taylor and in that regard, sanctions are of you more and are against human rights. ah ah, a with i'm after in regards in welcome to going other guy. we're back and coming to you for now from a new location today. exactly 40 years in several 1000 argentine troops sees the falkland islands. will malvina back from great britain before margaret thatcher's british army took it back 74 days later. this is the annual

e u. china summit. it's scheduled for the 2nd day of to friday's peace talks between ukraine and russia. all this while the you is band this program and this tv channel still broadcast all around the world except in nature were lined countries while joining me now from rome for this episode, as former adviser to the european union's high representative, a common foreign and security policy and conflicts forum found alice to crook. alistair, welcome back on going underground. let's begin with perhaps the need for you to remind us what you think is the start of this conflict and the reasons for the conflict given that certainly in the european union where a descent is arguably band. we are told almost hourly, that putin invaded ukraine without provocation. oh no, it's very clear what we're dealing with israeli something and it's much broader than just ukraine. and both presidents pull in and she have both made said

that this is about reordering. if you like the security architecture of the both the global security architecture away from a simple rules based order that is set by the united states in order to give these other states see to the board. if you like to be able to have a discussion, there is really no communication. before that there was a very good analogy made by someone that it was like a chessboard and united states it at one end of the chessboard. and someone said, well to, to play this game of chess and it was present, sky backed and presented. he said no to what there's no other in this case. we just simply turn the board round and then we play from the other side. and that's been going on really the whole for a long time. and now russia and china want a seat at the chessboard. they don't accept any longer. the united states simply

terms, the chessboard through 180 degrees and start playing from the other side as well. as their own. so they want a seat of the chessboard. that's what you greatness about. was her a provocation? yes. because people have been warning from o long time, 2007. even the present had of the cia in washington. when he was ambassador and moscow said, if you move nato into georgia and ukraine, the will be wall. it's inevitable. difficult, though, for china, the you, china virtual some a day to on, on the saturday. i'm not sure whether you will be again lecturing china or about human rights. but despite the reaffirmation of the alliance, more than the lines between beijing and moscow, of course, poland, ukraine. it's really where you are. they are belton road countries. ukraine is

one of the biggest investments in europe coming from china. how does china navigate that? how is it allied to russia, even whilst these countries that are spearheading the conflict? certainly in information terms that they're on washington side. oh, there is a very pros rapport between russia and china. and i think the decision, if you like to disassociate from europe and from the west, generally, was probably taken even a year before the famous declaration that was made by both the chinese and the russian precedents. in beijing where they said they will no longer put up with if you like, the american, impose global order that we are going to change that and go to compare the globe

broader. and of course, that has caused a great deal of anger and also anxiety in the west about this prospect. but i think it's very clear where it's going because they do coordinate very close . and we've seen rushes or response rushes responses. it has a list of friendly nations with whom it does business, transact problematically with them, and those that are not, and really excluded probably won't even be able to get pieces to travel. i think china will do it in its own time, but this is the model that we're going to see. and of it was a 2 spheres to separate fears and remaining on the fence is going to be so uncomfortable and so painful that it will become impossible eventually. so people will have to choose which, which side they want to reside on. we saw

a bit of that with the lead was more complicated not but with must go telling the are again, you know, you want oil, you want gas. ok. paying one. no more dollars. no more euros after you stole 4 and reserve icons in the united states. and in europe, yeah, some people actually commented that leaves $300000000000.00 in for an assets in, in dollars may. will it be in moscow trick? it seemed all too easy. so that immediately russia could retaliate by saying, it must be charging roubles when it comes to energy resources in europe. what do you think? say berlin, where, where energy resources are all important from russia and we will, the lights go out. they are talking about the need, perhaps the rationing, but then the g 7 says, absolutely north you were, you're breaking a contract and you must judge if not in dollars than in euro's they should just

also say, we're not regulated by the british regulator anymore. but as you know, nato allied countries all say this is unprovoked for moscow. well, 1st of all, i mean that you've raised a number of points in this, in this issue. but it was provoked essentially by the taking all, if you like instruments, death in 2 months, from the cold foreign reserves and those death instruments. i mean, if you write, when you simply c o capital as united states and europe has done, i mean, that's a breach of contract to that is a care breach of contract to pay on those contracts like us, treasury's, or on currency. they are just, if you like, an obligation to pay those who kind of so if you like, in a sense rush, i can always paid for the measure. now as to changing the contract, i heard

a lot of that from european countries. thing though. well, you know, we can't change the contracts, i'm changeable. but europe proposed precisely that to rush or not so long ago because they said they didn't want any longer to have long term contracts with russia. they'd like to have spoke prices for that gas. and we're moving in that direction and we'd like to go on to the spot market for the prices. so let's change our contract. so if it was all right for the you to propose that why if it not, all right, for russia to propose that they now pay and why it shouldn't be too difficult for them and $1.00, but we all know this is an underlying reason why they don't want that because there's a fear that the financial system which is already shifted, the global monetary system is already shifting away from fear money, which basically has no rail backing to it at all. it's just a promise to pay nothing more. and the promise to pay by printing more money. but

moving away from that to a commodity is an acid base currency. i currently use it of based on real things like either gas or oil weight, whatever the ram, ram, metals, oh gold. and this is where we seem to be moving. i mean, it was in 1971. that nixon did away with the gold would. and now quietly, without much attention in the press. russia has me establish a gold window for roubles. and that translates also into an equivalent price of roubles for the dollar of about $75.00. since they did this, we've seen the rule shoot up in value against the dollar. and then they've also said we'd like to have, you know, payment roubles, which means that these foreign country companies in the european union are going to

have to go by roubles. and that is going to push the group up further and make it a much more very valuable currency as a trading instrument to. so, you know, paradoxically, you remember, it was only in the beginning of much the french finance was saying are a, is to collapse the russian economy and to collapse so to speak, the rubel as part of that. he said that at the beginning of much, and now one months later, we see in the financial press, many commentators talking about this is beginning of the end of the global monetary system. because of the crisis of confidence that ultimately, you know, it worked so long as the dollar was vaguely in line with certain commodities. but phillips, they made the mistake of sanctioning russia so heavily. russia is the key pin of

all commodities. food resources, oil, gas, precious metals, everything comes from russia if they don't have supply lines. so when they do that, they've made the mayhem in order of the commodity market, and that's affecting the currency when it comes to the way the rest of the world sees this conflict. i'm not sure what you thought about the western rewards. major nation reports that saudi arabia, the you, a refuse biden's phone call. we know that suddenly a team was sent to venezuela, where one thing tank said, 40000 were killed by us sanctions against the madura government. there the world food program is warning about wheat prices in egypt because we, the buyer does shillinger and russia together have the kind of infrastructural

clout, to be able to save the world from global famine, caused if you believe moscow by nato expansion, eastwood. and if you believe nato caused by vladimir putin there, i, it is not so straightforward because we have a major problem with food griping, which is not just concerned with the war and ukraine. although ukraine and russia combined produce something like 35 percent of global weeks. so yes, to that extent. but it is also something that is more than that because there are other factors involved in it festival. we have a drought and much of the middle east, which is affecting production food production across the middle east. so that's an important fact. but also because some of the sanctions on russia have affected important areas of

fertilizer. other things that are necessary in food production, certain gas is necessary also, and all of these are being blocked at the moment by sanctions. and so it's causing a huge problem, and in some cases, farmers in the west are not planting crops or planning to run crops because the price fertilizers has shot up the components to these either come from better, russo, they come from russia and they're just not available at the moment, so one part of it is sanctions. one part of it is the contract is taking probably from ukraine. another part of it is drug. and another part is the fact that in many parts of the world, the attempt to move towards a green world from the sort of, if you like, the us agenda has actually meant the crop,

the not being planted. they're called several components to this problem. and it's certainly we are going to feel the effect from prices, inflation, food is going to be very expensive. inflation and europe is soaring, as it is in the united states and many other places. this is becoming a major crisis. the sanctions, in many ways, europe has not sanctioned russia, it's sanctioning itself not being able to get things like fertilizers, not being able to get things that are necessary food, that there's necessary is sanctioning europeans going to make it much harder for people to survive on incomes because the price is going up rapidly as you grow golf, stop you there. more from the vulnerability of europe ian union tie, representative a common foreign and security policy after this break. oh i

i ah ah, welcome back. i'm still here with all the british diplomat and foundry conflicts for him as to crook. do you think that the european union just doesn't understand?

you were an advisor to the equivalent of the you foreign minister because at the same time as a the rest of the world may be hold fast. lula and both. maybe even lulu and suddenly bolton are in brazil in south africa. all these countries in the global, south, defacto back russia, as seen by nato. meanwhile, in europe, the war by russia is paid for by european union money, de facto $100000000000.00 fortune magazine, said, comes from the european union into russia to pay for gas oil and coal. at the same time, as you just said, they are in effect, sanctioning themselves. and berlin is telling its citizens to perhaps rash and gas and, and all over western europe that talking about how some of them talk about mass fuel poverty. i think you raise a really important question because i don't see any sign that the europeans did any

gave any thought to the strategic consequences of what they were doing. they were so caught up in the sort of sense of the struggle against rusher. again, put in the dictator and all of us and has become a sort of fervor in europe all everywhere there are sort of blue and yellow symbols of ukraine. it's become such a firm that i don't think they really thought, i mean europe cannot manage as it is. they cannot get gas from anywhere else that will substitute from russia. yes, that's just obvious. the americans have promised a small amount of new liquified gas, natural gas, but that will cover about 4 percent of the you needs your required 40 percent gut tod. it's not going to be able to surprise it's not going

to get supplied. so why do they go into these things without any thinking? and then suddenly they say, well, we're going to divest ourselves from reliance on russian or oil and gas within the yeah. how, i mean have they got a plan for this? is this serious? how you doing good to do that, you know, you conscious change the thing overnight, then they're surprised when rush this. ok now the pain rubles, did they not consider that possibility? did they not think where it was going to take? has they not consider the impact on inflation and inflation is soaring in the europe, ian union at the moment while they still stay on a monetary and economic policy, which is not that still doing quantitative easing and negative interest rates effectively and buying all the bottoms. the certain countries produced to find from bad that, i mean, how long long can you go on and that sort of basis when inflation is, you know,

the inflation figures highly manipulated, but we're talking about large figures, double digit pick us in europe in reality, even if they say it's a little less and people are going to feel a huge amount of pain. the costs of gas and electricity like in the u. k, are going to go up 50 percent. they've gone up 50 percent, they'll probably go up and up 100 percent before the end of this year. how people going to survive with this? have they not made any consideration? has they not posted through? they've cut off all the links. they've created a sort of uncut against russia. they can't even talk to, to, to benteke, to russia, aut futon at the moment. they've so cut themselves off in their sort of enthusiasm and their excitement for protecting europe in values and to what they see as a sort of barbarian culture of russia. it's not that of course,

but that's how they seem to see it. and so, you know, i, that's why i'm very pessimistic that they can come up with a real solution. well, of course, joe biden assures europe that the fact gas from the us will be on time and important common data and think tanks in nato countries. constantly talk about, cut, saving the day. if both of those are rubbish, the actual contract, the americans that the european union produced doesn't have any commitment to that extra 50000000000 cubic meters of guess. it says america will do its best endeavors to meet the best endeavors. this full of holes gutter has said, formerly i know german minister went ban, came back and said that they will help us with gus. but actually, i said fully, we never made that commitment. we couldn't make the commitment,

we don't have the capacity to make that commitment. i'm very sorry. if we cannot replace rush and gas. so where is it coming from? well, as you know, and as you alluded to, for instance, u. k prime minister bars johnson talking about it's the principle that math is, this is about the foundations of the european ideal philosophically, even even the enlightenment being talked about. obviously, one feels it strangely when it comes to the banding of free expression and free media obviously comes to mind. but of course the g d, n and prestige. a media is banned. a dissenting media zelinski has as, as being the subject gog be a huge p or operation in western europe in nature aligned countries. what do you

think he faces at home in ukraine, as for the far right elements in ukraine society and, and he's in effect who's in need to protect him as peace talks go forward. if a piece deal is, is to merge. i mean, it's a, it's a complicated picture, but we do know that lensky, of course, has, i mean, all of these zoom meetings with elements and hoping catholic, choreographed and someone has provided the videos and the, the means to do this. and that almost certainly is united states. and the question really comes down to the issue of is the united states ready? all, all of europe can face because some of them don't seem to be really ready to for a long war. or do they want to short for in the crane and

a political settlement? and it's not clear that that deficient has been made. we see that i think you mentioned yourself at the start was you know, so far there was nothing and that would be another meeting made wrong. i don't think savanski is a free agent in this. he is very close. you know, even with his background, he is surrounded by members of the self and right fact groups and works very closely with some of the leaders of those groups. and are they ready for a thief or any of the process? it's not clear that that is the case, but it's also not peer in russia has certain objectives for this a military operation. and it is still possible that if they feel they've achieved those objectives,

they may feel that the best thing is just to go and leave and the dawn. yes. good. now, scott republics will be look after themselves and their own way once the russians had completed them and a trail ration of black sea will be similarly, probably an autonomous region may be western ukraine will be taken by the pose, maybe parts of the other parts of ukraine will be taken by hungry. we don't know quite certainly the polish prime minister has made it very care. they have territorial dishes because most of that land on the west devolve and all of that were polish originally. and he said they have territorial needs requirements from, from u. k. and i think there was a long conversation between the polish president and that has biden, when he was in was so when the polish president was, are getting very strong polish military should be able to go into the ukraine and

take some of that plan that was originally, so i mean, we may see something very different as the outcome if the comp negotiate diplomatic outcome. we may find this a sort of de facto bull, can i say that takes place in your crime? i'm not sure who that would suit if anyone, but i mean one can say that is not going to be an option. might be the only thing that emerges photo via, for lack of anything better to arrive from the situation. presumably, china wouldn't appreciate that too much with its close trading days with kia, but if billions of dollars worth of weapons continues to be poured into ukraine by nate to align countries. notably the united states of many see, see is prolonging the war. can we see an uptick in the violence? we've seen the pictures of so many refugees alone,

dead bodies of civilians. and can we see an uptick in increased violence, or will nato, along with, with businesses in the, and the corporations of the planet eventually have to back down to save. well, to save the planet in effect, you know, the united states continues to put money in there, just not all money and other other trash and more weapons to go there. i'm not sure that they can actually get those weapons into your grade because the russians have been very adept destroying weapons supplies and warrens dumps inside you create even close to the polish border. so it's not so clear that this is really possible, but nonetheless, can, can the war go on? i think there is a camp within, let's call it a camp within washington that would like it to become a quiet like has gotten this done was to the says that union, well,

those years ago when i was that would they like to do the same? some one can does, that's largely the state the position. i think another one like pentagon is much less. he asked about that much less than to stick because it feels that this might lead to a big conflict with russia. cook, thank you. that's over the show. if you're watching this on saturday, it will be replayed on monday and keep in touch with all i social media, if it's available in your country. and remember, you can continue to watch going on the right episodes globally on tv outside major airline countries, and always on odyssey and r t dot com. oh no. one, no, no, no. hon. who are job?

no, no. well, go more shrill than what they should end up unit 731 was a unique organization in the history of the world. what they were trying to do was to simply do nothing short and build the most powerful and most deadly biological weapons program. that the world had ever no real. oh you know it was, it gives you or sure doug did that. they're not feeling good on you son. new looking to keep on more more general manager thought this is meant new against them. all. one of our new and i got to learn much sale. i got ya. i got on monday. i wish to know about joy whole new food in or gosh, more or less than

a cheerios i had to put on with this car, their mother and all everybody built garage door hours. nice. oh boy, that's good to go on. what the on this, the well, she my, it knew, i know i'm all, i can send more on all said mom, good student. i don't the, you know a lot on or put them out. thank you. bye. ah. so he's got to do is identify the threats that we have a treaty confrontation, let it be an arms race, his on offense bearing dramatic development only personally and getting to resist. i don't see how that strategy will be successful, very political time. time to sit down and talk ah,

well come just footnote averaging the world with me, george galloway and me katie. according to the laws of aerodynamics the bumblebee cannot fly. its wings are too flimsy, its body too heavy. but fly, it does, according to the laws of rush as enemies sanctioned on an unprecedented scale, where to wreck the rouble and crush the russian economy. the opposite has happened . the rubel has more than recovered its only losses, and it is the european and north american economies, which are looking distinctly rocky. now, how did that happen? legendary man of wards pepe escobar predicted. exactly this. so let's hear from the oracle pepe. thank you for joining us. on board the sport nick before we go into all the other predictions you got right. give me a new prediction.