joining us now to discuss is aaron david miller, for negotiator and endowment fellow.porter is back with us. again, deputy spokesperson. >> david, i want to focus on the aftereffect of all of this. the impact of what we saw happening. what type of retaliation from iran do you think the u.s. and israel should be repaired for or thinking about? >> thank you for having me. april 13th, they lost 350 high trajectory weapons at israel and with little impact. they did some interception with drones, but this time given the fact that the iranians were unbelievably humiliated and vulnerable is exposed by the fact that haniyeh was killed by a remotely controlled bomb that was placed in a headquarters two months before the strike, iranians are looking for a way to directly hit israel either an infrastructure target or military base. and it will probably be a coordinated response including the houthis, hezbollah and for the u.s., investigation of iranian missile strikes against u.s. forces. in iraq and syria. whether they will be able to do all this, the problem is if they are to s

in the words of aaron david miller, a senior fellow at the carnegy endowment, in electing senward aheadby israel, yahya sinwar will lead hamas from undisclosed location. as he continues to be source of anxiety for the israelis. spokesperson, rear admiral daniel hagari said, there is only one place for yahya sinwar and it is beside muhammad deve and the rest of the october 7th terrorists. that is the only place we are preparing and intending for him. yahya sinwar was born in 1962 in the town of khanus located in the southern gaza strip during his early years, particularly in the early 1980s, he was frequently arrested by israeli authorities for his activism against the israeli occupation which he pursued while studying at the islamic university in gaza. upon completing his studies, sinwar played a pivotal role in forming a coalition of fighters dedicated to armed resistance against israel. this coalition would evolve into hasam brigades, the military wing of hamas. shortly after the establishment of amas by sheikh ahmed yasin in 1987, sindwar ascended to a leadership position within the

in the words of aaron david miller, a senior fellow at the carnegy endowment, in electing senward ahead hamas, the organization lays the rest any differences between external and internal leaders and what... ever illusions of moderation existed to reveal its true face. as the most wanted man by israel, yahya sinwar will lead hamas from undisclosed location in gaza. regarded as the architect of operation ala flood, israel has been trying to assassinate him, all be it of no avail to this moment. اليوم شعبنا يدشن مرحله جديده من تاريخ نضاله وكفاحه الوطني. طريق التحرير والعوده اليوم شعبنا يخرج بكافه جماهيره في قطاع غزه في الضفه الغربيه في اراضي المحتله عام 48 ومن الخارج ليدشن هذه المرحله الجديده وليصوب المسار. israeli officials have made no secret of their intent to eliminate xinwar as he continues to be source of anxiety for the israelis, a man capable of keeping them awake, goodnight. for yahya sinwar and it is beside mohammed dave and the rest of the october 7th terrorists. that is the only place we are preparing and intending for him. امضا 25 عام في سجول الاحتlal. located in the southern

in the words of aaron david miller, a senior fellow at the carnegy endowment, in electing senward ahead true face. as the most wanted man by israel, yahya sinwar will lead hamas from undisclosed location in gaza. regarded as the architect of operation, israel has been trying to assassinate him, i'll be it of no avail to this moment. اليوم شعبنا يخرج بكافه جماهيره في قطاع غزه في الضفه الغربيه في اراضي المحتله عام 48 ومن الخارج ليدشن هذه المرحله الجديده وليصوب المsar. no secret of their intent to eliminate sinwar as he continues to be source of anxiety for the israelis, a man capable of keeping them awake. in reaction to sanmar's appointment israel has bowed to kill him as part of its policy of killing top hamas leaders. recently, israeli military spokes person admiral daniel hagari said there is only one place for yahya sinwar and it is. beside mohammed dave and the rest of the october 7th terrorists. that is the only place we are preparing and intending for him. located in the southern gaza strip. during his early years, particularly in the early 1980s, he was was frequently arrested by

in the words of aaron david miller, a senior fellow at the carnegy endowment, in electing senward aheadation lays the rest any differences between external and internal. leaders and whatever illusions of moderation existed to reveal its true face. as the most wanted man by israel, yahya sinwar will lead hamas from undisclosed location in gaza. regarded as the architect of operation flood, israel has been trying to assassinate him, all be it of no avail to this moment. يدشن مرحله جديده من تاريخ نضاله وكفاحه الوطن. في اراضي المحتله عام 48 ومن الخارج ليدشن هذه المرحله الجديده. israeli officials have made no secret of their intent to eliminate sinwar as he continues to be source of anxiety for the israelis, a man capable of keeping them awake at night. one place for yahya sinwar and it is beside and the rest of the october 7th terrorists, that is the only place we are preparing and intending for him. located in the southern gaza strip during his early years, but particularly in the early 1980s, he was frequently arrested by israeli authorities for his activism against the israeli occupation

sides must be prepared to make concessions to get a deal done so will they joining me now is aaron david miller? he's a former state department middle east negotiator and now senior fellow at the carnegie endowment aaron david miller, you've been watching this as long as i have and longer secretary blinken was clearly expressing urgency during his latest visit to the region. is it your sense that israel and hamas also have any urgency to come to an agreement? >> i mean, there, there are pressures jim netanyahu is under pressure from hostage families and from the administration, which fears in major escalation in the north if no ceasefire can be done in sinwar, clearly, i think would like to give his commanders and hamas is military structure a breather and he's also perhaps under some pressure to come to the aid and the assistance and relief of hundreds of thousands or millions of palestinians who are suffering. but i just think their clocks are not synchronized. i don't think right now, maybe i'll be wrongly today's breakthrough will produce something that nathaniel netanyahu or sinwar feel a

aaron david miller. _ it's not long now until we learn who kamala harris will pick as her running matenfirmed as the democratic nominee at the party's convention later this month, is interviewing potential candidates to be her vp pick. she's hosted some of them at her residence in washington, dc. they include pennsylvania governorjosh shapiro, arizona senator mark kelly and minnesota governor tim walz. her decision is expected to be made public by tuesday, ahead of a battleground tour next week. for more, i spoke to the hill's national political reporter, julia manchester. a weekend of interviews for kamala harris. tell me more about what we know. yeah, so a weekend of interviews and, really, a lot of speculation. remember last week, speculation went into overdrive when a number of these men — mainly, john shapiro, mike kelly, andy bashir, tim walz — a number of these contenders cancelled a number of previously scheduled weekend plans to go to these meetings. it seems at this point we seejohn shapiro, the governor of pennsylvania, is the frontrunner but it has been interesting watching

also with us, aaron david miller, former arab israeli negotiator and senior fellow at the carnegie endowment for international peace. good to have both of you here. ellison, iran's supreme leader vowed to retaliation for the assassination of a leader last week. what do we know about israel and its allies and how they're preparing? >> reporter: yeah, you touched on some of it, chris. secretary of state antony blinken having a call with his g7 counterparts and based on a readout from the state department, we understand that that call focused largely on what they're describing as the need for de-escalation in the middle east, and that call, they also say they discussed the importance of still working toward a cease-fire and some sort of hostage deal, some sort of negotiation moving forward. but it also said that the secretary of state and the foreign ministers reiterated their commitment to israel's security and urged maximum restraint from all parties to keep the conflict from escalating. we also know in the overnight hours, i think we can describe it as last night now, israel's defense minist

in tel aviv where we're sitting, aaron david miller.hanks so much for joining thank you to well, jessica, the wait continues here for progress in those talks amid swell genuine nervousness about what happens in the meantime i'm slowly, it certainly does jim sciutto. we will see you in just a little bit still ahead here, new poll showing trump and harris locked in a dead heat in many battleground states key sunbelt, sunbelt states now seemingly back in play for the democrats were in break down the numbers and how things quick look on election day it's now just 80 days away. you're in the cnn newsroom cnn is live from chicago as democrats unite the offer, their support to a new nominee and her running mate fellow cnn for complete coverage, the democratic national convention monday at 7:00 a.m. cnn, and streaming on max, all that jet stream whether they're calling it an atmospheric river it's flood warning, louisiana. >> are they obsessed? >> oh yeah. >> the stuff they do on the green screen unbelievable. >> they said 10% chance of rain fe

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also with us, aaron david miller, senior fellow at the carnegie endowment for international peace andab israeli negotiator at the state department. ellison, what can you tell us about the situation in gaza right now ahead of those critical cease fire talks? >> reporter: i mean, ana, the truth is it's what it has been like really for the last 11 months. we can show you some video that's been taken within the last 24 hours. i do want to warn viewers it's graphic, it's upseing. this has been the reality inside gaza for the better part of 11 months now. people carrying out body bags after body bags after body bags. i mean, we have seen this since october israeli air strikes in the area. israel says they are targeting hamas command centers, hamas infrastructure, hamas militants, but oftentimes we see things like this, children badly wounded, children that are on the ground left alone crying oftentimes, and we saw this over the weekend, children who are the only surviving members of their families. i was looking through some text messages that i had with a contact inside of gaza. i've staye

also with us it's aaron david miller, longtime state department middle east negotiator, who's now a senior fellow at the carnegie endowment for international peace great to have both of you here with us aaron. >> i want to start first with you because your background is in hostage negotiation. we don't know all we know are these bodies were found. the idf has not categorized who they are there. clearly, obviously trying to identify them now. but they did take this step, this rare step of putting out this statement, asking people to refrain from rumors and spreading rumors what does it say to you that the idf is making this move? >> thanks for having me, jake look, i think there's it's no secret that there's growing divide between the prime minister of israel, benjamin netanyahu and senior members of the israeli defense forces. last week, there was a virtual shouting between minister of defense golan and the prime minister over the absence of urgency and the lack of strategy on the part of the current israeli government led by the prime minister both are freeing the hostages, cutting a deal

war. so starting with msnbc which invited an analyst from the carnegy endownment named david, aaron david miller who called the marter sayid muhsin fuad shukr the second in command to hazb allah leader sayid hasan nasar allah, which is false. so they can't even get their facts right? yeah, here's what miller said on msnbc, just hours after the assassination. it's here, the really we were looking for, i'm not sure it was the gold solution, not too hot, not to cold, an effort to strong to send very strong signal qualitatively different than anything that they've done, that hisball's strike, whether it was an errent misal design for israeli military positions on mount dove, or not, the fact is 12 children, permanent residents were killed. israelis had to find a way to send the signal, so they launched an operation designed to strike at fuadchucker, who is the second, perhaps most important advisor, they didn't really pay attention to the administrations view that they should not strike in beirot, so this this strike separates ' most of their operations, and the real question now, i think is, and ev

general hertling, aaron david miller to both of you. thank you very much for your analysis.to get back to jessica dean right now. she's joining us from new york. >> all right. well, thank you so much. and just like that, paris thing, i want to two weeks of crazy olympic action now before he last-minute gold medals were handed out, that's next on cnn newsroom this fall comedy us coming to cnn. what could go wrong i got news for you, for me or saturday, september number 14th at nine on cnn with offering 20% off any stop, any size 20%, i'll say is fine let's say 20%. >> i've set up a fund to eat your love 20% off the point is any it is size 20% off its subway shop etsy for classroom staples under $40 there anything but based get original items made by small businesses to cross off everything on your list choose from personalized apparel backpacks and accessories the court to freshen up their space and gives their teacher will love when you need back-to-school supplies under $40, everyone can agree on he has hugs biggest sale of the summer is extended, save up to 25% on moving i

aaron david miller, norman roule. thank you so much. we appreciate it thank you evacuation orders are piling up in florida and the national guard is mobilizing while people brace for tropical storm debby, which is likely to be yeah, hurricane by the time it hits the florida coast, the latest track i hadn't cnn newsroom that was i shall not seek and i will not accept the nomination of my party for another term as your president, 1968 maura, what's nine on cnn? life, diabetes there is no slowing down. >> each day is a unique blend of people to see and things to do that's why you choose concern to help manage blood sugar response uniquely designed with carb steady glue, sirna, bring on the day does he have trouble losing weight and keeping same discover the power of week over what we gobi i lost 35 pounds and some lost over 46 pounds. >> we go i'm keeping the weight off. >> we go via help you lose weight and keep it off. >> i'm reducing my risk. >> we gouvia is the only fda approval weight management medicine that's proven to reduce risk o

dana stroke, aaron david miller to both of you. thank you very, very much for your analysis. coming up. the fallout from donald trump's to our exchange with elon musk on x, filled with attacks, falsehoods, and glitches, and later ukraine now says it's gaining ground inside of russia stay with us you're in the situation room cnn is live from chicago as democrats unite to offer their support to a new nominee and her running mate fellow cnn for complete go the bridge the democratic national convention monday at seven on cnn and streaming on max fury are driving down the road. >> all of a sudden there was a crack in our windshield. you know what we can do now though, right? i a flight.com and we're good to go. yes. i'll be replaced the windshield for you. can we go in there with you new cars come with cameras that would control your automatic braking systems and lane. departure which do need to get recalibrated when you get you windshield, the place you get a crack in your windshield is only one choice. save flight route. >> by route? >> like we played work play blank relief, wor

it is regarded by many countries as a terrorist organization. aaron, david miller is a senior fellow at the carnegie endowment for international v. c focuses on us foreign policy in the middle east and he joins me now. mister, really, it's good to have you with us on this friday evening. we've heard it before that that hopes of reaching a a ceasefire. deals have been revived. we're hearing it again now, or at least that's what's being applied with this joint statement that was released yesterday isn't different. this time. it may be here, you know, best buy experience 20 plus years and being involved, and everybody's really negotiations. really tell cindy, negotiate as well. they seem to have 2 speeds. traditional mastic negotiation, slow and slow. this is not a traditional negotiation. the primary post. any decision makers ensconced eaters below ground in find eunice. rafa probably surrounded by the remaining hostages, those dead and those that are still alive. so the real question is the by and ministration, the international community, much of the year world united nations. everyb

joining me live is aaron david miller.ndowment for international peace. we were looking at the equations when it comes to hamas from a palestinian perspective. let's look at the israeli perspective if we may. we heard accusations from hamas thatis we heard accusations from hamas that is real simply is not agreeing to the original framework set out by president biden some months ago. what is the calculation you think in the calculation you think in the netanyahu government at the moment? , , �* ., ., moment? this isn't one hand clapping- _ moment? this isn't one hand clapping- it — moment? this isn't one hand clapping- it is _ moment? this isn't one hand clapping. it is negotiation. i clapping. it is negotiation. after 25 years of watching israelis and palestinians negotiate, this is a different sort of negotiation. they only have two speeds and it is slow and slower. the reality is the clocks are not synchronised. the abiding clock is ticking very fast for obvious reasons. since warwick, he is the only palestinian that cou

with former us diplomat and senior fellow at the carnegie endowment for international peace, aaron david millerfor what that retaliation might be. what is your take on what comes next? . . , , ., , next? iran and its proxies, primarily _ next? iran and its proxies, primarily hezbollah - next? iran and its proxies, primarily hezbollah and i primarily hezbollah and malicious and iraq and syria will co—ordinate a long —— large—scale drone attack. a saturation attack on the cable 13, 14 where they telegraphed i3, 14 where they telegraphed and foreshadowed what they would do. this time they will look for a target. that is either infrastructure or military in nature. they are trying to demonstrate the effectiveness as well as range and reach. if they succeed, then we go to the israeli response and predicting a large—scale regional escalation but if the iranian attackers to successful, it strikes me that the israelis may well conduct a massive operation against hezbollah and should arrive and see that. you could see this evolving into a direct confrontation between israel and iran and given the fact u

thank you so much, aaron, david miller, greatly appreciate that discussion. thank you so much. thanks for coming on greatly appreciate it. all right. all right, now 10 members of the same family were among palestinians. killed in a difference is really strike on a new say that's a refugee camp in central gonzo is really bombs wiped out an entire residential building and killed displaced, people sheltering in terms nearby. survivors say no warnings were given. victoria getting b or reports. i don't, i was a mazda survived in his radio store. i go now to say right, refugee camp that her only child didn't. a daughter was killed along side 9 of the members of her family. the hedge we were sleeping peacefully, crammed inside the tent. all of a sudden it all seemed like doomsday. my husband, daughter and sister in law were killed to serve. instead of all my family were killed. all of them. i am left with no one with nothing. the attack was carried out late at night without wounding the asteroid, talking to the residential building. that was surrounded by tens full of displaced people

aaron david miller is joining us right now. big picture analysis. d to be one of the top middle east negotiators at the state department. give us your sense of what's going on right now from a big picture, from the u.s perspective you know, i think will thanks i think that rep. reviewed reported this that at least over the last 48 hours, both israeli and u.s. intelligence had picked up the fact that the embolo is about to launch an attack using their longer-range missiles. and clearly the israelis preempted. remember rule if they've had 18 years to prepare since the last since the summer of 2006, then his balling, he had 15,000 high trajectory weapons and during the course of that 34 days, they launched about 3,000 missiles his fallen. now as the capacity with their high-trajectory weapons to launch 3,000 missiles a day so i guess the real question here is whether or not the israeli preemption we'll in fact trigger a massive response. and again, we talked about this before. it is his bulla, they can do the real damage to israel, not iran 12 minutes f

joining me now, aaron david miller, senior fellow at the carnegie endowment for international peace andalyst and negotiator. it's an honor to have you back on the show. president biden and the leaders of egypt and qatar as i just noted urging israel and hamas to return to the negotiating table on august 15th saying in a statement quote, there is no further time to waste, nor excuses from any party for further delay but i mean after what happened this morning, what are the chances that an agreement can even be reached? >> thanks for having me. i sat on this show and others that middle east negotiations have two speeds. long, and slow, and the reality is that there are three different clocks operating here. there is the administration clock, understandably pressing and wants to conclude a cease- fire. the cease-fire that would benefit the people of gaza for sure, the hostages, hostage release and their families. the other two clocks on part of the two main decision-makers, netanyahu on one hand and the head of hamas who is making decisions belowground somewhere surrounded by hostages, tho

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. >> our middle east analysts, aaron david miller is with us as well, and aaron give us your sense, right now how this situation that's unfolding between israel and hezbollah, this preemptive israeli strike could impact the supposed negotiations that were supposed to resuming in cairo to deal with a potential ceasefire in gaza and to deal with the release of more israeli hostages i'm sorry to say, well, those negotiations, at least seemed to me to be a ways away from being completed in large part because the two principal decision-makers yeah, she's sinwar ahead of a myosin benjamin netanyahu, the prime minister of israel, had very little urgency in trying to close this negotiation for any number of reasons. >> but sinwar clearly has been hoping, as he had hoped, in the wake of the october 7 terror surge that the region would somehow find itself in into an escalating regional war. and i think now as sinwar has no stake, frankly includes in these negotiations until it becomes clear to him exactly how massive they, his volos response will be to these early preemptive strike and whether the