tv Keiser Report RT March 14, 2020 11:00pm-11:30pm EDT
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1st. to unleash the power of the federal government and to separate today i am officially declaring a national emergency. response. countries across europe and asia. ministration also seeks to restrict medical imports from china which could cause prices to surge. and a base posting u.s. and other coalition forces near baghdad is struck for the 2nd time in a week leaving 5 people injured. and head over to our dot com for more on those and other stories but the kaiser report is next with us.
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max kaiser this is the kaiser report the pandemic it dition special times require special reporting of course because report has been anticipating so much of what's going down around the world stop a big surprise for those of you who have been watching us for so many years is that right stacy max it is a continuation of the pandemic and the pandemic response of the pandemic situation we also have the oil wars going on allegedly some oil wars we have russia versus saudi arabia the price crash you know kind of started with when the opec plus when they met you know saudi arabia essentially and russia and russia decided not to cut any production based on the decline in demand out of china and elsewhere but also
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right after that saudi arabia offered up to a $10.00 discount per barrel just because i guess. bin solomon got a little bit upset and threw a temper tantrum so that's what happened there but you know that seismic sell off a 30 percent and then followed by a like 101213 percent rise and boom bust and boom bust i thought this was an interesting tweet to kind of look at the whole situation is from royce that we mentioned in the last episode and he was so prescient about this pandemic situation when he predicted sort of a pandemic basically that negative rates were signaling that he predicted that last june or july he says i think we have just witnessed the end of the petrodollar system non us countries will soon see a new unit of account medium of exchange and store of value a new bretton woods that will not be decided in america or by americans right well all the key players that's
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a study for the. are involved right now saudi arabia russia and united states so the petro dollar of course was established in the early 1907 days with america and saudi arabia when america defaulted on its sovereign debt remember richard nixon defaulted on the dollar default on the treasury market and we went on the petro dollar standard because america had to close the gold window could no longer fulfill its obligations to its creditors this was the beginning of the petrodollar era and the beginning of all things everywhere are being priced in dollars oil is being priced in dollars all commodities are priced in dollars they gave america the us empire of debt it gave america the world reserve currency it gave america what's called senioritis which is basically they get a cut over every transaction ever done anywhere in the world every coil trans if japan wants to buy oil that the buy dollars 1st and then buy oil for example so they have to give america a commission they get a cut that's a huge source of revenue for america now with saudi arabia and the u.s.
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have been at loggerheads down for a couple of years that relationship has been strained and saudi arabia is i think you're correct they threw a hissy fit they said we're going to just walk the price down by $10.00 for oil because our cost production is not even $3.00 a barrel and so i think they thought everyone would just step in line but then russia said whoa whoa whoa whoa whoa whoa hold on a 2nd they looked at the numbers and they said wait a minute our cost of production is actually higher it's like $7.00 but america has $50.00 or so and we have no debt the saudi kingdom has a huge amount of debt and we have a lot of gold we could actually participate in this global geo political oil poker game very very we got 3 aces here and now i think roy is correct i think the u.s. dollar loses its status as the unit of account in world reserve currency something else is coming it won't be u.s. dollar it could be another country's currency or another consortium of countries developing some other currency backed by somebody else's oil or gold etc. just to
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make clear that in russia the breakeven point is about $15.50 because there is an $8.50 cent tax on every single barrel so you have a cost of production is about $7.00 but they add in the cost of the tax just like in the united states about $50.00 is the break even and that includes the tax of about just under $7.00 obviously since we went on the u.s. dollar standard and we were untethered from gold then we could control everything because we could print as much debt as we want and nobody really knows how much debt we have and that's why we have the repo market situation that's why we keep on having boom and bust that's why we have especially at the boss like radical bust because people are when a sort of crisis hits whether it's the subprime mortgage meltdown or now the fracking sector meltdown like people are uncertain how much debt is actually there because nobody knows and now going back to what's happening in the geo political oil space lattimer putin dumps saudi arabia's crown prince mohammed bin solomon to
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start a war on america's shale industry that's bloomberg take i responded with the red queen was at war with shale long before this headline oh right i should mention that as part of the social distancing that we're practicing in the pandemic we've built a studio in an actual treehouse slash studio and you might hear a couple of birds tweeting in the background because we're living with the birds in a tree to practice good social distancing during the pandemic hearing them as a good sign because this is a sign that spring is here and perhaps we don't know but then perhaps the couvade 19 coronavirus could disappear. yeah so with the shale industry in the u.s. like i pointed out recently you know there's no reason why russia should subsidize american shale industry if there were russia's been saying there for 20 years you know let's be friends let's do business let's grow together and about america
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needed a scapegoat. war hillary loss and 2016 and everything that's gone wrong with the u.s. they like to blame on russia and now they're at the very tough spot because russia is not going to be lobbying to help them bail out america's shale industry ok fine i mean that's russia's position i think it's a smart position and the u.s. as you point out the shell industry has been a negative cash flow negative energy industry since its inception shale ministries never made money summer made profit doesn't even make revenue but let alone profit the amount of debt required for shell is all was the interest on the debts always been greater than any any of the any of the cash that's come out of these things and it takes more energy in for a shell rake than energy comes out its energy negative we cover that extensively on our show of course we then got blamed for a russian gay and d.n.i. report says you know that because kaiser report talked about the shale industry but the markets are telling us that we were right as we see with this headline here
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crash an energy junk bonds s. and our g. 2027 bond dropped by almost 50 percent following oil price ads that looks like the bond market which are supposed to be the smartest investors of all that they decided that well you know what kaiser report was right all of this time you know a lot of people criticize the big point is too volatile but look at the o.l. junk bond market for the shale industry it's incredibly volatile it's going to go the way of enron remember enron was worth $80000000000.01 day and then it went to a big fat goose egg the next day worth 0 the shell american shell industry junk bond market's going to 0 because this was a farce this is the shell american shale hoax it was and it's just going to 0 that's all of us do it now going to bail it out print tons of money probably that's just going to make the dollar worth even less than it is right now world markets and jack the price of gold up who owns
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a lot of gold home. russia also put this into context mohammed bin solomon has overthrew an uncle or cousin he's got like 5000 uncles and cousins who are princes and so he's got to keep that economy stable because he's got 5000 people and his family wanted to overthrow him and replace them just as he had overthrown somebody else i think he's in the process of executing 4 of his cousins around close at the moment you know it's so he has a situation that's precarious there and he has a huge population that needs to be fed so you've got that situation and lots of debt in russia you've got loads of 4 x. reserves loads of national wealth resurface loads of gold and loads of resources and you know saudi arabia relies on 87 percent of their imports are our exports sorry are our oil and about 53 percent and russia is oil and energy related so
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they're a little bit my more diverse it should probably be more diverse but in terms of the u.s. and all of this debt like we could we could have thrown it we didn't get a free ride ok we got a lot of free stuff. but at the cost of manufacturing and you know instead of building boondoggles like this fracking which never made sense we could you know we have loads of episodes you can go look at the past episodes where we go extensively into why it makes sense but instead of wasting half a trillion dollars that investors are lost and fracking we could have built you know infrastructure we could have built high speed rail we could have. spent on you know electric power grids everywhere we could have done something else that would be useful in the long run and then stiff everybody else with the bill you know mostly china and japan that own all our bonds so we could have done something else with it it just seems a little bit ridiculous that we didn't write let me explain. america is run by
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and glorifies salesman. to europe and the rest of the world tends to respect bureaucrats civil servants there's a big difference so the key to sales is developing urgency to get someone to believe that there's an urgent reason for them to act for them to buy what you're selling in the case of how did america get wrapped up in the biggest boondoggle in american history the half a trillion or trillion dollar shale fracking boondoggle is because the sail from a wall street bank was so compelling and the pitch goes like this i can sell you a 1000000000 dollars of the shell projects right now by by simply giving in the following pitch stacy write a crisis america needs to be energy independent because of the terrorists. now that's all i need to say and you're going to start writing checks and by the way
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we're going to sell bonds that pay 12 percent 13 percent 14 percent you're going to make a killing right in that stupid sale technique unfortunately the joke well there is some value of course i think in for national security for any nation to have energy security any nation to food security and then as well it has no food security they import everything puerto rico imports everything that leaves you totally vulnerable to a global debt market so anybody should consider that but they haven't been honest and a lot of people have thrown money into it how they said this is like a war bond this is a national security bomb this is an energy independence bond you know you might lose everything but we're going to be number one no no no. it's energy independence was the sale and but energy independence could have come from the same amount of money by building renewables. the money that went into junk bonds for fracking could have built a sustainable renewable energy infrastructure in america of solar wind hydro well i
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did because the pitch for energy renewable energy is not exciting to a wall to a drunk wall street broker hangout of harry's bar in wall street it's not exciting to hear about renewable energy it doesn't get them and it closer to having exciting times at night guaranteed by the fracking salesman well that sector is seemingly dead now and finally i want to turn to you with the saudi aramco of course because you talk about bankers and that was sold to the public markets just recently oil price melt down saudi aramco has lost almost $500000000000.00 in market cap from its all time high in december nobody knows the oil sector better than the saudis they were dumping at the right time of course this is very volatile now up and down but $500000000000.00 is. a little bit more than not the loss is cumulative in. facking sector by the way right well we mentioned earlier he said when that thing
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spike that was worth almost 2 trillion that this is the greatest short of his lifetime once again you know he was right this is it's a short sale today it's going to you know. he's a picture of oil anyway we're going to take a little break and when we come back much more coming your way. so what we've got to do is identify the threats that we have. let it be an arms race. theory dramatic. will be very critical. to sit down and talk.
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welcome back to the kaiser report i macs guys are time now to go to bed firesign author of plan a ponzi welcome back mitch great to be here max thanks for having already i've got an interesting introduction for you here today the whole idea of plan a ponzi of course goes back to 1987 crash and the beginning of the federal reserve put under alan greenspan the idea that the central bank as an act of a central bank was always going to come to the rescue because ultimately this was one big enormous ponzi scheme now this past week or so we've had the death of mach's on the sea though famous actor and his famous scene was playing chess
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with death in the movie the 7th seal i would like to possibly suggest that right now the policy of bailing everybody out from the central bank is similar it's like playing. chess from the movie the deer hunter where it's russian roulette essentially and eventually of course the end is the same complete obliteration mitch is this russian roulette basically gone wrong and the constant bailing out of central banks around the world as part of this planet ponzi that you've been documenting for so many years mitch you can never see her on the back you know and all that happens is enormous amount. of increased exponentially so now the federal reserve is a panic desperation move coming in and they cut interest rates by 50 basis points
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back follow suit by cutting rates their bank of japan buying all equities central banks think they can make the coronavirus the. the way by buying equities and spending more money this is a fallacy it'll never work the problem that we have that we need to identify is the fly shock and a demand shock simultaneously the same time coronavirus was the trigger it was. in the tinderbox that the central banks around the world have homes with liquidity aka petrol high through object hero and now it's gone up in flames so we're seeing a hold back in stocks right now i think we've got a long way to fall towards the bottom it's not a good big you lie good bye. i think. way too high we've discussed before buyouts like word and credit will be the
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one wall works we've already seen corporate bond market is up a bit but i think things are going to get much worse because all the dumby the tide goes out we're going to see. the precipitous decline in oil prices it's going to accentuate the collapse of the pond. shell oil this. i think we've done a lot of components here look at part it is a big one and i think the lack of liquidity in the markets once you get involved those are going to make the decline even larger and more losses even larger which will cause bankruptcies in a cascade of bankruptcies i mean italy is a lot them martial law they go or trillion dollars in debt that they were never going to repay before this now the country is closed for business and as we know
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their g.d.p. for the past 18 years has been. the worst in the world. so but their debt is the highest in euro problematic many different. view now we've got this and about how we get out of this problem you know like the bad. larry summers and the same people that created this mess bankers want to tell you it's all. coronavirus but it's absolutely not because everybody. moral hazard caused by the global central banks enable a reckless lending practices company organizations and. entities we're not we're not we're that's why we're seeing your lowered interest rates again and this ratio of the middle class we've seen wealth inequality and shatter new record right let's talk about this idea the difference
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between a demand shock and a supply shock so everyone is familiar now to say wall street bankers with a demand shock and lowering interest rates and flooding the market with more cash cures a demand shock there's no absence of people looking to get on debt and expand their credit cards and expand their debts on their balance shave if you just make money available free as far as this global pontius game they'll always be people lining up to take the free money but this is this is different now this is as you point out a supply shock when the supply lines from china are cut and stuff is not apple store you can't print that you can't you can't solve a problem by printing money because it doesn't matter the goods are simply not there mitch they think that they can buy all the 3 d. printers and create the stuff i think is absolutely ridiculous what they think i
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mean with the supply and when you think about it this was the whole idea behind the obama you're where they are a good idea so they outsourced 98 percent of the inner chemical components antibiotics to cheaper production in china so we are we are actually relying on china to buy necessary men that we need or we could cut off any time the production around the world shut down and everybody throw my. beholden to china that's not a good position because the politicians in washington strom and westminster strom were too busy with other matters that were not relevant not helping it by the all the lying there are pockets rather than ensuring that the people they represented which they did represent would be out of harm's way should we have his speech and he planted which we don't this is
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a much larger problem we've got critical infrastructure industries that now are all outsourced to china where this problem originated as you call it the ruhani virus you're a race right well i mean i don't know why they call lyme disease lyme disease because the start of the lyme connecticut and most diseases are named after their origin where they come from but let me ask you this because you're in the banking business and i been in and out of banking and finance for 30 years and so i'm curious what your thoughts are because they will come back with some kind of package of financially engineer solutions and we've seen negative interest rates in the last few years that was a new thing that was invented just a few years ago it had never existed before what i want to get a bit reach into the bag and check what kind of programs are inventions well they come up with trump is proposing a cut in payroll tax that seems very minimal not going to do much to get save
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a new kitchen a farmer i believe is a goldman sachs guy he's a financial engineer they will charge some outlandish absurd financially engineered solutions to this any and can you give us any idea what might be cooking in the back rooms i've mentioned this before and it's pretty much happened in europe and throughout asia that the bank of japan which is the major. purchaser of the e.t.f. products is exchange traded funds stocks and national bank finds stocks e.c.v. will start buying stocks in favor buying stocks they're buying on right now that it's not a long time from now until the fed says well we're going to start buying equities so this is a problem because it's not capital with. we're all we've got to intervene and the need to lay price action you know the buyout of 2 pennies 5 l. of the mh responded i thought negative you're going to bond markets
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so that means the e.c. we pay rates is rich is made to 5. 1000000000 dollars in low how does that help main street it doesn't this problem these guys have self interest they don't care what happens to main street does burn down long as they get paid what's next thing to pull out of the bag of tricks you know i told you get a margin on you get marginal returns from that because increment you know now they have to spend $3.00 to make it makes no sense whatsoever they're burning the house down they don't realize they are burning down and we're not and very well right you mention the e.c.v. finance the takeover of tiffany's by showing a negative response effectively having the public financing kleptocratic concentration of wealth but what about the fracking industry it's never made any money if the cash flow negative energy flow negative and there are i think
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a trillion dollars of the junk bonds associated with that industry how they're going to handle that manage you're going to have a cascade of credit to fall and and the oil prices should go much lower because you don't have demand we have and we're going to have an economic recession which we're probably in already or an economic depression which is going to push prices even lower now there's no war between saudi arabia and russia on the oil prices saudi arabia's plan wristed drive all the shell oil producers banks and they will succeed if oil prices stay down here then they'll be able to control the price if you like opec again dries out is all those companies will go bankrupt we need 200000000000 worth of bonds starts to fall thing and will have gone on to get even tracking. for number of years deutsche bank they have a lot of exposure to the bankrupt energy companies a sarnie a very troubled bank and by some measures you can say it's an insolvent institution is deutsche bank going the way of enron in the near term midge i thought you might
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have a lot of problems at one point they're off balance sheet derivatives 70 trillion so if you're many going to bail them out i'm glad the u.k. was smart enough to write. you but all the 27 other members of the club will get to pick up part of the bailout which is a big problem but i think the german government will try to i lost. doing the last couple of years this problem is you see the repo market added to 'd 100000000000 still functionally broken recall mark doesn't work any more and they will tell you why. discount or borrowing the repo market is a big secret what we've got to do is and the federal. not a federal organization the fed got nothing federal government and it's not a bank we've got to sions because they're just wrote have fun right we've got about
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20 seconds left one quick question. if you can the petrodollar this is the relationship between america and fatty arabia we don't have time to get too deep into it but is it over well i think that's over but when joe biden gets elected michelle obama is right we're going to see things really is. oh wow there it is misfire a sign calling joe biden michelle obama when ticket and 2020 you heard it right here in the kaiser report mentions thanks for being on the kaiser report thanks for having that's going to do it for this edition of the kaiser report with me max kaiser and stacy herbert want to thank our guests mentioned last time author of a seminal important and translated into many languages planet ponzi try catch us on twitter it's kaiser report and select on.
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hello and welcome to worlds apart curled just a few young a pioneering sway psychiatry's who is now seeing and now the rise to prominence more than 50 years after his death once remarked dad we don't solve our problems but rather outgrow them this may be true for individuals but does it also apply to societies and if saw why do our societies despite all the economic and technological growth seem more infantile than ever while to discuss that i'm now joined by dr james hollis a prominent union psychoanalyst and author of the upcoming book living between worlds finding personal resilience in changing times dr hollis it's a great privilege for me to talk to you thank you very much for your time my privilege actually used to be with you now let me stay.
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