aaron david * ends. thank you for “oining us, aaron david miller. _ ends. thank you forjoining us, aaron david miller. o nhs england, almost 3.5 million children under 16 have not been vaccinated against measles and are therefore unprotected and at risk of becoming ill. london and the west midlands, where the uptake of the mmr vaccination is low, is being targeted first, and headteachers in some areas are now working with the nhs to run clinics in schools. damejenny harries, the head of the uk health security agency, has issued a call to action right across the country after hospitals in birmingham reported a sharp rise in cases in children. so why has there been a fall in the take—up of the mmr? i'm joined by karl and davina barrett, whose three—month—old was hospitalised with measles, and professor peter openshaw, an immunologist at imperial college. good evening, first, karl and davina. first, can you tell me what happened to ezra? he davina. first, can you tell me what happened to ezra?— happened to ezra? he had some cold-like symptoms _ happened to ezra? he had some cold-like symptoms that - happe

helena: aaron david miller, senior fellow at the carnegie in washington. turning now to the u.s.sidential campaign, a race for the republican nominations's will heat up tuesday when new hampshire voters take to the polls in the first primary of the 2024 election cycle. tuesday's primary will test president trump's front runner status after his landslide victory in iowa. the governor of south carolina nikki haley is looking to establish yourself as the main rival to mr. trump with a strong showing of the great estate. florida governor ron desantis is focusing on south carolina. with primary season underway, president biden is seeking to galvanize democratic voters around the contentious issue of abortion per his can paint is expected to focus on reproductive rights in the wake of the supreme court's landmark overturning of roe v. wade. abortion rights activists have been on a winning streak in the polls, with voters in seven states projecting -- protecting abortion access since june 2022. in washington antiabortion activists gathered on the snowy national mall for the annual march

today we're talking with aaron, david miller, who worked on us middle east policy at the state department for 25 years. he's now a senior fellow at the carnegie endowment for international peace. and he's also author of the much to promise land. america's elusive search for error is really peace. aaron, it's great to be with you to look at a book on the much to promise land and the notion about it or if is really piece, may sounds like fantasy at this moment. and i just want to start asking you about what looks to me, kind of like a quagmire of sorts right now. and whether or not you see it the same way and whether you see an off ramp. first of all, steve, thanks for having me. it's great to be here with your look, i think is realism palestinians, and let's be clear, you've got never in the history these really tell us any complicated, we entered a phase of terror and violence, the exponential rise of dest bose, on october 7, ending the punishing is really restricts and an effort, ground campaign, and effort to eradicate destroyed a degree. i'm osh. this goes beyond anything. is religion,

a and yet this devices support for the war. aaron, david miller was a former senior official at the state department because the timing is good for the president. if this were playing out in october of 2024, i think it would have a very significant impact on what promises.

state department middle east negotiator aaron david miller. aaron, how significant is this ruling? what happens if prime minister netanyahu refuses to accept it? you heard him there not committing to accept it. >> i heard it loud and clear, and thanks for having me brianna. i think the prime minister in the end will accept it, because to not accept it will mean the end of his war cabinet. benny gantz who brought his coalition seats in an act of patriotism, despite his mistrust of netanyahu has joined this cabinet. he already said that the supreme court decision today has to be respected. yeah ear lapid, a former coalition member has said the same thing. t i don't think he has the credibility and support of the israeli public to split the country even further by ignoring or going against the supreme court decision. it would essentially mean that, if given an order, for example, to the shin bet, they'd have to decide are they following the government or following the supreme court. i would suspect they'd follow the supreme court in this matter, not the netanyahu government. >> what c

aaron david miller, thanks so much. appreciate it. >> thanks for having me. >>> up next for us, muslim and jewish communities in canada see a rise in hate since the conflict began. that story and much more straight ahead. (vo) with fargo, the new virtual assistant from wells fargo. you can pick up the tab, even when you forget your wallet. (kaz) i got this. (ben) fargo, send kaz $145 dollars with zelle®. (kaz) smooth. (vo) do you fargo? you can, with wells fargo. (vo) with fargo, the new virtual assistant from wells fargo. you can pick up the tab, even when you forget your wallet. (kaz) i got this. (ben) fargo, send kaz $145 dollars with zelle®. (kaz) smooth. (vo) do you fargo? you can, with wells fargo. >>> jewish and muslim communities are expressing concern about a rise in hate in canada since the conflict between israel and hamas started. police are guarding children going into one montreal school after it was targeted twice by gunfire. members of the muslim community say they are also experiencing hate. and some of

a and yet this device and support for the war. aaron, david miller was a former senior official of the state department. he says the timing is good for the president. if this were playing out in october 2024, i think it would have a very significant impact on what promises to be very close election. miller is now.

a and yet this devices support for the war. aaron, david miller was a former senior official at the state department because the timing is good for the president. if this were playing out in october of 2024, i think it would have a very significant impact on what promised.

a and yet this device and support for the war. aaron, david miller was a former senior official of the state department. he says the timing is good for the president. if this were playing out in october of 2024, i think it would have a very significant impact on what promises to be a very close election. miller is now.

let's bring in middle east adviser aaron david miller. aaron, great to have you here with us.ng a very sensitive time. how concerned are you about a much broader conflict given all the recent developments and strikes outside of israel and gaza? >> ana, first, thanks for having me, and happy new year. look, i know it looks bad, and there's reason to be extremely concerned, but i have to say -- and i hate making predictions -- i don't think we're on the cusp of a major regional war. when we're talking about a regional war, we're talking about at a minimum a main event between israel and hezbollah, in which you could see hezbollah using the tens of thousands of high trajectory weapons in varied ranges and lethalties against israeli military targets and israelis responding with massive ground incursion, air strikes and sea. i don't think we're on the cusp of that because i think iran and hezbollah understand right now that they do not want to waste their assets in a -- what could prove to be a very counterproductive confrontation, not just with the israelis but with the united sta

aaron david miller, always good to have you. katy, sorry to be the bearer of bad news. >> it's okay. >>> another huge storm is headed across the u.s. after the last one killed at least five people and forced new york to relocate 2,000 migrants from tent shelters. with nurtec odt i can treat and prevent my migraine attacks all in one. don't take if allergic to nurtec. allergic reactions can occur even days after using. most common side effects were nausea, indigestion and stomach pain. talk to your doctor about nurtec today. nexium 24hr prevents heartburn acid for twice as long as pepcid. get all-day and all-night heartburn acid prevention with just one pill a day. choose acid prevention. choose nexium. what is cirkul? cirkul is the fuel you need to take flight. cirkul is the energy that gets you to the next level. cirkul is what you hope for when life tosses lemons your way. cirkul, available at walmart and drinkcirkul.com. >>> at least five people are dead and 300,000 are without power from a winter storm that stretched from co

matt bradley reports from tel aviv, and aaron david miller.t is the latest fears that this war could escalate? >> reporter: the fact is there have been fears this war could escalate ever since october 8th the day after hamas launched their terror attack into israel. october 8th was the day after that terror attack when we first started see hezbollah, which like hamas is backed by iran launching rockets into northern israel. the pace and the threat from that conflict over the border between israel where i am now and lebanon has only increased over the past several months and we've also seen other elements of this iran-backed so-called axis of resistance participating in this fight. we've seen the houthis in yemen, that's an insurgent group within yemen who's backed by iran and they've been taking shots at shipping and other assets in the red sea. we've seen the u.s. deploying their own naval assets to fight against that. iran has since deployed a bat battleship or a warship to provide a deterrent in the red sea against american escalation in th

aaron david miller, thank you very much. joining us from tel aviv is nbc news foreign correspondent raf sanchez, what is latest in israel? >> reporter: it's been interesting. we have been asking israeli officials all day, what's your response to these strikes in yemen, strikes that the entire region talking about, and officially it has been total silence from the israeli government, neither welcoming these strikes, nor condemning them, which you wouldn't expect them to do, and what's likely is there is a feeling here in israel and probably in the u.s. that any israeli gloating about these strikes might just be pouring gasoline on to what really is just fiery anger all across the region here. you were talking about it a moment ago, katy. i cannot stress to our viewers there was so much anger directed towards the united states already here in the middle east at this perception that the u.s. is standing by as the civilian death toll in gaza mounts and mounts, and now there is just disbelief in many arab countries that the u.s.

aaron david miller, thank you so much for joining us. see you. >>> coming up, who worked with jeffrey epstein, a trove of documents naming the people linked to him is set to start coming out today. what to expect? >>> first, though, who was behind the two roadside explosions that killed a hundred people at the memorial site for an iranian military commander the u.s. assassinated in 2020. nbc's ali arouzi is in teheran with who iran is blaming. creamy, delicious fage total yogurt. want the power of 5 serum benefits in 1? olay super serum activates on skin to hydrate, smooth, visibly firm, brighten, and improve texture. it's my best skin yet. olay [deep exhale] [trumpet music plays] 579 breaths to show 'em your stuff. every breath matters. don't let rsv take your breath away. protect yourself from rsv... ...with abrysvo, pfizer's rsv vaccine. abrysvo is a vaccine for the prevention of lower respiratory disease from rsv in people 60 years and older. rsv can be serious if you are 60 or older. having asthma, copd, diabetes, or heart disease p

joining me now is aaron david miller, he's a senior fellow at the carnegie endowment for internationaln the former arab israeli negotiator. erin, you said this i don't know how many times to me in the last hundred and five days that there are various parties who will not be party to a deal that results in the establishment of a palestinian state and benjamin netanyahu is one of them. with him at the table, it's not going to happen. probably none of this is a surprise to you? >> no, and, thank you for having me on. chip o'neil said that all politics is a local and clearly mr. netanyahu, ideologically, opposes a palestinian state but he also knows that several members of his government, should he agreed one right now, would probably jump ship. and that is going to mean, as you pointed out, he is on trial for bribery for a breach of trust in a jerusalem district court, now four years and running, and that's mr. netanyahu stay as prime minister of israel, it's less the war, ali, it is the determination to hang on to power because it is only through power that he can seem to delude, for som

a members of the democratic party protested yet this devices support for the war. aaron, david miller was a former senior official at the state department. he says the timing is good for the president. if this were playing out in october of 2024, i think it would have a, a very significant impact on what promises to be a very close election. miller is now is the economy endowment for international peace with funds you have experience negotiating with israel and the palestinians? what does he think of as ro, tactics in battle, and what kind of country might too much from this complex david miller welcome to complex on. with jim, it's pleasure to be here. thanks for having me. israel risk strategic defeat if it goes on killing civilians at the current rate and gaza. this last week from the us defense secretary lloyd austin was this is close to a public rep from on those washington will go or is the administration just but you signaling for public consumption ministration. frankly, the rhetoric increasing rhetoric, impatience restoration with the humanitarian catastrophe and gaza and the

i'm joined now by aaron david miller, who's a former adviser and negotiator at the us state department the carnegie endowment for international peace focusing on us foreign policy. thanks for your time. how did this happen? and how vulnerable are us military assets in the region to such attacks? i think the numbers answer the question, since october about 170 attacks, not counting houthi strikes against us flagged or owned commercial vessels and those of scores of other countries in the red sea, and probably no more than 10% responses by the united states. so, the biden administration has been risk—averse, i think, the biden administration has been risk—averse, ithink, and the biden administration has been risk—averse, i think, and very lucky. they were not lucky this time. obviously, they picked a target vulnerability, not iraq or syria, butjordan, right across the border, a structure called tower 22 on a staging area for an american garrison. it is right across the border and syria. the casualties were three dead, 30 wounded, and that will go up, many with traumatic brain injuries. s

a short time ago my colleague helena humphrey spoke about all this with aaron david miller, senior fellowie endowment, in washington. so what we are seeing here is that israel and the united states clearly at odds when it comes to the future of a two—state solution. what kind of position do you think that puts a washington in in terms of support of its key ally, israel? i think there have been tensions all along, over the last several months, both the absence of sufficient humanitarian aid and the character and nature of the israeli ground campaign which the administration was and i was expecting, notjust hoping but expecting that they would be significantly altered by the end of the month or early february. i think there are strains. the last phone call the president has other than the one today, he all but hung up on netanyahu but i don't think we are talking about that. president biden is still committed to the israeli war aims. it is a race for the presidency, he does not want to leave himself open to republican attacks. by being too critical of the israeli so i suspect tensions will

earlier, i spoke to aaron david miller, who's a former adviser and negotiator at the us state departmentlow at the carnegie endowment for international peace focusing on us foreign policy. since october, i think there have been 170 attacks. that's probably not counting houthi strikes against us commercial vessels or us flagged or owned commercial vessels, and those of scores of other countries in the red sea, and probably no more than 10% responses by the united states. so the biden administration has been pretty risk averse, i think, and also very lucky. they were not lucky this time. and obviously, they picked a target of vulnerability, not iraq, not syria, butjordan right across the border. at a structure or a place called tower 22, which is a staging area for an american garrison, that may be too formal a word, in tanf, which is right across the border in syria. and the casualties were three. three dead, 30 wounded. and that's going to go up. many with traumatic brain injuries. so i think the options for the biden administration are not great here. there is going to be a response. bo

the members of the democratic party protested yet this devices support for the war. aaron, david miller was a former senior official of the state department because the timing is good for the president. if this were playing out in october of 2024, i think it would have a very significant impact on what promises to be.

live now to aaron david miller, senior analyst at the carnegie endowment for international peace.ction that we have had so far from hezbollah from events of yesterday. it is a lot of words in rhetoric which is not surprising. the question is will it fundamentally alter both iran and hezbollah�*s policy of more or less risk aversion since the october seven hamas terrorist attack against israel. i think that even though the fears of potential escalation have to be taken seriously will stop with respect to a true regional war, i suspect that risk aversion on this may well carry. i do not believe tehran nor macro to norton hezbollah want contrary to other one and escalation. —— nasrallah. it risks both iranian and has hezbollah�*s assets. it is doing its work for it in gaza and the west bank in the more entrenched fee is really operation of the west bank becomes, the more exponential rise in palestinian casualties at the hand of israelis in gaza, the happier both iran and hezbollah will be. there is the other factor of the us involvement as well. i think the biden administration has b

aaron david miller for us. appreciate it. >> thanks paula. >>> is this donald trump country? >> voters in new hampshire prepare for the primary. we hear what some of them think about former u.s. president donald trump. plus, whether it is the commitment or the cost, one thing is for sure, china is facing a baby bust. that story after the break. >>> china is seeing yet another year of population decline. the population fell to just over 1.4 billion in 2023. a drop of more than 2 million people over the year before. now, this demographic change comes amid economic uncertainty and record low birthrates. cnn's mark stewart takes a closer look at china's baby bust. >> reporter: 35-year-old jesse on the move. her focus, a career in marketing. having children, not on her agenda. >> do you want to have children? >> no. >> no. >> no at all. >> reporter: and that is a big problem facing china. for the second year in a row, its population dropped. a record loss of more than 2 million people according to the government. >> i think having children will disrupt all my life plans. i think l

. >> let's bring in aaron david miller who is a middle east negotiator and you have just heard antony that he is going to bring up the civilian casualties when he goes to israel, but is that is going to be influential to move the needle at all? >> well, the administration is continuing to press the israelis to lower the intensity of the ground campaign, particularly in southern gaza, and i think that there is not just a hope, but i think that there is an expectation by the the end of january and early february that the kinetic intensity of what the israelis are doing with the artillery in densely populated areas, and injurious of long-suffering palestinians is going to change, and if it does not change, the administration has to make a different set of decisions on how to proceed. i think that there is a strong expectation not just that israel is going to provide what is impossible the provide up to now which is reliable corridors for the humanitarian assistance not the dribble into gaza, but to surge into gaza, and lord knows that the palestinians need it. >> what are the u.s. option

there is a situation that aaron david miller raised that sinwar two leave if israel agreed to release all of the palestinian prisoners, some of the toughest and deadliest prisoners in israeli prisons. then miller said sinwar might consider it. but that is -- that possibility is a long way off and essentially netanyahu rejected it yesterday. >> how much pressure is there on netanyahu to find a resolution? >> extraordinary amount of pressure and growing by the day. i was in israel last month speaking with hostage families. they are protesting all the time. they are heessentially saying t netanyahu, you have to do whatever you can to bring them home. >> this is pressure that is only growing by the day. netanyahu knows he has do something. at the same time, anderson, he vowed this war will continue for many months to come. >> alex marquardt, thank you. >>> to gaza. the i.d. says hostages were held in tunnels. nic robertson is there. >> reporter: dreams of her lost life carefully remembered in red crayon. a house, flowers, and the sun peeking between mountains. discovered 60 feet below the

organization, gershon baskin, initiating the peace negotiations that led to the release of gilad, and aaron david miller i want to know what you make of the interim ruling. before i get there, i want to point something out that i read in the atlantic today about some of the accusations being leveled against the war cabinet, even in this international court about what members of the war cabinet who by the way, who are in charge of the war have said about gaza, and quotes were used to prove that they had genocidal intent. one of the quotes was gaza will not return to what it was before, we will eliminate it all. this was the idf chief saying this on october 7th. turns out that a key part of that quote wasn't included in a lot of news stories, including an npr, "the new york times," "the washington post," the full quote was gaza will not return to what it was before. there will be no hamas. we will eliminate it all. which is, you know, a key part of that quote. seems to be referring to hamas, not all of gaza. in light of that, what do you make of the ruling today? >> this conflict has driven people to thei