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tv   Boom Bust  RT  July 10, 2019 1:30pm-2:01pm EDT

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i. was casting around the globe and covering the world of business and finance and the impact of i'm christiane and i'm daniel prieto in washington here's a look at what's on deck today joyce chang continues to slash jobs as part of its restructuring could there be an eerie pattern unfolding nailer a public citizen is on hand to sort through what's in store for the banking behemoth. in the wake of the constant terror threats auto exports from mexico to the states have spiked lauren fix the car coach joins us today to break down the boom of cars coming across the border we are packed out today i thought let's go and dive right in. a legal fight that could such major global precedence on down to sharing and privacy leads our global report today as the irish data protection commission takes a case against facebook to the european court of justice on tuesday the e.c.g.
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the top court of the european union began hearing a case that began with revelations that a u.s. spy agency the national security agency was compelling facebook and similar companies to turn over private data from users in the e.u. the 11 specific questions that spun out of that case are now before the court and center on the rules that govern tech companies sharing data from users around the world so-called standard contractual causes or c c's if the e.c. j. finds that as he sees fail to protect the privacy rights guaranteed by e.u. laws companies like facebook and its peers could be forced to sequester that lucrative trove of european consumer data and rewrite their rules for sharing what is arguably their most valuable resource a decision from the court is expected before the end of this year. catching up with africa 54 of 55 leaders attending the recent african union summit in nigeria has signed an agreement to create the african continental free. trade area the proposal
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under discussion for 4 years advanced after regional power nigeria was convinced to support it while in trade as one of the remaining holdouts on the continent's agreement which would eliminate most tariffs has been ratified in the national parliaments of about half of the african union members the unions trade and industry commissioner predicted that the area would become operational by july of 2020 but gathered elders also advanced plans for pan african payment system to maximize efficiencies within the trading bloc and reduce trade barriers created by the region's scarcity of foreign exchange. and japan has launched another round in the back and forth with south korea or new restrictions on export materials used in semiconductors and smartphone displays japanese trade and industry minister here is shogi seiko said tokyo was quote not thinking at all of rolling back the restrictions on exports of 3 men their minerals says seoul after south korean president moon j in warned and warned of countermeasures if they were to affect
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korea's tech companies mr seiko spoke about the situation during a news conference tuesday to kind of similar i think this is extremely dependent on the south koreans to sponsor naturally there is a possibility of the expansion of export controls in a properly done situation they were last year at their new size she used to go for her interview it was not existed. now i miss the organization ordinary like other usual giuliani so i can't help but think what problems there are. there is absolutely not a financial measure in. doing your bank's message to the world is that they are undergoing a restructuring a routine restructuring like the ones that have happened every quarter for the past few years in order to return the business to profitability and this current iteration davey is attempting to shed its at what is investments its train bus.
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this and shift over to primarily a lending business now on the surface this move makes perfect sense but let's dig a little deeper remember when bear stearns underwent a restructuring translation things are in a full on crisis mode now the debts of lehman brothers and bear stearns were quick and painless but the coming the rise of deutsche bank has been long drawn out and very painful in recent times davies investment banking division has been among the largest in the world comparable to goldman j.p. morgan and they have led book runners in notable i.p.o.'s such as go daddy and aston martin and ali baba and more but today with the stock trading at $7.00 per share that is down 95 percent from its peak in 2007 the lowest it's ever been in its 150 year history the bee is in an irreversible death spiral and this restructuring is too little too late now this was an interesting quote from miles edwards yesterday. actually view it interest you look more like a bear stearns in the lehman because i like lehman the bank is not in the fall it's
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not the end growth they still have some volubility. some really terrible decisions which are scaring off institutional and hedge funds themselves so now let's take a look at some of these bad decisions in october of 2015 an ounce a restructuring after being hit by a record fine for $2500000000.00 for the library scandal they then record a record loss of $6800000000.00 for 2015 and then the ex cel soran tells everybody that the company is rock solid in 2016 in march d.v. disclosed the notional value of the derivatives on its books to be $54.00 trillion euros the baron bird bank then warned that d.v. is over 40 times leverage the federal reserve bank came out and said that davy failed the fed stress test 3 times in the last 5 years in 2018 i was involved in a money laundering scandal with a bank then in april of 2019 the german police raided. over tax evasion charges
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mounting up to a 1000000000 euros and then also in the 1st quarter of 2019 deedes hail mary attempt at a private bailout by commerzbank failed as merger talks collapsed now this collapse of deutsche has been predictable so it comes as no surprise to industry players its top shareholder airlines cut exposure from 10 percent and dump shares running for the exit the 7th largest hedge fund in the world and d.b.s. biggest prime brokerage client closed out counterpart exposure and also moved on so what scared them well it could be massive derivates mosher $43.00 trillion euros of as to made derivatives on the books in 2008 derivatives played a big role in the financial crash in the form of collateralized debt obligations and betting on top of these financial assets people basically made bad on the market and people made bets on top of those bets and it turned what originally was a few $1000000000.00 of assets into a few trillion dollars and that's exactly what happened to do
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a job bank here bloom 40 trillion dollars off of only a few $1000000000.00 of assets through providing longs and shorts on both sides of the trade now that in it's of a self is fine banks actually do this all the time but the bad news is what are these underlying assets even if it's only an estimate $100000000000.00 worth of assets under this that's enough to drive clean it's market cap currently at $7.00 it's only $15000000000.00 then there will be an absolute need of a bailout in 2007 merrill lynch owned a $7200000000.00 of safe c.e.o.'s but by the time the losses started mounting up they skyrocket to $32000000000.00 so basically just a few $1000000000.00 the risky assets can lead to a huge don the effect so now what are these assets and what is d.b.s. exposure to them another big red flag is that in 20 reported a net income of only $200.00. and 67000000 euros now d.b.
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now is the largest bank in germany and one of the largest in europe so with a scale of that size this figure is really low and really concerning added to the fact that it is currently operating in an economy where basically the entire central bank has kept interest rates near 0 or even negative basically pumping capital and buying up toxic assets have had a crutch and it still can't come up to profitability that is seriously concerning and it also points to the fact that there is something inside that we don't know about that is draining the company who knows it could be the derivatives exposure and basically it's only a matter of time before they are going to need the support from the e.c.b. . and with more details on this big financial fail we're glad to welcome back public citizens financial policy advocate welcome back to the show thanks for having me. chris he gives some great context there and there's obviously been a long into mulch was journey i guess the question now is they've clearly sort of
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applied the turning kit arguably cut off a limb but is this enough to stop the financial bleeding is there more pain in the future it's unclear i think there's more pain in the future i think there are a number of things they need to do they need to raise capital that is the assets minus liabilities is what they've got in capital and continue to bleed that among other things by paying a dividend so terminate the dividend sell divisions this bank as all the mega banks are too big to manage start obeying the law that would be nice they paid $17000000000.00 in in penalties over the last dozen years and finally change the compensation structure the people that made the mistakes leading to where they are now were actually did that because they were paid too so the compensation structure needs to be changed take the top $500.00 officers half their pay should be sequestered used to pay penalties paid in convertible debt such that if the bank does go insolvent it changes have to stop. which would be basically worthless that
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wouldn't set of eyes these managers to put the integrity of the bank ahead of whatever gambles that their particular division is engaged with sun now how did this actually come to happen after the last financial crisis we actually placed certain risk parameters that were set in place for something like this to actually never happen again so how do we once again find ourselves staring at the brink of a potential collapse of 150 year old banking institution basically at the epicenter of the e.u. but we certainly wanted to put risk parameters and guardrails but in fact we only took the most tepid steps the 2010. wall street reform and consumer protection act was really the compromise that wall street let us have so for example. the so-called healthy j.p. morgan its capital is only about 8 or 9 percent that is to say assets minus liabilities what's left is is that 8 or 9 percent it's 92 percent leveraged whereas
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deutsche bank it's it's down there at about 4 percent meaning 96 percent of its its assets are paid with borrowed funds and what are those assets as you pointed out before they claim a certain book value but maybe not as with bear stearns when they had to mark to market they found themselves essentially insolvent finally. back in the other big banks have grown very fond of gambling 90 percent of the gambling takes place within the banks themselves it's not necessarily wall street versus main street 90 percent of his wall street versus wall street derivatives are all bets somebody's when somebody loses guess who the loser has been deutsche bank and i mean derivatives isn't really a nasty word i mean we treat it like that by direct was actually a really common instrument and banks as you mention use it all the time the danger is when they present a systemic risk to the massive counter parties who are the counter parties to to.
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and do they have do they have exposure to the systemic risk if they collapse the one of the biggest problems with financial stability is that we don't actually know they may know but the public doesn't necessarily know so the i.m.f. and others have tried to chart the interconnectedness of deutsche bank in the other banks but in fact these are the biggest risks and if a bank fails to make good on its derivatives bets that's the vector through which systemic tremors take place when the biggest writer of credit default swaps failed it essentially hundreds of billions of dollars that it couldn't pay the bailout g. was really a bailout to their counterparts goldman sachs and for example deutsche bank got $11000000000.00 of the united states taxpayer money to make good on the c.d.s. is that you could not make good on sun i compare this situation all to bear stearns
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a lot and they're actually really pretty similar bear stearns a collapse in confidence that drove it to the very brink of insolvency i just like right now the shorts are absolutely piling on and funds are stampeding out withdrawing the assets rand tech their biggest clients have actually withdrawn so now tell us more about the impact of the losses of these clients that they're facing and i mean the shorts are increasing every single day could they actually drive back to before they even have a chance to recover it's a vicious cycle so more successful banks the winners of these swaps their cost of capital is less the losers their cost of capital is more and so as they are depending on short term money that really it's over night and week to week funding as that funding go grows more expensive even their winnings aren't enough to pay for the borrowed money that they used to try to make these scandals so yes the similarities with bear stearns are are are justified. confidence unfortunately
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is necessary because when you're at such a thin margin and what the public believes determines your fate. arlette naylor financial policy advocate a public citizen thank you so much for and say thank you. it's time now for a quick break but hang here because when we return in the wake of constant threats exporters exports from mexico to the united states spiked lauren fix the car coach joins us to break down the boom of cars coming across the border and as we go to break here are the numbers of the close.
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or. you're. your. ira. join me every thursday on the alex salmond show and i'll be speaking to guest of the world of politics small business i'm show business i'll see you then. this is a story about what happens auster a stray bullet kills a young girl in the street. who happens to have family and daughters in florida
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letting my other daughter is buried in a cemetery it is meaning less is your head what happens to the community the public was screaming for a scapegoat the police needed a scapegoat so why not choose a 19 year old black kid with a criminal record who better to pin this on than him and what happens in court be. shot after shot as far as society we feel. we don't know chills just from. the end of this trial unfortunately you. will still not know who killed just. dream agreed to prison which i'm old enough to remember that it was and most of my family were unemployed or people and it wasn't it was bed you know much worse objective listen today but there was an expectation that things were going to get
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better. there was a real sense of hopefulness there isn't today today's america where shape my. the 10 principles of concentration of wealth and power. reduce democracy attack so no doubt engineer elections manufacture consent and other principle according to. one set of rules for the rich. that's what you put or. will switch which is dedicated to increasing power for to. one of the most influential intellectuals of our time speaks about the modern civilization of america.
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welcome back on tuesday pakistan will receive $1000000000.00 instalments from the international monetary fund under the recently concluded $6000000000.00 bailout package the bailout was aimed at stabilizing the nation's economy and institutions and will require very ambitious fiscal measures for the bailout to succeed a central part of the program will involve cleaning up accumulated debts in the power and gas sectors and loss making state enterprises which include pakistan international airlines pakistan still males and pakistan railways these losses have now amounted to the equivalent of 4 percent of g.d.p. posing a serious fiscal risk this 3 year bail package will be pakistan's 13th bailout package since the late 1980 s. the nation is struggling with slow growth in a budget deficit which has climbed to more than 7 percent of g.d.p. the currency revert serves stand at less than $8000000000.00 or enough to cover
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nearly 2 months of imports clearly these bella packages are not sufficient and the nation will how this soon top policies and forms to turn the ship around. i.b.m. announced tuesday they have a has close $34000000000.00 deal to purchase open source software company red hat and marking the largest acquisition in the 108 year history of the company they agreement between i.b.m. and redhat was made in october of 2018 but had to wait regulatory approval in the european union and the united states the deal was made for $190.00 per share in cash a 63 percent premium on top of the stock price on the news i.b.m. stop was down just under one percent on the day while red had management's team must stay in place with red hat c.e.o. jim whitehurst joining the i.b.m. senior management team under c.e.o. ginni rometty i.b.m. hopes to use the acquisition to make inroads in the highly lucrative college space opting to put together multiple platforms rather than trying to head to head with
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the head and sector leaders like amazon microsoft and google. a record setting 2600000 vehicles into the u.s. from mexico in 2018 amounting to 15 percent market share the latest figures show mexico come sharing an even greater share of the u.s. auto market in 1st half of 2019 from january to june of this year mexico countered 16.3 percent of the u.s. auto market that works out to $1370000.00 vehicles coming up across the border according to the major mexican auto trade group for more on this and we are joined by the car coach lauren fix welcome back lauren. thank you for having me now lauren this surge of mexican auto exports to the u.s. in the 1st half of this year happened of course despite the very high profile terror threat from the white house against mexico over immigration issues how do these 2 sides of the picture fit together it is apparent conflict with this booming trade relationship in cars. well automotive industries have always said of play and
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so they don't need vehicles they're going to produce especially if they're launching a new vehicle and if they're producing it in mexico they have to get a. to market so they didn't let the tariffs impact them in the fact that they've put the tariffs aside for now and it seems to be that we're putting together a u.s.m.c. a they're planning to continue bringing vehicles across now if they said today there was a tariff they couldn't stop production they might slow production but they couldn't stop it so these vehicles were already in the pipeline they were already being produced and all the raw materials were already there in order to produce those products so they disfigure will discontinue sending as much as we can while we can until their tariff attention comes into play and just get the inventory out the door sounds like. a move you know which seems remarkable though is the lack of concern from corporate leadership about the reliability of their production change certainly the if there was a big story politically but on the corporate level they don't seem worried about it b.m.w. board member told c. and b.
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c our production network is flexible but at this point i don't see any reason to change our plans is that kind of confidence justified or prudent in the long term. well you have to remember b.m.w. had planned this for a long time some brand new factory audi has a brand new factory and they want to get obviously the most for their money so they had already planned to make x. amount of vehicles and they're going to get them out as quick as they can like you said get that inventory out of your ship into the u.s. as quick as we can because if those tariffs come into play or different laws come into play that could affect the bottom line so they want to make as much product as possible so many factors are paying attention to this even though it may seem as if they're not so now speaking and b.m.w. that company says that they will have 25 electric and hybrid vehicle models for a sale and want by 2023 moving that production target up by 2 years from previously announced plans this news came out of the next gen 21000 auto show in munich now we know that you're a noted skeptic on electrics and hybrids why is your take on the business sense of
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this move by b.m.w. . well b.m.w. had to do something harold kruger who is their current c.e.o. is stepping down 2 months before his one year period he's not going to renew his contract and the reason for that is he didn't move quick enough in order to transfer existing b.m.w.'s to electric vehicles they feel they've lost some of the market share maybe in europe but here in the u.s. are still extremely slow growth and if you look at the numbers not the percentages you see there's of only a few 100 jedward pieces or a few 100. being sold the b.m.w. i 3 just aren't selling that well here in the u.s. and on a global basis they want to have a piece of the pie so they are moving it forward and again there's going to be a new c.e.o. so that will be some big changes to it now sticking with electrics evey's and hybrids will need a new generation of batteries and bloomberg is reporting that the european union is embarking on what sounds like a bit of an industrial policy similar to effective methods that we've seen used in china to promote the development of state of the art batteries the european
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commission's vice president is reportedly the made the point man on coordinating more than 100000000000 euros that the e.u. officials are working to direct into r. and d. and manufacturing president is quoted that he cannot be happy with a situation where 100 percent of the batteries of my electric vehicles are produced in asia is this level of commitment enough to change the game and move markets. well it could actually be a game changer it depends how things actually unfold right now every single battery is beholden to china they own all the mines whether it's neodymium cobalt lithium mercury and because they own all those mines they get to control the industry and who gets what so they're looking in the e.u. and thinking what can we do can we create a solid state battery which is a different type of battery not using rare earth minerals that come from mines that are owned by china if they're able to create something different not using those minerals or maybe a smaller portion of those minerals you could have a game changer which would lower the cost of batteries but as of today there is no
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other option and because china is basically holding all the strings it's making it more expensive for other manufacturers to produce batteries and of course we still have a problem with the recycle side of that and hopefully if they come up with a replacement that they will be a recyclable portion of that as well that's a very insightful answer there lauren and just quickly turning back to those 1st have sales figures for this year that we mentioned just quickly is there any big story that you think. is appreciated in those sales figures you know right now it looks like sales are down about 2.4 percent which is about bringing it to $16.00 average here in the u.s. of vehicles being sold but car sales small car sales are the only thing that's doing ok car sales overall are down 11 percent but luxury is up 1.5 percent and that's huge that means the brands like audi b.m.w. mercedes are doing well vogels up 60 percent that's a huge story their product is selling really well and the koreans are doing really
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well with the g 70 the telluride in the cone out those are their big sellers and they're selling them as fast as they can get them so that tells you that long warranties and luxury brands are doing really well excellent insight as always from lauren fix the car coach thanks for your time thank you. and finally the european union's competition commission has fined sun rio the company behind the hello kitty brand 6200000 euros for blocking retailers from selling merchandise featuring their characters across borders within the with the case the top anti-trust regulator is attempting to keep the block of 28 countries as a single market competition commissioner margaret investigators said of the fine consumers whether they're buying a hello kitty mug or a chuckle cat toy can now take full advantage of one of the main benefits of the single market the ability to shop around europe for the best deals some real avoided a larger fine by cooperating with the case which was also brought up against nike
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and universal studio earlier this year now he was fined 12500000 euros while there has been no current decision against the case in university well you know we've heard about regulators going against powerful corporations but i don't know if margaret investigator is ready to go against. the stand we are stable of characters it's not just hello kitty carol karoubi other obviously very popular characters i know i don't think people know how big the sun is actually how popular that brand is it's so powerful they control so much franchising power so i think it's a good time to bring up this topic. that's it by this time you can catch boom bust on direct t.v. channel 321 dish network or streaming 247 on t.v. the free t.v. ad channel to 79 or as always have us up at you tube dot com slash boom bust archie see you next time.
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you go over them with another move. in your circles one of. the bunch that was a little bit in the. whiting good part of the new year already in the eastern seaboard never. seems to treat. cities. that. if you will not obey the voice of the lord your god to do all these commandments and the statutes. then all these curses shall come upon you and overtake you. and then the white people the stolen property. must be returned to the people if they get rid of whites only problems will go. to 3.
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people being tortured to death expression the elderly people in the. mania somebody if somebody's. been the wife or so find themselves affected by. means and greens it's all sweat and blood of. what are you going to have for dinner today we don't have a need to ask him for a. civil war in south africa never to. be in the tone of your hand to get to.
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meet. fears of a biased trial the u.s. . federal judge condemns the justice department's unsubstantiated claims that a russian indicted for election battling was bankrolled by the kremlin saying they could sway the jury. british ambassador to the u.s. resigned over the leaked cable scandal which is private e-mails exposed to far from glowing review of donald trump and his administration and. a free media both protects society from the abuse of power. helps release the full potential of a nation. the global conference for media freedom is underway in london out saying in a russian news agency sputnik a block from entry.

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