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ah. hello and welcome to cross stock were all things are considered. i'm peter lavelle . zalinski regime has made it clear it is not interested in any negotiations as russia to end the military conflict. this should not surprise anyone. after all, this has been the position of the by did ministration all along. the collective west is intent on supporting this conflict until the last ukranian maybe until there is no ukraine left. with cross sucking diplomatic style made, i'm joined by my guess, larry johnson in tampa. he is a managing partner, edburg associates, and a former cia analyst than us state department counterterrorism official. and oh, how we have oliver boyd barrett. he is

a professor emeritus of journalism and public relations at bowling green state university, as well as author of brush gate and propaganda. and in corpus christi, we have michael flannigan, he is president flanagan consulting and a former congressman. i generally cross scroll to the fact that means you can jump in any time you want, and i always appreciate. let me go to larry 1st and tampa, who survived. and i'm glad you have the have you on this week. you couldn't last week for obvious reasons. larry, what do you make of zelinski? so i need decrease. there's no negotiations, at least not with this current russian president. and of course, as i said in my introduction, this is an echo of what the by to ministration is supported, all along. so i will invoke that more on name burrell, the foreign policy chief for the e. u. this will be sided on the battlefield. i guess it's pretty clear how go ahead, larry. but there are the final propaganda pushes under way. zalinski certainly is doubling down on a very bad hand, despite all of the hoopla the propaganda going on in the west about the great

victories of ukraine and how rushes in the tree prudence on the verge of collapse. it's going to happen in a minute. now all we gotta do is hold on, and yet the reality is something else. and the, the bottom line fact is ukraine does not have the ability to sustain itself on the battlefield without continued supplies coming from the united states and nato. and the ability of the united states and nato to continue those supplies, is we're city, it's not increasing the, the kinds of actual weapons that the united states consent and the europeans consent. is this not the top of the lines, material tanks, planes. it's the 2nd hand stuff, and on top of that, the ammunition supplies that the west has just to provide can are being depleted and they do not have the industrial base. they once had that,

this is not the world war 2 united states that could really crank up and produce stuff. so let's get in trouble. it's just the world hasn't caught up to it yet. you know, michael with the, the, the sabotage of the north stream pipelines. again, that's kind of taking a, a piece off the chessboard because that was something very important for the russians and for particularly the germans, but europe in general here. i think we all know who did it, but i'm not, i don't wanna waste time talking about that. but the fact of the matter is, is that that was some that was a form of interaction. that was very important for both parties that's been taken off the board because there's, there's been talk, there was talk for weeks that the germans were interested in coming to some kind of understanding with the russians. somebody else decided no, there's going to be no understanding your thoughts. i think you've summed it up absolutely correctly. there's going to be no solution if left to gloria newnan

newland and the other geniuses at foggy bottom. and at the n, a say they're the thought leaders of this nightmare, and it won't. and as i let me say from the outset, putin should not have invaded, he should have not left his own borders. but having dealing with that reality, we need to come to peace and to come to peace, you have to have the parties come to the table. so if you're going to have some ridiculous, the only thing we'll accept is unconditional. surrender like it in the 2nd world war. will you better be in a position to win the war? well, you know, what's zalinski is not, and he's just not going to happen. it's laughable to imagine that ukraine could win this war. and the fact that we continue to live in the west in a, in a. ready in a media circus that drives this narrative. ready it confuses me deeply because there is no way to grind this downs. when when minority and water it takes the more brutal that will be at mit michael, you can escalate up. i agree with you there with there

a way. there were ways that may be a ray of hope that it could happen now. i tend to doubt it, but you can escalate to let. let me go to oliver in ohio is that this is what i worry about because i've learned a lot from larry johnson, our guest in our program. i did a podcast on my, on the gaggle with george samuel alley, which, you know, is how much longer length. but, you know, what worries me is that the, the west doesn't have the conventional capacity to maintain this war. and so there's the next step. and that's the big step. ok. and we hear all of this talk about, you know, using the technical you nuclear weapons. that's not the russian saying at this. it's an insinuation on from the west because they don't have the conventional capacity to saying a conflict against russia. oliver go ahead. you know, this issue a conventional capacity is kind of important because although they do seem to have run out other stocks for their own defense purposes,

let alone for the defense of ukraine. they are, or a $1000000000.00 more and 2 orders for future deliveries of, of hardware. and those orders will eventually be met to the great profitability of the western ass manufacturers who the who seem to be the primary beneficiaries of this war or by the way. and but by my thinking is that at some point there's new orders for webinar. we do have to start running in, but i'm not sure how many months it takes and i dare say it takes different periods of time according to what categories of weaponry we are talking about. i'm thinking the winter. this is a very, very dangerous time for the, for the west because of the situation in the battle field despite the misleading optics are keith s on that the, this is,

this is not a good time for the worse and we're entering. awesome, we're entering winter is going to be very difficult for either side to launch major offensives. well, i think we but oliver, when it's, it's the rainy season where i am right now to say it's a rainy season in ukraine. russia has a very good history of fighting in the winter of stalingrad, the defense of berlin. it winters, not a big problem. hard ground is good. ok, larry, i well, you know, one of the things that really bothers me about a lot of the commentary on the conflict is that we have to look at it in a very broadly what russia is doing now in we will. it wants to avoid having to have to do it in again, in 5 years or 10 years, or 15 years, they want a definitive outcome for their security needs. we so much commentary about this overlooks that go ahead larry. well, i think part of the problem is the wes looks entirely as

a football game that who's, who's scored a point who's, who's allowed a goal. and they forget the cost of what's dictate that that war is just an extension of politics. and you've got to look at the broader politics, and that's where i think the russians clearly have the advantage here and we saw it on, i don't know, i can't recall if it was tuesday or wednesday of this week. but when opec plus turns around and says, hey, we're going to reduce the production of oil at the very time that washington and europe are begging for lower oil prices and more oil. now if, if saudi arabia and the rest of the opec nations nigeria thought that russia was just getting clobbered and was on the verge of collapse, was in the same person saying that those countries would align themselves with

a guaranteed loser. absolutely not. 3rd, not crazy. so the people need to take into account the politics of this, which also gets into the economics. and so from that standpoint, that what's happening militarily on the ground, i don't want to minimize it, but it's a bit of a side show. and it's, yeah, it's the, it's the drama, the west needs or is a sit com mentality. that's such a good point because michael, i think that, you know, when we look at here we are, we're in october in winter is beginning to start. i think we're going to have very different conversation, echoing with larry just said, they're not about the battlefield, but the condition of, of europe's economy, and by extension the united states go ahead. michael and corpus kristie. yeah, i think the general kudos offset it, but general winter is on its way. the russians do very well in the winter. the west is not and zalinski isn't doing very well anywhere i put in laid out several months ago. 5 points for

a point where we can stop fighting and discuss the permanent relinquishment of the crimea of promise not to go into nato and several other things. those go posts moved as russia has paid a price on the ground and has captured the don bastard virtually all of it. and now has other designs. i'm guessing because that once he drags this out, so the russian view is to ratchet up the pain and bring come to the table. and let's have done with this. and the pain will continue to be ratcheted up by the russians because they can afford to do it. they have the capacity to do it. and so i, i think the battle is something a little more than a side show, although it is subordinate to the. ready political discussion to be sure, but i think it's the method by which newton is trying to bring this to an end and move on to talks. and so they, we, we shuffled into carfagna wheat and we got pushed out. we'll go back and i think they will odessa looms large in the winter if there's

a winter offensive and i'm sure there will be on the the problems for ukraine are insurmountable. the longer they drag this out in a political sense as well. ready as a military one, they would do well to come to the table now. i don't think they can. i don't think gloria knew, and i don't think my, my, my dear friend came into congress with senator graham is going to let them do these things. i think are there, as, as you said at the outset, they're going to fight to the last few oil. i mean, but it might, michael, that may have been watching and i'm agreeing with you. but that means they don't really care much about ukraine, right. kind of true they, both of them are care, far more about hurting russia than they do about protecting ukraine. that is a fact well and, and also the, the, the, the derivative of that is that what kind of economic damage will be lasting damage because trade ties will change. and people's the say, well, i'm gonna stick with the russians. i'm going to stick with the chinese because the europeans don't know. they don't, don't even how to protect their own interests. there are gentlemen, we're going to go to a short break. and after that short break,

we'll continue our discussion on diplomatic building. stay with ah, ah, lisa come to russian state. little, never the tires on the northland scheme, devastation american house, how sons a group in the 55 would this been okay, so mine is 25 and speaking one else with will ban in the european union. the kremlin media machine, the state on russia today, and c, r t spoke neck, given our video agency, roughly all band to on you to send

with bullying into a solar cheated gloria. low cranium g doin soon enough idea. she ship duck lean, that she pulled up control you put you on board so you should. she'll go. diddy. tgm awarded by so rarely been given the nazi. what's it? what's in the city? yeah. with tim jeff. darker room dish with crazy central there. eastern, modern date, my subway, but just story you on a salad ship elise get us push i, we ship a gift or should look like you know what of them. i

need a new train score was with us for a one. they switched over the course and you can actually reach with global. i'm sitting here about how she's gonna jump these approximately 3 to view question. take a picture, go double check those with ah, welcome back, across stock where all things are considered on peter. let's remind you, we're discussing diplomatic stalemate with okay, go back to oliver oliver, going back to the, in the, if sabotage of the pipelines, it says it, 2 things stand out of my mind. number one. obviously,

whoever did this wanted to cut that economic energy relationship. but it may, at the end of the day cripple germany, certainly not russia. this is an annoyance for russia, they might rebuild it. my might repair it, but if someone's going to blow it up again, then why do it okay. and number 2, that kind of civilian infrastructure i guess is on the table. there are other pipelines in the baltic. i just think who did this with thinking in very short term as if it white makes some kind of dramatic difference. it doesn't, it may, it may in the short, medium run and that will be germany in the european economy. go ahead all. well, i'm not sure that it's a short term, or it may actually be quite a long term and a worrying way. which is to say, the united, well, we're, we to make the presumption that the united states has had

a hand in the sabotage. the course is going to be an investigation into this. it will be an investigation into which russia will not be invited. shades of an age, 17 shenanigans in 2014. but i think the long term game here is uh for the united states, both to, to, to crush europe and to crush russia simultaneously that, that, that is the game. and at the same time, to make it impossible for europe and russia to collaborate, that will have the effect of consolidating rushes, pivot to asia. it will have the effect of greatly solidifying and strengthening the asian chinese lead asian alliances. it will have the effect of whether the united

states wants it or not, of ushering, ushering in the multi polar world. so frightened, so terrified the washington leads that the saddest part of well, there are so many sad parts of the story and the suffering of the ukrainian all ukrainian people is one of those. but another very, very sad element of the story is the crashing of europe. yeah. and in particular, the crashing you're just except the germans don't seem to realize yet what is happening to them. i think i got any jim. so they also integrated into a power structure that is dominated by the united states that they don't see that they have korea possibilities anywhere else other than to be porn's. yeah, yeah, i just think they've, they're just obsessed with their neo liberal ideology. they can't break out of it. i mean, it, it, it, they can't see reality for what it is because they're ideologically blind. larry, let's talk about that because i think we're all in agreement. the prize and all

this is continued american hegemony over europe. okay. you know, check that box, but europe, the price of europe is very modern, high productivity economy. i mean, without cheaper energy, you don't have you. i think you go pre industrial. i mean, i don't know what europe is going to be maybe a destination for terrorists from india and china. the see what people used to live like because the prize is worthless. if it isn't, it isn't a high high productivity. larry. i posted an open thread on my blog the other day, asking people, what's your economic situation? i have a remarkable readership. i mean, people from around the world, they got comments from a lot from europe, asia, africa, australia, canada, we're in a global economic crisis. and what's coming out of europe is particularly disturbing in terms of across the board. these, the people that were commenting were saying,

look, my bills have double, they've tripled people that have been, ex pats are now selling their property and they're leaving europe. try to come back to the united states because so bad. so the, the reality for the people, for the civilians, the populace. it is on a grand scale. this is a little bit like that moment in the french revolution were marie antoinette was to let them be k, because the leadership is so out of touch with what's going on with the average citizen, the business people that are trying to keep bakeries open are heavens even with toilet paper producers in germany having to declare bankruptcy. one of the necessities of life, if you will. so there are failure to come to grasp the to come to grips with the economic consequences of this policy towards russia. underscore is the fact that, or they're not thinking about this in terms of a comprehensive strategy to win

a war, or they're focused only upon how can we are russia. yeah, but get it, but that that's not, that's not in any one security interest in the long run. again. that's why i keep saying we have to take steps back here. because what about the european security architecture? we need to talk about that. ok, i mean, you know, the can be, is much looser foby as you want, but there's still here, neighbor, you can't do anything about that. let me, let me go to michael. michael, you know there's, there's energy cap on russian energy, which of course is kind of the unicorn stuff in my, my, i still don't really understand it. i don't think anybody really does. but i mean, let's flip the, the, the script here will be a tap on high priced l n g from the united states. is anybody talking about tapping that? because there are the, i mean, this is obviously a looking for the fees market. this energy market, the americans want it, they wanted to die the russians. ok. but in the middle of europe, i mean the,

what they're going to be charge is going to be again, their productivity will fail. michael, after the 2nd world war, when europe was in the ashes of the united states, owned about half the world's gps, or yep, 12550000000 people own half the world's g d p. today we own a little less than a quarter and it's going down. but the people making decisions for our economic future, our military future are had gemini in europe, which i believe is ebbing quickly, still live in a world. ready we call the shots, we absolutely do not any more and we need to come to understand that. and i don't think newland or biden, or the 30 something nameless, faceless. ready children who run the white house have a clue what they're doing. the future of this country of the united states is going to be increasingly interdependent on an economically vibrant globe. however much

it's being harm now. and you know that it has been said here that they are a pain, that is a fact. but we will share that pain shortly. and it's coming and it's going, it's inexorable. inflation is going to be the smallest problem we've got coming shortly. you know, it used to be the united states catches a cold in the world, gets pneumonia. it's going to be the. ready way around and are come up and says, coming quickly here, we don't have the economic power we did even 30 years ago. and we continued to manage a foreign policy that pretends that we do well then also what they did. there's one thing that the u. s. has enormous amounts of debt. oh, so did the europeans, enormous amount of debt here all oliver, one of the interesting things of all this is that the global south is, is turned its back on this whole affair. this is a, between the europeans and the russians. don't drag us into it, you know why? mostly because you don't have a solution to end it. why should i back here cause if there is no ending to this. ok. and the in the global south is as staying on the sidelines. that's very

significant in light of what michael just said. go ahead, oliver. yes, absolutely. we see some science that africa countries like molly keener fossil and some other some center are turning away from one of the s p, i's france in favor of the russian. and so that, that is a very interesting kind of just going to quickly go back to the issue of the l and g. lincoln said, quite recently the, the sabotage of the nose ring, one or 2 pipelines was a wonderful opportunity for the, for the united states. actually, he's wrong because the united states is not producing enough energy to service the european markets. it's facing steep gasoline prices arises and gasoline prices here in the united states. so it needs as much gas for

its own populations as well. and also the, the shale revolution of the past 10 to 20 years is now drawing to an end. there will be a diminution of shale oil and gas supplies in the united states. this isn't dwindling resource. and the idea that the united states believes that there's a future in selling l and g to the united states as i, to, to europe and, and you're not going to be bailed out either by the mythology of us, alan gee, even steepest possible price control. clearly, clearly, and none of these people thought any of this are, you know, larry and what are future historians are going to think about this. i mean,

this is all self inflicted. these are craving choices. these none of this should be happening larry. so airy parallels if you will, with the 1st world war, because when you look back at the health, the world got drug in europe in particular, was drug into a completely unnecessary massive slaughter. there are the historians will look back at this period and see a complete failure of leadership across the board, an unnecessary provocation of russia and refusal to negotiate and, and then the end, it will, this is going to lead to, unfortunately widespread pain. i think das destruction, i don't mean to be a doom say or but it just or the future is dark and what we're looking at because the leaders refusing to stand up and try to be reasonable adults. you know, michael, i think when all is said and done, what's going to be left of ukraine?

the call had been debtors then. ok because that's all that's going to be lab. the longer this goes on, the smaller ukraine gets last 25 seconds. go to you, my friend. thank you sir. i think you're absolutely correct. put in is trying to wrap up the pain and saying anytime you want to talk, we're ready to talk and stop this. and what is the one key say to the desk. we'll fight to that. what do you, are you insane? it will never stop until the russians when that's when it's fast. well, let it up. now michael, i'm sure. lindsey has got a plane on the tarmac with all the money in advance. just pull the afghan president variant and just leave the country. ok. or he'll end up in a ditch one way or another. it's going to end as all the time we have gentlemen many thanks them i guess in tampa. oh. and corpus christi and thanks to our viewers for watching us here at our dc you next time remember prospect rules the

the ah, ah ah. not another well you. why do you easy while friend i am here for you. it's a one slide. yes. south. yeah. thrashing a south with a new dock. awesome boy. now watch them up all mutable upright peter is emily apple's video from sheila kim's room? she thought, did you say the why? the ela a yes, my thought or jane in the again your fortune very up. my bill at about this

morning just financial a variety of tools, news, and it's a tax on other countries economic sanctions are, are often just the beginning. another thing you like to do is place some military pressure on the countries that you're talking about. and there has to be an effort to demonize that country and the leader of that country. we have a responsibility for the whole world and we need to make rules for the rest of

has without us, there will be chair. mm . mm hm. ah, moscow accuses ukraine's the president of trying to start a world war. the volume is the landscape colds on nato to launch preemptive strikes against russia. washington considers with 3 measures against saudi arabia after opec plus as decisions across all production. despite president biden's efforts to keep prices down, australian think tank sponsored by western states including britain and the u. s. accuses china of spreading propaganda in the solomon islands.