usually what it's about, it's just the sheer unfairness of it all the news, neck and i kid and germany federal election with exit polls. putting the center left us the p just had to the ruling c, d signaling. what could be a change of direction to the country in the post merkel era of special coverage of what's to be an extremely tied race. so the chancellor ship into a sort of story here. and i'll tell you the russians, if you're more than see lots of 6 people killed in the universe, the shooting corresponding traces, the steps of the team governance deadly rampage, and the exact road the perpetrator to, while he was carrying out his vicious planet friends as the political dialogue with

nato's non existence is the us and britain struggle to call french anger over a security patch to the straight ah other very good evening. thanks for joining us for the weekly here on our tea. right, the saw now in the counties, only germany's federal election, the outcome set to determine who will replace angular michael is chancellor. and what will be the 1st change at the top in more than a decade and a half? the ah, but the 1st exit polls are written, they all indicate the support from ankles, c, d,

u. c su party has shrunk considerably since the last floating 2017 germany said ask for news channel, put the social democrats in the lead with 25.8 percent. with the ruling christine democrats, in 2nd place a 24.2 percent of the vote. thirds is the green party with 14.7, then come the pre democrat party, we will let them point 8 alternative germany. garnering 10 point one on the left party, only just getting past the 5 percent threshold. now in terms of how things work regarding this germans today would not start choosing a chancellor. they were like team members of parliament, the buttons talk and those members will go about picking a chance little lead. what in practice has always been a coalition government. each photo receives to ballot papers, the 1st is for a candidate in their electron district, $299.00. so the constituency exists around the country. the 2nd ballot is where a political party, $47.00 of them vying for safe, but only parties who get more than 5 percent of the vote nationwide will end to

parliament. the. okay, let's go live to correspondent in germany, pete oliver. good evening. we thought that was going to be interesting and judging by the exit polls is looking extremely close. do you think that one party stands a chance the former government single handedly? we bound to see lots of coalition conversations coming in the next few days. absolutely not. when it comes to one party forming a government by themselves, perhaps absolutely not when it comes to 2 parties forming a coalition, which is the usually the preferred option here in germany. in fact, that's what i'm going to merkel. the outgoing chancellor is presided over for the last 4 years. it is as tight as it possibly could be here in germany, that's going off the exit polls that have come out. it's putting those exit polls are putting you, pardon the social democrats slightly in the leads and in fact that is be

represented by the various different party headquarters and the reactions that we've seen coming out of them. the social democratic party headquarters work is cheering, coming from their, their secretary general say what the shows is. there's a mandate for all our shots to leave the country going forward. it was a lot quieter. christy and democratic union headquarters in berlin, where they're set for perhaps their worst performance for a long time. in fact, they may well along with the, the christian social union who represent that in bavaria be set to lose around 90 percent of the vote where they were last time around. and if we stay all the christine social union in bavaria exit polls, putting them on 32.5 percent. that would be the lowest performance at an election to 1949. as you said, neil germans don't pick directly at chancellor for what they did get off the fluid as part of the exit polls. who would they prefer to take on that job,

particularly when it comes to who would they prefer in a crisis? i can tell you that the exit polls showed 60 percent of german said they won't all of sholtes of the social democrats as their chancellor when it comes to a crisis. 25 percent said armand lawsuit of the christian democratic union. while 50 percent, they're about 18 percent of their thereabout said a babel of the green. now, when it comes to those exit polls, it worth mentioning that the bev postal votes counted in amongst those, there is a complex mathematical equation that tries to add those in as the evening goes on. but we are understanding that a record number of people have voted by post in this particular election. a lot of us down to the pandemic. in fact, under america, the outgoing chancellor cast her ballot by post this time around. the mom that she back on. and last year, from the christian democratic union, he turned up in person and didn't do particularly well. he managed to fold his

ballot wrong so that you could see exactly who he cast his vote for now. those who are real experts in the electoral system here in germany say that shouldn't have been allowed. however, it's such a small mistake as he posed that for the cameras, it would seem that it's not going to cause too much jeopardy, and it's a bit too late for, for anything to be done about it. so that would be talented even though not exactly correct. but where does this leave of for future government? we talked at the top r, i talked out the talk about the potential of a, a to poppy coalition being what's preferred and not being what we have right now. that could work if the let should math stays the same as the exit. polls suggest it will. you would of course see a swap over where the christian democratic union, christian and social union would swap into the junior coalition partners, the social democrats taking the chancellor. now whether that happens or not, i'm not so sure. i think they may have been a lot of bad blood during this election campaign. whether they can bury the hatchet and a lot of what, when it comes down to forming coalitions in germany,

comes down to having those talk to we go, hey guys, i know we said some things on the campaign trail, but let's put that behind us and see if we can form a covenant potential solutions on what's called the jamaica coalition, based on the the colors of the respective parties and the colors of the jamaican flag that would see the, the union, the conservative block with the formula government along with the greens and the free democrats, there is also the traffic light coalition that is viable at the moment, which is the colors of a traffic light where the social democrats, along with the greens, the yellow of the free democrats making a boat. triumvirate, when it comes down to the party though, and who stands for what, and who campaigned on was where. tricky when it comes to forming the coalitions, the social democrats, they put climates up there on their agenda. they also looked at perhaps increasing taxes in certain areas they, they did talk about imposing a speed limit on germany,

famously, speed free outdoor bonds that with quite at the site a divisive issue in the election campaign. they are also the social democrats on the side of europe, taking more control when it comes to defense. the so called european defense force, sometimes called b, u army. but that they want to see that firmly alongside commitments that are already in place to nato. now the union, the conservative center, right, what is happening to them? they campaign saying no new taxes that didn't go down. it would seem as well as they would have wanted they. they also put a focus when it comes to foreign policy on targeting both russia on china. we then have the green party, as you would imagine, from the green party, the environment and environmental issues right up there in the manifesto. but they also talks about the ideas of a increasing the minimum wage. they also want to get rid of the speed limit on they also bond. they also want to see taxes come in on high earn is and not money being

used to provide more cash for children. also for more infrastructure in germany, they haven't performed as well in the interest of the country of they did in the west. what we have seen also is the left party, you know, they had been talks about a, an outside bet for, for me, what's called a red red green coalition. alongside the social democrats. the green party doesn't look likely out the home. and in fact, the left party, a delinquent are fighting for their lives to make not 5 percent threshold in order for them to maintain their seats in the bond. the stock, you've got the people that nobody wants to work with, or at least that's what they've said. nobody will work with the right wing alternative for germany party. they campaigned on very much an anti migration policy. they campaign saying that they wanted to pull out of the power climate accord, the polling it around 10 percent. where they all right now. then you have the free democrats now,

they're often talked about of the king makers. i mentioned 2 possible coalitions that include them, both the jamaica coalition on the traffic like coalition. they do not like taxes though, and if they're to form either one of those coalitions, they're going to have to work alongside the greens who want to see new taxes not is why we are set for so pretty intense coalition talks over the coming weeks. the social democrats say they've got a mandate in order to govern the social, the christian democratic union, also saying they could well for the coalition. as i mentioned with the greens and the free democrats, nobody starts these. go see ations though, until all of those votes are counted. not going to continue for a little while yet about as tight as it gets here in germany. i know many things complicated. he's still a good explanation. peter oliver, in berlin for as well. let's get a bit more understanding of this bit of analysis from dr. brooklyn, who's a professor of european studies at stanford university, also in berlin. very good evening to professor. so, according to the exit polls,

the social democrats are just the head of the c d. u. it's very close. how significant is that? if at all well, it feels very good for the social democrats to be in a position like this when they have the lead for the very 1st time since 2002. and it was like rising from the ashes when you look back just a few months ago, they went down to 15 percent and no one could possibly expect a result like this. on the other hand, what is 25 percent plus? it's certainly not enough to call this an impressive victory, but that is the situation in germany these days that the country is so diversify it and, and no one really has a home in the political party spectrum that they easily swing from one party to the other depending on single issues, and that made it so hard to predict a possible outcome, not to speak of the colors that people peter just mentioned. so people just tuning

in maybe don't know much about the german political system that they might be used to seeing, you know, a couple of parties in america, maybe 3 main parties in the you can use the one party coming out with, you know, it's close to half of the vote we've got here many more parties involved getting much smaller share of the but it's other, it's other weakness of the german system or maybe strength. well, it depends on how you look at it. if you want clear results, then a majority system like in the u. k, clearly produces winners and on an election night, you know, who's the next prime minister and the german case it might lead to. i don't know a few months until we finally know who's going to be the winner. and it can even be that the social democrats don't really offer enough to have junior partners. it's most likely that they need to. because i don't think that the spirit and the grand correlation between the social democrats and the christian democratic union would

allow swap of places that the social democrats will take the chancellor re and the christian democratic union only the vice chancellor said he was in such a bad condition after michael that i don't see this happening. so there will be something like a free party coalition. and that can take a long time until they agree on what is done nailed down in a coalition treaty. so if i understood this right, you could get a 340 coalition, not involving the party that one the most folks say that could be basically an opposition. and how do you get those 3 parties to agree on anything? they could have very different principles going to be effective. well, it sounds confusing, but germany is not a polarized society. you win elections in the center, which is why magically transformed the conservative party from a more right party to the center, which made a number of conservative party members and,

but she apparently succeeded by winning for elections straight. now the social democrats kind of come compete or a copy the model of macro success story. but what we might see is that the junior coalition, pardon us, nominate the future chancellor. it has been the situation and ninety's $969.00 already. that not the party with a large number of votes sent the chancellor, but the 2nd place because they found correlation partners. and that happened on the very night of the elections, which is very unlikely today. but we can still play with a difference numbers and color options that peter pointed out. it was safe, as you said, it's possible for, you know, the minority parties have a really big say. and who's the next chancellor? could we be looking at a chance to live that maybe wasn't so expected while it is still technically possible that lash at will be the next chancellor. if he offered something that

shows cannot compete with. and then we find a situation, as i said that constitutionally speaking has been happened already in the 1900 sixty's given that the spirit in the christian democratic union. and the popularity in rates for i'm in law should are so bad. i don't personally think that last shed will convince coalition partners to support him in a future coalition. but theoretically speaking, this is all possible. i think internationally, you know, people from outside germany may be look at the country and they think politically, they think of one person angle america. so these seem like very big shoes to fill. is it going to be a tough task to follow in her footsteps? absolutely. and i think this is something that is only understandable when you look at the german political system. this is not

a personalized selection. when we only look at the popularity rates that it was very clear that most people in germany want childs as the vice chancellor. to be the next chancellor. because we know him as the finance minister, and we also know how he performed in financial turbulence as and during the pandemic. so it's kind of the macro motto, you know me and that's enough of a program. while in fact, if we look at how much overlap exists among the different parties that could form a coalition, then there is so much similarities that in a country that is not that polarized, compared with, let's say, united states or britain, everything is practically possible and only if you insist on certain, no goes as the head of the liberal party did last minute in 2017 and said to it conform coalition, then you have to find an alternative. but i think they also learn from mistakes.

and this time, it will be much more supportive to find functioning, coalition, also internationally speaking to address the big tasks that are awaiting ahead of germany. dr. buckner, thanks so much for your time and appreciate analysis. don't to look at them. i guess professor of europe in studies at stanford university in berlin. thank you. happen. so we said voting is over in germany, the 1st exit pulse suggesting at this point the country could be headed for a change of direction with the s p d, just the head of the c. d. still too close to call at this early stage. we'll keep you updated as those results continue to come in. ah ah, that's new to other news now from this week the russian city of pam is in the

morning to this week's university gun massacre. 6 people were killed on monday by students who classmates described as a silent and lonely teenager. morning, you may find these images coming up now, disturbing. now the 40 people were injured in the shooting. most of them were students, many still fighting to their lives. or the respondent constantino's coff has been retracing the steps taken by the killer. this is the exact road. the perfect trader took while he was carrying out his vicious plan. and this is, by the way, the exec street, where he fired at a passing car as he was making his way towards the campus. ah, the gunman showed up at the university faculty building. and this is where he was 1st filmed by terrified students. they were staring at him as he strode across the park with a hunting rifle. ammunition wrapped around his body. yeah

. ah. i didn't know this, but when i was leaving university, a group of people had already gathered that turns out we had a few minutes earlier. we could have been in that situation. it was very scary. we usually to me a building next time we are in the 1st noting out that it was this little davis and today. ah, that's the building where are these horrific scenes unfolded just meters away from where we're standing now? people were jumping from a height of about 4 meters spalding heavily onto the ground. many of them have

suffered serious injuries because of that hasty evacuation to my fee was among those who jumped. this is him on the video falling from the window. fortunately, he didn't suffer any injuries. unlike other students. movie gillian, we saw a guy walking across the square holding a gun aiming at our building. he fired a shot and then disappeared from our line of sight and we realized we had to do something better with us. spin has been identified as an 18 year old freshman at the university and a social media post he made. shortly before he embarked on the shootings. he talked about hatred for mankind in general, and that he'd been planning to commit a mass murder for several years. yeah, well it looks like nobody's in there. this is the suspects department, that is where he lived with his mother. and they told us that after she was called in by the investigative committee, she then decided to move elsewhere away from the media. attention near the house.

we met the suspect. former classmates remembered him as a silent and lonely teenager who didn't have a lot of friends. they also run into him the morning he went to shoot people all to quibble when he was quiet and shy, not very sociable and he always slower when he walked in the news of the gang that day. he walked differently. that day he worked with confidence quickly with broad steps. and of course the main question in everyone's mind now is how 18 year old got hold of a firearm. while he bought it legally, he passed the medical test. he was added by say, hi teresa, who apparently hadn't found anything odd about this quiet young man. there was a bit of footage taken in one of the gun stores on the outskirts of berm right here . where are the allied shooter purchased himself? ammo as he was getting ready for the mass. murder, ah

ah! we were welcome at the store. you want to get your what's your what's crystal clear about this tragedy is that it could have been much worse if it hadn't been for heroic traffic police officers who just happened to be in the vicinity. when the shooting started, both officers rushed to the campus with one of them and quickly running into the attacker, open fire that officer constantine, killing, and returned fire, wounding the suspect. and then he administered 1st 8 or the gun mans and hospital in a serious condition. although he has revived and even regained conscious, i can say that about the city though hard, because perm is still trying to come to terms with the nightmare that has just happened. and as you can see, people are still gathering up. this makes shift memorial to honor the memory of the

deceased the us and britain, a scrambling to men, the rift with france of the sidelining, their ally, and a security packed with strayer, president biden is now admitted that it was wrong to strike the deal behind paris is back to the french defense. she said the political dialogue with nato has all but disappeared. latitude is it says, you need the attitude of the united states. one of the submarine program is a further investigation of the zation that we have been making for months today. political dialogue is non existent within the atlantic lions? well, he's done a quarter report now on the cranks appearing within the western military alliance. and now the british prime minister is handling the pressure. what, what do you say? you have only a, have a great evening, mutual protection, a greater common purpose. all this seems to go out the window and there's a bit of money to be made. the recent controversy surrounding the u. s. u. k. and

australia as new security pack has left in new leaders scratching their heads about what even means to be in nato anymore. the reason for nato existence is transatlantic security. this is what we want to remind the united states off. therefore, our partners decided on our initiative as well as on the initiative of germany to revise the strategic concept of the alliance. being allies does not mean being hostage to the interests of another country. at 1st the spat seem confined to only a few powers friends being upset with the suspension of its submarine contract with australia, which resulted from hawkess's provisioning of nuclear sub technology to the country . and the entire strategic alliance is feeling the reverb. it is such a difficult issue where we see traditional alliances in some way torn apart are certainly changed fundamentally, but the issue doesn't stop there. london doesn't even feel like they've done anything wrong. it 3 very like minded allies, standing shoulder to shoulder,

creating a new partnership for the sharing of technology. it is not exclusive, i did not trying to to shoulder anybody. i did not add the stereo towards china. e, you states feeling like they were left, hung out to dry, the u. s. and u. k. and making decisions without consulting their friends with nato's ongoing friendship. crisis airing it's member states dirty laundry. many are finding it hard to see a strong united future for the west over 7 decade long military alliance. nato was considered by franz a month ago began to go by president my whole as brain dead. a brain dead alliance, best strong words within nato. they want to revise the concept, these teach a concept and bring it back actually to the north atlantic. because if you follow america, nato will soon be in the pacific,

cruising around china with us. this is not the way nature was conceived, and it shouldn't be there. europeans should not be in that region of the world. markets said repeatedly that we should enlarge our vision. ne desperately look to something to do. that's the reality. you know, we are in that. i mean, maintain what's in the scanner stuff is in iraq to train the forces. that's the limits of the extension. this is not the north atlantic anymore, is it? london and washington the both welcome to the all kasteel but ties between the countries aren't exactly going to play button is played down the chances of a post for exit trade deal with the u. k. and that's a further. busy down, so the so named special relationship simon writes, takes us 3. remember the old joke, how can you tell a politician who's lying because their lips move? well, joe biden embark, johnson sold that problem when they met in washington. the last event is that the western well dashed down to new york for

a special meeting in washington. the kind of weird news conference where everyone, because the special relationship is still a thing. even though we all know is not really the facade, it's been these they, they don't even really use the phrase and in the absence of anything else, they just thought the bond over trying to keep down with amtrak. is that right? i did. you did. i did 1000000 miles, i'll stay the rest of that. the train back went on for about 2 minutes. the mission for the british prime minister was to spin the very obvious truth. the post brack that britain passed basically no job of getting a free trade deal with the us anytime. biden's said no, without actually saying no creature, we're going to talk about trade in today. and we're gonna have to work that through work it through. indeed, some report suggests that britain is going to try and bought in the back door of a trade you already exists between the us, canada, mexico. anyway,

every time someone brings up the idea of a free trade deal with britain buy and does that weird thing where a bank owned about the north border and they will, how is a very keen to try and show how united they are ahead of the 26 climate summit in glasgow come november. you made a commitment on supporting the the world to adapt it to climate change, doubling the american commitment that very important for our school. so like everything else, all that is just a diplomatic show reports in january, suggested the u. s, toll britain to get a grip on how it was planning conference, essentially washington telling britain to plan its own party. so the special relationship is in the kind of place now where every now and again, washington throws it in britain's way to keep the whole thing taken. bo boyd finally got an invite to the white house off the 2 years down close. they of course they had the job, the bottom, the orchestra in the military alliance in australia. because while trade deal the

hard military deal to a penny with a lot, the most telling me was this one is how staff and ending the news conference was for it was there literally in the middle of a sentence before the boy himself fed on the plane over to the us time and sure abide and a lot of fish to fry. and that brings you right up today. appreciate company here to help you out with more than 30 minutes me. ah ah ah, ah.

hello this is driven by dream shaped by those with the in me dares thing we dare to ask in i.