moderate district for even republican voters who previously voted for charlie dent, a centrist from allentown. perry is very conservative. democrats have found a strong candidate, a pastor and veteran named george scott. if you combine those factors, and perry has never had a close race. suddenly it was like a tight one on election day. endorsedocal paper george scott. this is what they said. they endorsed scott perry in the last election cycle, urging him to become a bipartisan. now they think voters should get george got a chance to change the town. 's positions on a host of issues -- his position on a host of issues make sense. he is willing to reach across the aisle. can you factor that in? guest: scott perry has not. he has stuck to who he was when he was elected. through his time in office he's been very conservative. theist devoted to the conservative causes. the caucuses with the freedom caucus, the most conservative wing of the house republicans. he is unyielding and those beliefs and continued to stick to those beliefs even of his district has changed a few months ago -- even though

republicanch voters there, a lot of them previously voted for charlie dent who is the centrist from allentown, and congressman perry aligns with the freedom caucus, he's very conservative, andd democrats there have founda pretty strong candidate, a a pastor and a veteran named george scott. so you combine all those factors, and perry has never had a really close race. combine all those factors and suddenly it looks like it could be a tight one on election day. >> host: one of the local papers there in pennsylvania endorsed george scott, and this is what they said about scott perry, saying that they endorsed scott perry in the last election cycle, urging him to become more bipartisan. now they think that voters should give george scott a chance to help change the tone. he's decide dod -- decidedly more liberal, they add this: he's willing to reach across can the aisle. can you factor that into scott perry? has he changed as far as being many office? >> guest: scott perry has not. scott perry has stuck who he was when he was elected and through his time many office. he's very conservative. he's

and northbound ranch avenue before allentown road. u. thank 6:20 our time now, it's become almost as big as thanksgiving we're talking about black friday. >> if you don't want to wait until friday, wie have the stor for you. we're breaking down the bestde s you can find this week. >> later on ellen. >> say something that we all know. >> i just feel a bit exposed. >> what if we have the backstreet boys behind you? >> emily blunt b stops and does a little duet with the back street boys apparently. if you want to know what they sing, youave to check out the show. ellen airs at 3:00 and thenun stick a for news 4 at 4:00. >> i hope it's i want it that y. we'll bewa r >>> he's wearing some sunglasse and ear buds while taking a selfie, of course. the cover alsohe includes phrase, forget real estate, you can't afford it anyway. that seems to have struck a nerve with millennials that called itondescending and out of touch. the game is already out of stock and used versions are selling online for triple the price. somebody wants it. >> all right.

allentown thousands of followers are joining the bomb on the streets. women for changing the world to live in. digital. starts november twenty fifth a long deep. international pressure is growing on the warring parties in yemen to bring the country's bitter conflict to an end the who the rebels agreed on monday to stop missile attacks saudi arabia's king solomon has voiced support for u.n. sponsored peace initiative yet reports of fresh fighting in the port city hold data may undermine moves towards a cease fire. nissen chairman collar's goal is to be sacked after being arrested in tokyo on suspicion of financial misconduct the boss of the oil.

social media is quite critical to editing that to allentown thousands of followers are joining the cause on the streets for the young women who are changing the world to many of. the digital stars who might be trying to focus on g.w. . this is deja vu news live from berlin racing to beat the bronx at deadline british prime minister under pressure to deliver a final deal on bracks but positions are hardening in brussels and berlin just from ackles threatening to boycott sunday's e.u. song also coming up. hope for a nation the ravaged by violence and famine the u.s. secretary of defense says yemen's warring parties have agreed to peace talks.

fundraising doing all that in ar systematic way is better at answering that question tn going to allentown, pennsylvania and talking to six deople. now tha is not a good tool d answer other questions you know what will truon health care if he wins a second term. you know you can't use data to answer that question. >>eporter: the narrative o 2018 is that we are a divided nation. is this reflected in the data? >> yes, yes. >> for sure. although less in some ys than in other elections we have in our forecast a 110 or something congressional districts where we think either party could win. there are 10 or 12 sraces that either party could win out of 35. the times i'll really start to buy into critics of what'spp ing to american democracy will be when people give up and aren't turning out to vote. so this is a very 538 thing, right? america is as divided as ever is like is like mostly true. but i think we kind of instantly are looking for the ways in which it might be slightly not true or might be a little bit exaggerated as a narrative. >> it's pretty true though. >> thompson: traditionally, e

sunday's allentown to get to enjoy sunshine in the sunshine. in the winter sun. scott's mother licia and his grandmother ruby and his mother and father in law have come for a visit and i know none of my family is very much at the center of life here. in october twenty eighth be as one of my brothers sixty seconds for her and he was killed in the coal mines and i can say when you see seventy six a wooded it was not ten years i would hate back a tractor over into a man who. asked film of overage. and my father he got crippled in the mines and forty six then i had an uncle got killed and my. so. down the road you know. we know that the heroes have called that gives us doll jobs but husbands when i would say you say you've been in scott in their mining clothes and cora just really hurt me you know so i wouldn't know man's actor really what me and life relate movie i'm go in and you know i don't exempt from being minors but you know that's the way they will make their leave and so i have to accept you know everybody is self family oriented here you know everybody like

you can talk about other cities like allentown, pennsylvania. lancaster, where i live.se are smaller cities. york, allentown, i mentioned before. most of the smaller cities are heavily democratic. the rural and small-town parts of pennsylvania, those parts of my state are essentially republican. way, thet it this susskind on a river, i am sitting close by that river, divides pennsylvania. one third of the judge -- geography east of it. it, -- if you take the -- thed on a river allegheny county out in the southwest. hillary clinton won only two counties west of the river. you are talking about small town and rural pennsylvania. that has become a republican haven. mining and milk counties in the southwestern part of andsylvania, where steel other aspects of the industrial , once turned those counties into democratic strongholds. they have now been voting republican and they voted for donald trump in 2016. we have an urban division going on. has got to thed suburbs. northeastly in the and midwest. it is the suburbs that often decide how a state is going to go. republican o

by the way, my community of allentown, 1500 people showed up for a vigil. people are really taking this hard throughout the commonwealth. but now the president shouldn't talk about the politics of this. again, completely unhelpful. in fact, the bigger concern i have is that the president's continuing messaging on these nativist, protectionist impulses of his i think are unhealthy for the country and do bring out the worst in us at times. not saying that's what caused the shootings or blame him at all, of course, but he's got to speak as a leader or unifier of the nation. that's the job of the president to keep us calm and not to incite us at times like this. he can't simultaneously unify after pittsburgh as he tried to do and then at the same time, incite us on immigrants coming in from central america. it's hard to do these two things simultaneously, unite and divide. >> it seems as though the divide message generally wins out trump's heart. congressman charlie dent, thank you so much for joining me. i appreciate it. >> thank you, s.e. great to be with you

chester county into up into lehigh, allentown, out into lancaster, to erie. the areas i'm familiar with i think are going all democrat. i think we'll hear this early. i think it's the voice we would have gotten unfilled, except for the complication with hillary at the end, with the james comey thing. i think we're going to get the results we would have gotten in '16. i believe that somebody has to pay for "access hollywood." i think this country doesn't like a president that talks like that. they don't like it. they haven't found a way to say it yet. they're going to say it this time. it sunk in, that is him. that wasn't a bad day for him. they figured out this is donald trump. and i think women and evolved men, that's my son calls it, evolved men, evolved men, the first of the evolved men was alan ald an a alan ald an lda, 40 years ago, evolved men are going to vote against trump because he's the wrong man to be president. >> giving alan alda his due. >> not like a cro-magnon. >> in terms of basics, in you look at kornacki's enthusiasms numbers in 72, 73, yo

in allentown, we had over a thousand people show up for what happened in pittsburgh so i don't know thetism has been around for a long time and i see it from islamic extremists, i see it from white wing fanatics. it's metastasized. >> but the problem here is that you have -- if these school shootings were done by someone from the middle east there would be a very different reaction to them. if they were done by african-american there is would be a very different reaction so we ignore and we have statistics showing that white men are very violent and a problem and nothing is being done about it and then we have the president of the united states talking about a bunch of brown people like they're the terrorists. we have a country where every other day it seems like a white woman calls the police on a black man for barbecuing or gardening or delivering the mail and yet we sit quietly while all these white men are out terrorizing people, essentially. every time there's a shooting and it's a white man -- >> i'll tell you, though, i know we have to get to the break, but one of the most frustr

i don't know what -- my homeland of allentown the other night, we had a thousand people show up in response. i really don't know what the answer is. anti-semitism has been around a very long time. and, you know, i see it. i see it from islamic extremists, from right wing fanatics. it's me taft sized it's metasticized in a number of ways. if these shootings were done by someone from the middle east there would be a different reaction. if they were done by african americans there would be a different reaction. what we see here is we ignore and we have statistics here showing that white men are very violent and a problem, and nothing is being done about it, and then we have the president of the united states talking about a bunch of brown people, like they're the terrorists. we have a country where every other day it seems like a white woman calls the police on a black man for barbecuing or gardening or delivering the mail. and yet we sit quietly while all these white men are out terrorizing people essentially. every time there is one of these shootings and it's a white man -- >> i'll tell you

but you could talk about other city the like allentown, pennsylvania, lancaster where i live.er, mid-sized cities. york, harrisburg, reading. most of the third class cities, the smaller cities are heavily democratic. the rural and small town parts of pennsylvania, that -- those parts of our, of my state are essentially republican. i'll put it this way, the susquehanna river -- i'm sitting very close by that river now talking with you -- divides pennsylvania. two-thirds of the geography west of it -- ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ ♪ >> well, i want to thank you all for being here. josh is right here. we're going to the pull him over the finish line. he's doing well. but you have to get out and vote. i do want to thank you though, seriously. what happened, did it rain out here? it's very wet. very wet. but a very special place, and he's a very special candidate. and i must tell you, i don't know why, this is a big hangar. i don't know why you couldn't get in. what happened? what happened? we've got to get a bigger one. how are are you? thank you, darling. thank you. i just want to ask to come up jos

i mentioned that seat in allentown. i have been there many times.vania. bill clinton did very badly in 1994. ronald reagan did not do well in the congressional midterms in 1982. barack obama —— barack obama did did badly in 2010. they all rebounder. the role 2—term presidents. even if a president doesn't suffer in the midterms, as most do, they can come back and win two years later. ok. nick bright, for the moment, thank you very much. if you want to know the details and the memory of presidential history, there are few better people to ask than nick bright to have a ph.d. in american presidential political history and seems to know more about mid—term races than anybody probably should. he will know that 35 out of 38 midterms have gone against the sitting president. we would not be surprised if the democrats.” sitting president. we would not be surprised if the democrats. i will throw those facts out. we had better ration. we have a long night ahead of us. we have some result in the senate races and how they are going. this is an interesting one. c

friday records possible for hartford, boon, albany, allentown, and new york's j t. andn as we make our way on sunday for people getting back home, here is what we are looking at. the problems at the airports are basically going to be out west and also in the midwest for minneapolis, chicago, st. louis, atlanta, detroit, boston, and seattle takoma. i-94, minneapolis to oklahoma, omaha to chicago,nd chicago to new orleans. here is what we're looking at. heavy snow from missour to wisconsin. strong winds, whiteout conditions. we will e watching this closely. you may have gotten to where you need to go on thanksgiving. you mayro havele getting back home. >> thank you. >>> 54 million americans are on the move this week, most by car. a record number by plane. exactly how much extra time do i ne y you need tacr into those plans. hey, t >> they track every plane in the skies. commercial,business, military. take a look at the monitor on the wall back there. that represents ery single flight right now in the skies over north america. 5,000 planes in t air. they are watching a

friday, records possible for hartford, boston, albany, bingham thomp, allentown and new york's jfk. then as we make our way for sunday, people getting back home. the problems at the airports are basically going to be out west and also in the mid-west for minneapolis, chicago, st. louis, atlanta, detroit, boston, atlanta, tacoma, especially i-know, chicago to minneapolis. minneapolis to omaha, omaha to chicago, ch i. to new orleans. here's what we're looking at, brigg i big problems, heavy snow, missouri to wisconsin, strong winds, whiteout conditions. we will watch this closely. you may have gotten where you need to know on thanksgiving. you may have trouble getting back home, guys. >> al, thank you. 54 million americans are on the move this week. most by car. a record number by plane. how much extra time will you need to factor into those plans. tom costello, they are tracking all that stuff. tom, good morning. >> reporter: they track every single plane in the skies, not just xheshlgs also business and military. take a look behind me on the big monitor on the wall back there. >> th

wilkes-barre,r, allentown.e don't mind immigration into we want ity, but controlled and i thank you for your time. host: you mentioned the e.u. -- some news in the papers today on the e.u. and the brexit deal that great britain is embarking on. may embarks on a briggs it it hardll after -- brex deal. -- hard-sell. theresa may in a two-week campaign to sell the deal agreed to by european leaders telling s they risk plunging the country into "more division and uncertainty" if they reject it. the terms were signed off at a meeting yesterday. the agreement aims to deliver a -- th divorce to although many details of the future relationship between the two sides have yet to be ironed out. one of the other stories in papers about that. plenty of stories looking ahead to the 116th congress, the makeup of that congress. this is from the washington post, newcomers looking to shake up the house. many young and progressives may clash with veterans over the party's direction. alexandria of casio cortez in that picture. -- a