[000:00:00;00] the russian economy, its orientation from the sick part of the global economy to the healthy one, it is now much more important for us that the chinese economy accelerated in the second quarter to 6.5%, the indian economy there is simply 7.8%, that there is a shortage in the markets of our main goods , which pushes prices up, in fact, a very structural reform that has taken place is still ongoing, it is very painful. this is a reorientation of logistics systems, payments, everything else, but the fact that we have refocused on the healthy part global economy, allows us to be more sustainable and solve all the problems that we now need to solve related to defense, security, technological re-equipment, the development of education and many other issues, which , among other things, under which anton germanich made room

in the budget, so that that ship... which was in the video flew faster, anton germanovich dumped the ballast, and he actually does this every year, no matter what the budget is, no matter what the economic situation is, the ministry of finance always i have to dump the ballast, yes, otherwise this ballast will be asked by everyone, well, anton gemovich once again coped with this perfectly , thank you, thank you, love, here ’s a question for you, in fact, in continuation of what maxim stanislavovich said just now, i just want to remind , that i spoke about this last time, i want to remind you once again that the first people who said at the official level the words that a structural transformation of the russian economy is necessary were you, when you reported on the main directions of monetary policy in the twenty-first year, the month of october, nothing yet, well, there are already sanctions, but not until february of the twenty-second year, and you said that it is necessary, that’s how you see it today, when we already have the minister of finance, the usa

says... that is, only trade with friends, when those people who wrote the report there said that the future of the world is globalization, now de-globalization is presented as the best model, that’s how you see the risks for, well, probably first of all, of course, the banking and financial system countries, or opportunities, here is the continuation what maxim said, the fragmentation of the world economy is happening before our eyes, and indeed... barriers are being put up for trade, for investment, for the exchange of technologies, and for us this means reconfiguring our trade and investment ties, which maxim just talked about stanislavovich, but we must take into account what is changing in the global economy in politics, for example, the central bank, in addition to the base scenario, also makes alternative

scenarios in conditions of uncertainty, including greater fragmentation including the possible strengthening of sanctions, because the financial system must be prepared for a deterioration in external conditions if this happens, as we were ready before the twenty-second year, while sometimes they say that the structural restructuring of the economy, which is underway, is changing, changing priorities... uh , foreign markets, industry priorities are changing, import substitution is actively underway, by the way, not only probably in our country, but sometimes they say that this is a structural restructuring, for this you can tactically sacrifice macroeconomic stability, that it has already played its role, and now you can sacrifice it, in my opinion, this is not true, because vulnerabilities have not gone away, and responsible financial

policy in the conditions of... structural restructuring has not lost its relevance, it has become even more more more, more necessary , but we need to smartly build a financial policy, first of all, create mechanisms that carry out the flow, influx of financial resources, primarily into those sectors and industries that are needed for structural perestroika, these are budget priorities , what the government is working on is setting up the banking regulation system, we are specifically changing the regulation so that it is more profitable for banks to finance and lend to projects associated with such a structural transformation. thank you very much, sergey semyonovich, now excuse me, i have a question for you. uh, president, a question from a voter , i’ll say right away, the president just recently spoke about

the role of moscow for countries with you may not know, but 75% of the assistance you receive comes from the federal budget is provided to all regions of the country. these are funds that moscow transfers to the federal budget. sergei semyonovich, in this regard, in this regard, there is actually a question: here is an assessment of the situation, an assessment of risks, an assessment of opportunities, as you see it, and not only for moscow, but actually for the regions, because the president said, that your practice needs to be, well, i don’t like the word replicate, but in fact , to implement distribution in the country, this is really a practice, it deserves it, that’s how you see these risks? that's what we heard maxim syatislavovich, we heard the central bank, here is your opinion about the crises that we are going through, you said that we need to make sure that we don’t say again

that we expected the worst, but it turned out better, mikhalavich, but please tell me , at least one, not even a five-year, three-year period in the history of russia... a federation in which we would not find ourselves in the most difficult crises, in my memory of them, we are constantly in a situation of overcoming, in recent years, if you remember, starting from the tenth year eighth to tenth year, what is the global financial crisis, we barely overcame it, there was a huge number of construction projects in moscow, which, thanks to our bankers, to some of our state banks, which then took a long time to save them, and a few years later we got a wonderful story related to the annexation of crimea, in

response we received the first powerful sanctions, which we overcame, literally a few years later we were faced with a sigh, but we overcame all this, we came to terms with the situation with the pandemic. everything that was familiar has become for we are inaccessible, and it was such a shocking story that we overcame together, at the beginning of twenty-two, when we sighed and said, yes, we overcame this too, we entered into a situation even more, more difficult for everyone, so, well this is our history, we cannot live in peace, we live in a crisis, and if there are no crises, then you and i stagnate, if there are crises, then you and i are reborn and move

forward, and this story is with the last sanctions war, and hot war that's going on has once again shown that russia can overcome crises, our cities, regions , of course, we must learn from... lessons from this, one of the main lessons that we must learn is that we should not rely on globalization, not only we already understand this story, but even those supporters of globalization, who persistently told us about this for a long time, are now stealing their countries, key technologies, this also applies to europe, america and china, they all began to understand that this is globalization, the opening of markets will ultimately lead to strengthening their competitors, for yourself, please, but for others, no

, you and i have lived for quite a long time in an open economy, and this is wonderful, but at the same time, open borders by and large , that is, are you an optimist, are you an optimist? well, listen, it’s no secret that in russia there are quite a few of our own markets, and russian manufacturers of high-tech products mainly operate on their own market, or at best on the cis market, and it is natural that they are essentially not competitive for manufacturers , who work for everything. on the world market, not on chinese manufacturers, european, american and so on, and actually, what were the sanctions based on? on the fact that we ourselves do not produce, do not create key

technologies, are not able to do this in the field of pharmaceuticals, food, even agriculture, not to mention more complex stories related to microelectronics and so on, so today how... when we plan our economy and future development , both regional and federal, we must understand that having survived the sanctions, we what we did was we switched from european markets. to the eastern, but eastern markets, we must understand that they are even tougher and today we are faced and absolutely see the preferences of eastern countries, which essentially give dumping to their manufacturers, and no one wants to give us technologies either in the field of mechanical engineering or in the field of aircraft construction , nor in the field of microelectroelectronics, no one is going to. moreover, they openly tell us:

if you want to get some technologies, buy the product as a whole, we say, yes no, we just need, at best, components that we will replace soon, yes, we understand this, that’s why we are not going to do this, at least we are not going to do it at normal prices, here’s double the price, please, that is, with us already and there is a serious war going on there, an economic war, and when we plan our investments , investments, state support, we must understand that we will not get any super-effective story there, we must engage in state support for key industries where we see danger, microelectronics, automotive industry, space technology, satellite technology, and unmanned aircraft systems and so on and so forth, agreed , you know, i can find the argument much closer that you are an optimist, neither in the west nor in the east,

that’s as far as i remember, until 2004, we had a federal law that stated that moscow’s capital functions were paid for from the federal budget. in the fourth year , this rule was removed, apparently, we don’t have a rule, why, we have a rule, wait a second, but what about you? moscow, why am i i say, it is the norm, only the other way around, in your law it’s the other way around, i’ll give you an example, that is, you still hope that it will be returned. in our case, over 12 years, moscow’s income has grown very seriously, but the distribution has changed; if moscow’s income during this period increased by 3.2 times, then transfers from the territory of moscow to the federal budget increased four times, so it is natural that a significant part of the redistribution of income happened in the direction of the federal budget, but we do not think that

this is something bad, because all... questions, the crises we have overcome recently, we have overcome as a team, we understand the challenges that the country faces , and we are part of the country, and moscow’s income is formed in conjunction with the country’s economy, so we do not consider this unfair, but the fact that we are coping with the functions of the capital being independent, basically in the majority, this is obvious, but without... the support of the government and the president was also impossible, and the main support for the regions that are self-sufficient from a budgetary point of view, and indeed for any regions, is stable, permanent rules, any rules, any laws can be adapted, the main thing is that these rules are stable, i am grateful to the ministry of finance and the government as a whole that these rules for many years, despite

certain nuances, generally remain stable , this means that we can plan, this motivates us to increase the income base of the economy, this gives predictability to our lives, thank you, andrey lyainovich, i wanted to add something, vision changes can change with age familiar things, then... the background was created to nourish, restore and preserve the youth of the eyes, it is recommended to use it daily for 3 months, the touphone is now in a new package, especially for course use. cashback 60 million rubles for sberbusiness clients, open a business card, pay at any convenient time, receive 10% cashback for purchases during the sberbusiness promotion period , millions of entrepreneurs trust us, in business everything should work like a competitor, like

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it's more profitable with take with prime. it’s possible then in this sipa. you said that there would be enough money, you planned, then already to maxim gennadvich, now , here is maxim gennadvich, can i ask such a completely non-trivial question, or maybe on the contrary, absolutely trivial, so i would like to understand why forecasts of socio-economic development are needed , how realistic do you consider the forecast of socio-economic development on the basis of which the federal budget was formed, this is such a simple question, you can also it’s just one thing, there’s enough money, well, the forecasts, i think the answer is clear to everyone, as if yes, without a forecast, as if, well, i’m the only one who doesn’t understand, explain to me, okay, well, i agree, yes, you can say that , you are mastering the process of budget formation, yes, i understand, it

is new every time, but the forecast is realistic , i understand the question, i understand the ins and outs, we really probably have a lot of time. even more than last year, although last year’s budget was extremely difficult, we greatly rebuilt the design on the fly, well, but we paid a lot of attention, and studying external conditions and discussing all the factors that exist, as a result , the budget is strong, the budget is strong in terms of oil and gas revenues and the prerequisites that we have laid down, from the point of view of oil prices, from the point of view in terms of production in terms of gas parameters, in general, we are quite confident in those estimates for the twenty-fourth year in terms of economic growth, of course, there is the question of the twenty-fifth-twenty- sixth year, because in many ways these figures, these figures are a consequence of how effective and how we implement programs and how we use the funds that are included in the budget, because well, there has never been such a strong reverse impact on

the economy from the budget as in this budget, usually after all, here is the forecast, here are the calculations, here is the money, everything is more or less clear, but now... since after all , the budget rules have changed and the parameters of monetary policy also seem to have a strong influence from all this in the aggregate, the question is about the trajectory, what is it like, how can we over these 2 years to overcome the limitations labor market, technological limitations and so on, you have said all the key things, there is practically nothing to ask , well, i understood correctly that we have a firm forecast for the twenty-fourth year, twenty-fifth, twenty- sixth, of course, the situation may change and so on, tell me , here on the twenty-third. which is now ending with us, everything is firmly, from the point of view i can i , to make it easier for you, i will even explain why i am asking the question, andrey mikhailovich cannot be firmer, firmer, it cannot be firmer, maximal, you add to what maxim gennadievich will now say, the question is, at the far eastern economic forum, your

first deputy, as far as i remember, i ’m saying, i’m mainly using quotes, i’m even quoting him, excuse me, for the sake of god, so it turns out that we have a plan, i’m in quotes, we actually have a plan on how to return the currency to the normal corridor from 70 to 80 rubles. it’s been 2 weeks, and inflation for twenty years, we predict 5.3% in those documents, which, as i understand it, we’ll receive tomorrow costs 7.5, inflation 5.3, 7.5 there is still some difference, it’s just possible then for those who don’t understand, again, mikhailovich, the state duma committee for you know what the forecast is for, in order to justify the budget, why are you torturing, no , i understand, that’s why the central bank usually

makes more accurate forecasts, because they don’t have the task of adjusting income to expenses, i understand, i’m talking about the twenty -third year, my question is extremely simple, what happened in the last 2 weeks such that the forecast for this year, not for 24 and 25, the sixth one has changed radically, this is how i would like to just understand. immediately then looking ahead to a strong forecast for 24, if possible, again for those who do not understand, just as i understand it, you set the price of oil at 70, but at the same time you say that the discount on oil will decrease over these years, from 15 to six, respectively, that is, more than twice , how can the price not change if the size of the discount changes, as i understand it, we have discovered new laws of economics that do not obey the laws of arithmetic, this too, probably innovation, just if i can talk about the accuracy of the forecast, because we understand that the forecast is not needed in itself, from

the point of view of planning everything that we need to do, well, listen, as usual, excerpted quotes from context, this , of course, is always some kind of problem, so ilya cited the figures of the april forecast and honestly said that new figures will now be published, so it seems to me that there is a lot of confusion here. there is none, that means, from the point of view, from the point of view, of the second part, the second part of the question, yes, from the point of view of numbers, we have a current assessment, yesterday rosstat published, we have a year-on-year economic growth for 8 months of 2.5%, so an assessment of 2.8 looks more than realistic, but unfortunately, quite realistic the inflation estimate looks like 7.5, because we are really moving, which means the latest figures show that we are heading towards this figure, so... therefore, from this point of view, we have included strong parameters in the budget, as for discounts, we are planning for a decrease in the brand ,

next year, well, by the twenty-sixth year, well accordingly, a reduction in the discount, based on this we get a price of 70, which means the export price of our oil, well, in fact, from which we propose to base taxation for the next 3 years, in principle, all the arithmetic is there, thank you very much, since the problem is that what we have tomorrow in the state duma, i hope, will be included in the state budget, sergei semyonovich, is it time? dear friends, i would actually like to thank sergei semenovich for being able to join us, but the meeting will take place now the president with those governors who are heads of regions who have just been elected, therefore. i understand, but we would just like to not only congratulate sergei simenovich on his victory in the elections, but

in fact, really, you know, i think i will express the general point of view, moscow today is the best capital of the world in terms of comfort, in terms of services, which are presented, and this despite any sanctions, moscow demonstrates that it is possible this is our capital, therefore it is ours, therefore. but you leave at the very moment when, after nabiulin, i i would like to ask about nabiulin’s forecast , i wanted to ask, moscow relies on one or another forecast or makes its own just in case, don’t answer, i ’m saying this as a lawyer, okay, let’s go back. sbermarket takes care of your profitable purchases, pay up to 99% of your order with bonuses

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analyzer. and this is grandpa, thank you. develop an interest in science from childhood, enroll in scientific specialties.r, ordered a package of kefir, looked around, hop, apartment, place orders on a scooter, take part in the apartment drawing. but since, therefore, you just need to monitor the situation and make a decision in a timely manner, i really don’t see anything terrible, that it diverges a little, diverges a little, okay, if i were you andrei mikhailovich, i wouldn’t worry, because i’m not worried, i it seems that the authors should predict this,

even if you look at the government’s forecasts over the past few years, then... a typical mistake in terms of the basis for calculating budget revenues is a mistake in the direction of more conservative estimates, our situation always turns out better, just as it, for example, turns out much better than what we expected for this year, and what was budgeted, so anton germanich will now struggle with the situation of excess income for the coming months rather than the shortage that was at the beginning of the year. anton avich, what will you fight for? maxim stanislavich, as i understand it, is late for you. there is nowhere to put the money, you see, and you say, will there be enough of it or not, will there be enough money, in general, even the welfants are mistaken in their forecasts, so i don’t think it’s something so terrible, well, andrei mikhailovich, it seems to me, as we say, there is growth , inflation, oil prices, the budget, well, the budget should not even be guided by forecasts of all sorts, it should be balanced regardless of

any forecasts, so in the forecast you said prices at... not 70 or more there 70 yes, well, 70 yes, the discount is reduced by the central bank in the budget, then 60 for calculation, i understand from the central bank 50 not 50 no, this is long-term 55 yes, well, yes , we have 70 in the forecast 60 you understand, the situation may turn out to be optimistic, that too it happened what maxim stanislavichno says at the beginning of the period, when it was much worse, i remember how our risky scenario was realized, we also need to be prepared for this, in fact, that is, do i understand correctly, maxim gennadvich, tell me, this one forecast, no matter, now i'm not now i’m talking about numbers, he is more optimistic, less optimistic, but he provides

for the possibility that if the situation worsens , we will be able to fulfill our obligations. here are your calculations, when you make a forecast, there is confidence in this , it seems to me, this is the main thing, what people should know, well , in fact, this is what our entire budget structure is aimed at, all the logic with the national welfare fund, with accumulation, with oil and gas revenues with basic incomes and so on, it assumes that regardless of what the forecast is, the state is in full will fulfill all the obligations that it has undertaken, thank you, then let’s do it now if. it’s possible, because we still have very little time, and there are a lot of issues that really concern people, that really worry people, here is the weakening of the ruble, if possible, the reasons for the weakening of the ruble, so that this is still clear and not necessarily from on the internet, people decided why the ruble was weakening, then, what was the advantage of