tv Boom Bust RT March 9, 2020 10:30pm-11:01pm EDT
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7 years. military record for. global market damage amid widespread sell on at this time while the culprit this is boom but the one business show you can't afford to miss i'm christiane and i'm bridgeboro in washington because. the market bloodbath rages on amid inspection fears and oil had stalled with rice and dropping below $40.00 a barrel we take a look at the big picture and what that there may have been killed. in the world health organization says the possibility of this world of ours to becoming apparent damage is very real we'll break it down and discuss what can be done to control the spread the virus. the chairwoman of wells fargo has stepped down just days ahead of
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a congressional hearing in which case that will. well break down the shake up at one of america's largest banks a lot to get here on a very busy day so let's get started. on oil lost as much as a 3rd of its value monday in its biggest drop since 1901 gold war fell to $30.00 to $30.00 per barrel as saudi arabia launched a price war with russia after the 2 failed to come to an agreement at its vienna meeting russia declined to agree to production cuts that have artificially kept oil prices steady officially russia said it wants to wait and see what the coronavirus impact on demand is before agrees to cuts on officially russia is angry about u.s. sanctions of russian energy company rosneft and attempts to stop the north stream to pipeline to germany by flooding the market and sinking prices russia sees an opportunity to crush the us shale industry which is dangerously levered to the hilt russia is also fed up with cutting production outputs timeout that time while u.s. shell producers each time up production to fill in the market as
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a result saudi arabia cut its crude price as much. $6.00 to $7.00 per barrel and is looking to raise its daily output by as many as $2000000.00 barrels per day as it too is ready to fight for market share the u.s. oil and gas industry is facing attack from 3 sides falling prices from reduced demand a global movement to divest from fossil fuel and crushing debt loads the industry has about $86000000000.00 of rated debt due the next 4 years and as analysts have warned before below $50.00 per barrel many companies will be unable to service their debt obligations this in turn has the banking sector as these companies start defaulting big banks including j.p. morgan city group wells fargo and goldman are down between 9 to 13 percent today as the selling pressure intensified across all sectors u.s. markets triggered a 15 minute halt at the am the dow fell over a 1000 points as investors continued to seek safer assets the yield on the 10 year
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dropped below 0.5 percent for the 1st time ever in the history crude prices have become a bigger problem for the markets than the coronavirus now as it will be virtually impossible for the s.n.p. to bounce when the energy sector is down 15 percent interesting way enough gold that defacto safety asset is not spiking instead it is trading flat someone down indicating that people are selling without prejudice this type of broad based sell off is indicative of a cash crunch and that leverage funds are receiving margin calls forcing them to sell out of assets like gold in order to free up cash analysts are now expecting the central bank to cut another 75 bits in its march meeting next week even though monetary policy is unlikely to be effective at the moment reuters knows that monday's move has wiped out approximately 2.5 trillion dollars in value off the global stock market no kristie i mean it is been a crazy day here with the markets but it's all across the board as you just
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mentioned but why are we really seeing this right now we've seen buyers come in when we've seen these massive sell off. we seem to fire to come in and buy it up so it brings it back up so why are we seeing that now are we not going to see that rebound it is because the oil sector is one of the basic cornerstones of the entire us equity markets right now we're seeing a collapse of the entire industry and that in turn has the stomach implications for the entire market we all remember what happened in 2008 when people at the faulted on their mortgage loans and that had ripple effects all across banking consumers etc or say the same thing now that's why financials are down so much today because the oil sector is going to hit the entire broad based commodities sector is going to hit the u.s. financial sector and that in turn will hit start consumers we tell us all the way down the line and we're going to talk about this at length here in just a minute but i do want to bring something up because as we've talked about what's going on with the airline industry especially due to the coronavirus that's what's actually been pushing these oil prices down and now today boeing who is generally fared well even despite their 737 max problem they're down 12 percent on monday and
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they're not because federal regulators were not actually happy about some of the stuff that's going on with the $737.00 max they had a bundle of wires that they said oh that's safe don't worry about it and regulators were saying no so they're even feeling the pain on this day of massive massive sell off so we'll probably see a bell or probably airlines and or that oil energy sector as well absolutely let's bring in rick rule c.e.o. and president of sprott holdings who's joining us out of in cooper so rick we're seeing the energy junk bond market absolutely crashing today as shell companies now are able to meet their debt and interest payment obligations so just like we just said in 2001 we looked at which bank had the most exposure to bad mortgages let's take a look here at which banks now have the most exposure to a wave of the falls and the sale shell patch. the truth is that the pain will be was spread across american banking from regional banks as an example texas banks in oklahoma all the way through the biggest banks and they should as you pointed out
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your head or all the big banks are off today. well surprise i think might take place in the e.t.f. market though you noted that there's an awful lot of non investment grade or junk rated debt in public markets issued by oil companies i read the other day that about 15 percent of non investment grade ranked bonds in the market are issued by oil and gas companies and a lot of those are held in e.t.f. that are income e.t.f. says the difficulty with that is that if retail investors begin to sell those e.t.f. so well the e.t.f. themselves are quite liquid the bonds that underlie them are less liquid what happens in an e.t.f. in a sell off like this has the has the effect of a bank run so my suspicion is that the very large banks that have access to liquidity from the fed will actually behave better than some of these junk bond e.t.f. might might fare we'll see over the next 2 or 3 weeks
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a reckoning is certainly coming in credit markets with regards to energy now or you know ken the oil sector actually recover from what we're seeing here on monday i mean is the shell salvageable i mean what is the systemic risk the risk of sub $30.00 oil for opec u.s. and russia for that matter and how does this abrupt arrest of the saudi royal family members actually play into what's happening here with oil today. well there's several questions there let's unpack them the 1st thing about the oil the oil industry is of course it survives gretta notwithstanding the world runs on oil the truth is and we said this on your show before the cure for low prices is low prices a period of oil pricing below $40.00 a barrel reduces sustaining capital investment which over a year and a half or so reduces production it also shuts in new investments remember that oil wells deplete every day you pump an oil well your business gets smaller you have to drill
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a new one to replace it in some period sime so in truth the cure for low prices is low prices the impact on. u.s. shale industry is very very different that's a capital intensive business it is highly highly highly reliant on low interest rates and high oil prices because it's capital intensive and because the decline ratio is so high the u.s. oil services industry and the shale industry focus sort of on the delta between the cost of capital and near term oil pricing which is a fancy way of saying that shale prices will decline precipitously at this oil quote the interesting thing to me is that the 2 alleged protagonists in this dispute the saudis and the russians both recently announced very very large capital programs the russians $150000000000.00 program in arctic siberia the saudis $100000000000.00 sale shale program pardon me in the gulf this oil price undermines
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both of those projects remember the 1st comment over time the cure for low prices is low prices the cure for high prices is high prices markets in fact work that shouldn't come to any solace for oil investors in the near term however and now as we see this entire crash happening right now the time to mr in is dropping measures to blunt the entire economic fall out of oil so what measures can they possibly come out with that will have any effect on the market aside from a total bailout of the sector. i'm tempted to say that's above my pay grade. it's very difficult to fight something as big as a market my suspicion is you'll remember rahm emanuel saying never waste a great crisis my suspicion is that the political forces will use this event as an excuse to further artificially lower interest rates and make much more
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credit available my understanding is that the the feds are looking to increase the repo rate that is the overnight. lending availability so my suspicion is that the only tool the trump administration really has a vailable to it is further quantitative easing and further manipulation of already unreasonably low interest rates and now rick i mean is this the bottom of what we're seeing right now i mean it is monday the bottom of oil markets are going to go lower and really at the end of the day where the reap what the rebound look like . the markets are already disconnected from reality the truth is in the very near term as buffett famously says the market is a voting machine not a weighing machine you're playing on people's emotions and people's narrative and when people are panicked and i think people are panicked anything can happen in the near term the international energy agency suggests that the fully loaded cost to
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produce a barrel of oil worldwide that's the united states indonesia china russia saudi is about $60.00 a barrel that means lifting cost discovery cost capital cost also prior year write downs so right now in a very gross since the industry is making the stuff for $50.00 or $60.00 a barrel selling it for $35.00 a barrel losing 15 or $20000000.95 times a day this gets rather boring and it's clearly unsustainable but in the near term it's. not about arithmetic it's about narrative and panic rec wealthy holding thank you so much. a pleasure thank you. and the world health organization announced monday that the threat of course the corona virus becoming a pandemic is real as the number of cases now exceeds 100000 with cases showing up in more than 100 nations. it's certainly troubling that so many
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people and countries have been affected so quickly. now that the motors has a foothold in so many countries. the threats of the bundle meek has become there he says researchers are now reporting the number of cases outside of mainland china have tripled in the past week eclipsing 30000 cases as of monday so if it was pointed out that of the 80000 cases in mainland china 70 percent have already recovered from the virus outside of china south korea italy and iran have been most affected by the virus with at least 70000 cases in each nation now in response to the growing number of cases in italy prime minister just become t. actually signed a decree on sunday restricting movement in the northern regions of the country now the restrictions will affect 17000000 people including those in the cities of milan and venice the w.h.o. director general made note of efforts to control the spread of the virus. the great
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advantage we have these diet the decisions we only make as governments businesses communities slimy lease and individuals could name flues the tragic to the well of the steep. and for more on this we're joined by she chen assistant professor at the yale university school of public health and figure so much for joining us and i do apologize i 70000 there it is actually 7000 cases in italy iran and south korea respectively there and now we're seeing more cases outside of china as we just mentioned there than inside it in fact confirmed cases have tripled outside the country in the past week and the w.h.o. is touting the ability to limit the spread of the virus as we just heard but did the quarantines inside of china actually make a big difference here and what other actions should be taken worldwide. yeah that.
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well the. and also the massive lockdown indeed. prevention of the spread off the wireless to rest up war at the. at least the buy bought some time for the rest of the international community by the this is of their largest social disruption so i don't think currently in the us. at this stage of doing that. larger cost and the disrupt everyone's life and the politically. not feasible but i think there are many other evers' taken by china could be learned by the us and also other european countries and the international community for example social distancing is very helpful with al to continue the wire as if we can cancel necessary trips and conferences social gatherings where delayed the spreading of the wires and also for those patients who are having some concern about being in
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fact leave then still there the measures should be taken to have early diagnosis early isolation and early treatment and that would be by half or otherwise if we leave them on the community in a family there will be a concert of a cluster of infraction and also i think a house insurance measures should be taken for example in china starting from. the end of her generate the cover the cost and the emission cost of the hospitals but they gradually did that 1st of the coverage only the come from the cases about the scenes and many people were not able to become firm so they also covers all suspected cases i think for americans specially important because they are larger lumberyard people under insured are without any insurance so cover those costs of where the financial burden and also add to the provider level try a bastard to reduce the crossing faction rate but eventually i think the bottom line is even if we are not able to reduce the total amount of people being in fact
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it by we can't get that amount of infractions more smooth weaseled heating the capacity of the house here infrastructures and we can. treated people better and see more lives and currently as china is recovering they're actually deployed all a lot of medical practitioner out to middle east especially iran in order to help spread how to contain and quarantine and what practices are effective so right now the w.h.o. is actually just stopping short of saying that the current virus is a global pandemic so what is the thing if it is of actually giving the virus this title. so i believe that service was very important. there's a global effort to curb that out of the border crossings all but this is to be coming last and the last the fact to you we small countries like iran like $100.00 the countries and the territories are being in fact it is so it's very important to
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to share the information of the travelers and tracking those. potential people who are in fact id and also i would to see very important to have. the iranian because without knowing everyone's individual risk of being diagnosed and being in fact it is hard to have anyone to have a correctness risk assessment to attend those social gatherings so we understanding that information the larger gathering can be very detrimental to the society so i like to morrow songs and yesterday and you know west across america so there was some sort of all these was against that but was still ongoing so that was. something need to really do need to be a war zone people can have a larger source or these tents we can otherwise the people i have been there job less. absorbed all the help of the by the other people around quickly here because
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we only have about a minute left but i do have a question about travel you know we've seen a lot of travel restrictions and kind of we we've seen this being a business show obviously we've seen in the airline industry just faltering amid all of this happening with a crowbar as we've seen cruise ships off and struck off the coast with the kind of quarantine before they're able to bring them in is it safe to travel right now i mean even domestically but especially internationally. if you are traveling. or or was. very easy to get impacted by the by people is it spreading to. others so i'm. sure that like a war they use logic public transportation like to try to drive instead of taking those public transportation. unless it's 3. travels on the gatherings thank you so much each an assistant professor at the school of public university thank you
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for your time. time now for a quick break but hang here because when we return the chairwoman of wells fargo has stepped down just ahead of a. break on the shake up about one of the largest banks and i think got a break. for the super bowl for sure. it was a news new york. style were you sure the. feeling in the streets for
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and welcome back twitter c.e.o. jack dorsey will not be removed from his position the company announced monday the social media giant reached a deal with activist investor elliott management which includes a $1000000000.00 investment from california based private equity firms silverlake as part of the deal silverlake coast c.e.o. and managing partner. and elliot partner jesse cohn will take the seats on twitter's board now according to the release the board will create a temporary committee headed by lead independent director patrick pichette to. u.s. policy of evaluating the company's leadership structure elliot's initial attempts to oust dorsey as c.e.o. came after he announced plans to temporarily remove to africa while running both twitter and square dorothy is the only person to lead to public companies valued at more than $5000000000.00 on the news twitter stock fell slightly but is not feeling
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the effects of overall markets that have been down at least 7 percent on the day. insurance brokerage firm and has agreed to purchase willis towers watson for $30000000000.00 in an all share deal which will combine the world's 2nd and 3rd largest companies in the sector the combined company will be headquartered out of london with the name and have a value of roughly $80000000000.00 now this marks the largest acquisition of 2020 m. positions a new company to compete with marsh and mclennan the world's number one insurance brokerage firm on the news well as towers watson stock tips 7 percent on monday slightly more than the trend we're seeing throughout the overall markets ayaan however a plunge by more than 15 percent at times following the details of the merger. and the chairman of the board of wells fargo has resigned the company said in a statement on monday board chair elizabeth do and fellow board member james quigley both submitted their resignations ahead of testimony in front of the u.s. house financial services committee this week regarding the bank's 2016 fake
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accounts scandal duke became vice chairman with wells in october of 2016 shortly after the bank disclosed employees had opened millions of fake accounts without customer consent in an effort to meet sales goals and joining us now to cover all of this is molly barrows contributor with america's lawyer always a pleasure to have molly on the show molly now u.s. rep maxine waters who actually chairs the house financial services committee has been critical of these 2 board members in regards to the scandal previously calling for them to actually step down how did these board members play a role in this fake account scandal. i think it's more the lack of role that they're playing right now which in most to be generally oversight and she thinks they're way too complacent they're simply not doing their jobs you talked about that scathing report when she said they should both resign she gave some examples of why she felt they weren't doing their jobs for example she said duke has been reluctant to meet with federal regulators she's complained about being included on
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government correspondence basically being sent to make sure the bank is taking the right steps to be compliant and the meantime she said quickly was also talking to other bank officials about possibly getting an easy pass from the feds when it came to the situation so they're both scheduled to testify before the committee on wednesday if they want to have their say and respond to her criticism but chances are they step down before they had to take the hot seat on wednesday even though they will still be in the hot seat they won't be in leadership roles apparently at that point and i just want to clarify that molly so you're saying that they will still in fact testify on wednesday they just won't have any actual official capacity anymore. correct that's exactly the they are still scheduled to testify and wednesday even though they have a fish. really step down there is a replacement for duke but since they have been in this position to oversee so far i feel like lawmakers still want to hear from them as to what steps they took or what they didn't take why they made the decisions that they've made is there a sense of complacency across the board is this the way the bank is handling things
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in general so i can imagine they would want to still to get some answers from the folks and at this point what are lawmakers hoping to get out of these hearings on capitol hill this week. you know with such a big scandal with those fake accounts the bank wells fargo had to agree to a number of fines if you will is also regulatory changes that they need to make both within the company the way they manage their employees as well as how they dealt with their customers so they just want to follow to make sure that they're taking that next right step to make amends and rebuild trust with the american public i mean they are one of the main 4 big banks and didn't i guess from a financial regulatory regulators point of view that they continue to do well as long as they're doing well in a legal way and not profiting off of illegal sales tactics like they were before which caused a lot of harm financial harm to customers so again they paid several billions in fines and they've agreed to make these changes to ensure that won't happen again and part of this oversight from these lawmakers is to make sure they're doing that
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and so far it doesn't really seem like they're getting a whole lot of good marks in that category water said that some of these fabulous fabulous federal regulators are basically saying hey we're sending you back your compliance plans wells fargo because what you're sending us doesn't go far enough so maybe that she just wants to get some firmer answers on exactly what are they doing and how far does this complacency go in her opinion when it's interesting because they are still up for what federal regulators may actually do some some more action against the bank that regulators in 2018 actually kept at the growth saying they couldn't go any further so molly barrows contributor with america's lawyer thank you so much for your time today. thanks friend. that ever this time you think i had to bow must on demand on the brand new portable t.v. ad available and smartphones the google play and the apple app store by searching live on t.v. or stream us to your t.v. by downloading the parvati app on apple t.v. and on t.v. and you could via also find our coronavirus tracker on the portable t.v.
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apps or you can get the latest news and information about the threat of the virus and as always check us out on you tube dot com slash 2 but start to feel next time . join me every thursday on the elec so i'm unsure when i'll be speaking to get a feel of the world of politics sports business i'm show business i'll see that. description sound up even for the owners so how to choose just pet food industry is telling us what to feed our pets really more based on what they want to sell us than what's necessarily good for the pet turns out that food may not be as healthy as people believe and we have animals that have you know diabetes in arthritis they
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have auto immune disorders they've got allergies we are actually creating these problems it's a huge epidemic of problems all of them i believe can be linked to very simple problem of diet and some dog owners so heartbreaking stories about their pets less treats the larger corporations are not very interested in proving or disproving the value of their food because they're already making it a $1000000000.00 on it and there's no reason to do that research.
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the price of oil nosedives along with global stocks as saudi arabia wraps up production in a dispute with russia. brussels says it's agreed on a good starting point in discussions with ankara over the unfolding crisis in the greek turkish border where tens of thousands of refugees remain in limbo. and violence erupts in italian prisons within minutes furious over their conditions and the strict new measures brought in to combat the spread of the coronavirus. you can check out all our stories and more on our website r.t. dot com don't forget our social media pages as well stay with us now for the cause report next we're back in an hour's time with the latest.
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