alaska is the nation's largest state but it has the smallest prison population. >> alaska is a state that people have immigrated from all over the country and criminals don't change their ways when they move. they're still criminals. they just go to another state and do time in that prison system. >> outside society is big on giving people a second chance. my philosophy is when they reach spring creek they've had their chances and now they will toe the line. >> craig turnbull has been superintendent of spring creek for five years. >> they think they can come to alaska and hide out in the wilderness and never be seen again. they find that's very hard to do. we are surrounded by ice fields. we're surrounded by the gulf of alaska, one road in and out. and although beautiful, very challenging terrain. >> at spring creek correctional center there's only been one successful escape. it was hard to see because they had sheets over them when they went through the fences. they blended in with the snow that was out there. we apprehended them and brought them back really quickly. it probably was

in the state of alaska. i think what we brought it is rational thinking that everyone deserves an opportunity for education. they will have circumstances that will direct them in certain ways. i was not fortunate enough to have the opportunity to go off to college. i struggled with two jobs, going to college for my first year. is it prepared me for being -- it prepared me for being a mayor, running a city and understanding people want practical solutions. when you are struggling like that, you do not have the luxury to wait. my mother was able to retire early, my brothers and sisters went on to college, and i shape the college system in alaska. host: jim, independent. massachusetts. i think we lost him as well. tom, new jersey, are you there? caller: yes. host: tom is a republican. caller: senator begich, you're one of the new senators, correct? guest: correct. caller: i will not target you. there is enough egg on everyone's face to go around. we need to go forward. this is about oil. when oil is least on fe

chairman, for your continued focus on this, washington and alaska, i would say washington, alaska, oregon and california, hawaii, are all very united in our concern over the economic impacts that tsunami debris can have to our region. our state, washington state's coastal economy produces $10.8 billion in economic activity and it supports over 165,000 jobs. so anything that threatens that coastal economy is something we're going to pay a lot of attention to. so, we're here today to talk about how we're going to get a response from noaa on what is this threat, the measurement of the threat and what the response splan to that threat. a few short weeks ago we marked the one-year anniversary of the devastating tsunami in japan and the people of washington state, because of our connection with japan, have a great sense of loss and we remember those people who have lost their lives. seeing that devastation, when the waters rolled back and we saw what happened, shocked many people, not just in america but around the world. and so it has become clear to us what unbelievable economic damage can ha

john blackstone is in alaska. and he made these kids a deal. they kept their end, and now he's about to make their dreams come true. >> the promise you made these kids 12 years ago was what? ley.tioning sponsored by cbs this is the "cbs evening news" with scott pelley >> pelley: good evening. police in new york city say they are holding a man who has year-osed to the murder of etan patz, the six-year-old boy who vanished without a trace 33 years ago tomorrow. the enduring mystery of etan's disappearance, the anxiety felt by parents across the country, combined to revolutionize the nation's approach to missing children. after all this time, it was a telephone tip that led the police to 51-year-old pedro hernandez. esw, detectives have to figure out whether his confession is report johnave two reports. first, senior correspondent john miller, who has covered the patz story since the day the boy vanished. he's been talking to his sources, and he joins us now. whn? >> reporter: well, scott, as you said, it is an enduring mystery, but it's complicat

montague island is a barrier on the alaska coast, catching much of the debris that washes across thisaterial, plastics, was carried here by the wind. there's more being carried on the currents. fisherman tim cabana has spotted it out in the gulf of alaska. >> like every mile or so, you run across some more pieces. as you look off in the distance, you can see pieces of stuff here and there. >> reporter: if there's any good news, it's that the debris is not expected to be contaminated with radiation from the japanese nuclear plant, disabled by the tsunami. nancy wallace monitors marine debris at noaa. >> the fukushima plant had a meltdown after the debris was already in the water. and from the experts we've talked to about radiation, they think the isotopes would be weathered and gone because of their half life by now. >> reporter: but he says unrecovered styrofoam and plastic may never go away. and if eaten, can be deadly to fish and wildlife. >> when we flew in here today, and i saw all the styrofoam, it made me want to weep. it's just really bad. >> reporter: the impact here pales in

it's hitting alaska first, but that won't be the end of it. john blackstone is joining us in seward, alaska, tonight, and, john, what are you seeing? >> reporter: well, scott, the harbor here? seward opens up to the gulf of alaska, and out there, we saw the first large-scale evidence of wreckage from the japanese tsunami making it all the way across the pacific and now washing up on beaches here. it's a disturbing sight, a wilderness beach but littered everywhere with plastic bottles, fishing gear, and big chunks of yellow foam believed to be insulation from ruined buildings swept into the sea. now, every year some trash washes up on these beaches and every year chris pallister leads cleanup crews there. >> it's just far more than we've ever had come in at one time. and, you know, i would guess that the influx of debris-- and this is just the first wave of this tsunami debris. >> reporter: what's-- like for you flying in a helicopter above that looking down there at the debris? >> well, today it really hit me. before when i went out there i wa

alaska is farther away. is it true? is hawaii closer to the sun than alaska? you guys know that the closer and closer you get to the sun, the hotter it is? you know that? you know you get within a million miles of sun, the best materials you can make with vaporize-- not vaporize the term real hot, well, maybe vaporize. you guys been knowing that? unless you go at night time? [laughter] well, how about that? it is true that hawaii is closer to the sun than alaska? yes or no? - yes. - that's right. yes, that's true. is it the reason? - no. - no, it's not the reason. let's take a look and see if we can see why. here's the earth, sunlight. the sun is way, way up there. sunrays coming in. they fan out a little bit, okay? but essentially, they're parallel. they're coming in. okay. now, here the sunrays, here's hawaii down in here and there's alaska up there. now, hawaii is closer to the sun. but that's not the reason, gang, is it? because let's suppose i take something like this eraser and i put the eraser here, boom, let's draw it in here. so many acres of land. no

we've seen that in alaska. but we've been out there with our partners trying to identify that debris specifically from the tsunami, and for the most part we have not been able to do that. we know we had 1.5 million tons in the water. how much of that gets to the other end. so i don't think we want to get over overly alarming with anyone in that. we're continuing not to have any evidence of major debris on the ocean that's going to come ashore. so that's i think more the thinking than it's not an issue because if 1.5 million tons of debris comes ashore on our coasts that's going to be a problem. we know that. >> well, mr. kennedy, i'm definitely going to react when thousands of cans of hazardous materials wash ashore and they have things like rat poisoning and gas in them. we are going to react. >> mm-hmm. >> so that has happened, and so the notion you said earlier to senator beckage that we don't have a clue about the debris, i've heard what you've just said. have we gotten all the information from dod about th

now some of that debris is washing up on montague island in alaska, so we sent john black stone there reporter: at the mouth of prince william sound, there are bottles and barrels, spray cans, fishing gear and worries about toxic chemicals. the japannese writing on this fuel cannister says danger. can you clean this snup. >> we can clean this up given the resources but it will be a four, five, six-year process. >> reporter: chris pallister is president of gulf of alaska keeper, a group that tries to keep wilderness beaches free of trash. >> this is used as insulation in japan in buildings. it was attached to a wall somewhere here. i mean there's just boat load after boat load after boat load up and down the shoreline. >> reporter: by 2013 it's estimated as much as 1.5 million tons of wreckage from the tsunami could reach the west coast, from alaska all the way to california. montague island is a barrier on the alaskan coast catching much of the debris that washes across the pacific. this material, plastics, was carried here by the wind. there's more being carried on the currents. fish

we have seen that in alaska. but we've been after with our partners trying to identify that debris specifically asked from the tsunami. and for the most part we haven't been able to do that. and so we know there is increased debris here and there. we've not been able to find at sea. we know it 1.5 million tons that went in the water. how much of that gets to the other hand. so i don't think we want to get overly alarming with anyone in that where we're continuing not to have any evidence, of major debris out there in the ocean that's going to come ashore. so that's i think more the thinking then it's not an issue because it 1.5 million tons of debris comes ashore on our coasts, that's going to be a problem. we know that. >> i'm definitely going to react without the kansas hazards mature that wash ashore and have things like rat poisoning and gas in them. we are going to react. so that has happened, and so the notion that you said earlier to senator begich, that we don't have a clue about the debris, and so i've h

of seward in southern alaska.e fishing harbor of seward after making a trip out into the gulf of alaska to look for evidence that the wreckage of the tsunami of jap pan is coming to the bea. the driftwood shows it regularly captures whatever is carried by the wind and the tide. but what is carried onto the beaches here now is different. a lot of it is plastic, barrels and bottles. light enough to be carried on the wind across thousands of miles of ocean. while it's impossible to say for certain that any particular piece came from japan, many items carry japanese writing. big blocks of yellow foam never seen here before are believed to be remnants of insulation used in many japanese houses. chris knows these beaches well. >> the influx of debris, and this is just the first wave of tsunami debris, is many, many times what we would find on a normal season. it's just overwhelming. >> this just started. it's going to get tens of thousands of miles of coastline will get debris. >> reporter: he's a beach monitor who spen

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chairman, you know i would be parochial for a moment, but that's who i represent is alaska. let me give you an example. we're dealing with an issue now, adak, let me give you a comparison, adak is like if you were in -- a 12-00 mile distance. one of the rules or at least the efforts of the national broad band plan was no flash cuts. we'll here's what adak is dealing with, it's a small community, 130 folks, they went from december 2011, resource of usf funds, to january 12. 84% reduction, just like that, this country will be out of business by the end of this year. and the process, many of you heard my complaints and concerns about the waiver process. now this group represents 130 customers. this is waiver one that they have to fill out and this is waiver 2. it's very expensive and very hard to do. and somehow, you know, i recognize the one size can't fit all and you have been very good at the commission, trying to figure out alaska and hawaii, and i appreciate that, this is the worry that we just -- i'm giving you my flash point. we need some ability, because at the end of t

and for the alaska cans starting to come back from afghanistan, we had about 9,000 alaska-based operation, folks, in the, in the field. in afghanistan. they're starting to come back. thank you for the services. pleasure to see them in afghanistan the last time i was there for the last trip. thank you all very much. >> thank you, senator. >> thank you, madam chairman. we have these hearings, we all hear about, the dedication, the fact that -- put our troops -- what our troops are doing over there in all the services. general austin, i am kind of look you, when to was i was in army, i never believed we could reach the stage where we are today with an all-volunteer army. it wasn't an all-volunteer army. i was a product of the draft. i still thing it is a good idea. but, i look at this. and i, and i see what -- to me it's -- it is just a less of a concentration on defending america. we have a -- when senator ayott was talking about the new risk paradigm. i used to chair this committee. i was chairman of the readiness subcommittee. and i have been wrong -- i always thought that risk equals liv

we're in a slightly less remote area of alaska near the fishing village of yacatat. can see the debris that we've collected very similar to what's on montague island. at this point, nobody knows for certain how this debris is going to get cleaned off these beaches, where it's going to go and who is going to pay for it. and most importantly, no one knows what else lurks out there in the pacific that's heading this way. casey wian, cnn, on the southeastern coast of alaska. >> so we're talking presidential politics with folks at a baseball game in texas. just watch what happened. >> he's talking about gay marriage now and he's a christian. so tell me about bending the rules. >> and i'm gay. >> so when friends disagree on politics. you ready? we wanna be our brother's keeper. what's number two we wanna do? bring it up to 90 decatherms. how bout ya, joe? let's go ahead and bring it online. attention on site, attention on site. now starting unit nine. some of the world's cleanest gas turbines are now powering some of america's biggest cities. siemens. answers. dude you don

nbc's miguel almaguer reports tonight from alaska. >> along the coast of prince william sound, clear signs of trouble in the water. >> god, what a sad situation. >> a debris field is washing ashore on kayak island. chris pallister has come for a closer look. >> i don't think people realize this is environmental tragedy that dwarfs exon valdez in my personal opinion. >> fragments of everyday live from some 3,500 miles away. never before have locals seen their coastline so littered. scientists have begun to see more and more debris on the beaches from japan, but nobody knows if it's from the tsunami. for now, it's impossible to tell. for 13 months, scientists have been tracking an estimated 1.5 million tons of tsunami debris, a floating mass drifting in the pacific, headed towards the west coast. in washington state, officials will use c-130s for survey, and train volunteers on the ground on what to look for. the debris will arrive in waves, but the front edge may already be here. >> any of the objects higher up in the water, moving fast, if it catches a quick current, could be showing

and that's who i represent, alaska. we're dealing with an issue now which to give you a comparison it's like if you were in east texas. here's what we're dealing with. they went from a december 2011 resource of funds to january of 2012, 84% production. just like that. this company will out of business by the end of the year. many of you heard my complaints or concerns about the waiver process. this group represents 130 customers. this is waiver one they have to fill out. and this is waiver two. it's very expensive and very hard to do i recognize that one size can't fit all. we need stability. at the end of the year they will not be table to pay their loans, and they'll be out. out of business. they're the only providers in the whole area. that's it in the sense of what can happen. i use this as an example. is there a way for small carriers, under 50,000 lines to help give some relief in the application process and the fee structure and the cost. this is $100,000. many of you are lawyers and past lawyers. these are not c

certainly, we know that alaska and washington are very interested. and the others know they're within the realm of potential impact, but washington and alaska, and hawaii for that matter, we know clearly they have interest. >> thank you. >> thank you, mr. chairman. this is the chart that we had gotten from the university of hawaii. and shows migration. basically, a trajectory right towards the west coast and you can see by the size of the marine debris field that we're talking about large scale debris. so when you say no one's looking and you don't see anything, this is what your partners come up with. i hope that after today, we can get the information, get it to the partners and come up with again some assessments about what we're doing because what our constituents see this, when they go online and see this, they're very concerned. i think we have to, which brings up one very basic point, which is we have you know, one of our local communities, mayers to be here, but i think because of the scheduling of the committee couldn't move, accommodate a s

alaska, tropical forests, and the deep oceans. any spills in the arctic, for example, will pose a severe threat to the century viable of species that are already at risk, like polar bears, and walruses, seals, and many species of whales. and it's going to be much harder to mount a rescue operation and a cleanup operation in the arctic than in the gulf of mexico, when the b.p. event occurred it was possible for b.p. to deploy hundreds of ships and other service vessels to contain this spill and to minimize the environmental damage. when shell goes up this summer and starts drilling off of alaska, any similar incident will be virtually impossible to contain because there's no capacity in the region to deal with this kind of disaster. or if it occurs off of greenland or the barren sea. like weiss, -- likewise, drilling and mining in northern scandanavia and siberia poses a threat to the cultures of the indigenous people who live there this is true wherever you look. another case of worry is the most massive mining project now being p

"the talk" on cbs. ♪ come on ♪ ♪ ♪ come on without >> live shot of alaska.s washing ashore from japan. welcome back to "cbs this morning." tomorrow night, "48 hours" mystery looks at a cold case that turned hot again after more than 20 years. >> the case involves a bite mark, a jealous ex-girlfriend and a bombshell murder conviction. the evidence led detectives to one of their own. >> reporter: it was a brutal murder back in 1986. committed in a daytime break-in a quiet gated community in van nuys, california. the victim, 29-year-old sherri rae rasmussen, was a newly married nursing director at a local hospital. she was badly beaten, and shot to death. >> i don't believe that you can understand the grief. >> miss her so much. >> reporter: her shaken parents were convinced from day one, that a jealous old girlfriend of their daughter's new husband has done it, but they say detectives ignored them, claiming their daughter was a victim of a burglary gone bad. >> no. they couldn't convince me of it. >> reporter: 23 years later in 2009, the los angeles police dep

casey wian finds out. >> reporter: we're on the gulf of alaska coast.reat deal of tsunami debris has already come up. nearly 4,000 miles from fukushima, japan, is montague island, alaska, reachable only by helicopter or boat. >> this is as much wilderness in the united states. and we're sitting in a landfall. landfill. this is facing away from japan. but the way the currents and wind works, it swirls it around and dumps it in here. tsunami debris really concerned us, mostly because of the amount of styrofoam that's coming with it, and also the toxic chemicals coming with it. we think it will have a detrimental impact on the environment out here. >> reporter: chris has been cleaning debris here for 15 years. now the task is now next to impossible. >> this is urethane spray and building foam. we just never got much of that before. and now if you walk up and down this beach, you can see big chunks. look at it all down this beach. that came out of crushed buildings, structures. there's pictures of storage yards in japan, huge yards, acres of these things st

. >> that's alaska for you. i would have spent it on guns. i'm from the hood. no he is good.s five teen minutes of of -- 15 minutes of fame. nobody thought he would get into the movies or anything. so he is back where we thought he would be. >> when you have the talent and the work ethic of levi johnston it is totally reasonable to expect the checks to keep on coming in. >> greg, i think you may have a theory about levi and maybe it involves a metaphor or two. >> it goes back to my -- i described this earlier, the cut in line theory. we know when people cut in line in terms of success. we know he didn't earn his success. he was used by the pawns by the kathy griffins as a thorn in the side of sarah palin. when people were board of him they let him go. he thought he could parlay this into something else. now he should be a greeter at a bait shop. i am actually jealous. that girl is cute. by the way he is naming his kid, baretta after the gun. >> he is named after jeans and his kid is named after a gun. >> he is looking for an endorsement deal. >> guns are currency. >> why do y

remote island in alaska is the landing spot for debris. the possibly toxic mess coming from japan, more than 4,000 miles away. >>> al qaeda put out new training tape, they want attackers to use computers. >>> fleet week in new york. thousands of sailors enjoying the sights of the city. we will see what is extra special about the 25th anniversary of the event. >>> secrets of the irish republican army, secrets taken to the grave are being revealed as part of the belfast project. ? [ music plays, record skips ] hi, i'm new ensure clear. clear, huh? my nutritional standards are high. i'm not juice or fancy water, i'm different. i've got nine grams of protein. twist my lid. that's three times more than me! twenty-one vitamins and minerals and zero fat! hmmm. you'll bring a lot to the party. [ all ] yay! [ female announcer ] new ensure clear. nine grams protein. zero fat. twenty-one vitamins and minerals. in blueberry/pomegranate and peach. refreshing nutrition in charge! ♪ i don't wanna be right [ record scratch ] what?! it's not bad for you. i

i would point out, there are a lot of people, when we acquired alaska, which gives us access to the arctic, there were a lot of people in this country that thought that was folly, seward's folly, as we remember, and history has shown very differently. bull can you talk about where we are with respect to the other countries who have ratified the treaty, who border the arctic and where they are in terms of exploration and any other activities they may be doing in the arctic and how we compare to that and how much, to what extent we might be left behind if we don't ratify the treaty? >> well, thank you for that, senator, because i actually think that the arctic is one of these areas where potential instability, as well as economic competition, are going to be played out. the largest single portion of the u.s. extended continental shelf is in the arctic and the other arctic coastal nations, russia, canada, norway, denmark/green t denmark/greenland, are all in the process of establishing the outer limits of their continental shelves, using the provisions of the convention. think we all remember

he is leaving for alaska it tomorrow. one of the all-time great american olympians has announced his future plans. >>gary: he is going against his mother's wishes. ♪ so, this is delicious okay... is this where we're at now, we don't care anymore? we just eat whatever tastes good? excuse me? [ man ] like these sweet honey clusters, they're awesome so no way they're good for you. but i guess that's okay right? actually there's a half a day's worth of fiber in every ... why stop at cereal? ya know? cancel the gym membership. bring on the pork chops and the hot fudge. fantastic. are you done sweetie? yea [ male announcer ] fiber beyond recognition. fiber one.

as you said, senator, the red flag of alaska is absolutely critical to the training we're about to do. as our new strategy talks of the shift to the pacific, clearly this is a pacific focused area, so we anticipate no changes now. i owe you a definitive answer on that. >> fantastic. thank you all very much and thank you for your service and for the alaskans now starting to come back from afghanistan, about 9,000 alaska-based operation folks in the field in afghanistan, and they're all starting to come back. thank you for the service. it is a pleasure to see them in afghanistan when i was there the last trip. thank you all very much. >> thank you, senator begich. >> we have these hearings and we all hear about the dedication what, our troops are doing and all the services and general austin, and i am kind of like you. when i was in the army, i never believed that we could reach this stage where we are today with an all volunteer army. it wasn't an all volunteer army. i was a product of the draft, and i still think it is a good idea and you know, i look at this and i see what to me it i

so they got these cameras, go pro hero 2 cameras and went to the wilds of alaska and sent 30 balloonsp to the edge of space. just to photograph things they hadn't seen before at that level. they had images of the aurora borealis. they hadn't seen shots from that angle, that high in the sky, 120,000 feet. beautiful images of mountains. they got to do fun stuff while doing it around alaska to shoot this. >> people are always launching into space these go pro cameras. it's crazy. you're able to go up there and not malfunction. >> makes me want to do this. did you ever play with bottle rockets when you were a kid? >> what sends you up? >> a balloon. >> in this chair we get to have a bunch of balloons to this chair. off i go. >> this is part of project ether. he learns what he would do. >> it's not that difficult to motivate students, put them in the right setting, the right opportunity. they flourish in the environment. >> this is a cooler experiment than baking soda volcano. >> where the egg drops. >> his tour bus went up in flames. >> he lost everything. >> but it's the popular d.j.'s r

iowa minnesota and now washington now his campaign is also organizing victories and louisiana and alaska or one of paul's supporters was just a left elected as alaska's republican party chair so ron paul cause enough of a stir that could upset the entire convention earlier i was joined by mary wilson a volunteer organizer and ron paul supporter i asked her what was finally like to meet dr paul. i did yeah there was a rally at the cal state fullerton in. southern california i guess it's nearer anaheim and orange county and it was a beautiful turnout and we helped volunteer and registered thousands of new republicans into the party to vote for ron paul in the june fifth primary because we have a closed primary here in california so you have to be registered by may twenty first deadline in order to vote in that primary and ron paul's support is growing the momentum is incredible and he's having these town halls all over the country and day after day tens of thousands of people thousands of people are showing up all over to support him and hear what he has to say and the media is still not c

ships with nukes in them, north of alaska coming out of korea.> and the just logistics of having to move a fleet from the california to virginia, and going over the top instead of the panama canal. >> you travelled extensively to alaska, and beyond, researching the book, and spoke to people on all sides of this. name the types of books you talk to because it's not black and white, one side versus the other? >> you had a great show recently about compromise. that's what this book ends up being in the end. and problem, the other thing this book is about. as far as alaska and the oil man goes, start as antagonists and morph into unofficial allies against their government, as far as doing nothing goes, that's where we hit the government. so i was fly on the wall at shell and also spent time on the north slope with the whale hunters and eskimo politician, businessmen up there in washington, with senators, spoke to white house officials in the bush white house, and also the obama white house. went to the norway to look at their gas operations. and then

we have seen an alaska -- that in alaska. we have been out there with our partners trying to identify that debris specifically as from a tsunami. for the most part, we have not been able to do that. we know there is increased debris. we have not been able to find it at sea. we know 1.5 million tons went in the water. i do not think we want to get overly alarming with anyone in that we're continuing to not have any major evidence of debris in the additional come ashore. that is more of the thinking then that is not an issue. if 1.5 million tons of debris comes ashore on our coast, that will be a problem. we know that. >> i am definitely going to react when thousands of cans and hazardous materials washed ashore with rat poisoning and gas. we're going to react. that has happened. the notion earlier when you said we do not have a clue about the degree -- debris, have we gotten all the information from the of the about the satellite imaging -- all the information from dod about the satellite imaging question wreck is there more d

cnn's casey wian is joining us from the alaska coast with an in-depth look with the alarming details.lf, let me give you a picture of where we are. we're at an estuary in southern alaska on the banks of an estuary and what you can see across this waterway about 300, 400 yards in the distance is a long sandbar and across that sandbar is the pacific ocean and we went out there and let me give you a look at some of the debris that we found out on the sandbar. you can see these giant buoys. this one says made in japan. these over here, this is foam used in construction material. look willas here say they've never seen this before. very concerned about the environmental impact of this. also we are very near a fishing village. you can see down there, there are fishing huts around that point. several hundred people, but the environmental damage in a place called montague island, northwest of here, is even worse. >> we're going to cut across the middle of montague island to the outside on the part of alaska coast and that's where a great deal of tsunami debris has already come up. >> reporter

we're relatively cloud-free, over interior alaska. our friends in fairbanks are starting to warm up with 57 and anchorage around 56, that's any big ce for this time of weather concerns. doesn't look like we have any chances of rain in the forecast in many areas. once again, looks like it's going to remain dry and beautiful throughout the country. >> lucky them. thanks so much. >>> gold tumbles and you may want to think again about the so-called sugar boost. your early morning business headlines are still ahead. breaking box office records, but how much are the major stars of "the avengers" making from the mega hit? >>> coming up, president obama takes a shot at david beckham, the kings continue their road to dominance and with a game on the line you will not believe who took the final shot for the heat. you're watching "early today." >>> good morning welcome back to "early today" i'm lynn berry. here are some of your top headlines this morning. >>> presumptive republican presidential nominee mitt romney notched two predictable primary