tv Boom Bust RT June 10, 2020 4:00pm-4:30pm EDT
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but today the same concept has been turned on its head we were told to take a knee or face consequences social shany is being turned into a ruling ideology. this is the one business show you can't afford to miss in washington coming up the fat at the side of the keep rates steady in the midst of the coronavirus devastation we bring you inside or inside on the decision and what lies ahead for the u.s. central bank plus at the federal reserve has propped up markets in the us it is posed an interesting issue for a major debt holder china and later the race is on for the head of the world trade organization and the european union is weighing in we bring you the latest on the
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run with a packed show today so let's dive right in. and we need the program with the latest policy update from the federal reserve's federal open market committee as expected fed chair drone powell announce interest rates will hold near 0 through 2022 but the real question has been what action will the fed take moving forward. since march we've been purchasing sizable quantities of treasury and agency mortgage backed securities you know or to support the smooth functioning of these markets which are vital to the flow of credit in the economy. our ongoing purchases have helped to restore the market conditions and have fostered more accommodative financial conditions as market functioning has improved since the strains experienced in march we have gradually reduced the pace of these purchases to sustain smooth market functioning and thereby foster the effective transmission of monetary policy to broader financial conditions we will can increase our holdings of treasury and agency mortgage backed securities over coming months at least at
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the current pace paul added the fed will continue to monitor the situation make moves as necessary and went on to talk about the economic impact of the coronavirus pandemic. the virus and the forceful measures taken to control its spread have induced a sharp decline in economic activity and a surge in job losses indicators of spending and production plummeted in april and a decline in real g.d.p. in the current quarter is likely to be the most of your own record. even after the unexpectedly positive may employment report you're only $20000000.00 jobs have been lost on net since february and the unemployment rate has risen about 10 percentage points to 13.3 percent. the u.s. central bank says it expects g.d.p. to contract by 6.5 percent in 2020 but doesn't this big growth of 5 percent in 2021 and 3.5 percent in 2022 u.s. equities had bounced back after the decision but fell quickly with the dow dropping
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by more than 200 points however the tech heavy nasdaq continued its record run on wednesday above 10000 points for more on all of this let's bring in bill bus co-host christine and c.e.o. of cool intelligence and former fed insider daniel de martino both then i want to start with you here what are the latest takeaways from the fed and did it meet investor expectations for what they wanted to hear from drone power. i think that investors have to be happy with what they heard today that the fed is expecting for gross to resume 2021 but at the same time to to quote here pal the fed is not even thinking about thinking about raising interest rates which is kind of a goldilocks scenario we're going to have a return to g.d.p. positive g.d.p. over there over the next 12 months or rising or so unemployment is going to come down but the fed's not going to think about raising interest rates which should keep animal spirits that are really propping up the stock market going he's he's he's saying in no uncertain terms i am not turning off the printing press so that
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should definitely have pleased investors which i think we saw with the way the nasdaq closed at the very least christi what data points you think the fed is monitoring here at this point to gauge whether or not to continue being a cow. dating or to start to tighten as we just heard drone policy. well this is a really delicate game that the market is actually playing right now like the old narrative that we always spoke about before bad news is good news the worse the data actually looks the better for the market because then it expects to get help from the fed so that's why the markets want employment data to be good but not too good that against back to 5 percent unemployment within a few months because then you have the policymakers starting to tighten so the job numbers is going to be a big one to monitor because that will likely set the pace for policy and right now market participants are also watching for signs that the fed will continue to stay dovish in order to prevent any taper tensions on the day when it hold away from q.e. in 2013 so the market clearly wants a high level commitment to continue treasury purchases so currently the fed has
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slowed down dramatically those purchases that its balance sheet has already blew into about over some point one trillion dollars already but despite this the market is still pricing in that there is about another $3.00 trillion left to go so we shall see if the market actually gets that or be disappointed and have a need jerrick leg down so today we actually never got any solid statements from the regarding his purchase and how long they will continue for the only indication we got was that it would maintain these purchases to quote sustain a smooth functioning of the markets which really doesn't give anyone any time i. don't know know they've the fed has actually pointed out that the there they've never gone negative on interest rates they really don't have it in drone policy as he has no real plans to go negative however like you said we're not raising rates any time soon so the fact of the matter is if the economy gets worse rather than getting better is this still the case and will we even you know is there
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a slight possibility that we might see negative rates this year or even next. well i think that as long as your own powell is running the federal reserve that the answer that question is going to stay no he said that the fed is contemplating and he spoke. did this in the press conference the idea of yield curve control which has been going on for some time and japan executed by the bank of japan but i don't i think that rather than negative interest rates he would take that next step and if need be i also believe that the fed would go so far as to buy stocks as well via e.t.f. again in the same way that the bank of japan has been doing. i want to move to kind of markets here and 1st we'll start with commodities oil really took a dive today after a surprise jump in crude inventories is persistently low oil prices kind of here to stay at least until we see all that travel and everything kind of pick back up after the coronavirus paid emigres over which we don't know this may still be another year to 16 months out. i think the persistently low oil prices are going to
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be here to stay because right now indications from the a.p.i. data shows us stocks built up quite a lot between both crude and distance and total crude stockpiles including commercial and as boros by about 8000000 barrels now that's the 2nd largest buildup in the past 6 weeks that we had and today you have goldman sachs also issuing a warning that the bounce in oil may soon be over and that it was completely overdone and the u.s. shell industry will start hurting again from another sharp fall in oil pricing coming in the next few weeks so we already see this happening in the stock market some of the biggest producers a shell or which includes exxon chevron and you know sources all of which are trained down between 3 to 5 percent today now the combined weakness and as you mentioned commercial travel and industrial activity led to the plainness in oil prices and global markets which is not expected to recover for some time and right now one of the biggest risks of market i should say is that the low price of oil will not only affect the u.s. but also will heavily affect the political regimes in the middle east especially
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saudi arabia iraq and iran whose nation depend heavily on oil exports up to 60 percent of it so the u.s. persistently low oil prices could lead to a shift in the balance of power as a nations would not be able to prize social services to their populations and countries sentence venezuela where it's almost basically 100 percent dependent on how many they have absolutely no cushion to fall back on and they will have a tough time weathering the storm as it's already suffering from one of the worst economic crises in modern history no did i want to talk a little bit about equities here with you because you know we've had this this kind of run despite the last few days of kind of meager losses you know lost a couple 100 points here and there in the dow every day as we talk about that as they can still hit that record number now with record out of play the news of a recession obviously of civil unrest in this global pandemic i mean are investors really is that confidence just there because of the fed intervention and they know they're going to be there. i think that there's only one reason that the stock
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market is up right now and that is the federal reserve you've got 40 percent of the s. and p. $500.00 that cannot provide earnings guidance a year out so you can't even really calculate what the what the broad price to earnings ratio is but we did we what we do know is that valuations are at an extreme we haven't seen retail participation the likes of what we've been seeing these last few weeks ed it really has been a matter of weeks with the micro investors swarming into insolvent already bankrupt companies once you get this kind of animal spirits going and an assurance from the fed that there's going to be a 1999 style of alan greenspan type of support for the stock market we could easily see this thing run the risk is of course that the fed's actions are encouraging corporations that were already over indebted coming into the corona crisis to take more debt on yet while it's inflating at the same time equity market bubble the likes of which we've never seen so i hate to be the person in charge of the fed
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when both of these dueling bubbles burst jael de martino booth and christie i would have had a whole show on that last one there thank you so much for your time. thank you thank you. and the federal reserve's analysts printing of dollars in order to stimulate the economy is resulting in a new set of consequences for one of the largest holders of u.s. debt china according to a new reports china the 2nd largest foreign creditor has decided not to wait for the devaluation of the dollar and is actively selling american debt securities joining us now to discuss is both of those investigative journalist ben swan now the chinese government has sold off u.s. treasuries in the past to correct and what makes this time different than the last time. well one thing that makes it different is kind of the situation that we're in globally looking at chinese have sold off debt in the past including $110000000000.00 just last year alone. on about $10000000000.00 over the last
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couple of weeks so it's not a new thing necessarily but what makes it different is that china seems to be actively trying to divest right now of that u.s. debt and u.s. securities and trying to let go of those in the midst of a time when the u.s. is as as christy and danielle were just talking about when the u.s. is printing money in astonishment rate with the fed intervening as it is in the economy printing some 2 trillion dollars just in the 1st quarter of this year alone and now ben part of the reason for this move was because reportedly the fed was looking at negative interest rates despite drove to being specifically against it as daniel said as long as he's in charge is probably not going to happen she is the fed insider she knows better than any of the lot of us but as a judge today the fed you know did not lower the rates will that actually make any sort of difference while much of it does make a difference in terms of the way china's you know because i don't think china is necessarily going to listen and say well we trust the drone paul is not going to do this and if it's not your own pal then it might might be someone in the future when
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you're holding as much money in terms of u.s. securities that the chinese are holding you're going to want to divest that china is the 2nd largest holder of american debt in the entire world and so when you're looking at negative interest rates you know that obviously that's good for you know what the federal reserve is trying to do if they get to that point but it's terrible if you're holding that u.s. debt so i don't think the chinese are necessarily going to take solace in the idea of the drone paolo's going to save them at some point and again they going to look at the situation and say remember the federal reserve has been talking about negative interest rates for months even though they haven't done it now as of wednesday they said they're not going to it doesn't mean they won't at some point in the future and how much of this is actually about china attempting to kind of move away from the u.s. dollar as the world reserve currency because we've seen some other nations not like move fully off of it but kind of sell their stakes to diversify. yeah i think that's exactly what it is i think more than anything else what we're seeing is if you imagine the chinese and other nations of brics nations so brazil russia india
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china and south africa essentially looking at the u.s. reserve currency as a currency they want to get away from in terms of the economic control that the u.s. has as a result of it and so when they look at that they say well what do we do in order to really break free from that this is one step on a stair case that does that there have been a lot of moves made by the chinese to break away from the u.s. dollar as that world reserve currency i think this is one of those steps certainly to do that and to divest themselves and open quickly before we were actually you know when i'm out of time but boom bust co-host ben swan thank you so much for your time. and time now for a quick break but hang here because just on the other side the race to head the w t o is heating up as the e.u. and mexico have made moves to seize the spot straight ahead we bring you up to speed on the state of the race that's going to break here the numbers at the close .
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to maybe cooling his clock build enough business with farm f. the bar brick by brick globalism make you smile how plenty off that in the store but i found a network that will question science great moves that space civil strife climate change stop a war because simply lists all the mainstream wants to do was keep us quiet you watch the right you can't keep a stylist critical point says cold perspective question more than sad to read we don't take sides we walk the dog our t.v. america of means real talk.
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you cannot be both with the yeah you're right. i'm holland cook i invite you to climb with me above the main stream media empire and from that higher fan to each to glimpse the big picture question more. and welcome back the nomination process for the next director general of the world trade organization began this week it is set to go through the 8th of july and european trade commissioner phil hogan confirmed he is considering a move to secede brazil's roberta as of $80.00 who is vacating that position
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a year early at the end of august now the comments from home again come as e.u. member states consider the prospect of unifying behind a single european candidate now officials have said that discussion will be had in the coming months now hogan spoke about the importance of naming a strong leader to the w t o during a video news conference on tuesday saying i think there is an important amount of work to be done to reform the organization to make it more effective and efficient but also to deal with many of the trade issues that have been deviling the international community now arising from covert 19 now mexico has nominated senior trade official has to say at a who helped renegotiate the north american free trade agreement and several other nations in the process of working out their nominees melissa let's take a broader look at the world trade organization with professor richard wolfe host of economic update and author of understanding socialism presser wolf always a pleasure to have you here and i know this is something you're likely passionate about i want to start with this comment from hogan he says
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a lot needs to be done to reform the w t o can strong a strong leader actually do that within this organization or or is the deputy a lost cause. i don't think it's a lost cause but it's becoming a political football and i think that of course people have to understand because that will go into determining who the next leader is but also what the organization darren's the whole point the purpose of the world trade organization was to prevent countries from abusing each other as they tried to manage their foreign trade all countries do with the united states for sure among them and the question was you don't want to let the go too far that we become burdens on each other as has happened in history before that was working pretty well with glitches until something fundamental shift that 2 things one the trade war between the 2 biggest economies in the world today with the united states and china and number 2 that
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turned the trumpet ministration away from free trade in globalism george protection the whole world including everyone in the w e l is trying to figure out now the number one question is is this a peculiarity of an unusual and b. and b. air president or is it a really a change more than the republicans more than mr trump isn't change that the united states is really going to go it alone internationally that's the big question and i think that was something i was going to get to here is that it is the fact that we're seeing a rise and it's not just in the united states although you know obviously as the world's largest economy and with it a president who has a platform like president donald trump we've seen more nationalism and more protectionism in the way of trade and especially now that we have this covert 19 situation that's happening is that going to weigh heavily and even more heavily on
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the w t o as it moves forward with new leadership. absolutely i mean united states has made that crystal clear mr trump stop providing the financial support that the united states has provided since the beginning of the world trade organization he's putting his money if you like. and it appears that we have lost professor wolf's feed there hopefully we'll be able to get him back in in just a few minutes but let's move to the next story 1st before we go there if that's ok you guys i know just take a 2nd there. with the international space station was just the 1st step for a private company getting involved in private space development now on musk space x. is prioritising starship r.t. correspondent for a new job is following the latest developments and filed this report. about a week after the successful launch of the crew dragon capsule to the i assess space
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x. founder in 'd one musk is mapping out the company's strategy for what's next to lifted off from historic launch pad 39 s. has been busy with the manned mission to the i.s.o.'s and satellite launches he is now shifting his focus to another major mission in a company e-mail to space x. employees he says that starship is the company's top priority and is forging ahead with his plans to transport a human colony to space in the 2030 s. the rocket aims to be fully reusable and launch as many as 100 people at a time on missions to the moon and mars musk has confirmed on twitter that he plans to stick to his ambitious launch schedule firing up the 1st ship towards mars by 2022 these missions will haul cargo designed to support future manned missions to the red planet. while the starship development program has suffered several dramatic setbacks the gigantic spacecraft is currently undergoing construction at space x. this facility in texas must pass to means that it will take about
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a dozen starship missions to the red planet to deliver enough material to build a self-sustaining colony there now are the mars favorably in line about every 26 months or so depending on how many starships space x. builds and launches we could conceivably have enough gear on mars for human settlement by 2050 reporting in new york trinity each of us r.t. . and we have. fessor richard wolfe host of economic update he is back thank you so much professor sorry about that technical difficulties happen at these crazy times amid the pandemic as we're spreading out and we're using broadband but what i want to get to next that i think was something that you were kind of alluding to there is you know the w. cio appellate body has essentially been ham strung by the united states due to the fact that the trump administration basically has held up any nominee and any appointment to that body which actually makes rulings on trade disputes as we were discussing which makes the body completely less effective and almost useless at
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this point now is this going to cause an issue or is this going to be a foot push that you're going to see as we look for an error as not as we but as as leaders look for a new leader to the world trade organization. yes it is definitely already playing that role the rest of the world is shocked sack angry to we're i don't know what are the adjectives the nudes at the drop of the united states from participating not just in the number you know but in the paris climate agreements and a whole host of activities like that and the rest of the world as i say is trying to figure out navigate around the united states really united states really pull back if so what is it we're going to do minus the united states i would caution something very important if the united states continues on the path charted by the republicans under trump you're going to see
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a further isolation of the united states the rules governing international trade upon which the united states the parents will be written by people other than the united states and they're going to put their interests ahead of most of the united states at a time of already serious economic difficulty that strikes me as a very dangerous moment and now professor wolf also i mean obviously the really didn't get too involved with the u.s. and china as the trade dispute was happening i mean last year it is continuing where we're kind of ignoring the fact that phase 2 is going to be talked about they just haven't started negotiating because of things that are happening throughout the world right now but is that going to throw a wrench into things and does that also stop the u.s. from actually having any sort of ambition to strengthen the w t o when the u.s. knows that you know i think you're going to see a very bad spiral and they're going to make decisions without the united states but
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that suppresion more and more of those are going to go against the united states at least more than they have that will make hostility in the united states' role and you'll get into this nation's psyche. that makes itself worse which is a replication of what has happened with china over the last 24 months anyway and it's part as i say of just broader refocusing of the united states the rest of the world is still wondering as is the problem. is this election maneuvering by an unpopular president or is this really a commitment of the business community in the united states to try to reach the dominance it wants and by breaking all of the globalization that it was the big promoter of for so many years and now professor will fire by them maybe 45 seconds left but i rather like the house of the u.s. trade representative had actually pointed out to hogan he made
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a point about saying it's important to have someone from a developed country be the leader of the w t o in 30 seconds is that relevant to you. i don't think so i think that's political maneuvering the europeans are very distressed they have in many ways the most at stake and they hitched their wagon get the united states into the shift on worried about is happening they don't want to be in a position to shape what happens next and that's why they're pushing and i think the united states is afraid of exactly that and so we'll go with some lesser known among smaller country kind of person professor richard wolffe host of economic update thank you for that insight as always. you're welcome and that's it for this time you can catch boom bust on demand on the brand new portable t.v. up of a lot of smartphones through google play and the apple app store by searching portable t.v. and also by that portable t.v. see next time.
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they can go home and blow our brains out at any given time we can't really do anything actually america is the only country in the world where you can kill people outside of war and legally get away with. all of the fire crawls still berea all the troubled history failed to point its hollow flying to k.k.k. exists because america wants it to exist they have the biggest terrorist group to ever operate in this country and they're dead to me they're worse all than the people who destroyed the world trade centers are those growth why.
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happen tony on this is america's lawyer the destruction of labor unions in american workplaces has helped destroy the middle class and cause the income gap to grow out of control and today corporations are so afraid of unions coming back that they're going to extraordinary lengths to make sure that they never do so i will tell you the actions that companies are taking to prevent labor unions from forming also tonight sweeping protests across the country ever exulted in mass deployments of armed police forces but people have noticed many officers without badge is just who are they agencies who do they work for and later in the show will provide an update on the looming 2020 alleged in and exactly where trump and biden stand in one of the most to mulch election years in history don't go anywhere america's war starts right now.
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major corporations will do almost anything to prevent their workers from starting a union even if it means violating the most basic human rights that's exactly what's happening in this country right now and i have fair and cousins from the trial lawyer magazine to talk about it i saw this article it's remarkable we go back to the days of henry ford and put it on steroids lay the story out for us what is interesting because what we're finding out now is that this practice of surveilling workers has not only been continuing over the years but it's evolved and one of the more disgusting things that we're seeing happening right now it happens to be of course with amazon at whole foods which amazon now owns they're using heat map technology to try and determine if their workers are meeting in.
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