hello, dear friends, friday evening, i am alexander karevsky, it is time to sum up some of the results of the outgoing week, but we are starting with a tragic one. news from donetsk,

the armed forces of ukraine fired at the galaktika shopping center filled with visitors, it is in the center, in the very center of donetsk, with the latest information, we are getting acquainted with us, the head of the donetsk people's republic denis pushilin is on the line. denis vladimirovich, thank you for finding time for us in this difficult situation, but i would really like to know what the latest information about this tragedy, and hello! alexander, yes, indeed, today in the middle of the day the enemy fired, and just here is a shopping center, well, let's say, the petrovsky district of donetsk was fired upon, the shopping center was hit directly, naturally, there were a lot of visitors there during the day, but fortunately the store's security service worked very correctly and quite competently, that is, they tried to get as many visitors out of it as possible, and... and these

employees, i think it is right to present them with awards of the donetsk people's republic, because they really saved the lives of these visitors, because now we can say that 11 people were injured during the shelling of the petrovsky district of donetsk, nine of them were injured directly in the store itself, they are receiving all the necessary assistance, among the victims is a fifteen-year-old child, and the fire after the shelling occurred on an area of ​​10 thousand km, the rescuers worked in the most difficult conditions, because the enemy continued to attack the area with drones, and of course, let's say, in such conditions, the rescuers risked their lives, so here we can only thank them for their dedication, at the moment the fire has been localized, the rubble is being cleared...

and here we can't talk about the fact that it can be repaired to some extent, well , there is no point in talking about it, and the enemy used heavy artillery 155 mm, in general , today only in the petrovsky district 16 enemy attacks were recorded, at least 50 large-caliber shells were fired, this is not counting the attack drones, which were also used in during the day. in this area, and denislavich,

as i understand it, these are attacks on donetsk, they have intensified in recent days, because before this, such massive, such massive information about shelling has not been received. or have we missed something? you know, unfortunately, we are recording precisely the enemy's activation of civilian facilities, civilian infrastructure, and the enemy is suffering quite serious damage on the line of combat contact, we see that almost every week information comes from the ministry of defense about the liberation of the next settlements on the territory of the donetsk people's republic, of course... the enemy, as in the previous, let's say, 10 years, when it suffers a defeat at the front, tries to take revenge on the civilian population, so here, of course, we take those measures within our capabilities, but unfortunately we see when such barbaric shelling of shopping

centers, well, here are objects of mass gathering of civilians, well, of course , it is not possible to prevent here to completely protect people. one thing, will there be some compensation to people, will something be done here and will the necessary assistance be provided to the victims, because well, it is clear that they suffered damage to their health, that is for sure, how is the work organized here? here in there are well-established mechanisms, of course, all medical assistance, all necessary support will be provided to all victims, as for support... well, entrepreneurs who suffered, it is more difficult here, here these mechanisms are still in the development stage, well , unfortunately, we are recording more than one such shelling, namely, of private objects, and here of course the damage is quite serious, but these issues

have been worked out at this point, as for the people who suffered, not physically, of course here, but methods, all possible mechanisms will be applied. one more question: is it known from what place the shooting was and which ukrainian unit will be responsible for this, or is it still too early to talk about this, have our investigative bodies already opened a criminal case against those who organized this terrorist attack, or is there still no exact information, at least approximately from where the shooting was taking place? the investigative committee, the relevant authorities and the central committee have already conducted.

and an important international topic, this evening the negotiations in doha on a ceasefire in the gaza strip ended. it is reported that the final decision has not been made at the moment, but a new round of negotiations between israel and hamas will probably take place next week, such data is still coming in,

but is there a chance for the parties to reach an agreement, we will discuss this with the head of the center for scientific and analytical information, the institute of oriental studies of the russian academy of sciences, doctor of political science, nikolay. he will refrain from direct attacks on israel, such a tangle of contradictions, what do you think, is there still a chance that the parties will come to an agreement, because a lot depends on this, and the lives of ordinary people, the political component, well, and the economic, geo-economic, these are oil prices and so on, what is happening in this

region at the moment, after what you showed, what is happening in donbass, it is of course very difficult to talk about what is happening in the middle east, but... we are forced to talk about this to say, this concerns the interests of russia one way or another, yes, yesterday, today there were negotiations breaths, the united states was represented by the director of the central intelligence. egypt , the head of the general intelligence of egypt. today the negotiations ended, it was announced that some such intermediate results were achieved in the sphere of providing humanitarian aid and exchanging detained prisoners. next week these negotiations will continue now. as was announced in egypt, everyone hopes

that while the negotiations are ongoing, israel, iran, or rather, i apologize, iran will not strike back at israel, the fact that some people there say that israel, iran, again, you see, i am drawn to the fact that iran will forget and will not respond, but this, iran will not forget anything, the iranian authorities, in order not to lose face in front of the public , will strike anyway, and the fact that neither iran nor the osian countries have yet shown direct physical resistance to the territory of israel, this does not mean anything, the very fact that waiting is already a big test for israelis, if iran strikes back, then in comparison, of course. there will be no hezbollah, no hamas, no iraqi shiites, no

houthis, and today, literally, hezbollah demonstrated, publicly showed a four-minute video on youtube, about one of its military bases, which is prepared in a mountain, along which motorcycles and trucks move inside, showed missiles. ready to launch at israel, and the israelis understand perfectly well that if hezbollah also enters into hostilities, then they will turn everything up to haifa into a sea of ​​​​fire. in the very haifa people are in a panic because the city has a port, a large oil storage facility, there are a huge number of tanks where oil and petroleum products are stored, petrochemical, chemical plants, oil refineries. if only fires start in haifa, then it will be a huge ecological

disaster zone, hezbollah has more than enough weapons, missiles, hezbollah of various kinds, can carry warheads from 50 to 500 kilograms of explosives, they can easily reach tel aviv, judging by what is happening in israel. it is clear that against military actions and the serviceman died, they, including idf and massad, they are in favor of negotiations and some agreements with hamas being reached, judging by the signals that are now coming from the new leader, the head of the hamas politburo, senvar, he too, despite the fact that he is such a tough nut to crack, he is also in favor of...

allocating $20 billion to israel, these are aircraft, 50 f-15 aircraft, these are 120-millimeter shells for tank guns, these are missiles, these are mines and so on, this is a huge list of ammunition, therefore the united states is doing everything to ensure that military actions there do not cease, i would not believe the united states, what was said by israel, the united states, that if suddenly an agreement is reached between... israel and hamas and iran will not respond, i think that this is not true, iran will respond one way or another, only the form of the response, what it will be, we will see, well yes, there is a lot of political play going on around this now, nikolaych, here are representatives of israel, high-ranking ones, declaring, just now literally recently the news came out that a big war between iran and israel is inevitable, how

to understand this, they are ready, right now, to fight. seriously or will they try to delay all these things to a later date israel yes you know israel is like a small mongrel trying to yap at a big elephant, the territory of israel is very small and if the strikes are carried out in a coordinated manner by the axis powers, then all of israel will plunge into a fiery armageddon, here are the experts. calculated that only in the north of israel there are about 136 large industrial enterprises, the total cost, or rather the funds invested in their construction, which were built over decades, is about 150 billion dollars, in 30 minutes of a missile strike from iran,

heizbullah, this can all turn to ashes, the question is: the ukrainian economy is cracking at the seams, but we will talk about this a little later, about the ukrainian economy, now we will talk about the economic topic, extremely important information about what is happening in our markets, despite the fact that our economy is now is developing quite well, they even talk

about its powerful overheating since 2007, well, what do they mean, they say, the central bank says and raises the rate under this. this week there was another statement that the central bank is ready to raise the rate by 20% and higher, and if inflation does not fall. the latest data, and a little more than 9% in annual terms, the latest weekly data, says that and the previous one was a little below 9%, and annual inflation in the week, so we see that inflation is not calming down, so the central bank, representatives of the central bank make such statements in order to somehow influence market participants, apparently, economic agents, so that they behave more modestly and do not heat up this demand that exists, because for demand you need to... pay money, as you know, and money costs other money, that is, interest for which you need to pay, rarely does anyone make large purchases with their own money, therefore it is extremely important to understand what kind of credit is available,

and in general the entire modern economy, capitalism, it is built on credit, as we know, therefore it is an extremely important indicator, and if we return to the currency, then this week - there were some movements that raised questions about why the central bank, with such a high rate, sharply... lowered the ruble exchange rate in a few days, it actually grew by 5-6 rubles. now by the end of the week the situation has stabilized, well, i want to say right away that the central bank now has an extremely high degree of opportunity, i would like to correctly, probably reflect this, form it, here to form exchange rates, why? because there is no real trading on the exchange, unified trading, as we have become accustomed to over the past few decades now on... no, well, with the exception of the yuan, and there is also a question there, we will talk about this a little later, what is the problem of determining the exact rates now, why did the rate

first rise sharply, then it was sharply adjusted, all this raises questions for our citizens, we are on the eve of a new devaluation again and so on, i want to reassure you right away, the central bank is absolutely clearly in control of the situation, i will explain why, in itself in fact, the interbank market, where are they determined now? but we must understand that now the rates are more relevant now, the market is like this, the dollar and the euro are actually set by the central bank, and it announces these rates in the middle of the day, the next day, so... now again and the euro is below 100 and so on, that is, we now clearly understand that you fluctuations in the currency market, they are associated

with several reasons, i will list them now, this is a problem with international settlements, a separate large the topic is a question of liquidity, that is , the ability to quickly sell currency, get money or, on the contrary, buy it, and problems also arise because of these very settlements, even with the yuan, i will remind you that in recent weeks even medium... small chinese banks have sharply slowed down payments, and as experts say, these problems are greatly exaggerated by colleagues, payments are going on, trade is not stopping, but yes, it really has become much more difficult to prepare documents, make payments, and so on and so forth, this is due to the tightening of american sanctions against chinese banks, direct threats, or rather from the americans, and here the chinese comrades, apparently, want to insure themselves. and not to fall under these sanctions if possible, as this will be done, this is connected precisely with the determination of the exchange rate, this is the second reason that i want to talk about, that is

, the stabilization of the ruble and the yuan exchange rate, respectively, they are connected with the fact that these problems with payments, they put downward pressure on the exchange rate, that is, they strengthen the ruble, because the demand for imports falls in these conditions and, accordingly, leads to the strengthening of the ruble. this is as if one factor, on the other, we can say that export, that is, sales of our raw materials and so on, may also have problems, accordingly, so far they are not reported, but most likely there will also be questions, and accordingly our export may fall then, this is a lack of currency, a lack of so-called clean yuan, if such a term has even arisen now, these are those yuan that do not participate in the turnover of our sanctioned companies, there is a real hunt for them. that is, there is a certain fragmentation of the market and from here there is no need to be afraid of these two-three ruble fluctuations per day that we see on the stock exchange, i am also leaning

towards those problems of the ruble, about which it would seem, my colleagues also ask me, and what is happening, we do not answer, nothing is happening, problems are happening that the central bank is solving, in this way, yes, there is a problem in that the yuan, too , the yuan exchange trading can be stopped, well, for now we will not talk about it. also, the central bank states that such a possibility is not excluded, unfortunately, it will depend on the actions of chinese banks, well, because there are also settlements there, and i will remind you that our moscow exchange, it is under american sanctions, and accordingly, the banks that trade on this exchange, they accordingly also fall under certain problems, they may have, by the way, interesting information, some provinces of china, on the contrary , are increasing by... this and not only this

province, they are ready to increase our turnover in the form of barter, this is such a scheme, by the way, china is very actively using this barter trade mechanism with iran, which is also under sanctions, and with african countries, where there are problems with money, and with payments, respectively, and therefore this mechanism is used, to say that china has cooled towards our economy and accordingly is causing trouble for us, there are such opinions, and obstacles in payments, so far at least at the moment, it is very early, china is extremely interested, and needs to trade with us, and these are energy resources, and this is shown by the data that was on gas, the latest, for example, in july, record sales of our gas to china, and so on, that is , i will not go into details now, but the fact remains a fact, these fears that our trade with china may stop because of these problems, they are still premature, although there are definitely problems, that

is why... it is extremely necessary now to quickly resolve the issue of settlements, that the brics settlement system, which will be discussed at our summit in kazan, these are the assumptions so far, and this will force us to move faster in this direction, well because barter is of course good, but it is not very convenient, even with modern technologies that allow all this to be simplified in comparison even with, say , thirty years ago, relatively speaking, but nevertheless not... so, to sum up, what i have already said, these problems with currency, what should we, ordinary citizens, do, i think that nothing needs to be done, no need to be afraid, especially since we directly use the dollar and the euro very indirectly now in much smaller volumes than it was before, tourism to europe is limited for obvious reasons, well, to america the same, so yes, now the same turkey accepts the dollar,

euro, and if you go there on vacation and so on, but nevertheless, there are also , by the way, certain issues - with payments, and we understand that this is an extremely important need to create our own settlements, it would then take us away from these problems, and this issue is being resolved, but it is not very fast, a lot needs to be done there for this scheme to work, but for now, if we return to our market, summing up, i will say this, i think that some weakening of the ruble. is possible now, but it will not be of some uncontrollable nature, what is connected with, i have already said that both the tension in geopolitics and the next round of this tension for obvious reasons, and accordingly other factors, may raise the exchange rate of the dollar and the euro, well , accordingly, and the yuan, which, let me remind you, well , is almost tied to the us dollar, there are very small fluctuations, yes, it fluctuates there and 7-20.

and so on, but in a very narrow corridor, in these conditions a slight weakening of the ruble, by the way, i will remind you that last year at this time the rate was more than 100, now it has reached 84, this was an extremely low level, it is not very economically justified, the current economically justified rates for the dollar if you take the euro accordingly in june is somewhere around 95, but this is rough, it is clear that these are very conditional figures, these are approximate indicators. it would be more optimal for the budget, and for foreign economic activity, for our exporters, and for importers, who last year fixed in their heads that the dollar is 100 rubles and prices, as if you look, they did not reduce, well, there were some one-time promotions, but foreign trade agents, they see the maximum level, they always fix it somewhere there, well , at the current level, therefore its current, current strengthening, which we saw up to 84

does not give anything, so for ... so far everything is absolutely calm, there is, i repeat, a certain chance of some weakening, but our financial authorities keep everything under control, there is nothing to worry about at the moment . dear friends, i suggest you watch the replays, our besagons from golden collection of besagon tv, while we are on vacation. and i hope that you will be interested in remembering what we talked about, i look forward to seeing you at these screenings.