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Understanding 9/11tv Utro Rossii RUSSIA1 October 16, 2023 9:30am-9:55am MSK
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[000:00:00;00] the un said that it was necessary to evacuate civilians from the gaza sector, they gave 24 hours for this, that is, in about 10 hours something will begin, a ground operation, hello, evgeniy, yes, they really gave 24 hours and on saturday morning this time should expire, but whether a ground operation will begin is a question, at least israeli intelligence... reported that it is trying to force the population of gaza city and the northern regions, which is approximately 1,200,000 people, to leave or go to the south of the palestinian enclave, since it will attack gaza city, where how israeli intelligence believes that special fortifications, tunnels, weapons depots and special closed protected headquarters of the hamas military leadership have been built underground
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, this is exactly what... the operation should begin, apparently tomorrow morning, it will require the use of a large number of heavy bombs, they will be dropped on the territory of the city in order to destroy operational tunnels. why be afraid of operational tunnels, because these are precisely the arteries through which militants can move to various districts of the gas city, when there will enter, and if the israeli military enters there and attacks them from various sides, therefore... this operation begins, how long will it last, it is likely that it could take several days, in any case, the fact that a large number of people have arrived here representatives of the european union, representatives of the american military-political establishment, suggests that the ground operation will probably not begin in the coming hours; as a rule, during the presence of such serious international delegations, the parties are trying
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refrain from delivering such powerful strikes , but tomorrow...... in the morning, we are waiting for tomorrow morning, we will probably learn about the intensification of bombing in the gaza strip , the population of which, by the way, was notified today by the israeli military, through sms, through leaflets, through other means reporting information in arabic and english, the question of whether the residents of gas will be able to leave to the south, where they will be able to settle there, what kind of camps that are safe for civilians can be built, remains open, whether... a corridor will be created, a humanitarian corridor, this is also still being discussed, that is, the clock is ticking, but there is no corridor yet, now egypt is trying to convene an urgent summit on palestinian gas refugees on egyptian territory, jordan has been invited there, representatives of other countries have been invited, because this arab country absolutely does not want to host alone and to provide for such a number of refugees, among whom there may be
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a significant number of former islamists and militants, egypt has a complex relationship with its islamists, so egypt is not going to take on this alone load, the situation has not yet been resolved, so of course, many, including those in the united nations, are concerned about the fate of the displaced refugees , although the israelis respond quite sharply and harshly, arguing that in a similar situation, when palestinian militants from the gaza strip killed 1,300 people and injured more than 3,000 israelis , it is simply impossible to talk about any issues related to the fact that it is necessary to refrain from destroying the hamas group in the gaza strip. right now there are reports that the israeli army responds with tank and artillery fire to shelling from lebanon. rocket sirens also sound in tel aviv and neighboring cities. today, we
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heard sergei. statement by the head of iran's foreign ministry that, in principle, tehran could become a participant and party to this conflict, is israel ready for a war on several fronts, are such scenarios predicted? judging by the words, yes, both the country's minister of defense yovland, and the commander of the general staff and the prime minister have repeatedly said that the army is ready to carry out any task, is ready to restrain enemy and adversary on any fronts, including if they open, for example, in the north , the shiite hezbal may join the fighting, which numbers several tens of thousands of militant fighters, has colossal arsenals of weapons more accurate than hamas in gas. i think that all these issues are now being considered by the israeli general staff, and there may be some delay in the start of the ground operation, and remember,
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experts from... security experts claimed that the operation would begin in the next 24 hours, the next 48 hours, now 4 days have passed since that moment, there is no operation yet, apparently there are a lot of introductory and alarming water events that could cost the lives of israeli soldiers, could aggravate the situation within the country itself, could lead to the inclusion of hezbollah in the north in action against israel , this is all meant, and i think now all these risks are being calculated before giving the go-ahead and the command to invade the gas sector. are there any clear results from the meeting between abas and blinken? but obvious, open ones. there are no results, insofar as the discussions were conducted over behind closed doors, as a result, mahmoud abas said that he called on, by the way, the palestinians of the west bank not to participate in today's actions that hamas spoke about,
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he called on the palestinians, he called on the arab countries to hold actions of solidarity with the islamists in the gaza strip today, so the president of the palestinian authority, mahmoud abbas, ordered the population and the security forces... not to allow this kind of demonstrations, so apparently there are some discussions going on, this statement by mahmoud abbas is somehow connected with those issues that he discussed with the head of the american state department, but it is obvious that on the agenda, firstly, there were issues of ground operations in the gaza strip, the palestinians are categorically against it, and the king of jordan, abdullah ii, opposed this, negotiations are taking place there, in jordan, in aman, secondly, speaking out... against this, mahmoud aabas, however, is not going to, is not trying to prevent the population of the west bank, which is still controlled by fatah, from getting involved in this confrontation, because mahmoud abbas, as you remember , with
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hamas has very serious, very difficult contradictions, hamas came to power in the gaza strip, exterminating politicians and leaders, namely the party of mahmoud abbas, fatah. thank you very much, sergey master. russian television journalism, chief of our middle east bureau, sergei pashkov live from israel. i ask you to. a very important problem arises that is very dangerous in my opinion. after all, look at what blinken said, that this is equivalent to 15 terrorist attacks on the territory of the united states of america. until this time , the americans were at the very least creaking, but palestinian autonomy and even hamas subya were recognized. what does it mean to declare someone a terrorist? this means putting him outside the law of society, outside the law of international relations. and here we come to one of
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the unfortunately important problems for what is happening. in the first half of the 20th century , extensive international humanitarian law and the law of customs of warfare arose. let me remind you that it was initiated by our emperor nicholas ii. the geneva and hague conventions also fixed the attitude towards civilians, for example, the taking of hostages prohibited by the hague convention of 1907, and the rule for the treatment of prisoners of war and the role of the international red cross were all recorded. now, what happens is that with the declaration of a certain group of people as terrorists, the norms cease to apply. international humanitarian law, firstly, no one formally declares war on anyone, that is, the right to wage war does not apply, the second point is that a whole category of people arises who are declared terrorists with whom you can, in principle
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, do anything, because remember the situation in afghanistan, 2001, the americans said so, but the libs, firstly, this is not a government, no one recognized it, and secondly, these are terrorists, not warriors. but there are no captured terrorists, terrorists are destroyed, they are not subject to the customary law of treatment of prisoners of war, so a precedent arises when, in fact, an entire city and an entire subject is declared outlaw, what next? while the gas sector, by the way, this demand to leave the city, resembles preparations for the use, and firstly... carpet bombing, and secondly, we won’t forget the most dangerous scenario, that israel does not have nuclear weapons, but it will use them, as a well-known formula , if necessary, for now we are probably not talking about this , but potentially this should be kept in mind in
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such a situation, so declaring people outside the norm international humanitarian law, this creates a whole precedent in international relations. and here another one arises. the problem is, where will people from the gas sector really go? if they go to egypt, then the radical muslim population there sharply increases the population, and egypt, let me remind you, until the thirteenth year, when the military regime was established, was literally in a fever with problems with its brothers, the muslims. now, in fact, the placement of camps for the residents of the gas sector will lead, can lead to the destabilization of the sinai peninsula, egypt already had problems with the sinai peninsula, from it, israel conquered it, firstly, israel conquered it, and secondly, at the beginning of the current xxi century, by the way, radical islamists were very strong there, and even
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several large police operations to suppress these in sinai, a plane with our tourists shot down a terrorist from there, and then egypt had to use forces, although not the army, internal, internal police, to suppress them, and now it can be revived and intensify, and a threat to the military regime itself will arise in egypt, and for the americans, egypt and the british are a vanity channel, here they will... already, as they say , restore the loyal regime in egypt at literally any cost, that is, a sharp expansion of geography can really happen conflict. dmitry gobevich, well , it should be noted that the situation is quite serious, as expected, it will unfold in a very serious direction, now i will tell you what it will cost all of us, literally in numbers. the softest scenarios that are currently being calculated, there are only three of them, which involve specific calculations according to the cost, starting with inflation and ending with oil,
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the softest scenario, the so-called limited conflict or a limited war, it presupposes, respectively, participation in a military conflict, that is, after the start of the direct entry into the gas sector of all, respectively , only internal entities, that is , representatives of palestine, this is strictly speaking only the gas sector, it presupposes an immediate increase in oil prices by $4 , accordingly, a decrease in global gdp by 1.0.1% is 100 billion dollars, only this is all calculated for short-term transactions, and, accordingly, an increase in inflation by + 0.1%. i remind you that we have been here for the last six months we are trying to bring down inflation around the world by half a percent. here is the second scenario - proxy war. the proxy war involves four fronts of military action, in fact, which listed respectively the gas sector, respectively the west bank of the jordan river, respectively lebanon and, respectively, syria. however, the influence is limited. accordingly, this immediately leads to an increase in prices to plus 8 dollars, but
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i remind you that 8 dollars, now oil is 89, for example, here we have, well, 88, 89, it has already arrived there, by the way, gas is now accordingly, now 600, right now they are storming the european union , so the question is how much does all this cost, that is, but this is immediately a minus and it turns out 0.3% kv 300, and accordingly, billions, here and, accordingly, plus 0.2 to inflation. this is the global inflation rate in the world, this is in the world, that is, for some, inflation is 1%, for others, this, for others, well, for some, china, china , respectively, for example, has a gdp of 5%, someone will have a negative reaction, that is, the problem lies elsewhere, which, accordingly, the second scenario already begins the stakflation scenario, that is, crap, roughly speaking from an economic point of view, the last moderate scenario assumes a direct conflict or an open military conflict, it assumes that there will be five fronts, who will fight with whom, here is the fifth front in addition to the four ops, this is iran
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, iran enters into hostilities, in this case, the price of oil immediately goes up by 64 dollars, that’s 150, if someone doesn’t know, because iran is under attack, accordingly, about 700,000 barrels per day, an additional component in the moment, this and despite the fact that, as it were, this is not the most severe scenario , accordingly, the war will immediately take 1% of gdp from the world, this is a trillion dollars, a trillion dollars - this is , accordingly, a trillion military budgets dollars, accordingly, this is more than the us military budget at the moment and more than it will be next year, even if it will be in those volumes next year, which is why , accordingly, it will immediately be written off at the moment, respectively, inflation at the moment accordingly, plus 1.2, not zero, zero, we 1.2 - this is 2 years reduced 1.2, these are the base prices, that is, there i remind you that the base price for respectively fres is considered two, 12 is half of this price , that is, we will never see all the low prices and inflation, judging by these are still moderate all the scenarios, which involve
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, respectively, only five fronts, the most severe scenario is a long conflict involving the corresponding with the introduction of restrictions from, respectively, other countries, for example, respectively, that the same as me i remind you that there we have the united arab emirates, uae, respectively, for example, there is algeria in this segment, for example, the same thing, we have serious oil-producing countries, i remind you, the worst scenario was difficult for the economy, this is the seventies years, in our country where did it begin, correctly, with the war, it began with economic restrictions that were introduced qatar is already announcing that it is going to limit, by the way, and qatar does not seem to be supplying very much to europe yet, i i remind you already for the 14th eighth time, that’s where 70% will go... a terrible tragedy, but now you’re talking about the economy, if oil prices go up, why don’t we, well, in 2008 oil went up to 140, there are certain levels from which the economy cannot can consume that oil, their economy accordingly does not agree in principle, that is, they can physically pay for it, that is, as a result, you have an economic blow, that is, a shock
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blow, we will sell for 130, no one will buy for 130 , as a result, it’s good for 120, no one will buy for 120, in as a result, you experience a sharp drop. well, cars will stop working in america, or what? but no, it will lead to a recession, a recession, a recession, not even a stahflation , that is, everything will go down at the moment, that is, no chinese with five, no india with six, but with high prices for russia, because they mainly consume iranian oil, in fact, china is the main consumer of iranian oil, so india is a key consumer, well, not as key as some, but an important consumer of irn oil, the same applies to qatar with its gas, by the way, everyone on the market after 2026 is familiar with qatar, not counting the world in the usa, well, there ’s a problem there now, it’s all cherry in the cake, i remind you, is being made against the backdrop of the fact that the republicans have not yet agreed on a speaker , they chose him yesterday, today they refused, they are starting to choose him in the third round, there is an option between, respectively, a person who survived cancer, in this case,
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respectively jordan on the other hand accordingly, no one, and i remind you that they will not choose this today, on monday our month begins until november 17th. practically, that is, a month to adopt eight budgets, eight bills, respectively, the most complex in the history of the existence of a budget in general, and no one has even begun to adopt them yet, that’s all you mean, i mean, economic the consequences of what is happening now are much more serious than we can imagine, if it goes according to the basic, and even the average scenario, secularly with entry, entry will already obviously be, accordingly, this could lead to a very serious economic shock and a collision with the economy , which naturally is already very bad , not very good, well, i would like to note that in fact this still has serious internal political problems, why are we now worsening we understand everything perfectly well, accordingly, friday prayers are like that , so from this point of view , now we should note that now, in theory, the action in los angeles in new york will be known, this is what is happening now will be in the near future, and accordingly, like a weekend event, pogroms in sweden , right now they are already turning over and
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burning police cars there, we will show everything after the advertisement, they will come up with it, russian myologists continue. russians know how to survive, they will fight something with the raging in africa enbovoi. no, we need discipline, if i don't, we will lose this battle. my russian colleagues and i are doing everything possible and even more. their colleagues in moscow, without sparing themselves, are creating a new vaccine. i will worry and call. please, corpse, yes, the creation of a vaccine is a step, well, there are limits, in the end, i alone will be responsible for everything, but the real difficulties are still ahead, we are very much in the way of someone, nikolai ivanovich, that means the stakes are high, it looks like they told us war, but we will win it,
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fever, continuation, look at ptp today. many of you, when you wake up, check your email first thing, and i, of course, am no exception . gods, i opened the champagne, you want to get a sea of positive emotions, tours to abkhazia, i spent a week relaxing in yum.
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nikolay baskov. put it in order, you now have a serious competitor, you need to remove it, set it up, they will immediately think of us, no, well, not with your own hands, i’m ready to start work right today, i understand the logistics of supplies in the organization of work. some wise guy, be careful with him, i want us to be together, a real man should be manifested in actions, i don’t understand, this can’t be, that’s how i am... if you want to prosper, get rid of the weeds, this that you arranged everything,
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but all the facts are against you, i can’t see you i can, roses and thorns, premiere, on saturday on rtr, we gathered about ten people in the first group, there were short calls, in donets, are you with us? yes, when my fighters came running, they carried me, another shelling began, they laid me down, lay on top of me, one bullet is still in me, let’s say this is my trophy, we had a famine, but here grandma comes, she is hungry, but she brings this food to the shelter and says, baby, feed the dogs, lend a helping hand, olga and i decided that we need to take the guys to to yourself.
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i came across such people who care, to support me in word, hello, dear soldier and in deed, without your help you would not have survived, only ours can, honor and praise to you, what you do is simply amazing, from monday to thursday, on rtr, i just want to be happy. execution time 3 days, warranty period 3 years. what's your name? didn't i hear? nastya, tell me who he is, that he is a very interesting person, and he can support a conversation about art and is talented. when everything is too good for a couple, you are the most amazing girl in the world. a third appears. are you okay? i think about him constantly. who are you anyway? i am a friend. and i’m the groom, or maybe it’s that i was mistaken, heaven decides
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everything, heaven decides everything, on friday on rtr, pentagon chief osin, before flying to israel, admitted that the united states saw no signs of the movement preparing for an attack, already in tel aviv austin said american support for israel is not falling apart. tel aviv and kiev. i personally came here as us secretary of defense to make clear the following: american support
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israel is indestructible. now is not the time. the united states will do everything in its power to ensure that israel has everything it needs to defend itself. israel to protect its people. revealed the legal and economic aspects, probably my share remains international and as president putin said, it is correct that the us has long had a one-sided policy, it is embodied at the moment in the words of the head of the pentagon, when he said that no matter how much help is needed, we will give it, i want to note this figure: since january of this year alone, the united states has allocated more than 3 billion in aid israel, and here a situation arises that when i make such statements, they increasingly scale the situation. we are climbing higher and higher on the ladder of escalation, they are now actively putting pressure on turkey, recently from the european union
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, i honestly don’t remember who, they said that turkey must choose either it is with the western world and a friendly world for itself, or it is with hamas, and pay attention, from russia, that is, they are now trying to shift the blame for this conflict onto us. turkey will certainly not have a choice to do this, it now he’s also waiting, why? because turkey is concerned about what the americans are doing in syria, because they recently shot down a turkish drone. they support as much as possible the turkish, i beg your pardon, kurdish groups, which the turks see as an existential threat to themselves. accordingly, this is one part, on the other hand, the visit of the foreign minister to various countries, first to baghdad, from there to beirut, then to damascus he will fly, and he stated that the opening of a new front remains active, because iran is also waiting, iran really doesn’t need this conflict now either, but if it starts, and if this global one continues... that on the one hand the western countries are israel, on the other hand everyone else and everyone else is
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