2019 that's right i'm on the same list as growth or in bork and a lot of other stuff wow awesome take that joe rogan. yes you're one of the 41 most annoying things about 21000 according to spectator magazine they call you an x. excitable duck sounding economist and con excitable ducks voiced economist yes let's quack on with these have of course the markets ended 21000 with partying like it's 1999 you know in 1999 if you recall because you were part of that dot com thing well the nasdaq ended up 85 percent in 1909 it ended up almost 40 percent and $21000.00 so it's boom times again and we're going to look at some tweets here about the whole 2019 assessment $21000.00 just keeps getting better and better the nasdaq closed above $9000.00 for the 1st time ever and is up almost 38

percent for the year that was earlier in december before the end of the year so we're still looking back at that time going to comparison some $899.00 you're. indicating or inferring bubble like qualities i would imagine and it does look bubblicious you know but these are the rest of the world is a dire straits other you know also think about it the venezuelan stock market was up spectacularly recently since you said that i'm going to jump ahead to some a few another tweet tweet here to indicate what might be happening the rest of the world might be in distress but the fact is the u.s. federal reserve bank has been printing enormous amounts of money and it's going in lockstep with the increase in the nasdaq in the stock market because remember from mid september when the repo market turmoil erupted the fed started printing money and in the last $2.00 weeks the 2019 here were in 20202020 but they're still

printing the last 2 weeks of $21000.00 a printed $450000000000.00 their assets at their ballot. expanded by that so let's look at that fed balance sheet moves up to 4.166 trillion highest level in 14 months over for him to the 6000000000 over the last 4 months quote in no says is this q.e. this is nothing like it drone powell had said october 8th 2019 you can see that it's a v. shaped recovery in the fed's balance sheet since you know the nasdaq as i said was up 40 percent nearly 40 percent so 60 percent of the gain and the nasdaq happens from that point let's revisit my ongoing theory which is that you've got really low interest rates now for 10 years near 0 or in some cases negative and there are a few private equity folks that are taking all the stock off the board you know in

remember a monopoly. the winner has all the real estate and everyone else becomes right so this is the same thing nasdaq is just a proxy for monopoly and the players that are winning this are both the bank and park avenue and park place the 2 most valuable spots on the board game of monopoly so. that's this is exactly what i've been saying for a few years now if you keep printing trillions and trillions of dollars and you don't allow it to go into wages you cut them off you you you you you vilify the working person and you just give it to private equity speculators you're going to end up with this enormous bifurcation in the economy of extraordinarily wealthy plutocrats and kleptocrats and serve to sort of class the losers the poor bulls i might add that is also a hedge funds hedge funds play a big part in the repo market that's where they go for funding and then 10 x. leverage up into the markets so that's important because of course as i mentioned

here's the fed's balance sheet it had been declining it was down 8 percent on the year at one point for the 1st 3 quarters of 2. 2019 it ended the year up 2 percent the fed's balance sheet so those a huge turnaround that's the v. shaped recovery so i'll match that to this tweet here feynman market cap of fresh all time high 5.249 trillion which is almost equal to the combined g.d.p. of france and u.k. as big tech keeps rolling fame in our facebook apple netflix and google so if you look at those chart that's the surge in the fed's balance sheet they're printing money and that's the surge in the phangan shares at their so it's they're going lockstep so to put this in perspective though on a global basis there was never any diminishment of money printing so the fed was down maybe 678 percent to one point over

a year over year the trend was extraordinarily expanse of maybe a couple of quarters down but globally it's never gone down any at any months the it's never gone down so the global printing by all the globe's major central banks has gone on on this hyperbolic increase which has led to a 38 year bond market rally which is unprecedented in unreasonable and is dangerous for any economy to have that kind of misallocation and the trickles down to the fang stocks in the franc stocks are momentum stocks the you know this distortion overvalued group 5 years ago 4 years ago 3 years ago 2 years ago one year ago one month ago last week it will be in overvalued group in 6 months i can't get more overvalued because the ratio of at nasdaq to s. and p. 500 was almost twice as high in 2000 during the dot com bubble so those valuations

can continue to rise so don't fight the fed and don't fight warren buffett i might add because warren buffett might be even bigger than the fed remember he poured. into apple early in 2019 well this is a tweet about our people the biggest largest company in the world well i guess i am co saudi aramco is now the biggest but apple is the biggest corporation in america in case you missed that apple is up over 80 percent and $21000.00 is best year in a decade largest trade the company added $530000000000.00 in market value this year more than the market cap of all 5 comparables in s. and p. $500.00 twice the market value of intel so that's the price rise in apple and $21000.00 and of course right now the big loser of that well as carl icahn you know carl icahn was sold to warren buffett around $14150.00 a share sound close to $300.00 so it's a double since carl icahn and he sold it because he thought it was overvalued the

market was overvalued he told everyone to get out of the market he stopped managing private money he only manages like this huge family office fun so he's been dead wrong i mean there's a multi-billionaire there's generally been right going back to the eighty's he was part of the the mike milken crowd of the 1980 s. who were given extraordinarily huge tax breaks and free money as you had the s. and l. crisis and then the drexel burnham crisis but he's been dead wrong you know with apple computer it started off at a very low valuation remember back in the late ninety's when it was at less than $10.00 a share adjusted for splits michael dell of dell computer recommended that steve jobs quit the computer business in that he was no good at it and nobody wanted to buy the stock under $20.00 now everybody wants to buy the stock at $1.00 trillion dollars valuation you know it's it's a contrarian ism versus the blindingly obvious you know warren buffett pursues the

blindingly obvious every a lot of people are like hedge funds are contrary and tend to underperform even a simple vanguard type s. and p. . the tracking fund well we're going to look at a chart of apple going back 39 years this is it right here is the dot com bubble little tiny blip down there this is the 2008 crash and as you see it's gone hyperbolic since then the fed money printing has done well for them i guess also the powerful state department introducing intellectual property laws and things like that around the world has done well but it's hard to see on this chart but it's definitely going parabolic this year based on that long term 39 year chart right you know going back to the late ninety's and early 2000 apple was a really hated company because it had lost a lot of people a lot of money after the heyday gone public and then steve jobs left the company if

you recall in the stock was underperformer and people really hated it so as a result you know apple just now on a price earnings multiple is just now becoming closer to the market average on a p.c. ratio sun overextended like back in the dot com days these tech companies are nasdaq or netflix for example or the other frank stocks are trading at 70810120 times earnings or $200.00 times earnings astronomical price earnings multiple the case of apple they're just trading at a market multiple i believe last i checked it's somewhere around 20 up from you know 2 years ago it was 10 or 12 which is extraordinary so you mentioned carl icahn and you mentioned that he had said it was overvalued and of course a lot of these things are overvalued based on historical metrics but history never had negative interest rates they never had such activist central banks i mean central banks are pretty new and on a global situation the united states got ours in 1913 and of course bank of england

has been around for a while but we were on everybody was on a gold standard back then so we haven't had that sort of interim interventionist center. bank policy as we see now we're going to get into another chart about that another statement about central banks but of course warren buffett also he does have a metric the one metric he looks at to determine whether or not markets are in a bubble as he said if market cap equals 100 percent of g.d.p. that's what he said he decides to sell and that has happened in the last month of $21000.00 that happened i think it started out december at like 85 percent and that it was like surge so hard into this into the end of december that it hit 100 percent so here's a tweet from karl can tell a fed's balance sheet continues its epic rise up by an average of $101500000000.00 per month since september compared to $80000000000.00 per month

during q e 3 quote it's hard not to imagine this influence on stock prices as long as interest rates are near 0 it doesn't matter could be 2030 trillion dollars on the balance sheet here's a thought experiment and a bit of a prediction for 2020 going back to saudi aramco around co as it went public just recently at a market valuation an excess of $1.00 trillion dollars i think a one point was worth 2 trillion dollars i think that we're going to see them make a hostile buy of a company maybe facebook for example and it could be the 1st trillion dollar hostile raid in history because they've got the balance sheet now if you've got a 2 chilean dollars balance sheet that means you've got you know the ability to borrow another trillion so you've got a 3 trillion dollar war chest if you go after an apple or even a berkshire hathaway 5 or 600000000000 dollars so i went inside go buy berkshire hathaway just as a hostile rate and then they own a huge portion of the whole global market the american market why not they've got

the balance sheet now they want to diversify away from oil and gas and i think we're going to see a move like that the next 6 to 9 months well i do believe. that we could see a doubling like we did in the end of the parabolic move because member alan greenspan had warned that the markets were displaying irrational exuberance he said that in 97 we continue on for 2 more years 1909 as a going to be 85 percent we only went up 40 percent and $21000.00 if this is exuberance and you know the retail investor wasn't really participating in 29 everybody hated it everybody was like dissing even big names like carl icahn everybody was out so this could be the year that it's in and that ties to this final headline nobel laureate economist praises truong for stock market rally he creates animal spirits nobel laureate for economics robert shiller sees president donald trump as the primary cause of wall street's recent strength because he stoking the markets animal spirits schiller a woman nobel prize in 2013 chillers newly found praise for trump is

a huge turnaround from the point of view he held back in january of 2018 when he said in an interview he would give trump a grade of one or 2 out of 10 when it comes to economic policy he said he didn't vote for trump in 2016 but he thinks he'll win in 2020 right schiller agrees with me and i've said for 3 years now that a trump instills confidence in people the american economy is 70 percent consumer and you have that's a key component of barack obama never get no one gave anyone any confidence to do anything everyone looked at barack obama and his presidency and his policies and they were like no i think i'll wait for somebody like a truck ok don't take a break and when we come back much more coming you know what.

time of the time called rationed to repeat the same mantra sustainability. transition so. datable prize board sustainability space for man a more equitable and sustainable well. they claim their production is completely harmless disapproved. of the kakadu to congress number 2 sometimes it goes on to present companies want us to feel good about buying their products while the damage is being done far away this is something else this let's keep clinton even and i mean look. this is the moves in unison we didn't even and i'm stunned seemed to be based on that one disconnect with who is going to. join me every 1st date on the alex salmond show and i'll be speaking to guest of the world of politics school business i'm show business i'll see you then.

welcome back to the kaiser report i'm out of turn to metro stein author of planet ponzi dot com bitch welcome back great to be here for us in england so let's get into this you know the markets are defying all who were looking for a pullback these last 2 or 3 years we seem to be heading to 30000 on the dow what's going on. i'll tell you max i'm pretty i'm pretty surprised actually you know we called it wrong this year and 1st to admit it you know the nasdaq is up close to 40

percent its year what we have an all time highs for the decade we've got stocks bonds property credit markets it debt markets corporate debt stock buybacks c.e.o. lows valuations we are all time highs on central bank johnny elation and i think if that's the story we also have the new lows which are interest rates at historic 600 year lows trust in our government trust in big stack space book twitter google politicians media the government the f.b.i. n.s.a. congress all new lows so the next decade going to be a ripper we're going to see the next decade massive amounts of opportunity that will make the 40 percent gain nasdaq look small i think we're talking about a big correction that we'll see in the distortions that the central banks that put forward for the last 10 years during the next 10 years 2020 is going to be a real key guinea of the next decade

a turnaround for where markets are going going on central bank magic in the i guess you'd have to make the comparison to 1999 was very involved in the dot com era at that time you were managing money you observed it 1st hand it is it similar to 1999 yeah the nasdaq was up 80 something percent that air. greenspan had in 1906 and warned of irrational exuberance and then went on to catapult higher yeah the i.p.o.'s that were being launched at a 50 to 60 percent 1st day pop if you remember that was the big thing i remember when i was at the hollywood stock i say we were about to go public a barrister and barbara streisand was calling me asking to get stock in the i.p.o. you know things are crazy is it similar to 99 which i mean it's similar to 1999 only 199-1029 max i think the valuations are in the stratosphere.

on the metric that you know university uses. that i are of all time historic highs only have didn't have in 1998 1000000000 dollar. or. and. upward dollar unicorns the. dollar. amount of the files that. amazon. and apple were the valuations that are a little bit ridiculous right now but they keep or not with them not. for the sad fact that. the european central bank. has been buying. and is buying them hand over fist the swiss national bank is hand over for me it's just

a matter of time before the fed starts buying equity for the i think that it will see more clearly i think we have no other chance but to do for the markets they've proven. by. markets. in the stratosphere the problem is we're still doesn't know where they stand is it's a problem as i said for a couple hours it's impossible that it will topple the bubble and you can tell we're going to probably have a. $1000000000.00 and then we're still yet to make a profit. and have a. seat at an all time high making the valuation of test i think there's a lot of company in the world. that's not over the outs. and is finding out with their move. or the big technology in those

battles. and frankly it needs rare earth metals so those metals not come from china i doubt china is going to be very helpful in for moti american companies over their own. force everyone is getting into the game with the east now so. i think we will come. in school. in russia. and i am. for to signal to the maps that the best are within the test drive my test which is not in the best way out there on the market in this case it was the millennial so far on their robin-hood stock app that were right they've been buying tesla for the last 3 or 4 years and the stock just managed to all time high the professionals were shorting it and now there's a suit shorts quasar mask a kind of a thought exercise there because in an era now where the rumor is that black rock

and blackstone are going to merge to create a multi-trillion dollar financial buy a myth and have got around co saudi aramco and public as thou got in a $1.00 trillion dollar valuation my is my thought exercise is it possible that around cow could do a hostile raid of a company like a facebook and add a trillion dollar takeout well we say potentially the 1st trillion dollar deal as a hostile deal is that is that a possibility you know if they want to diversify why not meche well i think that rim trade as you saw stock is you know i was very skeptical about the valuation when i poor as i was very go about newark's valuation at 157. 7000000000 and i think i said it time last january's that work was a ponzi scheme and we were turned out to be on those guys there and. i don't know

why it's a soft thanks mission fund going back to. i don't think that's an apple that i think we'll see another oil company. in out with such a while valuation and it. down to about $100000000000.00. after or something and i think i think ridiculous especially with the lack of transparency in the ramp financial. i think people are chasing. all these. negative. versus trillion dollars in negative debt now. you know could never guarantee what i feel. is if you bought one of these negative you bonds

and hold it to maturity in those months now we're going to change whether in this company the pension fund is we should not be allowed to buy an instrument a lot will last for the answer and this is just exploitation and it's it's one from saver for savers. we're going to fund many of its own and you know this is. the next ok oh it's going to blow up and it's not the end well i think it is this isn't the 1st we. will see the civil unrest that's on. you know on the all over the world civil unless we sense that the reduced wealth in the central bank actions reciprocated by lowering interest rates and hundreds of trillions of dollars into part of its credit is itself that's a bad day losing money on

a negative interest rate bond of course you can still use them for collateral and f. all the central banks are captured as they are and you can invest in a carry trade where you're going to end up with a positive carry because you essentially have own all the central banks and the central banks are private corporations are not government to situations you know they can see how people would be abusing that market now mick you are right however about the fact that you can't taper a ponzi scheme as the fed tried it and then the fed lost trying to do it after cutting its balance sheet by 8 percent for the 1st 3 quarters the fed ended up in the air up 2 percent on the on the balance sheet meaning the fed is that when the money printing sprain that that the rest of the world ever stop printing money but the fed actually put some lip service to tapering upon say for a few months they failed they went right back into money printing so. i would assume your thought there is that that's only going to continue i think what we've got to look at is what are interest rates in the millennial generation that are

trading now all the up and coming issues that are trading that they don't understand the function of interest rates any risk your investment should be so if there was an interest rate that assumes that the fed at risk sirrah and junk traders where tripoli's which way the markets are totally distorted in every possible aspect i've never seen it. and it is ago it's in the 20 years that somebody suggested this in a. straight jacket. now a problem it's not as if the hundreds of trillions of dollars and make it a movie it's it's. not more that insist rate. which is an increase of increase so the reason washington states around the world are it's etc who are lows is if they go up. how will still be able to service it so the interest will be hunger students. who suki the phone

once you know. what yeah i get it i get that whole scenario which we've been talking about for 4 or 5 years and meanwhile the deals get keep getting bigger and bigger so if you have a half a trillion or one trillion dollar hostile raid that'll perpetuate this ponzi scheme and less like what he out there to be investing in and the scarcity value of equity goes up because all of it's becoming private equity. and i think we're just about out of time but misfires stein we're going to keep you over for a 2nd segment because we love to pick your brain and find out what your insights are thanks for being on the cars report. not to fall into the nexus and that's going to do it for this edition of kaiser report with me max kaiser and stacey everett like to thank our guests much firesign a plan apology dot com want to reach us on twitter it's kaiser report until next time by.

the way by the but if she warned you probably didn't i do this. at the bottom or the g.'s newbie to see me we do you. know when you g.p.s. will be. in the news that he that is without infringing ball. a lot of you will see cause it fights about to try to both. but as you. hear that cab that they were days doing. most 8085 people who support. him going to include in total.

what politicians do. they put themselves on a lot. to get accepted or rejected. so when you want to be president. or some want to. have to go right to be 1st as a white woman for 3 of them or can't be good. i'm interested holes in the waters of the. question. good food descriptions sound up a tasing even for the owners so how to choose just had food industry is telling us what to feed our pets really more based on what they want to sell us than was necessarily good for the pet turns out pet food may not be a soap the best people believe we have animals that have you know diabetes in

arthritis they have auto immune disorders if allergies we are actually creating these problems it's a huge epidemic of problems all of them i believe can be linked to very simple problem of diet and some dog owners so heartbreaking stories about their pets less treats the larger corporations are not very interested in proving or disproving the value of their food because they're already making a $1000000000.00 on it and there's no reason to do that research. on earth was.

load. iran designates the us armed forces and a terrorist organization and response to the pentagon's killing of terror on the commander of this huge crowds are mourners gather for the funeral of custom saw a man which you can see here. in all u.s. house speaker nancy pelosi and the answer is a resolution to curb donald trump's ability to attack your ram over a similar restriction was stripped from a defense bill passed by congress just last month. also this hour as we enter 20 twentieth's the hangover of political correctness still haunts us notably over a new gangster film the gentleman who put the issues up for debate. can tell you some of the most foul and disgusting racist language this was a movie.