politicians indonesia awaits guests g20 summit . the mechanism of conflict escalation, how are the materials of our program brewing? next week, indonesia will host a g20 summit meeting of the most representative group of the world's leading nations. never since the emergence of this format have leaders gathered in such a tense international environment. while the top twenty itself is the birth of a common world crises. in the late 1990s, the asian financial crisis exposed the vulnerability of the international financial the system became clear to the key ones, developing countries need to meet more often, and the g8 format is not enough. thus , in 1999, the g20 appeared at a conference in berlin. these countries are home to 2/3 of the world's population. they account for the same two-thirds

of world trade and 85% of the world's gross national product, the ministers originally met. finance, bank executives, but since 2008 during the financial crisis, the status of the twentieth has risen to the main state and government of co sides. it was more like an emergency meeting. the first anti-crisis summit was held in november 2008. you washington next in april 2009 in london and in september the twenty gathered without assembly preparation. the finalization of agreements is carried out by the so-called sherpa trustee of the country of the chairman. decisions are made by consensus, but are not binding and are subject to approval by the international monetary fund, the world bank and other financial and economic organizations. the g20 was reduced to discussing economic issues, but over time it became political in

2013 in st. petersburg, putin and obama discussed the syrian crisis. the result of which was an agreement on the chemical destruction of the board in 2014 in the australian breezbine, the ukrainian crisis was in the spotlight in 2019 vladimir putin and donald trump discussed the situation in syria iranian nuclear agenda timeline of forums an illustration of how politics took over the economy every indonesian president is no exception setting the agenda and prioritizing sustainable development the challenge of global inequality. improving the quality of people's lives, protection, health,

everything is urgent and long-term, but the current stories are constantly being pushed aside. forever. we have to understand that a situation in which 1 billion people control the other 6 billion controls a huge share of the global economy is an extremely unbalanced world. it's time to think about creating new coalitions, for example russia china india perhaps intones to strengthen this part of the world, and here it is not necessary to rely only on the twenty, that there the development agenda is to clarify other topics. even the russian ukrainian problem is about twenty. this is not why we are seeking to create a new global health architecture. to be prepared for a future pandemic, indonesia has prepared a proposal to ensure the strength of supply chains , especially in strategically important sectors such as food and energy. we try to involve the work of representatives of civil society, especially religious organizations

this year, the ukrainian conflicts, its consequences, defining topics, so that the military-political rivalry phenomenon does not appear on the official agenda. not only the european everyone understands this, the southeastern and especially the asia-pacific region is turning into a space for a new confrontation, the main issue of the united states and new everything related to the alliances created by the americans, the main problem. increasingly intense competition between large countries before the whole us around the taiwan issue 3 months ago, when the friction intensified sharply. we immediately felt this on the situation with our supply chains and food. the energy carriers very much hope that all the major countries of the us china russia will rely more on multilateral solutions and less on the unilateral use of force. whether it be economic or military , because both are destructive, all strong countries in

our region risk turning into russia in the eyes of the united states and small territories, for example, taiwan ukrainization threatens, the way russia was treated was first excluded from the decision-making process, and now unprecedented sanctions are being introduced, it can happen to anyone. we are all interested in a more balanced world. vladimir putin will not go to bali. personal participation would draw more attention to the forum, but the degree of confrontation would also increase considerably, most likely other topics. the experience of the polarization of the twenty would simply lose its meaning, one can recall the presence of putin in australia in 2014. in 2014 vladimir putin's visit to the australian g20 summit took place against the backdrop of a sharp deterioration in relations between the west and moscow was criticized for its position on ukraine and blamed for the crash of a

malaysian boeing that crashed on the territory of the dpr , pressure on the russian president began at the apec meeting in beijing, when australian prime minister abbott demanded from putin an apology for the downed boeing 777 the russian embassy reported that the organization of the visit is going through difficulties. many requests for a presidential accommodation meeting are ignored in at the airport, the russian leader was met by minor members of the australian government, while the first person of australia was not far away, and a few minutes later they were met by angela merkel and xi jinping. the first day itself is the country's leading newspaper courier. i printed two words on the front page. excuse me. offer the russian president to apologize for the plane crash, and the next day the publication came out with the image of a russian bear in a fur hat with the coat of arms of the ussr on his chest, attacking an australian kangaroo, then the media gloated

canadian prime minister stephen harper was quoted as greeting the russian president with a cold handshake and demands to get out of ukraine, to which putin replied that this was impossible, since the russian army, there is no one, another demonstrative action took place during an official lunch, when the russian president of brazil turned out to be together at a large table, and during the general photographing, putin was generally offered a place on the edge. as a result, the president of russia left the g20 ahead of schedule, citing the need to rest before a long flight, the british curtain, interpreted the act as a sign of weakness, and the president himself said that all the issues outlined had been discussed. and not without irony noted that the summit was held in a benevolent atmosphere. be that as it may, the confrontational mood will grow and the functionality of the

twenty was in question until recently it seemed. this structure is turning into a real body, if not world management, then coordination, in contrast to the seven or regional organizations. she is representative, in contrast to the classical institutions of the un system, flexible and adaptive, but also practice-oriented, rather than a prototype of a new architecture. however, the split that became apparent due to the ukrainian confrontation. he showed the potential for interaction is limited, and it's not only in russia that, apart from western and non -western participants, they see differently about what and how to theoretically talk about twenty. it should be precisely the space of compromise that the practical goal of the united states and allies is to achieve approval of their agenda, and the rest interested. in this, we dare to assume less and less what will grow? for forums and structures of a different type, those that unite

countries are closely related to each other, including geographically and really facing common, most applied problems of security and development are also not a panacea, but there may be more sense. in the united states, midterm elections were held exactly in the middle between presidential voters voted for a new composition of the house of representatives, the third senate was renewed, the elected governors of a number of states voting is considered to be a kind of plebiscite, which evaluates the work of the current head of state. joe biden can not boast of high ratings. but here he was. trust, although not sure, received contrary to the expectations of a resounding success. the republicans didn't happen. although control over the lower house. they seem to have found the senate while in limbo. on the eve of the election, bookmakers were betting that the

republicans would confidently take a majority in the senate. first news of the western territory itself united states of guam in the tv series optimism. there , for the first time in 30 years, the republicans elected their delegate to congress with an advisory vote, then the republican governor rondesantis won with a crushing score in florida, but after that, the red wave, named because of the color of the republican party, which was supposed to dislodge the democrats subsided. but other news came in pennsylvania, there was a shortage of ballots in some places. they simply were not voters. stubbornly stood in line a similar situation developed in some other states. what about the fact that donald trump addressed the voters in arizona. don't leave the line, stay where you are. they say the machines don't work bulletins are gone. the main thing is not to leave, as you are being forced

to do so, meanwhile, rand paul and margaret taylor green, the infamous conspiracy theorist, were able to get re-elected without any problems . no problem with most. in 70% of the votes. head of the lower house. nancy pelosi also made it through the election successfully. however, materials began to appear on the network about possible falsification of the vote, for example, they wrote that an employee of the polling station was in this video. philadelphia is the traditional fiefdom of the democrats. not that there are marks on the ballots, massive breakdowns of electoral machines, allegedly from the same low- quality ballots. just added fuel to the fire. exit. broadcasting pool. cnn showed that 73% of americans are unhappy with the way things are going. this literally discouraged the veda. which

commenting on the course of these elections for voters , the questions about inflation or the abortion law turned out to be more important, the presenter was so upset with the results that she even said, you know what is missing in these 1 2 3 4 5 main issues of democracy. perhaps most bizarre was the news that congress had elected two democrats who died before the vote was taken, a pennsylvania entlet who died on october 9 from cancer at age 85, but was re-elected and died on october 25 by tennis player barbara cooper 93 of the year. she won the race in her district. let's add that in pennsylvania, which our correspondent dmitry vershinin talked about a week ago , the democrat john

setterman won. presidential candidate, but in the republican party, a new star is indeed rising for the governor of florida. ron desantis, won a landslide re-election to the traditional the swing state, which under him swung sharply to the right, they said that the desantes presidential candidate is more successful than trump himself - this was alarming. desantes is only 44 years old, from an ordinary family, he spent most of his childhood in florida, attended a catholic school and played baseball, then graduated with honors from harvard and received a degree in history and law. more students. desantes was promoted to officer and assigned to the corps of the general court of the advocate of the navy in the 2000s served as a prosecutor in the naval

us base in the world, the party worked as inmates of the guantan prison and in cuba and then in iraq as a legal adviser to the commander of the special forces in elfoluchzhe and romay in 2010, the paratroopers left the military, and in the same year married cassie black tv reporters, local news anchors the couple had three children children later worked as a federal prosecutor in 2011, he published a book in which he sharply criticized the policies of barack obama and before becoming governor of florida, he was a member of the us house of representatives for 5 years, moreover, flatly refused his pension and health insurance benefits in 2018, with the support of donald trump desantes, ran for governor of florida and won the republican primaries overall national popularity came to him during the pandemic, when authorities around the world tightened

restrictions on the governor of florida. weakened them did not require compulsory wearing of masks vaccination fined the company that required mandatory vaccinations from employees at the same time successfully implemented measures to protect the elderly as a result, the mortality rate in florida was within the average. and the state's economy is one of the best in the country. the advocate of traditional values ​​banned the discussion of sexual orientation and gender identity in schools. stupid for the open carrying of weapons and against critical racial theory, this is when any white person from birth an exploiter and racist paratrooper also stated that the story of russian interference in the us elections is fake and demanded to stop the investigation. what to expect next, talk to jeffrey sachs professor at columbia university, he is not

only one of the most famous specialists in international development relations, but a man of bright and independent thinking professor sachs, what will change in american politics after these midterm elections. it looks like the republicans will have a slight advantage in the house of representatives. in this case, biden will have a difficult time. after all, any legislative decision in the united states depends on party interests and, accordingly, the alignment of forces. even if the republicans have a majority of one or two votes. this makes it possible to determine the trip that is put up for a vote. what commissions are being created that are being investigated when they call us for a hearing, and they will use this for political purposes, including to help win the republicans in the 2024 presidential election. this will happen all the more if it also goes to the republicans, but even one chamber will have an impact, it is unlikely that the decisive system

is paralyzed as a whole, but you often hear noticeable polarizations in the united states, some even talk about a cold civil war. what is the main essence of the contradiction, in some issues the system does not depend much on the position of the party, for example, it concerns decisions. in the economic sphere, powerful lobbies pursue their line, regardless of whether the republicans are in power or the wall street democrats of the military-industrial complex are oil workers. big farm. in general, no matter who rules, the party polarization manifests itself in the cultural wars as republicans are largely a party of whites, christians, evangelicals, rural dwellers, and small towns. democrats. they whites, african-american populations, minority populations, urban dwellers, cultural francs are numerous, but carried in the economy. it was traditionally believed that the democrats are more pro- poor, and the republicans are the

rich, but now the two parties are confused. extremely dependent on large donors infused with corporate interests. and this dictates policy, for example, now the democrats controlled both chambers and the white house, but conflicts within the party between different corporate lobbies prevented what is considered democratic the agenda of the conservative wing is closely connected with the donors. blocked initiatives of the progressive wing the american political system has always been distinguished by dynamism, and, so to speak, the ability to renew itself. how did it happen that now in both parties, as it were, there is no alternative to biden or trump to both by the age of eighty i call the brezhnev era of american politics. well , brezhnev was younger. yes, perhaps, so brezhnev andropov we climbed in a geriatric state. it's unbelievable biden, should've gone on age, even if he were a great president,

well, it's just time to need a new generation of leaders, but the elderly hold on to power. it 's discouraging that the overall bipartisan leadership of congress is past 70 or toward 80. perhaps the point is that us politics is too dependent on funding electoral cycles, the very expensive current midterm elections. they cost a total of billions, 15 many billionaires, had a hand, and they must think they are investing candidates who, from their point of view, will provide stability of corporate interests, famous historian. arthur schleisinger, jr., he was also an adviser to the president. kennedy 60 years ago, described the cycle of american politics. every 20-40 years there is a change. trend right and left conservatives, progressives and so on. the presidency has been dominated by conservative forces relying on big capital ever since. they

no longer actually changed democrats, remained the same rut trump was somewhat of an aberration, but above all because of his unstable personality. he didn't change the structure. the authorities reduced taxes and regulated in the interests of the rich from the point of view of corporate lobbies, was no different. on the eve of the us midterm elections, the donkey is traditionally a symbol of the democratic party, and the drawing is titled reserve parachute at anchor and, if anything, written by the badger of the amazing wizard of the country. oz we have this story better known, thanks to the book. volkova the wizard of oz in our case, the shoes are marked red wave, a drawing by adam sieglitz. dana summers and her

campaign hustle. the top picture is the democratic candidate, and the person on the right. it looks like a biden, the lower republicans and on the left is obviously a trumpes and his drawing of a divided america here, and so everything is clear without words. the outlook for the upcoming presidential election michael ramirez and his drawing of shining 2024 are seen to be looking forward to the presidential election campaign russia and putin are often referred to as the reasons for the economic problems, to what extent this is so. or maybe it is just the product of a decision that we made before, we have long been in a very unstable international environment since the 2008 crisis. at the end of the last decade, instability worsened because trump

unleashed an economic war against china began to destroy value chains. then the pandemic began. it was destroying everything and lifestyle in the global economy. the federal reserve has ramped up the distribution of money, and this has created the inflationary momentum that we still feel military operations in ukraine sanctions a sharp rise in energy prices. this all exacerbated the problem of columnation on the one hand. it’s just inflation from another contraction of the economy and at the same time the united states is building up an economic war with china . of course, military actions have become an aggravating circumstance, but not the reason for the general destabilization, when businessmen are engaged not in business, but in politics, or rather, in it. it is said that they should do the normal economic logic is discarded. can we expect that the us position on ukraine will change as long as the feeling that tactical differences

have not affected the common goal, it is such that russia must be defeated sooner or later the americans will get bored with everything. they will get bored and support for ukraine in an endless war, public opinion in the us begins to pour. this is not a fundamental change, but a gradual loss of enthusiasm, paradoxically, but republicans are much less interested in war than democrats. however, the republicans are divided. there are supporters and zaletsanism. there are factions those leaning towards russia are those who support ukraine, there are logisticians of the vk democrats. i'm surprised it always voted democratic, but it's now a neocon party. it's very strange when i was growing up the democrats were the new left parties. my first political experience was at 15 years old. i participated in the protests against the vietnam war are pretty much democratic now. we will hardly find anyone in the party who is against the war 30 progressive democrats in congress issued

a letter calling for negotiations, their fellow party members they just wiped off the powder. i had to withdraw the letter and yet the dynamics are expected. in which direction more and more people will ask, why are there no negotiations in the american meist? there are extremely few who would like to understand the history of the issue, no one wants to understand what happened in 2004. nobody is interested in the maidan of yanukovych's edition of 2008 , and no one is interested in inviting ukraine and georgia to nato to look deeper on february 24th. nevertheless , sparks appear who at least ask a question. and what happens in general, someone does not want, so that it drags on forever, someone is embarrassed by the prospect of dying in a nuclear war, someone simply does not understand. why is there no diplomatic component shifting just a little bit, if the republicans get the house, we will hear

more calls for some kind of negotiations. although few. who understands what kind of negotiations and what thanks for we talked with professor jeffrey sachs. the topic of migration has been extremely acute in recent years, this time it has remained in the shadow of the company of americans, they are more concerned about inflation and the state of wallets, but the problem has not gone away and republicans do not forget to point out that the situation has not become worse, marat sadan reported. for six months, buses with migrants from arizona texas stopped near the station buildings directly opposite the capitol, but in mid- september something changed, they began to land directly at the residence of the vice president. kamala grayling, of course, migrants bring not only here to the capital, but also to new york and chicago. according to the latest data, such migrants are only from april to september. would cross the border around 11.000 people, and those who arrive are left to the production of

fate. in the middle of the street, the message from the republican government of texas and arizona is simply that you love migrants in washington. that's what the biden administration has been doing. harris has been ignoring the situation on the border, exposing texas to great danger for 2 years now. our king of the second plan, haris, was not really at the border, but declares that everything is fine there, so we will continue to send buses in their cities. until the bidens, kharis, start doing something. basically, of course. this migrants from latin american countries venezuela colombia nicaragua for many to reach the us border is already a real test. my journey began from home in venezuela. i got to colombia on the chaise longue, crossed the magdalena by boat, then walked through the jungle, reached panama, it was hard. but that's probably how i got to panama then was honduras guatemala and mexico well, the ordeal doesn't end here in arizona. texas, they

are held in temporary detention centers for identification, then they are waiting for several days roads on american highways. i must say that all this pleasure is at the expense of taxpayers in the states of texas and arizona for free . it was in texas that they put me on a bus and sent washington driving. i have a little more than a day. and today they dropped us off right here, they didn’t say where we would be dropped off, they said that the washington stop, the washington city hall , in fact, is not doing anything to the budgets on these bottoms. no one singled out migrants, therefore, care for the neighbor falls on the shoulders, mainly non-profit organizations. we've met to date, approximately 160 buses from texas and 50 due to reason numbers are rising our goal is to help them get where they're going? explain what to feed and clothe. if necessary, we do not keep in touch with them. but for those who decided to stay, but we help to integrate, many migrants

really know where they are going. and what will they do here they are met by americanized relatives. there are those who simply do not have the money to get to the right city, so why not use free buses while you can, of course, there are those who have nowhere to go, and they decide to sit in large cities. it 's easier to get settled here. the truth is far from being perceived in the united states by all latin americans ; most people from countries such as mexico , honduras or el salvador are immediately sent back, while people from nicaragua, cuba and venezuela are accepted because of the construction of these countries. the us has no diplomatic relations and obligations, so they cannot send them back to name illegal migrants are prohibited by law. they can stay in america for no more than 60 days until their status changes, of course, the refugee crisis is another burden for the struggling american economy, but there are other reasons why migrants are not welcome here. the united states is experiencing a serious

demographic crisis. the population of the so -called anglo-saxons is decreasing, and the number of people of other skin tones is increasing brown and latin american or black from africa is just what scares the white majority. we see rejection and bad attitude towards these people. racism. nobody canceled. while everyone is bending his own line. republican states continue to send migrants to the north such a crisis in the history of the united states has not yet been kept silent by the democrats, but in new york a state of emergency due to this still declared the homeless overcrowded. migrants suffer, but continue to believe in the american dream current threat of war do not leave try those

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if you finally persuaded your grandmother to try these sandwiches of yours. we can’t let you down, so on the way to you, the ingredients of each burger go through more than a thousand checks of high quality, tasty, and that’s the point. the world is uncomfortable with the threat of a big war, including nuclear, something is discussed in no way speculatively, but in an applied aspect every day someone. let the events in ukraine say only the beginning in schools. again, the nvp, the course of service, attended to checking, bomb shelters, just in case, in developed

countries, to which we belong for several for decades they have become accustomed to the idea of ​​a warrior, as in the first half of the 20th century it cannot be, and suddenly, it turns out that this is confidence, rather it was security. winston churchill in his book the second world war claimed that when marshal foch found out about the contents of the peace treaty at versailles 1919. he said this is not the world. this is a truce for 20 years, the french military commander suspected something, but immediately after the first world war, europe was rapidly collapsing, germany lost the opportunity to have a modern army, and its opponents of england, france purposefully got rid of weapons and, even more so, they were not going to spend money on new politicians , they understood that the real contradictions had not gone away, but it was almost impossible to explain to society that it was necessary to prepare for a new war, so

compromise decisions were made one of them, for example, construction on the german border line. we wife are named after the minister of war investing money in defensive works, but in the twenty-ninth year, the great depression broke out worldwide. a crisis affected, including europe, therefore, military spending, generally shelved, everything changed in january of the thirty-third year, when adolf hitler became chancellor of germany during his reign, the volume of military production increased by 22 times. from thirty-four to forty. at some point it becomes clear. that a new war cannot be avoided, but england, france, is not ready for it, modern historical research. this is how they explain the essence of the munich agreement of the thirty-eighth year, when the european democracies, which guaranteed the security of czechoslovakia, literally gave the country to the hyper both sides, then they were not

ready to give him an armed rebuff. on the other hand, military budgets after 1938 increase tenfold. first of all, money goes to aviation, the most costly sphere of military development, which has not been dauphin for a long time. the exception in this series was the soviet union, which began to prepare for a new war after the military alarm of the year 27, that very our answer to chamberlain, the danger of a military conflict. forced moscow to carry out accelerated industrialization with the help of two stalinist five-year plans and create a whole new industry , for example, aviation, which simply did not exist before. as for how and where it comes from, we will talk with our good friend historian andrei isaev. andrey hello, the habit of the world. in general, how is it being

formed, is it a new phenomenon, or before there were also periods when it seemed that there would never be a war again from what we know from what we can even compare our existence, and immediately the world is remembered at the beginning of the twentieth century, the end of the xix century, what was then called the french beautiful era. as you remember in three tuzenbachs, he says now no, no execution, no torture, invasions, that is, they thought like that, uh, felt that there was no invasion. although there were wars, but small european wars and it seemed that maybe there would be no war. and this influenced the fact that then it began, and what? here is such a large-scale one, this one, as if psychological unpreparedness, i would not begin to explain, uh, the causes of wars by psychological explanations, in my opinion, this is dangerous. this is a dangerous explanation. this is

a cheap and dangerous psychological explanation . well then. let's not be psychological, if we try to summarize historical experience. now we are witnessing a very stormy development of events. can we say that the prerequisites for a big war have been created? here are the objective psychological prerequisites, uh, large, i mean, comparable to the world, but in the form it could be now, i would say yes, but based on what we are seeing now. and given that decision makers make mistakes based on an incorrect assessment of the situation. namely, just the experience of the first world war, which i have already said, i’m just clearly witnessing, after all, we now see the history of the beginning of the 20th century as leading to an inevitable confrontation, but, in october 1913, less than a year was left before the start of the war, the grand duke kirill

vladimirovich kaiser wilhelm ii solemnly open a b leip - near leipzig near leiptsi at the site of the leipzig battle of the leipzig battle of peoples. the temple is a monument, st. alekseevsky temple, a monument is a monument of russian glory where all the names of russian officers of the soldiers, it seems, also died. uh, on the battlefield. together with prussia, october turns out to be the fifteenth year it was conceived. the third hague peace conference was to be held, so there are different forces. and just that's what a there is nothing predetermined in the end. it can also serve as a very dangerous warning. that is, as i understand it, you are rather inclined towards the version that was very popular. not this way long ago, by the centenary of the beginning of the first world war,

immortality came out. uh, christopher clarke sleepwalkers about that, in general, nobody wanted, but somehow they came, like the nabuls themselves, to this war, and meanwhile we taught it at school or there at the university lenin’s article capital imperialism, how higher and the last to become capitalism, where he explained in great detail that it was inevitable, because the division of the market and all that. here, that is, you still believe that it was quite avoidably avoided. and if if you are in a marxist field, then there was lenin and there was skeleton and with an article, but about ultra imperialism. as he called it, which the karkaut karkaut was not afraid to publish already in september of the fourteenth year, uh, in his edition of the main theoretical publication. the european social democrats, at least those who read german, that is, in general all uh, de noet site modern times ultra imperialism. ah, very alive. a reading that reminds me of the times of globalization

may already be fading away, and large corporations will divide the world and they will not even need a war. that he believed already in september 14. he was so visibly confident in his theoretical strength that he was not afraid to publish it when the war had already broken out, but the meaning was such that we would come to this anyway. and this does not mean that it will be a world of justice, ultimately a system of thinking and decisions of those who are those politicians who ultimately decided to mobilize and start a war. and really you see how much it would seem to be not predetermined, and here i would think about it. it seems pavlovich schroeder, danger in a two-block system, there is a danger of errors and a wave of errors in the conditions of two blocks, when

the polarization increases and crystallizes. that is, in this sense, if there are many players, how would the system be obtained, as it was after the congress of vienna? well, uh, one of the uh hypothetical parallels, which, of course, are always false, but still, uh, technical progress, some kind of technological turning point in the emergence of new types of weapons push their use. starlink - these are several thousand satellites overhead to get online you need a terminal, it comes in a box a little larger than a pizza box, a satellite dish is placed so that you can see the sky. here, in fact, the signal is fed to the satellite. and then many satellites fly through the gateway to the internet. they are in low orbit, so the transmission speed is

quite high, the simplicity is that all the equipment is, in fact, a dish and a wi-fi router , you can connect anything to it. if you want an encrypted connection or a laptop with navigation, you can just take a photo from your smartphone on the social network, the antenna itself adjusts and catches satellites to work. it can even be driven by car. the main thing is that there is a gateway nearby or the so-called ground receiving station, the satellite must see it officially in ukraine they are not, but there is ru in poland. and hungary therefore, the farther from europe and closer to the border with russia, the worse the internet is more complicated. this term can be called a cage in general, all satellite communications, including civil military, have been replaced for several generations. whether they will decide to connect the ukrainian army to modern systems is difficult to say, it's quite risky. but there is another option to the foot of the

stationary orbit of the seventies, the satellites of the arcia company are still working. they were used by the us navy. but now they are in reserve only for safety. there is no easier way, through them can work almost every day communicates with his wife, right in the sea. the satellite receives a signal at one frequency and relays it to the ground. on the other hand, nowhere is easier. but there are nuances to eavesdrop on such a transmission. anyone can, of course, there are digital modes of communication, but there is no longer it turns out how starling works on the go, the antenna must be aimed exactly at the satellite. in addition, there will be a delay in the signal, the satellite hangs high enough in geostationary orbit. so just replacing starlink with satcom will not work. the first world

war also showed this in part. yes, if you strive, if you have ripened the conditions for war, you believe that war is legitimate and ultimately the right decision, then you can strive to get around the opponent, who is also developing weapons. this is the danger that exists. it is today and we see. and how can you try to take advantage while you have it? that's what i would say, the main threat here and that was it. it's already noticeable before the first world war. well, we know that, for example, the russian army had to be re-equipped in the seventeenth year. so it was, and i would say so, but one of the variables in this equation. the first world war gave rise to an incredible surge of ideas in the field of weapons and

technology, on the one hand, single-shot guns from the franco-prussian war were taken out, and on the other hand, they were preparing to produce automatic rifles, weapon grenade launchers, mortars and flamethrowers appeared, tanks transformed from tailed rhombuses into renault ft17 in it and now the familiar appearance of a tracked vehicle is recognized, the hull and turret with a cannon, and not every tank could boast of 50 mm armor of the french ball 2c world war ii aviators began the first war in rag airplanes and could only threaten the enemy with a fist or a ram, and ended up in all-metal vehicles with machine guns and cannons , the first sonar system appeared eavesdropping, in fact, from scratch, anti-aircraft artillery appeared, which did not exist before. in 1914 , artillery firing at a distance of no more than 10 km from the eighteenth

year was considered effective; the famous parisian gun fired at 130 km before the war, it was believed that a gun with a caliber of 75 mm. in principle, it is enough for most tasks by the end of the confrontation, one shell of a french five hundred and twenty-millimeter gun weighed more than a field gun, in the end, during the second world war, such a phenomenon as a spy appeared mania, fear of the current machine, which is capable of blowing up the whole factory, provoked general paranoia and the search for hostile agents. moreover, even in the united states, before the country entered the war and finally enters the first world war, they first began to use weapons of mass destruction, poisonous substances became commonplace on the battlefield, and a gas mask was an obligatory part of the equipment. the use of gas so frightened everyone that in world war ii they were practically not used. former eras, with

all the nightmares that the war brought, especially big she was considered a completely normal way to resolve international contradictions. we are used to thinking in recent decades. and not only after the cold war during the cold war, what is not true? can we assume that the understanding of war as a more or less normal instrument of politics is now returning? i 'm afraid that yes, and here i have. eh, again, going back to the time of the beginning of the 20th century. i re-read tolstoy i re-read all the pacifist writings of tolstoy and not only re-read, honestly saying that you read it for the first time, uh, and such a thought crept into my head, it’s clear that tolstoy’s pacifism is a part, and broad tolstoy’s, which implies the transfiguration of man, and modern man, as he is, will

fight transformed. oleg will not fight. but, and then you look carefully at the details that tolstoy is here and you think, and who is more realist tolstoy, or, say, grigory nikolayevich trubetskoy, who so defended russian interests in the balkans, and we know where this all led and where these russians are interested in the balkans. and where did this slavic brotherhood end up and where did bulgaria end up, by the way, in the first world war, so who is the realist, uh, trubetskoy and or tolstoy, there are a lot of small accurate remarks to tolstoy , including, and hmm, just remarks about e about propaganda and about the great people's war about danger. such a war is not a war, the eighteenth century is not a war of professional armies. very, very sober reading here is interesting. eh, now they are arguing a lot, and what an era is now brewing in our country, some just think that we

back to the professional army. and others , on the contrary, that i don’t know about these, the rise, the pmcs and everything else, these are just the forerunners of the fact that the war will be a universal affair. but you mentioned propaganda, again before the first world war, it is known that there was a surge of such chauvinism now e propaganda, due to simple communication tools, is turning into total, no one could have dreamed of this, there 150 or 100 years ago, does this mean that we are already doomed now that it will be right here these waves will be grab and do nothing about it. i'm afraid so. because, probably, like you, i had certain rationalistic illusions when the internet appeared. uh-huh it turned out that the person, unfortunately, is not that transformed person, but the same old adam

who reads everything and loves to be in a cocoon, but prejudice. a. i'm not even afraid of propaganda addressed to the people to the people. i am even more afraid of how e politicians, but with varying degrees of democracy of societies and states, and politicians, who make the final decision about starting a war. eh, they themselves become, and no longer subjects, but objects of propaganda, that people themselves can begin to believe in certain phantom images, ideological images. well, yes, perhaps the worst form of deception is self-deception, which we often see. thank you so much. our guest was andrey lev resaks called american politics, the brezhnev era, referring to the age of the characters leonid ilyich died exactly 40 years ago, then his

reign was then as soon as they were not evaluated from hanging on the stagnation of all dogs to tender embellishment. after all, it was a golden time, everyone is right in their own way, looking back from today's realities, it is probably worth remembering first of all the then experience of confrontation between the ussr and the usa, intransigence did not exclude an understanding of the limits of the bitterness of its danger. it would be nice not to forget this lesson. i will stagnate. the name of this house of peace would not be symbolic in the same way as our relations, so that they acquire an epochal character and go down in history as a sign of mutually beneficial peace friendship. unisa respect between our peoples, so as not to there was a war it was an international review,

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