tv [untitled] April 30, 2022 6:00am-6:31am MSK
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just how europeans have retained competence in the production of complex weapons systems. well , it is clear that from generation to generation the technical complexity of these systems of the main weapon systems increases and this is the case when it is necessary, or collectively, to get down to business. yes, that is, joint programs, joint projects, are either built into the american system, and scientific and industrial cooperation in the military-industrial complex and participate in it on the rights to contractors, possibly key, but nonetheless contractors. and so, in general, in fact in fact, if we look at the unification in europe , well, there are at most 3 4 such multi-profile defense corporations and well , comparability, in any case, in terms of their financial and technical power, with the american leaders. therefore, it will most likely be either a collective work of europeans, but, most likely, we should expect their connection to
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american programs. thank you. maxim shapovalenko was with us, the classical war is accompanied by an economic one, and in it the front seems to be shifting towards the energy side. in the european union the moment the decision is made to pay for russian gas in rubles, somehow moscow is demanding either to refuse to pay for gas as well. there is no unity, some countries are leaning towards the conditions of gazprom, since for a couple of years they see no alternative for themselves; others have gone on the principle of never poland and bulgaria have already declared that they do not receive russian raw materials. today, russia supplies europe with gas by about 40%, and germany is supplied with 55% of russian gas to europe through four pipelines. the main one is the nord stream. one on it last year was pumped 59 billion cubic meters of gas through ukrainian transit
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more than 40 billion cubic meters there is still the yamal pipeline europe built in 1999 bypassing ukraine and finally the turkish stream, in addition to germany from russian gas in europe, finland austria latvia moldova czech republic serbia and other republics of the former yugoslavia due to for the refusal of poland and bulgaria to pay for gas in rubles on april 27, gazprom suspended the supply of fuel to these countries in other directions. the transit continues, while the european union and the united states have excluded restrictions on russian deliveries. resources, in addition to pipeline gas in the waters of the northern sea route, russia has tankers for deliveries, they are capable of transporting liquefied gas from russian gas fields to the west all year round without icebreaking assistance. true, the share of russian liquefied gas does not exceed 4% of all deliveries of st. petersburg
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to europe. relations with specific countries are an interesting question, but more importantly, another time is ending when relations in the european gas sector were measured, an orderly system operated first of the seventies and strengthened the stability of the economic and geopolitical crumble. she did not start right now, but it looks like the final stage has come, let's talk with our good friend marcel salikhov marcel how qualitatively the changes are taking place in the gas market. on the one hand , russia's demand to pay in rubles, on the other hand, its refusal to do so we are entering a new legal reality, when long-term contracts are becoming a thing of the past, a scheme that includes settlements through gazprombank is such a compromise and working. that is, it is generally suitable for european energy companies. and the analysis that was conducted by a special european commission
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and special explanations were published, which are that this scheme does not violate the imposed sanctions, but, in fact, the european commission gives nakhodka to the national government to decide. and what do you do to agree or disagree? and now the situation already shows that there are different positions within the eu. there are some strange ones. well, first of all, for such political motives. yes and here is the speech there in the first place, ah, does not agree to such events. and well, a question. to what extent it violates or there does not violate long-term contracts, it is so, uh, in a sense, inconsistent. that's because you don't know publicly what is written in these long-term
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contracts. yes, that is, this is an important aspect legal, like what conditions, and what is force majeure, what is force majeure, and so on publicly we do not know. yes, we can only judge the position of gazprom immediately we turn off and suspend deliveries. here it may be, just contributes to the fact that other long-term contracts will suffer, and to some extent, and in this strategy, gazprom, but there is a rational grain. yes, that is, now you want to show gazprom that if other countries, other companies do not agree to these conditions, then, accordingly, this will be immediately followed by a reaction in the form of a suspension of supplies. well, this is some kind of bet. yes, that's what we are ready to stop deliveries in order to somehow influence the rest of the participants, too, but this can lead to the fact that uh,
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well, as if to a backlash and, accordingly, this whole system of contracts, when people start to refuse, and this system it supports, including the export of gazprom and it will begin to m-m slowly collapse. or maybe this whole scheme will turn into something, well, completely archaic, for example, russia sells gas by barter to those who supply it with something else strategically important in return, after all. now there are already a huge number of sanctions that have been adopted at the level european union which directly prohibits the supply of certain goods there. yes, including equipment or let's say equipment for st. petersburg that is, even if some european company or even a separate country, a is ready to deliver, it will not be able to, because there is a ban at the eu level, therefore, such barter schemes are quite difficult to implement, and inside the euro. ah, but i think the following will happen.
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why such disunity, some different positions of european countries. ah, someone, when he agrees someone will not agree with the russian scheme, but inside there is a single market. yes, therefore, uh, in fact, those companies that have agreed to these conditions, they may well increase purchases of russian gas and, accordingly , resell it to those companies that have not agreed to these conditions. naturally, a lot of questions arise there, but about the infrastructure there. this here is a physical or virtual implementation. yes, that is, it will be necessary to transfer gas somewhere additionally. here, ah so here in advance to say how difficult it will be. it’s complicated, but nevertheless, similar things, they will happen, that is, part of these lost volumes will be compensated through uh, other buyers, but on the whole at the level
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uh, it seems to me, well, gazprom has an understanding that it’s all the same european market. it will decrease in the long term. that is, it is history. maybe there is support this year next year, but the steadily structural european market will decline. and how long will the eu need to completely abandon russian gas year 3.5? i think that we are talking about the horizon there from 5 years to 5-10 years. i would say that this is, in fact, a kind of cycle, the investment construction of new lng is called yes, if now european companies, but will conclude long-term contracts, but american companies that, in principle, have resources, that is, but in the united states you can increase gas production, they have the resource base for this, but it is necessary to build new plants, and later burning
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gas, respectively, in principle, they have, uh, there are quite a few companies that go around with the projects of these plants, they are being considered. that is, all this must be approved by the u.s. energy regulator ferk. but nevertheless, there are quite a large number of projects there in varying degrees of consideration. therefore, if they are provided with long-term demand from the countries of europe and some kind of funding, let's say yes, including from european institutions there, what about building a new plant there on the coast of the gulf of mexico. and yes there well, it takes there 3 years, plus there, well, 2 years, she's there funding and so on. it is possible and it is. well, yes, enough can happen. well , it turns out in the future, the existing infrastructure is no longer needed. it's been building for decades and there has already been a destruction of value. yes, that is, the nord stream, er, two, is essentially frozen. yes, and in the
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foreseeable future, but not really, of course. and when it can start working and, well, even the ukrainian infrastructure, which, in principle, is redundant, yes, that is, relatively, even the current e volumes that have been in recent years. well, that is, ukraine went through transit uh, within uh. well, yes, now it is actually 40, but the infrastructure. well, it is understandable, outdated, and so on, but nominally it is designed there for 150 of this one. well, such a certain degradation. it has already been carried out over the past decades, and to some extent this will probably also happen with the infrastructure. belarusian and lesser europe yes, because actually now europe is also being used, well, by 10%. 15% of your power, so first. naturally , if demand falls, gazprom will abandon the
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transit infrastructure. and the main channels will remain nord stream one because there is no transit. yes, this is actually the gazprom gas pipeline. but for e southern europe through turkey, the turkish blue stream and so on, what traditions they are primarily in. thank you. it was marcel salikhov and another economic dimension of the crisis after advertising transport and logistics do not leave. vtb team from the first stitch to sewing shop from a tiny sprout to a flowering garden, business changes over the years, and the world sometimes in a matter of days, but when you have a reliable bank with you, you can always rely on it. it’s for sure that we have put together a set of special offers to
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support and develop your business depositing cash for just one ruble a current account and a business card attractive deposit rates and other offers put on vtb.ru point vtb helps a large technological bank with a 30% discount m.video it's important to stay face to face with a person in three minutes in two clicks on one call to justify your trust to support you, really, issuing loans every day, sovcombank is closer to people. glory to ukraine jewish nationalists brought down the russian world, and we will put you down. they threw grenades, the smoke was so through
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it it was impossible to breathe, no one was alive. despite the hostilities in ukraine, gas flows through the pipeline to europe regularly through its territory. paradox, but on that hybrid conflict, but the transportation industry suffered considerably from the military-political crisis, more precisely, from its economic component, but it is not separable. from the rest, our regular author alexander popova talks about the problems that have arisen in poland. red points, these red points are our
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trucks, which are already in russia at the moment, but these are still standing at the border crossing in estonia and waiting to enter 5-6 days, well, the latvian border has already accumulated about 1,000 trucks. working in transport has never looked like a chore, but today, in terms of complexity, it is almost nuclear physics in just a few days the world of polish carriers turned upside down. we have problems after problems and time is critical time is money, but we can't predict anything is to blame. big politics immediately after the start of the special operation in ukraine, the polish borders with belarus were blocked by ukrainians and about ukrainian activists, which forced the suspension of freight traffic from the east to europe, attacks began on drivers. they seem to be gathering. these are the guys, let's say inadequate, they are going companies such and yes, this is for one for two people. this is absolutely not human
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conflicts. mostly in parking lots. well, between the drivers of russia and belarus and the ukrainians, paralysis, the supply did not make warsaw wait long for an answer, belarus quickly imposed sanctions against polish carriers. we are transporters. all important. we transport workers from the very beginning were critical of the protests, the polish government should not allow the protests of ukrainians on polish land, this is not their home. we do not transport military cargo. we carry products that normal people need, that is, food or medicine artur kameisky manages the artek transport company, which has been operating in the transport services market for 30 years. during this time, it was possible to establish permanent cooperation in the eastern direction. mostly with russia, to this day, a poster with the company's trucks hangs in the office against the background of st. basil's cathedral. now, in order to get to russia , you need to. work hard previously, they just passed through belarus; today, polish trucks can stop by
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to the country no more than 50 km. and only when they bring the essentials. if they want to go further east, they have to reload the goods to other trucks in belarus; now just planning the logistics is not enough, you need to clearly predict. how much gasoline to fill in the car? because when there is too much of it, the car at the border is overloaded, when the driver who is standing in line has little. sometimes for several days there can also be troubles for the driver from time to time you need to start the car to warm up or on the contrary, go away perishable barbarian, and this increases wear. in addition, prices are rising in order for the transportation to be profitable and the transport company must charge more money for towing the cargo of each film, any company that wants to survive is forced to raise prices even by a few tens of percent, because otherwise the business simply will not pay off if we do not, we will go bankrupt losses. sky-high because, in addition to breaking long-term contracts, people made
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massive prepayments for goods and now they can’t to bring it, in addition, the blocking of accounts means that even if the goods were delivered and the money for ice cream was sold, they could not be withdrawn. all industries that traded in belarus and russia are paralyzed before the transport of another. existence will immediately raise questions. will we have bread in bakeries or will we be able to work in a hospital, customs authorities and polish transport companies have already sent requests for compensation to the voivode and the ministry in order to mitigate the financial consequences of the sanctions while their appeals remain unanswered alexandra popov specially for international review. how will russia cope with the persistent efforts to block trade relations with it by land and sea our interlocutor alexei bezborodov, head of the infranews agency alexei what are the main problems
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of the military-political crisis for transportation ? continue to work, but on a smaller scale. uh, two the largest lines of mayevsky, 7cg, have practically curtailed their activities, they are only exported to containers. a little bit of export makes the italian swiss neterem shipping company continue to work also in smaller volumes with non- sanctioned cargo and trying not to change certain european ports, so as not to substitute containers. this is what closed our main export import hub in st. petersburg, through which, in fact , all the work for the western part of the russian federation went. this is the first moment the second moment overland transport, which is essentially the western borders of the russian federation, is blocked, with great stress, even for non-sanctioned cargo. uh, it essentially cut off in total with
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st. petersburg. we have somewhere on the order of 12 and 13 million tons per annum and trade all this expensive necessary payloads from consumer goods to various components for all types of production. here are spare parts for fine chemistry, uh, microelectronics, and so on and so forth. that is, a significant number of industries today is busy looking for new suppliers and new supply channels for e, in fact, to continue production in order to save jobs, our similar and export suppliers are in the same situation, both with paper and with chemicals and fertilizers and so on. actually, this is the main problem of cutting down, in fact, there is 20% of gdp from the point of view. guidance from supply chains, is it possible to say that the western direction is closed for an indefinite period in terms of logistics ? look for alternative logistics with europe and an alternative contract system with europe
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create e.g. offshore centers in north africa in turkey in israel trade through them depersonalize exports depersonalize imports in order to import it without sanctions and at the same time not expose our foreign partners to these sanctions, and uh, in principle, these channels are, they are being formed today. uh, no matter how no one tells the details, but i see that many have already resumed transportation, at least through novorossiysk, through st. petersburg, the process is more long. i think in the middle of summer long transportation to st. petersburg will begin without calling european ports. uh, this will be the solution. the problem here is how people will build a contract. precisely from the point of view of avoiding sanctions attention, because, of course, as we understand control from the side of the european commission from the outside. uh, state department, he is very active behind all the execution of sanctions. they are tracked, watching all movements and so on, so the question is how our colleagues will disguise themselves. i
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hope they can disguise themselves. this is in general not such a complicated process. in the nineties, dozens were deceived. moreover, in many countries our comrades have not lost their experience, so to speak. everyone will remember the bans on the entry of our ships from the western port. this applies only to the flag or essence, that is, it applies to everything that is connected with us among the americans. this control is due to the ships built in russia and the flags of the europeans. only for the flag, but in essence. eh, this should not bother us much today, the russian fleet. uh, let's just say it's not in the top ten uh, under the russian flag, we are not so to speak, we provide our own flag somewhere in order. five to six percent of cargo turnover e sea, e foreign economic activity, therefore, in terms of knocking out this situation. of course, it is not critical, although there the conditional sovcomflot does not fly under the russian flag, but at the same time. yes, of course
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, he is not understood as a russian company and constantly, but they try to put him in such a way, uh, to put obstacles for him to work. although it still carries non-sanctioned cargo, which, for the time being, it is possible to carry on contacts. and as a matter of fact, the problem in the flag is solved quite simply by having several alternative flags. there are several alternative shipownership schemes for registration in other jurisdictions. oh, unfortunately, it is no longer possible to transfer the current russian flag to other jurisdictions . this will be monitored, but to take new flirting new ships from under other flags , transfer them to friendly jurisdictions and use them, and does not seem to be some great difficulty. yes, there are kazakh international register is possible. because the international register of vietnamese cambodian is all convenient and good flags, which are ah. well , in a good way, they don’t represent any problem for world shipping and are calmly perceived everywhere, so we need to work. it is lawyers
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and businessmen who have to solve the problem; in principle, they are already solving it one way or another. i know that large corporations and for themselves for their supply corporations. mega-level russia has already solved this situation. they don't talk about it and they won't. to tell, and i won’t say the name, but no matter how many courts. many companies have already chartered for themselves, hung some conditional flags, and everything is fine, as if they are quietly adjusted. compared to 2020, last year the volume of russian exports doubled and amounted to almost $ 500 billion in china, the netherlands, germany and turkey, russia exported mainly minerals , oil and oil products, gas, iron ore, except for fuel and energy goods. russia supplies these countries with metals and products from them, as well as chemical products and fertilizer until recently, the eu china. and turkey
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annually increased the purchase of russian food products, dairy products, sunflower oil, wheat and corn among these importers, egypt, who bought grain into cereals , seeds and medicinal plants. and brazil kazakhstan and finland purchased russian fertilizers, as well as the ammonia and carbon they need, another major importer great britain, which actively purchased russian precious metals in gold is an important article of our export radioactive chemical elements isotopes from russia, a third of all enriched uranium enters the world market, while the united states is the main buyer of this valuable metal, and almost everyone will be equipped with parts from our titanium, as for russian imports, last year compared to the previous year it increased by a quarter and amounted to almost 300 billion dollars russia
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buys abroad. the main machines are high-tech equipment. vehicle pharmaceuticals and textiles most of china comes from where a quarter of all imported goods to russia come from, while 6% of all imports come from the united states, where we buy form-cyclic products, engines, as well as measuring instruments, and among european countries of importers until recently, germany, italy and poland stood out. affairs in the asian direction, do we have a suitable infrastructure there and will blocking attempts be expected? we see and read that the americans are diligently watching china. i would, of course, in this situation. naturally, i tried to work not with china, but with neighboring countries , quite friendly vietnam, with other countries. well, the point here is not the problem, even china and china today have driven themselves into a
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logistics trap with a bunch of lockdowns. er, with port issues and domestic demand, and as a result, we're actually talking today about being the best partner. strange as it may seem, this is a function. yes, that is, through turkey and turkish industry, turkish merchants and merchants work multiple times benevolent, times better than the chinese counterparts, and with the iranians and the indians, the situation needs to be improved. this is a long process. you understand perfectly well that, and colleagues are not the easiest negotiators in any field. of course, there is a similar situation in commerce, but i think that from iran to india there is an additional one with the same azerbaijan. yes, the situation is generally shaking and people are quite sympathetic to expanding their trading opportunities. yes, through the russian federation, they are really positive about this, because money comes first and there is no conditional washington yes, they will not
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interfere here, especially small and medium-sized entrepreneurs, yes, which will not reach anyone's hands, everyone works. everyone is trying very actively, the infrastructure in the east leaves much to be desired, in principle, the failure, and i and the far east everywhere there is a need for new and border crossings in new capacities in new cranes. e, basically everything. yes, that is, today we need to increase the capacity of our border. with china , here are the gateways, as it were, of all transition programs. well at least twice it is fast, of course, not done. it's all plan. little by little for the next five years. yesterday, the bridge was opened. but in principle, there is nothing special from our side under the bridge . yes, on the chinese side, a lot of things are also unfinished, and there it is necessary to build a normal coal reception terminal for the delivery terminal, and so on. that is, there is actually a lot of work, but it is all objective. it is understandable, that is, to break through a few more border crossings. uh, there
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for the automobile bridge to work, blagoveshchensky and so on and so forth. in principle, all this will work, there is a resource there that has leaked in the primorsky territory, and in general, an inexhaustible resource today in the seaside ports. uh, vladivostok is growing with the terrible power of the east is growing. uh, they have sites one way or another. they have investments, they are trying to expand them, sort of like investors. uh, everyone works what i hear what colleagues contact me for advice on eczema projects, and so on, the process is going on, yes, that is, in fact, some small average comes in every day technique, i.e. power. one way or another nominally continue to grow. and i think that by the end of the year there, well, at least 30-40% of the capacity of the far eastern ports will increase. thanks to the second half of the last cold war, opponents were doing useful things. they equipped the most acute military-ideological confrontation with fuses, drew a framework for confrontation, beyond which it should not go, one
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tool turned out to be nuclear treaties on salt, strategic offensive arms and other abbreviations, the second is mutual energy dependence in europe is commercially profitable and strategically reliable, it is natural that both fuses blow simultaneously in parallel appeared together by the end of the sixties and leave in the early twenties with a new confrontation. they can't cope. it will take truly bright and uninhibited minds to come up with a replacement and with their search. it's worth hurrying, this was an international review, goodbye. loans for those who are looking for simple and affordable banking products, why the complexity does not have to go to the office. checkout online debit card. the main thing with a high
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