in this burning house broadcast center in new york city, i'm jeff glor. cruz'ing ahead. texas senator ted cruz surges to the top in iowa. donald trump lashes out. >> i don't think he has the right temperament. i don't think he's got the right judgment. sinkholes and landslides leave homes in oregon on the brink. this young man crawled to his death. he was shot again, again and again. >> disturbing video of a fatal police shooting in los angeles. the suspect crawled away? lifting the curtain on a broadway stage secret. how some stars avoid flubbing their lines. >> this is the "cbs overnight >> welcome to the overnight news, i'm jeff glor. seven weeks until the iowa caucuses, first in the nation.

race. one poll, senator ted cruz has surged 10 points ahead of donald trump. the other, cruz leads trump 28% to 26% among likely iowa caucusgoers. another poll shows cruz has emerged as the strongest challenger to trump, 5 points behind. ben carson has fallen into fourth place on the republican side behind senator marco rubio. we begin with julianna goldman in washington. >> i don't go down, i go up. >> reporter: donald trump has said he only likes polls that treat him well. even before a new iowa poll showed him slipping he dismissed it as biased. >> i'm leading in virtually every state. i'm leading in iowa. although "des moines register" does a poll and i'm sure that will be negative. >> reporter: that poll conducted by one of the state's most respected and accurate pollsters. it has ted cruz surging. senator cruz has spent months courting the voters with whom he's now leading, evangelicals

he's capturing supporters fleeing ben carson, who has faltered with the increased focus on national security. >> you look at the way he's dealt with the senate, where he goes in there frankly a little like a maniac. >> reporter: in the fox news interview the billionaire front-runner says cruz doesn't have the right temperament to the president. the poll of iowa republicans has the texas senator leading on that quality. on sunday trump enthusiastically tweeted out a different national poll showing him with a new high. cruz is 5 points behind in second place. marco rubio is third. >> trump is smart like a fox. >> reporter: these current and former trump supporters in virginia were part of a recent focus group conducted after his inflammatory proposal to bar muslims from entering the u.s. >> if trump gets elected, he will have people that will coach him to ensure that these type of things aren't said out loud. >> the republican party has failed us the last two times with weak candidates. mccain who was weak, romney who was weak, we're tired of weak candidates. there is no number two to trump.

contest sorts itself out it's looking more and more like the potential for a protracted primary between trump as the anti-establishment pick, someone like cruz who carries conservatives and religious voters, then the establishment candidate who republicans have historically nominated, whoever that may be this cycle. >> all right, julianna goldman in washington. weather extremes across the country tonight. this picture from western oklahoma a definition of whiteout conditions. this one from new york was experiencing record high temperatures. let's bring in chief meteorologist eric fisher. we're going to start in the northwest which is getting slammed by storms. what is happening with that system? >> jeff this storm has a lot more cold air to work with. we're seeing more snow all across the intermountain west over the next 48 hours and eventually that energy spins out into the plains. as we head into tuesday and wednesday, snow moving up into nebraska, parts of south dakota. all told every state in the west picking up much-needed snowfall here. every state all the way until the plains picking up fresh snow

the east, totally different story. a feel of spring, longstanding record high temperatures. detroit, record set in 1881, baltimore hit 72 today. more record highs possible tomorrow. especially in this little wedge of warm air in the east. also rainy travel to kick off the week. there is a change coming toward the middle and later stages of this week. colder air working its way farther east. for some who haven't felt much of it, a feel of winter in the air. >> eric fisher, thank you very much. the system in the pacific northwest may be on its way out but it's still doing damage. david begnaud is in tillamook, oregon, tonight. david? >> reporter: good evening. seven families live along this hillside in western oregon, in part because of the view. but now all seven homes are in danger of being condemned, including this one right above me that they are working to protect at this hour. some 11 inches of rain fell in this area over a seven-day period causing a landslide, look at this, that opened up a hole

suvs. this is the road that leads to your house? >> yes. well -- at least it used to be. now it just kind of leads to a cliff. >> reporter: morgan cotchery has watched the land slide on her family's property for the last six days. what started as a crack caved into a crater. bob flackas is her neighbor. >> you woke up, walked out, and it looked like this? >> yes. did not hear a sound. not a sound one. just -- the land went away. >> reporter: five feet from his front door is now a cliff. a week's worth of nearly nonstop rain in this picturesque part of tillamook, oregon, has left bob and his wife of 36 years, dee, literally living near the edge. people are pitching in to help. more than 200 sandbags are holding down a tarp intended to stop the ground from sliding any more. >> i could cry. >> why? >> people that i never knew and probably might not see again came up here to help me save this hill.

it's hard. >> reporter: 30 yards from the flackas home the landslide has pushed into a barn owned by her family. >> this is the only thing holding the hillside up. >> reporter: cotchery's relatives live alongside the barn in this home. they're now staying in a horse trailer because the home is in danger of being condemned. cotchery, whose house is safe so far, says sandbags have been their best and only option. >> got to do something. >> reporter: bob is willing to try anything if it means staying in the home he and his wife call paradise. >> if it starts to move i'm not going to be stubborn and stay, i will get the hell out. until it starts to move, i'm staying. >> reporter: the hole in front of bob's house is 100 feet long and 50 feet wide. tomorrow he'll find out if his home is condemned. jeff, his insurance company told him this week they will not pay for the damage. >> david begnaud in oregon.

right back. the los angeles county sheriff's department is investigating a deadly shooting tonight. officers fired dozens of rounds and kept shooting while the suspect was on the ground. chris martinez has this story with this warning, the video can be disturbing. >> reporter: dramatic video captures the moment two los angeles county sheriff's deputies fire multiple shots at nicholas robertson in the linwood neighborhood of los angeles. robertson falls to the ground and after a short interval he's seen crawling on his stomach as he's repeatedly struck by additional gunfire. last night, angry demonstrators gathered at the shooting scene. pamela brown is robertson's mother-in-law. >> he left three kids behind.

what, they could have tasered him or anything. >> reporter: today, 24 hours after the shooting, the sheriff's department held a press conference. l.a. county sheriff jim mcdonald. >> we've come out today to try and be as transparent we can with the information we can share at this time to say, here's what we have, here's what we know about it. >> reporter: the sheriff's department released this video showing robertson minutes before his encounter with deputies walking down a busy street, carrying a gun. investigators say the confrontation started when deputies responded to multiple 911 calls about a man firing shots into the air. l.a. county homicide detective captain steve katz -- >> he did not comply with their repeated requests to drop the weapon. the movement of the suspect and the way in which he was holding the firearm indicates he was motioning in the direction of the deputy sheriffs. >> reporter: the video captures the moment the deputies began firing, a total of 33 rounds.

the scene. community activist naji ali says the video is disturbing. >> it appears this young man crawled to his death, he was shot again, again, again. >> reporter: local civil rights leaders have asked for an independent investigation into robertson's death. chris martinez, cbs news, los angeles. this week the federal reserve is expected to raise interest rates for the first time in more than nine years. the expected increase, .25 point. for more we turn to analyst jill schlessinger. we think it's going to happen this week? >> it's almost certain and here's why. the fed slashed rates 10 times over 14 months until we got to 0% during the financial crisis. that was an effort to stimulate the economy. all these years later what's happened? the economy is growing by 2.25% a year the last few years, we've got job creation, unemployment 5%. the fed thinks it's time to normalize interest rate policy.

>> if this happens who wins, who loses? >> finally good news for savers who have gotten 0% interest on their checking, savings, cds. borrowers could pay a little bit more for all kinds of loans whether credit cards, auto mortgage rates are not tied to these rates but they could go up as well. investors could be murky out there. i think stock and bond prices could be quite volatile the net few weeks. >> the global economy is slowing down, there's concern the american economy is going to slow down, some economists think this is too early? >> people like larry summers, the former treasury secretary, they even cite the fact that crude oil, which fell by 11% to seven-year lows, that that's a sign of the slow-down. janet yellen the fed chair says, don't worry about. things slow down, we don't have to keep raising rates. if things speed and up we get inflation, we could raise rates by more than .25% and more often. everything is data-dependent, we'll have to see.

this weekend fbi divers wrapped up their search of a lake in san bernardino, california. investigators won't say if they found evidence possibly dumped this by terrorists who killed 14 people and injured nearly 20 others. tonight john blackstone tells us how some in the community fear a backlash against them. >> reporter: since the san bernardino shootings, ranyel has changed the way she covers her hair so she looks less muslim. >> instead of the traditional i wear hats so i can blend in to minimize any possibility of someone retaliating or saying something to me. >> reporter: as a mother of five who lives three miles from the scene of the shootings she was already concerned about the safety of her family. then she learned the attackers were muslim. >> when i knew the name of the shooter, i was devastated. the first thing i did is i end up writing an e-mail to all the principals of my kids' schools letting them know that i'm a

attacks. >> reporter: since the paris attacks, there have been several attacks on muslims. a pregnant muslim woman assaulted in san diego. two airline passengers ordered off a flight in chicago after a passenger heard them speaking arabic and felt threatened. and after the san bernardino massacre, a copy of the koran filled with bullets left outside an islamic clothing store in southern california. on friday the fire bombing of a mosque in coachella, 70 miles from san bernardino. police arrested a 23-year-old man for arson and committing a hate crime. ranyel has decided her best defense is not to hide but to show the true nature of her religion. beginning with covering her hair. >> now i feel like i'm more determined to keep it on and let everyone know what the muslim community is all about. and i feel i have that tool and i should use it. i cannot think of any place on this earth that i would want to

this is my country as much as anybody else's country who are americans. >> reporter: for this muslim american family, the message is that they are as outraged over the attack that took place here and just as united in grief as any other american family. >> john blackstone, thank you. a dramatic program trying to keep kids away from trouble. and the only thing better than winning the heisman trophy? the family's celebration are "cbs overnight news" will be right back. on my long-term control medicine, i talked to my doctor and found a missing piece in my asthma treatment. once-daily breo prevents asthma symptoms. breo is for adults with asthma not well controlled on a long-term asthma control medicine, like an inhaled corticosteroid. breo won't replace a rescue inhaler for sudden breathing problems. breo opens up airways to help improve breathing for a full 24 hours. breo contains a type of medicine that increases the risk of death from asthma problems and may increase the risk of hospitalization in children and adolescents. breo is not for people whose asthma is well controlled on a

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it is a graphic demonstration in philadelphia that aims to prevent violence by taking teenagers step by step through what happens to a gunshot victim in the emergency room. >> welcome, everybody. >> reporter: the hospital where 16-year-old lamont adams died in 2004 -- >> by the time you get here the odds have been stacked against you. >> reporter: -- has been turned into a school of hard knocks. >> when he came in he wasn't breathing at all. >> reporter: throughout the year hundreds of philadelphia students visit the trauma unit at temple university hospital for the cradle to grave program. >> we're going to tell the story of a young man named lamont adams. >> reporter: they learn about adams. his life, from birth to death. dr. amy goldberg and outreach coordinator scott charles have been re-enacting the night adam

>> lamont's going to have a bullet wound right there and he's going to have a bull hit wound right there -- >> reporter: charles uses dozens of red stickers to mark where the bullets hit adam. >> another here, another here. >> i'm not trying to politicize this issue. i'm simply saying, this is the thing that is more likely to kill you in philadelphia than anything else when you're young. i want them to take ownership of this. >> we were both really concerned that the students didn't really seem to know the true ramifications of what ullet injuries and gunshot wounds can cause. >> if the things that i'm showing you are too troublesome for you, talk to me. >> reporter: the students watch a video showing graphic pictures of more gunshot victims. some students can't bear to look. >> sometimes i go in the bathroom, i close the door. and i get down on my knees and i cry. >> reporter: the pain adams' grandmother describes hit home for 16-year-old rochelly sanchez. >> i can't imagine my mom crying because something happened to me

>> reporter: 15-year-old jordan beretto first went into the program in may. >> i was in the streets with the wrong people, doing the wrong thing. the program really opened my eyes that gun violence is real and people are getting killed for nothing. and it ain't no names to them bullets. >> the students also visited a morgue. so far, more than 10,000 students have come through the cradle to grave program at temple university hospital. jeff, organizers say that fewer than a dozen of those students return back to that hospital's trauma unit with a gunshot

>> thank you very much. for the first time women have been elected to office in

yesterday was also the first time women were allowed to vote in the country. more than a dozen women won local elections. a wonderful reaction last night after this year's heisman trophy winner was announced. alabama running back derek henry. that is his family at a hospital in florida where henry's grandmother has been undergoing treatment. henry broke the conference record for rushing this year. the nba's golden state warriors are undefeated no more. saturday night they lost to the milwaukee bucks 108-95. the warriors are now 24-1 this season. it was the team's first regular-season loss since april 7th. it took nearly a lifetime but a man in england has finally gotten his christmas wish. at 6 years old, david halock put a letter to santa in his chimney asking for any toys he had to spare. more than 70 years later builders found that letter while working on the house. so they located mr. halock, who had long since moved away, and

requested.

pencil box. finally, most stage actors say their biggest fear is forgetting their lines. so some are getting extra help. as jamie yucas reports that's prompting criticism. >> reporter: it's a star-studded season on broadway. al pacino in "china doll." bruce willis in "mizly." james earl jones and cicely tyson in "the gin game." while those actors draw big box offices, some are having trouble remembering their lines. each has reportedly used teleprompters or an ear piece so someone offstage can cue them. the reviews are not great. al pacino's "china doll" may be the worst reviewed play of the season. "the wall street journal" says, yes, he's using teleprompters. and he was not at ease with his lines. the "new york post" writes, al

lines in terrible new broadway play. >> the more they use celebrities to drive ticket sales for plays or musicals, you're going to come up with a problem which is that you need to have assistance. >> reporter: david cody is "time out new york's" theater editor. he says audience members walked out after the first act watching pacino search for teleprompters. >> somebody used to film acting will have a little more difficulty in a play where they have to sustain a scene over several minutes. >> reporter: cody doesn't hold back on willis' performance either. calling it stiff. willis and pacino worked through numerous script changes through previews. that gave them less time to memorize their parks. for actors like jones and tyson reciting their lines is complicated by having to play a card game throughout the entire play. even broadway great angela lansbury needed some help. the 90-year-old actress used an ear piece in the 2009 production of "blithe spirit." but she won her fifth tony for

>> delicious. >> as you get older, it gets worse, more difficult. >> reporter: mark davey chairs the graduate acting program at nyu. he says remembering lines is challenging, especially for older actors who have been away from the stage. ear pieces can be a solution. >> if you want to see a major movie star, you don't necessarily want to see an incredible feature, you want to see them being relaxed and responsive. if that's what it takes, it seems to me that's fine. >> james earl jones, cicely tyson, al pacino. fabulous. >> reporter: new yorker cheryl rubin is a big theater fan. she says she didn't notice any of the actors getting prompted. >> theatergoers are not getting ripped off. they're seeing great acting by great actors. >> reporter: great actors doing whatever it takes to keep their names on broadway. >> that is the "overnight news" for this monday. for some of you the news continues.