would be used for event space. for piers 23 and 19, the assumption in the base case was that both of those would be used for interim rents just for storage, so one of our lower parameter rates at 80% leasing. and by the fifth year, one of those sites, and i happen to just plug in pier 19, we assumed, would actually be vacated from that storage leasing and be prepared for a development site. and pier 38, throughout, we actually assumed light storage, which just generates about $50,000 a year. so it's really piers 19 and 23 where we generate good money in that interim period. and the irony is we actually make more off of those sites in the base case than in the high case, because in the high case

we assume we would be able to vacate pier 19 by the fourth year, and we would vacate pier 23 by the fifth year. so all-in-all, we probably lose up wards of $5 million from those two sites in the window, but the tradeoff is we would be developing a long-term solution for those facilities. >> i understand. i was just wondering how we could hit that target for 2020. it' it's aggressive, but i like being impressed. >> noted. >> under item number 11, you have a large jump in revenue from 2021 to 2022, and then, it jumps up the next year, you know, relatively large. walk me through why you think the rent is going to go up 60 or 70% in that business

operation between those two years. >> so the first two years really reflects leasing during the time of construction whereas the following three years represent completion of the project, and then, establishment of a solid revenue stream. as far as the jump between the third and fourth years, i think that really is -- since i don't have it broken-down quite as much detail for myself, i would assume it's a partial year in that third year, something to that effect. >> great. thank you. that concludes my questions. >> thank you. commissioner adams? >> megan, you're lucky. i wish you were up first. do the fireworks last, and everybody would still be here. president brandon doesn't like us. >> we're all relaxed now, right? >> couple questions. i want to go back to what doreen and victor were saying. [inaudible] >> yeah.

>> okay. [inaudible] >> yeah. >> couple other things. with the tariffs that the president has, i know it's probably not -- i don't know if it'll affect the port of san francisco, but in the larger ports, we're being affected by soybeans and other things. china has stopped buying soybeans from us, and are going to other countries. are these tariffs, at some point, could they hurt or bottom line? i mean, say the economy goes -- >> possibly. >> maybe it's too early to tell. >> yeah. i think it's a very good question, and auto imports and exports in particular could be affected by tariffs, and we have a lot of auto customers at pier 80, and it is possible it could be affected. >> it's still growth, it just might be modified growth.

>> okay. second, you said shoreside power, and that's going to allow us to have 30 more carnival cruise ships come in, something like that? >> let me explain that a little bit. we're expecting the card would take effect in fiscal year 20-21, it's midyear. we're expecting to have an increase of 30 cruise calls from carnival. once card takes effect, we're actually forecasting a dip, a reduction of 20 cruise calls, so assuming we're still maintaining that carnival business, but for those nonshoreside power clipped ships, we would have to reject 20 calls. this forecast -- so we would have -- the forecast has a nice climb right up front, and then, it drops down as c.a.r.b. takes

effect, but thankfully, it appears as though our customers are going to have shoreside power. >> thank you. >> megan, thank you so much for a detailed report in the lightness of the hour, and the fact that i'm losing commissioners. >> i have just one because i won't be at the february meeting. on the event, the cruise ship events, are we happy with the amount of special events in the cruise ship terminal? do we think metro is on track or are they behind what we think they might be?

>> i think they are very happy with it. i actually dropped in a special section in the report just on special events because i knew that this was an important topic, and i think that basically he feels like we're meeting our, you know, basically capacity at special events, given that we're having to alter events from cruise ships being in. we're very happy. thank you. >> okay. >> great. >> clerk: items 13-b, informational presentation on the port's ten-year capital plan for fiscal year 2019-2020-2028 to 2028 to 2029. [please stand by]

. >> we're targeting our available funds to strategic projects to generate revenue and securing external sources of revenue to keep growing the pie. and we see those successes in many instances here for example with the orton project that's

reduced our capital need by $78 million in this project. similarly, the alcatraz project is bringing in additional money, $34 million of enhancements to that site, so improve its capital value. not going through all of these, but to touch on a few others, through the waterfront land use plan update, we've really gained clarity and flexibility on our management districts. >> we are we also see again

some strategic -- [inaudible] >> we also update cost estimates, so as we get better estimates in developing our capital improvement program, those numbers are reflected here. and most significantly, really, at this time, with the passage of time, like the rest of the city, we escalate costs to

reflect the increasing costs of doing work in san francisco. the city's capital planning committee sets a rate after doing an analysis, and we follow their same rates. so for the past two years, this show reflects escalates of 5.75 and 6%, respectively. on the other side of the equation, we have enhancements, and this category isn't always completely intuitive. the city capital planning committee makes sure that a facility is left in better than its original state. we're making it better than it originally was, it shows up under enhancements. the others here are development projects as well as the conditional seismic which is really a category of potential costs that could occur if change of use or major expansion of a structure on a pier occurred.

and similarly here, we've seen a number go from 1.8 billion to 1.9 billion, from work completed, the orton reduced our seismic need. updated cost estimates, as well as the passage of time. so you see the seawall cost go down because seawall work will have been completed from the prior two plans to the time we reach this plan, so that leaves us with a $3.5 billion total need. now we turn to looking at the funding sources that we have projected in the continue-year period. we're -- ten-year period. we're forecasting $4.7 billion funding needed. if you look at the blue, you'll see port sources, which go primarily to state of good repair, and in green, we see the external sources, which while significant push goes to

enhancement, they also play a significant role in our ability to perform state of good repair. breaking thousands down further, we see they're made up of port capital as well as the tenant improvements. on the external sources, ten t tenant -- public improvements, and mixed in with grants. putting all of those together, how close do we come to being able to fund that? we anticipate funding 48% of that total need in a ten-year period, and then a portion of that funding, which is really only a potential need, which leaves us with a $1.2 billion need unfunded in this plan, which is primarily a state of good repair needs, and that mostly inspires us to keep striving and keep working those strategies to narrow the gap.

so i just want to circle back to those three strategies briefly. as we look at the chart below, this really reflects this port's commitment at the commission's guidance to keep dedicating funding to capital, and so we see in the gray bars the annual capital budget. generally increasing over time and having bumps as we get one-time sources, so it goes up, not smoothly, but up consistently, and we see the designation to capital, as well, going up, and as we just heard from megan, really thinking about the years past this plan. right now, it looks good, that we will be able to continue this trend in dedicating more to capital and narrowing our gap. we also continue to target available funds to strategic projects. as we move into preparing our next capital budget and capital improvement program, director forbes is pushing us to evaluate our criteria and

making sure we're being strategic about our investment decisions, and we're trying to secure external sources of funding for capital needs. megan already touched on the special use districts and our increased ability to use those to help really expand the pie of sources available for projects, so we've seen new subareas of infrastructure financing districts setup for pier 70, quarter front and mission rock this year. another piece that will hopefully help shape the capital plan has been the embarcadero. as we are able to advance those, we hope to see development projects in some instances that cannee address that need and address state of good repair and bring in new

enhancements and new use and life to the waterfront, and that would be reflected in future plans. time for questions. >> thank you very much. commissioner woo ho. i'm just going to ask, so on the seawall, we've identified what we have from the bond, but we have not identified what the long-term capital need is in total yet on this plan. >> that is true. we talk about the long-term potential up to $5 billion need in the narrative section but have not set that number. >> i think that timing and thinking of that will -- >> we will, it will be good for us to know in the next ten years, because we do need to get a better fix on what that

number is. [please stand by]. >> -- but i can't say how long that $5 billion is going to take, how long, so if we knew the number for the next five years, and the number for the

next ten years, it would help to explain because i do think we get asked that question in terms of being able to answer the question. and what most of the questions are, what sources are you looking at, and obviously we say state and federal, but -- but i think that we know that the port's not going to generate $5 billion. we raise so much visibility about the issue, so now, we get asked about it all the time. so now, we are a victim of our own success. >> we will get more answers for you. in planning out for the space, we will get many more answers for you. we're still in an exploratory phase with the multihazard risk assessment, when we have those results, we'll have much more definition on where we're headed. >> i just want to say on that, we're making progress in terms of trying to show the change from year to year, and that we are making progress and we're hopefully getting more operating surplus, but it's

still slow going, but at least the number is -- at least it's not -- except for the seawall side, it's not getting far worse. >> that's right. >> the seawall is the big kahuna there. thank you. >> thank you. commissioner adams? >> no. >> you're good? >> yeah. >> thank you so much for this presentation. you did a wonderful job. i look forward to the item next month. >> clerk: item 14-a, request adoption of protest and appeal process for personal wireless service facilities, site permits, resolution number 1903. >> good evening, commissioners. chief harbor engineer. i can be very brief. i have a really great slide deck, but the commission reports in front of you, what i'm asking here today is for the commission to adopt a protest and appeal process for

personal wireless service facility site permits. the port uses the substantive provisions of the city's public works code in issuing certain types of encroachment permits, including permits for personal wireless service facility sites, and rights of way under port jurisdiction. article 25 of the city's public works code establishes permit procedures for personal wireless sites including a protest and appeal procedure. the port would like to develop a clear and equivalent process to that use by public works. >> if you could flip forward, rod, to the proposed port procedure just so the commission can look at the chart to aid in questions, thank you. >> yeah. so this is the port process that we have developed -- or it follows the port -- the

procedure that is -- has been developed and used by public works. the only differences are in the red dashed box and the red process boxes where we are going to -- we'd like to substitute the chief harbor engineer for the director of public works as the decision maker on the initial protest, and if the protest is then appealed -- or the decision is appealed, we would like to use the port building code review board instead of the city board of appeals to decide the action. >> okay. could i ask a question? >> we need a motion -- are you done with your presentation in. >> -- your presentation?

>> yes. >> okay. can i get a motion? >> so moved. >> second. >> is there any public comment on this item? no? okay. >> okay. so you have to take me back to help me understand exactly what personal wireless service facilities means. does this mean, you know, a company wants to put something in separate. we're not talking about the at&ts or verizons or whatever. >> this is actually the verizons or the at&ts. >> oh, it is. >> yeah. so in the 4-g cellular network that we have, it's typically pretty good size installations. the reason why we're in front of you now is there are a couple of permits that we're dealing with that closed some

holes in the carrier's network. you can see in the boxes -- in the photos on the right show the difference between what the antenna looks like and the pole without the antenna. >> okay. >> and i have a -- let's see -- >> all right. and then, my only other question, looking at future technology, when 5-g comes, is it going to be hardware wise similar or is it going to be something different? >> this is going to be -- my understanding is that 5-g will utilize many devices like this. it's going to be a lot of smaller devices and not big antennas, so it's good for the port to own a process so we can hear process and appeals kind of contained within the port jurisdiction. >> okay. no more questions. >> commissioner adams?

>> i'm fine. >> thank you for the presentation, the very brief presentation. so why would there be an appeal? >> well, the -- say you're in an apartment or you're living in your house, and this is a -- an antenna that's stuck, and it actually blocks your view. you should be able to protest that installation. the federal communications act or there's a communications act limits what you can appeal or what you can protest. they don't allow local jurisdictions to hear protests on radio frequency health effects. they've already set those guidelines, but if it's blocking your view or -- basically, it's blocking your view, i believe. >> have we had any? >> no, we have not.

>> okay. >> but with the advent of 5-g, i feel like this can come up. >> okay. all in favor? [voting] >> resolution 1908 have been approved. >> item 14-b, new business. [please stand by] . >> clerk: and item 16 is adjournment. >> i make a motion that we adjourn in the memory of mike

denman and florestine johnson. >> so moved. >> that was the motion? >> second. >> oh, second, sorry. all in favor [voting] >> we are adjourned. it.

>> shop & dine in the 49 promotes local businesses and

challenges resident to do their shop & dine in the 49 within the 49 square miles of san francisco by supporting local services in the neighborhood we help san francisco remain unique successful and vibrant so we're will you shop & dine in the 49 chinatown has to be one the best unique shopping areas in san francisco that is color fulfill and safe each vegetation and seafood and find everything in chinatown the walk shop in chinatown welcome to jason dessert i'm the fifth generation of candy in san francisco still that serves 2000 district in the chinatown in the past it was the tradition and my family was the royal chef in the pot pals that's why we learned

this stuff and moved from here to have dragon candy i want people to know that is art we will explain a walk and they can't walk in and out it is different techniques from stir frying to smoking to steaming and they do show of. >> beer a royalty for the age berry up to now not people know that especially the toughest they think this is - i really appreciate they love this art. >> from the cantonese to the hypomania and we have hot pots we have all of the cuisines of china in our chinatown you don't have to go far. >> small business is important to our neighborhood because if

we really make a lot of people lives better more people get a job here not just a big firm. >> you don't have to go anywhere else we have pocketed of great neighborhoods haul have all have their own uniqueness. >> san francisco has to all >> this job, it's really not an i job. i wouldn't be able to do this job without other people. i make sure that all the regulatory and nonregulatory samples get to access in a

timely manner. we have groundwater samples, you name it, we have to sample it every day. i have ten technicians, very good team. we work together to attain this sampling. >> a sample is only as good as when you collect properly. if sample is not collect properly according to not the proper protocol, the sample could be biased, could be false positive or could be false negative. so all this to have good so you can manage the sample collectors, as well as the schedule, and she is pretty good, and she is very thorough. and so far, i think that she is performing a very good job. >> this job is really not an i job. i wouldn't be able to do this job without my team. you can assign them any job, they can handle it, and again,

without them, i wouldn't be here. i take pride, you know, for what i do. we are providing a very good water department. my name is roselle, and i have been working with the water department

i can't do it. [applause] >> welcome. wore glad yo