ah welcome towards the part, an old chinese saying suggest that it is better to be a dog in terms of tranquillity than a human in times of change. a proposition that many of us may test out soon as the world we knew just a few years ago, rapidly disintegrates what is likely to emerge in place. well, to discuss that, i'm now joined by when grant executive, dean of the chung young institute for financial studies, dr. when it's great to talk to you. thank you very much for your time. thank you for helping me. now, chinese scholars are not known for their excessively dramatic assessments, but i noticed a lot of them, including yourself, warning about the danger over major war, perhaps in the global war involving nuclear weapons. what made you reach such

a ominous conclusion? so actually my a fixed now it is clearly the increase, often the to the meeting is no longer a regional powell. it is a, a whoa, whoa, whoa, certainly, i will walk the western fashion continuing to increase or can only be forced to use or to live the what i barrier waterhouse. i'm also a s a,

a more dangerous moment. now there's been a lot of talk about the so called asian pacific pivot in the bottom administration . and in the previous ones as well. they tried to extricate themselves painfully and sometimes very clumsily from the middle east from afghanistan, only to be embroiled in europe. do you think this is speaking of applied with russia over ukraine was deliberate or has the west essentially stumbled into this conflict? the money lucky was a, a, a, a, a, me, roger, the interest or a stretch wrap. so luckily, if it's getting late,

so this is very important. why many a on many chinese russia have to buy the west for a long time. and i have to find that is why the china nowadays many, many people a class. and it's a point where the, i know from the articles that many in china also sympathize very strongly with the people of ukraine and they're suffering. and i have to say that many russians are 2 very, very greatly opposed by that. but you want to describe ukraine as having the body of a strong man and the fate of a servant girl and gender insensitive politically incorrect. it may sound to western air. i think it's hard to deny, given how poorly ukraine has been able to benefit from both this strategic position

and it's natural resources. and i think to some of them it's very similar to getting some because i've got to some essentially located within a region continent. it has very weak resources, but all, and i did it more harm than good for is that both in the case of ukraine and perhaps even in the case of a gannon with a trinity. oh, yes, i love a tragedy in those middle side countries or small fine countries for you me a quick call just to why i called you are still wanting to 48 countries. a medium size or small size cannot be out of the countries in

may 20, because it has a policy. so you agree that it should be a breach between the agents, but not to go there and need to. now a tool for us to, for you. all right, so i think nowadays this is for wall with a coffee. so i'm there on the maybe a coffee. you may become the police and worse country europe. now, you said before that the essential, i believe that russia was pushed into this military operation by natives containing

encroachments not going to put in whole authorized this operation. his last visit brought wants to china, and it was very interesting in my visit because there isn't delegation of food in, in the morning. they had a full of meetings and they laughed in the evening. and there must have been something very, very important in those personal meetings to justify, you know, travelling such large distances for such a short period of time. do you think the chinese were informed of the russian intentions to launch this operation? i know that there is no way of knowing it, for sure. perhaps only present she in prison, couldn't know that, but what's your intention on that q now with a right. i mean there, there were some important talks behind the scenes

a i. e, i a to a lot of china issues, and i need an answer whether that time a mission to try. but now i'm very concerned a bench with the fact that, you know, a very, very obvious answer is that a company, a few didn't not after the chinese embassy, you're going to least have to go to shoes. so good, there are new people complain about it is why we need

a hand. we understand it because we believe that the char, we believe that a country and has a lot to do to watch. now, despite this, i'm beginning on whether or not china was informed about russia's intentions. i think we would agree that even before this military operation, the relationship between russia and china was growing close over the last couple of months. i think it became even tighter. and while the chinese side is still trying to project a neutral line, you know, projecting that neutral line in and of itself is a sign of independence. it's not citing explicitly with, with the american head jam and do you think that is intentional? so i'm a follow the u. s. to session watch to,

to pass. now do you know, was a country population have not followed a washer or was i to leave a washer in front of you can not. so any progress, but we'll only hold a china has always post american feature, but we have a lot of country, a treaty or a doctor when for now the active fighting is still contained to your

crane and we all hope that it will stay that way. although the ripple effects from the confrontation already south around to well, what could possibly make the facilities to press further and try and the military operations from local, regional one into a global outbreak of violence. a very interesting you a, b, a, b, a, b, a, b? is there a power point?

so now the time we want, we push a to, and are you in chapter a, a camera concentration a. so yes. now you mentioned a prison she and he was also talking about humanity being this one big ship and having to face crashing waves together. he said that throwing anyone overboard would present a major problem for you know, everybody. but i need to meet very chinese matter for americans who are clearly in turned on thinking rush, i'm in there. no, not hiding it. they want to, you know,

push russia under. what do you think they're likely you know, to listen to your perceived that, that view from china were well with that being on the same shit. and now man a, now to a was a fast happening. and so now that a, so now we need to be done is to why man not just to hold on their own countries. you know, you can't even imagine a whole universe,

a small, and our country is back in the u. s. a. and a role. i'm not a united the address, so if continue, it will be a part of history. ok, well, i was around. we have to take a very short break right now, but a little bit back in just a few moments. and, ah ha ah, since the break away of the doughnuts, people's republic whew has been raging and don't boss. ukrainian artillery has been

shelling civilian townsend, mining village, is that your more very lovely deal with a new one with florida who sees when it was on the deal. but one of the sub develop as of all of the 3 of the little boys will give us bullet one. ah ah

welcome back to the park with when, when executive dean of the young institute for financial studies, doctor, when you are a very serious scholar. but in one of your articles, speaking about this and growing danger of a global war on, you mentioned that curious sense i would say graham, numerical kinds, adams that this some of every 2 digits of the starting date of 128th of july 1914. what's you and the 1st of september 1959 and the russian ukrainian conflict 24th of february of 2022 are they said they all go down to number 5. and i know the traditional chinese philosophy assigns a lot of significance to him. or ology, but i wonder if your sound see any meaning in this. a weird

coincidence. a major history or history. there can be a use of all the records in the future and all these numbers a dental office. so i can use this whole is not a p, a p, a preferring wall in the district. so now this is a to wall. all prefer walls and are not sure also,

i think just the experience of that. yeah. the best way to, to start a war now, if i'm not mistaken, there's another kind of saying that suggests that the best war is the one off, ford and obviously the chinese trying to navigate that relationship with the united states. the best they can. you wrote your sound that for now at least you have been able to avoid, you know, falling into a cold war trap. do you think that they still a danger when it comes to the united states and china, or do you think the conflict with russia? you know, this indirect conflict with russia so far will keep washington b a for a couple of years ago with a being a boy a all

a is all you know, trying to join the. so however, earlier this, if you start history, a tragedy pad and the best way to, to mandy is to start to what i have more to many, 10 your favorite, why fi, who not die? and maybe i i'm very aware that the chinese, i don't like the comparison of the ukrainian situations, you all tie one because of beijing insistence on the one china policy. but i'm sure you know, that president bite in the bottom administration on the other administrations to have promised her support for, for k u,

how ukraine was treated by the american security wise. the fact that they have essentially been, you know, abandoned in the time of great need. do you think those promises of american support worth anything? yeah. each on each other you know, a law people the things that are trying to parole, you know, we agree. we see a they think that you, yes, you agree to bass law and then we can look at and time. and this is very, very, a very small. and they think here, yes, they can you the same way to badness? chinese, we can walk and we can find

a lot you will be are here is very f u r c a r a s they verify the last all you so how long is it god? is it a state to contain to why i thought it is another vehicle? so we have a now are speaking about ukraine. it's well known that the ukraine is one of the world's leading is for is of agricultural goods. and as he rode recently, more than 40 countries, i'm more than 25 percent dependent on the cranium with increased. i'm sure the russians are he aware of that own responsibility before the 30 countries. they do a know, especially those who are dependent on the ukraine and sports. but do you think

realistically it is now within the russian ability to ensure that the spring sewing season begins as it should and that it continues as it should so that to minimize the burden on the rest of the world. because in addition to this war, we also have, you know, many seasons of drought, locust, and asians, and many other factors that are affecting the production of food. a china or russia, especially tree reaches a lot of the n y, a house, and the u. b. a u r. a

. and also a 2 or 3 people. so now the whole world is to watch the wall. it's a p, a h will be awful. so we have 2 of the other countries, washington, for now it seems to believe that in penalizing russia, you know, any means to justify the goal. and, you know, it already led to, steve increases in commodity prices for many companies to alter action change. do you think that the world is likely to take it as it is? you know, the mind is always right. or do you think it may provoke some counter reaction from

other countries to make the americans to force the americans to understand that you know, it's not ok to force others to carry the burden of their decision. they may take whatever action necessary as the russian out, you know, forcing other countries to, to do the same or more and more people, a country's b, a c or catch it all to the feet. it's a, a t in country all in jewelry to this country's a and ok. so i, we all b, p,

i a will not a doctor when i think you would agree that many countries, i mean i've heard it from a lot of my guess from around the world. they all believe that the americans have demonstrated selfish behavior. but up until recently and very few countries had any diplomatic or economic, or even political force to resist that behavior. do you think that meant to maybe building to something more productive? right now, for example, i know there are lots of talks about china and saudi arabia, you know, an old american ally, switching to are you on denominated trade in oil. do you think, you know, such indirect moves can not even challenge them. i can hit germany, it's not about challenging then american hegemony, but making the world more balanced and more secure. a sort of saying not to depend

on the will of one country, a piece of it, a, b, b, a, c, h, a, b, common with s a. so we are very correct. so every come you will see that a dog and now you, you see, you saw it. do we need to track the dog? so the yes, we can see more and more countries are the example a thought. a monetary with are now in your page

258. so in the future. so in fact, i think a thought is coming to an end. and as we see the rising prominence of china and other countries including occurrences as well. and, you know, one of the sort of philosophical question to one of the expressions we hear a lot in the international, these courses who is on the right side of history and who is on the wrong side of history. which i have to say is a very western, i would even say a very christian concept and you know, dividing everything in stark, lee, good or bad friends. as china continues, it's natural or to prominence. do you think it will introduce a more complex understanding of what is good or what is that and what is the

balance between, you know, various opposites. a wall we how you, dan mine and not so much tension a, a, a, all but a few a. so for example, a u. s. u a and many less but the need is not a present. i think though the american me sure i d international voice and entry b c a u.

so that's why i think we need to order a well doctor, why do we have to leave it here? thank you very much for your insights today. thank you. thank you so much and thank you for watching hope to hear again well the part ah with mm. blue ah ah, what we've got to do is identify the threats that we have. it's tracy foundation.

let it be an arms race, his on offense bearing dramatic development only personally and getting to resist. i don't see how that strategy will be successful, very critical time time to sit down and talk ah ah mm

hm. with americans claim they want to make the world unit polar for good. what objective process go in the opposite direction? the world is multi polar brushes, top diplomat says the west is trying to move the world to unique polarity. the u. n . chief echoes that sentiment during his 1st visit to moscow since the conflict began in brain. meanwhile, on the front on we once again found a huge variety of different mind gradient positions. again, my, this claim has told these national community, it doesn't help. more evidence emerges about ukrainian forces using the anti personnel minus the slide claims that munitions were destroyed. years ago under international.