four scenarios for the development of the economy were traditionally voiced in the center of macroeconomic analysis and short-term forecasting. this is the most favorable option, the so -called activism and the most pessimistic crisis. there are two more forecasters called them the second 2010 and the crisis without isolation. the conditions for the most unfavorable scenario are the structural crisis of the world economy and the

slow lifting of sanctions, and for activism, that is, for the transition to growth russia's gdp in 2023 , the growth rate of the world economy should be at level of 3%, and energy prices are quite high. it means that the external environment is happening in the best shitty way, that is, the crisis, it turns out, is not very deep, which means that there is a loss of order there, one or two tenths of gdp, there are the rates of the world economy, there is not very deep. well, there we go down to two and seven there two percent. and here is the place of two nine last year, which were also generally rather low. yes , it means a moderate crisis, and, accordingly, no super pressures on the energy markets. no, the forecast has already been announced in the ministry of economic development is the reduction in gdp in 2023

. 80% have given up the transition to growth in 2024 by more than 2.5%. moreover, at the end of 2022 , president vladimir putin improved the forecast for gdp dynamics at the end of the year, most experts note that the russian economy is stabilizing at the end of december. but now it is important to consolidate this trend and in 2023 be able to move on to growth in the second half of the year 22. we have already seen a recovery movement. uh, that is, the economy began smoothly, uh, and grow. uh, that is, means that if we stay on this trajectory next year. let it grows very smoothly, then uh, we will see minus u in technical terms year on year as before. yes, given the high base, yes, the crisis, but at the same time we will see a gradual improvement in the situation. the choice of one or another scenario, among other things, will depend on what the prices for oil and gas will be, according to the

calculations of the ministry of finance, the average price of urals oil at the end of last year was more than $76 per barrel, and this is the best result for the budget and oil companies over the past 8 years, with this department also voiced the average oil price in december. this is about 50 dollars per barrel and based on this figure. production at a production level of 10 million barrels per day, expected oil and gas revenues may be reduced by about two trillion rubles , according to the kommersant publishing house. however, experts are waiting for volatility in the oil market, moreover, upward prices, and so far unpredictability creates, among other things, a price ceiling like these restrictions. they sure are such an uh unpredictable factor right now, yeah, how is that going to work? how tough, and how countries that continue to work outside the framework of restrictions will not follow this logic , the administrative establishment of price ceilings, how they will

interact with each other, how logistics will be built, but, nevertheless, here is the basic scenario that was voiced by the ministry of finance it quite has a place to be and accordingly. i think that we will stabilize our market this year, one of the main forks in the world economy now, according to experts. this is a further development scenario in europe and china various combinations are being considered, from a slowdown in asia, a strong recession in europe, to maintaining growth rates in china , india, at five and seven percent, respectively, and here the main factors of influence can be, for example, deglobalization, the energy crisis or high inflation in the world market, as well as the policy of central banks in the west, how much they will tighten monetary policy and these possible combinations in europe and china will affect the economic weather in russia,

it will be honest. an acronym that has become synonymous with the most cynical stuffing and manipulation, this is about the center of information and psychological operations of ukraine launched its malicious activities long before the current events, but at first the special operations to protect the donbass unfolded at full capacity from the goals and methods we will tell right now in the stop fake program on russia 24. so the most famous the ipso division of the seventy-second center loudly declared itself back in 2018 then, let me remind you , the connection with the

info-saboteurs of the free prankker called the kemerovo morgues, in the wake of fire in the zimnyaya cherry shopping center and reported that hundreds of people died, firstly, it's fun. i 'm a prankster. i do pranks. i took the craziest ideas that arose on this occasion and implemented them. at that moment, the realization came that well-trained couch troops were working for the kiev regime. whose specialization is professional lies? well , four years later, no one is surprised by the news about entire libraries of manuals and temnikov found in the liberated territories of donbass containing detailed instructions. how to exhibit russian the armed forces in the most negative light by marauders and mass murderers , in order for everyone to act synchronously , certain manuals were created in these manuals, technologies are described. and how to communicate like a cart. on the target audience how to create fakes? how to go on an information attack, how to counteract information attacks, and among these technologies

was, in fact, demonization technology, and this is necessary in order to again introduce the agenda that russia is a sponsor of terrorism, so that russia does not conduct no negotiations to force e first of all the economic bloc, and western companies to american companies, but to leave the russian market, so that the russian economy would suffer. as much as possible, however, the materials of ukrainian propaganda are almost always exposed with ease, a bright example on the noisy videos from the city, irpen was robbed by ten russians. there, the apartments are shot by a surveillance camera in black and white, but even so it’s not difficult to notice that the armbands on the soldiers’ sleeves are dark, but our military and sympathetic civilians were notoriously enjoyed by whites. and how can one not remember here, the white armbands are a symbol of the apotheosis of ukraine's lies, when the punishers got rid of the pro-russian- minded residents of bucci, and then exposed them as victims of a certain one. occupation is a necessary element to strengthen the power in the country , to strengthen the war parties in europe in the usa

, some kind of atrocity was necessary. this is very necessary, if you look at ukrainian sociology, then in the period following after the gucci about 45% of ukrainians. they believed that the russian the side is going to completely destroy the ukrainians as a nation, they managed to hang it on the russian side. and without it. and, of course, there is support both among the european population and among many politicians. it would be naturally lower for those who have forgotten the nuances. let's restore the chronology with the help of a map and a calendar on march 30, a unit of the russian army left buba as part of a regrouping, 31, the settlement went over the police of ukraine, they cleared the roads from crumpled cars and filmed the settlements of the copter, however, there were no dead showed at the same time the thirty-first city visited the verkhovna rada of biryuk about those killed. he

did not say a word on the first of april throughout the torment, a ukrainian photographer traveled around. konstantin liberov. again, no crimes were recorded. but on the second day , a characteristic video flashed in the telegram channel of the neo-nazi sergei short, nicknamed boatswains. consequently, they shot and killed, and only after that, on april 3, the svidomo media began replicating those terrible shots with the dead scattered by the side of the road, in fact demonstrated the results of the cleansing, especially its conduct, and did not think to hide the confirmation of this, the eloquent headlines of the yellow block publications and many other details, right down to the russian supais lying next to the bodies, by which the nazis could calculate the so-called israelis and collaborators. as a result, a completely unambiguous picture of a dirty production has developed, and attempts to build accusations against moscow have not yet been attached with any intelligible

evidence. the french were there. we're going to dig now. we're like detectives now we'll take it all apart. well, where is the data ? send us the documents to see. let us also see if something happened there. we will tell about it. and we will write about it. we were n’t there, so you are silent, so there is such an information war, as it was with the malaysian battle, we have already seen how they begin to judge through the media first to endure. sit the verdict, and then the verdict that the journalists pass, they file it with the common cause. by the way, the same bucha highlighted the ability of tsemsone to simply lie, but also to create bright images with an eye on a foreign audience under the hashtag, the buchin massacre appeared in english and to this day there are thousands of records, and after a while, the company made him a raisin massacre so schemers presented the discovery in the kharkiv region of a grave with a skeleton on the wrist, a bracelet in flowers was put on of the flag of an independent remains gave rise to a large-scale

flash mob on twitter in order to use visual images again, they need to, including, uh, come up with some brands, some logos, some hashtags some kind of bandages ties, and so that in addition to the text component there is also a visual component when you have a certain image. uh, a bracelet, or # this is again an additional visual visual effect in order for this to put off speaking, to be remembered, to involve you as a participant, and so that you and perhaps this printed sale. or they either made a badge hung on their chest and thus became an accomplice in this information war, drawings with a screaming inscription went to the same piggy bank the genocide was actively collected by likes and reposts, and most importantly, the notorious hand of the information dump was attributed either to a cynologist or an athlete in general , a person of a peaceful profession. however, in reality, the character turned out to be a militant of the armed forces, naturally liquidated under raisins on the proposal to take the body, like the bodies of his colleagues, the command did not react.

actually, that's why the russian fighters had to bury the two hundredth of the enemy, oh, which the factory of lies on the blue eye turned into shot civilian fantasies. those who do it. she doesn't limited to nothing. eh, anything. we can see and hear how it can be used in the information war. uh, even if temporary burials, there will be their own soldiers, uh, who do this in any war, this is how it is done. and when they cannot be evacuated, then it must be given out. like what, bro? its there, if for example, these positions were captured. uh, if there are ukrainian soldiers who died there, then we can say that they were not taken prisoner, they were shot, they were killed. sometimes it also happens that, in order to replace concepts , information and psychological centers the natural theater is a classic example of a blonde woman with her head wrapped up, portrayed as a victim of a missile attack in the city of chuguev and in this form got on popular newspapers. she also showed up in the photo where she played a territorial

defense fighter, they say, the unfortunate ukrainian women were forced to defend themselves from russia, but then the actress was found in a group picture of the operational group of prometheus chains and everything immediately fell into place, as they take these are the people, they are where -something for money they write something in the comments. uh, fake rumors, then they are collected together. they turn into russian soldiers, who, with a clear ukrainian accent, uh. they say that here we have only slates, only boots. here is a jacket full of holes, and we are at war with a stick. these are actors not by profession, actors by chance. that they happened to be in this place at this time and they turned out to be very comfortable and comfortable no matter what their story is not true. it doesn’t matter that everything was wrong, it wasn’t, but it could have been, but it didn’t happen, but it could happen, and therefore the story unwinds and diverges. the truth is far from all fakes aimed at a violent emotional reaction give the desired result among the frankly disastrous april provocation at the kramatorsk railway station , dozens of people were allegedly killed

as a result of the arrival from russian positions , zelensky's adviser alexei arrestovich. iskander wrote hysterically about the rarity, but thanks to the reports. uh, from the scene it was not difficult to identify a completely different one, i remind you of a weapon from a rocket, then there were engine and tail compartments. these are the parts that are easiest to install fragment origin. the first detail, lattice rudders near the nozzle are typical for a point. and the iskander lacks the second moment of the stabilizer. closer to the middle of the rocket, a sign of the same point and shoes in the case of the kander. and the location and shape of the stabilizers differ, finally, the third nuance is two cable channels that are laid along the body and connect the instrument compartment. the iskander has nothing similar with the tail, but the dry point, respectively, has it, moreover , the kranazis recklessly allowed foreign correspondents to capture the number missiles of the sh-915 series, similar to the missiles with which the punishers hit the cities of donbass and it seems that such clear evidence prevented

the kramatorsk tragedy from being fully promoted to the level of bucci in foreign media did not take off. but russian. the media recently managed to find out additional details. at sergey tsipy, the police exam of the seventy- second center of the ipso went over to the right side and confirmed that his former colleagues planned the murder with a dot. well, this is one of the methods of work of the center of information and psychological operations, as well. international, including ukraine, in order to gather peaceful citizens through social networks through fake fake accounts to strike at them and sow people's panic, they actually lured, probably, death under the pretext of evacuation. well, by the way, similar schemes have been used more than once to take, at least the march nightmare in donetsk , as in kramatorsk, there are many common features, yes, that is,

an attempt to collect people of arrival in advance. this rocket is even the same rocket. the same one was there in the cases of donetsk under the pretext dissatisfaction with the mobilization, which really was there, they suddenly tried to collect. uh, the so-called losses there john uh on the square in front of the government building, however, there was a gathering there that took place people who died, they died on the street near the bank branch, passers-by, those who were in the cars. eh, well, if this gathering took place, indeed, there were several hours of people there, most likely there would be even more victims. of course, one cannot ignore the constant desire of ukrainian subversive structures to demoralize the population for russia, as a rule, it implies the distribution of remote sensing messages, and about the catastrophic situation on the front line, this may be incomprehensible correspondence. it is not clear to whom, with whom, with complaints about an alleged shortage of manpower and certain lists of

almost tens of thousands of dead, where, upon closer examination, for some reason, names, surnames and other personal data are repeated many times, and finally, spam panic comments, which are carried out centrally according to instructions in chats of tsevtsov. where do russian hackers sometimes look enemy intelligence, which works on open sources, she waits and sees. when will there be some interesting, uh, informational occasion that you can pick up and on which you can send a huge army of bots. they certainly perform a certain function of a psychological warrior. that is, they will post negative comments. they are whipping up hysteria, which is about to happen, and ukraine is advancing. we already need to dig. hakob is already here, you see a photo of sharks already. that the league is already out on the square, they are rallying, they are against the current government. well, for this, among other things, this army of cyberguts is needed, which raises and which raises content and which informs, uh, brings fear and panic to our society , here stuffing about the destruction of a huge

amount of russian equipment is either absolutely unfounded or supported by imaginary evidence often computer games, the arma 3 shooter is especially in demand , even the ministry of defense of ukraine did not hesitate to publish screenshots from it. yes, and the official account of the supreme joy tried to keep up, and no matter how many similar fakes are not refuted out of fashion. they do not come out, in addition to arma, they managed to make free advertising for the combat simulator. action. dcs. they issued a virtual air battle for the success of the mythical ghost of kiev, which , they say, shot down our su-35 with incredible ease. by the way, if you wish, you can not limit yourself to ready-made scenes from games. let's say we 'll finish drawing two more planes. now let's remove one of them and blow it up, the second one or turn its helicopter or you just need to add pictures, any objects, even vladimir zelensky in the role pilot everything. this is not too straining to depict our artist to clearly show the capabilities of modern graphic editors. and so that no one forgets any visual content. nowadays. it is necessary to carefully filter the ukrainian side

very strictly banned the filming of any combat episodes there by the civilian population, uh, did it back in march. and for this, by the way, they are being persecuted, and therefore, in general, there is material for shooting down rakia, there are similar planes, even they occur, they are extremely few in order to compensate for this. well, they just take video game episodes that seem similar to what could have been victims of their own gullibility, those who bought into the fake news about partial mobilization immediately after its announcement were flooded with clumsy, fabricated pseudo-messages with incorrect addresses, dates and spelling errors, and in entire armies of bots grazed on the internet publics of russian cities, which scared muscovites and petersburgers and other distribution of trips right on the street, but pierced on

trifles, for example, they non-existent streets and subway stations and this is also the signature style of the tso, they rely on mass coverage at the expense of the quality of work, they are hired in order to create a feeling in the comments. horror. there is a desperation of anxiety that everything is gone for us, so i beg you, do not go into these comments. there you don't have to prove anything to anyone, you don't have to quarrel with anyone, they make mistakes on trifles on the most stupid trifles they incorrectly call the street they incorrectly call the subway. uh, they say the city wrong, and then they write with mistakes, because the russian language, uh, they didn’t normally learn at school, but they don’t know anything other than russian, by the way, ukrainian is still not native, that is, they are pierced on trifles in a hurry, because 200 accounts need to be written from each in order to make money to earn and these little things give them out, the end remains only to repeat a few simple recommendations, firstly, immediately weed out and do not send content openly manipulating emotions, excessive emotionality is always key, a sign of a

fake, and secondly, pay attention to details inconsistencies. well, that is, to include logic, and finally, the third is to compare everything that you see and read on the internet with official data, respectively, trust only an official source. in short, the best way to deal with tepzo elementary information hygiene, the rules of which we will definitely continue to talk about in the stop fake program on russia 24 cheburashka tv channel, the largest staff reduction in history in one of the largest it-companies in the world, and initially they were going to fire 10,000 people, but actually release their places, will have 18.000. amazon head. andy jesse promised to pay compensation. true, its size was not specified. in the main reduction to touch both the char department and employees in the retail business of the company, layoffs will begin to be reported from january 18,

most likely, the reduction in staff is associated with financial performance in the twenty-second, their growth in amazon was the slowest in the last two decades, layoffs and in other high-tech companies , for example, twitter laid off 50% of its employees after the purchase of the social network by elon musk, the meter recognized as extremist in russia said goodbye to 11,000 people or 13% in general, as experts revere, the total number of dismissed in the sector last year exceeded the mark of 150,000 people with the biggest names being amazon and sale force where we are talking about eighteen and 8 thousand employees, but where do they look in terms of the labor force , there is a bloodbath in the general economic warehouse and high interest rates affecting all sectors, but the technology sector, especially relies on such high- risk investments, which sharply declined. in addition, there was an unexpected turn in consumer demand, these companies

have been very active in hiring during the pandemic, when they are making big profits due to high interest in products. but these times are gone, the dismissal began just a few months later. after the stocks of the largest companies in silicon valleys were estimated at seven trillion dollars, however, then from all the peak paper, apple fell in price by a third, amazons and google by 45%. part of this e. dismissal in 2022 people were inhumane in 2021, the profits of the company on wall street were so big that they didn't have to do it, that is, in part. this hits an annual staff reduction, but now this is the largest reduction that i have ever seen such large reductions were not even during the financial crisis. so this can be considered a serious wave of layoffs, but not only the it sector, staff reductions were affected by the third of april, mcdonald 's will say goodbye to some of the employees. how many will be fired is not yet reported, as stated ceo chris kimchensky in this way the company intends to increase efficiency and

speed of work reduce the holdups to free up resources for investment in the development of the whole world mcdonald's franchise employs more than 2 million people. well, the largest banks and wall street have reduced annual bonuses by 30-40% , bankers are forced to do this due to a decrease in revenue from investment banking and trading operations by about $ 50 billion, layoffs, of course, not only in the states but also in the zone there staff cuts, including industrial resource enterprises have led to the fact that hmm production of certain species. and the goods in europe became. it's just economically unprofitable to have too expensive gas. uh, too cheap oil. uh, too expensive, so to speak, energy resources and, uh, in this context. naturally. this led to the fact that companies were forced to. uh stops production and optimize strength. uh, staff. well, accordingly,

uh, this situation extends to other sectors. for example, the same thing, the financial sector. reduction of staff for optimization costs can be called a harbinger of a global economic recession, its probability in 23 is increasing and the ears are huge. this

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russia does not perceive back as an eternal enemy. it was our illusion. they have illusions there were none. i actually think it's very interesting. suddenly, they stopped stealing, well, alant merkel they did, well, they said what we suspected, but they just say, well, we fooled the russians.