alex brill, jamie desmond, jeff rosenberg.with us here on set and mike santoli and rick santel santelli rick, you're new we haven't heard from you yet. what do you think? what's your number going to be >> i'm looking on the high side once again 205,000 would be my number i know there's a lot of nervousness of whether jobs have peaked or not. my feeling is they have not. i continue to think we're going to be drawing people back into the workforce. of course we want to pay attention to wages but i really do think for the moment the inflation cycle has peaked it peaked awhile ago this should be a very interesting number for the fed and no matter how it turns out, it's going to be a complicated number for how equity traders play it. >> alex, how about you >> well, i feel more confident in the last few minutes we're going to come in a little bit below expectation. that's because the president's tweeting about china, not about the u.s. labor market. i think, in fact, that he's right in the sense that that trade issue broadly is on t