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tv   Tipichnaya Ukraina  RUSSIA24  September 28, 2022 2:33pm-3:01pm MSK

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the profits of american suppliers of liquefied gas, which have increased their supplies to the european continent by several times, and are not very, very interested in further receipt. here are these super super profits, whether we are not interested in this. we have decided on their gas supply routes to europe, whether europe is interested in this or, in particular, the locomotive of the european economy, germany. no, they are also now in a very, very difficult situation. uh, the situation is not only that they pay a very serious price for their short-sighted decisions and the eu countries continue to pumping gas into their underground storage facilities. now the level of reserves already exceeds the stated goal of 80% however, this will still not be enough to get through the winter. moreover, the temperature in most of europe has settled in the region of minimum seasonal values, according to bloomberg forecasts, economic damage. from the gas problems of the european union can overshadow the consequences of the financial crisis in 2009 recession can not be avoided gdp will fall
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at least a percentage. and if the coming months turn out to be especially cold at once by 5%. the government of european countries requires the support of brussels in particular. in slovakia, they said that in the absence of such assistance, rising electricity prices could kill the country's economy. russian gas, which we supplied to europe, primarily germany, was the basis for the economic growth of the continent. well, i repeat for germany in the first place, that is, it is a cheap energy source. and this is a cheap raw material for industry, including the chemical industry, we should not forget about it. that is, because gas is not only fuel is a source of energy, and now and we are already seeing that european manufacturers , including german ones, are starting. first of all, of course, they are already reducing production volumes in quite a few and completely different industries. at
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the same time, gas prices in europe continue to grow after the nord stream accident, the cost of fuel on trading floors exceeded $2,000 per 1,000 cubic meters. experts see no reason to reduce it. in the foreseeable future, since the restoration of gas supply along the bottom of the baltic sea, the task is technically very difficult. the nord stream pipeline, judging by recent events, will not function for some tangible time and the market should revise prices, taking into account current events, it is likely that pressure on natural gas prices in europe will intensify, we have been observing this situation for some time now. the market understands that hostilities in ukraine will not end tomorrow during this year until the shutdown of nord stream in june. in fact, a fairly large amount of russian gas was supplied, that is, for six months russian supplies could be used to fill storage in 2023 we need to do the same , but without russian volumes and this is what causes the most concern. at the same time, the
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eu is still considering the idea of ​​introducing a ceiling on imported gas prices. this week, russians included a group of 13 eu countries with such a request to brussels, including italy spain poland greece. interruption of supplies dmitry thanks dmitry morocco spoke about the situation on the gas market and here is another piece of news in continuation of this topic, the russian embassy in denmark called the damage to the gas pipeline to nord stream a diversion against the energy security of russia and europe and demanded an objective and unbiased investigation. this is the comment we were given in our depression that the danish maritime transport agency issued a navigational warning and established a safety zone with a radius of five sea miles, to ensure that they do not enter the area near the leaks, an
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exclusion zone with a radius of 1 km for aviation has also been created. in addition, the medallion informed us that, according to his information, the incidents are the result of deliberate actions, since two seismic events were recorded in the area, which the experts interpret as explosions. be the first buyer of new clothes in stores on avito such a low rate has never been a loan in alpha bank from 4.5% apply online and get money today alpha bank the best mobile bank. tele2 presents a doubling of gigabytes every 3 months in the tariff included for new subscribers and those who have been with us for a long time connect to tele2 and
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and many other cars can only be seen on avito, look for ads marked only on avito, i don’t kiss after the first season, firstly, i didn’t see anything. and secondly, i have more interesting things to do here. in the state duma today is the government hour economic development maxim reshetnikov tells the deputy about measures to develop the russian economy in the face of external sanctions pressure. we will learn all the details from
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yulia makarova yulia i welcome the sanctions for how long and how will the russian economy resist them? hello well, according to maxim reshetnikov , sanctions are long-term. that is why the programs and mechanisms that the government has developed since the spring. it was an anti-crisis program. now some, and the points of this program will turn into gradually into a medium-term adaptation program. well, here is how i assessed the dynamics of the development of the russian economy e. maxim reshetnikov the bottom point of the economic downturn will be passed in the fourth quarter of this year. at the end of 22, gdp will decline by 2.9%, investments after a moderate decline, in the second half of the year they will show a decrease of two percent, inflation will slow down after a peak of 17.8% in april and 13.9% today. uh, year-end estimate of 12.4% accents
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continue. uh, the same as before, this is the development of our own production - this is support purchasing power, including the population and the development of other new industries to replace the departed. well, in addition, the minister said that the moratorium on business inspections has shown itself very well and that is why this mechanism will be further developed. that's what he said. another measure that was highly appreciated by business is the moratorium on inspections from march to september, there were almost 3.5 times fewer inspections than in the same period last year for the first time preventive visits. it turned out to be more than checks. we will further reduce excessive control already due to the development of a risk-based approach, when the frequency of control directly depends on the degree of risk of the object, well, i must say that hmm,
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not everyone agreed with the figures provided by maxim reshetnikov, in particular, the auditor-accounts chamber, but considered them too optimistic, but with on the other hand, the parliamentarian, on the contrary, very e, positively assessed the speech. a-a we must thank maxim gennadievich for anticipating this speech. he met with all factions. and today we discussed this question with the leaders of the faction. everyone appreciated very highly this dialogue, the conversation was open. it is clear that the topic is very different, but there is a desire to resolve the issue that the deputies raise to discuss problems and, of course, we need to move on. here on this other, higher quality and responsible level of interaction with the key ministry of the government of the russian federation. well, i will add, according
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to the ministry of economic development , the economy will overcome the recession in 24. after that, economic growth will begin daria yuliya thank you yulia makarova spoke about today's economic agenda in the state duma, but we are now returning to the topic of the state of emergency on the nord stream lines, how this will affect the energy supply of europe which industrial sectors can suffer the most about all this now we will ask the expert with us in direct communication deputy director aleksey grivach aleksey igorevich hello good afternoon aleksey igorevich i would like to discuss economic aspects with you first of all. how are you do you think from an economic point of view, who can benefit from such a diversion? first of all , those who supply gas to europe and are interested in russian gas not
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returning under any circumstances. here, of course, there are not only economic, uh, calculations, but also political benefits there, but also the economy, too, because of high prices. as you understand, those who sell more gas to europe get profit on top of that, in general, norway and, uh, the united states of america, all various traders, who are mainly, but in western jurisdictions are in british there or american. so the set of interesters is quite broad. but will the us be able to deliver the promised amount of lng to europe this winter season in principle? well, it depends on what the price level will be and what the weather conditions will be in other markets and whether, for example, they will be able, as they did in the summer, to partly refuse gas volumes, reselling them. even the same chinese
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importers resold lng to europe as a result of the lockdown in china. demand for gas, somewhere they switched to coal, respectively, prices in europe. as you know, we broke all possible records and the temptation to get, uh, hundreds of percent profit, of course, was and will be a serious driver of economic activity. hmm, to attract precisely the appearance of additional volumes on the market. we don't expect, because the only thing is that if there will be, uh, a successful refurbishment at the freeport plant in the usa some additional market volume, but it is not yet clear, will it be and in what? to what extent practically no new capacities will be launched in the next month, which will give additional
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volumes to the st. petersburg market, which means that there will be increased competition for it, which means there will be higher prices than in a normal situation. well, prices are already breaking records. how much more can they grow? what is your forecast? uh-huh well, since now it's officially here in the gas business and this is the lowest season in terms of both demand and this period of preparation for the autumn-winter maximum of the so -called heating season. uh, so when prices in september around 2,000 dollars in august around 3,000 dollars. this, uh, suggests that here is the bountiful season, we can expect even higher market. true, mad, he can react in different ways. in addition, it is impossible to exclude any artificial interference in the
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work of the market by regulators. there are such and uh, cries and signals certain to the market. but uh, if there is no such intervention , the introduction of, say, regulated prices, then during the heating season, prices will obviously be higher than moreover, they will uh, can fluctuate dramatically in the case. improved external conditions there weather conditions or uh or hmm supply situation, well no one is safe from some kind of accident uh or uh higher demand in asia which will not allow the volumes that asian traders have contracted for a long-term such on a medium-term basis to come to europe, this will create a shortage situation and, accordingly, spot prices with a shortage can rush into deep space. is it worth counting that this growth
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gast prices can help bring down the arab countries the same lng supplies from qatar, for example? all of these players don't have spare volumes just because it's all contracted out to current buyers must refuse these volumes or resell them to europe or they must not be supplied under some bogus pretext and uh, take them to the european market. all this is, in general, connected with the further deterioration of the situation in the energy markets, and including, uh, the european market and the markets of the poorest countries where uh may occur. just a real situation. uh, energy shortages. uh-huh, such cases are already cancelled. uh, deliveries to the same, there, pakistan or bangladesh or india, we saw in
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previous months and for sure, they will uh continue to appear in the future. and yes, that's exactly why i want to discuss with a publication in bloomberg , building analysts reckoned that the economic damage from gas problems could exceed the consequences of the 2008-9 financial crisis. do you agree with this assessment and compare the current situation with what it was 14 years ago? you know back in the first quarter of this year, when prices were not as extreme as they are now, and the crisis, only, uh, was gaining momentum in energy, although it started back in the summer of last year. but in the first months, the trade balance of the european union for the first time in history was negative, that is, they paid. e for imports primarily of energy resources. more than exported. this situation is getting worse as
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this year progresses and, accordingly, we are talking about really about hundreds of billions of euros of additional expenses, er, both for the economy of countries and for the social sphere. and on the budgets, because the budgets are to be, or to be subsidized. uh, internal tariffs, or raise them, uh, risking creating a sphere of social discontent, a manifestation that we also saw. and of course, this is devastating for the industry, for which they are forced to close production and stop and switch to some other types of fuel, in fact. at such prices, and everyone who could go somewhere go. they have done this for a long time. that's just about the industry. what productions can be closed first of all spoke about metallurgy for a long time. what about now? how what industries are at risk? i think that all gas and energy-intensive
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industries are under threat in one way or another. uh, the first to suffer, of course, where the largest share of gas in the cost of production is the production of fertilizers. this is metallurgy. this is a cement gas operation. chemistry, other, not related to fertilizers. e. well, and, of course, this will be a big blow to various small businesses that also use energy, because gas prices. they are not airless . this is a general energy crisis , and the prices for coal or firewood and for electricity, and also there the growth is, uh, almost well, but in a separate period. there, the rise in prices compared to last year was 10 times, therefore. therefore, the situation is very difficult for all
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players who use? well, who needs energy to produce their goods? or services, well here in the optimistic european articles now they write that we have to be patient for a few months, and already in 2023 the situation will improve, that terminals for receiving lng will be opened there, etc. the principle of europe will be able to exist on liquefied natural newspaper. is this correct, or is the situation in your estimation? but the terminals can open the question of what to load them with, uh, again, in order to load them, because the supply market is not growing globally as a whole and or is not growing fast enough due to a drawdown in investments. well, in general, uh- it is impossible to increase the production of liquefied natural gas once and tomorrow. uh, because in europe it takes years. and now
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the twenty-third and even, probably, part of the twenty-fourth year coming there, there will be no serious transformations. uh, in this market. this means that it will be necessary to compete for these volumes and drag them away from other e-markets. that is, the price crisis will continue one way or another. in addition, it will be necessary to fill, uh, storage from almost scratch, if this year it was partially done at the expense of russian gas, then if there is no russian gas in one way or another. in the european market, accordingly, the hole in the balance sheet will be even more significant. and, of course, this crisis. it is not vice versa, a common place that the crisis is not one winter, but several coming winters, and not only winters, but also years. he is the company emperor of nord stream, in principle, now he does not give any forecasts about when the
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threads of nord stream can be repaired. well, let me remind you that the deputy director of the national energy security aleksey grivach aleksey igorevich thank you very much for the interview. in the urals , several dozen conscripts went to training centers. there they will undergo training and combat coordination to participate in a special operation to protect the donbass . see in the report of albert musin in the cold in the cramped courtyard of the military registration and enlistment office, relatives are ready to stand until the victory in order to see their men off for service. our son is going to defend, they are seeing off his wife's mother to tomatoes. in front of their sons of uncertainty. not it is felt by no one, on the contrary, volunteers and conscripts try to cheer up relatives with jokes and promises of a speedy return. the main negative. don't push normally. everything will replace our
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fighters in the republics of donbass sent by whole families, three brothers anton aleksey and vyacheslav vasilevsky immediately began to collect things as soon as they received a summons. there are our people, our people who are being attacked by nazi extremists in 2014, with whom leave today, maybe on the 8th, i have one more brother, brother. we already have left on the first bus. that is, we, as it were, are waiting for the bus, and in part of alexei's backpack, the girl helped to collect with her in a businesslike way, only the most necessary. we collected some extra things for him there. yes , we collected a lot of medicines, because you never know what will happen, so that everything will be young people have already promised each other upon their return to immediately get married at the entrance to the sverdlovsk region. ura and the first point of the bus route is the
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district training center, a two-hour drive from yekaterinburg, where mobilized and volunteers will restore and hone their combat skills. the officer is nothing new unknown, as if there were no military life in his life, he went through a hot spot. i have combat experience. and i'm ready to carry out any command of the beloved the teacher was held in a solemn atmosphere to the sounds of the orchestra after the official part, a short personal farewell to his fourth platoon and a personal strong handshake, as if the transfer of the combat shift for the defense of the country albert musin nikolai the old-timer put on liars or on the news track , sverdlovsk region.
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the heads of the donetsk luhansk republics are going to moscow and they are preparing official documents to appeal to the president of russia what will happen next and when a historic decision for donbass can be made will insist on their participation in the investigation sabotage on the nord stream. who could benefit from explosions on the gas pipeline. and who will now receive the light of profit from gas supplies to europe the pacific fleet takes two nuclear submarines at once.

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