and almost on the entire territory of the russian plain , cold northern winds will start blowing snow, it will pass up to the kostroma line perm, however, on the european, russian territory, the cooling will be short-lived from wednesday in the atmosphere over the region , the normal west-east transport of air masses will again begin to recover, and it will come here warm from the atlantic and the cold will go away in moscow today it is still warm, plus eight, but tomorrow the precipitation will stop by morning , frost will hit, and in the afternoon only plus five will be 3 ° colder as usual since wednesday, the sky over the capital will again begin to tighten with rain, clouds and the temperature will gradually return to the climate. thursday friday. plus eight nine, that's all for me, goodbye. high-tech fuel pulsar ensured by engine cleanliness reduces emissions into

the atmosphere protects the lungs of our cities fuel rosneft pulsar feel the energy of the future. today starts the goodbye debating club. valdai participants will discuss possible models of a new world order. we look forward to the inclusion of our

gentlemen. in europe continues narcozidis hungary has already announced. they will not allow new eu sanctions against russian gas. details in our economic report. in the regions, the mobilized are trained in firing from all types of weapons and training in combat coordination. in the uk choosing a new prime minister the country's conservative party will vote for one of two candidates as the procedure goes. in siberia, snowfalls have begun, and the russian plain is also preparing for a cold snap. will there be snow in moscow the world without superpowers, this will be discussed at the annual meeting of the discussion club. valdai it

opens today in moscow and will last 4 days. it will be attended by political experts, diplomats and economists from forty-one countries and is now in direct contact with the studio our correspondent varvara nevskaya varvara greetings what will be discussed at the forum what is alexander's trip good morning 19th annual meeting of the valdai international discussion club on the theme of peace after hegemony justice security for all, in fact is the culminating event of the club's life in 2022, a unique venue. valdai e, for the first time in many years, is held in the moscow region, and not in the usual place in krasnaya polyana in sochi, this is the largest conference in altai that brought together 111 participants from forty-one of the country's emphasis. this year, of course, for obvious geopolitical reasons, it is done on speakers and the countries of the middle east and the maghreb. afghanistan

brazil egypt china india indonesia kazakhstan russia but also 13 speakers of westerners who, despite the prohibitions from their countries and aggressive rhetoric, are nevertheless ready to participate in this important dialogue, which traditionally gathers in the fields. and the conference of experts from various fields and industries, the theme of the meeting is justice and security for all, according to the organizers of the club, on the one hand, it is a statement that the hegemony of the western bloc led by the united states has already come to an end, and on the other hand, it is a large-scale topic for dialogue. what to do next? what kind needs to be done? eh, the steps and organizers of this conference also make special emphasis on the fact that the purpose of such discussions is to explain to western partners by an expert who will participate in several sessions of the club today. why russia has taken certain steps in the

geopolitical space. and what will he do next, and what will this multipolar world look like, because it is obvious that, and here the centrism of the west , which has been observed in recent years, is simply impossible in modern realities. it is known that meeting, and the valdai club will last 4 days. this year the conference program is divided into thematic blocks - this is a military-political crisis. it's the economy, it's the social aspects. and uh, traditionally it's on the fourth day there's going to be a big, plenary session. it is also known that the minister of foreign affairs is also expected on the sidelines of the conference today. sergey lavrov is also a tradition of his annual performances in valdai and literally for half an hour. it will start the first session, which is open to the press, and we we will definitely stay up to date with developments. what will be interesting to be discussed today on the sidelines of the valdai club. thank you. well, and this session.

our channel will broadcast. let me remind you that varvara nevskaya was in direct contact with the studio. and for other topics, kiev is preparing a bloody provocation in the kharkiv region, this is reported by the coordinating headquarters for humanitarian response in ukraine. in the monstrous crime of the russian military forces, in the meantime, continue shelling of the lugansk people's republic this night fired four rockets at zorinsk and starobelsk from american highmorses. information about the victims and damages is specified earlier by the blow of the apu , the settlements of the golden aydar pokrovskaya and svatava were subjected. two civilians were injured there. around the clock next to the front line, the work of the repair battalion of military engineers is in full swing , they are masters of all trades, they are able to fix any

malfunctions of military vehicles before returning they are being run in equipment, as our war correspondent alexei baranov observed this . it was a sighting shot. after each repair of the tank, it is imperative to visit the shooting range. the landfill is located not far from the repair base, the t-80 tank rushes there at full speed. the target is hidden in the forest belt, the location of the test site, we do not disclose for reasons of crew safety. before the first shot, the command comes immediately. the main task after repair is to bring the tank to full readiness, the machine must be capable of anyone. in the type of battle, the launch of the entire weapon system, checking all elements before hitting the target. our

specialists of the unit completely transfer the finished vehicle to the crew . and this requires special skills from the crew and full readiness. techniques are difficult to aim and hit on the move. the target is also moving. our car is moving. the main thing is to think over everything, calibrate the distances, measure them in order to survive if the target hit. did the job. did it right. the repair battalion of the eastern military the county is ready to go and on the front lines are such special protective body kits. the truth is done by welding. after checking the undercarriage back to the range, the zeroing work sometimes takes more than one hour. fire adjustment takes place right on the spot. when everything is completed, the car is parked in

a special parking lot. fuel tanks and ammunition are replenished now the t-80 is waiting to be sent to the front line experienced colleagues do not immediately leave those who have just arrived to the front line to help those who have just arrived , so the mobilized military from the kuban equip positions in the zaporozhye direction about this, anton stepanenko 's report two parcels at once from his wife and work colleagues in the village of kushchevskaya, that in the kuban they remember him, and they care who is waiting for his wife at home. you see how many big heroes they sent him, the formula is second

will try the most maybe in the army mikhail did not have a chance from the army experience only the military department of the rostov civil engineering university, where he received the rank of lieutenant . demobilization worked as an engineer. and here he became a commander from a rifle platoon, such a military necklace. thank you very much to you all very good parcel such. everything is very necessary. everything is very useful, the lieutenant takes the parcels to himself in the unit's solitary trench, in which he serves, he only equips positions in the second echelon on zaporozhye direction together with the village. individuals and fellow countrymen from skushchev sent a few more pages of boots and flashlights , food, honey, stoves with generators and shovels with handles here at the forefront with tonics buried in the ground a soldier’s friend’s shovel, the deeper, the safer the dugout for four people. here there is enough space, as if for a stove for

sleeping places. bye. well, the weather, i let us. god forbid, let it last for a long time, to cover itself already to settle in the snow. it will rain, as if already settling in. we will continue to live moves messages between us. the main thing is that now our main task is to close, while they are out of weather, to the first line of defense of the mobilized kuban, until they let them in, give them time to adapt and strengthen themselves in case of a breakthrough. they fortify themselves by digging from morning to evening, and the officers or exactly, so many people without bulletproof vests are hard-working hard workers. and the average age is about 40 in a strong reliable defense is what you need normal guys, they arrive charged with what we can help support. but how else, that we don’t know, we’re old, we’ve been for a long time here yuri started fighting back from afghanistan, then it was, chechnya pmc donbass where is the war, what can i do there?

of course i can't live without it. and what to do war mobilized get used to quickly help both experienced colleagues and the enemy, who constantly reminds himself of himself . you even get used to everything , you know, it was the first days that they arrived, as if they listened in harmony, and now they flew in. this is today's school today's school. well, here's the last arrival, which was about 80 meters, probably kuban community with one immobilized commander from the rifles. now they serve only for the sake of working together, living in the neighborhood or common relatives or acquaintances - this obliges a lot. they are kuban lieutenant oleg suknev, 48 years old, by education as a psychologist, served as an artist in the kushchevo stanitsa kuban hall , put on his uniform here for the first time. he is like a political instructor, and

fellow countrymen normally hold on to the fact that the guys fighting are all for the motherland, all for ours. so there are no cowards here guys in the village of kushchevskaya starominskaya kislyakovskaya, ivanovka is a hot spring, the ancestral lands of the kuban cossack army with a centuries-old history of military victories, now write the history of victories in 2022 to these villagers when they brought the summons. sergey alexandrovich i say, yes, sergey alexandrovich, the agenda for you will be fine right away. the first war was over, i returned home and, god willing, i will return home to the children. we are glad. that it fell on our shoulders they didn't vinokurov was put on the shoulders of our children anton stepanenko vesti southern sector of military special operations

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great britain choose a new prime minister, how is the vote? now i'll tell you in more detail so the conservative party will choose between the leader of the chamber, in general, peni mordon and the experiment of the ex-head of the ministry of finance. by the way , he has. now the broadest support among the deputies was the third candidate, the experiment boris johnson but he dropped out of the race for the nomination. it was necessary to enlist the support of at least 100 members of parliament from the party. moreover, applicants cannot be more than three people. after all, now there will be 356 deputies torii. the threshold to the table was set specifically to speed up the procedure, although earlier it was gradually raised during several rounds of voting as the

weakest candidates were eliminated. there are several scenarios for the development of the situation, if the conservatives agree on one candidate, then he will immediately becomes the leader of the party and the prime minister of the country, and then it will be about it. known today, at about 4 pm moscow time, if there are two or three presidents who have enlisted the support of at least 100 parliamentarians, they will take part in pre-election speeches in parliament. and after that there will already be a secret ballot. let me remind you that the previous example of a rhinestone sheet was in this position for only 44 days. and this is the shortest term of office. in the history of the country. well, the name of the new prime minister. we will find out very soon and to other international topics the united states is the main beneficiary of the conflict in ukraine and is to be avoided. it would be helped by the fact that paris has freedom of speech in international relations, said the ex-presidential candidate of france, segolin royal , however, according to her, france, like the whole of europe, has lost its neutral position and is forced to

join the actions of the united states and nato, royal also added the head of the european commission. ursula fondartland, contrary to her position, became a representative of the north atlantic alliance there is no difference between what she says pentagon cia in addition said royal the will of the people in europe is often suppressed by governments democracy at the eu level does not work. on the korean peninsula again escalation pyongyang and seoul exchanged warning fire at the maritime border, as reported quotes south korean vessel invaded the dprk maritime military demonstration line for 5 km and fired warning shots did so under the pretext of controlling a certain quote obscure vessel, and earlier reuters reported that a north korean ship crossed the sea line delimitation between the two countries in the yellow sea and the south korean military had to answer one way or

another. as a result, the dprk army fired 10 warning shots from a multiple launch rocket system. now let's take a short break, and then the news of the economy. in the alpha bank, a loan from 4.5%, somewhere between the sky and the sea, and a pinch of koreans, please. always great deals on hello world.ru for gasoline, i'll pay no, e cashback, then i'll have coffee. i remember the world with cinnamon, habitually cashless. yandex.market big sale big discounts here i bought

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will be guaranteed to draw an apartment for 30 million. buy a ticket everything can come true. open the door to your dream. 10% cashback on everything until the end of the year. order a debit alpha card with eternal free service alpha bank is the best mobile bank. used to watching videos stopped working russian channels and all tv series movies and cartoons educational programs and documentaries free without registration because of the energy crisis,

europe is forced to live in conditions of rising inflation and a slowing economy next year, the imf predicts a technical recession for more than half of the eurozone countries. details, learn from alexandra nazarova she joins me. and how does this change the cost of living has become more expensive, imagine this year, they will add 7% the economic collapse of the european union is inevitable , i came to this conclusion, i am not svoroufakis, who in 2015 served as minister of finance of greece according to him energy crisis. particularly sharply showed disunity in the bloc with regard to migrants from the banking sector of green technologies or gas. each side tries to do its own thing. failure is guaranteed we are already seeing a rush to industrialize in europe es are paying 10 times more for gas than their us or chinese competitors are already shutting down production and very soon we will see factories looking for more and more locations

in the us or other countries. the eu is in deep crisis, which may not become apparent this winter, but next, the underground gas storage facilities in the european union are now filled with more than 93%, however, they. we need constant replenishment next summer, when the main injection should take place and pay for cubic meters. the thief will have to be much more stressed, then the eu will be in full crisis. moreover, european business is already asking for help today, for example, the net debt of the 150 largest companies on the german stock exchange has grown by 20% over the year. and now exceeds a record 530 billion, euros from 25 companies debts even more than capital with requests for help, companies from all industries turn to us every day. they can no longer negotiate energy supply contracts for next year, if we don't find a solution, then part of our economy will stop by the end of the year.

she noted that the german economic model collapsed, it was based on cheap energy from russia, low wages and the sale of goods in china, but now this sales market for germany is closed for confrontation between washington and beijing from purchases of russian gas. they are trying to stop cutting wages and it doesn’t work anymore because of high inflation, similar problems in all of europe , according to imf forecasts next year, price growth will remain significantly higher than target indicators and will gradually slow down only by 25-26. in particular. energy crisis. will lead to an increase in living expenses this year by seven percent. in the next nine compared to 2021 , growth is largely driven by expensive gas and there is little that brussels can do about it. the situation in the european union with the decisions of the

european union itself i personally do not observe and do not expect that prices will somehow depend on the decisions of the european commission, national governments, the situation will depend only on the state of the asian market and only on it, and we predict the situation in asia we can’t now, because we don’t know when to give him anti-covid restrictions in china - this is one and two. we don't know how cold the weather will be this winter. however, the european commission is proposing a whole package of cost abstinence measures. gas. among them, temporarily changing the medical center for the titov hub in the netherlands, joint purchase of at least 15% of the consumed volumes, active energy saving and redistribution of raw materials between countries if necessary. the crisis and many european countries are not ready to take risks, and in

particular, if they want to impose a certain ceiling on the price of e, whether in relation to russian gas or in general to gas, as such, e and health from other suppliers. this is fraught with the fact that supplies will simply stop. at the last summit agree on specific measures, and failed to reach an agreement the eu hopes in november. in the meantime, it remains only to save energy and wait for a recession, which the international monetary fund promises to more than half of the eurozone countries. sash next year, the eurozone economy will add only half a percentage point. thanks sasha. it was alexandra nazarova with a story about how the energy crisis affects the european economy and other topics, russian garment factories are increasing production are moving to the production of new goods are gaining more employees and introduce innovative approaches to work, all the details are from alena logvinova. yeah, at the

garment factory in the irkutsk region, the assortment has been updated, now modern branded down jackets and trousers are sewn here for outdoor activities. to do this, the employees have undergone special training, if the work clothes use mixed synthetic winterizer fabrics as a heater, then the new line already has membrane fabrics. down and feather, expanding the range of dreamed for a long time for several years entered into negotiations with major russian brands and with since the beginning of this year, they have been cooperating with two companies that previously sent products abroad, as the volume of work has grown, the factory plans to hire new employees. we see a fabric of a completely different quality, a completely different insulation. we go ahead with all of our chinese tours, which are not used for simple work. it already requires the one that is necessary, which. when

we used earlier, irina young from the yamalo-nenets autonomous okrug opened a sewing workshop for the manufacture of national clothes in this year, she took advantage of the support and received a grant from the head of the priuralsky district for business development with these funds, the girl plans to purchase two sewing machines. irina also received state social assistance of 350,000 rubles. although i have been doing it for a very long time and i think that this skill came from my mother, most likely, i really liked doing it, and i came to the point that i am now sewing professionally. i plan to work in this room for the time being and on a small scale so after how the coverage will increase, the population will find out, maybe even the district and i plan, of course, to increase the premises in order to reach a new level of work. the restrictions helped the ural manufacturer of playgrounds to double its production . initially they were simple. instructions from bent pipes

today, everything is made of wood, plywood , metal and plastic, craftsmen use white acacia as the material, thanks to which the platform mayak radio helps to maintain its integrity for more than one decade; it accompanies every detail during the first processing and is a passport. with the help of special equipment, the operator is able to see the whole history from the moment of creation to any minor repair of the structure. they usually come with us. uh, exposed places. in general, it is not even visible, but its scanners read 3 billion rubles. at the beginning of the year, we provided a guarantee for small medium-sized businesses in the sverdlovsk region, and in turn. it allowed, uh, business on our region to attract more than 7 billion rubles from banks. the borrowing of the ukrainian company does not depend on foreign components by the investment attraction agency of the sverdlovsk region. the union of entrepreneurs is ready to provide financial support. the funds taken for 3 years will be spent on scaling up production, including the purchase. allo logvinov's equipment

had permsky to lead . maybe i'm not human. who? listen, bear. trouble will come for you. don't go for the stone. no, it won't belong. i'll kill them all.

in moscow, 9:29 and beyond, briefly about the main thing. kyiv is preparing a new provocation of the kharkiv region , the coordination cabinet for humanitarian response in ukraine reports today, during the distribution of humanitarian cargo in volchansk, foreign mercenaries are planning an art shelling of the world of citizens with the goal of accusing the russian military of a monstrous crime. a

discussion club is starting to work in moscow today. valdai vladimir putin traditionally takes part in it this year, the forum participants will discuss a world without hegemony. now for 1,000 km of gas in europe they give 1,100 dollars and to contain prices, the european commission offers a whole package. among them, a temporary cost belt and for the haboz in the netherlands joint purchase of at least 15% of the consumed volumes, as well as energy saving and gas redistribution between the sufferings, today the conservative party of great britain will choose a new prime minister of candidates 2 leader of the house general morgant and vocabulary director finn. he has the broadest support among mps with about 200 third votes says the race experiment over johnson dropped out of it. saratov

area, training of artillerymen mobilized during partial mobilization is being feared to fire howitzers and anti-tank guns, and are also learning to quickly change firing positions as part of counter-battery combat, reportage or yanikeeva? the synchronous hall of the artillery battery sends a barrage of shells at the head of a mock enemy battery, attention, 330 guns mobilized fighters, for a month now soldiers have been training to fire from howitzers at a military training ground, a training center for artillery units. 122 mm the d-30 howitzer can hit single and group targets for preparation, guns for battle, the crews of six people need 1.5 minutes and another 30 seconds to aim at the target, the gun crew, like a big friendly family, the

accuracy and speed of defeating enemy forces depends on the coordinated actions of the fighters good mood close to excellent discussing. hmm, those serious tasks that we face and are already rushing into battle. i, despite the fact that i have a reservation, decided to come anyway on the agenda to go to the troops in order to fulfill his male duty. and now, on our channel, the live broadcast was about the shedding of the international order and so on, and i must note that unfortunately, unfortunately, many of the warnings that sounded to us, so to speak , during the discussion in the altai club were written in texts. they, unfortunately, turned out to be absolutely, uh, just true and alas, they come true, and therefore, of course, our task now is to discuss those contours of the future that we would all like to achieve those contras in the future in which we can all live. i am

i mean all people on earth to live more confidently, calmly, fairly and safely, it is absolutely obvious that much has been both unfair and unsafe in recent years, and therefore now it is more important than ever to focus on e. those challenges, those problems that exist and which and which we have to discuss and solve, in addition, during this session, we, well, this conference, we will try to give us all the opportunity to discuss here, what is actually connected with russia to discuss, uh, the most important points concerning the russian reality of the reality of russian actions. for this, by the way, i hope we will have the most representative guests, for example, sergei lavrov will arrive today, but other governors will also arrive. uh, vice-premiers and many many others. i hope that everyone will be interested, yes, and ourselves. generally able to speak boldly and openly and honestly. in general, i want to

say that, uh, i hope that this valdai discussion will be. hmm, interesting and rather curious, we tried to make it. so that e was what discuss. in general, the architecture of the entire conference is approximately such that we have one day more with politics than another day. with the economy of the third with humanitarian issues. and in general, it has a fairly record number of sessions, in total there will be 17 of them during our conference, which needs to be said quite a lot. i hope that we will be able to discuss the various issues and challenges facing the modern world. in general, and i do not think that the opening remarks are worth delaying. this should generally be short enough. i am i just remember that last year, when the krylatsky conference, i recalled the elements of the russian poet nikolai glazkov, where he wrote that the more interesting the century for the historian, the more interesting for the sovremennik, but sad, that’s why, in

any case, the more important challenge. for us for all this, of course, is the life of the well-being of people who live all over the globe. of course, it seems to us very important that in the most severe most difficult times, and people who think are capable of independence. expert analytical thinking could communicate and could at least discuss these issues our contribution. that's how i imagine. here's to the experts of the valdai club. all our contribution to improvement and in solving current problems. it's direct honest frank, rather intelligent conversations. if we manage to do this, we will do our duty, and, so to speak, we may bring some benefit in this world. i want to thank everyone again and say that it is a great honor for her great e, and pride e to be in such a company, and i want to note that here we are succeeding. uh, somehow maintain some kind of working communication. i

will repeat. in general, hmm, 41 countries - that's quite a lot, and in general, quite a few of us have gathered here and, uh, yesterday we signed an agreement with a strategic institution with a colleague. agreement on cooperation and today i, uh, by the way, in the tie that we gave me yesterday. here it is. thank you very much, thank you colleagues and i am pleased to give the floor to the panellists and the moderator timofey vyacheslavovich. thank you so much. i would like to add that uh one of the signs the uniqueness of this moment is that our

dear chairman, in principle, is a department tie, which is not characteristic of him, as an exclusively democratic-minded individual, and indeed. dear friends, dear colleagues, dear speakers , we have gathered today to discuss the world that is rapidly changing and despite all its anxiety, in my deep conviction. getting better. and, uh , definitely getting better every day in our opening session this year. we have three representatives. uh, the great powers of the three major powers besides russia, india, the united india, the united states , the people's republic of china, the largest country in the developing world, indonesia, us in the session of the representative of algeria and myself. i hope that this is such a diverse choice of speakers and their kind consent to participate in our session. the

report of the valdai club will allow us to take a comprehensive look at the issues that we are devoted to. and we, uh, have been writing this report for probably the seventh or eighth year, and each time we struggle with optimism and pessimism own attitude on the one hand. our pessimism is fueled by the fact that it is being destroyed, something we have become accustomed to over the past 25 years. and optimism is excited by the fact that instead a new one arises and every year we are dealing with something new in the last year's club. valdai devoted his report to the political outcome of the coronavirus pandemic, and at the end we suggested that now the states that have received more freedom have shown that they are able to act independently. it should turn out better. well, for now, uh in europe at least at least it turns out so-so in asia, it turns out better and therefore our new report is devoted to what the

world will be like without superpowers, without the ability of one state or a narrow group of countries to control the behavior of all the rest, not only through military force, but also through influence on everything. uh, areas of our lives and the main challenge. that order, when someone was able to be the sole leader, throws, not russia, the main challenge is thrown by those powers, those states that have colossal economically for this. we demographic potential and this to a large extent determines the choice of our participants. and i would like to start a conversation in order to ask to speak, and the general sharmu of the chairman of the institute, united e, joint services of the joint commands of india, our friend and official partner in the odessa club, general shamov, please, i would like to thank the

altai discussion club for this opportunity for the second time to come to russia and spend about a month here, it must also be said that he was a fairly general report has been compiled and the topic of today's session is very important and sufficient. provocative so i wanted to thank the organizers for this. so how can we look at the new world order this topic, which offered us to organize, we are talking about a world without hegemony, superpowers, a world of immortal rust. and it must be said that this is much easier said than done. i do not think that we are moving only in this direction, thought about the speeches of

the representatives of singapore lyon who said due to such social pressure and this is due to the choice of friends and enemies and also let's say. so this hierarchy depends on the hierarchy of the party of the parties and i must say that it is now being discussed, because what realism is exactly in this, but what we have achieved now at home on february 24, there were still definitely strategic upheavals that provoked the need to revise the existing world order . the first is, of course, the potassium 19 pandemic. it was a global phenomenon, a global process that had its own

the consequences of the second are so shocking. this is the withdrawal of us troops, which also gave rise to a number, including in the eurasian space, and in the light of all this, what we need to do. we must try to say. so it is difficult to disassemble this world, which was characterized by uncertainty and volatility. and also uncertainties of ambiguity. this is the kind of world we still live in, and any analysis that we as intellectuals make must be based on an analysis of the causes and means of this numerous multifaceted consequences. we are talking about the in the world there are not only regional conflicts, and accordingly, the result of bringing

us to peace has led to the exact opposite result. we must analyze. what will be the possibilities the answer should not be dictated by any one country or any group of countries, but rather the answer should be more representative in nature. we analyzed, and it was and should be clearly stated that the name is valid, but was proposed by the russian side and then we are talking about the classical structure of hegemony and let's say it's the united states and its strategic allies and, accordingly, such a world is no longer possible. we say that if earlier a certain group of countries had all the power, now we are talking about the decentralization of power, other centers of power in russia have appeared and therefore it is necessary to look at

this whole picture in a different way, there is one point that struck me, we are talking about empirical data about statistics in terms of population in terms of the economy. even in terms of tourniquet capital. i think it's quite right here. obvious conclusions that we can draw in this light. let's discuss. how have we now reformed the world, maybe other countries appear, which, accordingly, unite some alliances, come to the fore or come out in balance, of course, such a balance, but this report

is a world without death. jafa proposes two definite concrete measures. how can we balance this world order, because there are some things that we must analyze. if we postpone this report and recently, we have already analyzed the national security strategy document that was published in the united states. there, accordingly, it was said about maintaining the status. america at its best, and the partnership spoke to her about building alliances with other countries of the world and in this match spoke categorically about the fact that russia is a threat to the european security system and the european economic system. o china also poses a definite systemic threat, so we accordingly revert back to the american point of view, but on the other hand, if you look at america's position on what america has been doing for the

last 10 years, it must be said that it is losing its dominance. that is, it is no longer the same radiance of glory. they are the same pan-americanisms that were before. let's look at the other part that was talked about. this is the china complex. let's analyze the performance. so we were told here at the chinese communist party congress , respectively, that the better it is to throw, the better the world will be, then here the essay spoke, respectively, about a common destiny , it was said about harmony, but i must say that this view of things is not related to the strategic pattern and behavior , a chinese-centric world is proposed, respectively

, and speaks of parity with the united states, for example, in the indus pacific region. if we look at how the world has developed now, then even pankita and zm, in general, also do not follow from the current situation further indian point of view where is go in this combo and i must say, my ancient civilization, according to our philosophy, we say that one world is one family. this is an indian proverb and this is reflected in the external hopes that our prime minister spoke accordingly. we are ready to invite everyone

to join us on this journey, with regard to our regional tea hopes, it must be said that this is reflected in the document that calls for cyber security prosperity for all, but for a developing country. it should become developed in 2050. we have an investment program called intimacy to be self-sufficient in in all aspects, our premier mister recently spoke in tashkent and fury and you can familiarize yourself with him and you see, you will see that a probably fashion says that war is not the answer. our award. mister has already explained india's position on the ukrainian crisis in various forums. and i must say that our minister of defense recently, speaking at a

conference, said that we do not believe in the kikimonic world order. this means that india stands for multilateralism, multilatralism and stands for multipolar terrain. i think what we need to do is we are now transitioning the squat in the top twenty and the last three to four years. it was the global and the uk that headed the top twenty, that is, indonesia india then brazil, and therefore we will pursue common goals and objectives of the global south, speaking. now it is one-sided and acts as a setter of certain trends. and with regard to russia, i think that russia has a clear position in the formation of the global south, and with this

we are ready with russia, the ocean region has certain hopes for russia, especially that as far as this triangle is concerned, india, china and russia, but there are also areas where we need to work to communicate in order to create a new world order. first of all, this is the position of the twenty and the global south-for the theme of the tariff of the un security council - this is the wto in the narrow institutions of opposition to climate change, that is, the fight against climate change and its consequences. and i must say that there are some regional associations, which also have their own contradictions. and it must be said that these associations have become just such talking shops as we called, but it is necessary to look at the geopolitics

of technology on the geopolitics of energy tetics balancing. how do we respond to conventional security threats and also, how do we characterize, tolerate cybersecurity threats, and that's where i'd like to finish. thank you very much thank you very much. thank you. i have questions for every speaker right away, but i'll ask them a little later and thank you so much for reminding us of the importance of meeting the time limit on the next one, the speaker is indijajanta, head of national resilience development research institute andy please ah, thank you very much for inviting me. this is

my first performance at valdai. i'm from indonesia. i'm the manager. if it is the development of national sustainability. it is a think tank that reports to the president's government. i have a fundamental job. it is very simple to recommend to our president with geopolitics. i represent the school of geopolitics. we are looking at the evolution of geopolitics. we understand that now we have, uh, moved to the fifth stage of geopolitical evolution, we have an epoch with strategic resources and all conflicts related to the ability to develop new

technologies and, most importantly, the ability to create global networks. now we live in an era. uh, when everyone is connected to everyone, it's global supply chains. and if you look at maritime affairs. we can say that maritime empires or pak with the american will be replaced by a global connection of all with all through sea routes. and now we are trying to create this global connectedness already we are talking about globalization about the creation of one big global village and a whole series. initiative in this sense. now there is a china biden initiative, proposed his

initiatives in the twenty-first year of the russian initiative, and related to the security of supply. uh, food other resources. this is the saver corridor, south and other global initiatives, for example, in august 22 , he proposed his ideas and all this is interconnected that exists in the world. uh, lead to certain gaps and these projects, on the contrary, separate the world such a project of global interconnectedness of the world leads to disruption of communication and supply chains arises trade wars. trade wars are real military conflicts that are happening

between russia with georgia, russia, ukraine, and the conflict around taiwan, and it is also a risk to maritime trade. we understand that, of course, there must be freedom of navigation freedom of trade flows. we must ensure the security of global supply chains and six. such here, and the most important routes pass through the factories of indonesia and also conflicts emerging technologies, of course, is tied to different artificial intelligence technologies. and in the oceans and here, china and the united states are leaders in the field of

modern technologies such as 5g in the thirtieth year, they say that china will become a leader in this sector in order to prevent such a rise in china. the united states is trying to distance itself from china in terms of technology, which again creates faults breaks, but from our point of view, the chinese movement towards the status of a technological superpower. again they say that by the thirtieth year, china will be the largest semiconductor manufacturer, which is the most important thing in our digital age, and the us measures, on the contrary, will help china become a technological

superpower. what's the best scenario? of course, this would be worldwide cooperation, but the main problem is the project. global interconnectedness. it only rips the world apart and endangers supply chains because the superpowers project their power and only intensify enmity between states and lead to economic recessions. can we rely on what superpowers will be able to solve this problem, what is the need to change our economy, we need these digital principles as well? blue and green economies of 24-29

and for this, indonesia needs not superpowers , not their power, which they play, not some nuclear submarines of other countries in our waters. we need global cooperation so that we all try to get out of the economic recession together, pandemics are needed and short-term measures are needed to overcome the energy and financial crisis, we need to initiate a new global project, which would truly connect all the global infrastructure projects that exist today and vice versa disconnect the world we need. wait for a more sustainable global supply chain. we need to achieve true

sustainability. in connection with parts of the world among themselves and most importantly, a superpower. uh r the world's leading will just this global connectivity perfect compliance. ah. china as the most powerful power that challenged the monopoly. the west has already been mentioned in our discussion recently , the views of the whole world have been drawn to china due to with serious political changes and developments of the political order in this country. and i would now like to ask our old great comrade. e doctor bath e professor executive director of the institute of financial studies nothing yang people's university of china please, thank you timothy thank you again to the valdai club for inviting me

over the past two months. i spent a lot in russia in twenty cities. uh, i was pretty tired and i wrote articles and there were various discussions connected. uh, with russia, i wrote a lot of articles for chinese readers. ah. and, of course, there are many things that are still not mutually understood, and we are talking about peace for the superpowers. but if you look at the media on the international reports , there is a lot of misunderstanding, which is based on the actions of the western media, especially the media and the us they certainly have powerful resources in the field. uh, coverage of events in some countries, they

prefer to demonize russia, demonize china, ivane to say about different aspects the existence of states, politics, economy, military, and the media or dialogues or discourse we see different standards, for example, the united states as an all power, for example, behind the political level at the political level, the united states is a superpower. here we see that uh in the political sense the us is being criticized a lot if you look at the economic level last year. the us gdp was 25

percent of the global debt, meaning the us lost its complete dominance of the global economy. this is why, over the past 5 years, the us has initiated trade wars technology wars against china have not succeeded from my point of view even economic sanctions against russia and the us will not succeed. a-and in the military sphere, the us military budget is 40% of the global budget. that is, there are signs of a superpower here, of course, because of the scale.

uh spending on a-a defense compared to the next ten countries, but tomorrow the us military led to a mass of refugee conflicts of some tragic situations, because and therefore, it can be said that the world does not need a superpower and a military sense and finally, a superpower in the field of discourse ideology media western snakes, of course, er influence the majority of the world on the internet more than eighty percent. this is the english-speaking internet of russia we can say

that the image, while reading russia is demonized. even this can be said about india about indonesia that is , discourse is needed here, but a new one yes, more backward understanding in the future. and what about china? china since the fifties of the last century, we have been fighting imperialism , demonism, from the position of the united states as a superpower, we have always opposed such a world order, in in which superpowers would exist, but my conclusion is that such a process is a movement towards a new world without superpowers. this is the process of transformation we are moving to the world. this is the process going on. our

position is that this process should proceed gently and moderately, and we are doing everything possible to do this in order to prevent, uh, war. that's why we are always patient even on the issue of taiwan, even when the us is aggressive towards china, we try to avoid any wars, including the cold war. we make everything possible a country of peace and development, most chinese today believe that the weakening of the united states is inevitable and this process of weakening. and remember her whole so we think, and what do they think here, china what is the position

of china's strategy we want to protect the existing world order and achieve world development to protect world peace and in the future china will continue we will try to promote this interconnected world. thank you so much. now we are moving to the other side of the atlantic, here is eurasia and to the united states and i would like to ask to speak to our colleague, a from the center for

national interest christian christian whiteton, senior fellow for strategy and trade christian please thank you very much timofey i want to thank the organizers at the altai club for me the pleasure of participating in the conference, at least virtually with other distinguished finalists, to discuss the transition world to world. without a-a, superpowers john licare, and the famous writer e in the ninety- three year he advertised his book about the cold war and in general wrote a lot of books, and he wrote, that it will be a great time for the us when the us

realizes that altruistic warfare will be part of uh future destiny, and i don't think solanism will work because of it. uh, we're global. village. even the european uh concept. uh, not enough for a square didn’t know that yet, but he sort of predicted these trends in the modern world when the cold war ended. uh, the soviet union collapsed, uh, the us and allies defeated iraq and the technology boom began. well, as it turned out, the next 20-30 years. e, everything was not so masonry, but even against the backdrop of jihadist attacks and financial crisis uprisings, economic stagnation continues. uh, the us still counted. e that they

will remain superpowers that will lead a unipolar world. of course, such a fit was fraught with many mistakes and just, uh, in the ninety- third year. uh, everyone was ready for it, but now this era is ending, as we say here, well , nevertheless, it is possible. uh that the us will continue to uh, prosper, despite the decline in the power of the country for the year share carrere before the interview 1992, rospiro, businessman. did you for a short time get more support during the election race than bush or clinton and uh? yes, he just said that the national debt was, uh, 61% of gdp, uh, 4 trillion dollars, and now, uh, 30 billion dollars. uh, trillions of dollars or even more percent of gdp and it was said that at that time it

was the risk of a national crisis, but uh, when the us dollar supremacy was wrong, uh, a situation was created where we could spend and take on these obligations without much consequences it the stock of dollars was huge. uh, the fed was printing new dollars to buy that debt, and it wasn't that important. ah, high military spending and other reasons led to inflation anyway, the global supply of dollars by the end of the nineties was so huge that this budget deficit was not so terrible and, uh, under bush then they said that uh in the discussion ha, the budget on the capitalist hill there was no difference between uh republican democrats. everybody wanted

spending more in washington rather financed the global war on terror. and uh, before the crisis of the eighth year. we have had a decade of economic stagnation and so on, what a similar financing, and the chinese economy has led to such an imbalance in the world this decade. at least, let's say so until 2016, when donald trump became such a problem with me, the main pain, we are also talking about militarization, respectively, and with it , the policy in their troops from afghanistan was the result of a series of miscalculations and mistakes and the united states now the pro is trying to move the main time. uh, we also see these financial costs on the shoulders of europe. the

united states sees china as the main threat to us, but also, accordingly, it turns out that the militarization of syria in the pacific region is also moving, i must say that we have approximately increased our public spending by 50%. and also, accordingly, their treasury will now increase the mission of dollars negative inflation is much more than the external ball over the past 40 years and uh, multiplied by the increase in energy prices sanctions imposed on russia's relations, which also hit those who are in the phyla and, accordingly, also alarmism. we are climate measurement politicians are not aware of it, but now politicians need to make difficult choices in the coming years and it must be said that now the end of the decade of zero interest rates is coming to an end and interest

rates and x-subsidies, respectively , add about 2%, and our debt every year and the money we need, so to speak, that the role of the dollar is refuted by doubt and uh hmm now washington it no longer has the power that it had before china is trying to get out of financial sanctions helping russia to get out of the sanctions that were imposed on the russian federation , certain bonds were also introduced based specifically on the yuan of brazil india indonesia and the strange persian gulf, as well as now, uh, they are trying to mount into the sanctions that are being imposed on the united states and this will undermine the role of the dollar, when the country is about to come to some alternative currencies, and now some russian banks are issuing

yuan loans saudi arabia accepts oil payments from china in yuan instead of dollars. this is only the beginning of this end, but it is quite clear that there will be many more alternative e-currencies that will be used for mutual settlements in trade. and this will undermine the role of the dollar. further further. now i'm coming to the end. i think it would be a mistake, of course, to talk about the complete reduction of the role of the united states on the one hand, the country is in a much better condition than europe, we are now in europe and china economic growth is not significant, and this is primarily due to the policy of the president, respectively, with the role of the chinese communist party and the consequences of cole 19. however, it just

becomes more and more difficult to spend money and the federal reserve system cannot increase the mission for money , they are increasing inflation, however, american politicians and voters will choose between restrictive worlds, which will be displayed in the relations of the age-related russia sector or, accordingly, this will lead to stagnation in europe and as history shows everyone prefers economic growth, and we are now also talking about increasing the defense budget of vetom and therefore the future us president will have to somehow reform foreign policy in order to cope with the threats that are really on the agenda , for example, this is a cool gun from itself iran or china and since the administration of george w. bush. and these are questions.

however, we are now committed to a policy of increasing domestic consumption, that is, about manufacturing on our continent and we want to become a more efficient america thank you very much and i apologize for being a bit overstayed in my time limit. thank you so much. i will also come back to you and turned one of the questions. and now i would like to ask our distinguished participant from algeria, professor, and i am their bison professor of international relations and scientific adviser. e in geopolitics business school. mr subit, please. thank you very much. thank you. i would like to be with you today but unfortunately, circumstances did not allow me to do this. this is a reflection of the time in

which we live and i wanted to thank the valdai discussion club for the heavenly invitation. ah, i especially wanted to talk to dr. fyodor lukyanova and artyom's bums. they did everything possible so that i could speak to you today, i will speak, or rather made several abstract statements, some of which have already been touched upon today, but i would like to speak in more detail about this struggle for the preservation of savagery and the challenges, which are only connected to the superheavyweights, but also to the global south, because i think the global south. this is exactly what challenges global hegemony. and it's a polar world and

i think it's a struggle, just between those who want to maintain the status quo and those who want to challenge that q status for a more democratic world. of order, we are talking not only among the superpowers, but we are also talking about the role of the global and the south. i share a pessimistic point of view, if you and i we are getting acquainted with what he said that in march of this year the new world is really emerging, but it should be headed by the united states, then the head of european diplomacy said that europe is such a paradise, which is surrounded by jungle, these are two

statements that, from my points of view reflect just such a unipolar world dominated by the west that we are used to, previous years and now this world is being challenged. this brother fight will continue. despite such a delusion , such an illusion that liberal measures. so will last forever, because this is the best world order is assumed regardless of all the mistakes and consequences that the global south is considered to have dealt a certain blow to the common good of the state, the conflict that we now see between russia and ukraine is also a reflection of this

competition in terms of the struggle for the emerging world order . i don't know what the world order will be. will we go back to the cold war, but maybe some other type of cold war, because history does not repeat itself. yes, exactly, but in any if so, we will move towards the pains of a multipolar world. that's where the transformations took place. i am sure that the result of this conflict will be. the emergence of a new world order, but no matter what may be the result of this confrontation of the international system. i am afraid that

western elites will continue to be challenged for their dominance. from my point of view, similar trends have been characteristic of the last decade by other states. that is, these tendencies appeared, they began to develop as a result of fatigue-stalinisms in the world as a result of the emergence of the global south. the global south, looks to the birth of alternatives. heat that is, this is the rise of china. this is the return of the status of all the powers of russia and

so on. this is seen by the global south as a more favorable situation, which is no longer ready, but at least this is the impression that we get from the analysis of this part of the world, which cannot go to, let's say, subjection to hegemony, the west, as i said, is it all started before the current crisis in which we live. now, for example, now we see. gaining that gate there are discussions regarding the fact that western hegemony is a hegemony no longer having any moral right to

exist, especially in the global south. if you and i look from the point of view of the globa government, the south, respectively, opposes various interventions in different parts, mirak, syria and somewhere else, or even serbia, etc., and so on. that is why we see that the global south. refrains from participating in the conflicts that are currently taking place, despite some pressure that is being exerted on many developing countries and in the global south. i myself think the advantageous position will be these countries

that will be able to unite in some groups such as this is the sco, or this is the brix which has become more popular in recent years, or even in recent months after the fourteenth meeting that took place recently. this addiction found in narrow agreements must not end or at least be less pronounced now that there is a new world that may emerge. i think it will be connected with the consolidation around non-western values ​​and points of view. i think that these non-western norms and values ​​will in turn lead to the decline of the liberal world

of order or liberal kikimony. i am sure that the sudden state is being called now for a more equal world. accordingly, what was less, shall we say, paternalism, what was it? justice and i think these countries will fight for more independent policy for non-intervention of the inner body. these are the changes that await us in the international system and there is a need for closer cooperation and natural development that excludes the exploitation of natural resources. that is , what we see in the countries of africa is the denial of any non-colonial policy. it is quite

obvious that there is a demand for a new multipolar world order. and at the same time, we see the development of the non-aligned movement and cooperation between different countries, especially in the global south this is how they respond to development needs. i'm sure there's a demand for a less erotic world, a more stable sustainable world that needs to emerge on its own. nobody imposed this

model of development. it can be composed of completely different components and this will lead to a reduction in global tensions and will lead to greater cooperation between countries that face more important challenges. such as climate change food pollution lentenness poverty. this is all those factors with who have to fight the global and yuhu and the global is willing to cooperate in order to put an end to this, the rising cost of energy food eroding living standards. not only in the poor countries, but also

in the developed world of the industrialized world, so i think that if the major powers recognize or any other countries that are killed by hegemony recognize that the struggle for hegemony will lead to the apocalypse. i think this will be such an industry moment for everyone when we create a new world order, where completely legitimate security concerns will lead to impartial policy diplomacy. i think this is something that global would be most welcome. i am convinced that the return to the

princes and systems of the collective. danger will be the best scenario for stabilizing the world order and this particular world order. again, it will be welcomed not only by the global south by many in the developed and developing world, even in rich countries that now live much worse than they used to. i now see a decline in the standard of living among people, and this applies to europe who require more cooperation. rather than confrontation conflicts. thank you very much for your attention. and a big thank you to professor zubire. let them. i won't let you go right away and i'll ask you an additional

question. and those who deal with international relations know that over the past 30 years. ah, the most common stereotypes about the middle east and north africa were instability terrorism and the threat to the world now we see that the most important threat to the world comes from the interaction between russia and the west, not with of the middle east and could not briefly characterize the situation of the middle east region. here in the conditions of 2022, and where is the international terrorism with which they frightened us, where is the instability, where are the numerous threats, or how does it all look now. the main thing is that now the problem in the middle east is, of course, not terrorism.

rather, it is a safety for people social service. especially in the context of the pandemic, which showed real problems in the regions. i don't think the middle east as a whole want to take one side or the other. here they want to deal with these everyday issues, rather than issues of global security, interventions and so on, the former allies, the united states to a more democratic world order that would benefit everyone, they reject, as we throw, something is trying to be

imposed and now i have a request for a more balanced policy into a policy that would take into account the interests of these states. they are some kind of selfish e, interests, superpowers, we spoke very convincingly about how it will be like what interaction might look like state in eurasia as well, but for me, as a person who is trying to deal with international relations, the question arises what degree, uh, of peaceful relations and stable relations between the leading powers for this, for this we need, uh, we see that the major powers of eurasia and china and india have, at times, very uneasy relations. when can or should we expect

complete reconciliation and harmony between the two asian giants? thanks for this question an ideal world on our planet. this 3c illusion will characterize cooperation competition, if competition is poorly managed, then a third conflict arises, countries should understand that instead of taking the maximum point of view and imposing their point of view on others need more moderation. in order to maintain a dialogue a common philosophy in general and in your report. it

can be traced and our leadership talks about it from time to time, if the very concept of the asian century is talking about relations between india and china. this center of attraction in the world. understand the key interests of each other in

what can offend or enchant a partner and there are, of course, a couple of urgent issues countries believe that the resolution of the border issue is the most important, but here we need a dialogue approach that is mutually beneficial on the border issue. and after that, without this, it is difficult to move on to some other areas. we sincerely hope that, uh, the chinese country realizes this reality and this border issue so that both countries achieve synergy and improve economic ties, so that a friendship in this new world. you very interestingly drew our

attention to the fact that in the world of the future. e the center of the hegemon will not be some state, but connected with the infrastructure, the ability of states, but to interact. and now we see how, uh, the state is more and more actively creating alternative ways of interacting with each other in trade finance in other areas, but at the same time, uh, the scale of centralization and monopolization of the world economy, still remains significant those ships that transport goods from indonesia to europe or japan, they are all equally insured in the monopoly companies that are out there in new york or london and do you think, uh, is it necessary to completely break the

monopoly in services and basic services for the world to become truly interconnected? we need to think carefully about what we mean by such words as the hegemon of the superpowers monopoly especially after the second world war. as far as i understand it, the united states as a superpower, because it received the support of a number of systems, this is a collective security mechanism. he is globalization helped here and

even dominating us as the power of multinational corporations has increased, especially in the us and east asia, what else the us does not have others is projecting us military power in fact around everything, even china does not have such an opportunity to project war around the world if we want to achieve.