captioning sponsored by cbs >> pelley: we're at the cbs news decision desk, and early indications are this is shaping up as a tight race for president. we could be in for a long night. polls have closed in six states, including two of the battlegrounds that will decide the presidency. >> they are virginia and georgia, and it is too soon to project a winner i state, but in virginia, hillary clinton has an edge over donald trump based on the exit polls. >> pelley: sample precincts from the early count is how we're determining that on the can exit polls. trump has the edge in georgia. it the peach state has been low-hanging fruit for republicans in every election since 1996. >> reporter: both candidates are on the board with winds. we project clinton will get

>> pelley: trump with eight in the bluegrass state of kentucky. >> reporter: and he get 11 more in his running mate's home state of indiana. >> pelley: we're just getting started. it's election night on cbs. >> we want to defend our most cherished values. >> this is a movement like no one has ever seen before. >> i want this election to be about something, not just against somebody. >> we will make again. >> let's make history together! >> get out and vote, vote, vote! >> america's best days are still ahead of us. >> we are going to drain the swamp of corruption. >> let's go out and prove love trump hate. >> pelley: good evening. i'm scott pelley with norah

with us tonight are john dickerson and charlie rose. gayle king and bob schieffer. and elaine quijano. the nastiest presidential campaign in our lifetimes has finally come to an end. more than four out of five voters told us they were disgusted by it. >> reporter: that's right, and tonight voters are deciding whether the 45th president of the united states will be the first woman to hold the office, that is 69-year-old democrat hillary clinton, the former secretary of state, new york ser, or 70-year-old donald trump, the new york businessman and former reality tv star, making his first run for oafs. office. i think everybody knows who the candidates are. they have both had historically high disapproval ratings, above 50%. >> pelley: voters are also deciding which party will control congress. will the republicans hold on to both the house and the senate? the democrats need a net dpain of only five seats to take the senate bark or just four see the

and vice president tim kaine becomes the 50-50 thai breaker. >> reporter: in the presidential election, it's all about the electoral votes. each state gets as many of those as it has senators and representatives in congress. d.c. gets three votes for a total of 538. and to win the presidency, you need a majority, that's 270 electoral votes. let's look at where we are. trump has 19 electoral votes. clinton has three. >> pelley: john dickerson, as what are you looking for? what are we seeing in the early exit poll information? >> reporter: well, what i'm looking for, scott, is one of three scenarios: is this going to look like a campaign if you just had a generic republican and generic democrat following the patterns of american politics? that seems crazy after this campaign where we had two candidates who were so particular. then the other thing they say is it's all about turnout on election day. one scenario is donald trump brings out the silent majority.

hillary clinton brings out the sleeping giant what, they call the latino vote, if she brings out her voters. those are the two other scenarios, other than the one that goes right down the middle. >> reporter: there is so much anxiety in this election. everyone keeps saying who is going to win tonight? what is going to happen? and while the polls have not closed in many state they have closed in some state, and as we just noticed virginia is edge clinton. explain, john, what that means, based on what we know now? >> reporter: if it's e candidate but it means the numbers could be reversed if the numbers don't statistically work out, so if there's a little padding. if there's a lean, it's beyond that, which means they have a little bit more of a lead. and if you get even beyond lean, well, that's when you get into the territory where we might make a projection. >> pelley: and we should let the folks at home know those projections are based on the exit polling we collected from precincts all across the

they vote voted and why they vod that way. we have been compiling that information. and the folks at the decision desk behind us take all that information. and then the actual votes being counted and that allows us to make these projections on which way states are leaning or whenever one of the candidates we project has won one of those states. and no matter what we're doing, no matter what we're talking about, the very of second that we project a winner in a state, we will interrupt what we're doing and you will be the first to know. >> when you talk abouth anxiety, norah, i think that that's such an interesting thing. john, you said it best earlier. you said it's like being at the doctor's office waiting for the results. charlie and i were talking about later being in the delivery room waiting to hear if it's-- >> a boy or a girl. >> a boy or a girl. and when i went to my polling place today, people may be disgusted, as we were talking about, but they showed up to vote. people at the precinct said they ran out of the "i voted today" stickser and they've had the biggest turnout than the last

people maybe disgusted. they might be tired. they may be anxious. i met a trump voter and a clinton voter, one said i nude tums one said i need a glass of wine. but they are turning out to vote. >> scott, it can change during the night because all of the regions that we know, like north carolina, in new york, the east is different than the strrk the piedmont, urban versus rural. all of that reports at different times. and as we learn more about what region supports which candidate, it affects the state results. >> pelley: elaine quijano, one of the largest voting tonight will be millennials, and that will be a big change for america. >> that's right. 31% of eligible voters are millennials, which is equal to the number of baby boomers, but, of course, eligible voters and actual voters are two different things. so we're going to be watching to see what it is they do, particularly when it comes to third-party candidates going into this night. millennials, many of them said they would be about 10%-- about 13% said they would be going for a third-party candidate, either

of course, when we have tight races like this, john dickerson, you know well, that could make all the difference. >> reporter: let's talk about what we know right now. we're talking about in particular, virginia and georgia, and if at this hour with the polls closed in virginia, the clinton campaign would be very, very nervous if they weren't doing well in virginia, right? we heard she has the edge. >> i think we have all kind-- the handicappers from the beginning have thought this was going to go to hillary clinton. i think it's important, though, that if she's going to win, she needs to get i think it will be extremely difficult for donald trump to get to the presidency without virginia. he's going to have to win some place where we didn't think he was going to win. i think the important thing right now is there's no surprises. things seem to be going about the way we thought they were going to go. >> reporter: all right, bob, stand by. we want to go to major garrett, who has been covering the trump campaign and is at the trump victory party, they're calling it, tonight. major, good evening.

scott, and norah. the mindset of the trump campaign, visible on donnality trump's own twitter feed. the fascinating thing about covering this campaign, yes, you can talk to senior advisers, but trump often speaks the truth right out loud on twitter and he identified moments ago the% of the state of florida. there is deep and abiding anxiety within trump tower about what they're seeing in florida because they know-- and have said over and over-- there is no trump path to the presidency without florida's 29 electoral votes, and they are deeply turnout for hillary clinton, plus a softening of suburban, college-educated women for donald trump. and in that reason, trump has urged florida supporters to get to the polls. and it's a two-tiered system in florida. 67 counties, 10 of them on the central time zone, and some of those counties don't close until 9:00 p.m. eastern. so that strategic urging from trump has real value in those counties opinion because mitt romney in 2012, cleared more

obama. trump needs to find every vote he can in florida. hence, the urging of supporters to get there before the polls close. scott and norah. >> pelley: major garrett for us tonight. major, thank you very much. let's go over to nancy cordes, who is at the jacob javitz center here in new york city on the west side, where the hillary clinton campaign intends to have its party tonight. nancy. >> reporter: and, scott, they're not popping the champagne corks just yet, but they probably are thinking about how good it might taste, and that's because all of the data that they're seeing-- matches up with what they expected. good news for the clinton campaign because they have so many paths to those 270 electoral votes. they are especially heartened by that turnout in key democratic counties in florida that major was just talking about. they can win without winning florida, but donald trump cannot. anecdotally, what they're hearing from their army of volunteers across the country is that there is a lot of enthusiasm out there, and that tracks with what we've been

closing days as clinton took the edge in enthusiasm among supporters from donald trump who had, had that edge all throughout this campaign. other things that are encouraging to the clinton campaign tonight-- they're not seeing that secret trump voter that the trump campaign had been insisting was out there, that wasn't talking to pollsters, but was going to mobilize on election day. they're not seeing a huge drop-off in the african american vote from 2012. there is a drop-off, but it's not as large as some had and they are seeing that big spike in latino voting, which clinton's running mate, tim kaine, today described as a powerful new voting bloc in america that is finding its voice in this election, scott. >> pelley: nancy cordes at the clinton campaign party tonight. nancy, thank you. >> reporter: yeah, and this is the first time we've had-- since 1944, that we've had two major party candidates from the state of new york. do you remember who it was? f.d.r. and dewy. so it's amazing to have these

>> reporter: less than two miles, norah, so people could run back and forth if they wanted to. >> reporter: assuming anybody without understand to. >> maybe a concession they can get together at the end of the night. >> that's right, getting together. you can see together at the bottom of our screen is the electoral vote tally. you can see there clinton has three electoral votes, trump 19 votes. of course, very early in the evening but we want to keep that there for you on the screen so everybody knows at the moment's notice how this race is going. wet conway, who is trump's campaign manager joins us now from trump tower. kellyanne, you have been out on the campaign trail. you're getting in reports now. what can you tell us about the state of this race? >> i can tell you that it's still a jump ball in many places, norah, and we're really happy. i mean, for a campaign that has a fraction of the personnel, a fraction of the money, as they do at team clinton, we're proud of our efforts on the ground, focusing some of our

florida as a jump ball right now. we're feeling really good about iowa and ohio. and we're looking at flipping a blue state like michigan or perhaps pennsylvania. we like the late-breaking polls in new hampshire and colorado as well. so we see a couple of different routes. we see six or seven different routes to 270. we're just going to be patient as the returns come in. we know people are standing in line to vote and i don't want to talk too much about exit polls that may dampen them one way another. >> pelley: your campaign filed suit in nevada earlier today about the election. what can you tell bus that? >> i understand the judge is not entertaining that suit at the moment. we had received information that perhaps the polls were kept open later to allow folks to vote. and so if it's active litigation i shouldn't comment on it further, but what i read, i have read the judge is not entertaining that lawsuit at the moment. >> pelley: what's wrong with allowing the voters a chance to vote? >> well, we're all for allowing voters to vote.

is about. we're not the ones under active f.b.i. investigations or being said by the f.b.i. director we have been reckless and careless about handling classified information. of course we're for the rule of law. we believe people who want to vote ought to be able to do that if they're in line on time. and if all other procedures have been met. >> reporter: kellyanne, you described florida as a jump ball, but that's also a must-win state for you. i've spoken with the clinton campaign as i have spoken your campaign throughout the day. the clinton campaign says they believe they have banked such a big early vote with new hispanic voters who have never vote before, that even if donald trump had numbers at the polls there's no way he could win that state. how do you reply? >> i think that's a little bit of spin. if that were true you'll see florida called early. what we see is a very strong day of vote in florida today, particularly in counties where we've improved the margins over governor romney's margins in

counties who are talking to us about the returns and we're getting data inputs into our war room on a constant basis, norah, and we like the fact that mr. trump seems to have grown the turnout and grown the voter share in some of these key counties across florida. the other thing i would say is we already know republicans are behind in early votes. that's why we-- we count on a big day of vote in places like florida and nevada and north carolina. and then when you look at state that don't have a tradition of early vti pennsylvania, and new hampshire, that's part of why we went back to those states late in the game because most of those voters will-- except for those who voted absentee-- will cast their ballots today on election day. >> reporter: all right, kellyanne conway, thank you so much. >> thank you for having me. >> reporter: john dickerson, i know you are polling and look at the numbers, tell us about the state of the race right now. >> reporter: she's talking about multiple pacts but there

clinton starts way lead, because of the way states traditionally vote. historically more democratic state in hillary clinton's column, and so what kellyanne conway is saying there are a bunch of different states, but she still has to win florida, north carolina, ohio, and then a couple of other big ones. at this hour, what they need to be saying s, we're going to flip michigan. we're going to take one away from democrats who haven't lost that state since 1988" or "take another state democrats have won since then." the description she's giving of the different pathways is still quite diffuse at this late hour. >> do they really have six different paths as she says. >> six different paths if one of the baths assumes winning every battleground state. the key question is what are the realistic paths that they have? and we've known because of the historical voting patterns the way she's states vote, donald trump starts a little bit further behind if tradition holds in the way these states

standing by right now with our political panel for some insight into all of this. charlie. >> reporter: thank you, scott. we do, indeed, have a political apparently. next to me is the "wall street journal's" peggy noon an, and mark leaf wits. let me begin with the idea of close race. surprising. it could change during the evening as we learn more, and we have more polls that have been counted. >> right. >> but surprisingly close is the word. >> well, you're wondering if it's close and we have no idea what's going to happen, and trends which existed a week ago in which mrs. clinton of doing well will continue. to me, we're just starting out this evening. i'm looking at who shows up at the polls. it looks anecdotally like a lot of people did. we will see. we won't know until the evening. bottom line does the obamaba coalition hold for mrs. clinton and really come out?

broad working class sort of coalition with a lot of democrats in it turn out to be true? what is the mix of hispanics, white, educated. white not-so-educated folk turn out to be? from there we will know a lot, and it will take a while to figure it out. >> right now, it's looking like it did with the polls. >> exactly. that's what it looks like. >> the results we seem to be getath this point very still suggest an electorate that looks like it did in 2012, maybe larger, and it suggests we're not going to see huge deviation from the last sweep of master polls or state-level polls. there still might be surprises precisely because things are close, things are tight, but we shouldn't, i think, at this stage, expect some sort of wild variation. if you've been obsessively clicking on polling forecasters, you probably have a pretty good sense of what this race looks like. >> i don't think it's a surprise

going to be very cautious at this hour of the evening. you have to be very definitive for vermont or kentucky, in either direction, to make a real call. as jamel said, i think the number leading up seem to be predictive. i also think maybe the most important numbers of all, which are hispanic voters in florida, seem to be the operative number. and fing that holds through the evening that will be interesting. >> reporter: the question is whether the voting is driven by voting forking? or >> either way, a vote is a vete. if a bunch of people turn out because they hate donald trump, they're still turning out and cast ballots. as far as latino voters go, if they are turning out in the rates anecdotes suggest in florida, that's a great sign for secretary clinton. >> reporter: what state are you looking at, mark? >> north carolina. just because you're from there. ( laughter ) no it's been close, closer than a lot of people thought. hillary clinton feels she has a good chance to win there. the african american vote seems

>> reporter: we'll be with you all evening. back to you, norah. >> reporter: very interesting, indeed. expm category up, two battleground states close at the bottom of the hour, ohio and north carolina, two states that trump's own campaign says they must win. cbs news of the 2016 election

election night on cbs, and we will bring you any developments the moment that they happen. in the meantime, we've been talking to voters all across the country, as they left the polls today. we've been compiling that can exit poll information, and anthony mason is sorting through that. anthony. >> reporter: scott, throughout this campaign, the two major party candidates have had the highest unfavorable ratings

polling back in 1984. and you'll see that again in our exit poll today. 54% with an unfavorable view of hillary clinton, 61% unfavorable towards donald trump. and that has affected the way people voted. 20% of hillary clinton's voters saying their vote for her was essentially a vote against him. 28% of trump voters saying they voted for him to vote against her. by comparison, four years ago, only about 10% of voters said their vote candidate. the scandals also significant impact today. 62% said they were bothered by the clinton e-mail scandal. 71% bothered by donald trump's treatment of women. so negativity weighing heavily on voters' minds in our exit poll. >> pelley: anthony mason, thank you very much. bob, this will be the first time in american history that we elect a president who has an

>> reporter: and that's why i think people are so anxious about all of this. i mean, it's not just that we're choosing a president i want to, but i think a lot of people, what's on their mind is, whoever we elect, what happens after that? will that person, some person who is unpopular, who is considered untrustworthy by many, will that person be able to bring people together and get this country going again? and, you know, it's hard to figure out how that's going to happen. >> reporter: but not only they anxious. the latest exit poll shows 72% of clinton voters say they're scared of a frump presidency. 59% of trump voters say they're scared of a clinton presidency. how do you get past that when people have such high negatives? >> reporter: exactly, which candidate are you lesscared of. >> pelley: as norah was saying, this is the "high-anxiety" election today. >> and the demands on the new leadership will be incredible because of that. >> reporter: part of this started before we had these two candidates. the way our politics work now,

you get people out to vote is to stoke theseangers. pew has done a poll and looked at people and found people involved in politics are much more likely now to think of their opponent as the enemy, not just a nice person who has bad ideas but is in fact the enemy. that was before this race. >> reporter: all right, thanks to all of you. we'll have much more ahead.

your local election returns are coming right up. we'll see you again at the bottom of the hour. the rest, please stay with us.

we want to welcome our cbs 19 viewers as we are bringing you nonstop coverage on cle 43. the poll resist about to close we have been checking out to see if there are any problems at the polls they found protestors not to vote. carl? >> >> reporter: well i talked to the supervisor here at bethany baptist church. a man came in to vote and they sent him on his way he was in the wrong place. they said he had a gun. they investigated and didn't check out. no intimidation there. and we found no voter

>> we lost >> here is where the ballots will come and they will be counseled. they set up table it is and books and they have them for when the they will get here and as you mentioned, it is just in minutes. also, this is where they earlier spoke about the early voting numbers. overall voting numbers in cuyahoga county are down compared to four years ago. people who came out to vote at

they saw less of them than in 2012. 25,000 less voters and it is a low turnout and they are happy and they think it is a good turnout here in the county. this is, of course, big area for both presidential candidates today. they want to win ohio, the battleground state and cuyahoga county plays a big factor. this will pick up as more come in here and they sta the ballots and they expect the field reports to come in around 9:30. we will keep you updated throughout the night. shelby miller. >> some of the first results that we are likely to see in just a few minutes is the absentee ballots once they close and then release that data. >> we have been tracking florida. and you can see that 30% of the vote is already in, in that very crucial state with hillary

percentage points. >> that is only 30% of the votes counted. and 29 electoral votes there and that is going to be a crucial state as we heard from jamie earlier. everybody that state is hard to predict. latest quinnipiac poll conducted on the eve of the election has clinton off by a percentage point. that is how tight it is. trump needs it. >> the latino vote. up 89% over election in 2012. a lot of hispanics getting out to vote m florida. we will return in a half hour and we continue our nonstop coverage right now on cle 43.

>> this election is about what we stand for. >> we are about change. she is about keeping it the way it is. >> pelley: polls are now closed in four of the 13 battleground states that will decide the presidency tonig we have no decision yet on any of them. in the very early going, trump has 24 electoral votes, clinton three. both still a very long way from the magic number of 270. >> reporter: now it is 7:30, so polls have just closed in ohio and north carolina. of course, two big battleground states. cbs news estimates that clinton has the edge in the tarheel state. that's north carolina. >> reporter: yes.

rate that contest a toss-up right now. that is a state that trump feels good about. and west virginia, trump picks up another win. he's adding west virginia's five electoral votes to his total. also, we meant to update you, virginia, remember, closed at the top of the 7:00 hour. we're giving the edge at this hour to hillary clinton, and in virginia air, slight edge to donald trump. john. >> reporter: so, if you look at virginia and north carolina, remember that the clinton math, as they see it, a traditionally democratic states vote for hillary clinton, and that would include pennsylvania and michigan, so, you know, we want to-- we want to make sure that people know those states are still up for grabs, but if pennsylvania and michigan go as they have for democrats before and she wins virginia and north carolina, it's looking increasingly likely that she's on her way to that magical 270 number. >> she got a lot of support from barack obama with the african american vote? >> yes, undoubtedly, but we'll

the vote is in north carolina. the two things to watch for are, of course, the african american vote-- 22% of the electorate there. but also the suburban women, white women that she has been able to do better with than barack obama did with in 2012. >> reporter: but isn't there a big millennial population there? >> reporter: listen, listen, to what she's doing with the black vote right now in north carolina. she's winning it 89-7. >> reporter: yes. >> reporter: if you have to win a black vote, i think she's well on the way to she absolutely has to do that. >> reporter: exactly. >> reporter: john, isn't that a big college state in there are a lot of colleges in north carolina. isn't there a big millennial population there? >> reporter: sure, the key point in all of these groups when we talk about them is not just the margin by which they are winning but are they turning out. she can be doing very well with any individual group but the question is, are enough turning out, and that's particularly a question with the millennial vote. >> reporter: and right now she's doing in north carolina

virginia-- she's winning white women with college degrees. she's doing the same thing in virginia. the same trends in north carolina, we're seeing in virginia. >> pelley: but she's not carrying white women overall. in fact, one of the things that jumps out of the exit polling data is trump is carrying white women in georgia, virginia, ohio, and north carolina. >> reporter: one of the things we've seen in this race is the thing to keep the eye on is the education gap, the difference between voters who have a college degree and those who don't. and donald trump is winning with those without a college degree, but it's hillary clinton who has an edge for those with a college degree. but that's different by state. so we have to watch state by state. in the polls she has been down by a pretty good number with college-educated white women in florida. it's not a rule that applies takeover state. >> reporter: you know, it's interesting, too, that hillary clinton chose to make her last stop, her midnight rally in raleigh, north carolina, at the end of the night. >> yes.

point here about how significant this is, this race is. whoever wins tonight will be making history. hillary clinton, i've seen women-- many people will be surprised, scott, to hear women are not supporting hillary clinton, given what-- given what we've heard from donald trump. but i saw interviews with many women of all ages saying, "look, i'm just so sick of washington. i'm really kind of sick of her. i just want something different. and maybe i may not agree with what he said. he said some inappropriate things, but he would b challenge," and they are so desperately craving a change in washington, d.c. >> pelley: one of the things exit polling told us is a very large number of voters think change is the most important issue for them. >> reporter: the most important. let's go over to elaine quijano who is at the social media desk. elaine. >> reporter: well, norah, you have been talking about north carolina, and we're going to talk about that in just a moment. but first i want to share with you a tweet from indiana governor mike pence. of course, donald trump's running mate, thanking indiana,

board to vote to make america great again @realdonald trump. what we've also seen, though, in north carolina, specifically out of durham county, there is a hashtag now on twit they're is trending right now, #stay in line. there were reports of issues with electronic voting and we have some social media posts to show you of the line in durham county. what we know comes from our campaign embed sean galitz who says the north carolina st extending hours in eight locations because of reports with issues of-- reports of issues, rather, with this electronic voting. now, those eight precincts are out of 57 precincts in durham county. so some of this video that we're seeing here reflecting what we're seeing. even hillary clinton, i'm just being told, has tweeted and is tweeting about this situation stale going on. so we're going to continue to monitor those reports on social

north carolina, and update you with the latest. scott and norah. >> pelley: one of the states that donald trump nearly has to win is ohio. that's another one of our battleground states. it's a toss-up state, and that is where we find dean reynolds tonight. dean. >> reporter: scott, history says that he has to win ohio. no republican has won the presidency without this state. and we were talking about early in the evening with attorneyge we asked him-- he's a republican-- where would he be looking tonight? what area would he be looking for an early indication of how things are going? and he said mahonning county in northeast ohio. that includes youngstown. that's home to a lot of displaced blue collar workers. and he wonders how deeply the inroads that trump could make into that voting bloc and

campaign can offset that erosion of traditionally democratic voters by gathering support of, at least nominally, republican voters in the suburban areas around cleveland, columbus, and cincinnati, republicans for whom trump may be a bridge too far. now, the early voting, which comprised about 23% of all registered votersn reached 1.8 million. that's about 11,000 more than voted early in 2012. and those are the first votes that are going to be tabulated tonight. we're going to be hearing those numbers first, and then the other parts of the state later. the mahoning thing, though, is key, and it was key, also, four years ago, because then we could

targets that obama, president obama had to hit if he was going to defeat romney, and he hit them. and we knew early on in ohio who was going to win the state. that may be taking place tonight. we can't really say for sure. you've seen the exit polls. trump is winning among men. mrs. clinton is winning among women. trump is winning among whites. i would say, though, that rob port man, the incumbent senator here, the republicanen possibly he could have coattail effect for trump that would help trump carry the state. but, again, he has to win ohio, or he's not going to win the presidency. >> pelley: dean reynolds for us tonight. dean, thank you very much. i was in ohio talking to voters, and there was so much anxiety sort of an identity crisis among them. i was talking to a suburban woman who had worked for

for donald trump. on the other hand, i went to a steel workers aeption union hall. the only portrait of a president on the wall is f.d.r.. >> reporter: i saw that. >> pelley: there's a hillary clinton sign on the door and the steel workers are telling me they're going to vote republican for the first time in their lives. >> reporter: scott what, i remember about that report is there was a husband and wife who hardly were speaking to each other -- >> they couldn't watch the debate together. they had to separate into different s. the governor didn't endorse donald trump. john kasich said i'm writing in for someone else, john mccain. >> reporter: and then was in open conflict with their party's nominee, as basically was the republican party of ohio. so it is the-- it is the sort of ground zero for the conflict in the republican party that we saw in many different places. >> reporter: yet, the clinton campaign spent a lot of time there, brought out the heavy hitters-- lebron james, who is beloved in that state.

>> reporter: or in the world. >> when it comes to queen bee she is globally loved. and i thought you had a point on "cbs this morning"" that's very good if beyonce and jay z were running and they had a voting booth on the stage, maybe that would have worked, but does that enthusiasm translate to votes for clinton and did it? >> reporter: in ohio tgoes beyond celebrities. >> reporter: yes. >> reporter: and it goes beyond names. it's about jobs. it's about trade. >> and we're learning some polls is and we asked specifically voters in ohio, "what about trade with other countries? and 46% said trade takes away jobs here in the u.s. and that's why we see this split among the exit polls in the union vote. why it's a toss-up at this hour. what does that tell you, though? that ohio is where it is at this hour? >> reporter: well, what it tells me, and to scott's point about union households and the exit polls, of those who live in a union household, 50% of those

to scott's point. what it tells us is that ohio has been changing since they were voting for f.d.r. it's a state in which the working class in ohio has been trending towards the republican party. there's not a huge african american constituency at about 14% in ohio. so the coalition for clinton there is different than in a state like virginia where she can put together a little something different. >> reporter: did the republicans come home in ohio? we know educated women did not, but did the republican vote over the last several weeks come back to donald >> reporter: i think if he's going to do well, the republicans must come home to him, and also, though, he's getting these democrats and we'll see how it breaks out across the state. there was great worry in the ohio republican party, and this is where there was the split, that those suburban white women around columbus and around cincinnati were not going to vote for donald trump. >> reporter: ohio has always been, for the most part, in the pathway for donald trump's road to the presidency. it's not been one of the key point in the clinton road to the presidency. they knew it was going to be a

>> donald trump is getting 88% of the republican vote in ohio. they're doing well for him. we found in the polling the states where donald trump did well are a state where he got a big share of the republican vote. we found in the battleground trackener pennsylvania before this election day came upon us, he was only getting 78% of the republican vote. that's why he was many points behind hillary clinton. so to your question, charlie, it looks like the republicans are coming home for him. the same number of republicans voting for him as democrats for hillary clinton. >> so are you all saying ohio? >> she may have had made a difference-- >> it's going to break hearts all around. >> we're certainly saying we love eliminate. >> we certainly do. >> pelley: anthony mason is keeping track of the exit polling information. he's been looking at what voters in georgia have been telling us today. anthony. >> reporter: yes, scott, the last democrat to win georgia was bill clinton back in 1992. african american turnout and voting there key to the democrats' hopes in georgia. eight years ago, when barack

vote in georgia. as you see, this time around, it's roughly the same. hillary clinton is winning nine out of 10 black votes in georgia today. but donald trump is taking seven out of 10 white votes. so a sharp divide by race, but also by gender. let's look at men and women. you can see, donald trump is winning men 57% to 38%. women are going for hillary clinton 54% to 41%. but, again, african american turn democrats' hopes. not clear that they're getting it, which is why trump has the edge in georgia right now. gayle. >> thank you very much, anthony. continuing with the exit polls tsays 82% of trump voters wanted change. 90% of clinton voters said experience is most important. what does that say to you, bob schieffer? >> well, i think it just shows the break and the divide that we're going through right now. i mean, that's right.

and they saw him-- maybe they didn't think he could make the change, but at least he could thumb his nose at the establishment. >> i do think there were some voters who wanted change but did not think donald trump of the right vessel. >> yes. >> one interesting finding from the exit polls we have here. on the question of honest and trustworthy. that was a huge question for hillary clinton throughout this campaign. and there was a long stretch where donald trump was seen as the more honest and trustworthy candidate. in the exit poll tonight, when asked that quest hillary clinton is honest and trustworthy throork% said donald trump was. she has, at least according to the exit polls at this moment, flipped of what the case for much of this campaign. >> yeah, but when you look at how voters feel about donald trump and hillary clinton, they're not flattering. when they talk about the attributes for donald trump, words like, "stubborn, arrogant, sexist." when you ask about hillary clinton, "stubborn again, not willing to admit her mistakes and flip-flops."

a leader," on either candidate. >> but now that people do seem to think she's more trustworthy than trump. well, i guess progress is where you find it. >> pelley: we'll be coming back with more campaign 2016 in just a moment. approaching medicare eligibility? don't put off checking out your options until sixty-five. now is a good time to get the ball rolling. consider an aarp medicare supplement insurance plan insured by unitedhealthcare insurance company. like any of these types of plans, it could help you with out-of-pocket medical costs. call now and request your free decision guide and explore the range of aarp medicare supplement plans. start gathering the information you need...

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>> reporter: and welcome back to cbs news election night coverage. here's the electoral map. it's early still in the night, and as you can see, hillary clinton with three electoral votes, donald trump with 24 electoral votes. we've got some 13 battleground states that we're watching very closely tonight. and if you've been watching our coverage, you already some bread crumbs along the way about how this night may go. we've already spoken with the trump campaign tonight. now we want to speak with the clinton campaign and bryan fallon, who is the press secretary. bryan, good evening. >> reporter: great to be with you. thanks for having me. >> reporter: absolutely. first, tell us how the campaign is feeling at this hour. >> well, we really feel, based on what we're seeing so far today, what you're seeing is a rise of the clinton coalition. this is a issue where coming

of people thought that it was an open question whether hillary clinton could galvanize support from the obama coalition that helped power president obama to victory in 2008 and 2012, and what we're seeing in the early voting and today hillary clinton has not just reassembled the coalition but expanding on it. in a state like florida you saw early voting figures from latinos double, to more than 1 million latinos voting early in florida. i think that will help us break 2012 turnout levels in terms of miami-dade county, which is a huge powerhouse county for democrats. we can't win florida without running up the votes in miami-dade. you are seeing early vote in clark county, a huge democratic stronghold area. and even in a state like north carolina, which we think is going to be tight and probably going to be late to be called, where initially this was talk of a drop-off in african american turnout, we've not only made up gains there in the second week of early voting in north carolina, but we actually offset

latino participation in early voting in north carolina. so i think that's going to be one of the emerging storylines tonight. >> pelley: bryan, another emerging storyline from our exit poll information is that donald trump is leading hillary clinton among white women in ohio, north carolina, georgia, and virginia. does that surprise you? >> this is a demographic that he was leading with from a very early point in the race. they think, overall, the be the huge break and split that you see in terms of college-educated white voters. this is over-represented in places like the counties outside philadelphia. that may swing the state of pennsylvania to us, which will essentially block the path for donald trump. if hillary clinton wins those voters, it will mark an improvement again, another area where she outperforms 2008 or 2012 in terms of growing the democratic coalition beyond the base of support that powered

historic victories in 2008 and 2012. >> reporter: and, bryan, just quickly, the state of michigan, any concern there? >> michigan, we've been pleased with what we've been seeing so far. in fact, i think the day after this election, one of the mistake thagz the trump campaign will look back on is their failure to contest a state like mir began earlier on. we never took it for granted, even though it was late to the battleground map in the minds of some. we actually had 35 offices open there. we had a full staff in place there. we were always built to win a very close race and that's what i think is going to happen tonight. >> reporter: bryan fallon, thank you so much for joining us from the javits center, which the clinton campaign chose in part because it has a glass ceiling, and they are hoping there will be a crack in the glass ceiling tonight. that was a strategic choice by them. >> obviously, paying a lot of attention to florida, as you mentioned earlier, this has been their message for a while that

them the edge. but it sounded like on michigan, there's still something to watch there. >> yes. >> there was less of an easy, quick response of how it's going so perfectly well for them in michigan. while winning florida would be a huge deal for hillary clinton, there is still that backdoor about michigan that democrats are sending me e-mails about, about saying it's tight in michigan, worried in michigan. >> pelley: well, donald trump has to win some state that traditionally goes democratic in order for him to win the election. >> that's right. or run the table battleground states. i mean, so the more democratic, traditional democratic states he can take the more breathing room he has in a state like florida and ohio. although he still-- he's still got to win those two, probably. >> all right. >> pelley: we're back with more. you're watching election night

>> pelley: we're back now with more campaign 2016 election-night coverage. bob schieffer, what are you seeing in these early hours? >> reporter: i still think the most important thing is finding out how many latinos. this hispanic vote, i'm going to go out on a limb here and say that most hispanics are not going to vote for donald trump. so i think-- >> shoos a that's a short limb. >> what we're seeing in florida, we're seeing in north carolina, i want to know more about how many hispanics did turn out. >> what's important about that, the clinton spokesman just said, the latinos are part of a creating a new clinton coalition, adding to the obama coalition in 2012. >> right now, what the exit polls are telling us is 18% of the vote is latino in florida, that's up one point. and romney got about 40%, and trump is getting 31%.

polls close in 16 states and we have we want to welcome you back we have been bringing you nonstop coverage on our sister station cle 43. it is a big night and the world is watching we have that part of the coverage. dani, you are in had tremont, i understand? >> reporter: well, guys, i am having a bit of trouble hearing you. you can tell it is a loud atmosphere here at the social club here in tremont. >> this is an election watch party. everyone from every party is welcome here i was talking to the owner of this bar. she said it is really to celebrate democracy and realize that everyone has to be friends and neighbors after this election is called.

enter national attention here at prosperity social club. we know a film crew is expected to be here. television news crew from japan will be here to get the local flavor of what is going on in cleveland and the all important swing state of ohio. >> it is a more positive vibe here and people celebrating the end a difficult campaign. >> you can tell the positive nature by the tiara. they everyone here. >> hanging on every single word that scnn is saying. and we plan to stay here and bring you updates what is happening here in tremont >> you see clevelanders coming together. i tweeted out an ad earlier. it is on the cleveland app and facebook page. there is an add running about a

dog, it is all set up to a trump rally and she is wearing a little larry shirt and vice versa. it is so touching. >> take a line and watch it. >> it may make you feel better come tomorrow morning. >> right now. shanice is covering the parma's school's issue. what do you have for us? >> romona, i am at pleasant valley eleme stations and the community is really waiting to see how this one is going to play out. >> issue 118 as a tax renewal levy and comes at an important time. >> it comes to as a deficit and so k the scooght district found out they had the issue. >> they were working on a recovery plan to close that gap and with account plan they just admitted. they announced that they have

they are going to possibly be more cuts in the middle of thisser yoo and next year and then, this is going to impact programwith students in the cool district k. >> that is the story right now. and under how important the levy is. if it adopt pass, well, it is not possible. but there will be more cuts and we will be out here toe bring can you the issue on 118. >> get diagnose answers. >> in parma. >> we have been covering those local issues that is are so important to the ones in cleveland. >> that is on the ballot today am and we are watching it very chosely. even if you don't live in cleveland and you come in and work in the city. you will be facing an income tax hike if that passes. >> a lot of the school issues, the one in parma, shanice is talking about, would add to the home end's expense.

>> pelley: welcome back to cbs news coverage of election night campaign 2016. it is now 8:00 in the east. polls are closed in half of the states including three more of those batgr decide the presidency. florida, pennsylvania and new hampshire. in the race to 270 electoral votes and victory, donald trump has 51. hillary clinton 30. >> let's take closer look at those battleground states that just closed. starting with florida. the sunshine state means the presidential hopes right now it is a toss up. pennsylvania, the keystone state

victory, a toss up there, too. and new hampshire, that is a toss up, too, polls are closed now in seven battleground states and we can't project a winner in any of them. candidates however did pick up more electoral. trump is a winner in south carolina, oklahoma and tennessee. and clinton gets massachusetts, maryland, delaware and the district of columbia. scott, i was thinking we ought to d just closed there's some interesting numbers that we're learning out of the exit polls, too, john. we've been talking about the hispanic votes it look like 64% of hispanics towards clinton, 30% towards trump he is unde underpurchasing what romney did. >> dickerson: romney got 39% and there's 1% more of the latino

the if you elain florida. >> pelley: florida is a must-win state for donald trump but not for hillary clinton. let's have a look at the board, shall we? bring audience up to date on exactly where everything is. as you can see there, we're estimating that at this point hillary clinton has 44 electoral votes. donald trump 51. and the states that you see in red are the states that we have projected victory for donald trump, states in blue are the states that that we have estimated victory for hillary clinton. the states that are in white, these critical states that are in white. are states where the polls have closed but the vote totals are so close that we're not able to make an estimate in those races, the moment we can make an estimate in any of those races we will do so and drop whatever we're doing to bring you the breaking news. >> one of the other states that

the democrats have felt comfortable about, but certainly many in the state of pennsylvania that donald trump could turn. he's made a big play for the state of pennsylvania. we've been talking about white college educated women, clinton turned out 58% that's 20 points higher than obama got. he got 38% of the white college women. does that suggest that something shifted big in pennsylvania? >> you h the suburban counties around philadelphia, two keys for hillary clinton in pennsylvania, turn up the african american vote in the cities in pittsburgh and philadelphia. and do well with white college educated women in the counties, they felt nervousness about donald trump on that central question whether he had judgment and temperament the people that hillary clinton constantly tried to keep the image of donald trump saying things about women and more controversial comments in front of those vote turnovers

>> pelley: how do we know what we know? we have for decades on election day sent reporters all all across the country to talk to voters as they left the polls and asked them how they voted and why they voted the way that they did. anthony mason is collecting all of that information for us tonight. anthony? >> reporter: we'll look at the hispanic vote in florida but to start 27 million eligible hispanic voters in this country now that's a record, 12% of the electorate in florida, though, 18% and hillary clinton is leading among hispanic voters in florida. she's taking 6% of the hispanic vote to 33% for donald trump. but there's an interesting split among hispanics there, cubans, traditionally republican are going for donald trump. by a 53-41% margin. other hispanics, though, they are now a larger voting bloc than the cubans are dominated by hillary clinton, 70-25% she's doing really well.

gayle? >> thank you very much. you went out on limb most hispanic voters, you are safe on the limb. very sturdy limb. they also say this, 59% of the florida voters who we talked to say immigrant in the united states, 27% say immigrants hurt the united states. what do you have to say about that, john? >> there is a single policy idea that donald trump brought into this campaign, it was immigration, beginning of his election kick-off when he wrote that escalatedder he talked about, he was constantly talking about immigration this is a very important policy point for his base. but tonight it's all about the battle. bases. while on the one hand the bases turned out by donald trump and his talk of strong immigration controls on the other hand the new coalition that hillary clinton may be creating was in part perhaps driven by a strong reaction to donald trump. >> many people won't forget where he talked about --

news projecting that hillary clinton is the winner in illinois. state that she grew up in. talked about. where she learned her midwest values, she's reminded us on the campaign but not a big surpris surprise -- that would be very bad sign if she did not win. >> you were talking about the hispanic vote. >> many people smart willing over his comments as he rode do you think theal unusual type of campaign. talked about building a wall that was first time that the jaw-dropping moment referred to mexicans as rapist, many people have not foregot enthose comments from day one. >> the irony, of course, is that the very first people that he insulted may have the last word tonight. charlie rose is with our political panel they have been talking about his fan in this case voters.

hispanics, talk to less see, ruth marcus and less see sanchez and frank hunts. what do you think is going on in hispanic community and how large will the turn out be how influential in this election? >> if the white communities are angry hispanics are insulted. they were instilled by the language and the tone and every time he would say mexicans pay for the wall. he talked about immigration policy telling them they weren't the hispanics will love me, they don't. i'm looking across the country, it's not just on border states. spank donald trump in particular cannot win when you are only getting 25-30% of hispanic vote. you cannot put together majority and they are the fastest growing segment of american society and the greatest switch away from the g.o.p. over the last ten years.

which is, i would use the word incensed. because i think that -- >> driven to the polls. >> you know, you might sit home just -- >> if you are incensed you will get in the car. >> it's not just i suspect, not just hispanic community you saw this four years ago was asian voters. it would be typically republican voters, deserting mitt romney may see that again, you know, w, even greater numbers. when one ethnic minority and bunch of immigrants, insult even more than hispanic. >> the question tonight is, this is going to be the largest rejection of a g.o.p. nominee basically recent history. republicans have earned about 31% of the hispanic support for the last ten presidential elections, questions is he going to perform bae low that. going to get in bob dole territory of 21%.

to do unite a dormant hispanic community that doesn't vote. >> the clinton camp saying new coalition that includes hispanics is larger coalition that even obama had. >> i would say, barack obama made the same declaration, then republicans won control. the same declaration in 2012, g.o.p. won congress and the governorships in 2014. these things are make no mistake, charlie, republicans and democrats are looking at these numbers saying that this group is moving so fast, growing so fast, is going to be a nightmare for the g.o.p. going forward, unless they adopt a new message and new policies. >> and the g.o.p. knew that. four years ago we had the same up a they diagnosed their problems they set out -- >> got to reach out. >> it's specifically immigration reform. where was it, what are they going to do now.

cbs news projects that rhode island goes for rob hillary clinton. one of the big stories, control of the u.s. senate. julianna goldman has been following those. >> norah, we are ready to make the first call for a democratic pick up in the senate, in illinois it looks like congresswoman tommy duckworth beat senator mark curt. that is one of the first calls able to make for democratic pick up in the senate. rep remember, democrats need five seats to take control of the senate, four is hillary clinton wins. because tim kaine would be vice president and he would be the tie breaking 51st vote. >> all right. that had one more woman to the united states senate. tammy duckworth the first woman of congress born in taiwan, she

army, contentious, now, according to cbs news heading to the united states senate. >> first republican loses his seat tonight -- >> considered the most vulnerable of all the republicans on the ballot. >> john dickerson you were just telling us about a warning sign for the trump campaign that you were noticing in the exit poll data that we have coming in. >> one of the key questions whether donald trump's strategy of paying close attention to white votedders was going to pay ronald reagan won with 54% of white voters. mitt romney got 59% and lost. the difference, the share of white voters that were more of them in ronald reagan's day. the exit polls suggest that only 0% of the electorate is white voters. in it was 72%. donald trump is working with a smaller group. within that noncollege white voters in 2012 they were 36% of the electorate now they are 34% of the electorate these are not huge numbers but in close race

the premise of the donald trump campaign was not just that he would match writ romney, but grow then. >> one republican senator lindsey graham said his own party is in demographic death spiral. we've seen the share of the white electorate is getting smaller. >> america is changing so is politics. >> yes. we have a projection in the state of mississippi. goes to donald trump. he is the winner in that state. victory there. and large win all right, democrats are hoping to take back the senate we'll look more at those key senate races and more states closing hats the top of 8:30. we're back here on cbs news

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>> pelley: back with cbs news election night coverage. legs look at the state of the race is righted now at this moment this is the electoral college map. the colored states you see now are the ones where the polls have closed. the blue states signify victories for hillary clinton. the red states victories for donald trump. right now at this early stage the electoral college totals are clinton 68, trump 57.

win. now you ask, what about those white states here. this is the whole ball game, folks. many of these states are going to be deciding who the president is, they are so close right now we can't make a projection about the winner. anthony shall von toe is running the decision desk back here all of our experts who are watching the exit pollingnf all of the actual vote data coming in. anthony, let's look at florida quickly. donald trump must win it. there's no question about that. fell us what's happening there right now, why is this so close? >> well, that's right, scott. that is critical to his path. and i'll tell you the story in florida right now is the story we're seeing in number of battleground states. that is, that even though hillary clinton is doing well, down in the areas where democrats typically do well that's down around miami. getting decent turn out there,

that she needs in around miami, but, donald trump is outperforming mitt romney in typical republicans in lot of these other republican leaning counties. one by one, that's adding up his totals, we see him outperforming typical republicans that's keeping this race close. >> pelley: red for republicans, blue for democrats. 60% of the precincts reported and it's virtual tie. there was lot of e here, scott, that's a lot of what is counting fast. we thought in the early vote looked like it would be even. and behold, it is. it's very even. including what was cast before today. >> pelley: let's look at another state extremely important to both candidates that's north carolina. >> north carolina is similar story. in around raleigh-durham, place with democrats typically do well, and no surprise hillary clinton is, she's turned another

but all these red places that you see lit up including down here in the western part of the state, with strong turn out with donald trump outperforming what republicans typically do, just about matching hillary clinton's margins. she's got a little bit of an edge but certainly not enough to say where this race is headed for sure right now. >> pelley: anthony, our director of elections. thank you very much. folks, the moment we can make an estimate on a winner of one of these states, we will whatever we're doing and you will be the first to know. has been its north to get out to vote. to get their voters to the polls. nancy cordes who is election night watch party tonight in new york city has more on that. >> the clinton campaign has been working on building out for

they have given up, they are volunteers made 23 million voter to voter constant since saturday morning. that means more -- that means people calling other voters on the phone. they have gone to their entire list, knocked on every door, gone back, if you battleground state but -- talking about florida, where it is so close. imagine if the trump campaign had money to invest in similar size get out to vote operation. might be leading by point or two there right now. instead in broward county, this is county that went for president obama in 2012 by 35 points. hit record turn outs today by 6:00 p.m.

>> pelley: nancy cordes at the clinton watch party. thank you as nancy was saying, the trump campaign has not invested nearly as much in the get out to vote campaign today. and we have our major garrett at the trump watch party tonight. >> the most important decision donald trump made as he sought the presidency of the united states to subcontract, get out to votera republican national committee. in talking to senior trump advisors in the week leading up, what worries you most? that we're going to be close, we're going to look at the election results and wish we had our own get out to vote operation. and we don't, which means in certain respects, in certain precincts, certain states we don't know as much as we need to know. and, scott, i can tell think was a conversation that went on and on in the trump campaign. trump was absolutely adamant he

didn't believe it it, didn't think it was important as what he saw in the adoring crowds, thousands he said he kept encountering on the campaign trail. what he may learn tonight in the very closely contested states, like florida, no trump get out to vote operation. north carolina, a small one but in the nearly large enough. other states that will loom large in the evening, pennsylvania, virginia, those are day of voting states. not lot of early voting in either one, trump campaign not well positioned to get out to constituencies that they need. across the board, scott, the greatly pant from trump and those who support them come tomorrow if he loses may be we should have invested where we didn't. >> pelley: major garrett, thank you very much. >> really interesting to see those two differences between the two candidates. just show everybody right now what's happening in the state of florida. we've talked how this is such a key battleground state in trump's path. look at this, 48-48 we are

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we'll have more when we return on cbs we want to welcome cbs 19 viewers as we are bringing you nonstop coverage on our sister station cle 43. >> we will go now w crisp is joining us there to talk about issue 54. they wanted people to vote no on that. what do you know so far, lacy. >> we are at the save lakewood watch party, you have driven around, you have seen the lawn signs outs. it is a hot button issue. you may remember. back in december, they voted to close leakwood hospital and

clinic 24 hour am and city leaders say the hospital is losing money and this is a way to get a stat state of the art facility and we doing the space and the group trying to save the hospital means loss of services and johns. >> they employed 1,000 people and this will only employ 125. -- 125. lacy out there on issue 64. that is one of the ones as resident of lakewood. if you wanted to support the city council's decision. vote yes and the the people asking you to vote no to bring you back a full service hospital. >> in cleveland, the half% income tax hike. that's what they are talking about and you work here. you would be required to pay that.

that story of we will go to her live now. >> what passing issue 32 would mean to the city of cleveland. >> it means the city would be able to take care of a more than $40 million deficit that they are facing next year and another 35 to $40 million in the city would use to maintain or enhance city services like pothole repairs. snow removal and street cleaning. cutting vacant lots and taking care >> the city's safety services would be faked and they tell me, you can expect hiring an additional one lun police officers in addition to and on top of the budgeted streptd they have coming up for next year if issue 32 passes. if it fails, the mayor told me you can expect layoffs. hundreds of them as well as cut backs and city services and elimination of city services. i talked to the firefighter's

anticipate that the cut backs could be as high as 10% across the board and translating to 80 layoff it is and he said the numbers are already very, very low and the lowest in years in fact. if this does pass, it is the first in 35 years that the city does pass an increase to two and a half percent equaling more than $80 million and we will bring you those latest numbers as soon as they come and bring themac buys. this is important toe all of you and lakewood and save the leakwood hospital issue pt and cleveland income tax issue. you can find them on the cleveland 19 news app. >> we are keeping an eye on the battle grounds states like ohio. pen opinion. florida. so for our cbs newers we will return in a half hour and we continue our nonstop coverage right now on cle 43.

>> pelley: back now with election night coverage on cbs. polls are closed in 26 states and the district of columbia. as america elects a president. no projected winners yet of the 13 battleground states that will tell the tale tonight. but in the race to 20 electoral votes and the presidency, clinton has 68, trump 66. we still have a very long way to go. >> we do. we're going to get to some of those individual states in just a moment. battleground states beginning interesting numbers. first, in the state of florida, cbs news projects that marco rubio has won his senate seat

16 republicans that challenged donald trump for the nomination, rubio may the only one having victory speech tonight. he wasn't going to run for the senate when he lost decided to get back. >> wonder if his career was over, political career was over. >> said he talked so much about his dislike for the senate. >> the republican leaders said we're in danger of losing we need to hold on to a seat in florida you need to go back and run in that he is now along with senator portman in ohio one of the two republicans who was able to get out from under donald trump, even democrats tried, they were able to succeed we don't know what the outcome in florida is at the presidential level, marco rubio did better because we're able to make a projection. >> pelley: let's have a look at the battleground states. these are the 13 states that could go either way and will determine the election. as you see that graphic there,

carolina, ohio, new hampshire, pennsylvania and florida. the polls have closed in all of those states. and they are all so close but we are unable to make an estimate of who is ahead or who is projected to win in those states. the states that you see below there, those polls will be closing later as we go on into the evening. >> scott, we were looking closely at the state of florida. a must-win for donald trump. expected vote in and the margin is razor thin, isn't it? >> pelley: 8 million votes past they are separated by 0,000. >> wow. what is going on in florida? >> i don't know. >> here is one thing that is not, in 2012, 67% of the electorate in florida was white.

so, that kind of a drop between 2012 and 2016 you would think would hurt donald trump. but he's neck and neck here tonight. he's pick can up some of the alternative is that hillary clinton not turning out the vote in the way barack obama did we're just going to have to keep waiting. >> she's not turning out. >> this is eerily like 2000 we'll start hearing about hanging chads here in a minute? >> in 2000 there were only 500 votes between al gore and hillary clinton spend lot of time in florida, both of them? >> that's the cost of doing business in politics when you have to pay attention to florida. and ohio and north carolina. they are battleground states for a reason. they spent a lot of time there. what is interesting is to major's point, the ground game in florida -- the republican national committee set up ground game after the loss in 20126789 we have to have people on the

people to vote. set up a system how did that system work with the trump campaign that may be one of the after stories. >> what do we know about the book that has not been reported in florida, where is it coming from? >> i'll let john look at that right now. i can tell think, the interesting break down between men and women, virtually split. women are going for clinton 51 to 44 for trump men clinton 44, trump to 49. you don't see a huge gender gap, a small gender gap there in the state of florida. and independents, almost breaking even, clinton 44, trump 4r5%. the clinton campaign has been saying miami-dade would be key to their victory. they would be able to turn out the hispanic vote and the african american vote in large numbersish part by early vote and also on election day. if they don't do that means trump can win that state as of right now with 90% the vote in it's neck and neck. >> pelley: trump must win florida in order to have reasonable path to the

it's not essential for hillary clinton, though, she can put together other ways to get there. >> that's right. especially if she -- virginia is edging towards hillary clinton, again, if she wins traditional democratic states plus virginia and north carolina then she's very much on her way to getting that magical 270. >> pelley: if anybody was going into this wondering whether there was going to be a blow out we now have the answer. something go to be a very close race. >> very close race. show you the state of ohio we only about third of the vote is enat this hour. but at this hour hillary clinton is leading 50-45%. as you can see, very close margin there. i don't think we can make any assumptions right now because so little of the vote is in. this is state that donald trump is expecting to do well in. some of the early signs suggest that he has the edge in that state but there's the vote there. >> can i just say that we

as leading not just edge but leading warmly towards hillary clinton. >> north carolina still at edge? >> yes. >> we see now of course the state of virginia which just has half of the votes in as john just mentioned. and hillary with about four-point lead that's why cbs news we are estimating that hillary clinton has the edge in virginia also now charlie you just mentioned in the state of should just back up we went through the boards about what that means. >> what does edge mean, what does lead mean, what does all of this mean? >> help the audience, please. >> need a little bit more. >> like an edge, a lean then a -- >> right. >> then turn yourself around that's what it's all about. >> if you have an edge -- call the hokey poke '.

edge means quite close if there's statistical anomaly could reverse itself for that candidate. if it is leaning that means that reversal is less likely. then if it goes past lean then something we might be in neighborhood of making projection. >> right now she has the edge in virginia do you think tim kaine played a role in that who is from virginia, governor, senator, mayor. >> the moment she planes in virginia. tim kaine another -- >> these leading not -- campaign manager for the clin c successful 2013, giannis antetokounmpo race. he knows highway to root, that plus the vice presidential pick. those all may have contributed. >> plus, tim kaine is popular in politician in virginia. you would have expected a lot better showing than this at this early point. >> yes. true. he could be another piece of evidence in the idea that bakesly people vote for the top of the ticket.

>> north carolina and virginia are very similar in terms of profile 124. >> they are. they are similar but, barack obama one virginia twice. he traded. >> but not in 2012. >> north carolina is sort of more on the nice edge than virginia. >> pelley: bob you were saying? >> she is leaning in both states for basically the same reason. she's attracting the same voters in north carolina that she's attracting in virginia. >> pelley: those are whom? >> she's getting the educated vote, she's getting minorities. it's pretty much backing up the same way in both states. i think that's significant. >> the suburbs around washington, d.c. large -- latino, asian voters in virginia as well. the growth in the state is the newer kinds ever voters who are more like hillary clinton. this virginia such an important state because it is partially representative of the larger

america which is that the state changes, traditionally republic, large share of the white vote who is a state that is more mixed. that's the story in virginia and the nation. >> for more about what this all means at this hour, charlie rose is with the political panel. charlie? >> here we have bob ephsyteyn and christie that schake you look at this so f where we think that they may be leaning where there's -- may be more definitive, what do you see? >> i see republican party tried again right tush out strategy. a lot of -- after romney loss, that's not possible any more. you need to accommodate multi-cultural america with new outreach. that didn't happen in this election. everyone knows in 20 years that can't work.

and we're seeing mixed messages. >> cannot work in the future so there for we have realignment, voter groups? >> i would agree with that. i don't think they can go back to the pretrump message. there are blue collar workers who have said, we're here. >> to michael's point the real question for the republican party now is what comes next. and it seems in lot of these different races you see various senators running well ahead of donald trump in states like ohio and states like and they're going to be returned to the senate and going to have to decide whether they're going to make a change in the policy approach, agenda approach in the past whether they're going to try to reach out to some of the groups where hillary clinton has lagged barack. she's lagging behind in young voters in ohio and florida. questions are you going to try to reach out to them. that will probably require elevating newer, younger faces like rubio himself. >> get derailed because of donald trump? >> 6 course it got derailed because ever donald trump.

direction of reforming its agenda for awhile. trump short circuited that conversation. they're going to have to find a way to live with the coalition include some of his voters reaches out to others. >> let's remember they did that whole forensic report after the last election. they didn't even take their own advice. so, yes, they are going to have to do a lot of rebuilding even if donald trump wins, the party will have lot of rebuilding to reach out to voters who are obviously very angry at the party itself. even though they were voting for a republican command" and reach out hispanic voters and college educated women, for instance, who are voting for hillary clinton. >> the coalition. >> very large numbers. >> the split within democrat can party as well. >> yes, they are. and there are splits on college educated voters and splits a economic issues, democratic party will have to do some rebuilding but not to the degree the republican party. >> i think if we have president clinton she will have a decision

et doing that from her own base, the sanders base of the democratic party. that will be determined early in her presidency with issues she picks. >> she signaled that she wants to do that. >> biggest problems republicans face that nobody really trusts them to lead any more. they're going to have to reassert themselves in a certain way, i think that just relying on the same old pre-trial message not the way. >> back to you, scott. >> pelley: charlie, thank you very much. we're going to be back in just a moment. we're going to have a closer more than eight million votes counted that's nearly all of them. and it is neck and neck.

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>> polls in more than half of the country are closed at this hour. and this race is super tight in the state of florida. it is a toss up too close to call as donald trump and hillary clinton neck and neck with more than 90% of the vote in. one call that we do have, have made in the state of florida is for marco rubio, who has won the

mark strassmann is there in miami at rubio headquarters, mark? >> norah, senator rubio is just taken the stage to claim victory here. defeated two-term congressman patrick murphy. he said that this election is going better than last time he came owl on stage in miami when he was stumped in florida primary by donald trump. many but not all the people in 24 room of course will be rooting for drum. tonight -- of trump. this race still has feelings among rubio supporters, this race in florida so close now, trump seems to be ahead by 100,000 or so votes. they are starting to run out, too. remember that florida had 6.5 million folks who voted early that's record for the state most of any state that had early returns. stow, even though hillary clinton left south florida the most popular part of the state solidly democratic with 280,000 margin, trump has managed to

conservative sections of the state, in north florida and central florida the all-around i-4 corridor. at this point the two cliches we've heard about florida are both true. one is that trump cannot win the white house unless he wins florida. two, this race was going to be close and in fact it has been. >> all right, mark, thank you so much. scott pelley over at the decision desk. >> pelley: ha here with anthonyal von toe our election of election ocean our numbers guy he's working with the experts taking in the information from the exit polls. it is anthony who helps us make these estimates about who's ahead who may be winning. as we were just hearing, anthony, floor, entire ball game for donald trump. and my goodness how close it is.

>> well, about 75% of what we expect the vote to be. but as vote comes in our expectations can actually move up. what we've seen now is the bulk of that absentee vote has been compound. i'll tell you, hillary clinton is actually doing well for democrat down here you mentioned broward county she's performing about where democrat typically does well. these counties here in south florida, solidly democratic but here is the thing, scott. everywhere else in the state she democrat donald trump does just a little bit better than typical republicans do. up here through the orlando area, through central florida and certainly up around near jacksonville look at these counties he's doing better than mitt romney. that's adding up to keep him even with clinton. >> pelley: have look what this cities. they are said of more than eight million votes counted so far they are separated by 100,000. >> exactly.

slightly ahead. >> in the vote count. our models we've got it even that's because what we do we account for the number of registered voters who haven't yet had ballots counted. if you do that, then you look at slightly more even race because not everything is in -- some of these counties but i'll tell think is about as close as it gets. >> pelley: anthony our director of elections, thank you very much. donald trump performing in florida a little bit better republicans normally do. john dickerson. >> well, scott, let's see, i was just looking at the vote that donald trump is doing with white college educated women. we've talked a lot about them, a group that's very strong for hillary clinton. donald trump is winning with white college educated women 58-39 in florida. that's better -- >> pelley: give us that again? >> donald trump is up with white college educated women in florida in way that he is not anywhere else. >> pelley: would not have

john? >> he had -- well, the -- old every electorate in florida lot of college educated voter are typical republican voters. mitt romney won them 57-42. barack obama at 42 of white college educated women in florida is ahead of where hillary clinton is now hat 39 with white college educated women in florida. so that's one area that hillary clinton is turning that out, that vote out in other places but apparently not enough in florida whics close even though there are other parts of the state that she's turning out lots of -- and share of the white vote is smaller in florida. >> is there any other place we know where trump is winning college educated women? >> not that -- other than red state in turns of battleground i haven't found it yet. >> it is really interesting -- i'm looking at the same numbers, same time you are. we're talking about 50 and 60% he's winning those white college educated females, white college

that may be why he's so close. >> just for context here, hillary clinton nationally is winning white women with college graduate degree 51-43. so by 8 points nationally for income but down by 20 in florida. >> 91% of the vote counted in florida so far. >> that's right. coming up, polls close in the two candidates state of new york. we'll talk about we've also got arizona, colorado, michigan, new mexico, wisconsin and state of texas. >> big state of texas. >> the night is young. coming up after that. i didn't really know anything about my family history. went to ancestry, i put in the names of my grandparents first. i got a leaf right away. a leaf is a hint that is connected to each person in your family tree. i learned that my ten times

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>> we've been watching social meet i can't posts from the candidates just short time aguon om clinton's running mate. tweeted old photo of himself with his daughter. that tweet reads, thinking about my daughter right now. no little girl will ever again have to wonder whether she, too, can be president. that has been retweeted over 1500 times. just 20 minutes. meantime, donald trump, junior, has tweeted final push, eric and i doing dozens of radio interviews we can win this thing, get out and vote. make america great again

more after that. tn. >> we want to welcome you back. thank you for staying with us. all of you on cle 43 with our election coverage. right now we will go out live toe catherine bosley >> this is the victory party. they are calling it at the hyatt in columbus after ted strickland. former democrat and took the stage a little while ago and concede that he did lose the race for the u.s. senate to rob northman and he talked to us a little while after that. hear what he said. >> results for me are not what

grateful, grateful for those of you who have worked so hard to support the effort and grateful for the opportunity to speak out over the course of the campaign on behalf of hard working ohioans. i have called senator portman and acknowledged his victory and wished him and his family good health and much happen miness and success in the future. >> so, a hard race run for sure. he was certainly out spent by the portman camp by a huge, huge har in. he had a feeling it was going this way and you never know what could happen. stranger things have happened and what he is going to do next k well, governor strickland is not sure. he has to reboot and sit back. and thank everybody all

in the mean time though. the party goes on as it is going to be a nailbiter as far as the presidential election and what the democrat consist do in ohio and reporting live in columbus. catheine bosley and still the projected winner there. he has safely won the senate seat. >> right now. ohio is still not been called for donald trump or we will -- for hillary clinton. >> dan? >> the numbers, the polling numbers, it is two weeks ago that hillary clinton had a five-point lead and in the closing weeks and it is fbi relaunching that investigation and we saw donald trump start to slight back up and into the election. he had a two-point lead and took an average of a lot of the polls we will get to the numbers.

terminally slow at getting in some of the numbers and really. our polls have been closed for an hour and a half here and we are still only at 37% of the vote. it is playing out and this has gotten a lot tighter. they started out with a lot of the early votes that were counted. that would be absentee vote and she haded a pretty good lead coming into this. and the unfortunate party on this. we can't reao and we can't tell is this cuyahoga county. they made it into the list and we know will be a big bump for hillary clinton. we have to wait and watch for more results to come in for ohio. >> it will be interesting to see what the big story will be tomorrow. whether it will be high little educated suburban women. latinos. numbers are up. >> florida. >> it is so raids sore thin

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>> pelley: back now with election night on cbs. it is 9:00 in the eerks 6:00 in the west and a tight race for president, and a long time before we are going to know who polls just closed in 14 mar states including four key battleground states -- arizona, colorado, wisconsin and michigan, all four tossups right now, still no winner in any of the 13 battleground states that will decide this election tonight. in the race to 270 electoral votes and the presidency, donald

has 97. it is still early. >> reporter: and look at what is almost a river of red flowing through the united states. up and down the united states, in the state of new york, home state to both these candidates. cbs news projects hillary clinton is the winner. in the state of texas, cbs news projects donald trump has won by a decisive mampleght there is a won that state. in kansas, cbs news projects donald trump is the winner. in the state of nebraska, another state goes to donald trump with a large margin there. and in south dakota, cbs news projects that donald trump will win that state when all the votes are counted. and north dakota, cbs news projects donald trump will win that state when all votes are

>> this is pretty much what we expected. >> yeah. >> pelley: but the big headline of the hour is florida. almost all votes, 91% of the votes have been counted in florida. more than 8 million votes have been counted and, at this moment, donald trump is ahead of hillary clinton. they are separated by only 140,000 votes. still much too close to call. >> can we talk for a second about why he's doing so well florida. when you look at all the things trump had said, his issues with women, the access hollywood tape, the comments he made about alisha machado, the accusation of sexual assault starting with megyn kelly in the very first debate, how do we explain this is possible? >> republicans who like him are willing to forgive him those

said this is locker room talk. that's part of it why they forgive him. why do they forgive him? they don't like hillary clinton and they think is country needs to be turned around and think he can do it. another thing about florida and the other states that are battleground states, this is a debate between the cities and rural areas, and when donald trump is doing well in florida, he's doing well in 40 or more counties, in the rural area, doing better than mitt romney did hi well in the cities. but that's the comeback. in the states you will see a sea of red, all the counties small population donald trump is doing well and then deep blue cities. >> it's an older population, too. >> yes, and that's the difference between college educated women in florida versus college educated women. we might look in iowa where the population is older. >> what's the definition of

careful. >> you will have to bring that up with someone other than me. >> 80. over 80. i like that. >> pelley: let's have a look at the battleground tracking here. this shows you the states that have polls that have been closed. so the polls have closed in all of the battleground states except for iowa and nevada, they're at the bottom, and, folks, you would normally be side of the state name showing whether we have projected the race for hillary clinton or donald trump, and you don't see it, and that is because all of these battleground races at this moment are so close that cbs news cannot yet make an estimate. but let's have a look at the electoral vote now where it stands, snapshot in time at this moment, hillary clinton with 97

with 123. but remember there are 270 that are needed to win. there are some big democratic states where the polls are still open. california, most notable among them. so it is going to be a long, close race tonight. >> anthony mason has all of the exit poll data. anthony. >> reporter: well, we wanted to break out the battle in the battleground state of pennsylvania where we knew there would be a substantial divide between the city and the areas, and there is, as you can see in our exit poll. hillary clinton winning basically three out of four voters in the city. donald trump winning nearly that margin in the rural areas. but as you can see, the real battle is there are in the suburbsy it's dead even -- suburbs where it's dead even. hillary clinton finding strength among suburban women winning them 56 to 40%. this is a group that went for mitt romney 40 years ago by 52%. so great strength there. but there was no early voting in

deciders are going to donald trump by a 52 to 39% margin, and that's why things are still close in pennsylvania. gayle? >> that seems to be the theme of the evening. thank you very much, anthony. too close in pennsylvania, too close in florida. another interesting thing from the exit poll, college degrees. hillary clinton has 55% of those voters. donald trump has 41%. no college degrees, donald trump has 50% of that voting population. hillary clinton has 46. campaign ended very strong with president obama, michelle obama, bruce springsteen and jon bon jovi in fissley on the steps of independence hall. >> voting is a bigger deal in pennsylvania more than any of the states where you have the early vote. >> we have a call in the state of arkansas. bill clinton carried his own

place for the clinton family as donald trump is the projected winner in the state of arkansas. >> is this a surprise? no, it's expected she would win there. >> pelley: but she was first lady of arkansas for quite a long time. >> yeah. now was the former senator from new york state. she lost arkansas. the two states she spent most of her life in. the map you pointed o night, 129 electoral votes for donald trump, 9 # for hillary clinton. there is the river of red right down the united states. >> it looks like a river, too, right down the middle. >> but i'm really fascinated by what's going on in these battleground states we've talked about all night. john, you were excellent at pointing out what would be the story lines tonight whether donald trump or hillary clinton is having a good night. it's 9:00. this is tight.

still tight. >> it's very, very close, very tight. it's looking more like a map you would expect if you had a generic republican and democrat. there is not a wild success by -- or they're both having success at the same time. , so yeah, it's getting tighter as we go on. >> let me ask it this way, if you are inside trump tower tonight looking at this map, what are you nervous about? >> pelley: you're holding your breath. >> y getting better. if you're happy, it's a tossup life. but remember you have to win more places. the probability of winning all these that are very close or winning more that are very close than hillary clinton wins is still tough. >> there have been no surprises tonight. i mean, i think that's very important to understand. the states we thought were going to go democratic have gone democratic. the ones we thought were going republican so far have gone

are very close. i guess if there is a surprise, it is that florida has not been called yet. it's very close. i still would like to know what's going on down in georgia. i think most people thought that would go republican, although some of us called it a battleground state. but i think you're right, john and norah, they've got to start winning something they weren't supposed to win if they're going to win tonight. that is their path to so far, everything is going just about like we thought it was going to go. >> did we think it would be this close? did we think these battleground states would be tossups at this time of the evening? >> it takes a while for us to call them. they seem to be tighter as the night goes on. usually, you start to call one of these battleground states around 9:00-ish in the past two elections, that's usually what happens, but we're just not there yet. we knew it was going to be close

now we're going to -- you know, another state we'll talk about in a little while is michigan, and that's another one of these great question marks because that's where donald trump made a last-ditch effort. >> and that's a traditionally blue state and he spent a lot of time there. >> that's right. >> pelley: charlie rose is standing by with our political panel. >> i'm with frank luntz and michael gerson of "the washington post." picking up on the conversation, why is it so close in the battle battleground states? >> tens of millions of dollars in advertising. get out the vote efforts like you haven't seen, phone calls, direct mails, emails, texts. these people have been watching politics 24-7 for the last four or five months, everyone is engaged and involved and voting which is why it takes so long to count because turnout is so high. >> you're surprised it's that close in these battleground states?

i'm thinking one to have the problems trump had is he talked in a way about certain policies, like policies appealing to the working class and it had some real power, but the way he talked about those issues and his approach is we've limited or seemed to people to be talking to the white working class as opposed to the latino working class, the black working class. do you know what i mean? he started out with policynd then limited -- >> ronald reagan used to say latinos had a natural home in the republican party. >> he believed it, i believe it. i think trump benefited from extreme partisanship in america. this made it closer. we've also seen a real reaction against the establishment, the globalization across the western

to do with populism and the reaction. >> populism is the idea. there is also the question of the election being about personality rather than ideas. >> i don't think issues matter and, in fact, i'm looking at the statistics from the exit polling. in terms of qualified, 53% said hillary clinton, she's been a united states senator, secretary of state, first lady and only 53% thought she was qualified. donald trump is just 37%. having the right temperament which is the biggest spread of any of them, 56% hillary clinton, only 34% donald trump. they did not vote on issues. they voted on candidate persona and that's where hillary clinton had the advantage. >> i think it was, in part, an issue election. i think donald trump had real insights on issues and policies that might have a profound impact changing the republican party, be but he showed at the same time, as ehe spoke, and acted out and did his 3:20 a.m.

you as a voter to doubt his temperament, to doubt sometimes his stability, to doubt his character. that was his problem. there were issues, but he didn't do them well. >> this wasn't doubting. this was actually hatred. >> in the aftermath of this election, america will need a healer with real skills to bring together the country. neither of these countries has shown that. >> thank you so much. back to scott. scott? >> pelley: charlie, thank you very much. >> you know, they're talking about what the next candidate has to do. i was talking to some senate republicans who were already before we started to get results in tonight were talking about what hillary clinton would have to do to reach out if she were to win. it was a bit of a conversation to have because the vote hadn't taken place, they were already assume ago bad night for donald trump, but they were already laying the markers she had to meet and said she can't be kind of a elizabeth warren type democrat, very liberal.

whoever wins, the traps are laid for them and the score will already be start being kept based on what they say in their victory speeches in terms of this question of whether a whole new round of partisan battle begins. you know, no honeymoon, ones they win the partisan battles will pick up. >> are we to believe, john, temperament doesn't matter? i remember vividly the debate we covered that hillary clinton said in the middle of the he's not fit to be president. i never heard an opponent take on another opponent that way. you may disagree wish shoes or policies, but i never heard? one say you are not fit for this job. >> that was his achilles heel and to the extent voters felt that way and put that front of mine, worries about the candidate, that's when it wasn't going well. they started to go better when focus was on him as a change agent in washington and they

state, we have yet to call a battleground state. 9:15. florida separated the two candidates by just about 20,000 votes at this hour. we'll have the latest from there when we're back. i'm hall of famer jerry west and my life is basketball.

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>> well, if they are watching cbs news inside trump tower they probably made a small cheer as we are watching this contest tonight. not only is florida too close to call at this, how but we had the state of virginia as leaning clinton. it's now in the tossup category. what's going on, john? >> it's getting closer for remember when we talked about the difference between edge and lean, the idea was always that it could roll back the other way and, so, now, virginia, which was leaning down, leaning to hillary clinton is back in the tossup category. while things are tight in florida, they're also now tight in virginia. >> pelley: do we know why? we don't know why. that's why scott pelley has gotten up -- scott pelley is no longer here, he's all the way at

>> scott, you better have an answer. >> pelley: i do not but anthony, what's going on in virginia? >> i'll tell you why, the western part of the state is going for trump more heavily than we would have expected even for republicans. >> pelley: coal mining area, farming area. >> all this here, exactly. coal country all out west of roanoke. then here in the d.c. suburbs, the places so critical to hillcl well but just not well enough. maybe two or three points tracking right now behind where she needs to be. so you look up here in places like prince william, all of this taken together is tracking a little behind where she needs to be. >> pelley: we want to remind the audience blue is hillary clinton, red is donald trump. donald trump doing very well in the rural areas, hillary clinton confined mostly to the cities. >> there is definitely the

each of these campaigns will have vote targets, who reliably vote democrat or republican. in a partisan race like this, if that's off even a little bit, it makes the state a little tighter. this is a pattern we're seeing in so many states, scott. >> pelley: in florida, hillary clinton and donald trump both holding their breath and turning blue over florida right now. there's been a record voter turnout there. >> yes, there has, and same pattern. okay, down here in the southern part of the state, hillary clinton doing well but just well enough. but here's the real story -- you go out here in and around the orlando area -- everybody talks about the i-4 corridor as a swing area, but what donald trump is doing here is not just swinging it, it's he's adding up relatively small numbers of votes in all of these relatively smaller counties, and that is offsetting whatever hillary clinton can get in the democratic counties, so it's that rural or suburban and exurban areas where he's

the panhandle. >> pelley: 93% of the vote has been counted in florida. trump must win florida to win the presidency and, so far, he's doing it. >> well, he is, but, let me tell you, when we see percent in, sometimes precincts report and you will hear people say, oh, there are so many precincts reporting but with so many absentee votes in florida they don't come in as precincts so you see sometimes more votes than precincts and that's what's >> pelley: anthony, thanks so much. we'll remain on battleground

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>> t >> the battle for the battleground continues at this hour. cbs news has yet to call any of the 13 battleground states. why? it's too tight. look at the state of florida. more than 90% of the vote in, and it is super tight there. slight edge as the vote is still being counted. the democrats were feeling optimistic when i spoke with them about three hours ago. they said they thought they could turn out enough hispanic and black voters. we'll see what's going on there. >> when eric trump was sitting here this morning, he said they were going to win florida. maybe he knew something we didn't. >> virginia, also. now the tossup category will go

will be the >> chris: donald trump is up to 250,000 votes. rob portman was re-elected to senate and danny carlson lot of excitement and a lot of anticipation is out there. >> reporter: yeah, there really is. i am seated in possible spare tee -- in prosperity. it is a packed house here. and this election watch party is just that. it is supposed to be a party. it is a nonpartisan, republicans and democrats and they will be here to participate. i tell you you can hear how loud it is right now.

key election results in one of the key swing states is announced, the entire bar goes quiet and everyone stops and listens and you can hear clapping if people are happy with it or just a silence if they are not happy with it. you can definitely get the vibe. there is a lot of anticipation and excitement. there are news and femme crews from canada and japan. they their coverage. they are doing a special election coverage in japan about the election in the united states. so we do plan to stay here. we will have another update coming up for you in the next half an hour. we will keep this seat. it is standing room only, if that, here at the social club. we are going to stay clued to the tv like everybody else at home. getting answers in carlson, cleveland 19 news. >> tiffani: thank you, dani.

polls and when ever we talked about voting there are concerns if things will go wrong or right . >> reporter: there was a lot of concern about intimidation. it turns out that there was a big misunderstanding. a man went to vote on bethany baptist church and he was told he was in the wrong place and told to go to the proper polling location. workers say he seemed fine and calmly walked out of the church after someone called the board of elections and said the man had a gun and was going to return to the church. but after they investigated and talked to a witness, they couldn't substantiate the claim. some tense moments, but no harm done. >> tiffani: that's what we want to hear that everything was relatively safe. >> reporter: especially what happened in some other cities. >> tiffani: we say keep your eyes open and report anything you may see that is

>> chris: carl, thanks for that. and again recapping ohio about halfway through the votes and donald trump with the vote and so many swing states. tiff intoe is playing out that way -- tiffani, it is playing out that way. it is all tight and it is too close to call. >> tiffani: incumbent rob portman, they called it an hour or so ago, an hou a he is the republican incumbent sense 2011. for ted strickland it didn't go his way, governor 2017 and 2011 beat by governor kasich. >> chris: a lot of muscle out spending strickland two and a half to one. that was expected. for our cbs viewers, we will return in a half an hour. we will continue our nonstop

>> i want to ask a question of senator cruz also running for president. >> -- cannot hear either one of you when you speak over each other. >> pelley: election night on cbs. it is still wrestlemania tonight as we have been unable to project any of the 13 battleground states that will decide this election. let's go to our map that shows where the election stands right now. we have our -- there's the map that knows you right where things are at this very moment. red states are trump, blue

projected for hillary clinton. the states in white, ladies and gentlemen, are places where the polls have closed but the count is so close, we are unable to project which candidate is the winner in those states. hillary clinton with 97 electoral votes, donald trump with $129. >> scott, we have something really interesting going on right now that we should talk about, and we'll go through these states one by one and i want to tell everybody, but a last election that we called at 9:00, it's now 9:30 and we're not able to call that state. so a number of states we have not called at this point. we'll first start off with pennsylvania, the current cbs news estimate, that is a tossup. we have just 16% of the vote in, but this is vote on actual

donald trump ahead by 2 percentage points. the democrats were boastful earlier. i'm getting radio silence on what's going on in that state. >> pelley: he has to win florida and right now he is. >> he is. and ohio. look at this, another state donald trump felt confident in, performing well, 53% of the vote in there. let me get through these. michigan, just 17%. colorado first, forgive me, a tossup in and michigan, a tossup as well. john. >> we have two different kinds of states. the result belt states are all linked and why are they linked, because we've talked earlier tonight one to have the key themes is the difference in college education or not college education. if you look at the states, they all group together in terms of having a large non-college educated electorate -- ohio, michigan, pennsylvania -- all very close to each other and,

with that electorate. what's interesting is florida is a different kind of state, so he is doing two different kinds of things here. he's holding his own in two different kinds of states, and what's key here is that, if he does well in pennsylvania, then there's a chance he could do well in michigan and ohio and then iowa. >> trump's here was he would do well in the rust belt if there was a vote for him. >> because of the large share of the electorate educated, blue-collar workers disappointed with washington. >> upset with jobs and trade. and also a cultural piece here, when you hear make america great again, they -- >> what does that mean? because when you talk to many people in this country, they say when was it not great? what does that mean, make america great again? >> there is a gradation of what that means. for some, it means a world in which the economy is better, in which middle class jobs are

is not so much of a minority presence in america, and culturally where the kind of liberal morays are not a part of my everyday experience and so it gets very messy. >> pelley: and he's talking to steelworkers in america who've lost jobs because of cheap chinese steel. steel mill in lore rein, ohio, closed last spring, lost 600 workers. >> both cultural and economic. michigan has not voted for a republican since 1988. let's go to anthony mason who has exit polls about what people think in that state. anthony? >> i was george h.w. bush, the last republican to win the state of michigan mi in 1988. here are two reasons why donald trump is competitive in michigan tonight. the first is whites without a college degree. john was just talking about

two-to-one margin, but what's significant is he's outperforming mitt romney who won this group with 55% four years ago. he's also winning men by a margin of 52 to 40%. now, donald trump is winning men around the country, but men in michigan went for barack obama four years ago, narrowly but he won them on the way to winning the state. but these two changes are a big reason donald trump is competitive in michigan right now. gayle? >> it's very anthony. it's not just the non-educated voters he's resonating with. look at these numbers, white college educated voters, 50% for donald trump, 43% going for hillary clinton in michigan. what does that tell us, john, about what's likely to happen or going on in michigan that moment? >> it's a gender thing in. other states hillary clinton is winning white college educated women more than in michigan, she's only winning them by six

college degree, almost 20 points away for donald trump with that group. so he's doing better culturalfully michigan than in a state like pennsylvania where mitt romney won white college educated women by 11 points, hillary clinton is up by 22 with white college educated women. that's really interesting because we're assuming pennsylvania and michigan are alike and in that case they are not alike. >> when he first started going to michigan we were sti thinking why is he going to michigan? that's traditionally a blue state. donald trump, why is he spending time there? >> well, because -- yeah, i see it. >> pelley: and we're not the only ones watching the results of the election as they stand so farm. wall street is watching and the dow futures are down 400 points at this point. the market hates uncertainty, and if there's anything we can say conclusively about tonight, it is uncertainty. >> yeah, michigan is one of

about that donald trump wanted to pick up. he placed a $25 million ad buy in the final week of the campaign, michigan was one of those states. michigan is also a state that has a large african-american community, 15% in detroit, hillary clinton performed well among that group but there was a question whether she was able to get black voters to the polls on election day. but noteworthy tonight, mi p mi, one of the battleground states that trended blue in the past, last time voted republican was in '88 and now is a tossup. >> let me squeeze in a word here. we knew at the beginning of this evening, we have known for two months this was a deeply divided nation. what we have found out so far tonight is we were right about that. maybe we didn't understand how divided we really were. >> pelley: i want to eremind

these battleground states closely every second and the moment cbs news can make an estimate of who's ahead or winning, we'll stop whatever we're doing and we'll tell you about that. and now we have one. norah. >> we do have a call in the state of connecticut. hillary clinton has won in that state. she is the winner. not a big surprise there. not a huge electoral cache of votes. >> pelley: not a big surprise there. now hillary clinton has 104 electoral votes to donald trump's 129. still very early yet, but the tail of the evening is going to be told in these 13 battleground states. now, nancy cordes is following all of this for us from clinton election night headquarters in new york city. nancy? >> reporter: scott, i just got off the phone with a top clinton campaign official and asked him what the campaign makes of the situation in florida where you were just discussing how close the race appears to be right

saying for six months that this race would be close and that is what we are now seeing. he pointed out not all of the votes in broward county, the second most popular county of the state, are in yet. that is a big democratic stronghold, but he also pointed out that their electoral strategy does not rely on winning florida. yes, they would love to win it but still continue to believe passing 270 involves nevada, colorado, pennsylvania, michigan and virginia. you're also discussing donald trump seems to have made up ground in virginia. i asked him what's going on there. he pointed out fairfax county, the most populous county in northern virginia has only reported about 50% of its vote so far. he says this happens every four years. fairfax county reports late, democrats start to freak out, feel they're losing the state and they come back and win and

that's what's going to happen in virginia. how confident in we have been told by the clinton campaign, both hillary and bill clinton, have been working with their speech writers on a speech making some final edits and the writers have left the room and are inputting the final edits. yesterday we were told the writers prepared two different speeches, a concession and victory speech, and the fact they settled on believe at this point she is going to win. >> pelley: nancy cordes, thank you very much. >> nancy, if you can still hear me, any reporting from the clinton campaign about what they think is going on in florida? >> they say it's a nail biter. they weren't willing to make a prediction about whether she would win or not. incredibly close. same situation in north carolina. that's why they sent all their resources down to those two states. they say if they pull off votes,

not relying on the states the way that the trump campaign is. >> nancy cordes, clinton campaign headquarters right now. we should point out, too, scott, you first brought this up, the dow now down 500 points. at the same time we had a cbs news projection at this hour in the state of louisiana, donald trump is the winner. >> pelley: no big surprise there, of course. that's not a battleground state. expected it to go republican all along. but let's have a status of the race right now as it stands, hillary clinton with 104 electoral 3otes, 137 for donald trump, 270 needed to win. the red states, we have projected for donald trump. the blue states, we have projected for hillary clinton. the states in white are those states that the polls have now closed but they are too close to make a projection. major garrett is at trump

tonight. major? >> reporter: scott and norah, earlier this evening there was a definite despondensy within trump tower looking at the exit poll data on reports from battleground states. that has turned to cautious optimism. one thing i heard repeatedly from senior trump advisors is the exit poll data doesn't look good but we'll overperform the exit poll data just as we predicted we would overperform public polls. how much maybe 1 or 2%. the numbers reflect the overperformance of what was noted in the exit polls and public polling in the battleground states before votes started being counted. susan welsh the director in florida for the trump campaign, her quote, we feel pretty good about the prospects for trump in florida but are waiting to see what happens in broward county

but florida is an absolute must for donald trump. there is no path without florida. they would like to see more encouraging trend lines in north carolina, virginia, encouraged by pennsylvania and michigan but have yet to see the breakout state where they can achieve the clear path to 270. everything is very close. they are not nearly as discouraged as earlier this evening, but they are still looking for a momentum builder a battleground state that goes for trump and build momentu try to reach the 270 mark. >> pelley: major garrett, thank you very much. 13 battleground states that will decide the election tonight, states that could go either way, and right now all of them could go either way.

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>> pelley: it's election night on cbs and what an election night it is. let us show you where the race stands right now at this moment. this is our map of the electoral college vote. we have hillary clinton with 104, donald trump with 137. the red states for trump, the blue for clinton, the white states are what we are watching right now. those are states where the polls have closed but the vote is so close in those states, we cannot

john dickerson. >> well, if i'm a clinton supporter and i'm looking at virginia and a state that once leaned for hillary clinton and is now a tossup, i'm paying a lot of attention to fair facs county as nancy cordes reported, 80% of the rote is in. hillary clinton is down just 10,000 votes. fairfax county brings in -- barack obama got 260,000 votes there. >> pelley: suburbs of washington, d.c. >> just outside washington, d.c., a very strong democratic county. if i'm a hillary clinton to be elected i'm watching the votes coming in in fairfax county, hoping it performance as it did for barack obama hoping it will close the deficit in virginia. >> in perspective of 2012, where were we in terms of calling states? >> in 2012, although hawaii wasn't as much of a battleground was as now, was called now as was pennsylvania. by 10:00, north carolina, which

very tight, called by 10:00 in 2012. >> bottom line to follow on your line, if you are a clinton supporter, you're popping an anti-anxiety pill now. charlie rose is over with the panel now. >> thank you, norah. remember, the first thing we said at 7:00, it's a tight race and we're seeing that in the states that are contested and very different. on the one hand you have virginia, north carolina and florida. and then the rust belt. then you have a couple out west. let's talk about the rust why are they so tight? >> it's interesting. i was in ohio a couple of weeks ago, southeastern, eastern ohio, there is a scott-irish spine that runs up and down appalachia and they've seen less of a comeback after the recession and has cultural resentment toward the class of elites who believe they have ignored their needs and priorities for far too long

talking to voters there just an enormous amount of rebelliousness, a feeling they needed to send a message to washington and to the country, i think you're seeing that happen tonight. >> i want to talk more about the cultural resentment. remember, trump began his campaign attacking hispanic immigrants and various other racial and ethnic minorities and some of the cultural anger we should identify as being racia closed the gap and done so well with white voters across the country. >> racial because they believe as they gain in terms of voter strength and economic strength that they already losing? >> right, a zero-sum view of american life. >> it is zero sum but i think the other message trump was saying is it's not your fault this is this way. it's fault of immigrants, bad trade deals, wasteful wars,

message. >> donald trump has run a very negative campaign, not as much as farce attack his opponent only, but very pessimistic that america is suffering and make america great again, it's backward in. a sense, that was directed perfectly to the states he needs the rest in the night, ohio, michigan and pennsylvania and certainly pennsylvania. but it does seem like pessimism has helped him. >> it's power of nostalgia, the me stronger, more jobs, more stable situations. in 2012, ohio went for barack obama. now it's essentially even in terms of the exit poll. >> and to what degree are college educated voters okay with trump's campaign of nostalgia and racial anamis?

overperforming a little, but seems hillary clinton might be slightly underperforming with hispanics. >> and the night is young. in some cases we've heard of only 20, 25% of the vote. back to norah. >> 13 battleground states we are watching very closely. four years ago, we called two of them. we have yet to call any of them tonight. we're going to go state by state, in-depth and ein this race is so close at this hour. you are watching cbs news

>> well, this is getting awfully exciting, guys. north carolina, a state we had seen earlier give an edge to hillary clinton, we've moved back up into the tossup category. >> cheacialtion those are your people, north carolina. >> and i'm not sure what's happening. john? >> we have the african-american vote, 21% of the electorate, 23% in 2012, that might be one answer. in mecklenburg county, that is a deeply blue area from clinton people and i'm focused on fairfax and mecklenburg. >> also new information about what's happening in the state of florida, why it's so close, record-breaking turnout and news of the local races.

continues. kiss chris we -- >> chris: we want to welcome back our viewers. we have more results that we are watching. >> we have a couple of local races that we want to keep on touch talking about the cleveland schools >> chris: there is a $15 million levy to improve schools. let's look at how parma is doing right now. the district with a huge multimillion-dollar deficit. if we can update the results, issue 118 could bring in nearly $8 million into the

presidential election. you can see donald trump with a pretty handy lead over hillary clinton with over half of the pre sinks reporting. >> tiffani: let's go with harry boomer. he is with the democratic party in cleveland right now. boomer? >> reporter: all right, the crowd ebs and flows. it is full, but not packed. people are coming to the democratic headquarters and checking in and then going to r i did get a chance to walk through the crowd and talk to several people. i talked to a lady from london. i talked to a lady from california. i have talked to people who are right here from cleveland and they are all cautiously optimistic. they don't have that -- well we are going to win, whip, win right now, but they are still cautiously optimistic that hillary clinton is going to pull it out in ohio. it is too close to call as

it has them a bit worried. one man said it is closer than it should be in ohio and in virginia and florida. but he is still optimistic that hillary clinton will pull it out. cuyahoga county is coming in late as it usually does. it is the largest county of the 88 counties in the state. the results are coming in slowly, but it is expected to be a boom for hillary clinton. it is an 8-1 county. i will get back to you and more answers at the cuyahoga county watch party. >> chris: once again we are figuring it it all. >> tiffani: we have seen in the past month donald trump and hillary clinton making stops here. ohio plays a huge role when it comes to presidential elections.

in cleveland right now and we are continuing with these issues on the ballot. issue 32, general, it is a big one and it affects a lot of people. >> reporter: yes, chris, we are talking about those people who live in cleveland and those who work in cleveland. suburban-ites who will be affected by the income tax hike if it is passed. they are trying to pass a half a percent tax hike. with less those in favor of issue 32, 51% or 29,604 and those against is 49%, 28,437. so we are talking about a 1200 vote difference at this point. it is a real nail biter. i don't know if anybody saw this coming, but there are a lot of nervous city councilmembers hoping they can get this passed. back to you guys in the saudi io. chris?

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.>> pelley: this race is close. we't a single one of them. can anthony salvanto, our director of elections, let's have a look here at some of these states that are just too close to call. we just moved north carolina into the toss-up category. >> right. it had been leaning clinton for a while, but what's happening, scott, is we are seeing votes coming in now all here around the coast. counties where donald trump is-- and this is a story we've been telling all night-- over-performing what we thought

republican areas. hillary clinton is down just a little bit in some of these blue counties. they represent places that are going democratic, doing not well enough, but if donald trump can offset whatever margin she's going to make down here around raleigh-durham, that's why we've got it at least back to toss-up right now. >> pelley: before we leave you, let's have a look at florida. >> yeah, let's me tell you what's going on. win it. >> he probably has to win it. we're seeing record turnout, as you mentioned, but what happens is when we look at these counties and say how much of the vote is in? well, votes keep coming in because turnout is so high, in our models we're waiting to see 100% in, but the bar keeps getting higher and higher because more and more votes keep coming in. because nthat case we have to wait and see what the final tally is going to be. >> pelley: anthony salvanto,

breakdown of each of these 13 state tonight. >> that's right, scott. thank you so much, let's just say what it is right now-- it is a white-knuckles kind of night. you're either opening a second bottle of wine or brewing a new pot of coffee because we have a long way to go tonight. let's go through all of these states, starting with florida. take a look at the sunshine state. it is still a toss-up. we have more than 90% of the vote in, donald trump ahead by about two percentage points there. just so you know, anthony was telling us earlier that they're expecting a record turnout in this state. let's look at ohio. also just about 70 promise of the vote in. donald trump leading there. north carolina, donald trump leading in that state. in the state of virginia, you can see how close the margin is

to come in. pennsylvania, another battleground state. look at that. anotheranother toss-up. 48-48. let's take a look at the keystone state of pennsylvania. first we'll go to georgia. bob, you were asking about georgia. donald trump giving him the edge in the state of georgia. let's take a look at new hampshire. also a toss-up at this hour. and michigan. just about a quarter of the vote in there. cbs news estimating that as a toss-up. and arizona, the state, of course, that has just closed 0-0 at this point, part early vote, the hispanic vote will be key there. let's wait and see. and then wisconsin, cbs news also calling that battleground a toss-up. i think-- and colorado. a toss-up at this hour.

mail-in vote. be interesting to see how that particular state turns out. let's just pull back for a second, john, since we've just gone true all of those boards, what it means. >> well, i'm just looking here in florida. to anthony's point about turnout, in the big counties of broward and palm and miami-dade, you're seeing 30,000, 40,000, 50,000 more votes for hillary clinton. but also in broward, 10,000 more votes for donald trump. in palm familiar with, 13,000 more votes for donald trump. so both sides are going up. and that's why it's so close. >> pelley: let's have a look at the electoral college map quickly to show you where the race stands right now. hillary clinton 104 electoral votes, donald trump 140. 270 are needed to win. in other words, donald trump is well over halfway there. some big democratic counties, of course, like california, for example, the biggest of all,

them because the polls haven't closed, but at this snapshot in time, donald trump more than halfway there. the red states we have estimated for trump. the blue states we've estimated for hillary clinton. the white states are states where the polls have closed but they're too close to call. >> donald trump said from the very beginning he was going to do it his way. he was going to run an unprecedented campaign, and clearly his message is resinating, depending on your point of view-- back to your point, people i know are calling on sweet black baby jesus right about now. it really depends on where you ?and this election. and so far, people-- he said he wanted to do it. he said he wanted to make a change, and people have liked the message that he is giving people tonight. >> elaine quijano you're hearing from the trump family, i understand. they're posting on social media. >> let's go ahead and show that you, first. i want to return to the issue of florida. but let's gh ahead and take a look at what donald trump himself tweeted just a short

9:45 p.m. you can see in that picture there, of course, his family. you see his running mate there, governor mike pence. but i want to go back to florida for a moment because we have talked at the outset of the millennial vote and the affinity for third-party candidates. now we have a little bit of data because you recall going into it,y said about 13% or so of millennials were saying that, you know, they would go for another candidate. well, now in florida, with of the vote in, we know that those who chose gary johnson and jill stein combine for over 265,000 votes. >> wow. >> wow. >> when you consider that donald trump and hillary clinton separated by just 134,177, perhaps the third-party candidates are a factor. >> that's really interesting. >> also happening in north carolina where the share of the vote for the younger voters of 18-29 is up to 19%, that's three

here you have gary johnson getting 7% of that vote. hillary clinton only getting 58% of the vote, is down from barack obama, getting 67%. >> gary johnson being the third-party candidate. >> climb change and issues like that very appealing to millennials. >> pelley: bob schieffer has a point. >> i was listening to norah run through the states. we call thesin these battlegroud states in the beginning. we thought colorado would be a battleground state, but we thought hillary clinton-- in fact, some of the clinton people told me it was already theirs. last week they were talking about. >> yeah. >> it's now a toss-up. pennsylvania. i think most people thought that was leaning towards hillary clinton. that i was maybe the safest, big battleground state for her. it's a toss-up. georgia, we always thought that that qoog republican. and it's going that way.

i think most people thought that was in the democratic column, leaning that way, even though it was a battleground. so we are seeing things now, and it seems to be a trend here, where we see him leading in some places -- or at least toss-ups, where we didn't think-- >> how do you explain, that bob? >> well, i don't know. more people seem to have voted for him than voted for her. >> remembering the exit vote we saw. we said it was going to be tight. thas but is what we're seeing now different than what we expected from the can exit polling that we had? >> well, it's interesting. we just have some new numbers out of virginia, anthony mason can share those with us, that i think will shed some light on what is going on in the dominion state. anthony. >> reporter: yeah, norah,y we want to look for three potential trouble spots for democrats in virginia. first is among white women with college degrees. this was a group hillary clinton wanted to perform very well with, but as you can see, donald trump is running just about even

white women. the second group, young voters. now, clinton is winning young voters-- very strongly, 51% to 38%. but barack obama got 61% of young voters four years ago. so she's underperforming by 10 point here. and finally, voarpts in virginia view hillary clinton almost as negatively as donald trump on the issue of honesty and trustworthiness, as you can see right there. so three problems, three areas of trouble for clinton and the surprisingly a toss-up right now. gayle. >> all right, anthony. following up with what you're saying about virginia, the independent voters there, 49% voted for donald trump, 41% voted for hillary clinton. independents, it seems cmake a real difference here, john. >> they can. i was just looking here at the-- we were talking earlier about in virginia, fairfax county coming in now for hillary clinton. so that she was down 10,000 votes.

that's how, again, the democrats looking for hope. they're finding it in there. >> let's check in on the state of missouri because cbs news projects that donald trump has won the state of missouri. we'll be also watching the state of missouri as there is a key senate race there as well. senator roy blunt facing a tough challenge in that state. we'll have an update on his race out of missouri, but donald trump the projected winner there. >> pelley: nowh electoral votes on his way to 270. those being the votes needed to win the presidency. hillary clinton still at 104. >> and that was pretty much expected. >> pelley: yes, missouri. very little of the rest of this has been expected, certainly in the 13 toss-up states. >> let's talk about, too, what's going on as the polls have closed in almost all of the battleground states. well, in fact, they have closed

states. we've been here for a few hours, so i've lost track of time but it is 10:00. >> iowa just closed. >> nevada. two fascinate ago iowa is a state that barack obama carried twice. it's one of those states where it's got an older population even than florida. it has a highly blue collar noncollege educated and the clinton people thought iowa gone. in nevada, the clinton campaign and democrats were basically saying nevada was really going to be in their column. that donald trump couldn't match on election day what they had been able to accumulate in the early vote. well, that may be another thing that gets undone by what we're seeing tonight. >> pelley: john dickerson, thank you very much. we're going to take a brief break here. we are going to come back with all the very latest results from these key battleground states, and we're going to visit with some of our correspondents who

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cbs. we have an important update for you on ohio. we have now moved ohio into the likely republican category. anthony salvanto, our director

ohio. >> well, scott, it's not a projection yet, but let me show you why this is trending toward donald trump. we always talk about cleveland and how hillary clinton had to get big turnout there. she's doing okay, but i would point you to these counties around cleveland, places like lake county. democrats often do well in the suburbs around cleveland, too. hillary clinton is not. donald trump is out-performing. again, i've used that word 100 times tonight. but he's out-performing what republicans typically do in these counties here along the lake. and if that holds then he could very well take ohio. >> pelley: tell us about the rest of the upper midwest. >> yeah, it's so important, scott. we talked coming into this night that if this would be what they call the blue wall, hillary clinton's base where these states reliably vote democratic. but they're full of the kind of blue-collar workers and voters that usually-- usually go democratic, but donald trump has been targeting them. and we haven't made projections yet in pennsylvania, in michigan, in wisconsin, all of

long as that hold, it tells you the story that hillary clinton is under-performing what she needs to do. >> pelley: anthony salvanto, our director of elections, thank you very much. in the closing days of the election, donald trump spent extra time in wisconsin and michigan, and, norah, it looks like tonight that's paying off. >> that's right. and as anthony said, hillary clinton underperforming in a number of these battleground states that she had expected to do well in. we've got reporting from inside these battleground states. jan crawford carolina, jericka duncan is in pennsylvania. first, we'll go to jan crawford, jan. >> reporter: well, remember, i mean, north carolina is the state that typically goes republican in presidential races. back in 2008, of course, president obama won this state. but by the narrowest of margins and in 2012 mitt romney won by two point. still, this was one of those closely fought battleground states that the clinton campaign thought they could possibly win.

i mean, hillary clinton came here for her last stop of her campaign, that midnight rally last night featuring lady gaga, and jon bon voafy attracting thousands of people. today he continued to do radio interviews here in this state trying to get her message out. but to win this state, she needed to carry the african american vote, and there were troubling signs there. now, early turnout, early voting, that was up across the board, the since 2012. but the african american early vote was down 9%. so we actually saw people-- we drove around to a lot of the precincts today, and we actually saw people standing in line, african americans, at polling places, and there weren't that many lines, on the phone, making calls, saying, "why aren't you voting? come out and vote." people saying they just weren't going to vote. that is key for her here. on the flip side, trump needed

people who may not have voted for romney, they didn't particularly care for him, people who may not have come out in 2008. he needed to turn them out, and some of the early numbers suggested they came out as well. the battle for the 15 electoral votes up for grabs in this state. >> from north carolina now to pennsylvania which is also in the toss-up category. jericka duncan is in philadelphia. jericka. >> reporter: there was a lot of concern here about voter fraud, which is something that donald trump made an issue. so you had the district attorney putting extra resources in to that voter fraud task force, but at the end of the day, there were no reports of any intimidation or voter fraud. as for voter turnout, i can tell you, the nonpartisan watchdog group commit of 70 was saying turnout seemed to be higher than the last presidential election. but nothing official yet. a lot of folks that we spoke to,

communities, felt good. they said that just based on the lines that they had seen, the amount of people that were out early this morning, that they felt hillary clinton definitely had this state on lock, and we know that the last time a republican actually took this state was in 1988. so you're talking about a state that is primarily democratic, but, of course, it is up in the air. it is now of not over yet. so it remains to be seen just how all of those factors play into what actually happens absentee ballots, that was actually down about 20%. so there will be a lot of questions asked, a lot of analyzing. but at the end of the day, it's not over just yet. >> pelley: jericka, thank you very much. we are making an adjustment in our estimate in florida. we are moving florida now to lean edge-- edge, i beg your pardon, not quite a lean, but an edge, an edge to donald trump, the republican.

change and what does it mean? >> well, it means hillary clinton may have turned out her vote and a lot of latinos are turning out, but donald trump is turning out his vote, too, again, in the rural areas, when you look at the map, all of that red, he's doing a little bit in each place. hillary clinton is doing it in big places around the cities. one thing i think we can conclude basically here is at the beginning of the night there was a big question-- did donald trump's vision of the elect railt, his-- which was in contrast to many, many republicans, which is that he could do well by the electorate on his terms. that's been ratified. he did well by appealing on his terms. he may or may not be president, but in terms of that theory of the case, he has done well enough tonight to prove that he is-- he was right about that. >> i want to talk more about florida, but very quickly, in the state of new mexico, cbs news projects hillary clinton has won in that state. new mexico. now goes for hillary clinton.

we're going to take a quick break. but when we come back more on the state of florida. why it is edge republican. what it now means for donald trump and for hillary clinton as they try to put together an electoral vote pathway to victory. we'll explain. we'll be right back. ? before it became a medicine, a wild "what-if." so scientists went to work. they examined 87 different protein structures and worked for 12 long years. there were thousands of patient volunteers and the hope of millions. and so after it became a medicine, someone who couldn't be cured, could be. me. ?

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>> we've got news to report, ladies and gentlemen. in arizona, senator john mccain has been declared the winner in that state. john mccain was seeking his sixth term in the united states senate. 80 years old. the former republican nominee for president has won a victory there. >> he also made it clear he would not be voting for donal was after that "access hollywood" tape he said neither he nor his wife would be voting for donald trump and he had stood by him. >> at one point donald trump said he liked people who weren't captured and prisoners of war. >> at this hour, we have a number of battleground states still yet to call. i think i said earlier it's a white-knuckle race. charlie rose and the political

from -- from cleveland 19 news, election coverage 2016. >> chris: we want to welcome our audience in on cleveland 19 as we continue our live stream and telecast on cle43. a big hot topic for issue 64. that's the hospital levy there. >> lydia: and it is 52% for yes and no is pouter 8% -- 48%. and right now thisy say 0% reporting. we will toss to lacey who has been following issue 64 and what is the mood out there, lacey? >> reporter: we are at the pro issue watch group. you can see that they are feeling optimistic at this

the new facility and redeveloping the current lakewood hospital. this has been a hot button issue for the better part of p two years. you are driving around town and you can see people standing out holding signs for organs the issue. or against the issue. people say it is not a partisan issue. it comes down to how you feel about your city and how you feel about your health care. cleveland 19 news >> chris: thanks for that. i tell you, ohio once again is figuring into the national picture. it could fall. dan deroos is in the answer center right now. dan, where are we going with the vote in ohio? >> dan: we're hearing some of the news organizations are calling ohio for donald trump. saying donald trump will win the state of ohio. we are going to be a little cautious here and we will use some of cbs' data. look at the numbers at this

we are reaching insur mountable numbers here as we get closer. that's why nbc news has called it for donald trump. but again, that number is getting -- when you get above 10% and reaching that last 20% of the vote that is awfully tough. i think that number will get smaller as cuyahoga county vote gets in, but i don't think it is gonna sway her 10%. when you look at philadelphia, in -- this is an interesting number a i win for hillary clinton. this is a state that liens toward hillary clinton. only half of the vote in and we saw a lot of the vote came in early was out of philadelphia. that's going to be one of her strongholds. 52% to 44 and a half. a little to go there. virginia is starting to look like a hillary clinton win. 87% of the vote is in and she is starting to stretch this lead a little bit. she is at 48.2 to donald trump's 46.6. north carolina is the opposite though.

winning north carolina. this was the second battleground state we needed to watch tonight. and then we will go down to the third battleground state, florida. at 95% trump is starting to pull out a little bit of a lead. 49.1 to 47.7. and again we have been saying it all night. look at the role gary johnson is playing in all of this. the idea is that maybe those votes were bernie sanders' votes . peop about what happened to him and those votes may have gone to gary johnson and may impact hillary's chances of becoming president. let's get back to the desk. >> lydia: for our cbs viewers, we will return in half an hour. we will continue coverage on cbe43 after break. chris -- >> chris: more to talk about nationally and locally and the markets are moving as uncertainty prevails on

news projects hillary clinton has won the old dominion. this was a state that was lean edge, it was it was toss-up, noe electoral votes now in hillary 13 electoral votes. >> why did it jump around so much? because-- and this will happen in other states over the night and people should know about this-- there are those place where's the democrats do well, those cities which have a lot of votes in them. if it takes a while for those votes to get cast, hillary clinton can be behind and then come back. so that's what happened in fairfax county. the vote came in from fairfax county, it went to hillary clinton, and that, again, inturk of washington, d.c., and that

the top. >> pelley: this is the very first of the battleground states that we have been able to estimate a winner in. let's have a look at the battleground map now. hillary clinton goes up to 122 electoral votes to donald trump's 150. as you know, 270 needed to win the presidency. still much too close to call in florida, and cbs news is making a new projection for the state of ohio and we'll have that up for you here in just a moment. and there is the state of ohio, cbs news is projecting that once all the votes are counted, donald trump will win ohio. now, this keeps his hopes alive. ohio was a very important state for him to win. he needs to win ohio. he needs to win florida. right now, florida is too close to make an estimate.

the vote. and there's the electoral vote count right now. hillary clinton 122, donald trump 168. john, what does ohio mean? >> well, ohio was one of those states-- they're falling into the traditional patterns. ohio was a state that donald trump had a chance to do well in because there was a big portion of the electorate that was noncollege-educated voters. there's a low portion of the electorate that was minority. that is a state, if people to to put it on a list ohio might be one to go in the trump category. it did. virginia air, more diverse electorate, also a larger share of college-educated voters, that has gone to hillary clinton. those are ones that have sorted in a way that we would have expected before tonight, which is a change since so much has happened tonight which is unexpected. >> it's also a state where hillary clinton pulled out all the stoms in terms of star power that she brought to ohio.

endorsement don't necessarily mean victory on election day. >> that's for sure. unless you're a celebrity yourself in donald trump's case, and that seems to have helped him in the state of ohio. >> this is going to be a very close election because if donald trump goes on to win florida, that will mean he has won two of the big battleground states. hillary clinton can still win if she wins pennsylvania. but this one's going right down to the wire. >> in fact, i spoke with a top clinton campaign official when i d the state of florida, because they had boasted to me earlier in the night that they felt very strong because they had banked a lot of early vote and at this point we have it edging to republican. this top official telling me it's very tight in florida but we can afford to lose it as long as we get pennsylvania, new hampshire, and nevada. >> and michigan becomes even more important now. >> great point. >> demarco morgan is with anthony salvanto over at our

little bit about why we made these estimates. trump for ohio, and hillary clinton in virginia. >> all right, scott, let's start with ohio. right now, hillary clinton was heavily counting counting on tn american vote. it looks like it didn't work in her favor. how did trump win and walk away with this state. >> because it wasn't enough, demarco. i'm going to point you to a story of a couple of counties. down here around canton, all through the campaign we have been talking about the blue collar voters that mighto to his message. it's clear they did. there are counties here around canton, mahoning county, stark county, where he has out-performed what republicans typically do, and actually, exceeded what is typical, even in the best of times for a republican. maybe they break even there. but he's up 56-40, 53-42 in those places. that's a big reason he wins ohio. >> before we move on to the other states, is it safe to call this a surprise tonight? >> well, he was up marginally in

but he had to get this pattern in order to actually pull it off. and he did. so in that sense, our preelection poll looks like it was pretty much right. >> before we talk about virginia, let's go to florida, still too close to call, why. >> yeah, yeah, florida is an interesting case because we're still counting how many ballots it there are, not just who is up. so as we've been saying all night, we've been looking through all these counties around orlando, tampa, places republicans usually do well, but he's doing exceptionally well. and the last thing i'll point take you to virginia, can which we also projected for hillary clinton, and here, here, she's gotten enough turnout around these d.c. suburbs, even though all the votes aren't counted there yet, that's her area, and so when all the votes come in, we can expect that she'd be able to carry the state. but this is much, much closer than the preelection polling ever expected. >> are you surprised we haven't called north carolina yet. >> no, that looked raiser tight going in and still is. >> long night. >> maybe.

an there's lots to talk about, how the rest of this night will go. charlie rose is with the political panel. >> i'm with three women, peggy noonan, michelle morris, and ruth marcus. we want to talk about women, and there is a number of divisions that we can speak to. one college educated, versus not college educated, young-old, african american-white, and rural-urban. how is the women's vote influencing this election? middle of witnessing an epic upset here. so we're just not sure what's going on. but mr. trump is doing-- performing better than he had seemed to in exit polls and in other polls. part of that, obviously, would suggest that, "a," there actually was something of a hidden trump vote. and, "b," some of them would have been women. so we'll figure that out as the

that having been said, mr. trump would not be close now but i think very much in the lead now if his attitude towards and language towards women, minorities, et cetera, had not been so alienating. he put a lot of them off. i'm sure it cut down on the number of people who are vote ago. >> you're almost saying if he hadn't been d.n.a. that with respect to women and latinos he would be much closer to being president. >> yes, actually. iua saying, sane trump would win in a landslide." >> a different candidate all together. >> there are two things we know. if he weren't behaving as donald trump behaved he would have a much better chance of being president. but, also, if only men still had the right to vote he would almost certainly be president because we still see a significant gender gap here. a couple of important points. women are 53% of the electorate. this looks like this time around, same as they were four years ago.

performing better against donald trump than barack obama did against mitt romney with women. i might pout my glasses for some of this. she it down eight points against trump with men. she is up 14 points with women overall. with white men, she is down 30 points, okay. she's down with white women, but she's only down by about eight points. that is less than-- that is betterha performance with white women versus mitt romney. so i think here's my point. if you're not a donald trump fan and he wins, blame the men. don't blame the women. >> but the story here might be rural women. >> reporter: rural women. >> and rural women who lack college educations. when i was visiting ohio not long ago, they said people focus on hillary clinton trying to break the glass ceiling, and perhaps they should look at the

can't afford to fix the windshield, put food on the table, can't afford to send their kids to college and she may have had a harder time reaching out to those voters. >> that was in all the focus groups what you just described, how they felt about her. >> there's also a question about the young women, and how we still haven't seen precisely those numbers whether they were as energized, as say, their mothers. >> not withstanding the fact electing a woman would be historic. is it fair to say the you when you came here this evening did not believe donald trump might win this election and now you all three think it's possible. >> he had a very narrow path at the beginning of the evening. but it seems like that path is not as narrow as it was. speaking in the room, i think all of us feel that changed in the past hour. >> past hour, past hour and a half, we started to see wait a second. expectation in addition the polls are not being boash out by the numbers we're seeing on the screen right now.

>> not nasty women. >> not nasty women. >> reporter: back to scott and norah. >> fascinating discussion, really interesting. >> pelley: one of the interesting things, norah, is that since the nomination of the two candidates, donald trump has never led in the cbs news poll, never been ahead since he and hillary clinton were nominated. and yet, tonight, he's keeping up quite well. >> well, if there was a time to get ahead, this is it. ( laug if there's a time to pull ahead -- >> it's all pretty academic. >> let's roll out the old cliche it's only poll that matters is the one on election day. >> finishing strong indeed. we have a lot of data still ahead to share with you, including the hispanic vote and what is happening in the west. we are also getting closer to a call in florida before we get to florida, let's go to anthony mason on that hispanic vote. anthony. >> reporter: as we said

the hispanic vote makes up about 12% of eligible voters but in three key battleground states in the southwest, nevada, colorado, arizona, it's higher than that. let's see how much higher today. as you can see, coming in, arizona it's about 16% right now. colorado 13%. nevada 18%. interestingly, this is actually a little bit lower than four years ago. let's look at nevada, where hillary clinton has a significant advantage among hispanic voters, 59% to 27%. but let's go back four years and see what barack obama did. he won hispanics with 71% of the vote. so she's significantly underperforming obama among hispanics in nevada. that's discouraging for the democrats. gayle. >> all right, thank you very much, anthony. you know, to follow up, charlie, on your panel with the women who made it very clear they are not nasty women. we're now thinking about pathtelevise victory. what does that look like? in the beginning of this evening, norah, kellyanne conway said she had six different

what are the the pathways to victories we can focus on. >> those pathways still remain somewhat the same. the clinton campaign believes that if they were to lose the state of pennsylvania-- excuse me, of florida, that they could still win with pennsylvania, new hampshire, and nevada. in fact, a lot of their models did not include ohio. >> the question-- there are two questions. one is how are they going to split up the battleground states. that's one. the other is can donald trump pierce the so-called blue wall, those traditionally states. michigan is one of them. wisconsin is another one. and pennsylvania is a third. so does hillary clinton hold on to those? the limited number of pathways that donald trump had was based on the idea that a number of states would follow their historical path. >> gl john, i'm sorry to interrupt but cbs news is projecting that when all of the votes are counted, hillary clinton will have won the state of colorado. one of the toss-up states that we have been watching very

hillary clinton will be the winner in colorado. that gives her colorado and virginia. donald trump we have projected the winner in ohio. >> this was a state, bob, that we talked about earlier, colorado, where the clinton campaign believed because it is 100% mail-in vote, that organization, that ground game would put them over the top. >> yeah, this is one of those battlegrounds that, you know, in the beginning we called it aing battleground, but most of the polling suggested in the beginning that she was going to win colorado. this is very important now. with florida still out there, with ohio still out there. this was a very important win for her. >> let me do a what. if. can we say if donald trump wins florida, pennsylvania, and michigan, is he much closer? >> yeah, because he's won ohio? >.>> he still has to win north carolina.

wisconsin, that changes the original-- >> or michigan and pennsylvania. >> the thing about colorado that's important and interesting here is that it is connected to virginia in the minds of a lot of democrats. >> right. >> pelley: let's have a quick look at the tally where we stand right now. hillary clinton 131, donald trump 168. on the way to 270. electoral votes needed to win. we'll be back in a moment with this very tight race.

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>> pelley: welcome back to election night on cbs, and what an election this is. it's already having ramifications for the american economy. have a look at this. the dow futures are now off 632 points. that's about 3.5%. this is the election as it stands right now. let's have a look at the electoral vote. hillary clinton 131, donald trump 168. 270 needed to win. now, look at this. this is the popular vote. these are the raw total of numbers of people who have voted. and as you can see, donald trump

little bit over two million votes. >> investors don't like the uncertainty of what we're looking at right now. >> pelley: investors hate uncertainty, and if this night is anything, it is uncertain. >> unless you're in team donald trump. they're feeling that-- they're looking at us thinking this is what we predicted all along, guys. >> i think they're probably looking at this, the rise of donald trump, the fact that he's made this so close, they believe he brings more uncertainty because he's less familiar to them in terms o >> he's also called out the wall street corporate interests that are in control of washington, and he represents more uncertainty if he were to be president by design. >> oh, to be a fly on the wall at trump tower or at the hotel where hillary clinton and her team are tonight to find out what they are thinking at this hour. nancy cordes has been talking to her sources inside the clinton campaign.

iifyou ask the clinton campaign now, or any time in the past few months, what their most likely pact is to 270, they would always say they have multiple paths but the most likely one is this, these five states-- virginia, colorado, pennsylvania, michigan, and nevada. in fact, a couple of weeks ago, they probably wouldn't even have included michigan on that list because they considered it a forgone conclusion. they still think they're win, but it will be a lot closer. so far they've been proed win by cbs news two of the five. so they are watching those other three increasing, because now florida and ohio have been taken off the table. it's one of their only paths to 270. are they confident? yes. they feel that virginia and colorado were always so strong for them, that they actually stopped airing ads in those two faits for about four months. michigan was wobbly towards the end, but hillary clinton went back there twice.

about their path, but it's certainly not the cakewalk that they hoped it would be. >> nancy cordes, thank you. major garrett has been covering the trump campaign. major, they've got to be feeling good inside the republican nominee's campaign headquarters. >> reporter: they're feeling much, much better. they now see one or two, maybe three paths to 270 electoral votes, norah. the florida director for the trump campaign has told them count on florida. we're going to win florida. i was just texting with paul manafort, former campaign manager for donald trump,ll attached to this campaign, though not officially. he believes trump is going to win north carolina. i was just texting with the former pennsylvania governor, republican tom corbett. he is not a trump person at all but he's looking at pennsylvania. he said because trump is winning in eerie county and running just a little behind hillary clinton in lakawana county, he believes trump will win pennsylvania. another trump official i talked

very encouraged about that. in the end this may come down to michigan, new hampshire, nevada, and the states i just mentioned. norah and scott. >> all right, make, thank you. pennsylvania at this hour still a toss-up. when we come back, we'll talk more about the battle for the battlegrounds. plus poll closings in the west coast, including the biggest electoral prize of them all, the state of california. i'd like to send 50 pizzas to france. t for the president. for you! you can be president of whatever you want. like president of your own salon... i look good. or your kid's little league team...foul ball! or president of whatever this is! get the domains, websites, and 24/7 personal support to be awesome online. get your dot com domain at godaddy dot com. hey potus! want longer lasting heartburn relief?

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>> pelley: it's election night on cbs. welcome back. let's have a quick look now at florida. one of the states that is running the closest race tonight, a must. win for donald trump. we are estimating that donald trump has the edge there. but a very close race indeed. john dickerson, what'sng like is going on. it looks like hillary clinton has won-- she's got more votes in the swing areas. that's supposed to be crucial to florida. she's turned out her vote in the southeastern part of the state in broward, palm, and miami-dade, but donald trump in the rest of the state is turning his vote out, too. so it's a battle of the turnout, and he appears to be well ahead. >> pelley: we are watching these battleground states for you minute by minute, and we will have more coverage of election night when cbs news

a moment. >> denise: good evening. we want to welcome our cbs19 viewers. we have been bringing you nonstop coverage on our sister station and now we want to update you from lakewood. >> romona: that's right. we are getting answers on the hospital issue. right now we want to electoral votes. >> dan: it is very close and close to a major announcement. we are waiting for the state of florida to fill in. we are hearing some news organizations are calling the state of florida for donald trump. we have been hanging around the 95% vote but we know mime

huge win and 100% of the vote is in. a lot of the major urban counties are already in and you expect it to be heavy for hillary clinton. at this point she is losing 49.1 to 47.7. some news organizations -- again we are being cautious and we are using cbs data, they have yet to call it for trump, but if and when they do, that is worth a heavy 29 electoral votes let's 131 for hillary and there are still a lot of electoral votes out there. the magic number is 270. trump has a ways to go, but you put in that 29 and it is gonna go a long ways. let's get back to the desk. >> romona: let's go back to lacey. lacey, are you hearing us right now? >> reporter: you can see behind me that some of the crowd has started to dissipate

the polls. it looks like it is about by five points so they are feeling pretty good here. for now live in lakewood, cleveland 19 news. >> denise: thank you, lacey. >> romona: join us for more news on cleveland 19 news. we will have the latest on this election night that has been bizarre. >> denise: a lot of surprises. >> romona: a lot of states in play. we will have more o

>> live coverage continues right now. >> romona: you are looking at the latest results in the race

right now donald trump is leading with 53% of the vote to hillary clinton's 42%. that's with 77% of the precincts reporting. and now let's look at the electoral votes. >> denise: everyone knows that is what matters in the end, the magic number of 270. dan deroos has the updated count in the answer center. dan? >> dan: let's be clear. when we show you the number we did off the top, part of that is popular vote. what we need a candidate you have to win each state. you have to get to 270 of those votes. big, big swing in ohio. it had been polling for trump in this last weak by two or maybe three points depending on who you are looking at. donald trump with a sizable lead .

in. i think this number will get a little smaller as we know cuyahoga county is always late getting their vote in. but cuyahoga county is not going to be able to make up 10% on donald trump. the other massive state that some news organizations are calling for donald trump is florida. 95% of the vote is in and he is up a little less than two points. that would be a major two wins for donald trump early. it looks like he is also going to take the of north carolina. if that happens, hillary clinton is going to be looking at michigan and pennsylvania as must wins as we get through the rest of the night. let's get back to you. >> denise: we have reporters covering many, many local races for you. harry boomer is live at the democratic headquarters. >> romona: there are a lot of crucial states too close to call. what is the mood as they watch these numbers come in? >> reporter: it is somber here. a lot of folks had high hopes