here we are talking about something important from two positions, from an economic point of view, about this alexandra suvorova and a political one about this georgy podgorny so with categories, exact numbers and data , our speakers andrey korneev , head of the school of oriental studies at the higher school of economics, and viktor supyan, deputy director of the us institute, will help us understand and canada, the intention of the us goal strategy will be clarified by fedorov, the italian director named after primakov a. political course vector. china will designate china's branch nikolay lovilov first about china what is going on there? and why does it matter last saturday , more than two thousand delegates gathered at the great hall of the people in the capital of the prc, the congress of the communist, party, country, will last until october 22, in the spotlight, the further course of development of the state and the election of the top party leadership congress a key event in the political life of china for the first time this the format was held at 19. from

the first year in the year of the founding of the party, then its ranks included about fifty people. today, the ccp has grown, let's say so significantly, in its composition of 96 million and 700,000 people. previously, congresses were convened with different breaks, and since the seventy-seventh year they began to do this every five years, by the way, by coincidence, the twentieth congress of the communist party of china a. the cpsu can be called a certain point, which can be considered a little bit of a change in the era, then 66 years ago a secret report was read. khrushchev about. stalin's cult of personality and its consequences, which led to tectonic shifts today in another part of the world. we are also talking about a global change in the world order, his by no means secret speech means that he takes a clear position against hegemony earlier such reports were not talking about the fact that between china and the united states it is obvious that the hegemony policy pursued by the united states is different. we have

n’t seen it in the world yet, which means it’s obvious that it was almost chinese-style direct, and there was no such condemnation of the policies of western countries before. that is, it’s obvious that sino-american relations have reached another historical bottom. the day after the closing of the congress, according to tradition, the first plenum of the central committee of the twentieth convocation. they will already appoint a new composition of the politburo and its standing committee, in fact, the party and political elite, which will govern the country for the next five years, experts believe that the leader of the prc tingping will again be nominated for a third term as general secretary of the cpc and chairman of the central military council the predecessors of the current head of china spent two five-year terms in the highest office, but in 2018 the country's constitution was amended from that moment on, all restrictions on the duration

leaders in power in the prc have been eliminated, so the sizenpin can rule china for an unlimited period of time specialist answers for russia this is a huge plus for russia, this is also important from the point of view of maintaining stability. there is such a rather high degree of trust in our relations at the level of the leaders of our countries. well, in general, this will mean the progressive development of russian-chinese relations, which is very important in the current international conditions. let's digress for a second from of what is happening in china, let's move to another part of the world. the persistent noon exercise, which in nato is called annual and which, as it were, is planned, but which occurs precisely when the west is increasingly talking about nuclear war, imposing the narrative about the threat from russia to the truth. in this case, the accuracy of the statements is felt. here is one of them

, nato's nuclear deterrence is used to ensure only the security territory of the alliance. so stoltenberg, in fact. i outlined the framework keeping in mind that ukraine is formal not a member of this military association is worth emphasizing russia also assures favor. the formulations of our mead in these teachings are not extraordinary for us. well, for the rest of the world. china matters and that's why, when we look at the biden harris administration's new flagship strategic planning document last week, the biden administration's national security strategy, we see that china is being prioritized there . china is cited as a major challenge for us global leadership. china is named as a potential growing threat. so the nuclear issue applies not only to russia, but for the time being again in china, where leadership in the global economy is at stake three xi jinping

china has secured the status of the world's second economy, however, the coronavirus pandemic has made significant adjustments to the country's development until 2020 , annual gdp growth about 6% in 2021 was above this, the world bank predicts total gdp growth this year to be less than 3%. it's all about politics zero tolerance. everyone expects that the third and fourth quarter will generally allow the weather to get , more or less moderately high growth rates, but if we compare with many other economies in general, china is in a good position and it must be said that china has created first-class infrastructure. there is a huge amount of capital accumulated, so to speak, a bag of money, which china will certainly actively use in the restructuring of relevant industries. the expert is now clarifying china, including on

the party congress should find a new model for the development of the country, that is, the state will strengthen its position, first of all, as a technological leader. and on this front, everything is oh, how difficult, just during the xx congress of the us communist party, they take a step, which some western analysts called the effect, bursting a list of 28 chinese enterprises that are de facto prohibited from selling advanced american -made chips. this was supposed to deal a blow to the chinese industry, microelectronics. liquidation. china as an adversary is a strategy is formulated as the depletion of china in the peripheral or in creating threats on the periphery in afghanistan in burma in taiwan and so on and the technological blockade, that is, the containment of china, let's say new technological successes that would help it, but to modernize the industry and be more competitive lower, the united states is still assessing the consequences, where as we do not know the familiar approach of the united states

meanwhile, experts fear a large-scale recession in the us the fed is actively raising the key rate to lower the fed's consumer prices . increased it by 75 basis points. at each of the three past comments , experts believe that it will also happen in november, despite the increase in rates, inflation in september exceeded 8% of the economy in a very contradictory way, that is, it cannot be unequivocally said that it is in a good position or vice versa in a state of recession, although in fact, formally, uh, during the first and second quarter there was a drop in the pp was small, but it was meaning one and six tenths of a percent. in the first quarter 22nd year and 0.6 in the second quarter

in terms of conventional wisdom about what a recession is, when two quarters in a row there is a fall in gdp, this means a state of recession. in addition, us president biden is now trying to strengthen the situation in the fuel market in order to to solve the problem of shortage of energy supplies, it was decided to sell another 15 million barrels of oil from strategic reserves. the move will complete the authorities' plan to release 180 million barrels of oil from national reserves, within half a year. true, if necessary, washington is ready for additional sales of fuel from the reserve, this will happen if the price of oil wti is below 67-72 dollars per barrel, now they give about 84.5 dollars per barrel of this mixture and the white house does not rule out a temporary ban on

fuel exports and the united states, with such an uncertain economy, perhaps it would be strange to spend money on military spending this spring in the military budget. the united states significantly increased, and this amount included additional assistance to ukraine. moreover, contributions are growing. in the nato budget, the biden administration plans to increase defense spending by about 15 percent compared to the trump period. this is largely due to the military assistance that, uh, the united states provides to ukraine, that is, the military budget is growing and, uh, along with the previous increase in social spending that occurred, uh, in the previous one. uh, covid years. this,

of course, also deforms the situation in the united states against this background. the western press began to wonder if the united states could manage from china. confrontation against russia by the hands of the ukrainians, and with iran the task is to sit. on three chairs , bloomberg analyzes this topic, that three countries with different beliefs and views can join forces to confront. beyond the ocean. doubts were repeatedly expressed to the power in favor of uh doubts about the expediency of such a double uh or triple deterrence. uh, many have said and written that it will be expensive, but for the united states, e that it will be very costly in terms of the development of the american military power and the funds that will have to be spent on it, by the way, even now they want to impose new sanctions against iran only from europe for cooperation with russia, only the history

of iran shows sanctions. they have been on your side for a long time and it is hardly worth dividing europe from the united states in this matter. especially when such news comes out as nato hatched a plan for a preemptive strike against russia and it seems that such actions only force those who are in the plans of the alliance to unite, and in particular the united states means like a target, nothing helps rapprochement between the positions of russia and china like, uh, pressure from the americans. we see that now cooperation between russia and iran, uh, has reached a completely different level. we also know that russia and the people's republic of china, and on many issues, including sensitive issues. uh, everything, they trust each other more and, uh, cooperate, and this, of course, is also not the most cheerful prospect for washington. by the way, against this background, the $17 billion that the us congress has already sent to ukraine seems like a penny

compared to how much actually america bypass such pressure on everyone and at once. well, what a time to take stock sure. you noticed the main thoughts that were in the comments of our speakers, so behind these quotes in a huge news flow, the main thing remains, let's get them. no, some imitate war, others are engaged in a strategy of such different news, which are actually tightly tied to each other while relations between the usa and china are deteriorating russia is increasing cooperation with the economy of the middle kingdom, meanwhile , for the political ambitions of the hegemon, the united states has to pay dearly to maintain its military presence in the world. it seems that this is how the world order is changing on greed and passion, what will happen next, we will see and analyze here in politics. we just listen and emphasize. most importantly, see you soon. see you look who's fighting with us. we are waiting for the help of a

qualified runner, not a runner, but to prepare and come the nature of the king uncovered here again. previously, mobilization has already come to us and is already pouring into our ranks. one of all all for one is first of all helping each other question it arises then we will already go. i tell them guys. everything has its time. finish the initial preparation, further into the ranks of our children, the fate that we will draw now awaits.

russia cannot be understood with the mind with a common yardstick. she has a special place in russia, you can only believe. yes, they are russian characters, it seems, a simple person, but a severe misfortune will come in big or small and great strength, human beauty rises in him. the highest and sharpest characteristic feature of our people is a sense of justice and a thirst for it without a sense of their country

special very expensive and sweet. in every little thing there is no real human character. this feeling is disinterested and fills us with great interest in everything. spiritual life in russia is nobler i am poisoned by russia i miss it only russia i think. let's translate from clerical, but understandable, everything is not so

scary if there is an instruction. he is trying to spin another fake, as allegedly committed deliveries to russia of the iranian wing. not only that ukraine, its western patrons launched a new fake. so also a violation of the security council resolution, another attempt to rewrite all the rules.