alan higgins, our guest with us.oachim fels is questioning the validity of the fed going for another hike. would you agree with him? the fed should not raise rates one more time? possibly it is fading a little bit. >> that is your white line probability of a hike. it is coming down from the 60% level with your fantastic function. i think the goldilocks data, it was amazing data. it shows strong growth in non pharm payrolls, and a slight weakness even in the rate. one thing i would say though, a bit of focus on the ex-goldmanh ihich is an sachs man. he is a huge fan of financial conditions. i know on bloomberg you do a version of u.s. national conditions. basically, there is a combination of tight credit spreads, a weaker dollar, the stock market doing well. he's a big fan of that. up,can see they have moved indicating looseness. that 60% is a bit right. i think they are more likely to tighten than not, despite the low inflation. and they will not be upset with that 2% inflation. they are saying, look, 2% is far too p