi jinping. so they were the ones that were sneaking in military and other. supplies to the north koreans flouting she brings order and so she's a big himself as a lot of internal issues to deal with but i think that after she being was able to consolidate more power under him. and cleaned out some of those folks that were defying. you know his policies. basically said you know. that you know you're the one that i'm going to respect because i know that all the people who are trying to undermine you your back are now in jail

and i can't deal with them anymore and so i think that's a difference that has happened between the north koreans and china but you know make no mistake china does not want it clear as an insult because that could spin out of control share it all that's all it's own and in china quite literally the fallout here you know john what it could mean counterintuitive here i mean i guess for the pentagon in its. presence in south korea it serves many different purposes it shows to the other alliance members of alliances the united states has in that part of the world their commitment if it was suddenly withdrawn could be doubts with the philippines japan etc it seems to me that really at the end of the day. the church the chinese and the americans you know when push comes to shove they kind of actually growing gradually would admit the status quo they can all live with it trump wants a no trump wants

a nobel prize ok it seems pretty obvious to me but i mean if you look at i'm serious ok but i mean. well he people could live with the status quo here because i don't believe that the north koreans would ever use those weapons i mean i do believe that they use it is a deterrent and it's a way to have sanctions relief but not enough and some force because we all know we've been forty five minutes that would be ashes so the status quo but people are pretty happy with go ahead john. well i think that's i think that's right peter and i think that north korea has gradually evolved over the last few decades into a status quo power they want to survive and recently they have a another goal that has risen to the fore which is they want to develop their economy and they were prepared to give up their. their nuclear card at the outset and they wanted sanctions relief which they didn't get very much of

a promise of very much so i think that's why the talks collapsed. you know i'm i don't think they will get started i do too i think you know if failure you can learn from here i want to ask michael and and also the same question here because we keep talking about possible unification because i think we all really want that i mean one nation divided terrible war a terrible cold war that they've had for for decades so there are there are families that are still divided and there's a lot of really good things to think about when unification but what about the kim family i mean are they going to go peacefully if we get unification what are you going to do i mean because i think it's fair to say that it's you know the sovereignty of north korea and the sovereignty of the kim family are almost a complete overlap here ok i mean they don't want to you know sign a peace treaty and have them go into oblivion that their whole history in running that country is all about being that country go ahead michael and then i want to

and ass answer go ahead well i just think i just think that survival for the kim family is paramount that that is what they want and i think that they would go to war in order to preserve their own but i don't think they would use the nuclear weapon card in that in that in that area because they don't want to destroy south korea they don't want to contaminate everybody around i think it's more for intercontinental purposes but it also gives them a leverage and they want to keep that lever. each as long as they're in a position to control things and i just don't see them ever denuclearizing for that reason and i and i don't and contrary to what china wants but at the same time china wants to keep north korea as a buffer i think that they don't want to have western influence right up up to there but they and that's why china isn't cooperating fully on the sanctions they're still allowing things to go on and i mean this. i mean that even though you

know like what was it eighty thousand bottles of vodka were going to stop them in rotterdam it was going to i don't. really care that we could use ninety thousand and i think it was in the netherlands ok i don't really i don't i don't know if they were thinking they can get stuff they can get stuff here and the same question or you know it's curious really really feeling the pain of actions they can't get their vodka. i don't know it's a big big popular drink there unless the kid lived in europe for a while maybe russia russian influence ok there you go there's always going to be russian meddling is only going to give with her boris voice and her tremendous enthusiasm as a last minute of the program go ahead and. so i think that one path to reunification that might be satisfactory for the kim family would be something that was like what happened with hong kong transitioning back to china where there

is a fifty year period where they could still have their own sovereignty and it could be a gradual process so that they could work out all the kinks. but you're absolutely right they could actually maintain the status quo because these weapons are truly only used for deterrent it doesn't harm anybody you know nobody seriously thinks that north korea is a threat to the u.s. for the very reasons we said yes they have ok but the question really going to end on this how on earth can really read and us the seven thousand. going on here and let me just imagine that only we're not at the end right now as you know they run out of time we've run out of time many thanks to my guests in new york and in want to me and thanks to our viewers for watching us here darkie see you next time and remember crosstalk.

go in and you may never get out. my teenage gang rules here. don't want to remove. my. name he will. kill. her.

and melanie. you know mccain. lost its moral compass maybe if to put more values into the system my personal opinion is we have to strengthen multinational multilateral institutions are living in a dark ruled it's like a room loosely we scream having always. action and come to action we need to put back to the system and we need stronger leadership and better leadership.

you know we're number one. capital in united states we all follow number one. how many. an. awful for most. people are you selling crack rock or you got a weekend jump shot in order to excuse. the joe who act like a lying in a monk's although one. piece a month of sundays so this is somebody who also fit is at the root for. what we really need is someone from the outside. we had somebody gets lost because of a series they lost in the studio so as

a date should not intermediate between cause of the palestinians. have. been a swale a move to protect its assets by ordering the states will companies european h.q. to move to moscow amid concerns shared by russia over u.s. led attempts to be stabilize the country. it is very clear was going on u.s. is seeking to arm terrorist groups a rival in order to be stabilized in undermine our p two p. only creates tension some situations that might trigger as the us wants an explosion of blood both his and his weight has to justify military into fears of. an indian pilot captured by pakistan has been handed over to him.