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tv   Boom Bust  RT  October 26, 2021 9:30am-10:00am EDT

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pain that is for someone's care, your makes life and death decisions and determine who gets to live and who dies. to me, that's best getting away with murder. this with this is them by phone vision share you can't afford to miss, i'm ready to love it. i'm bridget boring, washington coming up, supply chain issues continue to hamstring. the global coping. 19 recovery of the european union has now weighed in on china's shortage of metal material. straight ahead, we discussed the latest turn as the energy crunch effects the supply chain. and that the only fall from the recovery process as inflation has gripped to many parts of the world, will discuss with bike and whether hyperinflation could be on the horizon. then the
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bracket was rate on for the u. k. as the island nation remains at odds with you. we'll take a look at the latest trade talks and whether a fishing war is on the horizon. we have the patio today, so let's get started. and we leave the program with another threat to global supply chains. recently, much of the focus has been put on back up here in us ports in california, with suggestions that the u. s. national guard may need to be called in to get products moving. but another supply chain crisis is surfacing in europe, as e u. leaders are sounding alarms that a shortage of magnesium coming from china could take a toll on the blocks economy. now china produces around 87 percent of the global supply, and the essential component for aluminum alloy is used in cars, plains, and electronics, and roughly 95 percent of the night near the end that europe consumes. german chancellor angle of merkel brought up the issue on thursday during a summit of you leaders accord sources familiar with the matter quoted by several
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outlets. meanwhile, a dozen business groups worn late last week of an imminent risk of europe wide production shut down. as they only have enough of the metal to last through the end of november, the chinese producers of course have cut output to save power and energy prices have skyrocketed due to the crunch. we've talked so much about in recent months. so what does this mean for the already strain global supply chain? just let's bring in boom bus co hosted investigative journalists, ben swan, and john, quote, the dean of the miami herbert business school. thank you both for being here. d quotes. i want to start with. you how big of an issue is this magnesium issue and what impact could it have on the recovery in the u. s. actually, in the black largest academy in germany, which is so manufacturing, industrial rely. yes, thank you. it's symptomatic of a very substantial issue. i would say that we are now in a global supply chain pandemic that has every risk of being as
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severe an impact on the global economy as the coven pandemic. the fact of the matter is supply chains off in a great state of disruption, starting with commodity pricing and commodity availability of the front end of the supply chain. i'd rather like as soon army way you hear about the su nami, but it takes certain number of days to actually hit or hours to hit sure. and we have not had it hit our shores yet, but it will hit and that's not just a matter of the automobile industry in germany. it's a matter of manufacturing more broadly on a worldwide basis, being disrupted by the mismatches of supply and demand throughout the world economy . yeah, surely seems to be mismatches all around. now been, i know we've had multiple analysts on the show who point out, so this is not
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a global supply chain issue. it is a us supply chain issue. now with these additional issues regarding magnesium production, how much is the energy crunch, affecting supply chains all around and how does it stand to have an exact, as we go into the holidays? yeah, well, i think what we have is the convergence of different issues, right? so one, yes, it is true, there is a u. s. supply chain issue specifically at the ports as we talked about in california long beach, in the port of los angeles and getting goods out into the rest of the country as well as getting, you know, 2000000 shipping containers floating in the ocean into port. that is one issue, but the energy issue with a separate issue, right. and that is also creating problems with creating problems on the production side. the magnesium issue is a separate issue. and so i think would be in court with mentioning, i think it's absolutely correct, is that we have a kind of a convergence of these issues which are all contributing to a bigger problem. that doesn't mean though, that you can't resolve some of these issues rather quickly, rather than allowing everything to continue to cascade upon itself. so for instance,
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we talked about this last week. i still don't have an answer to what i've been looking for one, why the u. s. does not begin moving some of those cargo ships away from california and to other ports instead of continuing to wait for the port of long beach and the port. los angeles to be able to take in the 2000000 shipping containers, send them to other ports and get them into the rest of the country quickly. that is still not happening. the magnesium issue, the energy issue in china with some factory shut down for a few weeks. those are separate issues that have to be dealt with separately. doesn't mean you have to stand and sit on your hands essentially, while, while these ports are clogged down. right, and there has been interesting to see the binding ministrations response to this, even though they're saying yes, we're going to open these ports up for 24 hours. it seems like at least we're hearing over and over that there's a lot more that could and should be done. now dean quality, we also heard from the ceo of wells fargo said in a recent interview that he believes many of the supply chain issues will not be solved for at least 6 to 12 months. so we're not just talking about the holidays
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we're talking about well into 2022 here. what's your take on that? he's absolutely right. and i would say those 6 months i was quite frankly optimistic. and as long as the supply chain problems continue, the risk of enhanced inflation grows ever more severe and inflation next year could potentially approach 10 percent as a result of these continuing disruptions. let, let me just give a little bit of color to what's going on. because of the disruptions, if you are, let's say, holding a 1000 tons of magnesium, you are thinking, why should i sell it today? because the price may be better tomorrow. and therefore, even where supply does exist, that's being withheld from the market. at the same time, on the bios side of the equation, buyers so skittish about not being able to get the goods and supplies they need.
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they are placing multiple orders for the same commodity with multiple suppliers and the all in the hope of one of them coming through. and so the demand forecasting and the supply forecasting that is essential to a smooth running supply chain worldwide is being totally disrupted by, by a behavior and sell a behavior that is opportunistic in nature. and this is not going to go away in the short run. it's going to be very difficult to deal with this, and the result of these supply chain shortages has got to be inflation. there's no getting around that and the cars before we go, i have about 30 seconds left, but i just want to follow up on that. is there a fix? i mean, it seems like, you know, we've talked about the president biden saying we do use you
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u. s. military to move cargo off the ships in california. but, you know, when we talk about globally, is there any fix or does this just have run its course? i think i think in large measure it has to run its course. i do believe that it should be possible for buyers and sellers in specific industries to be working together. but one thing we don't know is how the energy price movements a going to affect the overall situation where there are energy shortages. obviously energy prices go up and that is immediately passed through. now, part of the problem has been also that due to call 26. there's been a lot of pressure this past year for energy to grow, greener in europe, and even in china and india and china and india have had to back off of shutting
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down coal fired plants, simply because they're worried about energy shortages and potential lack of heat for millions of people during the coming winter season, so those cold fire plan, so now back on stream that should help in the short run. alleviate some of the supply shortages coming out of china plans. excellent insight, boom bus, spend swan and dean john, quote, my year business school. thank you so much. thank you. and if you've followed any news coverage in the last year, you've likely heard the term inflation more times than you can count. probably said it a couple times the last time, but in the united states and for that matter, the entire world headed for hyper inflation. well, that may be the case if you ask twitter in square. theo jack dorsey, just the twitter over the weekend to warn quote, hyperinflation is going to change everything, and that it is already happening. he then responded to another user to say,
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he believes hyperinflation will happen in the u. s. soon. and so the world, of course, the threat of hyper inflation sparks concerns not just that prices will continue to rise, but that they will rise to the point where the government has no control and the dollar becomes virtually worthless. but treasures treasury secretary, janet gallant claims, everything is just fine and the government is not about to lose control of inflation. she noted that the current inflation we're seeing which has brought consumer prices to 30 year highs, is only expected to last until maybe the 2nd half of next year, leading many to wonder just what the promise of transitory actually means anymore. so joining us now to discuss the latest been bus co host, christy i and peter shift, chief economist and global strategist at euro pacific capital. christy, let's start with you here. i mean, the reaction to dorsey's comment has been sort of surprised that he would use this term hyper inflation. do you think that's an accurate warning?
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given everything we've seen over the last year? i mean, it might have been a little surprising for people to hear dorothy call and hyperinflation when most other investors and economists has just kind of called it inflation. but dorsey isn't just any investor, he's also the see of twitter and square. so he has a different perspective and a different timeline. you don't become the ceo of a revolutionary social media company and it's rapid fin tech company by following the heard. so he has a different mindset for thinking mindset of how the landscape will look and change 5 years from now, 10 years from now. and he builds towards that. so he has a much longer time horizon, envision than the average investor, or even those like cuban, because cuban doesn't actually build products. and now peter, when we talk about inflation, we've heard the fad. say it would be transitory. then they said it would cool off this year. now they're saying maybe it won't be until the middle of next year. it just feels like they keep moving, the goal posts, so to say, over and over and over. so how can we really trust the prediction of actually
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yelling it or the fact for that matter? well, you can, you have to remember that when you listen to any of these fed guys talking or gals, it's really just propaganda. look back to the sub prime days when banburg actor was saying that the sub prime problems were contained course they weren't contained. but he later admitted in an interview that he really didn't believe that himself, that he was just saying what needed to be said in order to calm the mar markets and kind of support the incumbent administration. so anything that comes out of the fed is really meant to placate the markets. they're never going to admit that inflation is a problem because it's a problem they can't solve. so instead they're going to pretend that there's not been worry about. but as far as dorsey's comments, hyper inflation is certainly a worst case scenario, but it is no means a guarantee. i mean, we're certainly going to have very high inflation. some people may consider it hyper inflation, but textbook, you know, it probably won't be, but it is
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a real risk. i mean, it's not that there's no chance of hyper inflation. there is a chance, a chances above 0, but hopefully the central banks will do something to avoid that outcome, but they're not going to do anything to avoid the worst inflation we've ever experienced in this country. far worse than anything that we went through during the 1970. now peter saying with you, i mean, we know that concerns over the stability of the dollar typically lead to increase interest in inflation hedges, especially when we're talking about inflation, hyperinflation, whatever it may be. and of course, a lot of times people are talking about inflation hedges, they think of gold. now we saw goal of hit $2000.00 and out back, and aga, 2020. now their predictions we could see $3000.00 and now it's, do you think that those possible? well, i think we're going to go a lot higher than that and not just gold, but lots of metals and commodities in real assets are going to see price
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appreciation with inflation. of course, if there's hyper inflation, the price of all these assets goes to infinity, right? because if the money is worthless, then it doesn't matter how much money you have, you can't buy anything. also, all prices are going to be going up. but i think as a historic or traditional form of a hedge, where you don't want to be in an asset like a stock or real estate, you want more liquidity, you want more stability, and you want to own a commodity that's easy to store. i think a lot of people will be looking to golden silver as a way to store their dry powder when they know they can't hold off the currencies, especially the us dollar. all right, chris said, i know when we talk about inflation hedges and we talk about gold. we got of of course give you your say because when it comes to inflation hedges, j. p. morgan says some institutional investors are turning to bitcoin over golden billionaire, investor, paul, tutor, joe says crypto is winning the race against gold right now. what's your thought on that? i mean, it really is. i agree with him in the market,
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apparently also agrees. gold is as an investment that hedged against inflation would generally rise along with the rapid growth in consumer prices. but instead of goal actually last 8 percent over the past 12 months, compared with big points, 437 percent one year again. so in this latest, nope, i, j, p. morgan, institutional are not allocating more towards big point than gold, with investors like having o'leary saying that his crypto holdings now outweigh the allocation of gold in his own portfolio. so it's really nice to see the institutional finally starting to appreciate coin as a store of value, coin bulls, how long? how did it as a hedge against inflation? and that topic is now more relevant than ever as enormous stimulus packages have kind of increased the global money supply. so again, unlike the dollar. * bitcoin and other crypt does cannot be valued by a government or any central bank distributing too much of them. and that's why bitcoin is the only currency that's not controlled by any central authority. and the supply is limited so that they can only be ever 21000000 bit coins and exist
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peter to where did you have the problem with thinking that big coin is a store value or inflation hedges, because big quite has absolutely no value to store it. has no relative price in relation to real commodities or other assets. yes, big client has gone up or been goal, but so a lot of other speculative assets in this mania big point is not going up as a store value or inflation head is going up purely speculative. you know, token just like the other, 13000 crypt occurrences are all caught up in this mania. but once the world really is worried and looking for a safe haven or store value, they're going to dump big quite another criptos as quickly as they want to get out of their currencies. because none of them have any value. and in fact, bitcoin may re, when the race to the bottom over the dollar or any other fee out of currency. so if you're really worried about inflation and you want to store value, forget about any the crypto currencies including bitcoin,
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and just look to real assets with real value in particular, gold and silver. all right, unfortunately, we wrong. what is the value in gold? if not jewelry, we barely use any golden and electronic even because you can't make any big jewelry out a big one, but gold is metal. you may not understand this, but it's an actual metal. in all sorts right? mysteries is the best conductor of electricity. gold is a vital, valuable, precious metal. we've been using it for 5000 years. so you can see the thing goal is work. just because big quite is worthless, right? all right, way to, to have they have nothing in common. we're going to have to have been right there. i know we can this conversation all day. boom was christie. i am peter ship of euro pacific capital. thank you so much for your time. i'm now for a quick break, but when we come back the fight over post brack. that regulations continues. as frank fishermen threatened to take action against the u. k. will discuss next. and
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as we go to break, here are the numbers that the clothes with with a shape out. this thing becomes the applicant and engagement equals the trail. when so many find themselves will depart,
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welcome back. the u. k said, saturday, the negotiations with the european union over the northern island protocol had been encouraging bought a gap still remains the 2 sides. they're still hung up on how to implement customs and safety checks at the e. u. northern ireland border. the checks have disrupted the transport of meet dairy and medical products and to the nation, but the so called sausage wars are not the only post breakfast issue causing trauma . france is set to decide this week whether to take action against the u. k. over access to fisheries, the dispute stems from a limited number of licenses being given for you fishermen to fish british waters. territory measures would come into effect sometime in november if the situation is not resolved by the end of this month. joining us now to discuss this important topic is hillary forward or member with the british american business association. now, hillary, when we can start with the fisheries here, what exactly is the central issue here on how long do you have?
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yeah, but with the fisheries on this goes, i mean, it big picture goes back to 1972. so when to join the e u, the u. k. gave up so much sovereignty sovereignty in terms of ocean, the fishing, right for the waters. so some of these fishermen, these french fishermen have been fishing in these waters the decades and for generations of their family. so given the agreement, the agreement, the proxy agreement, it was that those fishing whites would be phased out to 2026. in fact, less licenses given to french fisheries, a fish fishermen each year. so what's the issue right now to bring you up to speed it is that french fishermen have applied for these licenses? well, according to lord frost, i'm, he's the british bricks. it minister, he has said that 98 percent of all those applications have been fulfilled and they've been license is issued the french so want to fish them more. and the french fishermen have actually threatened that they will block calais, don cook the ports of dollar calais, don kirk and the channel,
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if they don't get more fishing lights. but those waters are sovereign to the u. k. the u. k. has on the agreement so far and they've issued those licenses, 98 percent of them. wow. and i know when it comes to these threats, we're also hearing that france might go the sanctions route with one possible action being to prevent you. k fishermen from offloading in french, harvard, and at one point threatening to increase prices to export french energy to the u. k . although officials said they wouldn't just cut off power altogether. so what is this likelihood of french retaliation at this point? yes, you're totally right on all those points. rachel, and in particular, the electricity issue is with regard to the island of a jersey, which is right off the french coast. they've actually somewhat intimated that they might cut off the electricity to jersey and lead them stranded without any heat over the winter. of course, which would be an absolute legacy thing to do. i think you're less likely to see state action because my crone, of course, he has to like blow his big horn because he's going to be elected next year. and
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the french fishermen are getting frustrated that there isn't any action you're far more likely. i think to see french fishermen take it upon themselves, which they threatened to do, and block calais, don cook and the child. however, of course, don't forget what the u. k. could do the u. k. could then rescind or the licenses licenses that have been granted. and all those fishermen have their licenses, they might go and stop the other frenchmen that are protesting a blocking the ports. so i think what you're going to see eventually is the french backing down and living by the agreement and sorry, but that is what was agreed to, which is that the u. k. waters would remain sovereign to the u. k. except for those fishermen give em, given licenses and going back to the northern ireland protocol, which we started this whole conversation, the sort of a whole segment with to say, you know, we're getting deeper into this. it doesn't seem like there's necessarily an agreement being made. although they said that, you know, conversations were fruitful if you will. yeah. i mean, is it looking more like we're going to have this problem go into the holiday season . it actually affect the, the thanksgiving with no turkey,
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the house it with her. so thanks have a lovely day. no. our but there was a very big holiday season, holiday season or christmas season coming up in the u. k. couple of things you write on this, the article 16 has been threatened. i think what has happened is that the e u has come back and they have dropped about 80 percent of the regulations in terms of the checks on goods. that was what was causing a bottleneck. what has happened is you've had a bottleneck. we talked about the sausage was, which was the sort of the symbolism for all of the cold meats, from the u. k being check going into northern ireland, but also medicines. this has been really a terrible situation where the medicines were held up, going into northern allen hospitals, et cetera. you know, a long time ago i said this whole issue should have been called accept, not breaks it because northern ireland is part of the pay. and lot process said we are one united kingdom, we're going to remain one united kingdom. the law sticking issue is this european court? what law process quite rightly is that why should the european court
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a court from one side preside over an issue that both parties have what he is advocating, what the u. k is advocating is an independent quarter to modified to moderate in terms of any disputes or issues that sort of the line in the sand. the red line for the u. k was not having the european court of justice into the, in, in a u. k. issue definitely something look into the following, henry ford, which of the british american bits association. thank you so much as always slash as always. and finally, if you're looking to buy some bitcoin, there are dozens of different options to choose from, right? well, that may now include your local wal mart if you have here in the us. that's right. the coin start kiosk route, typically go to exchange your share, your spare corner, and rather is now letting you put your cash toward a bitcoin purchase. at 200 stores. across the country, it's part of a new partnership with the crypto, while a company coin me, users with coin me, accounts will be given a voucher from the coin star key ask for the crypto they purchased with cash as for
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what it will cost. well, there is a 4 percent transaction fee, which wal mart takes cut from, as well as a 7 percent cash exchange fee. now that seems like it would be a little bit more work, right? you're going an extra step rather than just getting the app and buying it. definitely, you know, for those who are having trouble figure out how to buy it, maybe it's the easy way. but i don't know that crypto enthusiasts will go that route and that's it for this type. you can catch boom bus on demand and the portable tv app available portable that tv will see you next. me in the rather driven by remote shaped by those
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in me dares thing. we dare to ask in me join me every thursday on the alex salmon show and i'll be speaking to guess in the world, the politics sport business. i'm show business. i'll see you then me. oh, he died. i cried. i just got
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a slot the whole time i was there. no one really thought anything different. you just all thought i just didn't feel good. on the way for the surgery, his lungs failed. 30 seconds, but i killed him. i had gotten stuck with so many needles that day in 2019 talk to started talking about a new wide spread disease that caused severe lung damage. there's a few points that were really to turn in. all of the patients were diagnosed with a lung injury associated with using electronic cigarettes or facing products. he pulled this out. he really felt holy crap, he's gonna die. oh no, he's the better it was. i wouldn't want my worst enemy to ever go through. that was out of breath
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mobilized with a salad live on our team with patients already forced to q for hours to get into hospitals in the u. k. power, medics warner. when properly on person at the prices facing the ambulance servers. that as the army has not been deployed to help in the program, we ask a doctor to diagnose the government plans for the health service around 5700000 people on waiting lists within a chest at the present, which it saturdays, probably going to get worse before it gets better, several professors are reportedly shot dead or more than a 100 injured as violence erupt on the streets of sudan after a military takeover reduces the country to chaos. also in the pro.

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