hello , the international review is on air at the fedor genes studio today in the program of the international review events of the week of the chronicles facts comments how does the worldview change the world balance shakes the materials of our program not in a childish way? left

here it ends, the year for which a place in history is reserved will be a chapter of a paragraph or a line, we will find out later, depending on the scale of further changes. the more we punish ourselves, the more modest 22 will look, but it will definitely remain in the textbooks. some illusions. divorced others arose, the past has come into the present and even wants to become the future, but the future is also not a miss. he has his views on us contemporaries. it seems that right now everything turned upside down at once. this, of course, is not the way the prerequisites arose long ago, the train will be long. in any case, by the twenty-second year. we will have to return more than once in order to more accurately understand the course of modern

history, the year 2022 must be analyzed by concepts not only in transference, but also in the truest sense of the word. how the classical concepts of international relations have changed from what happened in the shaking. let's talk to two of our most thoughtful friends, ivan saranchuk. today will present the passion and strength of the actor tuzmukhamedov, right and justice, not to be confused with the polish party of the same name, dear guests. hello happy new year to you. let's go. with trump cards, as they say now, ah ivan e, the year is 2022 according to the time scale, where do we send forward or backward? and now, from my point of view, all the main players are arguing about this , they perceive what is happening this year, as a correction of the mistakes of the past, and not just a transition somewhere in the past. but somewhere we didn’t finish it a little in the past and now we’ll fix it, in principle, there has always been a

point of view that we didn’t finish them off in vain, then at the beginning we didn’t know. and for a long time, it was marginal. e point of view. she never died, but she was somewhere in the shadows. so behind the scenes, and now she has come to the fore. here they are correcting it. they, as it has become customary to consider, uh, their own stupidity, or, as it seems to them, actually own kindness, that is, correcting the mistakes of the past for the sake of a brighter future is obtained, but this, firstly, is disputed in every country. and to what historical depth do we need to boil the mistakes we have e how uh? you know very well fedor, there are those who believe that it is necessary to go all the way to peter the pre- petrine times in correcting historical, e, some mistakes. uh, own, but in the west, mostly spoken. uh, these are the last uh of the last decades, but

we are also basically, as it were, leaning towards the correction of the last decades, what is it? yes. it is at the same time correcting the recent past and clearing one's own way. not in the future, but if we talk about the categories of game parties, then the game provides for at least some rules, where in your field of international law and international humanitarian law, like, like, over the previous couple of centuries, great progress has been made. it is on the one hand, and on the other hand. right now, at the words of international law, many especially political scientists have such wry smiles on their faces. yes, here we are, including, and for example, humanitarian right, but in conditions of large-scale and very bloody hostilities. these are total disasters. you said progress has been made in 200 years. and now we are also shrinking for 200 years to a period of 2-4 years and we say that now there is a regression. let's think cyclically, after all, i don't want to

talk about the next two years, when there will be another progress but no. we are now focused skepticism about international law is largely focused on those sections of it that govern the use or non-use of force. it separate conversation. i am ready to continue it, but please note that international law. here is the scope of force regulation of the use of force is a relatively new area before. it was precisely this section that was unregulated, while such sections of the most extensive sections of international law as the law of the sea developed. consular diplomatic law, which continues to apply air law. i am not talking now about the fact that russian airlines cannot fly to the vast majority of countries in the world. as well as our airspace is closed to most foreign airlines, but regulation nonetheless.

in this area, the standards of the rule of law and cao international civil aviation organizations remain. and when the institutions established by sectoral international human rights treaties, the so-called human rights committees on social economic law against torture , and so on, did not disappear. they somehow continue to function. these are not courts. these are not espch on a global level, but they are nonetheless take out, the decision by which the state, and more often than vice versa, relate to uh, with respect , of course, much depends. from the level of cooperation between these states and relevant institutions, as far as international humanitarian law is concerned? you see, i proceed from the fact that the law is not silent, even when the guns are speaking. therefore, international humanitarian law, in principle,

should now exist for him, even if it is local. but still, the dawn happens, whether it happens or not. i'm not entirely sure, of course, but still. i'm uh in the article was published on march 10 of this year. e called for the fact that in the outbreak of an armed conflict, which i cannot characterize, otherwise than an international armed conflict, that is, subject to the wife of the entire convention and the first additional protocol to the geneva conventions. so, within the framework of this conflict, it is necessary to observe the observance of international humanitarian law by one's own and carefully record the case of its violation by the opposite country. it is necessary to punish both of them, because if under venous to a given commander in the field is a fighter, junior commanders do not comply with international

humanitarian law, such a thing leads to the fact that a higher commander loses control over his army. here bakte reisovich raised a very important question about the strength of the village in our international affairs. this is the basic category of relationships. and here on the one hand. the holiday has come to our street. here again, i, and especially the military, returned to the center, and on the other hand, you look at all this feeling that someone is using it, and the result let's say not quite the same as they expected, in recent decades they began to relate to some kind of miracle. unfortunately, the americans taught us to do this, they themselves got used to it and created such an impression for others. here everyone is seated. but now there will be both, and something wonderful. uh, it seems to me that it started with uh the first war in the gulf. e,

which took place according to the concept that he then proposed. uh, their chief of staff, this is a war with a position of absolute superiority. and here is the power, which means almost miracles - some kind of miracle happens. yes all beautifully flies shoots and now it turns out, the result is obtained. the us p-triot air defense system costs about half a billion dollars, the pentagon told cnn. at the same time, one shot will cost 4 million for maintenance, a team of 90 people is needed, and it will also take more than one month to train them. in israel, there is an iron dome complex for the last 10 years. he fights with shelling from the gaza strip, the interceptor missile does not hit the target exactly, but explodes nearby and destroys it. each launch costs israel 66.000

euros, and the cost of a rocket that flies out of gas is unlikely to exceed a few hundred dollars pvs vietnam during the war was missing a little more than 150 aircraft. while the us only multirole f4 phantom fighters lost more than 700 units. and 20%. amounted to non-combat losses in 1965, a ford mustang car cost $ 2,400. the phantom is more than 2 million, that is, for this amount it was possible to buy almost 900 mustangs, moreover, for every 2 hours of flight. it was necessary to give one more ford, these days the situation has changed the cost of one f-35 is about 100 million dollars, and one pound will have to be paid not for two, but for 1 hour of flight, in general, more than one and a half trillion dollars were spent on the f-35. this is more than the gdp of spain, mexico or

saudi arabia, while the program has been criticized for more than 10 years. the pentagon has repeatedly reported shortcomings, and the us congress has even threatened to stop purchasing. it is not surprising that not every ship is suitable for the flights of such aircraft, for example, the american nuclear aircraft carrier exactly the trader entered the rotten guinness records as the world's most expensive cost of this multi-purpose carrier ship with a nuclear power plant more. $4.5 billion professionals know very well that strength is , uh, blood under uh, horror. uh, suffering and always something unforeseen. eh, even the clausian wrote that there is a war, that there is a war, including the spirit of war. that is, this is some kind of self-occurring dynamics and just

the art of politicians not to succumb to the spirit of war and not to enter. here, in some kind of hostility, do not find yourself in the logic of the war itself, but preserve the political e, the goals of the war and do not deviate from them second. but in principle, for several decades now, we have been observing a situation where it is easier to deprive someone of victory than to win, that is, to prevent someone from achieving his goal by military means to raise the price. ah, the price of war uh make it unacceptable to try, just uh either. uh, here's to increase the price of war, or ignite this spirit of war, so that the war has captured everything and political goals have been lost, we see in a number, for example, a number of regional conflicts, that this is easier to do than to endure, uh,

consistent and effective application. ah, the use of force. this does not mean that this should not be done, it must be abandoned, but it is easier to hinder e, than to achieve e positive e, goals and the third point, it stands in the fact that e in the modern e world, and it is very difficult to fix the balance forces. but in principle, forces have always been used for what , in order to adjust the balance of power and reach a new balance of power and, on its basis , reach political agreements. now fix it. the balances of forces are very difficult, because the confrontation is not only e military, as it is now customary to say hybrid, it occurs in parallel at once in several areas at several sites with different tools. therefore, there is always a possibility, if something does not add up here, to tweak the situation on the neighboring field,

and on the neighboring field, the balance is exactly about this. e. well, my philistine idea is that law is a product of balance, that is, when there is a balance of power, a certain hierarchy, a certain system is established. here comes the right of the rule and so on, if i i absolutely agree with what ivan is saying now, the balance is generally hard to imagine. and then what about the norms and rules, then, well, as the fitter of the swordsmen said about uh, consent is a product of the non-resistance of oxygen. that's when this non-resistance of the parties is achieved then there is, uh, the norm. our outstanding international lawyer, international authority grigor ivanovich tonkin, wrote about the approval of volt by the state. true, some followers. e, they added to the will the will, expressions, that is, the state does not just demonstrate its will backed up by force, but it declares what it would like

to achieve and then begins this negotiation process, but returning to what ivan e said, you understand, and the war in the hall the first war in the hall, memorable also because of the the security council was made, but as it is now customary to say, the outsourcing of the powers of the security council by the state, as it was said in that resolution, which cooperated in providing assistance to the state, that is, the anti-cancer coalition. that is, the security council thereby said that we do not have we do not have the ability to somehow influence this force. but there are those who are ready and able. e to intervene in this situation. charter he about which in such a philistine view they say that it prohibits the use of force. no, he does not prohibit force, firstly, he specifically stipulates situations in which the use of force is possible. immediately,

the situation of aggression, that is, the illegal cross-border use of force, is heard. secondly, reading between the lines and these lines do not really scatter. we discover a situation where the use of force is permissible even in the absence of a real armed attack that has begun. i remember how in 2008, after an act that, other than the aggression of georgia against the russian federation, was more precisely the contingents of the russian armed forces on legal grounds, uh, stationed on our border territory, uh, so in that situation, the russian federation, through the mouth or hand of the then permanent representative of a in russia to the un for the late ivanovich churkin. she presented her document, in which she explained briefly and very clearly. why on what is the basis for the use of force in russia and

what are the goals of this use of force, we are summing up, i have one question for you about the wallpaper. short question short answer. e ivanovna ievich, and what did 22 teach hmm, let's say, to those who deal with international relations? the main thing, so to speak, is the conclusion that we should have drawn. we are accustomed to the fact that if history, if not stopped, as fukuyama said, then at least she was tamed, she was wearing the bridle of international law, and on it is the seat of various international institutions. a and here this is the story that feather grass means, it's not fucking relevant anymore. history is not a pony in any way, it will not go in circles. the story is just like that, uh, yes. this is the mustang is something

we go beyond e regulate. we are like a story we open something. u something new and uh, i think we just opened this door. the door and many were horrified. many people have a desire to close the door, and there is such a desire to ban it in those countries that we now classify as the world majority, yes, and many of us also in the country eh want to slam this door into a wild story, but it seems to me that this is already impossible, maybe it will be possible to close it, but here is the real story. she us uh, she sucks us in. eh, this means only one thing, that of course, after some time we will curb it, and we will learn how to deal with these

processes. but we are faced with a major new one. here, if not figuratively speaking, but more scientifically. uh, we have uh, a very interesting new reality. everyone in the world is very connected. that's just shove off separate it is impossible to fence off at all. this is now a loss for any country, because it will almost certainly have very negative consequences for economic and social development for progress in the broad sense of the word. so we are very closely interconnected, but we have stopped moving towards ideological homogeneity towards something in common, ideological disunity is growing very different, very close and horror. and yes, it really is. horror, because if you look like this, not even for a

few decades. she has been for centuries ago, then we had some kind of dominant idea that it’s easier to cooperate as the same, it’s easier to live side by side as the same, and we enter the world very different and growing different and cultivate our difference, but at the same time very closely. it's all very tight in early december, the us congressional research service admitted that the sanctions created problems for russia but did not lead to an economic knockout, some media even ironically compared anti-russian sanctions with a shot in one's own foot, according to trading and comics in the us this year inflation reached a forty-year high. although, against the background of the rest, this is not so noticeable in the traditional leaders of zimbabwe in venezuela, lebanon, syria and turkey here. in general, nothing has changed, the figures in europe do not look so scary. on the other hand

, i noticed the jump right away and hardly ranges from six and a half to 23% depending on the country, the worst situation is in lithuania, estonia and latvia where it exceeds 21%. in poland, food prices have risen by 20%. and twice as much for energy in germany, goods and services have risen in price. and even more than 10%. it a record for the last 70 years, but much worse that the industry suffers. as noted by the british financial times , chemical giants are closing their plants due to rising gas prices. bass cuts have affected sectors such as glass-to-metal, ceramics, paper and textiles, employing at least 1.5 million people for something that fell short of the bleakest forecasts. in november, the british magazine iconamist, even came out with a subtitle, hinting coldly that on the european

continent, due to cold weather, a lack of energy , mortality could increase, while with heating in there are no serious problems in the european union, but attempts to explain the effect of sanctions do not stop ; scientists from the berlin science and policy foundation with wp have done this, for example, an expert on russia and i do not think that the hardest thing for russia is yet to come. the main thing is not to stop. especially, according to hans hypertert. china is also experiencing economic difficulties from the conflict in ukraine, but experts still admit that countries that did not impose restrictions on russia have new economic opportunities. february first the volume of russian exports to china, brazil , india and turkey increased by at least 50% compared to the previous year. rim has

learned something this year, or is she also trying to close the door to history, well, firstly. you invited a historical political scientist and a lawyer in order, probably, to somehow push them together, but we have, and we get some kind of homogeneity. first of all, consent, i completely agree with ivan, you can’t close yourself. you can't close and you have to. uh, hmm can't be closed, but since we're both outside of our realms anyway activities. we are also representatives of the academic world cannot be closed in the academic world. what about disappointment? yes, a year of disappointments, but nevertheless, i did not warm up in my profession. i am sure that my specialty needs to be convinced once again. here, too, international law provides the institution with tools that it would not be a sin to use after all. well, let's hope,

anyway. thanks a lot. ivan saranchuk and the same mukhamedov were our guests. during the year, the conflict over kosovo smoldered to by the end of the year, it escalated, in addition to the fact that serbia is not alien to us. the plot itself is a landmark power transformation of the former yugoslavia was the first major undertaking of the post- cold war era. and now this era has just ended from the kosovo mitrovica, reportage, onella grobovich. four hearts were in a complete blockade by the albanian for several weeks, the police occupied the settlements, where a mixed population lives and at least 20 of them have police posts formed, people live in fear after dark. serbs close their homes, out which does not come out until the morning does not give us

basic rights freedom of choice and movement the right to work. they deprive us of everything now everything depends on the will of the albanians. we must return to normal life. exactly this. the main thing is that cars are smashed, our houses are thrown stones, and people are beaten almost every day, constantly the same story before the albanians were in the form of a liberation army, kosovo is now police with weapons. on the side, that is, duties on the situation of high school students attend classes online , younger students go to school streets of cities in the north, kosovo is patrolled by international k-for and eurolex forces , there are still food in the shops in the market, but stocks are running out, the stalls in the market are empty sellers. no, because they are afraid to leave the house every night in the north, kosovo, locals hear explosions and machine gun fire in a family of eight people living off agriculture and animal husbandry. at least.

there is no need to worry about the idea, but the welfare apiary is seriously afraid for the life of his loved ones, but i am used to this crisis situation. we have non-stop. so the new year will most likely not be celebrated. mladen's wife, nadik, says her biggest concern is the safety of children here in kosovo, being a mother is very difficult. we cannot allow our children to play outside in the current situation. they should be all the time in our field of vision, when the authorities of kosovo put their special forces on alert, serbia pulled the borders of its army and that's it. this time almost 3 weeks on 15 barricades in the north, kosovo was parallel life. there were going to people on duty at night sheltered in tents and warmed themselves. campfire. they did. it's not just that, in fact. it was their only way to defend their right to life for the serbs in the north, kosovo was one

of the requirements, as was the creation of a community of serbian municipalities. even 10 years ago, the authorities did not agree with this and signed the brussels agreement, but now they have forgotten about it. whatever the outcome of the current confrontation in the north, kosovo it most likely will not solve all the problems between ethnic serbs and the authorities involved in this time of armed conflict managed to avoid only thanks to pressure from the us and the eu, but the serbs here say that the fight for their rights is not over yet. very advertising again history and modernity the century of the ussr a rich topic

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