such companies as well are underwhelming, which has forces this way set and because of the common us elections, investors are a little uncertain about the situation. but donald trump blamed the bite and administration, and he says that both biden and harris, what was the me, don't understand anything, but here's camella harris, the presidential a nominated for the democratic party and her plans to come back installation. well, let's start with this. prices have gone up and families and individuals are dealing with the realities of, of the, the bread costs more the gas costs more. so it is something that we take very seriously very seriously. so it's a big issue and we take it seriously. so no plan at all from camella harris has been just her then it's really no wonder why us investors are worried about the

situation. what investors are across the world, particularly those who have invested heavily in the u. s. her alliance on, on american markets, when america sneezes, the world gets a cold. but that can affect some areas more than others. right? yes, japan is not alone. the outcome of a possible you was recession has hit other places as well. the moscow exchange stock exchange billed by less than 2 percent. the target market was suspended after stops failed by 7 percent than europeans thoughts have also in general, extended loss as major forces and almost whole sectors are in the red tech stops closing nearly 6 percent lower as well. and you as giant intel. so as much as 28 percent, but even crypto currencies are not exempt from the situation with bitcoin, ad bitten, defend by almost the 5th today. so the situation seems that way. so we'll see what

kind of plans they will come to come back as okay. now mr. locked for, not from here, but workforce talking again in the moments and the difference to catch peter and guess after the shortest of breaks, then to make sure to join nippy patrol for work mondays. big new stories and that is it is a monday. this is 247, or to introduction the the hello and welcome across stock on peter

a little here we discuss them. we'll news as a prisoner exchange for 10 settlement other outstanding issues such as ukraine. and why is the united states sending a flow tell a to protect israel after israel can resolve? assassinations. discuss these issues and more. i'm joined by my guess, george samuel, we in budapest, he is a broadcaster at the gamble, which means out on youtube and logos and assemble, we have peaks or a month. he is a historian and political commentator or a gentleman cross that rules that affect that means get company, tell me what. and i always appreciate it. i always start out with george and in budapest, i'm a big fan, fair about the prison or exchange that you have asked it was and that'd be the number of people that were freed. and the type of people on the good guys came back and only bad guys went back to rest here and this useful name and all of this, you know, you can dissect it all you want. it's the biggest present exchange since the cold war. but then what struck me most about the prisoner exchange, as it happened at all. and after all,

in looking at the exchange diplomacy is possible apparently something that the by the administration hasn't been doing since the 1st day. your thoughts, george. right. you're absolutely right. it's a because what was involved was indeed a very complicated, intricate diplomacy involving a number of different states and very, you know, intricate the logistics and then you are the best question arises as well, if you can do that, is it good? but oh, so much energy into uh, bringing home um a few individuals. um, why don't you use some of that energy to the effect a, a, a peaceful outcome. and of course, that's really the issue that every it's, it's assumed that of course, this is of no significance. this is absolutely

a separate issue. anyways, if i was raised in a news conference with the jake sullivan that well, does this mean that those, if there's any chance of a negotiations on your credit? no, no, no, no, no, no there's, there's not that that's a separate track. you know that that's it. so this, this is a pad is so important, you know, they've, they've, you know, we have a bite and them harris flying to meet these individuals with j sullivan and getting all these, um, uh, 3 things to rip walters. um, but the much more important them to get into the, the idea so uh, of saving hundreds of thousands of lives that, that's not, that's not only the agent that let's, let's just stick to this raw, the minor issue. then you have to conclude that no, i don't think anything is likely to come out of this. yeah, but i think that's a choice. okay. because under normal circumstances a, well this is a starting point. um, but the compromises can be found strategies can be devised,

but then they can shut the door on at. absolutely. so it does kind of tell us a little bit more about the intent. i mean, the diplomacy is a one off incentive should be the useful course of math matters between state study . yes, i think you're right, but i think you're both slight. i would. i would add only 2 is the observations wellness if you're comparing it all of those exchange diplomacy, but with what could be done, but what is not to be done. i've seen regardings of what in ukraine and the exchange diplomacy has 2 very interesting features for us. so for the united states, actually pressure is a very important client or ally if you want to be polite, namely germany to do so i'm saying the germans absolutely didn't want to do so about ukraine. be here again. and again, the, the account to that because of ukrainians on friday to do is actually add up to use the it as possible to pressure a client to those things,

the claims and all the ready to do. so that has been on lost as a pretext once again. the other thing is, of course, if you think in terms of the off the sides of values, right? the reasons, the drum and site advisor didn't bunk to lift, classic cold goals. but typically the bags you would use it, so id, it has been sentenced as you can, has to stay here and so on and so on, and in the end that as well could be overcome. so, hans, again, do you see that the tools things mean here again and again about by the comp negotiate about ukraine, but in this case could be easily maybe not easily, but actually effectively the right. but i also think that this, unfortunately, they're not set an example for ukraine. i think the several reasons. one is a big deal. politics. i think the only thing that we're fine to induce negotiations in the case of ukraine is that the defeats by russia and they've become so obvious that everybody wants to get out and say, what's left to say, and

a product is or not, isn't there yet. but the other reason has to do with lobbying. if you look at this exchange diplomacy, one important point is that to be exchange to get onto that, at least on the rest, on all the american side, you have to have lobby. so you have to have people talk ok, well you in very important places. now what sort of lobby used to the ukraine insect, the avenue stream and really influential. i think they ask for out, that's what they call it in northern america and do, and i did states and canada, but unfortunately, yvette to crane and loved it as loving for more. right. exactly, for the opposite. we are not trying to save the country by loving funding, good stations become out of the old very tired nationalist strain that goes back to world war 2 interval period and so on. and the state are totally militant and they don't want to see peace. they don't want to see an invitation, save on to see what. so i'm also pessimistic. i think this will lots of good stuff

like you know what, george, one of the things that, you know, it's kind of a pain convenient observation is that when diplomacy was applied and then thinking of this them both process and had a lot. i mean, drafts were drawn up, been pages, initials, i mean, you know, it, you know, it's, it's, it, it is a separate that was actually tried and nobody wants to talk about, you know, the 3 of us knew what was going on and this them, bull, this is a few weeks after the conflict least this phase of the complex started, we were talking about it in real time. it took months and months and months for that to see been to um the main stream, the media because it is so inconvenient now. so we, we have an intricate process exchange multiple countries that because absolutely right, the german, we didn't want to let their captive to go, even though he was a war criminal and should have been turned over to, to rush it with her. cooper is

a bit involved in, in the church, in wars and, you know, and, but we, we have the ability to do with, it's just the lack of will to do with this. that's, that's the major take away for me. i've developed this a hostetter change a good day. yeah, that's exactly right there. there is a complete lack of will. and, you know, we, we look now at the side of the situation. but the only thing that matters in the west is the, the us presidential election. i mean, the, ultimately there's, there's going to be no movement as old until the election is settled. but even then, it's very unlikely really that whoever is okay, buying the oval office on january the 20th 2025 is going to make any real serious moves to bring this war to an end. and that largely that the there is enormously powerful lobbies going from the and over the military. the security

of our, of the, of the political leads of washington to move, hold on, please. because any kind of a piece will immediately be deemed of surrendering to bolt in the arrows, the selling out the ukraine, thrown the 1st century 20 percent. so he's version of munich. exactly. you know, cool us do great. and that's the so, you know, you'd, if it's harris who's in the oval office. well, harris has to worry about her re election. she doesn't want to go into a re election. don't visit with the person who a sold out the care. and the, or trump drop knows he's already been impeach twice. he would be very much in danger of being based the 3rd time if it's solved and making serious moves. so it's a very like i know one other option is will buy them in the last 6 months. think say this will be my like is i'm going to bring this thing to an end. but why should

buy the deal that i think bible to say, hey, i'm gonna just don't this on my, my success a is going to be is a will come january the 20 of already be for golfing and everything that we have to be done by a by the other, so therefore it, there's no incentive tool in the united states do to bring this thing to an end. yeah, i'm trying to think there are people that are saying like the name and only disagree with them. let's go to wanted to do this before a trump administration. this was a window to do with the unified myspace. i don't think it makes any sense at all. i think we're looking at the, the number of people they were exchanging is, is quite copious. and it's very complicated, is it everything fell into place and they decided everything's in place was doing now because things can fall apart. that's how i look at it has nothing to do with the administration in united states regarding the timing i, i would agree with you because as, as being such a complicated process,

there was also a major hit up when they had advanced quite far. and then the volley done and everything was set back. so i think the people endorsed on the russian side as well, had to experience that. but once you have so it's actually on the rep to better do it before things fall apart again. so that makes sense to me. i would like to to, to definitely watch a little bit from george on one thing. i'd agree to the same that you know, of a deep state to put it to put it simply is interested in continuing the of, or for many, many reasons. but i'm not quite sure that we can be certain that from both not to make peace. the reason is not that from has fat to boom at peace understand can break this. what that's here. the reason is that i think on the trump side, we have really quite a few people who want to wrap this up, or at least leave it towards the europeans, which is another option. so that they can entirely try the tool, what's china?

and maybe towards the middle east, in case we don't, it was a big blog right now. of course, the other thing is, i feel got it george's right term for this being a peach before. but you could read this the other way around. you could also re trumpet somebody who has learned that impeachment doesn't actually stop here. and trump, in some ways, i think may be even more self confident now than he was in his 1st term. so, and i'm not entirely disagreeing, but of what it was out, the possibility that a trump presidency could perhaps made a difference on the ukrainian issue. okay, just during that one minute the, the, the russians they wanted to leave brush it. and when do you need out of the sites? are they a nascent lum government in exile? that's a big question with little time. go ahead. i think they are a nascent down the things i don't. and i think that was part of the objective is to create this whole position grouping that will be deemed, you know, well, it is like a new castle consulted in the media that, you know,

about developments and russians. so in this, out of the we, you know, maybe we can think about them in the future to impose them on a, on the defeat the broken rush up. but i feel like i hear going to is giving master classes and government in exile. i mean, and cookie can think of a better place to have a master class, you know, so and, and, and in florida the weather's nice. you know, you know, it's a little sees around. so it's kind of a, a, it could be a textbook example of how you can do it and how it always fails. sorry, gentlemen, we're going to go to a hard break. and after that hard break, we'll continue our discussion then. so real estate with our, to the, the, we are in north, a city, a, in the congress's mountains,

where beautiful people have been coming together to celebrate the ancient traditions. since the beginning of time itself, where everything has a special symbolic meaning. i'm sean thomas. this is in my vision, and today we're discovering of the world of a subject culture, the disability. and you see where the viable video of seville vehicles galaxies from a little demon moved us or from our store or us. the very up to them would be for that as an industry seamless. i mean, wasn't there so the the

the welcome back across the sky. and people of al, here we discussed. so we'll do is go back to a symbol that if we're in a very precarious time, right now we have the permit be, is really prime minister benjamin netanyahu of go to the united states. the as if he was the 2nd coming in the us congress, probably the most disgraceful hour in the history of the congress. and at least in my opinion, he goes back, then we have a series of very high frightful profile assassinations. of course, some of these really side and it's a major supporter of the united states. new, the new re, uh, reaction we have tell you ition is about to incur. we're still in that moment right now. what are your thoughts about how things are playing a i you know, i,

i obviously also don't know, i think, but what, what seems obvious to me is what the, as a radius of trying to do, i think these are, it is trying to trigger lots of war, but that trying to trigger it slowly around the trying to lead to the wrong and leadership. no alternative to the response that is so substantial. i'm like the one they had and hate for. right. that in the end it's free. the so right of what and brings him above all the americans. so of course if immediately applied then send to use for across carrier strike group and to reinforce the forces in other ways as what i mean. the see, the perversity is because of freedom you off american policy of once again a very clearly it's not new. it's an old play. the get to hear from the bite and administration that buys and has talked really tough of it from that time, you all know and told him something. but at the same time, this administration never, it's so it's and you'll be

a leverage bridge. and this is the, the peak of this pro version would be incredibly easy because it's very this incredibly dependent on 0 lighted states, except of course, but in some way, the whole american establishment is now incredibly dependent on is where it is. and i knew the greatest in terms of worst case of some version of politics, sovereignty democracy, s 5 said to him, even make sense of the united states that i can't imagine. all this talk about the russian modeling with american elections is ridiculous. but how is that has matters mastiff leave was the american political process is of course is where it and unfortunately there seems to be no stopping it at this point. i hope it was stop one day. yes, very interested in a charge, you know, and then yahoo, who's probably the same really the most hated man in israel right now. as far into thousands turned into a disaster. um uh, it's up to a 100000 people about the back,

the way the northern part of israel, because of these uh, skirmishes with his blog. and he's picking up a fight with, uh, uh, the uh, the booth e once the united states to get involved with the iran. so here's the, here's the current role here with the record is pretty, it's a business except his ability to influence the american media and political class. it's really amazing. he's a very good one thing. he's got them. so israel into it in an enormously dangerous situation. george, that's it, right that so that's a very good summary of it is quite extraordinary that you know, within days israel can resolve this too high profile assassinations and the united states says, well we, we have nothing to do with it. you know, the israel never bother to consult us, however,

we don't actually approve and we don't disapprove of what israel that. okay, however, we all sending in our forces because the rom, my retaliate, and therefore we are under an obligation to defend israel willis doesn't really make any sense or use that, you know, saying that, well, is there a just went off, did this thing. and you can either approve no disapproval, what israel did, but you're putting american people on the hook to protect israel, who so who just got it, i think does these things without even consulting you before it doesn't. and then, you know, it gets you have to us, well, what kind of leadership is this? in the united states? we feel pretty easy for you, but take american people to the brink of rule for a, of a foreign state. and, and this is why it is just a very dangerous situation, because why exactly is the united states?

well, the barry floor where they run over the actions of this rep. i mean that's the, that's a and then, and then the by the ministration continues with this nonsense that we're very, very close to a piece of dream. it will vary with up. so they get a, were in the last, you know, but then you all, but in, in the middle would you, you saw reading well, what actually is this piece it or it's clear, there was no agreement on anything and really enjoy the looks of the, the, the the cease fire agreement to is a conversation among americans and some of its european allies, but has nothing to do with the israelis that he loved me. but i find that on the main screen is that one of the um, interesting phrases that i keep hearing. we have the of united states and backing israel has to escalate to de escalate. that is a very dangerous proposition. i mean, because escalation isn't the i am the beholder. okay. let me,

your kids determine what someone else will, how they will determine, you know, although this is the 2nd goal that we need to de escalate because he's escalating. this is like pop psychology, but of the worst card. yes, i mean, it's also an interesting thing that escalate to de escalate is something that americans awesome to describe to russian calling. see, they had to maintain that there is a russian policy of escalation to achieve de escalation. and when they do is that they of course criticize it to a very similar arguments that you have just advanced. it's of course nonsense because um to go back to the individual case here. it's cynthia disregards the fact that is very of them has a blank check to inside that relationship to vote around as much as they liked as fiercely as they're like. there's never any limit to these weights. so they iranian leadership is left sooner or later of, nor tentative, but either to complete the laws credibility or to strike back heart again,

not like and a half per, but serious. so, you know, he pulled up, we'll see it, we all know is it's right. so this whole idea is that you escalate to de escalate that is use sort of ops the end to to do to iran is 1st of all upset, but it is even more upset because it could only possibly make any sense at all if you control it is way, but the united states abstains from ever controlling is a way that is the quote of the problem here. it george, who is running this policy ahead of washington because we know it's a job. i mean, we know it's not camella harris. i mean, i think you probably saw her word salad. i'm going back to our previous issue of the present or exchange. so i called her a word solid care and that's how i describe her. but i mean, this is an opportunity again for nothing. yeah. who referred to,

to manipulate the may because where is the center of power when it comes to us policy in the middle east right now. exactly what we simply don't know. who's running the show, which itself is quite sure. okay. i mean we're, we're, we're familiar with all the, the media stories with the media which rejoice that by who got out of the res, because by this obviously completing a mentally incompetent. but then that same media engines, so no curiosity, it will. okay, so he's complete the mentally and confident those are where he is, who then he is running the foreign policy with the it is too dangerous, the confrontations that america is heavily involved in. and, and so i mean, the meantime you have the republicans who are attacking buying for selling is right about the trail of his rep. but what is dangerous a, it's a re alluded to that is a really, is now in a very, very difficult position. because if it does nothing,

um, then i will be interpreted not only as we close, but as a vindication. all of us is ready. policy. it. you say we, we, we face down iran with threat to the wrong. we wait, we told them you'd try anything and you're going to be dealing with the united states and the wrong back. the way that shows that muscular diplomacy works. if it goes, it does what he did in april that i gave you. it just becomes a kind of a global laughing stock or, you know, you're just doing this, we're going to the a, c i trickle nonsense. so iran really has no option all the them to. there's something serious and that, of course, is the dangers of the he and his america as far as the us, bob, as it may, it goes, goes on that with lloyd austin, said americas now home the hook to go to war on behalf of israel. yeah. and they may be, but again, the up 30 is we would eventually it's will defend israel as israel's conducting offensive operations. again, you know,

nobody likes to discuss that. any clue. we're almost out of time. i think what makes this moment uniquely dangerous. it is because you will have the access of resistance been planning, as with george and i have been told low numerous times. so like professor mirandi on this program, they've been planning this for a long time for met in yahoo. and here's where radical ripening government. this is all an opportunity, both sides now, excess of resistance. and then you know, who's got really bold look at this as solving all problems all at once. that's what's very dangerous about that. it's very big suspension now that you know, and i agree regarding these where it is. i see here that you're absolutely right there. but i've looked inquired what degree of rate you rom and it's its allies, right? because look, if they thought, for instance is paula thought that the, the, the biggest chunk out of it is the biggest single chunk as it pops somebody wrong.

is they saw it that this is an opportunity to clear everything up once and for it to solve this issue. i think the board already have attacked. and so if you look at his boilers behavior, most of all the speech, even off the floor to create most kids, right? if you look at a speech, they are still being kept for the actually, i don't mind kind of understand why, because is what it is trying to impose its timing on them. right. and that is not, it wouldn't take just to them. so i'm, i'm, i'm actually the v, it's a, it's not, we had actually effects it, but it's a lot of sense. the rational actors here, the restaurant act, us here is a ron and its allies, the completely insane active amount is this value. and behind that the rest, the george slash 30 seconds goes to be the most insane that they've got here on the say it is the united states because the united states is on the hook we're going to well not on its own behalf. and also to realize any american interest,

but on the be, on behalf of israel, a timing decided by israel, that really doesn't make any sense. what minutes on the yahoo is doing make sense. he wants to bring america. and he's been doing that for a long time. being a very fit in israel's be hop why america agrees to this, which is a very dangerous situation that that does remains the big mistake. so maybe that will be the topic of next week's program or a gentleman that's all the time we have one to think, my guess in budapest and assemble. and of course i want to thank our viewers for watching us here are the see you next time. remember, russell's, the, [000:00:00;00]

the, [000:00:00;00] the, we decided we will fool an incident government, an older world of this country will be carried out through the inside of government . funded. this is all me will take away the running of the country as the pm resigns on sleep in a military health department and says where like nation comes as thousands of protesters in don't cause storm the full, the latest color resignation. kansas protests rage across the country with police cracking down on bias is using gas on stone 4 days before the resulting in