okay, without registration, we look, we look in the application or on the site. hello. i am alexander kireevsky summing up the informational results of the week. today, we will discuss the prospects for our economy for the year 23. the authoritative center for macroeconomic analysis issued a forecast for this year for four scenarios at once. which of them is the most likely to be discussed with one of the two authors of the study, dmitry belousov? what is the zaporozhye npp what are the chances of resolving the crisis around the guest studio station? director general of the

rosenergoatom concern of the state corporation rosat marinade writhing and the prices for our oil have fallen to values ​​that are unpleasant for us. in any case, this is what the western agency claims, what is actually happening in the oil market , we will discuss with konstantin simonov the director of the national energy security fund and the successes of the russian army in the solidarity direction . russian legion sergei fomchenkova. but first, a new department of defense statement details operations to capture the strategically important city of solidarity by russian forces, i quote offensive actions in this tactical direction, which ended in the defeat of the armed forces and the capture of the city. solidar,

a heterogeneous grouping of russian troops was carried out according to a single plan and plan providing for the solution of a complex of combat missions, these combat missions included, as already reported, the blocking of the city of the north and south, the isolation of the combat area, and the prohibition of the transfer of reserves and neighboring regions to the city by the enemy, and e, suppression the exit of units into the ground forces of the solidar, as well as fire support for the offensive of assault aircraft and artillery, with regard to the direct assault on the city blocks of the solidar occupied by the whole of this combat mission was successfully solved by the courageous and selfless actions of the volunteers of the assault squads of the pmc wagner end of the quote i remind you that the solidar is located under the control of russian forces, the defense department officially announced this afternoon. on the evening of january 12, the liberation of the

city of solidar, which is of great importance, was completed to continue successful offensive actions. in the donetsk direction , the establishment of full control over the solidar allows cutting off the supply routes of ukrainian troops in the south-western city of artyomovsk, and then blocking and taking the boiler, the units of the armed forces of ukraine remaining in it, the capture of the solidar became possible due to the constant fire damage of the enemy by assault and army aviation missile troops and artillery of a grouping of russian troops. they continuously delivered concentrated strikes on positions the armed forces of ukraine in the city, preventing the transfer of supplies of ammunition, as well as attempts to withdraw the enemy to other lines and defend such fighter aircraft with russia, during the actions to liberate the city, three aircraft and a helicopter of the air force of ukraine were destroyed performing tasks of fire support from the air of ukrainian troops. in addition, the combat crews of the air defense systems of the

group of russian troops in the solidar area shot down nine rockets of the hymars, alder, hurricane multiple launch rocket systems, airborne units fired at the stronghold occupied by russian troops in the course of actions to liberate the solidarity troops carried out a covert maneuver from another direction successfully attacked the positions of the armed forces of ukraine at once, occupying the dominant heights and blocked the city of the northern and southern sides with the forces and means of electronic warfare concentrated in this direction russian grouping of troops suppressed the enemy’s command and control system, as well as disrupted the use of ukrainian unmanned aerial vehicles apparatuses a complex implemented by the russian group of troops, the event ensured the successful offensive operations of the assault detachments to liberate the city of solidarity, only in the last three days. more than 700 ukrainian servicemen and more were killed in the solidar area. 300 units of weapons armed forces of ukraine and so the successes of the russian

army in the direction of solidarity allowed our troops to seriously undermine the defense of the armed forces in the donbass, but the line of contact is much more combat work, there is still a lot if us the opportunity, uh, and, if possible , attack the positions of our position in other directions and how heavy they go. there are fights, in particular under flint, ask the commander of a volunteer battalion. russian legion of sergei fomchenkov. and he is in direct contact with us, sergei alexandrovich. i welcome you. and i would like to ask the first question, how is your mood? here are the successes. how are you doing? good evening, of course, successes in any sector of the front, our successes are very pleasing, because the front of the last stabilized, there was no advance and boast solidarity, as it was rightly said. this, of course, will open up great prospects for us as a whole, and we must understand that the ukrainian defense has trembled. she trembled, including in our direction

, high before the choice, either to throw the released solidary part under the klemenny matchmaker to try to implement the previous scenarios of moving to this direction, or you, on the contrary, the brotherly direction of the part and close the holes in the bakhmut selidarovsky direction, so as not to let us go further develop success, because the government direction, as a direct exit to konstantinovka kromatorsk conglomeration. here is the slavic kramatorsk emirate and, on the other hand, open up prospects for an attack on the city of seversk, which is located south of the flint and threatens lisichansk and the actual criminal attack from the south. it's like great prospects. in general, for us, the defense industry, so to speak, trembled so much, despite the fact that they still have a great offensive potential, but the battle for the initiative of the battle for the initiative began to pass our hands, and sergey alexandrovich i remember we talked to you at the end of last year about what was in your direction, and according to your intelligence, we were accumulating forces

for the strike. well, somewhere in this here in your area. and as soon as it was rightly noticed and there are reports about this from other sources, it seems that, after all, it seems that the ukrainian authorities do not give up hope of recapturing dary, allegedly they are transporting them there. e of his unit from other sectors of the front. well, i don't know, it's probably some kind of military secret, but what can i say now, uh, you notice changes the nature of the action of the apu on your site now. maybe they didn’t shoot less, but until the last days before the capture, the solidarity of the highlands still implemented the plan of attacking the crime from the south, cutting off the city from the frontier. this was primarily due to the fact that the new year’s command team reported to president zelensky upstairs that the criminal zita all ukrainian publics there wrote about it, and

the city remains replenished under our control. they needed to implement this scenario. and that's literally until the last day. here's to taking solidarity. they stubbornly shlivize this script. now i'm telling them, by the way, they have a dilemma on the one hand, or they will implement the scenario in order to save, in fact, relatively speaking, honor. they also promised they said that the names had been taken, or they would close the hole to the south in the area of ​​the solidarity and transfer units from our direction, on the contrary, so now i will move the choice and they do not hesitate until they kill. e from an attempt to attack in our direction, but already visible. and the ability to height to it at the same time immediately along the entire front line from matchmakers to crimino, if earlier they immediately attacked the patients of the front from the south at the same time in the north, then it is already noticeable that this potential has dried up, most likely, some parts of them, apparently, are being removed from this direction in order to close the hole in the defense that formed the food to take and solidarity. and this opens up opportunities for us to introduce a defensive maneuver to

move the enemy further from the flint and no longer act as a defender in the role of those who can already advance their positions. well, in the coming days will show the children. how does one take the initiative? can we get you in that situation and throw, after all, part of the solidarity or leave them in our direction continues, yes, sergey alexandrovich we probably won’t give out all the secrets here. how will you act and so on, of course, i will not ask, but certainly, but nonetheless. you know this is the question. he wanted to ask. and how do you feel about this, but it’s clear that to and our general staff we now have a single leadership, and so on. and everything is monitored for this, but signals from the field are never superfluous. i understand that the more information so much the better, so here's how you feel, uh, and i'll explain what it's about. and some of our military experts say that now it may turn out the way it was last fall, that here we are. even despite the

successes in the donbass, very heavy battles are still going on there. and uh, the same solidar gave was very difficult and a lot of time was spent. and that at this moment combat-ready units are being prepared somewhere in the rear, as it was, these units will strike, including, perhaps in your direction or somewhere else. but uh, how i i understand that this question is probably complicated, but nevertheless. and how do you feel that this can happen at night? so how do you see it from below? well, we don’t know the plan, of course, of the general staff and some grandiose plans for the offensive, but i think, at the moment, given that we have reserves, because even according to official statements, not all of the mobilized units were brought into the special zone military operation. eh, and if these reserves exist, and, of course, it would have been necessary to use it at the very moment when the front was out loud trembled, not waiting for the moment. while the height

will accumulate the strength to study again in england somewhere in poland and the new units will receive new equipment. of course we would have a look. and so it is possible that our offensive would be convenient now at this very moment, when the front-line day began to tremble, let's say, keep it up. well, we really will not teach the scientist to understand that everything is more visible from above. a? well, nevertheless, nevertheless. that's for this question and and uh, i understand your mood in this regard. you know, here is our traditional conversation with you, how is the supply, how is the situation going, because there were questions you got something somewhere themselves, how are things now. well, we have, in principle, it is unchanged. everything is such an established system that we supply ourselves with what is impossible to get in the army, and it seems to have stabilized and is already on the knurled path, as a rule, purely civilian . it greatly blocks you in opportunities that it will not deliver now, while it

is clear to the army that production wars cannot be instantly rebuilt. especially on the need to provide all three hundred thousand mobilized and constantly renewed resources, so it is inserted about the same level of the minimum necessary things there food. we get the bull equipment from the army, and everything else, of course, we still get it ourselves, we are equipped with communications and automotive equipment and a copter, we are again at the expense of our own efforts due to the efforts of humanitarian people who help us in this regard, everything remains stable so far. seriously, it means it's great that there are people who help you, and you do it yourself many things, but this is not a question for you, of course, this is a replica. as they say, we still need to somehow intensify the work of our rear services in order to close these issues, all the more so the president set the task before february 1 and let me remind you. uh, to solve all these problems, that is, to dine the army to the end with what is necessary, it is clear that a lot is being done in this direction, not a question, but nonetheless. uh,

i would not want to continue to listen to this, that the military must extract something there themselves. this is weird. it sounds a little. well nevertheless, the fact is that the situation is so interesting sanovich. a and. uh, what do you think, uh, if u chance that now those people who are coming to you are coming to you , uh, hmm mobilized you said last year, and how are their preparations? here it changes, how to change their mood. and they're coming, just like i said next to us. we are volunteers, we have no mobilized in our unit. we have people only voluntarily, who come to serve, but next to us. yes, there are mobilized units. uh, well, non-standard army training, what we have already talked about many times, of course, is not enough. still, all the same, commanders of commanders. er, well, mobilized, in my opinion. it should be commanders of the same mobilized inexperienced people. that is, i would dilute, i don’t know any harm done by volunteers or dahis that have already passed from my place, anywhere, and yet this is the problem

that, in my opinion, until this is solved, it is still mobilized, it learns everything on its own experience and commanders they do not have quality, and unfortunately, this is very ground for learning and normal. the work of these units, because the commander is still as mobilized as they are, reduces the combat effectiveness of the unit as a whole. here is my opinion, which is repeatedly. yes, sergei alexandrovich well, once again. this needs to be reminded, because the problem needs to be solved and therefore needs to be constantly kept under control. thank you very much. let me remind you, we are speaking from the commander of a volunteer battalion. russian legion sergei fonchenkov. prices for our oil this week according to western news agencies have fallen below $40 per barrel although stock exchange prices have been rising all week and are now above $80. there is almost 86 dollars per barrel. that is, as we can see, the difference in price to the brand, which was all last month, is approximately

30%. now it has almost doubled; what is the reason for this and what can be done to eliminate such a big difference ? energy security by konstantin e simonov? hello konstantin vasilievich well, let's immediately make it clear at the point of water that the price that stirred up ours at the beginning of the week and the markets was such $ 38 per barrel, it was data from argus , some party passed somewhere there, and so on. i understand that this is not a restorative layout. it is clear that everything depends on the variety and the terms of the contract. and so on and so forth and the prices are above fifty, but still the difference is much more. and this was discussed this week at a meeting of the president with the government. ah. vladimir putin drew special attention. waiting proposal from the department of energy. and in order to narrow this discount and

the ministry of energy. e plans to provide such data. uh, your plans and so on. how are you as an expert, as a great specialist in this matter, firstly, what kind of prices are those that argus is trying to broadcast to us. and let me remind you that these are the agencies that our ministry of finance pays attention to, and so on. that is, he considers the prices for these. how do you comment on this. well , let's really start with a price of $38. she, of course, excited as many markets as unprepared ones. u mind. e, because indeed she made a shock impression, but you rightly said that, e, we are talking about several conscious substitutes at once, firstly. eh, absolutely correct. e was taken, the lowest price for one of the parties, which was surrounded from the port of primorsk e, argus fixed this price for one shipment, oblunberg,

happily wrote after which this price migrated, including throughout the russian media and many. it was perceived as what is generally now russian oil really costs uh, 38 dollars a barrel while the agency watermelon, uh, which uh. i always considered prices according to the cief method, that is, when the price includes both the cost of freight and e, the cost of insurance now and it, respectively, it was usually considered to shine in rotterdam and august and, accordingly, the average took about emphasis. there , uh, now due to the fact that since december 5 rotterdam is closed, it gives fob quotes, that is, it gives shipping quotes at the port. that is, in fact, they just changed the methodology. and today, uh, freight insurance is 20-25

dollars per barrel, that is, there is a plan, again, this is a question of manipulating numbers, which was done and we constantly publish from the same opera. we are now figures there how much russia loses there per day. uh, on this ceiling, that is, of course, this is a way of psychological influence, when it’s not that the argus agency is there, uh, they lied themselves that they messed it up? although they just really changed their methodology, just sitting changed their methodology, but they talked about it, of course. just agency bloomer, consciously seized on this figure, and e inflated this story with joy. eh, got it. but this, of course, does not mean. uh, again, they also rightly noted that there is no problem, of course, but it would be strange to think that maintaining a price ceiling and maintaining a barr for sea supplies to europe would not lead to certain problems in

the industry. yes, these problems exist. just again, uh, the scale of the problems. eh, well, it is necessary to measure and realize. actually about it. no one hides this, too, let me remind you that on wednesday at a meeting between putin and the government deputy prime minister, well, which is responsible for energy. honestly, he also said that yes, there are problems with discounts, and it is a rather significant risk, and we, accordingly, are starting to think about it, but it is clear that if we started thinking about it. uh, long before the sanctions , i'll explain what i mean, everything would be much simpler, by the way, it would be worth thinking about. uh, regarding actual argus agency quotes - it's not easy. uh, some kind of marker for the ministry of finance is the official quote, which is not taken simply in the calculation of prices, but in the calculation of export duties and taxes. uh, that is, our government believes. uh, tax quotes are from an agency that sits in london

and has been doing this for years. and we all had a consulting company, and anglo-saxon, first of all, it was considered as the norm. and we thought that everything was fine, we consume better services. and now, e, when many consulting firms have left there, they seem to have remained. eh, we thought yes, it's ok. yes, what is not? no, these are already russian companies that have nothing to do with like they don't have. well, ok, so then wait for $38 per barrel, in fact , as a single story of the argus agency, so don't be surprised by this, but this is the first part, that is, in fact, you should not forget that, of course, import substitution. it would be nice to start with the intellectual sphere. uh, the other part is that if russia had its own tanker fleet today , uh, we wouldn't face these sanctions with such losses now, but why

such discounts? here i said 20-25 dollars have to be pawned per frag because ship owners are under uh, sanctions from the european union of the united states, they are threatened with uh, the application of these sanctions if they are not used, accordingly, the price ceiling. naturally, they include these risks in the cost of transportation. uh, the shipowner takes transportation there, let's say, yes, that is, there are buyers, so he takes oil in primorsk, hires a company. she's on terms. yes, the deal is concluded on the terms of the foc, but the transportation is still ongoing and, uh, the rice will fall under sanctions. there is, of course, everything respectively, higher by these 20-25 dollars. it is clear, because if you are a cypriot ship owner, and you understand that you are subject to european sanctions. you can get under them, of course, you will put this rice into the price from here such discounts if they were russian here, but then there would be fewer problems, but we also heard for decades that in the thirtieth year,

oil will no longer be needed by anyone at all oil will no longer be a commodity. we don't need a target economy. we need a different economy. i do not argue that we, in addition to the target complex needed a lot of things, but this did not mean that it was not necessary to build here. after all. and than shipbuilding is a bad industry, but we were told that this is an archaic mechanical engineering of the 20th century, we need it. we have an industrial economy service of our own. everything is correct. revolution 4:0. we need digital solutions and robots there. well, here you are, no, we don't have the required number of ships. and why , for example, do we not have insurance companies that would be able to provide insurance services conveniently? konstantinovich here. sorry but to build a ship or plant equipment is years. this, of course, but what about the insurance company? why can't it be done quickly? we don't have money and so on? either the chinese don't have money or friendly other countries. i

can't understand this, oh, western er two companies in london are better than me. you know, they insure all maritime transportation, there are 90% of them, and there are such beautiful creations. uh, financial centers, and with some such joy, they all insure ours. no more tanks deliver to ukraine beauty what? they insure with joy that, in fact, they themselves have formed such a world that turned out to be convenient, uh, it was convenient for the consumer, but i agree with the fact that, especially in the current conditions, it is high time, of course. well, in fact, we’ll say there, it’s fair, that the signals identified there regarding the fact that this kind of insurance companies are now being created in russia, but it seems to me that the pace, of course, could be more, uh, intense, again, we can talk about this it was thought before, but i repeat it was convenient here it was convenient the way the world works. here you have a cypriot shipowner. he will transport oil to you. do you have, uh, an insurer in

london, will he insure you? you have a trader in switzerland, he will find a buyer for you. you just get the oil. and where its oil is there, in my opinion, it has never been born at all. well actually. here, in fact , such a world was created, comfortable, as it were, yes, that you brought an ax. which means it's none of your business. everything will do everything. but now we should at least realize that this is also part of the margin that we gave away and now we are giving it away, and now it’s just sanctions risks that have fallen on our heads and we need to do something with them, but konstantin vasilyevich nonetheless. well, this situation on the world oil market, and it is rather tense now, and it is clear that we will not predict oil prices. it 's unrealistic, however. but there is a feeling that, after all, oil prices are for you according to the same western analysts goldman, there and so on, but cereals. new american houses, they are all 100 dollars there, they say. and of course

it's all, uh, nice to hear, i guess. well , stable, if this discount is so big, we will not see most of this money. here are some approaches. in the end, but for you to advise. alexander valentinovich to report to the president. how to remove this discount quickly enough or is it still difficult to understand? uh, actually, first of all all the same. uh, i am a principled opponent of going to the other extreme . and in general, as many people suggest to refuse oil supplies, to ban exports there and see what will happen to the world. uh, without russian oil, in fact. uh, do n’t give in to the temptation to remove us from the market, because sooner or later the market will adapt to this situation anyway, there’s no need to scoff at the market for western countries that do this, but in fact they will also get

a fairly large number of problems, therefore e here are such e decisions that like, let's do it then, since sanctions are reduced against us, we will not trade anything. this is also a wrong position. we must look for just the opportunity to keep our oil in alternative markets. e, well, respectively e yes, this is a shock that we, uh, will not overcome quickly. uh, so i think that all the same, these are the strategic things that need to be done from the point of view, at least in terms of insurance, yes, and in shipbuilding. yes, i understand that we monitored the market there and bought old ships. uh. this is also a huge plus. here, but nevertheless, these holes must also continue to be closed. uh, but, but, accordingly, we are still waiting for the same, uh, the story of petroleum products. e, etc. yes, too, uh, a lot of things will be interesting and interesting. that is, we understand that now

the entire logistics of our deliveries is completely changing and will continue to change. now with oil products, therefore, it is necessary to use all existing options and, uh, reloading from a gray delivery, that is, in this regard, now all means are good. uh, in order to keep our oil on the market, but we have to fight for a share. on the market and for banknotes, because if we have problems on the economic front, we will have problems everywhere. well, yes, konstantin vasilievich certainly. this is a serious topic, all the more, and afaka american suspicions, the ministry of finance gives there new recipes, how to get around their own sanctions. now, if they were reloaded and processed in another country, this is no longer russian oil, and so on. and there are loopholes there , but it's another matter that some kind of balance is needed here. and this does not give market participants hope that the russians will sell 38 in any way. tomorrow they will say 28 for 18 and so on. here

they must understand what is. well, how fashionable it is to say red lines, beyond which we will not cross, that we will not sell cheaper. but it's uh, a replica thank you so much let me remind you, konstantin vasi, konstantin vasilyevich thank you we talked with the director of the national arctic security fund konstantin simonov and now some other international news this week. the european union is preparing a new package of sanctions against iran and belarus for supporting russia, the european commission reported, restrictions against minsk may also be related to the results of the 2020 presidential election. we will expand the sanctions regime against those who militarily support russia's actions, for example, against belarus and iran, we intend to come up with a new package of sanctions against belarus russia china and turkey can maximize their geopolitical influence in various regions of the world. writes the turkish

edition of dogs america is losing its role as a global player amid the failure of its foreign policy. in particular, from such a transformation. ankara wins by balancing between west and east, building relationships with both europe and russia and china, almost 40% of german companies expect a decrease in production. this year writes reuters, citing a study by the german economic institute, surveyed 2,500 companies in total as the reasons for the recession, high energy costs , supply chain problems and the conflict in ukraine, the risk of gas shortages in the winter season is no longer as it was. and since then, energy prices have also fallen. however, they remain at a high level, production failures cannot be ruled out. the share of ukrainian firms among new enterprises in poland has grown more than 8 times. bloomberg writes now it is almost half of all foreign companies that have opened. companies. last year. at the beginning of the special operation, more than a million ukrainian refugees arrived in the country, who opened businesses in the areas of it, construction and trade.