one of the best watched as most people read whatever is posted and believe it immediately then any retraction is only believed by people intelligent enough to read it their own says really great issue with very searching questions poll says fantastic sure we're guessing or treated as such and also very informative what i love is the diversity of guests and interviews with very interesting and intelligent people that we rarely see on mainstream t.v. keep up the great white guys thank you very much polled and family james says what c.e.o. for alex in the show well james if you want to contact both priestly mail and at the show at alex salmond boskoff and of course you can contact us via twitter or our facebook page now as you know the base traces there is a keen betting market this is how the latest outlook with the bikies. and so borders johnson is a runaway favorite but it's plentiful find out to the cost since time immemorial favorites to not always when. alex turns to daily mail columnist peter oborne to

give us the form and assess the prospects of the field now i'm delighted to be joined by a top racing pundit something he's been studying the form the trainers of the conservative party for many many years peter oborne welcome to the exam show great pleasure others so what we're considering this this new race royal ascot so this is the tory leadership states what do you qualities do you require to. as the winner of this race. well it's very like studying the the results of any race you have to look at. a form over a course and distance of ever got the class look at the ownership the trainers you've got to make all of these assessments can they cope with the going of a been taking any noxious substances all of these that matters need to be taken into account let's start from the outside. and have

a look at the well that and this is no detriment to them as they would be described in recent as the rags in the brown or field estell mcvie mark harper and matt hancock though their places currently are all 100 to one or all over any of them overpriced in your opinion the one of those 3 i would look at with a little bit of seriousness and some attention is it is hank up he's clearly very ambitious and he comes from the old born the former chancellor george osborne stable a clever man he ran cameron for the leadership in 2000 of the army of was 100 to one no he was not cyder an old ball was the trainer he got he was the chief strategist and osborne is running hancock is very clear and 2nd secondly he's got david livingston the once once the deputy prime minister because some of the utech for the leadership. as i never to i thought he might be prime minister of some

other kids. and that might have happened but anyway he's living to an interesting instance so there's a bit of establishment support there's a bit of quiet money those logs is not unattractive but you think there's the mark karpal no hope of space and unfortunately yes although i had my own something what sparky about as for mcvey she's brings a bit of something different like oh she's never publicly and might go well aintree but we're not unfortunate talking about the grand national here with. flat rate so we should keep our eye hand caught parts of future but let's look at rory stewart then he's been at the surprise packet of the airlie stages of the recently cause much more of a star that may have been expected i love this run because he is in the process of reinventing political discourse the way he goes out and talks to people not just talks listens to people this is very unusual he appears to be unmediated

i.e. he hasn't got this team of spin doctors around me piers to be doing it on his own but what i love i. love about stuart is he's doing is i'm way now he is theft of 3 to one my ask a few other small investment yourself and if you know what i have done actually higher than that because i've found that i think even if he doesn't win this time you're winning he'll become tory leader and proceeds to charity indeed and it's important but. i think that he's a very interesting player he is really come from nowhere he wasn't fancy at the start of the contest showed up very well in the early trials take the reins the watchers have been very very struck by him let's go full of though the field dominant rock he's 30 feet one as well the present that is quite surprising because

initially he was regarded as a perhaps are much more live well run of them defeat one what we have a slow rob campaign at the present moment and may to spark into life. i think rob has a major problem he's too young he's too mechanical he's too robotic and above all he's got the boris johnson problem i.e. he is he embarrassed of the too hard to tears and he can't really compete with boris johnson and so rob is i think will disintegrate quite soon i would never i never fancied him i never felt he had a chance i felt that she was overpriced entering the one of his big backers perhaps as traders as david davis or willful whiten david davis self are supposed to put notice younger inexperienced horse dominic rob for 2 reasons one i think davis must be very scarred by 2005 when he starts the context contest of us in our favorite to be david cameron and then he faltered and fell and i think is still very bruised

and secondly i think it's because david davis is the nice man dominic rob used to work for him used to be his research or is very gifted intelligent and rob probably made davis look rather better than he really was because he is that good and and so davis i think is doing this on a personal goal thing and let's move on to someone who hasn't taken drugs in the home state but the judgment on him. is that if the one is well only 4 percent he wants toted does being one of the favors a bit of an outsider why is that he has a lack of spontaneity everything is very carefully calculated and contrived he's guilty of being a machine politician you would have thought with the amazing background son of a bus driver a 1st generation immigrant. where made a few 1000000 quid in the city going to politics there would have been a bit more to him you know a bit more swagger but everything is so calculated i wish that wasn't the case for

some of his position of been. from the wind was one of the people in the late stage of the he has. on immigration of been less prejudice than the the outgoing prime minister the arguments about police numbers he's within the terms of being a cabinet minister trying to position himself in the late say that the bit as a local reward betting for for being rate the number of fish hasn't he changed his positions on these conveniently less than what day. when he was home secretary away and still the current predicament i didn't notice him being quite so brave as now he's reshaping his positions to disavow positions he was responsible for you know years ago home said to be a politician yes but i will have saying is that he has these are long standing positions as far as i can tell and let's move on to what we make on the front of the top 4 really mark by the way i think he's looking good at the moment so

jabbered could still i wouldn't i wouldn't rule him out of the contest at this stage ok ok but you have a better comparison in that right now michael gove and in some ways by far the most interesting horse in this this contest in the sense that what is backwards is quite interesting but and previous contests but it started off as a very very strong 2nd favorite to johnson he drifted out alarmingly 2025 to one but the last couple days is odds of started to shorten again despite the lasik ok in the lasix i guess 6 revelations. so what no for michael gove is he too clever by half well achille was my fairy about why he's been so damaging to him the cocaine issue where is it hasn't others it's because the lot of people who are out to take revenge. you need friends in politics and there are

a lot of people who want to get rid of who have long standing grudges which they want to repay. one of them will be friends of mr boris johnson who will recall that he was stabbed in the back in the front in the front by i.b.m. better impended and that's just the thing about these 2 great rivals michael corballis johnson could be termed as coming from the same stable could not not quite. the only johnson comes from the lynton crosby stable the trainer glinton crosby is the key figure in this contest because he's the best trainer by far it's like having a no brand and a down darby morris has got the the man of the moment. brand of this contest instant however both of them come from the same what you might loosely the same ownership they both packed by from the murdoch murdoch press them and let's call

the owners will center and. go over who was sense by murdoch and was with murdoch when he interviewed trump member to couple of years ago something of the person says he can't remember indeed worley's is i think the coverts very memorable so better not to the president and then of course murdoch dispatches top political editor of to the united states to interview trump to get trump to tip boris johnson so in other words what you've got here is that rupert murdoch and donald trump backing boris johnson very strongly and of course rupert murdoch and trump a big big breaks it is and of course this brings in my firearm because trump's key political analysis alice as far as britain is concern is is nigel farage. she takes his briefings from pharrell so much

a one was for his for the michael gove can he recover from that airless setback of the cain revelations or not in my view go is going to be very hard pressed to recover the way he had positioned himself was as the kind of compromise candidate but the heart break to boris johnson and the more moderate rest of the party and gold go had sort of was going to be the all things to all men can do that and there's one particular reason why the came revelations hit him is because he's got a lot of enemies who are determined to use that in order to really damage ideally from their point of view destroy him and so the lot of this is about old fuge which are being settled. join us after the break when peter oborne narrows down the field to his predictions as to who will make it through the final round off and who reached the finishing post at the door of number 10 downing street.

i'm not really a little you know well you know but you know it's in your vocal chords are. you. with the one that. you were looking for something to. lead you to surround us. must have learned something. new there are these. delegates in the local which is based on

what goes. on with your leanings there's the chutzpah to look at your bullshit i mean you look there's a lot you. that. you know we don't want to. hear from. you know world of big movies lot and conspiracy it's time to wake up to dig deeper to hit the stories that mainstream media refuses to tell more than ever we need to be smarter we need to stop slamming the door on the back and shouting past each other it's time for critical thinking it's time to fight for the middle for the truth the time is now for watching closely watching the hawks.

why a paradise with summer all year round turned into a round the experimentation field for agricultural chemicals we know that these chemicals have consequences they are major here tell us there's no question otherwise why would the chemical company workers themselves be geared up that suited up locals attempt to combat the unrelated experiments that often in day you have many of these people where one foot into the biotech pharma and the other foot in the government regulatory bodies this kind of collusion is reprehensible while the battle goes on the chemicals continue to poison hawaii and its people so one has to ask the question whether there is a form of environmental research going on in hawaii whether these companies feel they can get away with this because the people have less political power. welcome by talk with peter oborne a long standing observer of conservative leadership contests someone has been

assessing the runnels for the the contest is going on at the present moment no people were dying to the final 3 in the in the betting as the odds stand the snow was talking until it's forced many people are surprised that she's still single figure all that so we can see that the number of therapies baqir support why is andrea lives and so shot in the betting market i agree with this point you're just making i mean andrea lives is that lively figure she's been quite a good leader of the house of commons she ran last time and stumbled badly of course and distance is dreadful anybody would immediately write her off and that's proven by the fact that she has finally 5 or 6 or 7 or 8 employees backing now i look at those olds and i would personally put 850210021 no chance of top of the actually very she is an 8 to one i can. understand it doesn't make any sense if you

are samir somebody who's watched betting patterns over the years sometimes you get fake markets and funny money coming for i think that's funny money i don't know where it's from what it's about doesn't make any sense to me it could be somebody who supports once or to make it is doing this in order to make her look much stronger than she actually walk a mile for one. of the women of the race years the front running woman and maybe there are conservative m.p.'s it won't be a good idea of a 1000000 female going to the final 2 and secondly of course there's also the prospect all these other people might blow themselves up and she doesn't look like the candidate who's going to self combust i agree you could argue she did she learn she's learned her lessons from from last time and that she's but the calculation here is because she's the heartbreak satiric she's going to leave the 1st possible opportunity she's calculating that boris johnson will somehow implode and dominate

rob won't be able to pick up take up the running and then she will come through as the candidate of the of the hard right maybe that's what she thinks let's come to the top 2 in the betting assistant a snow job hunt a surprise package in many ways in the sense that june early stages of this leadership recede he seems to of gain ground gain stature in the way which has surprised many people hasn't surprised me there are 2 if you look at the form book always as you know the racing man the 1st thing to look at there are 2 runners with the best form the 1st one is boris johnson who will come to is what he is one of the bigger election and the 2nd one is jeremy hunt he's got the form book as a future prime minister he's run a major department of state for a long period that's the state for help for 7 years and that was he didn't make any big mess ups he kept it under control. dottle stricken are

a member of them camping near st thomas's you're quite right about junior doctors and they would and he did well you handle that strike saw them off very very cold and then the other one was it was the fact that he is now foreign secretary enables him to promoting himself on the international stage some people say it's only succeeded this fall set because this succeeded but as john's that may or may not be true and somewhat say will he say that he added succeeded as foreign secretary been at the useless but be that as it may it's given the opportunity to mingle with world leaders you know don't trump knows who he is amazing actually and one up and michael go he up exactly so and it's given him a bit of stature is the establishment candidate and that's very important because it means he's got the chancellor of the exchequer he's means he's got a lot of big cabinet heavyweights and he's going to go on attracting support watch

as the other candidates fall out as for instance. gove falls out you will find most of the govt supporters going to hunt i predict he's going to win the can win by quite a large margin in the 1st race the race among the m.p.'s that's what looks like glee and totally nonpolitical way of course or perhaps apolitical we could could turn one because the royal commission i wouldn't have thought that jeremy hunt was calling the world colors in this race i you would. i mean also it wasn't forget that rory stewart was it was you not to search of the 2 princes i can't remember but i certainly think that boris johnson won't be carrying the role colors level though michael michael go who as you will call disgracefully should have been the end of his political career lete probably pick. conversation here had of privy

council terms with the queen that i should say no less a little bit it looked absolutely cut and dried no question that that that he is the prime suspect and that is a lapsley terrible thing to do much worse than the legal substances i would seize and the organs of the favorite the front of the man who is no odds on in the betting $4.00 to $6.00 and the way to sort some books 4 to 7 which is a very short phrase for any horses boss just is he haven't nailed on certainty as the place would suggest i don't think he is a nailed on certainty i i think that 4 to 6 is too short i wouldn't be good wouldn't be touching it going to his advanced g.'s he's one of actions like you you very very few people in this country actually won bigger lections you've done it boris's done it but very rarely happens. and he's

a winner and he's had experience of running running london and experiencing government although thinking he was a triumph of the foreign secretary and the weaknesses is not trusted by a great many people. hated even if you can imagine it boris wins you will find certain figures actually quitting the tory party so let's get the number of goes every horseless must come to a conclusion and this horse race as you rightly said is a 2 stage missile firstly you have taps for the for the final 2 well i think the parliamentary party is likely to pile on behind behind jeremy hunt the foreign secretary with johnson coming a very distant seconds and then they go to the country that we've month for hustings unless mr johnson makes a real mess of things he's likely to win among this very selective. collection of

people who mainly who are ardent brings its ears and quite a lot of them are great admirers of mr johnson at the moment it looks like the final 2 will probably be hunt versus johnson and allows in the country it's that is the race which favors jobs well let's just take these 2 and let's see either one of them becomes prime minister jeremy hunt becomes prime minister by a surprise mileage is to get past bores in the final straight or something happens a lowe's them to win the race on the 20 activists. would be has biggest problem as prime minister coming into the concert jewish one big problem all of them face is brick sees and the issue of doing getting through a deal which mrs may was unable to do because we all know. that europe isn't changed its mind is not as a lot of possibility that mr barley a year vision for. the 40 year retires might see or thank

goodness that the law does not bother the jobs of the as well as give those may smile generally or above a hand there is an interesting thesis isn't it that actually will say to these bricks it fanatics who are playing war live delusional those simply save you really what breaks you're more likely to get it from me than from mr johnson who is regarded as something without the cat brought it in brussels so gently hunts difficulty be negotiating the brakes. boris johnson if you becomes prime minister he's got a really big problem and parliament has a lot this is exactly right that he can e command a majority in parliament and that takes us on to this very interesting remark that the prime minister mrs may said that she wouldn't she wouldn't reserve which she wouldn't quit. till such time as she was confident her successor could command

a majority in parliament you're not telling me the will of the tory leadership stakes is going to be the outgoing prime minister who's just resigned well it could be if you taken literally let's assume therefore that mr and i think this must have been intended mr johnson johnson wins the contest in the country he becomes the tory leader but the prime minister says well i've missed and so i can't recommend to the queen my successor. until such time as i am confident that my successor has a mage can command a majority of the house and then majority can't do so and then the it will become plain that once you voted out the scots and that the labor party implied comrie and the the u.p.a. and 20 tories who say we're not going to serve on the johnson or vote for him that he counts the house just says no this is

a great big rosebery and this is mayor sells off into the sunset. has remained as private as well and the even of the late julian critchley could have thought of a political ending such as such as that sort of what you're saying is there was a possibility that johnson mayor just the winner of the race but be deprived in the stewards exactly as the prime minister in consultation with other officials. but privately get rid of it so what you're saying is that the glittering prizes of 10 downing street may be a short lived achievement for one boy in the stands absolutely may well be that. hugh ever wins actually not just mr johnson is not prime minister for very long and if you were to write a political novel about the circumstances of the last few years would you have managed to come up with a plot which is quite as involved as complex and unlikely as the one which is no

unfold i advise against writing novels the real life is much more interesting read it over thank you so much thank you and. many harsh races throw up surprises particular when the stakes are high after all that's what keeps bookies in a comfortable living and this case that is a runaway favorite and bought as johnson but the race is still in its very early stages until his high profile launch of yes the just in the big cat well out of the way living his rivals to make the running and of course the mistakes now he's out and cleared of the field of apparently unstoppable momentum there's many a slip between cup and lip and many a pit for between no and the downing street winning post certainly his opponents believe that is always the live possibility of bought us blowing himself up however the biggest question of the leadership stakes applies to all of that unless those who want to deal with europe have to explain how they can succeed where police are

mayors failed meanwhile the nor dealers have to explain how they can get such a proposition passed the parliament to have a majority across the parties determined to avoid that suck of stance. it is precisely that possibility of a new deadlock between the winning toward a candidate and an unimpressed parliament which led to the old board to float the scenario that the outgoing prime minister could hang around until someone else demonstrates they can command a majority of the house of commons is still sitting quietly after the race for the weather to lose the race in the student is perhaps far fetched have no candidate as yet has come up with a cleanable answer to the blacks that dilemma and if the new tory leader can't discover to discover that soon than the one thing that unites this fractious party becomes ever more likely they are united in opposing an early general election but that is exactly where they may end up and into a new race with the people rather than the conservative party membership choose the

next prime minister and so for me in all of the show it's goodbye for now. officer. told them to get up off the ground. down. heard them freeze on the sounds of an mit grown man with misleading essentially. wish to do away from the officer. of his group. the officer did they kind of lunge

for the weapon once missed and then when it happened on tree swung as i didn't hit him i never saw any contact with. any kind of went back to where they were so the officers back here there try again 15 feet apart at this point and that's when the officer pulled out his gun and he bit on 3. match geysers financial survival guide liquid to those that you can convert music that's quite easily. to keep in mind no ousted him into a pleasure to watch or. to what we've got to do is identify the threats that we have it's crazy confrontation let it be an arms race is often scary dramatic to follow only i'm going to exist i don't see how that strategy will be successful very critical time time to

sit down and talk. the u.k.'s home secretary hands a u.s. extradition request for julian assange to the courts in the west of course fate could be decided at a hearing on friday. plus 2 oil tankers catch fire in the gulf of oman suspected attacks amid high tensions in the region the incident has an oil prices soaring. special alliance with very special people requires of our equipment over a plane and donald trump praises a new deal that sees a deepening of military ties with poland because an extra u.s. troops will be deployed as were more than 30 american fighter jets.