tv Boom Bust RT December 22, 2020 9:30am-10:00am EST
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this is boom bust the one business show you can't afford to miss i'm french born in washington coming up the u.k. has title lockdowns due to a new fast spreading strain of the coronavirus to bring you up to speed on the global spread of the virus and travel restrictions across europe and amid struggles with controlling the latest outbreak a key deadline has passed for the e.u. and great britain to strike a pose trade deal going to bring you the latest and later u.s. lawmakers have come to terms on another coven 1000 relief package will go over the
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details and see how markets are reacting with a packed show today so let's dive right in. and we lead the program with the latest restrictions on travel in europe as countries across the continent have banned travel from the u.k. in an attempt to stop a highly infectious new strain of the coronavirus which is quickly spreading in london and the southeast portion of the nation the move comes after british prime minister boris johnson on saturday laid out a new set of lock downs in the areas most affected by the new variant of the virus . given the early evidence we have on this new variant of the virus the potential risk it poses it is with a very heavy heart i must tell you we cannot continue with christmas as planned we will introduce new restrictions in the most affected areas specifically those parts of london the southeast and the east of england which are currently in tier 3 these areas will enter a new tier for which we broadly equivalent to the national restrictions which were
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in place in england in november that means residents in those areas miss stay at home apart from limited exemptions set out in law non-essential retail indoor gyms and leisure facilities and personal care services was close people must work from home if they can but may travel to work if this is not possible for example in the construction and manufacturing sectors people should not enter or leave tearful areas in tearful residents must not stay overnight away from home individuals can only meet one person from another household in an outdoor public. and during this same briefing the prime minister announced that as of saturday 350000 britons had received their 1st dose of a cold that 19 back seen for more on this new strain of the crow virus hitting the u.k. on a global look at the trends and spread of the virus let's go ahead and bring in our chief correspondent saya tablature so let's start with numbers globally where we
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want it so right now it's looking like a very tragic finish of the year right now global cases route $77000000.00 and growing global deaths over $1700000.00 and the u.s. continues to lead the world in cases plus deaths and you know we've heard time and time again from health experts to expect cases to go up as controlling the virus during the colder months is simply more difficult now those prediction of course have proved to be correct all in all it's been a very tragic a few weeks and on sunday almost 180000 cases reported and right now the south is on a very dangerous path with states like georgia arkansas south carolina all setting weekly records while tennessee is reporting the highest base rate per capita in the country now while the national death toll has we surpassed $300000.00 there's no
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indication right now that the pace is actually going to slow and the time soon on sunday almost 1500 cases deaths i should say were recorded with states like pennsylvania california illinois and texas all reporting more than 1000 deaths each in the past week now let's take a look at the prediction chart where deaths in the us are almost certain to even go higher because if you track the number of new cases you can then i currently predict actually the number of cold related deaths that happened about 3 weeks later since in every 100 new cases in the u.s. it's led to an average of. $1.00 steps so expect that to even reach more than $3000.00 a day which would be by far the highest level yet and now here's a share of the population that has gotten a vaccine so far the darker you see the states the more they've gone the
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vaccination so far the maximum has been point 2 percent so. and so while another so i should say about 150000 people overall in the us have done the pfizer vaccine while another 2900000 people are set to receive the 1st dose now less than one percent of the country's population and not even enough for health care workers brand so it's going to be months before enough people have been vaccinated to even make a dent in the u.s. outbreak let alone wind down the pandemic brant we open the show talking about this new strain of the virus found in the u.k. what do we know about this so take a look at here so while cases anew in the u.k. they have been going up there only other place that the case has a higher have been the u.s. but still today should have been a day or breakthrough the usa i mean the e.u. excuse me authorizes pfizer axion which meant millions of doses would be
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transferred to all $27.00 e.u. member states instead of countries across europe they're now scrambling on how to deal with the new strain of the corner virus which is sweeping across southern england and and how to prevent it from spreading elsewhere so this is what we know about this new strain so far it's about 70 percent more contagious than the previous version which means all of this is a model of social distancing of about 6 feet most likely it's going to be in effect there for this new stronger strain which means faster transmission would be more cases which would lead to more hospitalizations and all to mentally more that. now flights from the u.k. are being suspended to more than 40 countries across the world including much of europe india and hong kong plus all neighboring countries are closing their borders so for the u.k. it's a double blow right now leaving unpretentiously isolated from their neighbors you
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know at a time when their departure from the e.u. has already caused a souring relations with their neighbors plus send financial markets binay as stocks in europe there sharply lower along with energy prices and the british pound brant respondent cited temperature thank you for keeping us up to date. and amid these latest concerns regarding the outbreak of cope with $1000.00 in the united kingdom the nation is still dealing with contentious to go she issues regarding a post breck's a trade deal with less than 2 weeks left in the transition period the e.u. and great britain are still stuck on fishing rights in british waters and the so-called level playing field rules to provide fair competition on both sides now negotiations were expected to resume monday despite a sunday deadline set by the european parliament the chairman of the european parliament u.k.
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coordination group said monday an extension in the transition period or provisional application of a framework deal are possibilities. under a normal procedure this is no longer possible we showed our most flexibility but the sunday evening most of the last possible date but still there are other options which have to be looked at including on the one hand the possibility of extending the transition period but this would require a political will on both sides or the other option is provisional application but all these questions will only be discussed once we know if there is actually a deal or not. for more on this let's go ahead and bring in hillary ford which board member with the british american business association hillary always a pleasure to have you on. now we know you're coming from a pro u.k. perspective what it comes to brecht's it but we just heard david mcallister say that the e.u. has shown the most flexibility and quote in negotiations is that
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a fair assessment now i think actually i one of the invalides i've loved design i heard somebody say recently what if the u.k. was to insist on having access to the french vineyards i think that would put it really in context i do think if you look at anything in life i mean even if it's a murder case you always look for the motive what's the motive the u.k. has no motivation whatsoever to want to use the lay tactics in fact the u.k. has done everything in their own interest to try an expedited these negotiations whereas look at the e.u. what is in the e.u. is interest we've talked about before they do not want other nations leaving they do not want to next it with the dots they do not want to talk that with the swedish that's why they're making it actually as difficult as possible because they don't want to encourage other nations by making this a smooth path hillary prime minister boris johnson actually came out monday and said that if there is no deal if it were to revert to deputy or rules that would basically be more than satisfactory for the u.k. and it appears that the u.k.
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is set on stick to the deadline at the end of the year as you just budget but given this latest scituate. with the outbreak in the u.k. and there's new restrictions to deal with should the british part of this to go she should start to look at maybe extending this transition period or do you think that's just out of the cards completely well brant you think about it i mean it's been extended and extended an extended the vote actually took place in june of 2016 so every time it's extended what does it achieve absolutely nothing nothing ever seems to change i think what the british position has always been no deal is better than a bad deal not that anybody was advocating a no deal from the out get the get go and the outset so the double duty 0 rules of course will impose tariffs on and quotas on all u.k. goods but likewise the u.k. can impose impose tariffs too so i just think that the w t o just like boris johnson said the w t o rules aren't as dire and as gloom and doom as drastic as was ever talked about
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also just think about some of the things brand like it was purported that hundreds of thousands of jobs would leave the u.k. capital in the financial sector and go to paris or to boleyn while they have an only 5000 to date approximately have so i think that once a settles down abetted a no deal is better than a bad deal why settle for a bad deal when the w t o establishes a tower of which can then be used also against the e.u. now i want to go into these latest restrictions that we talked about here at the beginning of the show we're seeing travel bans with the u.k. from other european nations due to this new strain of the virus and france is actually go out as far as issuing a temporary freight band u.k. prime minister boris johnson actually spoke about that monday. it's working for us to stress these delays which are only occurring at do only affect human handled freight and that is only 20 percent of the total arriving departing arriving from all departing to the european continent which means the
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vast majority of food medicines and other supplies are coming and going. it seems like started is actually kind of downplaying the situation is this concerning or see right on track there well actually what i've heard is at least the reports come out to say that maybe lettuce and such fresh vegetables will be available for christmas well actually i can actually say that not a lot of british people really have left as a christmas so i don't think that that's going to be so dire i do think that if you get 93 percent of all the products that are bought from the e.u. can be bought from elsewhere and what's happened george since 2016 is there have been over 57 negotiated treaties by the secretary of trade liz truss with other nations so all those goods of flowing freely you did mention the travel ban restrictions yes now 40 countries are basically isolated great britain including canada israel and then just recently i think it was actually even today australia
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because a couple went to south wales so i would say that yes it has been the u.k. has been isolated due to the travel ban but there won't be a doctor shortage of products because they've come from those other nations due to the trade deals with hillary what do you make of these latest lock downs with the u.k. heading into the week of christmas are these restrictions going to take a toll on the economy the same way we saw earlier lock downs or because there might be a shorter are we kind of in the clear there well no i think you're totally right of course it's going to die i mean the timing is actually gone because the timing is a few days before christmas unlike any nation this is the intent shopping for it the only thing i would say is you know christmas day which is friday the 25th and the few days after that there really wasn't a great deal of shopping going on but these few days now it's actually brutal for your small and independent retailers and it's purported that something like you know 80 percent of most retailers. bottom line is contributed to during these last 2 weeks before christmas so that is going to take a ghastly told yes of course when we look at those weeks into the probably the 1st
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week of the new year as well definitely going to be concerning over ford which board member with the british american business association thank you so much for joining us. time now for a quick break but paying here because when we return u.s. lawmakers have come to terms on another cold 19 relief package to really go over the details and see how markets are reacting as we go to break through the numbers of the close. we started talking about big point in dollars then back in 2011 we've been pushing and telling people about a 10 dollars 100 dollars 1000 dollars 10000 dollars it's still a buy at these new all time high prices and the new york times the washington post m s n b c c.n.n.
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were all pushing their phobic conspiracy theories and dissuading quotes from watching our show as a result many people around the world mexico latin america asia everywhere got in from 100 countries that are to broadcast it and they have made millions we've made over 100000 millionaires a big point but not so much in the u.s. because the u.s. is blinkered by its love of keynesian economics it's a lot of the said it's dead. americans love. this was a fundamental part of how our political leadership and our country at large understood the bargain you get a hope and then you know rebel right as the things you don't revolt if you have a stake in the system. and think about
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the longer deeper history housings men in the united states not just that question of the american dream but the bigger question of who the dream is for. welcome back after months of negotiations it appears congressional leaders in the united states have finally reached a deal on a $900000000000.00 koeppen $1000.00 relief package now this bill which is expected to face a vote before the end of monday evening will be the 2nd largest federal stimulus package in u.s. history after that 2 trillion dollars cares act passed in march so what does this
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bill include well $600.00 a direct payments to most adults and $600.00 per child funding for vaccine distribution $300.00 in federal weekly unemployment benefits for 11 weeks more paycheck protection program small business loans and funding for hospitals schools and colleges it would also extend a victim protection to january 31st and provide $25000000000.00 in rental assistance the package does not include state and local government funding but more aid could come once president elect joe biden takes office for more on this and what's moving markets monday let's go ahead and bring in blue bus co-host christiane and c.e.o. of optimist l.l.c. thank you so much for both being here today christiane i want to start with you know congress finally agreed to that $900000000000.00 covert stimulus deal after months and months of delayed negotiations now we just went over what was in the bill is this enough to help these millions of americans facing basic poverty and business closures. no i think this is
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a temporary ban they just to tide us into next year essentially so this is. really this is not enough for many americans potentially facing eviction next year is our unemployment and this wave of small business closures that's not going to stand so this is quite a lot of measures and provisions jammed all into one proposal but the problem is that the total dollar amount isn't enough they had to split the pies so many ways that in the end i'm not sure how big of an impact this is actually going to make so for example imagine airlines airlines are losing about as much as $180000000.00 in cash daily with the passenger volume down 65 percent and cancellations rising so $15000000000.00 for the airline industry that really want to even last them 3 months at a parade so they're. just trying to track cram as much of their agenda in as possible so that at least everybody gets some points and which really isn't effective in the bigger picture so based on the cost estimates of the various
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provisions bank america estimates at this new stimulus package will contribute approximately 2.7 percent of gross in 2020 mainly from rode into q one which is good because a start of the year is looking pretty shaky with the weaker economic data coming out so this is also likely to be the last major coded focused fiscal package according to goldman sachs so assuming that is facing a divided congress next year goldman does expect another debate over fiscal support in q one ahead of the extend unemployment provisions however since congress left the most difficult issues out of the current package it seems quite unlikely that lawmakers will be able to even agree on those in the subsequent legislation so all in all it's a temporary ban they vary so much alike the phase one deal of the trade deal we have with china where all the difficult meaningful issues have been left out in order to get it done so it's just essentially buy more time. can down the road and
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see the progress of this vaccine that everybody is adding are definitely politics in the united states for sure octavio now global markets mostly fell monday as a fast breaking strain of corona virus emerged from england which we talked about earlier in the show which prompted fresh travel restrictions is that late december santa rally in question now due to this latest surge in the copen 1000 in corona virus that we're seeing. well i have to admit that the reaction the markets has been scratching my head today i mean you came up with about 2 percent and today we close out the day it was a respectable down one percent the pound any bob so if you look at the pound against the dollar against the euro is pretty much unchanged down 10 percent so the markets seem to do this is that. long on the road but in the maxine did and the and then if you're going to hit the road blocks like this i'm taking it very much in a strike i'm surprised because this. is pretty severe the travel
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bounds produce and it's not looking good so we'll see how this unfolds look at the time the markets face going to be your last and busy. now kristie there's a new credit suisse report regarding accelerating socio economic trends dudek overnight taking a break down that report for us. so those are all truly interesting and it further highlighted these trends that we were already previously aware of but now code has accelerated those trends so this includes the digitalisation of everyday life that trend towards more flexible work arrangements and work from home telecommute capabilities cashless payments increase on demand a limited capabilities increase decentralization away from urban areas so by allowing more remote work congested cities such as manhattan los angeles and chicago there are no longer attractive living spaces and we've seen massive exodus from the city as people flock with the neighboring areas a more rural location smaller cities where you get more value for the dollar in
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terms of real estate so remote work looks like it's here to stay as it's more cost is a more cost effective solution in the long term as well for businesses so the demand for office space and business travel will likely decrease and not recover for some time and on the other hand delivery has become one of the most important services down this includes on demand delivery for food groceries packages mail shopping and even services as people demand hairstylists missis's chefs to come to them and so the customer is now venturing out and seeking them out so on the macro side of things it's also accelerate the expansion of the state and further increase the gaps between the wealthy and the disadvantaged groups so with coated socially disadvantaged population groups are more likely to suffer job losses and lower income and they're also the most likely to be placed out of work due to getting sick from jobs that have a higher risk of exposure to cope. now activia when their own one of these long term impacts of these trends will we ever return to globalization or did covert
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also excel or aid us down the path of protectionism and more border control because we deadly saw that trend well before cold did moving forward but what are you seeing there. well i think there's a very real risk that this becomes part of the landscape and that governments now whenever a new virus breaks out whenever there's no risk coming out the governments who respond with very very heavy heavy hand i mean because the past 1015 years we've seen the outbursts 'd of viruses that never really went anywhere things i. think fairly but molly i think in the current climate if it was supposed things that they would not much appears the ice would react very aggressively to this outbreak so i'm afraid in the future every time we see it at home virus how is a virus 'd discovered or someone might have there's a people with the government. or shut down some travel restrictions. i'm afraid is
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going to become this is the way things are going to be into the future. 19 as soon as we see some of them are is on the horizon we'll see lock down travel restrictions. kristie what do you see on that globalization front as well do you see us moving more towards a protectionism overall or or how are you seeing this especially economically for that matter. absolutely because i think with tighter border controls there's also going to be in constructions between everybody including trade because everybody now with coal that is in a worse or economic state every single government every single state they are now cash they have massive cash deficits massive debts so the only way to recover from that is to focus internally and you have stricter we're going to hold stricter protection over ickiness intellectual property whatever their export most export goods are all of those are going to possession because everybody now needs to build their war chest after being so depleted with kogan for us to hear and to your
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previous point too about the whole technological movement it does seem that at least personally whenever you run into a convenience based situation like we are here with coke and when you say ok i need to have delivered groceries then you realize how well that really works that just moves into your daily life moving forward boom bust co-host christine. the c.e.o. of up a selsey thank you both for your expert analysis today. thank you sam. the representatives from the united states and vietnam are expected to meet later this month to ease trade tensions now the announcement from vietnam comes a week after the u.s. labeled the southeast asian nation as a currency manipulator raising the possibility of new tariffs on vietnamese goods reuters reports that president donald trump is likely to unveil those tariffs next month before he leaves office in 2019 the u.s. imported 66600000000 dollars worth of goods from vietnam new tariffs would likely
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impact apparel at tronics and other household items if tariffs are imposed in vietnam response it could create yet another trade hurdle for the incoming biden ministration. and finally if you think of innovation and use of technology i'm sure the 1st name that comes to mind is queen elizabeth stay with me here for the 1st time ever the 94 year old queen's christmas day address will be available via amazon and alexa starting on the 25th of december at 3 pm g.m.t. users with their devices set to english will only have to say alexa play the queen's christmas day message to have her voice play through their smart speaker amazon is touting the innovation and maybe with good reason as the guardian says the queen's televised coronation in 1053 boosted television sales across the u.k. and that's it for this time you can catch boom bust on demand on the brand new portable t.v.'s available on smartphones and tablets to google play in the apple app store by searching portable t.v. portable t.v.
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can also be downloaded on a newer model samsung smart t.v.'s as well as devices or simply check it out portable that t.v. will see you next time. she sure movielink to those who did just that it just means that i. don't mind it just became a zone on that. the shining was all. i mean look to my face you know along today my country i'm not in the east i'm upset the map. of. the economy to have more than a last step is that things just. don't
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know i mean that i'm so. proud to. use the term obama didn't know i'm going to. look at what's called the minimum 0.0 . going to come up thinking i come up each time she comes home to go tell mr gubb it's going to be good luck to you that what i'm doing going to help me. no one. would be should know. unit 731 was a unique organization in the history of the world what they were trying to do was
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to simply do nothing short and build the most powerful and most deadly biological weapons program that the world had ever known. the real oh. you know. where the sages who will show up to. go to the dead know. sunday look at the issue of putting. him on the mound. you know martha. you know the moment on there i'm i've got the most you know. i'm going to no no i've got the number 4 kind of wish to know about the one you i know you didn't. know more or less than enough. to know what side of the month. you know it's not going
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to go out i just want the this. see my and you on our. site. and all that they give us that you know the. u.s. president elect joe biden gets his 1st dose of the pfizer cover vaccine amid reports from alaska where at least 2 health care workers developed allergic reaction. we talked to alexander ginsberg the director of the institute behind russia but i think the vaccine has full confidence and the chap. 5 bucks needed my 14 year old granddaughter so you violated your own instructions against vaccinating children that's outrageous you were raised to kill your entire fam.
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