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tv   Boom Bust  RT  January 29, 2020 8:30am-9:00am EST

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from a ship. that can change the world. you tube videos the sleepless night shift today it's the longest network. brushes russia russia and russia today is. believed to be that they will actually use russia to live and i really have to join to see you then on our team. were so proud and still. are just getting the number. why have you not shut down our t.v. on you tube it's a propaganda machine mr walker. what
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holds and. they put themselves on the line they did accept the reject. so when you want to be president and you. want to. have to go on to be close as it was before 3 in the morning can't be good. i'm interested always in the waters in the knowledge. question. and this is a boom bust but one business show you can't afford to miss one and i'm christiane washington coming up. there's no reason why we should move proves
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here in the u.k. a lot i don't see moves because this is in the journey that you have access to from the troops to do what you can trust to communications. protect the security interests of the u.k. agrees to allow huawei to build out parts of its 5 day technology why is the u.s. against that a what will this mean for pay relations moving forward plus. social protection is still the best possible way we can to go about this. this virus behaves through like and as it behaves through like you can also protect just so. as you do work with against some body having all through the corona virus continues to spread with new cases across europe and china well explain how it's affecting markets today and how does a billionaire investor like warren buffett get dragged into a huge ponzi scheme 2 words solar power will explain. who was behind it and what
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they're facing now so much to get to on this very busy day so let's get started. and we begin with a move by the u.k. that could be seen as defiant of the trump administration as the u.k. will allow wall way to build out part of its 5 g. infrastructure as we've told you britain's new prime minister boris johnson has indicated that he would put britain's need for 5 g. technology ahead of threats from the u.s. government that doing so could limit intelligence sharing on tuesday the british government said that it would in fact give permission a while way to build quote non-critical parts of the country's 5 g. networks britain's national security council concluded that the security risks that the chinese company presented could be managed to keep in mind while way has consistently denied the chinese government has back doors built into its technology and for all the attacks against wall way that had been leveled by the trump
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administration no actual proof of those back doors has ever been presented. these are very very. strategic. for us clearly. the system is for people in this country the consumer. they want. to do what it. does nor in any way. critical infrastructure security or jeopardize our ability to work together with other intelligence. of the 40 great security division ships we have good strong and the. senior trump administration official told the wall street journal that the u.s. is disappointed by the you case decision and look forward to working with britain to find a way to exclude quote untrusted vendor components from 5 g. networks well meanwhile in a move that many might see as hypocritical the u.s.
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commerce department has. reportedly rolled back a rule that would limit u.s. companies from selling to wall way after the defense department warned that u.s. companies might be hurt by that rule. and now we actually saw this happen because as i spoke about last week texas instruments one of the oldest u.s. companies have provided the semiconductor chips they actually said that they're shutting down to plant in texas this coming year because due to lack of sales from the and upcoming restrictions to to sales to china yeah absolutely so we see u.s. companies same were being hurt by this remember one point google was fighting to change this and then had some jobs that were lost there as a result of it but it's more important to i think to recognize what position the u.k. was being put in here boris johnson was being told by the u.s. don't allow 5 g. technology from what way at the end of the day we know this is from everything that i've seen about them the very best in terms of having the best 5 g. technology out there so they had to have built out it's got to be always excited so
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johnson feels like the u.s. is essentially telling him take. our materials take subpar companies and have a subpar 5 g. build out and i think that's that's not fair for you to ask that of us and it doesn't make any economic reasons because you're also he's also asked like what other alternative is there can you find me another equipment that is just as good that is also as cheap as huawei and there really isn't so he was basically making an economic decision for his country which i think is very reasonable and i think the u.s. is worried because the u.k. kind of sets the precedent for the rest of europe because there are other countries right now who are still on the fence right now right such as new zealand such as canada who may also start using hallway as well because they're taking this as a green light in australia and germany likewise are also talking to walk away because at the end of the day they are still the best company to do it and again it's important to remember there is no single piece of proof that exists that shows that while weight is providing back doors to the chinese government lot of rhetoric
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no proof yeah and the us can fund all they want about not sharing data with the 5 eyes and. it's community on everybody else starts you think wow if the u.k. and new zealand canada starts using using huawei then what is this 5 i have got going to come of it going to become like a 2 country 3 country alliance right in the us the we're not of the latest on the coronavirus let's go here because as hong kong get this has now closed borders with the rest of china as the wu hong kong coronavirus excuse me continues to spread well now the head of the world health organization the w.h.o. which is by the way still not declaring a public health emergency here says that he is confident in china's ability to contain the virus which is killed 106 people. so 1st it definitely is an emergency it's an emergency in china but i would beg to differ on the definition of what you just put out as and while the spreading is so far it's going back with travelers through. to foreign countries what is a home country of someone or travel as such it's not one of the least spreading
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outside of china but again we have to be prepared for it in case it weren't well as we reported on monday there are big questions about why the w.h.o. has not called this a public health emergency and instead has acted more like the deputy oh the world trade organization warning that such a declaration would actually hurt trade that we shouldn't care about that is not their mandate meanwhile a case in germany appears to be the 1st human transmission in europe that man reportedly contract in the strait of corona virus from a work colleague. gold has continued its run from $29000.00 climbing another 4 percent in january amid concerns over the coronavirus meanwhile copper the industrial metal fell 9 percent as traders increasingly worry about a global manufacturing slowdown hitting productivity in china nickel also fell 10 percent but is the rally over the gold market is seeing renewed selling pressure to stay as prices are looking a bit overshot the net long gold position is overcrowded and close to the all time
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highs as the flight to safety has stalled out equity markets have now stabilized european equities are broadly flat so the risk aversion trade is pretty much off but even in the midst of all this coronavirus panic data show that more investors fled towards high grade government bonds this time around rather than gold yields fell as demand surge for a government paper and the other digital gold bitcoin after a brief dip back down to 8000 is pushing back above is 200 day moving average support line and looking to break higher to 9200 dominance is at 66 percent and all coins are rising in lockstep with the coin as a crypto market has exhibited increasingly strong technical fundamentals over the past 2 months slow accumulations rather than quick speculated activity preceded this entire run up that some analysts are attributing to the coronavirus fears as investors look to diversify risk away from traditional assets but really i don't think we can attribute this entire run up to the coronavirus right because actually
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i would think that the coronavirus originate from china which is one of the main center points of trading cryptocurrency that actually contribute to a drop and i would say that that's actually what pushed down to the 8000 last week yeah i think that makes a lot more sense and i think you know when you look at bitcoin in gold people will look at both of them right and that is if you're to see saving assets but i don't think that you can really put them in the same category gold traditionally has been that safe haven us said where we really saw the surge in gold prices and gold by the way right now it's doing really well i mean it's worth the highest level since in terms of prices 2030. seen gold bullion is now $1600.00 an ounce right now so it's doing extremely well but a lot of that actually began to really took off because of the iranian tensions between the u.s. and iran when iran said they were going to begin kind of enriching uranium again with no limits at all and that's when you saw gold come up a little bit different in that i think there's a technology behind it it's not just a safe haven it's moving more into that space and exact and they're quite actually
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has a different entirely different risk profile than other traditional assets that we see gold and perry highly correlated to the u.s. equity markets they're quite as only has a correlation of about point 6 there's also an interesting issue when we talk about the coronavirus because one thing that the it is doing it is slowing down trade in some instances we're seeing stocks in the stock market respond to it but it's also having an effect on one of the biggest american companies which is apple because apple actually increased its projected output of i phones in china by 10 percent for the 1st half of 2020 and so essentially they wanted an additional there were a total of $80000000.00 i phones in the 1st half of this year the problem is because of what's happening in china right now and because the you can really speak to this the difficulty in travel you have at least a dozen cities now that are quarantined on lockdown you cannot go in and out of those cities and so apple is reaching out to its factories there and say will you be able to produce for us this increase it looks like at this point they may not be
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able to know and apple was previously set to launch a lower cost i phone set to launch in february and that really doesn't look like it's going to happen because i said the transportation logistics have like headache in china right now because right now the apple manufacturing plant is approximately 500 kilometers outside of which sounds like a lot and sounds like it wouldn't really be a problem but when you factor in transportation logistics sourcing materials getting the factory workers getting the migrant workers out there it becomes like who wants to go outside at this point because right now if you look at images of to . it looks like a ghost town all the airports are and the all the streets are empty the restaurants baron it's also interesting we as we touched on the 1st part of this with the corona virus and what's happening in hong kong right now there was a big push in hong kong to say we want to keep the virus out and one way to do that was to close the border with the rest of china it was somewhat controversial that this was asked for and one of the reasons that happened was because you had a huge slew of medical workers doctors nurses medical experts who essentially said
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they would go on strike if the border was not close without the border has been temporarily closed as we mentioned between hong kong and the rest of china as a kristie i would ask you this in terms of markets how do we expect markets to react to that they would probably see that as a positive right that there is some control there but at the same time does it also mean that maybe the chinese government is not giving us the full picture in terms of how large and how fast this thing is spreading i think they're trying to estimate how fast is this spread and try to contain that as much as possible so i do think it's very unique about china is the fact that they can actually in act these measures in act these quarantine measures so effectively and have people not panic not cause riots in the street of oh i should be able to travel however i want this is an imposition of my freedom i think this is a very unique case that the government actually very effectively controlling the further spread of this outbreak and i think the outbreak will be a lot worse at these quarantines war and in fact we told you there was a lot to get to today we were not lying time now for a quick break though hang in there when we come back how does
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a billionaire investor like warren buffett get dragged into a huge ponzi scheme i told you about it's really over solar power we're going to explain who was behind it and what they're facing now so much to get to on this business. and as we go to break here are the numbers at the close. and. from donald trump in 2016 to 2020 there is part of the electorate that responds to
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anti-war anti interventionist rhetoric in fact there is evidence this significantly helped get trouble like that but the fact remains the establishment is to downplay and even demonize any candidate who questions orthodoxies why is this. and welcome back russia says it will go forward alone and the completion of the nord stream to pipeline says it will complete the construction of the pipeline under the baltic sea without the help of foreign companies this would mark a victory of sorts for the us which has imposed sanctions on russia specifically
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for the purpose of halting this project the north stream 2 project is already 94 percent complete it will be finished by the russian side the north stream to is designed to connect the natural gas pipeline between russia and germany by circumventing ukraine and then tying russia and europe together the us play sanctions on any companies and german interests that attempt to help complete the pipeline. the federal reserve will meet this week to discuss fine tuning their control of short term rates now after the fed lost control of the very rate they were mandated to oversee last year the response was just to pump more liquidity into the market to alleviate the conditions they claimed it was a plumbing issue that was temporary and would last no more than a few months well that few months dragged on into a quarter and now into the new year it has now become a semi permanent fixture in the repo market as traders and investors have come to expect the fed to bail out the market when it gets into trouble but as all good things come to an end so too must this. the fed flooded the market with cash in september of last year in order to pump liquidity into the repo market and avoid
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another spike in overnight lending rates now officials have to slowly turn off the spigot but that's going to prove to be difficult without jostling the market that has been steadily marching higher due to the excess cash being pumped in at a clip of about $60.00 to $80000000000.00 dollars 7 every month officials now have to formulate a plan of when and how to wind down the program all while the market is kicking and screaming the whole way down coupled that with the risk to early projections of global recovery due to the corona virus outbreak and it doesn't look like that will be easy for the fed to stay their hand at the fold magni ting this week analysts expect rates to be unchanged through q one but bets are already lining up for more cuts in the 2nd half of 2020 and less more let's bring in danielle demarc a no former federal reserve insider and chief strategist at quill intelligence and the author of fed up so 1st off the fed's fund future has moved noticeably in the last week with the odds for another rate cut by june rising to 25 percent from 14
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percent the odds for september cut rose to 50 percent from 37 so what is now telling you about the state of the economy and could the coronavirus be the recessionary catalyst that triggers the global downturn. so to your great introduction and you covered a lot of the ground the market has become unfortunately extremely reliant upon this constant and increasing that's the word you want to focus on increasing levels of fed liquidity and the minute you have even the hint of a black swan moment the markets begin to price in as you said a rate cut earlier in the year than the federal like remember jay powell came into 2020 his last press conference of 2019 saying there would be no rate cuts or rate hikes for that matter in 2020 and yet as of the coronavirus headlines beginning to hit the wires we now have not one but more than one great cut priced into 2020
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and by the way the fed has never defied market expectations if they command and demand a rate cut. so we could just throw in the bad news is good news mentality and vice versa i mean if things are bad enough the fed is always going to come to the rescue becomes the safety net 1st of all isn't that a dangerous mentality for the market to adopt and if that is the case do we even really have a market or at this point is the entire thing so goosed that nothing is being played off of any realities anymore everything is built upon the kind of this structured run market. well you know to your point there are actually numbers we can attach to that buddy of mine david rosenberg rosenberg research ran a correlation analysis and the s. and p. 500 has a 7 percent correlation with the with us g.d.p. in other words they've completely disconnected and right now the stock market is running purely on fed liquidity the whole idea of bad news is good only works for
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so long to your point coming into the year we were already in the midst of a deep earnings recession and what we know is that the companies that were going to lead us out of the earnings recession starting in q one of 2020 were the big multinationals who bring in the bulk of their revenues and profits from overseas the coronavirus dictates that that's not going to happen so that's off of the table and yet you've got markets trading up and again they're going to press towards all time highs once again because they're saying this bad news is good enough that it's going to actually cause the fed's liquidity injections to grow markets are addicted son as you mentioned in the u.s. today markets rebound hard with the dow climbing up over 200 points so now are we too optimistic here i mean we had some disappointing earnings as you said coming out of industry heavyweights like 3 m. and buys there and now with the rippling effects of the corona virus across industries is the market now grossly underestimating the potential impact especially of the pertains to me much the most important supply chain in the world
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china. you know i think the market is underestimating the fact that there are all these. being drawn across wall street between the sars episode and where we are today with the coronavirus but back then china's g.d.p. was all of 4 percent of global g.d.p. their footprint was very small today it's 4 times that amount they're the 2nd largest economy in the world they're the most of the most important supply chain by far in the world and we've got the coronavirus in every single of the 32 chinese provinces and the country not expected to get up and running until best case scenario if ever that night so i think the markets are woefully underestimating the important economic impact globally what this means given that we started the year again leaning on multinationals to lead the charge out of the u.s. earnings recession and leaning also on germany to come out of its own industrial
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a session that's not going to happen either at this point it kind of looks like when you use the term addicted to it i mean it seems like the market is a bunch of. heroin addicts right they just can't seem to let go of this thing at this point can we even go into the bear market or are we in a position now where we're going to get dragged back into the bull camp because of liquidity injections i mean at this point it seems like there's no way you could even say let's take a step back because the fed is doing this and how long can that they continue to do . our segment opened with the fact that the market has become accustomed to emergency overnight operations becoming permanent and i think that that is something that the fed has to worry about prior to the outbreak of this coronavirus and all of the headlines that have hit and the risk that was introduced i think that jay powell had every intention of coming into the meeting and the press conference that follows saying the fed is confident that it can begin to step back
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from these repo operations i don't think it can i think. drone powell and his fellow policymakers are boxed into this policy would prefer to not be but the market right now is saying try just try me try and pull the plug try even to reduce the liquidity and see what happens i mean we've heard that before they've actually extended these terms starting the new year kicking out the new year so i really don't see that happening so now we had recently tweeting once again about negative interest rates so would the us ever see itself in a position where we actually go negative because you're about to know that would never happen to us and look at them now. you know look there is always a possibility and there has been a ton of academic research that has been produced here on on us shores that say that there is a feasibility and a way that we can find our way to negative interest rates the best is i can give you about jay powell and most of his peers on the forum see is that there are
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adamantly opposed to negative interest rates the point of negative interest rates is that they work everywhere else but where the reserve currency status lives other countries have adapted their investment models to use positive american interest rates so that they don't come out with with products that are unchanged or un unknown i don't think that we can go to negative interest rates the way that the president has been asking for simply because it would make the u.s. government selling treasuries pay the government back it's not as easy as that it's much more complicated when you are at the epicenter of the global financial system . former fed insider danielle de martino thank you so much. thank you. finally today how does a famous billionaire investor like warren buffett and
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a massive corporate entity like progressive insurance get caught up in a ponzi scheme a simple just attach the words solar power to it so here's the story the founders of d.c. solar couple by the names of jeff karpov and paul that karpov are now facing up to 15 years in prison for defrauding dozens of investors including warren buffett's berkshire hathaway so how did they do it with a couple claimed to have built $17000.00 solar power systems which they were going to sell to telecom companies like 18 t. and t. mobile turns out only $6000.00 existed and then they ran a ponzi scheme by paying back the 1st investors with money coming in from new investors so here's the thing why would anyone especially virtue or hathaway warren buffett and progressive insurance fall for this because of solar energy reverse tax credits berkshire took $377000000.00 in tax credits from investing progressive insurance over $24000000.00 and they now have are facing charge backs for those
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credits so chris the kind of comes off like this how does a ponzi scheme scam these guys because these guys are and i mean and so they're running a scam and it's illegal scam but a scam on the u.s. taxpayer by saying we're going to invest in solar power companies it's why you can invest and then not care about the fact that no products are being made or there's no true returns because the actual value wasn't in the product itself it was in the tax benefit exactly you get a nice fella kick back in it soften up that the entire blown so it actually works incentivize them enough to that that to the fact that they're blind and that this isn't even a real company yeah and then you have companies like aig t.n.t. which apparently these guys were saying that they were selling to 18800 he came back and said they were still as anything we weren't going to cuss. one of theirs how does warren buffett not know that these are really basic questions that any kind of investor serious investor would us it should but that actually berkshire hathaway has had a series of mishaps in which they didn't do their proper due diligence they've had
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dozens of cases where they made serious mistakes in 2001 they invested in general re and lost over $800000000.00 the all of these were just cases of lack of due diligence because someone attach a fancy name to it or they had some wild incentive that they were drawn to the scam or scam in the scammers well that's it for this time you can catch boom bust on demand on the brand new portable t.v. ad available on smartphones through google play an apple app store by searching parboil t.v. or stream us to your t.v. by downloading portable apps on apple t.v. and online at bball dot tv portable t.v. will be available on my devices or as always you can hit us up at youtube dot com slash boom bust r.t. see you back here next time. during the great depression which are old enough to remember there was a family were working class but there was an expectation that things were going to
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get better. there was a real sense of hope. there isn't today today's america where shaped by the turn principles of concentration of wealth and power. reduced democracy attack solo do no engineer election manufacture consent and other principles according to. one set of rules for the rich. that's what happens when you put her into the. sector will switch will is dedicated to increasing power for chills just as you'd expect one of the most influential intellectuals of our time. speaks about the modern civilization of america. the world is driven by dream shaped by those great.
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military thinks. we dare to ask.
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for the deal of the century response out rights protests across the middle east with claims the proposed roadmap to end the israel palestine conflict of new faces to the. palestinian leadership spline calling it the slap of the century the us ambassador to israel has made it clear that the palestinian viewpoint is not something that will be taken into account. it doesn't matter what the palestinians say we going to keep distinction open for them for 4 years that's what we want. another week another protest unions are back on the streets of paris still angry at president micron's pension reform plans as protests.

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